11-24-08

Brandon Lang
Monday Night ... 20 Dime Packers
10 Dime Teaser Packers/Over

FREE - Packers/Saints Over

Big Al

MNF GOM..........Saints

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness Monday


Larry's Monday Nite Mismatch:6-1 FB weekend

Larry's coming off a 10-3 Saturday and Sunday with all his releases, including 6-1 (85.7 percent) with his CFB and NFL plays. He's won 63.6 percent of his Monday night plays in '08 and while the pointspread indicates this should be a close game, Larry says "that won't be the case!" Don't miss his Monday Night Mismatch!

15* New Orleans



Larry's Oddsmaker's Error: 4-0 start in BKB

Larry doesn't often use the term Oddsmaker's Error when referring to his BKB plays, but he's been "right on the money" TY when he has. He's released just one in this year's NBA (Sac minus-3 beat Gold St, 115-98!) and added three more winners in the early going of CBB, for a 4-0 mark. Can you say 5-0 after tonight? Your move!

Alabama



Larry's Las Vegas Insider (6-1-1 CBB run)

Larry and his "unmatched" contacts were very successful over the weekend, winning in CFB (Ga Tech), the NFL (win on Dallas makes Larry 9-2 with NFL Insiders TY!) and CBB (U Conn 76-63 on Sun). This combo has been providing winning selections for years on the net, proving it "pays to be on the inside." Want in tonight in CBB?

Kansas Jayhawks


Larry's Tourney Game of the Month (1st 9*)

Larry's been 'on fire' in CBB, going 6-1-1 the L4 days. It's a "Big Monday" in tonight's CBB, as he features three plays, topped by his Tourney Game of the Month. Larry won his Western Conf G.O.M in Friday's NBA with the Mavs, so be sure "not to miss" his Tourney Game of the Month tonight, the 1st 9* he's released TY in BKB.

UCONN 20*

[Mr. IWS]

Ten Dimes Play - Guaranteed Winner
Ten Dimes Monday Night Football Game of the Month
Want to pound the bookmaker? It's easy. Bet 10 Dimes. Collect 10 Dimes. This is Big Al's 10 Dimes Monday Night Football Game of the Month!! WIN BIG with Big Al!!! There's nothing left to say!!

Click here to buy! ($500.00)

N.O. SAINTS

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
MONDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH.....

I'm playing on NEW ORLEANS. This is a huge game for both teams, so there should be no shortage of motivation on either side. That being said, playing at home, should give the Saints a significant advantage. Not including their victory over the Chargers at London, when they were designated the home team, the Saints have won three of their four home games this season. The three victories all came by a minimum of four points and they came by a combined score of 89- 40. The Saints could have easily avoided the lone loss, too. You may remember that game, as it came on a Monday night vs. the Vikings. New Orleans outgained Minnesota by more than a 100 yards on offense but committed four turnovers, dropped several passes and was called for 11 penalties for a total of 102 yards. Minnesota won by a field goal. In other words, the Saints could easily be perfect here for the season. Overall, they've outgained opponents here by an average of 430-290 yards per game. Naturally, they'd like nothing better than to atone for their previous loss under the Monday Night lights. While New Orleans has won three of four at home, the Packers have lost three of five away from Lambeau, including losses in each of their last two road games. With tonight's over/under line in the low 50s, its worth noting that the Packers are just 6-11-2 ATS the last 19 times that they played a game with a total of 49.5 or greater, including 0-3 SU/ATS the last three. Look for the Saints to continue their strong play at home, earning a crucial victory to avoid falling further behind in the highly competitive NFC South. *MNF GOM

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
MAIN EVENT

I'm playing on the Packers and Saints to finish UNDER the total. With Bush being downgraded from questionable to doubtful, the number has come down slightly from its opener. Its still extremely generous though and taking Bush (gametime decision) off special teams (or having him play at less than 100%) is probably worth a point or two, particularly if you can remember the Saints' last game under the Monday night lights. That was against Minnesota back in Week 5 and Bush single-handedly caused the game to finish above the total by having a remarkable night (two punt returns for TD's!) returning kicks. Even if he plays, its pretty unlikely that we'll see a repeat performance from the former USC star. The reason for the big number is that most are expecting another Monday night shootout. The Saints have had a great offense and a poor offense the last few years and most believe that to still be the case. That's not entirely true though, at least not when the Saints play here at the Superdome. While the Saints offense admittedly remains strong, in their four games here, they've allowed an average of only 17.5 points and 290 total yards per game. Considering that the overall league average is 22.4 points and 326.4 yards against, the Saints' home defensive stats are very strong. In their last game here, they allowed a mere three points. They allowed 17, 20 and 30 in their other three games. However, they gave up the 30 in the previously mentioned game vs. Minnesota and the Vikings actually had trouble moving the ball (270 total yards and 5 of 15 on 3rd down) but were handed their points when New Orleans kept turning the ball over. The Saints last game came on the road and they were solid defensively in that one, too, limiting KC to 20 points. That doesn't sound particularly impressive until mentioning that the Chiefs have averaged better than 25 ppg in their last four games, not incl. the one vs. New Orleans. I believe that the Packers' defense is also somewhat underrated. The Packers enter tonight's game having allowed a respectable 20.9 points per game on the season. That only tells half the story though, as they've been at their best on that side of the ball recently. Last time out, the Packers held the Bears to three points and that marked the fourth time in five games that they have held their opponent to less than 20 points. Seven of the Packers' last eight games have finished with 51 combined points or less (the other had 55) and I look for tonight's game to do the same. *Main Event

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
PERSONAL FAVORITE

I'm laying the points with NEW MEXICO.

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL
PERSONAL FAVORITE

I'm laying the points with NEW MEXICO. After suffering a disappointing loss last time out, I expect the Lobos to be anxious to wipe the floor with the Matadors tonight. Keep in mind that New Mexico has always enjoyed a very strong homecourt advantage and that the Lobos had previously won 33 straight non-conference home games. Saturday's result notwithstanding, the Lobos are still 15-2 SU (9-3-1 ATS in lined games) their last 17 November games. They're also a profitable 11-2 ATS (now 12-1 SU) the last 13 times that they were listed as home favorites of greater than 12.5 points. In this season's two previous games here, they won by a combined 89 points. Granted, neither opponent was very good. However, the Matadors aren't exactly a powerhouse either. They're 1-4 ATS the last five times they were road underdogs of greater than 12.5 points and they're also in the middle of a six-game road trip. The Lobos, 13-5 ATS their last 18 lined games against teams with a losing record, have beaten up on these type of teams for years. With a whopping six players averaging double-digits in scoring in their lineup, I look for them to do so again tonight. *Personal Favorite

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
NBA BLUE CHIP BLOWOUT

I'm playing on Portland and Sacramento to finish UNDER the total. These teams faced each other a few nights ago and the total closed in the 190s. That game finished with 213 combined points and that high score has helped to give us additional value, as the line has already climbed above the 202 mark. Note that the Kings have played two road games with an over/under line in the 200 to 204.5 range. Both those games fell below the number. Portland hasn't played any home games with totals in that range this year, However, if we look back we find the UNDER at a healthy 9-3 the last 12 times that they played a home game with a total in that range. Friday's game was at Arco Arena. Tonight's game is at Portland and the Blazers have played much better defense here. While they're allowing 98 on the road, they're limiting opponents to just 91 here at home. In their last game here, the Blazers held the Bulls to a mere 74 total points. That game stayed beneath the number which brought the UNDER to 5-0 the last five times that the Blazers were laying points at home. Even with Friday's game finishing above the number, the UNDER is still 5-2 the last seven meetings in the series with six of those games producing 200 combined points or less. Look for tonight's game to prove lower-scoring than expected once again. *Blue Chip

[Mr. IWS]

Root tonite...

Chairman- Saints
Millionaire- Alabama
Money Maker- Washington

[Mr. IWS]

Dr Bob

4 Star Selection
SAN FRANCISCO (-1 ½) over UC Santa Barbara
24-Nov-08 07:00 PM Pacific Time
San Francisco had a miserable 2007-2008 season, as they suffered through a coaching change and spent the last half of the season playing a style under veteran coach Eddie Sutton that didn’t suit their talents. USF has some talent, as F Dior Lowhorn is a likely NBA player and G Manny Quezada is an all-around talent that can score (13.9 ppg last year) and pass the ball (4.6 assists). New coach Rex Walters has added some talented pieces to fill out the rotation and sharp shooting transfer Blake Wallace gives the Dons another outside threat (41% 3-pointers) to make teams pay for doubling Lowhorn in the paint. Freshman G Kwame Vaughn is averaging 10.8 points on 54% shooting and pointguard Dontae Bryant is an unselfish compliment to all the scorers. USF looks like an underrated team thanks to the coaching change and the impact of their new players. UCSB, meanwhile, lost 20 point scorer Alex Harris to graduation along with top rebounder Ivan Elliott (who also made 56% of his shots) and the biggest problem may be a slow healing injury suffered by pointguard Justin Joyner, whose ability to break down a defense helped the Gauchos half court offense immensely. Joyner will redshirt this season and the Gauchos appear to be a middle of the pack Big West team without their 3 most important players from last season’s team. My ratings favor USF by 4 ½ points in this game and using this year’s games only would result in a prediction of USF by 7 points. In addition to the line value the Dons apply to a very good 92-26-1 ATS early season indicator that won for me yesterday with Portland. I’ll take USF in a 4-Star Best Bet at -2 points or less, for 3-Stars from -2 ½ to -4 points and for 2-Stars at -4 ½ or -5 points.
4-Stars at -2 or less, 3-Stars from -2 1/2 to -4 and 2-Stars at -4 1/2 or -5.