11-26-08

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 25-Club CBB Play-1st TY (10*)


An 8-2-1 five-day run was derailed by an 0-2 Tues in CBB but Larry won't let that deter him, as he's been waiting for this NIT semifinal matchup since it was set back on 11/18. Larry's 1st 25-Club play of the CBB season goes tonight, a play which represents Larry's 25 years in the business and carries a 10* rating. Any takers?


Oklahoma Sooners

[Mr. IWS]

Spritzer

CBB 25* Blowout

Purdue

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' Non-Conf Game of the Week-NBA

Larry's been really 'quiet' this week in the NBA. He did not have a play on Monday or Tuesday and even Wednesday's 13-game 'card' has yielded just one play. It is however, a good one, as Larry's expert analysis will detail. The matchups and scheduling are just right for an "ATS blowout," so don't miss Larry's Non-Conference Game of the Week

San Antonio Spurs

[Mr. IWS]

Larry's 7* MASSIVE MISMATCH-CBB:67% L6 days

Larry won't let an 0-2 Tuesday in CBB slow his momentum. He's still on an 8-4-1 (67% ATS run) the L6 days and along with his first 25* play of the new CBB season, he's featuring one of his classic MASSIVE MISMATCH plays. Matchup, scheduling and situational edges all favor one side as Larry offers up a pre-holiday 'feast!'


Mississippi Rebels

[Mr. IWS]

ROOT


Chairman- Pacific
Millionaire- Notre Dame
Billionaire- Stanford

[Mr. IWS]

Dr Bob

2 Star Selection
SACRAMENTO (-3) over New Jersey
26-Nov-08 07:05 PM Pacific Time
The Nets were whipped last night in Los Angeles and New Jersey applies to a very negative 15-61-1 ATS unrested road team situation that is based that loss. Sacramento was horrible their first 5 games without C Brad Miller, but the Kings are 7-4 ATS with Miller in the lineup and my ratings favor Sacramento by 3 ½ points in this game using only the 9 games with Miller but without leading scorer Kevin Martin (although Martin doesn’t make much of a difference) and using the Nets’ games with Devin Harris. A good situation and a bit of line value make the Kings a good play and I’ll take Sacramento in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 ½ points or less.
2-Stars at -3 1/2 or less.

COLLEGE
3 Star Selection
Princeton (+5) over FORDHAM
26-Nov-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
Fordham has always been a slow starter under coach Dereck Whittenburg (14-29-1 ATS in non-conference games prior to the conference season), and this year’s inexperienced team has been dreadful so far, going 0-3 ATS while failing to cover by margins of 10 points, 17 points, and 13 points. Fordham’s 3 best players from last year’s senior laden team are gone and nobody has stepped up offensively to fill those shoes (397% shooting as a team) and the Rams defense is even worse this year than it was last season (49.1% FG allowed). Princeton, meanwhile, is a more improved than expected thanks to the emergence of freshman pointguard Doug Davis, who has averaged 19.3 points while making 54.5% of his shots through 3 games, which is an incredible percentage for a guard. Davis ought to have no problem navigating his way towards the basket against the Rams’ Red Sea defense and the Tigers apply to a very good 103-41 ATS early season indicator. My ratings favor Fordham by only 1 ½ points and using this year’s games only would favor Princeton by 5 ½ points. I’ll take Princeton in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 points or more and for 2-Stars from +2 ½ or +2 points.
3-Stars at +3 or more, 2-Stars at +2 1/2 or +2.

2 Star Selection
Air Force (+18 ½) over STANFORD
26-Nov-08 07:30 PM Pacific Time
Air Force lost by 13 points as a 9 point favorite in their most recent game, but that result has given us some line value on the side of the Falcons. Road underdogs of 10 points or more are 95-47-3 ATS after losing by 12 points or more as a favorite of 2 points or more. Air Force should be a better team this season than they were last year when they returned just one starter (this season they return 3 starters and most of last year’s bench players) and using last year’s rating for Air Force would result in a fair line of 14 ½ points in this game. Using this year’s games only, including the Air Force upset loss to Wofford, would favor Stanford by 18 points, so the line is fair at the very worst and Air Force is not likely to play as poorly as they did in their last game. Stanford’s new run and gun approach under Johnny Dawkins is good for scoring, but the Cardinal have allowed 53% shooting in two games and I don’t see them defending the Air Force “Princeton style” offense, which takes a lot of discipline to defend – something Stanford hasn’t shown under Dawkins. I’ll take Air Force in a 2-Star Best Bet at +17 points or more.
2-Stars at +17 or more.

[Mr. IWS]

Big Al

3* Stanford-18
3* Butler-4