11-23-08

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Raymond's 5* NFL GAME OF THE WEEK
Pick # 1 Buffalo Bills (-3.5)




RON RAYMOND'S 5* NFL UNDERDOG SPECIAL BEST BET PICK!
Pick # 1 San Francisco 49ers (10.0)

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky Sund@y

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4* Buffalo/KC Over 42
4* New England +1
4* Baltimore -1
6* Washington -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Spylock
NCAA
DateTime Game Pick Stars


11/23/08 Connecticut Connecticut +3 3
8:05 PM South Florida -3






NFL
DateTime Game Pick Stars


11/23/08 Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings +2.5 1
1:05 PM Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5


11/24/08 Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers +2.5 3
8:40 PM New Orleans Saints -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Norm Hitzges


UConn +3 vs South Florida

[Mr. IWS]

DOC NFL

5 Unit Play. #106 Take Detroit Lions over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Sunday 1:00 pm Fox) The Lions remain the only winless team in the NFL but have been much more competitive in recent weeks. They played the NFC South leaders tough for most of the game and the final score was not an indication of how close it actually was. The Lions beat Tampa Bay, 23-16 last year and will put forth a solid effort in this game. Tampa Bay still has a strong defense but a questionable offense and that will allow the Lions to keep this one close. Tampa Bay 20, Detroit 17.

[Mr. IWS]

Norm Hitzges


NFL

Triple Play--Green Bay +2.5 vs New Orleans

Double Plays

Tennessee -5.5 vs NY Jats
Arizona/NY Giants Over 48


Single Plays

Kansas City +3 vs Buffalo
Detroit +8 vs Tampa Bay
Chicago -8 vs St. Louis
Cleveland/Houston Over 50
St. Louis/Chicago Over 43
Green Bay/New Orleans Over 51.5

[Mr. IWS]

Hsw

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7* New England

3 team parlay
New England
Carolina
Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard's NFL Game of the Year!

New England at Miami
Revenge is sweet or payback is a bitch. Choose whatever cliche you prefer but the Patriots want this game badly. In the first meeting the Dolphins put in the Wildcat offense and it took the Pats completely by surprise in a 38-13 Miami victory. That was the Patriot's worst loss since 2005 and started all the talk about New England being past their prime. Since that game New England has improved on a week to week basis and they are in much better shape to take on the Dolphins this time around. QB Cassel was starting for the just his second game the last time these two tangled. Now he is becoming a solid option behind center for New England. The defense which was taken back by the inovative Miami play calling has had plenty of time to prepare for a team they overlooked in the first meeting. After all, the Pats had just played in the Super Bowl while Miami was coming in off a 1-15 season. Bill Belichick is a master motivator and he has been absolutely terrific off a loss posting a 13-1 spread mark in the following game. Also because the Pats played last Thursday they have three extra days to prepare for this divisional rival. That loss last week was to the rival NY Jets and the Patriots are 15-2 ATS off a divisional loss. New England knows that this is a must win game as they can't afford to lose to Miami twice in one season because of the divisional tiebreakers. New England who hasn't lost back to back games the past two years is a focused team in need playing with embarrassing revenge.
Miami has been a pleasant surprise this season but they are a much better team in the underdog role. As a favorite or in the pick 'em range this isn't a team to be trusted. They have not looked good as of late despite playing nothing but creampuffs the likes of Seattle and Oakland the past two weeks. They will really be stepping up in class and we certainly feel they will be out of their element.
PLAY NEW ENGLAND

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions - Sunday November 23, 2008 1:00 pm
Detail: IC'S BIG NFC UNDERDOG POD!
Pick: 3 units (Play of the Day) ATS: Detroit Lions +9 (-130)





Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos - Sunday November 23, 2008 4:05 pm
Detail: IC'S AFC UNDERDOG WINNER!
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Oakland Raiders +10 (-125)

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday, November 23, 2008
$49.00 Guaranteed Selection:

NFL 3 Pack

Must go 2-1 or money will be refunded

#201 New England PK 1:00PM EST

#203 San Francisco +9.5 1:00PM EST

#214 Atlanta -1 1:00PM EST

[Mr. IWS]

Here's WUNDERDOG
Game: Houston at Cleveland (Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Houston +3 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 50.5 -110

The playoff chase for these teams has become a long shot at best. Each have had disappointing seasons to date, and will be fighting for a win here to keep some hope alive. Houston has struggled to be the same offense from last year. They produced 30+ points four times last season, but just once this season. While the offense has been productive at home, where they average 26.3 ppg, they have managed to be an ordinary offensive team on the road, where they are scoring just 20.8 ppg. It has always been a problem for this team, as they have now managed just 18.6 ppg on the road in their last 12. This is the reason the Browns are laying a field goal in this game. But, do the Browns really deserve to be favored? They won a nailbiter vs. Buffalo on Monday Night but despite a 4-0 turnover advantage, they nearly lost the game. This team seems to find ways to lose this year (a total reverse from last year). The Browns are 1-4 at home and have the kind of defense that will allow Sage Rosenfels to get comfortable. I like the points in a game that can easily go either way. I also like the UNDER in this one. The Browns have produced high scoring games of late, but the numbers may be a bit misleading. It took late game flourishes in their last two to produce high finals as 27 and 28 points were scored in the 4th quarter. These teams played in Cleveland last year to a similar total over 50, and played to a 44-point finish. I look for a similar game here. I'll back the Texans and the UNDER here.

Game: New England at Miami (Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Miami -1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

How things have changed in the AFC East. Last year Miami was 1-15 and New England was 16-0. This season, the teams are tied at 6-4 and Miami is going for the season sweep. New England was a 12-point favorite in the first game and lost 38-13. Now Miami is favored and I like their chances. Throw out the prior stats and perceptions. Right now Miami is at least as good as New England. And, at home, they have a big advantage. Bill Belichick has a tough task in this one - how much should he prepare for the Wildcat offense? In their first meeting, he had no answer for it, leading to Miami's convincing win. He'll be more prepared here, but that means less prep time for Miami's standard offense. The Pats are still smarting on defense as Adalius Thomas Rodney Harrison are out and Ty Warren, Eric Alexander, Terrence Wheatley and Lewis Sanders are all day-to-day. This is the biggest game in Dolphin Stadium in years. I expect the atmosphere to be electric and for the Dolphins to make a statement.

Game: New York Giants at Arizona (Sunday 11/23 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 48 -110

Everyone is waiting for the Giants to expose a weakness, but none has yet appeared. They grind down defenses with a punishing 3-headed running game and when needed, Eli Manning makes a play. The defense has allowed 14 points or less in six of their ten games, having recorded 31 sacks already. Arizona has not seen too many top defenses. The Cards pour it on vs. weak defenses, but against very good ones, it's a different story. In the games vs. the top two they have played (Washington #4 and Carolina #8), Arizona scored the fewest points of the season (23 and 17). The Giants defense is better than both Washington and Carolina. While the offense gets all the press, the defense is underated in that it ranks 11th overall. The Giants are going to run as much as possible to extend drives, and keep the high-powered Zona offense off the field.The Giants are one of the top teams in time of possession, as they play defense for just an average of 26:52 a game. The Cards will not be running up and down the field here vs. the Giants, and their drives will take time. New York is 11-1 UNDER in their last twelve road games played to a total over 45. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

Game: San Francisco at Dallas (Sunday 11/23 1:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco +10 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Tony Romo is back and so are the Cowboys. Or so the story goes. When Romo went down, Dallas lost two of three, scoring 14 ppg in the process. Upon his return they won. But, the Cowboys continued to struggle offensively, scoring 14 again. The fact remains that after their 5-1 start in which they averaged 29.4 ppg, the Cowboys have averaged just 15.8 per game while allowing 23.6. It's not yet clear to me that Dallas is out of the woods, even with Romo back. Without Felix Jones who is done for the season, and with TO completely stalled, this Dallas offense has looked more mediocre than great. The Boys are just 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. San Francisco's offense has produced more points per game on the season than Dallas. They should be able to score against this Cowboys defense - at least enough to keep this game close. This is just too many points to lay for a team with this many question marks.

Game: Oakland at Denver (Sunday 11/23 4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Oakland +9 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Denver is laying near double-digits? Hmmmm. Denver is 6-4 but this is not a 6-4 team. They were handed a win by Ed Hoculi in September and recorded close wins vs. New Orleans, Tampa Bay and Cleveland - all three of which could have easily been losses. They have given up 30+ points four times already and on the season and have scored fewer points (248) than they have allowed (271). I'm not saying Denver is a horrible team. They are simply a .500 team that has gotten a bit lucky, and laying this many points in a division game is out of whack. Their upset win vs. Atlanta last week sets this game up nicely as it gives Broncos-backers reason to believe. And, no one wants to be on Oakland right now. The Raiders certainly have their issues, but they have usually played Denver close, even at Mile High, even when the talent difference is bigger than it is this year. In the earlier meeting, Denver won in a blowout which means the Broncos could be a little overconfident and Oakland will be motivated to atone. While they lost, I was impressed by Oakland's showing vs. Miami last week. I think their offense will have success against this porous Denver defense. Denver has lost 67% of their home games ATS the past decade vs. losing teams and dating back to last year, they are 3-12 ATS as a favorite. I like Oakland to keep this close.

Game: Washington at Seattle (Sunday 11/23 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Seattle +3.5 (-115) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

What has happened to the Skins? They opened the season looking great, winning four of their first five with the only loss coming to the Giants. Since then they have gone just 2-3 however with wins coming over Cleveland and Detroit. In their last five games they have averaged just 14.4 points per game. Last week, despite Clinton Portis playing, they managed just 10 points against a weak Dallas defense. I was on Seattle last week, assuming with Hasselbeck, Branch and Engram back, the Seattle offense would again be clicking. That prediction was at least a week too early but this could be the week for the Seahawks. I do expect the offense to perform better here. The Skins are just 2-10 ATS the past three seasons vs. losing teams. In their last 15 games as a road favorite of a field goal or more, they are just 3-12 ATS. I just don't think a team that is struggling offensively as much as Washington should be favored on the road and I'll back the home dog here.

Game: Carolina at Atlanta (Sunday 11/23 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Atlanta -1 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Atlanta dropped a tough game at home vs. Denver last week. One thing this team has been able to do is shake off a loss and come storming back the next week. The Falcons are 3-0 SU and ATS after a loss with a margin of winning of 17 ppg. I expect the Falcons to bring it here, especially given that this game is a huge measuring stick against the 8-2 Panthers. Yes, the Panthers are 8-2, but they have not beaten anyone of significance on the road all season. In their last game against Oakland on the road they were lucky to come away with a win, as they turned the ball over continuously. Atlanta is not Oakland and a similar performance will get the Panthers blown out of the building. Carolina scored just 30 points in their last three road games at Minnesota, Oakland and Tampa Bay. The three-game offensive output is not pretty as the Panthers totalled 705 yards, or just 235 yards per game. The Carolina defense has been stiff, but allows nearly 4 yards per carry on the ground. The Falcons should be able to move the chains, as their running game at home has been unstoppable, producing 160.4 ypg. This is a statement game for the Falcons, and the Panthers have shown vulnerability on the road. I'll grab the Falcons to get it done here.

Game: Indianapolis at San Diego (Sunday 11/23 8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 49.5 -110

This total reflects reputation and perception more than current reality. When you think of Indianapolis and San Diego, you think of offense. The Colts offense has been a machine over the last five years. They have not finished lower than 5th best in each of the past five years. The Chargers, after three straight years with a top 10 offense, slipped out last year. But this year is different! This year the Colts are in the bottom half of the league and the Chargers are ranked 14th in total offense. Totals in this range in the NFL are reserved for top offenses, not the perception of top offenses. The Chargers have had their moments but five of their last six games have gone UNDER. They have managed to score 20 or less in four of them, and just 15 ppg in their last two. The defense has also allowed only 15 ppg in the last two as well. The Colts have scored 24 or less in seven of their ten games. Last year they scored 24 or more in 10 games, a mark they can't achieve this year even with six games remaining. This total is way too high, and isn't based on what these teams are doing this year. I'll back the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFL GREY CUP PICK!

Pick # 1Montreal Alouettes (-2.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

30000 Unit Lock #30

Denver Broncos -8.5

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

New England +1.5 @ Miami: New England +1.5 (15 unit play)

NY Jets @ Tennessee Over/Under 40.5: Over 40.5 (15 unit play)

Tampa Bay @ Detroit +7.5: Detroit +7.5 (5 unit play)

Houston @ Cleveland Over/Under 50.5: Under 50.5 (Free play)

Depaul @ UIC -3.5: UIC -3.5 (10 unit play)

Washington Wizards @ NY Knicks Over/Under 206: Under 206 (15 unit play)

Bob Balfe
Sunday NFL Comp Play (18-7 YTD!)
Buffalo -3 over Kansas City
On paper the Bills matchup unbelievable on offense against this KC defense. The offensive line has a huge size advantage which should help the Bills run the ball and pass the ball with ease today. This game is too important for Buffalo to lose. The Chiefs are a better team at home, but I do not think they can keep up scoring today. This should be a pretty entertaining game with more points then people think. Look for Buffalo to get a big win on the road. Take the Bills.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

UC Davis -1

[Mr. IWS]

PHIL STEEL PERSONAL PLAYS 4 STARS ON WASH-3 MINUS 115 AND NEW ENG-1,3 STAR TENN-5- !!

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

San Diego/ 20* goy
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[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
3-* NEng-1
3* Cleve over 50
3* Wash-3 -115

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS

20* Lions
10* Eagles
10* Seahawks
10* Chargers

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso Clubs and Parlay

10 Chiefs +3
4 Cards +3
3 Eagles/Ravens UNDER 39
25 each on parlay of Balt,Carolina, and Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

20* ATL

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole Sports!:
Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars
Must turn a profit or no charge

1:00pm ET / NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

With 4 straight wins by the Dolphins, there’s playoff fever down here in South Florida these days. This big divisional battle with the Patriots now has post-seasons implications. There’s also a rare scheduling situation as Miami hosts their 3rd straight home game. Each of the last 2 (vs Oakland + Seattle) went Under the Total.
12-2 O/U L8Y for all NFL teams playing their THIRD straight home game... when the first 2 games went UNDER the Total. Favorites of 21 < pts have gone a PERFECT 8-0 O/U.

The Dolphins are actually on a current 0-4 O/U run in their last 4 games. The database tells me it’s time to go the other way.
16-4 O/U L10Y for Game 9 > favs of 4 < points playing off 4+ Unders in a row... and 6-0 O/U L8Y when the OU Line is 38 > points.

Despite winning their last 4 games, Miami has lost the ‘cash’ in their last 2. That rare role give us more OU ammo: 8-1 O/U L10 Y for all NOVEMBER teams off BB SU wins but BB ATS losses.

New England comes into town off the Thursday night SU home favorite loss to the New York Jets (34-31). That result has them active in 3 HIGH-scoring Systems. 10-1 O/U s’2002 as road dogs off a SUATS home THURSDAY loss.. and 5-0 O/U L3Y. Now let’s create a set based on their favorite role last week.

This System has been virtually DEAD-on so far this year: 10-2 O/U for ALL teams off a SU home fav DIVISION loss. Our final query looks at last week’s divisional opponent: 10-2 O/U last 2 years for all NFL teams off a SU loss to the NEW YORK JETS.... and 7-1 O/U as underdogs.


1:00PM ET / TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ DETROIT LIONS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

The winless Lions dropped another one last week, with the 31-22 loss to the Panthers. There has been very strong OVER tendencies for teams who have yet to win a game this late in the year.
4-0 O/U since 2001 for all Game 10 > WINLESS home teams.... and 6-1 O/U for all winless home DOGS of 3 > pts L10Y.

Detroit allowed a whopping 264 rushing yards in that road loss.
6-1 O/U L4Y for ALL home dogs off a SU road loss in which they allowed 250+ rushing yards. There’s been ONE qualifier in this System so far this season (DETROIT Game 3 vs the Packers.) Result? Game went OVER by 28 points.

As this is a non-division DOME game, let’s head to the Indoor System that I created in the database: 28-7 O/U L3Y for all Game 9 > ‘DOME HOMERS’.... 16-3 O/U vs NON-division opponents.... and 8-1 O/ U as pure home DOGS.

The Lions have gone OVER the Total in each of their last 3 games. ‘DOME HOMERS’ off 3+ Overs are 8-1-1 O/U L2Y... and 3-0-1 O/U this season.

Despite their home Florida location, the Buccaneers are also very comfortable in the controlled environments. The Bucs went 4-1 in DOMES last year... are 1-0 O/U this year... and 6-1 O/U as dome FAVORITES in the last 7 years.

With a solid 7-3 SU record, Tampa will be laying a bunch of points on the road this week.13-3 O/U L7Y for all Game 9 > .700 or greater road favs vs a < .250 opponent... and 11-1 O/U when the OU line is > 38 points.

Big road favs have been PERFECT so far this year.3-0 O/U for all non-div BIG road favs of 8 > pts off a SU win....


1:00pm ET / CHICAGO BEARS @ ST LOUIS RAMS
3*** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL

This one qualifies in the EXACT same System as our above play: As this is a non-division DOME game, let’s head to the Indoor System that I created in the database:
28-7 O/U L3Y for all Game 9 > ‘DOME HOMERS’.... 16-3 O/U vs NON-division opponents.... and 8-1 O/ U as pure home DOGS.

Both teams come in off MULTIPLE losses in a row. That's a good sign for a high-scoring game... in the right conditions.
10-2 O/U last 5 years for all NFC favorites playing off BB SU losses (Bears) vs an opponent off 3 or more SU losses in a row (Rams).... this has gone 8-1 O/U in the last 3 seasons... and is ALREADY a PERFECT 2-0 O/U so far this season.

If we focus on the 2nd HALF of the season, big DOGS off multiple losses are a very strong OVER play.
7-0 O/U Last 3 years for all NFC Conference big dogs of 7+ points playing off BB SU losses (Rams) vs a fellow NFC Conference opponent (Bears).

The Bears got their asses handed to them last week vs the Green Bay Packers... losing by a whopping final score of 37-3 on the division road. Another EXTREMELY good indicator of high-scoring potential.
15-1 O/U in the last 4 years for ALL NFL teams playing off a road loss of 34 or more points (Bears).... and a PERFECT 10-0 O/U when also taking on an opponent off a SU loss (Rams).

We've got a matchup of a NFC North teams versus a NFC West team. When these tow division hook up, the results historically favor an OVER.
10-2 O/U last 3 years for all NFL regular season games between the NFC NORTH and the NFC WEST.... and 8-1 O/U when the OU line is 40 or more points.
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[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe


NFL Football
Buffalo -3 over Kansas City
On paper the Bills matchup unbelievable on offense against this KC defense. The offensive line has a huge size advantage which should help the Bills run the ball and pass the ball with ease today. This game is too important for Buffalo to lose. The Chiefs are a better team at home, but I do not think they can keep up scoring today. This should be a pretty entertaining game with more points then people think. Look for Buffalo to get a big win on the road. Take the Bills.

Dolphins +1 over Patriots
The Dolphins went into Foxboro early this season and not only beat the Patriots, but crushed them. Matt Cassell has played great for New England, but he just isn't going to cut it. The Dolphins have been a bad football team for a few years and a win today would really help this team turn the corner and get back to a dominate threat in the AFC East. Take Miami.

Chargers +2.5 over Colts
Payton Manning is probably still the best QB in the NFL, but he has not been lights out this year at all. The Chargers had some early season struggles and their playoff dreams will be over with a loss tonight. San Diego really put a hurting on the Colts last year with Sproles in the kick return game. I look for this to be the X-Factor tonight. This is a huge Sunday Night Game and at home I give the edge to the Chargers.

College Football
No plays today.

NBA Basketball
TWolves +10.5 over Pistons

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Malinsky

Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs
PICK: 4* Over 42

We were not sure that we would ever be using the following phrase this season – “The Kansas City offense is providing a major headache for their opponent this week”, but we indeed have that here. And on a warm afternoon in the Midwest, it means that the points come easily in this one.

As each week goes by with Tyler Thigpen as the starting QB we are seeing the Chiefs get more comfortable in their new offensive designs. Thigpen’s mobility enables them to spread the field and get a lot of receivers out into coverage, and he is doing a solid job of finding them – over the last four games the offense has averaged 22.5 points, and Thigpen completed 85-140 passes for 945 yards in that span, with a sparkling ratio of eight touchdown passes vs. only one interception. And with Larry Johnson having had some game contact to get his timing back, there will also be a run balance that has been lacking for much of the stretch.

That style of play creates major headaches for the Bills. Not only do they have to travel off of a short practice week, hich makes adjusting to these new looks difficult enough, but they will be missing starters Donte Whitner and Jabari Greer in the secondary, and possibly Bryan Scott, Whitner’s back-up, as well. For a team that has struggled all season to get a pass rush (only 15 sacks in 333 opposing pass plays), that disheveled secondary is going to be hard-pressed throughout the game, especially since Tony Gonzalez and Dwayne Bowe, who each have 55 receptions already, can beat just about anyone man-to-man that Dick Jauron has at his disposal.

Jauron’s team can still win here, however, because they can score on their own. The Kansas City defense continues to shuffle lineups each week, and lacks both talent and chemistry. The Chiefs are simply without a strength, lacking the ability to stop the run (1,654 yards and 16 rushing TD’s at 5.1 per carry); rush the passer (six sacks in 316 pass plays); or cover receivers (65.8 percent completions and 7.77 yards allowed per pass). It is the ideal unit for Trent Edwards to get his confidence back, which turns this into a game dominated by the offenses.
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[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO SUNDAY'S PICK 25 DIME PLAY

MINNESOTA

This price is between 2 1/2 and 3.

If you have +3, I suggest you buy up the 1/2 point to make Minnesota a 3 1/2 point underdog so you get the win should Jacksonville prevail by only a field goal.

If you have Minnesota +2 1/2, either shop around for 3 or buy up the 1/2 point to +3 so you get a push even if Jackonsville wins by a field goal.

Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
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[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman
4* San Diego

4* Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

NSA


20* Tennessee -5
10* New England +1
10* Tampa Bay @ Detroit OVER 41.5
10* Baltimore -1
10* Minnesota @ Jacksonville OVER 40.5
10* Seattle +3.5[/quote]

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Canadian Lock Grey Cup

5 units Calgary +2

[Mr. IWS]

Iron Horse 10* NON CONFERENCE GOY is Jax.
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[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
5 Cowboys -9
5 Jets +5.5
4 Dolphins pk
4 Redskins -3
4 (Hoops)uconn -4

ATS Financial Package
4 Chargers -2.5
4 Over 47.5 Giants/Cards
3 (Hoops) U Cal. Davis Pk

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

NBA - 707 Atlanta Hawks @ 708 Cleveland Cavaliers

The Cavs lost at Detroit last Wednesday, ending in that way their 8 games winning streak and naturally they will try to bounce back at home. I remember they are 6-0 at home this season and it’s important to find out how they react after losing a game.

This scenario has happened twice this season and the Cavs allowed 79 points (33.8% FG) against the Bobcats after losing at Boston and they also just allowed 81 points (40.8% FG) to the Mavericks, after losing at New Orleans, so we can say the Cavs played strong defense after a loss and I expect this to happen once again today. A strong trend tell us that Mike Brown is 23-3 Under off a loss against a divisional rival.

Meanwhile, the Hawks played yesterday against the Bobcats and won by 88-83, in an unexpected ballgame. This team without Josh Smith and Al Horford limited has been struggling on the offense and against a good defensive team like the Cavs, this can be a problem for them. Yesterday, the Hawks committed a season high of 21 turnovers and they were outscored by 38-22 in the paint, however their defense helped them to win and after 4 losses in a row, the Hawks have won their last two games thanks to their defense:

“I thought our defense hung in there when we had the big stops in the last minute or two minutes of the ball game,” Hawks coach Mike Woodson said. “They didn’t really get anything at the rim. It was a total team effort.”

I expect a good answer tonight, as they have already figured out that they need to get some defensive stops, in order to be competitive. With the Cavs defense bouncing back today, the offense of the Hawks will struggle, as also this will be their 4th game in 5 days (second back to back game in a row) and this team won’t score any easy points today. We have a line of 198 points in this game and I expect it to be a low scoring game. Take the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on 707/708 Under 198 @1.95 on 5Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

marc lawrence's PLAYBOOK




5* BEST BET
New England over MIAMI by 14


4* BEST BET
NEW ORLEANS over Green Bay by 13


3* BEST BET
Indianapolis over SAN DIEGO by 10


TOTALS

3* BEST BET Cardinals OVER

4* BEST BET Rams OVER

5* BEST BET Chiefs UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

marc lawrence's PLAYBOOK




5* BEST BET
New England over MIAMI by 14


4* BEST BET
NEW ORLEANS over Green Bay by 13


3* BEST BET
Indianapolis over SAN DIEGO by 10


TOTALS

3* BEST BET Cardinals OVER

4* BEST BET Rams OVER

5* BEST BET Chiefs UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass:

100* Houston

[Mr. IWS]

tom stryker
ne over

[Mr. IWS]

SPECIAL K SPORTS
Patriots, Falcons

[Mr. IWS]

IC

Missouri +2.5 (12:30pm) - A free college basketball selection was requested so I am just giving away my premium in college ball today for free. gl.

This is a premium selection. The backend won't allow me to put it in as it is only a little while before tip-off, but this is a go for any clients that see this. Missouri is a very good team folks as they are 3-1 and their only loss this year is to Xavier by a few points. USC is a good team but they rely heavily on a crop of young players, Daniel Hackett and Taj. This is a game as crazy as it sounds, Missouri can and should win outright given their matchup strengths. Mizzou's guards are very physical and they have an edge down low as well. Frankly, I think the experience of Missouri will help out greatly today and there is a reason for this low line in the Sunday afternoon basketball as I think Mizzou has a great shot at winning this baby outright. Remember, this team nearly beat Chattanooga by 30, the same team that gave Memphis a hard time early. Southern Cal is 0-4 ATS following an ATS win which shows that Vegas keeps a close eye on their success. I'm rolling with the Tigers today for a shocker and a public burial.

Selection 1: NBA

Toronto 1st Half over Celtics

This is the kind of nonsense that makes me so mad. It is 9:15am this morning and still no line on this Boston vs. Toronto game which goes off at 12:30pm. Either way, no lean for me as I don't want to go against either team. I do want to point out something you might not know and that is that Toronto is 6-6 folks this season. They are just .500 and one has to think they have to make a move at some point this season but then again, a .500 in the Eastern Conference puts you in the thick of the 5-7 spot in the playoff picture. Boston beat this team by 7 at home earlier this year in a game Toronto played well in and the Raptors just come off an OT loss to the Nets at home. I lean on the Raptors first half here to jump off fast from the revenge angle and the fact they typically do well off a loss anyway. I am staying away from a full game play as I would bet the Celtics make a run at it in the second half - remember the C's did lose to Indiana on the road this year.

[Mr. IWS]

Joyce Sterling.........

Dallas -10
Tony Romo is back and Cowboys are back on track. A 14-10 victory last week.
SFO hasn't won on the road since an overtime win 9/14.
SFO lost in the stats last week but did get the win.
Before last week SFO lost 6 in a row being outscored 193-118
SFO is 0-8 ATS as a dog of 7 or more off a double digit straight up win.

Miami -1
The Dolphins have won six of their last eight and 4 straight.
The first time the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots met this season, a stunning blowout in Foxborough ended the Patriots' 21-game regular-season winning streak and gave the Dolphins their first road win in nearly two years.

In the rematch, the circumstances will be shockingly different: Miami would have the inside track to the playoffs with a win, while New England's chances of a sixth straight postseason berth could be critically wounded with a loss.
NE is riddled with injuries.Things will be toughe with Dolphin Stadium buzzing for its biggest game in at least a few seasons.

10 STAR Game of the Week
We cashed last week with Cincinnati let's do it again.
Oakland +9.5
There was encouragement last week with the team's effort against the Dolphins.
It was the Raiders' first single-digit loss since their last victory, a 16-13 win over the New York Jets on Oct. 19, and they held their opponent to 17 points for the second straight week.
This is the week Oakland plays their best ball.
They match up well vs the Denver undersized banged up defense.
Denvers' key injuries force a one dimensional passing team.
Raiders strength is their passing defense.
Raiders 11-1 ATS game 11 of the season. They hang in close.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

20* Jets/Ten Under
20* teaser NE +5/over 36
20* KC
50* NYG
50* Indy
100* Balt

[Mr. IWS]

Brando Inner Circle

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Records Grid:
NFL Regular Season 9-5 for +260.00 Units (Special 150 Units 9-5, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NCAA Regular Season 9-8 for +15.00 Units (Special 150 Units 9-8, Top 100 Units 0-0)
NFL/NCAA Special Teaser Releases 1-0 for +150.00 Units (150 Unit Game of the Year Teaser Iso's 1-0)

Dominic Brando's Inner Circle Sunday NFL Week 12 Executive Report:

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's 2008 AFC Conference Game of the Year)
#200 TENNESSEE TITANS -5/-115 over New York Jets (1:05 PM ET)

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's AFC East Divisional Game of the Year)
#201 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PICK/-115 over Miami Dolphins (1:05 PM ET)

NFL 150 Unit Executive Max Out (Dominic Brando's NFL November Underdog Game of the Month)
#203 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS +10/-115 over Dallas Cowboys (1:05 PM ET)

Dominic Brando Sports
Capper details

[Mr. IWS]

Brando High Volume. No Teaser going today, he won 3 yesterday to close it out

Dominic Brando Sports High Volume Program 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 10-1-0 for +930.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 9-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 76-61-5/+430.00 Units (Special 150 Units 9-8, Top 100 Units 62-53-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 17-20/+98.75 Units (Top 100 Units 2-0, Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 44-32-0 for +540.00 Units (Special 150 Units 9-5, Top 100 Units 35-27)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Final Dominic Brando Sports Sunday NFL Week 12 High Volume Report:
NFL Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #200 TENNESSEE TITANS -5/-115 over New York Jets
NFL Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #201 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS PICK/-115 over Miami Dolphins
NFL Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #203 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS +10/-115 over Dallas Cowboys
NFL Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #215 OAKLAND RAIDERS +10/-120 over Denver Broncos
NFL Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #219 NEW YORK GIANTS -2/-125 over Arizona Cardinals
NFL Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #203 SAN FRANCISCO/DALLAS UNDER 46/-115
NFL Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #217 WASHINGTON REDSKINS -2/-130 over Seattle Seahawks
NFL Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #219 NY GIANTS/ARIZONA OVER 48/-115

Dominic Brando Sports
Capper details

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Philadelphia +2 -110

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners:

5* KC
3* NYJ
2* Ariz

[Mr. IWS]

Jake Timlin

300? Denver Broncos

Denver over the years has never passed up the opportunity to blast the Raiders and they won’t hold back today. Now when Coach Shanahan is being fueled by recent commits from Al Davis saying Denver cheated ten years ago. But really thanks to the Broncos 41-14 thrashing of the Raiders in Oakland to open the season Denver is one easy call today at home. Especailly, given the Broncos recent offensive explosion that will be no match for the Raiders offense that is averaging less the 13 ppg in 10 games this season. So in what will be one of the bigger blowouts of the day take Denver minus the points.

100? New York Giants

Being the road warriors they are the Giants will be more then ready for the Cardinals today. I mean given the fact that New York is 9-1 SU on the season and needing every win right now to keep the top spot in the NFC I don’t see the Giants losing. Especially today on the road where New York has shined the brightest going 16-3 ATS in their last 19 away from the Meadowlands, including an even better mark of 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road chalk. Meanwhile, for Arizona while they have solid numbers at home this season today will be their toughest test on the season and one they will fail as the Giants defense will rise to the occasion. Flat out New York is not stranger in winning on the road and they won’t be today. Take New York minus the road points.

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Trophy Club
All Reg. Plays- Browns,eagles,cards

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
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WISEGUY PLAYS......

1:00 EDT
NEW ENGLAND -1 @ Miami

8:00 EDT
NCAAF
UCONN+3 @ S.Fla
.................................................. ............
CSC NFC NORTH play of the week
1:00 EDT
MINNESOTA +2.5 @ Jax

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line
Great Lakes Sports 3* Timberwolves

[Mr. IWS]

Redzone late phone play take Portland Pilots CBB