11-25-08

Las Vegas Sport Picks

Football: (4-3 last 2 days)
2* Ball St/WMU over 53

NHL: (1-0 yesterday)
1* Predators -1.5 +180
1* Flames -1.5 +170
2* Atl/Leafs over 6 -110

Basketball: (11-4 last 2 days)
2* Lakers -13
2* OKC/Phx under 199
2* Georgia State -1
2* OKC +10.5
3* PSU -3
3* Cavs/Knicks ove 213
4* St. Louis +10.5

westcoastsportspicks

NBA Basketball
7:00:00 PM Golden State at Washington Golden State -1

8:00:00 PM Phoenix at Oklahoma City Oklahoma City +10.5


NCAA Basketball
7:00:00 PM Mississippi State at St. Bonaventure St. Bonaventure +9.5
7:30:00 PM Penn State at Pennsylvania Penn State -2
8:00:00 PM Ball State at Wisc-Milwaukee Ball State +7 .5
8:00:00 PM Saint Louis at Nebraska Saint Louis +10.5
8:05:00 PM Creighton at Arkansas-Little Rock Arkansas-Little Rock +4.5
8:30:00 PM Georgia State at Troy Georgia State -1

PickLogic’s Pick:

Game: Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards
Sport: National Basketball Association
Date: Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Time: 4:05 PM Pacific time
Selection: OVER the "total" of 210, -110
Wager: 1 unit (Last night was a winner) so its still 1 unit

NBA
Write-up


Tuesday, November 25

Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won nine of their last ten games.
-- Mavericks won last four games, by 10-17-10-15 points.
-- Lakers won four in row, 11 of first 12 games (4-3 as home favorite). Nets won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Warriors lost last two games, covered two of last eight. Wizards fired their coach Monday after starting the season 1-10.
-- Knicks lost three of their last four games.
-- Thunder won their last eleven games (1-6 last seven vs spread). Suns covered two of their last seven games.
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.

Totals
-- Five of last six Warrior games went over the total; five of Wizards' last six games stayed under. .
-- Seven of last nine Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Oklahoma City games went over the total; five of last six Phoenix stayed under. .
-- Last three Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Laker games went over the total.

NHL
Write-up


Tuesday, November 25

Hot teams
-- Predators, Blues both won three of their last four games.
-- Flames won three of their last four home games.

Cold teams
-- Thrashers lost their last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Maple Leafs lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Kings lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Three of last four Nashville games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Atlanta-Toronto games.
-- Six of last nine Calgary games went over the total.

Series Records
-- Predators won five of their last six games against St Louis.
-- Leafs won three in row, eight of last twelve games against Atlanta.
-- Kings lost seven of last eight games against Calgary.

NCAAF

Tuesday, November 25

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W MICHIGAN (9 - 2) at BALL ST (11 - 0) - 11/25/2008, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (6 - 4) at N ILLINOIS (6 - 5) - 11/25/2008, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 54-23 ATS (+28.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 102-72 ATS (+22.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 51-22 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 51-22 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Trend Sheet
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Tuesday, November 25

6:00 PM WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. BALL STATE
Western Michigan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ball State
Western Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ball State
Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ball State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games


7:00 PM NAVY vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Navy is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Navy is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Northern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Northern Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Maddux - Comp

CFB - W. Mich / Ball St. OV 53

Vegas Hotsheet

CFB - Navy +3

Cappersaccess

Ball St.
Navy

November 25 2008
Frank Patron 10000 Unit College Football Lock

Frank Patron

10000 Unit College Football Lock

Navy Midshipmen +3

Cajun-Sports CFB Executive- Tuesday


TUESDAY 11/25/2008

7:00 PM EST - ESPN2

4 STAR SELECTION

BALL STATE -10½ over Western Michigan

Two Mid-American Conference quarterbacks and their teams square off Tuesday night when the Broncos visit the Cardinals. Western Michigan’s Tim Hiller and Ball State's Nate Davis will try to lead their teams to unfamiliar territory — the MAC title game in the West Division showdown.

Hiller has rebounded from a so-so sophomore season to produce 309 yards a game passing with 33 touchdowns while ranking second in the league in passing efficiency. The only man ahead of him is Davis, who averages 273 passing yards with 24 TDs.

The Cardinals have never reached the championship but this has been their dream season, with an unprecedented 11-0 record and the highest national ranking in school history — 15th in the Bowl Championship Series standings.

Nate Davis is a junior, but with the help of running back MiQuale Lewis who has nearly 1500 yards, has made Ball State the MAC's leader in total offense and scoring.

Last week, the Cardinals got over the hump and did something the Broncos could not do earlier this season – win at Central Michigan. In fact, Western Michigan has never won THIS game, the one where there's so much at stake in the MAC standings, during coach Bill Cubit's tenure. It lost 42-7 at Northern Illinois in 2005 with a bowl bid on the line, 31-7 in 2006 at Central Michigan with the league title probably at stake and again to the Chippewas this season, 38-28, in a game that'll likely keep the Broncos from the MAC championship game.

The 2 big differences between these teams should become obvious Tuesday night. First, Ball State has a very balanced attack, which will be needed in what could be a cold, windy, and snowy night, while Western Michigan has relied much more on QB Hiller than its running game. Secondly, the Cardinals defense has been stronger than the Broncos this season.

Western Michigan is simply in over its head here, as they are 0-9 ATS (-8.1 ppg) when not an underdog of 28+ points vs. undefeated teams not off a conference road ATS loss of 5+ points. Only twice have they been a non-Saturday dog of more than 3 points since 2005 and have been demolished in those 2 contests, losing by 30 points on average, while failing to cover the spread by 3 TDs!

Ball State has proven time and again this season that they are up to the task and they are not about to fade here. We will certainly get their best effort and focus here, as we look to play ON a power team in a “must-win” situation to qualify for a conference championship or bowl game under the right conditions.

Ultimately, the most important factor is whether the team sincerely believes they belong in the postseason. Even those teams not usually in the playoffs can be favorably affected by the specter of elimination so long as they truly believe they belong in the playoffs. The Cardinals certainly believe they belong, especially after disposing of the Chippewas last week.

Ball State is now 10-0 SU (+23.1 ppg) & 10-0 ATS (+15.2 ppg) when not favored by 25+ points vs. teams seeking revenge for a SU loss of 4+ points, and 7-0 SU (+19.6 ppg) & 7-0 ATS (+12.4 ppg) this season when not favored by 17+ points.

We also note that undefeated home teams from Game 8 on with less than 6 days rest and not favored by 24+ points are 4-0 SU (+31 ppg) & 4-0 ATS (+19 ppg) since at least 1980, and teams have finished strong at home in highlighted, non-Saturday games when facing a foe on a winning streak. This is confirmed by an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM which states:

In its Last Home Game, play ON a non-Saturday favorite of 1½-15½ points with less than 12 days rest vs. an opponent off 2 SU wins (not both non-Saturday).

Since 1985, these teams are 15-0 SU (+17.9 ppg) & 14-0-1 ATS (+11.4 ppg). Last week’s thumping of Miami, FL by Georgia Tech was the most recent example, and now Ball State qualifies as the next “PLAY ON” team.

Finally, our SportsDataBase research has revealed that late in the season, unbeaten teams have enjoyed the bright lights of non-Saturday games and not overlooked opponents in these highlighted games. This is confirmed by another POWER SYSTEM which states:

From Game 8 on, play ON a non-Saturday undefeated home team (not a favorite of 24+ points) vs. an opponent off a SU win (not an ATS loss of 9+ points).

These perfect teams have remained perfect and covered the spread in every opportunity since at least 1980, going 11-0 SU (+19.7 ppg) & 11-0 ATS (+12.5 ppg).

Last week, Ball State struggled for 3 quarters before coming on strong in the 4th quarter to win at Central Michigan. With a home crowd in a frenzy here, we look for the Cardinals to jump on the Broncos early and demoralize a team that knows its going bowling even with a loss.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: BALL STATE 34 WESTERN MICHIGAN 17



7:00 PM EST - ESPN CLASSIC

3 STAR SELECTION

NORTHERN ILLINOIS -3 over Navy

Tuesday night the 6-4 Midshipman travel to take on the 6-5 Huskies of the Mid-American Conference. Navy is coming off a 27-21 loss to Notre Dame back on November 15 while Northern Illinois beat up on Kent State, 42-14, in the snow last Tuesday.

Midshipmen sophomore Ricky Dobbs gets his first start as a college quarterback in this game. Dobbs has come off the bench in each of the last three games and rallied the Midshipmen. His entrance didn't produce immediate results last week, and it took a silly Temple fumble to get it done the week before. Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo knows Dobbs still has a lot of work to do to become a better player. He also knows Jarod Bryant wasn't at fault for the problems that led to Dobbs coming in again in the loss to Notre Dame a couple of Saturdays ago.

All that said, the first-year head coach has decided to go with the sophomore Dobbs over the senior Bryant when the Midshipmen visit Northern Illinois.

"There's area where (Dobbs) definitely needs to get better," Niumatalolo says. "But I've told him, I've told Jarod, the bottom line is he's moving the team."

The Mids are already set to play in the December 20th EagleBank Bowl at RFK Stadium in Washington. So, while wins are nice, there's no reason for Navy not to look toward the future. Dobbs is a sophomore, while both the injured Kaheaku-Enhada and Bryant, the slotback who has filled in behind center, are seniors and set to move on.


This upcoming game also precedes the December 6th game with Army that ends the regular season, so no doubt Navy is trying to get their young QB more game experience before that annual epic meeting.

On the other side of the field, the Huskies counter with an offense that matches Navy's average of 28 points a game. They split their yardage almost equally between the air and ground, and average 342 yards per contest. Freshman QB Chandler Harnish has done a nice job running the offense and really picked up his game last week.

This will be the third of four games that the Huskies play on a Tuesday or Wednesday night this month, two of the least common football days of the week. It's part of an ongoing effort of the MAC to garner national attention. With a 10-0 Ball State team as the conference's centerpiece, the MAC has received a disproportionate number of nationally televised games due to the open slot in TV programming for football on those nights. Ultimately the Tuesday game means for Navy a few extra days of rest, but with the Huskies practice schedule now set up squarely around mid-week contests, it should provide the Huskies with an additional edge here.

While Navy is looking to the future a bit, it is all about NOW for Northern Illinois. Armed with a slogan of "Battle for a Bowl", motivation shouldn't be an issue for the Huskies in this final regular season contest. A victory gives the Huskies a 7-5 record, greatly enhancing their chances for a third bowl bid in the last five years.

First-year coach Jerry Kill acknowledged the importance of beating Navy.

"In a lot of ways, this is a bowl game," Kill said. "When you have a chance to play a team the caliber of the U.S. Naval Academy in your own stadium, it's a tremendous opportunity. I have such respect for the young men in that program, and I just hope we have a great crowd to come out to honor their team, cheer on the Huskies, and celebrate our seniors."

Here, we are going to play ON a "bubble team" vs. an opponent in or likely to be in a bowl game or a foe that doesn't have a chance of a bowl game in a non-rivalry game. Teams fighting for bowl eligibility should be much more motivated than those teams already in and just trying to stay healthy, and against opponents that are already thinking about next year.

In looking at some technical information, we show Navy at 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings with MAC teams, 0-5 SU (-11.2 ppg) & 0-5 ATS (-7.8) vs. non-Armed Forces teams playing with revenge since 2001, and 0-3 ATS this season with more than 6 days rest.

Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is 3-0 ATS in their final home game the last 3 years, 5-0 ATS in their final home game with less than 7 SU wins and less than 13 days rest, 7-0 ATS (+9.6 ppg) in their final game and not favored by 25+ points or off 6 SU wins, and 5-0 ATS (+13.2 ppg) with revenge vs. opponents with the same or fewer SU wins on the season.

The Huskies also are active for NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM showing that after a road favorite win to get to 6 wins on the season, hosts in their final home game have played very strongly looking to solidify their bowl possibilities. This POWER SYSTEM states:

From Game 11 on, play ON a team in its Last Home Game (not a favorite of 9+ points or underdog of more than 8 points) with 6 season SU wins off a road favorite/pick ‘em SU win.

Since 1989, these teams are a fabulous 16-0 ATS, while crushing the spread by 2 TDs per game on average.

With the additional motivation and more experienced QB on their side, we look for a very determined Northern Illinois team to get that coveted 7th win of the season, while they cover this small number.


PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: NORTHERN ILLINOIS 31 NAVY 24

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's 20* NBA Non-Conf Game of the Month **8-2 L2 Days**


Pacers

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Game: Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards
Prediction: Golden State Warriors

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Golden State Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 31-8 for 80% ATS since 2002. Play on favorites that are terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game on the season and after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half. AiS also projects an 85% probability that Washington will not hit better than 30% of their 3 point attempts and they are just 4-14 ATS when that occurs in a game over the past 3 seasons. Here is a second system that has gone 24-5 ATS for 83% since 2002. Play on road teams that are explosive offensive teams scoring 103+ points/game on the season and after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Northern Illinois (-3) over Navy (NCAA Power Play)
7:00 PM EST

Navy
• 0-2 SU & ATS when the line is between +3 and -3
• 1-5 ATS vs. MAC Conference Opponents the last 3 seasons
• 1-4 ATS coming off a game with one or less turnovers
• Allowing an average of 29 ppg on defense in road games this season



Bonus Play

5* Take Ball State (-10.5) over Western Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence | CFB Side
dime bet301 W. Michigan 10.5 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 302 Ball St.


Analysis: Play On: Western Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

(519) SAINT LOUIS
(520) NEBRASKA
Take "(519) SAINT LOUIS"
It's Year Two as head man at Saint Louis for coaching wiz Rick Majerus. Looks to me like the Billikens are going to a pain in the neck on a regular basis, even though they aren't real talented. They will frustrate opponents with their methodical pace and undisciplined adversaries will pay the price. I think this team is a bit undervalued right now, so I'll opt for Saint Louis plus the generous spot tonight as they take on Nebraska.

[Mr. IWS]

PickLogic’s Pick:

Game: Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards
Sport: National Basketball Association
Date: Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Time: 4:05 PM Pacific time
Selection: OVER the "total" of 210, -110
Wager: 1 unit (Last night was a winner) so its still 1 unit

[Mr. IWS]

Jr. Sports

NCAA HOOPS

25 units - Penn State

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Ball ST. -10.5
4 Notre Dame +3
3 Syracuse +4

ATS Financial Package
3 N.Illinois -3
3 Cavaliers -8
3 Troy +1

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso College FB 11/25
3 units W Mich +10.5
3 units Navy +3

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Western Michigan and a 3* on the first half line as well.–

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3 Unit Play. #304 Take Northern Illinois over Navy (Tuesday 7:00 pm ESPN Classic)


DOC

3 Unit Play. #6 Take Calgary over Los Angeles (9:35 pm NHL Center Ice

DOC

4 Unit Play. #518 Take Texas A & M over Wilmington (8:00 pm

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS


10 ny knicks
10 mississippi state

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

5-Unit Play (Totals Game of the Week) #505 Take Phoenix/Oklahoma City UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

Game: Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder Nov 25 2008 8:05PM
Prediction: over

Reason: 10* Play Over Phoenix/Oklahoma City at 8:05 ET. Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it in January ?07 on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. However, after last year's success, he anticipates another banner year. Play are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Good luck. Take Phoenix/Oklahoma City Over (10*).

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
Northcoast hit with NO last night

Top Opinions

Marquee---W Mich +10'

N ILL -3

[Mr. IWS]

paul leiner


100* NBA Over 199 Ind/Dal
50* CBB Penn State -3.5
10* CFB Over 52 Navy/NIU

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Creighton -3 @ Arkansas Little Rock: Creighton -3 (15 unit play)

Syracuse vs Kansas -3.5: Kansas -3.5 (5 unit play)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens

CBB

vcu -8.5
vcu/east carolins over 138
penn state -3.5
florida -5
texas a&m -20
utah state/weber state over 134

nba

golden state/washington over 207.5
phoenix/oklahoma city under 200

nhl

nashville -160
toronto -145


cfb

ball state -10.5

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast // MARQUEE-WESTERN MICH +10- // top opin-northern ill-3

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
30* W. Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Western Michigan/Ball State Over 55.5
Two great QB's will go head to head tonight in which is an important game for each school. Ball State will get into the MAC Championship Game tonight with a win and will keep their perfect season alive. Western Michigan will need win and help next week to clinch a spot. Both of these QB's have a great future in the NFL. This head to head matchup should be fun. Look for a lot of points. Take the Over.

Northern Illinois -3 over Navy
So we have a Northern Illinois team who has not beaten a team with a winning record this year going up against the #2 rush offense in America, but yet Navy is the underdog? If you look closer you will see Navy could careless about this game. They already locked up their bowl game and why get anyone hurt? Northern Illinois needs this win to get into a bowl game as six wins might not do it for them. There is a reason why this NIU team is favored.

NBA Basketball
Thunder +10 over Suns

NCAA Basketball
Syracuse +3.5 over Kansas

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3 Unit Play. #304 Take Northern Illinois over Navy (Tuesday 7:00 pm ESPN Classic) the MAC is a strong conference this year when comparing it to other mid-majors and Northern Illinois has come on of late winning four of their last six games. Their only two losses during this streak came against Ball State and Central Michigan, two of the best teams in the league. Now they face a Navy team that is coming off a tough loss against Notre Dame and expect them to struggle running the football in DeKalb. Midweek games are always tough to prepare for but the Huskies are used to this having played their last three on either Tuesday or Wednesday. They will take care of business tonight, as we collect in the process.



DOC

4 Unit Play. #518 Take Texas A & M over Wilmington (8:00 pm) I expect this game to go a lot like the Wake Forest game went last week with the Aggies reaching triple figures and easily covering this big spread. The Seahawks are terrible and have been blown out in their last two games by average teams in their last two. Texas A & M is always a tough team to beat in College Station and despite losing their coach last season, they have not missed a beat making the big dance in 2008 and taking UCLA to the wire. This one will get ugly early and we will easily collect.




DOC

3 Unit Play. #6 Take Calgary over Los Angeles (9:35 pm NHL Center Ice) Granted this is a big number but the Flames have much more talent then the Kings at every position but one and will take care of business tonight at the Saddledome. Miikka Kiprusoff has not been himself in 2008 but expect him to get on a roll and get his goals against average back under three. Jarome Iginla has 45 point in 44 games against the Kings and will come up big again on Tuesday. LA has played a home heavy schedule thus far and expect them to go on a long losing streak when these road games catch up with them.




DOC

-Unit Play (Totals Game of the Week) #505 Take Phoenix/Oklahoma City UNDER (8 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Eight straight games in this series have come in under the posted total and we think the oddsmakers have once again strung too high of a number on this game. The Thunder have had all sorts of trouble scoring on offense and have averaged less than 88 in their last five games and their averaged aren’t much better than that for the season. We see this game as a blowout, just like the oddsmakers, and that will help push this one under as the Suns get their share of points but OKC struggles to score again. Five of the last six games for Phoenix have gone under and they are actually in the Top 10 in the league in defensive FG%, which does not bode well for an Oklahoma team that struggles to shoot from the field (41% on the season).

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
NHL
20*Toronto/ATL over

NCAAF
30*W Mich

NBA
20* Indiana
50* Nets/Lakers under

NCAAB
20*Syracuse
20*Notre Dame

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso BB
5 units Notre Dame +2.5
4 units Utah St -10
3 units Long Beach St +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

Steam Play
100* Navy +3

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Tuesday Action !!
Monday Recap: 1-0 NFL (+80) pts : 1-1 CBB (+2) pts : 2-2 NHL (-24) pts
Remember when you win please come back and donate !!
NFL Underdog Game of the Year Goes Off on Turkey Day !!
3-0 in CFB GOY's
I only have 3 in each sport : Underdog,Totals and Top Goy.
Play Release: Tonight at 11 p.m.


CBB
4* Over 138 (-110) Virginia Commonwealth vs East Carolina
3* Over 134.5 (-110) Creighton vs Arkansas Little Rock
3* Under 139.5 (-110) FAU vs James Madison
3* Florida -4.5 (-110)

NHL
3* Toronto -145
3* Calgary -160

NBA
3* Over 208 (-110) Golden State vs Washington
3* Over 213 (-110) Cleveland vs New York

CFB
3* Navy +3.5 (-110)

Happy Holidays !!

[Mr. IWS]

Yankee Capper

3 Units - New York Knicks +7

2 Units - Navy +3

2 Units - Blues/Predators Over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

2 2008-11-25 RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFB TUESDAY NIGHT WINNER!
Pick # 1 Navy (3.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave M@linsky

Alabama @ Chaminade
PICK: 4* Alabama

Although this tournament has provided Chaminade with some opportunities to take down some much better opponents in the past, this is one year that Matt Mahar would probably have opted out if he could – he only has even serviceable players right now, and three games in three days against this class of competition is going to be an exhausting task. We saw signs of those weaknesses with the Silverswords got whipped by 17 vs. a mediocre Hawaii team in their only exhibition game, and note the reality behind that 115-70 drubbing vs. North Carolina on Monday – the Tar Heels were without Tyler Hansbrough, and the starting five only played 114 of the 200 available minutes. Roy Williams had 13 different players on the court for at least four minutes, and several of those players are not likely to find their way on the floor again this season.

When getting trounced by the #1 team in the nation, it would ordinarily be a chance for a coach to rest his better players, and let others get some work. Mahar could not do that. His own starting five played 159 minutes, including 39 from Shane Hanson and 37 from Darrell Birton, and given the frenetic pace on Monday, that means some serious fatigue for this turnaround. So the last thing that they need to face is an angry opponent looking to vent some frustrations, but that is exactly what they must run into here.

Mark Gottfried’s post-game comments left no doubt about how frustrated he was with Alabama’s second-half collapse vs. Oregon on Monday night, when the Crimson Tide got out-scored 48-27 down the stretch. That means a “crack the whip” type of focus this afternoon, and the depth is there to completely wear this opponent out – 10 different Alabama players saw at least nine minutes of action on Monday, and we expect their edges in athleticism and depth to turn this into an ugly rout.

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs WASHINGTON WIZARDS


Play: GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -1 (NBA)
Comments:
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NEW JERSEY NETS vs LA LAKERS


Play: NEW JERSEY NETS +13.5
Comments:
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): MISSISSIPPI STATE vs ST. BONAVENTURE


Play: MISSISSIPPI STATE -6.5 (NCAAB)
Comments:
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NOTRE DAME vs TEXAS


Play: NOTRE DAME +2.5 (NCAAB)

[Mr. IWS]

JB Sports

WASHINGTON WIZARDS +2

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: New Jersey Nets @ Los Angeles Lakers - Tuesday November 25, 2008 10:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: New Jersey Nets +13.5 (-110)






Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks - Tuesday November 25, 2008 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: New York Knicks +8 (-110)










Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Weber State @ Utah State - Tuesday November 25, 2008 9:05 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Weber State +8.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Ball ST. -10.5
4 Notre Dame +3
3 Syracuse +4







ATS Financial Package
3 N.Illinois -3
3 Cavaliers -8
3 Troy +1

[Mr. IWS]

vegas runner

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Tue, 11/25/08 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Triple-Dime Bet
302 Ball St. / 301 W. Michigan Under 56.0 Bodog
Analysis: *** NCAAFB "PRIME-TIME" 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***






Tue, 11/25/08 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Total Double-Dime Bet
518 Texas A&M / 517 N.C.-Wilmington Over 162.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
** NCAABB 2* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY **


This Play is on every beard's and runner's sheet that I have spoken with and the only question isn't when they are getting down...but whether they will wait until more locals open up shop...Either way, this Play will catch some "STEAM"...VR






Tue, 11/25/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Money Line Single-Dime Bet
508 DAL (-130) Sportsbetting.com vs 507 IND
Analysis:
* 1* NBA & NCAABB MIXED 5.5 PT TEASER BET *

DALLAS -2.5 & BALL ST +12(1*)...Teaser

This is actually the 1st time we have used a Teaser in Basketball this Season...and it will be done very rarely and in the occasion we want to take a Position on a team (Dallas & Ball St) who is offering so much more Value on the Teaser...Especially after the fact that they have been "STEAMED" by the Outfits and have lost some Value on the Point-Spread...VR






Tue, 11/25/08 - 7:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB MoneyLine Single-Dime Bet
302 Ball St. (-130) Bodog vs 301 W. Michigan
Analysis:
* NCAAFB 1* ESPN TEASER PLAY of the DAY *

BALL ST -3.5 & UNDER 63 WMU/BSU (1*)...Teaser

If we were still able to get BALL ST at -3 on this Teaser, I would have probably been looking to take a Bigger Position...But because of that Hook, we will make it a 1* Bet...VR
*** I have been informed that some of the Books may be forced to drop this line to -10 on Ball St because there are a couple of "Outfits" that are possibly going to go out and grab the +10.5 & +11...In which case we should see the books adjust and get us -3 or better on the TEASER ***







Tue, 11/25/08 - 5:45 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
547 Santa Clara 10.0 (-110) SportBet vs 548 Arizona
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* WAGER **





Tue, 11/25/08 - 8:05 PMvegas-runner | NBA Total Double-Dime Bet
506 OKL / 505 PHO Over 201.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: ** NBA 2* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY **





Tue, 11/25/08 - 10:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Sides Double-Dime Bet
510 LAL -13.5 (-110) Bodog vs 509 NJN
Analysis:
** NBA 2* SIDE PLAY of the DAY **

We are hoping that there is a possibility to get an even better number because I see that Pinny has the Vig on LA +103...
And I was surprised to hear from the majority of books that I spoke with that they are heavier on the Dog in this one...
Even prior to really breaking it down, to capp...I made this number LAL -20.5/-21 (True Number) and LAL -15 (Fair Number)...which already had offered Value on Double-Digit Home Fav (Lakers)...
The work simply confirmed it and I feel that the "Perception" based soley on the past 3 games for each club has been weighed too heavily into the Price...and it's obvious from the info I received that more work is being booked on the Nets...that the oddsmakers were aware that their clients (Books) would need LA to cover Tonight...
Lakers have been home for a while now and after the way they played last game...they will really put an emphasis on Defense which should allow them to cover this high of a number...
The Nets will be playing their 1st game of this west coast 4 game road trip, and should look more like they did when they faced the Suns, in a game they lost by "28"...than they did vs the Clippers at home, just last game...
Let's go ahead and lay the chalk with the Lakers, VR...






Tue, 11/25/08 - 7:35 PMvegas-runner | NHL Money Line Double-Dime Bet
4 TOR (-140) Sportsbetting.com vs 3 ATL
Analysis:
** NHL 2* (ML) WAGER **

After losing 2 straight at home by 1 goal each...Toronto should be able to get a much needed home win tonight, over the Thrashers...
The key in this one should be the huge edge in "shots on goal" that I see Toronto having...against the "27th" Ranked Team in the NHL (shots allowed)...
More importantly, Toronto is Ranked "1st" in the East and "4th" in the NHL in that same department Defensively...while also Ranking "3rd" in the NHL in "Shots on Goal" offensively...
Although Atlanta is also looking to break their 3 Game Losing streak tonight as well...they have only won "2" game on the road all season long...So look for Toronto, who I have been told,should be starting CUJO in goal tonight...to be able to get the Win at home Tonight...and we will back that up by taking a 2Units Position on them now...with a Possible Upgrade by the Final Update...VR

[Mr. IWS]

BILLY COLEMAN

4* Ms St
4* Creighton
3* E. Carolina
3* Ball St CBB
3* Suns Over