11-29-08

Wunderdog

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Game: South Carolina at Clemson (Saturday 11/29 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 41 -110

The Gamecocks are probably an offensive skill player and a QB away from being a great team. They rank 11th in the country on defense, despite getting blown out by Florida, who is doing that to everyone lately. They are allowing just 19 ppg, which is reduced to 15.6 ppg without the Florida game. Offensively they have had trouble moving the ball all season, and have produced 17 points or less in four of their games. The Clemson Tigers are almost a mirror image, they have a big defense, but have had trouble scoring themselves - again, QB issues. The Tigers are allowing just 15.1 ppg in their last 10, while the odffense has averaged just under 20 ppg in their last seven ACC games. This one should be a battle of field position, and few TD's.

sports firn

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NCAAF: Central Michigan Chippewas at Eastern Michigan Eagles - Under 62
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

NCAAF: Ohio Bobcats at Miami Ohio Redhawks - Miami Ohio 2
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

NCAAF: Louisiana State Fighting Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks - Arkansas 5
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

NBA: Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers - Under 217
Handicapper: CONSENSUS CLUB
Note: N/A

Asa 6*

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Georgia Tech -8

Coach Ron Meyer

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Locker Room GOY Kentucky Cfb

Football Jesus


Bet Georgia – 8 This is easy , SEC VS ACC , SEC teams have cashed all season, The Bulldogs have had TWO weeks, here to prepare, are better at all positions, and will score TD’s not FG’s AND GA won the last seven meetings Georgia’s losses came the best two teams in the SEC and I have sources who say they are pulling out the stops and trick plays here to win big and vault into a new years bowl, even though it wont be the BCS. Georgia should be favored by 10, and have an 89% chance to win by 10 or more. and at -7 or 8 the % gets higher this has to bhe one of the best bets of the day.

Bet Virginia +8 Virginia Tech is just 2-4 ATS in the last six games and the Hokies have failed score 23 points in five straight games. You need to be able to score 28 points or more to cover this many points, I don’t think they can , Virginia
averaging just over 16 points this season, but should be able to score 3 tds in this rivalry, Virginia needs to win this game to become bowl eligible. Virginia Tech is still in the hunt for the ACC Coastal title needing a win and a Miami loss to lock it up. Virginia has played one of the toughest schedules in the nation and the last three losses
have all been close games. Virginia can rise up here and hs an 87% chance to stay within a TD.

Auburn +15.5, tigers have won six in a row in the Iron Bowl. Each ofthe last six meetings has been decided by ten points or less and the Tigers especially need to win this season to be bowl eligible. Auburn’s defense is allowing just 16 points per game and
the talent on defense can keep the Tigers in the game. Alabama has been productive but not a dominant offensive team. Alabama has horrible numbers as a home favorite in recent years, going 4-18 ATS in the last 22 at home although winning and covering in the last two. All the pressure is on Alabama in this game the Tide may have trouble pulling away from an Auburn team that would love to spoil the great Alabama season. Expect a closer game, and auburn has a an 85% to stay within 10

BET Oregon +3The Beavers had an incredible rally to win last week and keep the Rose Bowl dreams alive. This will be a very tough game as the state rival Ducks are rested and set on redeeming a double-OT loss in
Eugene last season.It actually 3x revenge for the ducks! Come on Bellottti wont lose this one, Oregon more productive offense in this match-up but the defensive edge for OregonState is equally significant. The injury to OSU RB Rodgers is a concern and the Beavers will face pressure unlike they have ever known , they haven’t been to Pasadena in 44 years. Oregon should have won the Civil War game last season and this is a game the Ducks have been waiting for. Oregon’s offense will be very tough to slow down and the breaks may not keep falling the way of the Beavers, Ducks win by 10 or more, and have an 87% chance to stay within 3.

Bill Bravenec

Saturday, November 29

Nevada - 4 1/2 at Louisiana Tech

Nevada averages 511 yards (#6) and 38.1 points (#13) per game on offense and has the nation’s #1 rushing offense that averages 308 yards per game and 6.6 yards per carry. Lousiana Tech’s defense has been pretty good against the run, but they are terrible against the pass and have not seen a high-powered balanced offense like Nevada’s since they gave up 38 points to Boise State. Nevada’s defense is also terrible against the pass, but Louisiana Tech has a one-dimensional offense that is ranked #25 in rushing but only #107 in passing. To keep up with Nevada, Louisiana Tech will have to pass since Nevada can stop the run. Nevada has the nation’s #2 rushing defense, allowing only 65 yards per game and 2.4 yards per carry. I don’t expect Louisiana Tech to be able to keep up. Nevada has played 3 teams currently in the BCS top 25, losing at home 35-19 to #7 Texas Tech and 41-34 to #9 Boise State and losing on the road 69-17 to #12 Missouri (this schedule is part of the reason Nevada’s passing defense looks so bad). Louisiana Tech has played one team currently ranked in the BCS top 25, losing 38-3 at Boise State.

Southern Mississippi - 13 1/2 at SMU

Southern Mississippi averages 442 yards (#19) and 30.9 points per game and should be able to move the ball and score at will on SMU’s porous defense, which allows 491 yards (#119) and 39.1 points (#117) per game. There is also a rushing mismatch, as Southern Miss rushes for 201 yards per game (#21) and 4.9 yards per carry and will be facing an SMU defense that allows 233 rushing yards per game (#118) and 5.0 yards per carry. SMU has a one-dimensional offense that is ranked last in the nation in rushing with an average of only 45 yards rushing per game. SMU had a decent passing game until before their last game against UTEP, when their top 2 receivers (Emmanual Sanders and Aldrick Robinson) were suspended. These 2 receivers had accounted for 2,005 out of 2,885 passing yards (70%) and 20 out of 27 passing TDs (74%) before the UTEP game. But without them, SMU only managed to put up 201 total yards (137 passing) and 10 points against UTEP’s #116 defense in a 38-10 loss, and I think Southern Miss has a much better defense than UTEP. At the end of October, Southern Miss had lost 5 in a row to drop their overall record to 2-6 and their conference record to 0-4. Since then, Southern Miss has turned their season around and gone 3-0, including a 70-14 blowout of UAB and an impressive 21-3 win over East Carolina. During the 3 game win streak, Southern Miss has outscored their opponents by an average of 36-8 and outgained them by an average of 444-229.

Street Rosenthal

Vanderbilt -4
Georgia Southern -4

North coast


early bird pow...florida -15

comp under dog pow...new mexico state +6

#2 economy club pow...nevada -4

pac 10 pow....washington state + 28'

big dog pow....marshall+14

big 12 pow.....texas tech -20

Norm Hitzges

November 27-30 2008

NCAA

Double Plays

Nebraska -18 vs Colorado ( L )
Toledo +1.5 vs Bowling Green ( L )
Missouri -16 vs Kanas
Alabama -14.5 vs Auburn
South Carolina +1 vs Clemson

Single Plays

Texas -35 vs Texas A&M
Temple -2.5 vs Akron ( W )
UTEP +5 vs E. Carolina ( L )
Central Michigan -10 vs E.Michigan ( L )
Buffalo -9 vs Kent St ( L )
NC State +1.5 vs Miami, FL
Cincinnati -22 vs Syracuse
USC -32 vs Notre Dame
Georgia Tech +7.5 vs Georgia
UAB +8.5 vs UCF
So. Mississippi -15 vs SMU
Baylor +21.5 vs Texas Tech
Arkansas St -20.5 vs UNT
Oklahoma -7 vs Oklahoma State

NCAAF PLAYS FOR SATURDAY

GOLD SHEET
Oklahoma by 19 over ST
GA Tech by 1 over GA

POWER SWEEP
4* MIZZOU
3* RICE
2* MARYLAND


POINTWISE KEYS
*1 FLORIDA
*1 MEMPHIS (THIS IS ALSO A LARRY NESS LEGEND PLAY 10*)
2* Tex Tech
3* GA Tech
4* TUSLA
5* HAWAII

Handicapper: Tony Karpinski
Tulane vs. Memphis (NCAAF) - 3:30 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Point Spread: -14/-103 Memphis Play Title: 10* College Football Game of the Month
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Memphis is not yet bowl eligible so this is a critical game for the Tigers .Memphis is 8-1-1 the last 10 in this series and have owned Tulane winning by an average of 21 points. The Tigers allowed less than 200 yards last week while posting solid offensive numbers but still managed to lose. Tulane has now lost 7 straight and the defense was torn up last week for nearly 600 yards, mostly on the ground. The Wave has been out-scored by a nearly 3-to-1 margin in the last seven games, allowing an average of over 40 points per game. Memphis needs to win this game and Tulane has shown no signs of life since injuries have crippled the team. Memphis won by just a single point last season but that has not been the norm in this series. MEMPHIS ROLLS BY 24

Pointwise Phone Plays

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3* Boise St(winner on Fri)
3* South Carolina
3* Florida
3* Georgia Tech
3* Alabama
2* UCLA(Friday)
2* Arkansas St
2* N C State

Colin Cowherd (ESPN Radio)

Oregon St -3
Notre Dame +33
Oklahoma State +7
Florida -16-

ACE / ACE - ALLEN EASTMAN


$300.00 #373 Kentucky (+4.5) over Tennessee (6:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 26)
I think that this is the year that Kentucky snaps a 23-year losing streak to Tennessee and spoils the "going away party" for Philip Fulmer. The week after UT announced that Fulmer wouldn't be back next year the Vols went out and laid an egg against a pathetic Wyoming team, so I don't think they should be laying points to anyone. Four of the last seven have been decided by six points or less, and I think the Wildcats get revenge for last year's rough overtime loss to the Vols.

$600.00 #340 Wake Forest (-4) over Vanderbilt (7 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 26)
The Demon Deacons have a lot of seniors that are going to be playing their final home game, and they will be doing so against a team that they hammered by two touchdowns on the road last year. Wake is 7-3 ATS at home and is 16-7 ATS against a team with a winning record.

$800.00 #344 Virginia Tech (-8) over Virginia (Noon, Wednesday, Nov. 26)
Despite a terrible start to the season the Hokies have a shot to be right back where they seem to be every year: at the top of the ACC standings. If Tech wins they are going to the ACC Championship Game, and I think they are going to beat down their rivals just like they have done eight of the past nine years. Virginia is just 7-16 ATS on the road and do not travel well. This series has not been decided by less than 10 points since back in 1998 so I am not worried at all about this number. Virginia has lost road games by 11, 35, and 28 this season and I think they are going to get blown out in Blacksburg.

$1000.00 #342 Boston College (-7) over Maryland (3:30 p.m., Wednesday, Nov. 26)
Boston College has really been coming together over the last two weeks and I think that they are going to blowout Maryland for a spot in the ACC Title Game. B.C. has covered three straight games against bowl teams and are peaking at the right time. They will be without Chris Crane, but they didn't need him to earn a comeback win in the final minutes at Wake Forest. Maryland has been a bad road team this year. They lost at Middle Tennessee and they have been outscored by a combined 41 points in their last two road games. The B.C. defense is playing as well as anyone in the ACC and they will overwhelm the Terps.

Spylock
Miami Fla.
Boston College
both 1 unit

[Mr. IWS]

Bill Bravenec

Saturday, November 29

Nevada - 4 1/2 at Louisiana Tech

Nevada averages 511 yards (#6) and 38.1 points (#13) per game on offense and has the nation’s #1 rushing offense that averages 308 yards per game and 6.6 yards per carry. Lousiana Tech’s defense has been pretty good against the run, but they are terrible against the pass and have not seen a high-powered balanced offense like Nevada’s since they gave up 38 points to Boise State. Nevada’s defense is also terrible against the pass, but Louisiana Tech has a one-dimensional offense that is ranked #25 in rushing but only #107 in passing. To keep up with Nevada, Louisiana Tech will have to pass since Nevada can stop the run. Nevada has the nation’s #2 rushing defense, allowing only 65 yards per game and 2.4 yards per carry. I don’t expect Louisiana Tech to be able to keep up. Nevada has played 3 teams currently in the BCS top 25, losing at home 35-19 to #7 Texas Tech and 41-34 to #9 Boise State and losing on the road 69-17 to #12 Missouri (this schedule is part of the reason Nevada’s passing defense looks so bad). Louisiana Tech has played one team currently ranked in the BCS top 25, losing 38-3 at Boise State.

Southern Mississippi - 13 1/2 at SMU

Southern Mississippi averages 442 yards (#19) and 30.9 points per game and should be able to move the ball and score at will on SMU’s porous defense, which allows 491 yards (#119) and 39.1 points (#117) per game. There is also a rushing mismatch, as Southern Miss rushes for 201 yards per game (#21) and 4.9 yards per carry and will be facing an SMU defense that allows 233 rushing yards per game (#118) and 5.0 yards per carry. SMU has a one-dimensional offense that is ranked last in the nation in rushing with an average of only 45 yards rushing per game. SMU had a decent passing game until before their last game against UTEP, when their top 2 receivers (Emmanual Sanders and Aldrick Robinson) were suspended. These 2 receivers had accounted for 2,005 out of 2,885 passing yards (70%) and 20 out of 27 passing TDs (74%) before the UTEP game. But without them, SMU only managed to put up 201 total yards (137 passing) and 10 points against UTEP’s #116 defense in a 38-10 loss, and I think Southern Miss has a much better defense than UTEP. At the end of October, Southern Miss had lost 5 in a row to drop their overall record to 2-6 and their conference record to 0-4. Since then, Southern Miss has turned their season around and gone 3-0, including a 70-14 blowout of UAB and an impressive 21-3 win over East Carolina. During the 3 game win streak, Southern Miss has outscored their opponents by an average of 36-8 and outgained them by an average of 444-229.

[Mr. IWS]

Coach Ron Meyer

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Locker Room GOY Kentucky Cfb

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso's Saturday 100 unit play

Saturday, November 29, 2008
Big 12 Rivalry Game Of The Year

100 Units Oklahoma (-7½) over Oklahoma State

8:00 PM -- Boone Pickens Stadium
Oklahoma by 17-21
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NCAA Football:

1* Oklahoma State +250 (Good value on a good team at home)
1* Georgia Tech + 255
1* Oregon +125
2* Baylor/Texas Tech over 69
2* NV/La Tech over 61
2* Georgia Tech +8
2* Florida/FSU under 55
2* Hawaii -28
3* Houston/Rice over 78
3* Oregon +3
4* Memphis -14
4* Oklahoma/Oklahoma State over 75

NHL:

1* Bruins +105
1* Coyotes +140

NBA/NCAA Basketball:

2* Grizzlies -8
2* Clippers -1
2* Cavaliers -7
2* OKC/Memphis under 194

2* New Mexico -1

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Faaargo

Game: Miami Florida Hurricanes at NC State Wolfpack
Pick: NC State Wolfpack +1.5 -110

Reason: NC State has once again emerged as a possible bowl contender. With three straight wins, the Wolfpack are 5-6 and are one victory away from becoming bowl eligible. They are coming off a huge road win at rival North Carolina and pieces from last season will pay a big role in this game. NC State went to Miami last season and defeated the Hurricanes in overtime. That was the third of four straight wins for the Wolfpack who started the season 1-5 and were in a similar position they are now.

They were 5-5 and with two games left, all they needed was one win to make it to a bowl game after missing out in 2006. NC State was hammered at Wake Forest but still had a shot with a home game against Maryland. The Wolfpack were obliterated at home by the Terrapins 37-0 and were without a postseason spot for a second straight year. With this being the same scenario as last season, look for NC State to look back at that lesson learned and come out strong on Saturday.

Watching Miami on Thursday showed that it recent five-game winning streak may have been a fluke. I thought the Hurricanes would have come in with more energy riding a big streak but they were smacked in the face early and often and were crushed by the Yellow Jackets. Looking back at the run shows only one big win at Duke with the other four victories coming by a touchdown or less. The hurricanes are young and it certainly showed and coming back off that defeat will be even tougher.

At the start of the season, redshirt freshman quarterback Russell Wilson was fourth on the depth chart and it looked as though playing time would be sparse. However, he has come along quickly as is turning into one of the better quarterbacks in the conference. He has passed for 14 touchdowns while only tossing one interception. He has thrown five touchdown passes in each of his last five games and is coming off his best performance of the season where he threw for a season high 279 yards.

The Wolfpack have not been a strong rushing team but they have come on of late, culminating with a season high 187 yards against the Tar Heels. After averaging 80 ypg through their first six games, they have put up an average of 161.4 ypg over their last five games. Miami went into the Georgia Tech game with the 19th ranked rushing defense. It came out ranked 57th after allowing an unheard of 486 yards rushing. Don’t expect those kinds of numbers from NC State but the balance will keep Miami on its heels. 3* NC State Wolfpack.

[Mr. IWS]

kelsos club

25 UnitsNevada (-5) over Louisiana Tech
2:30 PM -- Joe Aillet Stadium


4 UnitsFlorida State (+16½) over Florida
3:30 PM -- Bobby Bowden Field at Doak S. Campbell Stadium

Florida by 7-10
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.

5 UnitsAuburn (+14½) over Alabama
3:30 PM -- Bryant-Denny Stadium
Alabama by 9-10
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 55.

3 UnitsUSC (-31½) over Notre Dame
8:00 PM -- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
USC by 35-42

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

5 Unit Play. #79 Take Auburn Tigers over Alabama Crimson Tide (Saturday 3:30 pm CBS) The Tide have not been in action for a while and have heard for the last six years that they cannot beat Auburn. Auburn is having a terrible year losing five of their last six but only won loss came via a blowout. This game is the season for Auburn and can salvage what has been a terrible season and may cost Coach Tuberville his job. Bama does not have the same focus, as a game next week against Florida is also on their minds along with being No. 1 in the country. Bama has not been a solid play this season as a big favorite and that trend will continue. An interesting stat in this match-up is that Coach Tuberville is 14-3 straight-up and ATS when playing an undefeated conference foe. Bama wins but it is in a battle. Bama 24, Auburn 17.




DOC

4 Unit Play. #71 Take South Carolina Gamecocks over Clemson Tigers (Saturday 12:00 pm ESPN 2) This rivalry has lost its luster as both teams are going through disappointing seasons. Would have been reluctant to use SC after being crushed by Florida, but they had a week off to put that behind them. The Tigers beat Virginia last week in Charlottesville; however, the Cavs outgained them but the Tigers took advantage of four turnovers. The big problem all season for Clemson has been its offense, as their strong running attack has gone south. The last three games have been tight in this match-up; however, I firmly believe South Carolina is more talented and has a better coach. The Gamecocks get their revenge as we collect in the process as well. USC 24, Clemson 17



DOC

4 Unit Play. #73 Take Oklahoma Sooners over Oklahoma State Cowboys (Saturday 8:00 pm ESPN) It is not always smart laying points on the road especially in a big rivalry game; however, I feel strong that the Cowboys will not be able to match the scoring machine of the Sooners. The Sooners are on a mission after the bowl loss last season and the offense is loaded with talent around QB Bradford. No question that the Cowboys program has advanced but still not up to the OU caliber yet. Oklahoma needs an impressive victory to sway voters and they pull away early in this match-up and never look back. OU 48, OK St 24.




DOC

4 Unit Play. #65 Take Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets over Georgia Bulldogs (Saturday 12:00 pm CBS) Yellow Jackets have played better then anyone could of guessed under Coach Paul Johnson and would be 9-2 had they not given the game away late against North Carolina. They already have road wins in Boston and Death Valley and they have the talent to match up with the Bulldogs in this battle. As for Georgia, certainly cannot knock their success but their problems lie on the defense. Tech will have success running the football and Coach Johnson is 13-3 ATS as an underdog since 2003. Like the Jackets chances here and the points make it even more attractive. Call the upset. Ga Tech 27, Georgia 23.

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Louisiana Tech - AiS shows an 82% probability La-Tech will lose this game by 4 or fewer points. Two forces oppose one another in this game. Nevada knows how to stop the run and La-tech knows how to run the ball. Nevada does not have a good secondary at all and many teams simply designed their attack to go after that weakness. Also, there were many games Nevada forced the opposition to abandon the run simply because Nevada had achieved a big lead. The same can be said of La-tech games. They know how to defend the run, but they don't have as weak a secondary as Nevada. Based on my research, I just don't see how Nevada will contain the rushing attack and this running game will set-up strong play action passing opportunities in the second half. Supporting this graded play is a strong money line system that has produced a record of 38-40 for just 49%, but has made 51 units in profits since 1992. Play against road favorites versus the money line that are off a home loss against opponent off a road win. The average play has been a dog of +238. Again, this is like playing Black Jack and being paid $2.38 for every winning $1.00 hand played with the game odds still set at roughly 50%. That will NEVER happen at the casino, but now you have a system that requires a little work, but you will be rewarded well for that work. Take La-Tech and look for the SU win.

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Georgia Bulldogs - Saturday November 29, 2008 12:00 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +8 (-110) (Normal)

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College FootballGame: Auburn Tigers @ Alabama Crimson Tide - Saturday November 29, 2008 3:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Alabama Crimson Tide -14.5 (-110) (Normal)


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Florida Gators @ Florida State Seminoles - Saturday November 29, 2008 3:30 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) ATS: Florida State Seminoles +16.5 (-110) (Normal)

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20* Alabama -14.5
10* Georgia Tech +7.5
10* USC -31.5
10* Kansas @ Missouri 10* OVER 69
10* Florida @ Florida St 3:30 PM EST 10* OVER 55
NBA 10* Denver -4
CBB 10* Massachusetts +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Special K

Saturday College Football 20* Super K-bomb:
379 20* Super K-bomb - South Carolina Gamecocks

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton,

Saturday's winners ...
20 Dime: GEORGIA TECH (plus the points vs. Georgia)



10 Dime: SOUTH CAROLINA (vs. Clemson)



10 Dime: MISSOURI (minus the points vs. Kansas)





Georgia Tech



Ten days ago, Georgia Tech gashed one of the best defenses in the nation (Miami, Fla.) for 472 rushing yards in a 41-23 rout. Today, the Yellow Jackets face a Georgia defense that has given up 167.4 rushing yards (not to mention nearly 24 points) in its last five games, including 33.3 points and 178.3 rushing yards in its last three … and Georgia Tech is catching well over a touchdown? Against its biggest in-state rival? This makes no sense to me at all!



It makes even less sense when you consider that Georgia Tech is 8-3 SU and 7-2-1 ATS on the season, with only one of its defeats (28-7 at North Carolina) coming by more than a touchdown. Granted, the ACC is down this year compared with the SEC, but with the way the Yellow Jackets run the football (270 rush yards per game) and play defense (16.7 points, 296.7 total yards per game allowed), there’s no doubt in my mind they can cover this pointspread … if not win outright.



Georgia, which barely beat lowly Auburn in its last game two weeks ago (17-13 as a nine-point road favorite), has been dreadful against the spread, going 3-7-1 ATS on the season and 1-6 ATS in its last seven, including three straight non-covers at home. Also, the Bulldogs’ last two wins were each four-point victories.



The road team is 8-1-1 ATS the last 10 years in this rivalry, and the one push came in the Yellow Jackets’ last trip to Georgia when they blew a 12-0 first-half lead and lost 15-12 as a three-point underdog.



Throw in the fact that first-year Georgia Tech coach Paul Johnson is 13-3 ATS in his last 16 games as an underdog going back to 2003 and his days at Navy, and I’ll gladly take the generous points with confidence!





South Carolina



Think the Ol’ Ball Coach and his Gamecocks are still fuming over that debacle at Florida two weeks ago? Think they’d like to take some frustrations out on archrival Clemson, which has struggled to score points pretty much all season and which knocked South Carolina out of a bowl last year? The answers to those questions are “yes” and “yes”!



After holding its first 10 opponents to 24 points or less and an average of just 15.6 points per game, South Carolina became the latest defense to get run over by the Gators in an ugly 56-6 loss. This week, though, the Gamecocks’ solid defense catches a break, as Clemson has scored 17 points or fewer in four of its last seven games – and that’s in the weak ACC. Last week against Virginia, the Tigers managed just 13 points, and they also scored just 17 against both Maryland and Georgia Tech and only seven against Wake Forest. And if you discount a 27-point effort at Florida State (Clemson got a garbage touchdown late), the only Division I-A teams the Tigers put points up against was Duke (31), North Carolina State (27) and Boston College (27).



True, Clemson’s defense (21 points or less allowed in nine of 11 games) has made up for the offense’s deficiencies. However, prior to the Florida disaster, Steve Spurrier’s offense had been clicking in putting up 23 points or more in six of its previous seven games (all six were victories). Also, the Tigers have just four wins against Division I competition, but two of those opponents (N.C. State and Duke) aren’t exactly powerhouses. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are 7-4 on the season with three of the losses – including a 14-7 defeat to Georgia – were by exactly seven points, meaning South Carolina has been in every game this year except for the last one.



Finally, as if they needed added motivation against a hated rival, the Gamecocks have some. Last year, Clemson kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired to steal a 23-21 win on South Carolina’s home field to knock the ‘Cocks out of a bowl. Well, today, it’s the Tigers who need a win to go bowling, and you know South Carolina would love nothing more than to return the favor. They’ll do it as the road team wins for the fourth straight year in this rivalry.





Missouri



You could argue that there’s no motivation for Missouri to cover this massive spread, seeing as the Tigers have already clinched the Big 12 North title and a berth in next week’s much-anticipated conference championship game. Except for the fact that they’re playing their biggest rival in Kansas. For that reason alone, there’s little doubt that given the opportunity to pour it on, Missouri will do just that.



Well, considering the poor state of Kansas’ defense, I see no reason why the Tigers won’t find the end zone early and often. The Jayhawks, who have lost four of their last five games, have given up 33 points or more six times in their last nine contests. And against the four prolific offenses that Kansas has faced – Texas, Nebraska, Texas Tech and Oklahoma – it has given up a total of 178 points, or 44.5 points per contest! Obviously, with Chase Daniel running the show, Missouri’s offense definitely falls under the “prolific” category. The Tigers are averaging 45.7 points and 512.3 total yards, and they’ve scored at least 31 points in all but one game this year.



Additionally, during its current four-game winning streak, Missouri has outscored its opponents 182-72, or an average margin of victory of 28 points per game, and the Tigers have outgained those four opponents by a total of 532 yards!



Yes, Kansas can score points, too, but against the three best teams they’ve faced this year (Texas, Texas Tech and Oklahoma), the Jayhawks averaged just 19.7 points. And Missouri’s defense comes into this one having allowed an average of 18 ppg during its four-game winning streak and the Tigers have held six of their last 10 opponents to 21 points or fewer. Missouri has won and covered the last two meetings against Kansas, and with this game being played on a neutral field in Kansas City, it’s interesting to note that the Tigers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 away from home. Lay the big price, as Missouri rolls by at least three TDs.

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

20* Oklahoma St

[Mr. IWS]

Iron Horse Rivalry 10* GOY is on the Florida Gators

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Saturday, November 29, 2008
High Noon
#379 South Carolina +1 Noon EST

[Mr. IWS]

Tommy Rider
------------------

College Football Total Of The Month

3* Over 69 Missouri / Kansas @ 1230 Et

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK Club 11/29 FB
7 units Tenn -3.5
6 units Oregon St -3
5 units Memphis -14
5 units Maryland +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

M@LINSKY

GAME: Georgia Tech @ Georgia Nov 29, 2008 12:00PM
SPORT: College Football Picks
PICK: Georgia

REASON FOR PICK: 4* #366 GEORGIA over GEORGIA TECH

We started the college football regular season by having a lot of success taking the S.E.C. against a vastly inferior A.C.C. when the right pairings were available, and what better way to spend a Saturday than by not only re-visiting that particular concept, but also using an annual series that has provided us meat to put between the bread many times?

Here is the gist of this one – Georgia has won seven straight against Georgia Tech, going 5-1-1 ATS in the process, and beating the pointspread by a combined 65.5 points over those games. How do the oddsmakers miss such a series by an average of 9.5 points per contest over such a span? Because basically we get the same layout each time – the previous two months Georgia Tech is taking on much inferior competition than Georgia, and it sets up perceptions that just do not match the true realities of the gap between these programs. It is the same again here, and with the marketplace helping to drop this one into our laps we can step in again.

The Yellow Jackets have adapted better to Paul Johnson’s offensive schemes than we thought that they would in his first season, but some of that has to be taken with a grain of salt – they were playing in a weak conference, and most opposing defenses were seeing these designs for the first time. Now they not only have to face a Georgia defense loaded with athleticism up front, but it is also a defense that has two full weeks to prepare for those tactics, including a chance to sit back and watch Tech on national television last Thursday night. That helps not just tactically, but the fact that the Yellow Jackets were blowing out Miami also fully alerts Mark Richt’s squad to the challenge that is at hand.

Not only does Georgia bring the defensive tools here, but that outstanding corps of skill players can make plays vs. a defense that has not seen anything near this class of offense all season. The emotions will run particularly high on the Bulldog sidelines, because we are being told that this will be QB Matthew Stafford’s last game between the hedges. Stafford, Knowshon Moreno and the rest of the cast can exploit a Tech defense that will be without key LB Sedric Griffin (their third leading tackler), and S Dominique Reese, and while the Jackets do hope to have Jahi Word-Daniels back in the secondary, he has missed the last four games with a hamstring injury, and his timing will be an issue.

[Mr. IWS]

FRANK PATRON

30000 UNIT GAME OF MY CAREER #32

TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE -16

Forget Marshall staying with this team today because its not happening. Forget about the Thundering Herds week 1 win over Illinois State when they scored 35 points. Since that game that have scored in the 30s just twice this year but heres the bigger problem they have scored over 21 just 3 times excluding week 1.

Tulsa has scored below 40 points just 3 times this season and over 30 points in every game except for their loss at Arkansas. This team will score at will today and I do not see how Marshall will be able to match it. Look for Tulsa to at least 50 on this Marshall team as I feel this will be one major blowout.

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law - CFB
MANHATTAN SYNDICATE PLAY - Game of the Year
4% on WASHINGTON STATE +28.5

SATURDAY NCAA SELECTIONS
2% on MIAMI -1.5
2% on TENNESSEE -4
2% on VIRGINIA +8
2% on NEW MEXICO STATE +6
2% on DUKE +8
1% on WASHINGTON STATE +$1200

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Saturday, November 29, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:

Hammer Play

#352 Memphis -14 3:30 EST





Youngstown Connection
Date: Saturday, November 29, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:

False Favorite

#356 Rice +3 3:30 EST

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* CFB BEST BET WINNER!
Pick # 1 Georgia Tech / Georgia Under 49.5 -110
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe


College Football
North Carolina/Duke Over 44
For the first time in many years we cant say that we are looking forward to just the basketball matchup between both schools. Duke really turned the page this year and are no longer the laughing stock of college football. UNC has great athletes and themselves had a good year. Duke will not be playing in a bowl game so this is it today. UNC can lock up a decent bowl game if they get to 8 wins on the year. Look for the athletic ability for both teams to shine today. This should be a back and forth shootout. Take the Over.

Tennessee -4 over Kentucky
The Vols were picked on by the media all year which lead to coach Fulmers departure. This will be his last home game and he has done a lot for this program and his players have his respect. Tennessee still has the athletic ability to beat a lot of good football teams. This year they were plagued by turnovers. Look for the Vols to send their coach out in style today. Take Tennessee.

Baylor +22 over Texas Tech
The pressure of winning might catch up with Tech today. This football team needs a lot of help from their competition for things to work out for them in a title game. Baylor is much like Duke as they have turned the corner. Baylor has a decent running QB who will control the clock when they have the ball. I do not think Baylor can win outright, but they should keep it close.

NBA Basketball
TWolves +4.5 over Nuggets

NCAA Basketball
Detroit +2.5 over St. Louis

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

NCAA Football
4 units on Georgia Tech +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Baylor +21.5
20* Big Ticket Memphis -14
Utah State -5.5
Kentucky +4
South Carolina +1

[Mr. IWS]

Hsw
Early Phone 7* Texas Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
20* Goy / Kentucky


10*louis tech
10*kansas
10*oregon
10*s.carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast totals
3* new mex st over 60
3* uab under 48-
marquee tv-georgia -7-
marquee-missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning
20* Kansas
10*vandy
10*utah st.
10*okla. st.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line
College Play Of The Week Auburn, Tv Play Of The Day Virginia Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Pure Lock Confirmed
Cfb
Tulsa @ Marshall 3:30 Pm Est
Play On: Tulsa (-) Pts


Nba
Golden State @ New York 7:35 Pm Est
Play On: Golden State (+) Pts

Cleveland @ Milwaukee 9:05 Pm Est
Play On: Cleveland (-) Pts


Cbb
Loyola Marymount @ Arkansas Little Rock 8:00 Pm Est
Play On: Arkansas Little Rock (-) Pts

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NEVADA vs LOUISIANA TECH


Play: NEVADA -4.5 (COLLEGE FOOTBALL)
Comments:
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): FLORIDA vs FLORIDA STATE


Play: GATORS / SEMINOLES OVER 55 (COLLEGE FOOTBALL)
Comments:
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): INDIANA STATE vs DEPAUL


Play: DEPAUL -10 ( COLLEGE BASKETBALL)
Comments:
LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): OHIO vs GEORGE MASON


Play: GEORGE MASON -5.5 ( COLLEGE BASKETBALL)
Comments:

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast
4 tenn, maryland
3 scar, memphis

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman trophy club



under Georgia tech

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Full Service Line
Triple Crown Sports 4* Denver Nuggets

[Mr. IWS]

Matt FArgo
TITLE: **8** CBB Non-Conference Game of the Month
REASON FOR PICK: **8** CBB Non-Conference Game of the Month Xavier is coming off a tournament win in Puerto Rico with big wins over Missouri, Virginia Tech and Memphis. None of those victories were dominating and any one of them could have been lost but because of the wins, we catch some awesome line value here. This is the exact setup we had last night with Syracuse as it was also back home off a tournament win and nearly lost at home as a 16-point chalk. The linesmakers had no choice but to over adjust this line.


Miami Ohio is up to its same old tricks and that is playing an extremely tough non-conference slate. It has already faced UCLA and Pittsburgh and even though both were losses, they will be good going forward. The RedHawks only lost by five to UCLA and they were completely mismatched against the Panthers. They did bounce back last time out and held Wright St. to just 37 points on 26.5 percent shooting. That is the defensive effort you can expect every time out with this team.



One thing that really jumps out with Xavier compared to its big run last season is obviously experience. But with that comes other factors that are affected and free throw shooting is at the top of the list. The Musketeers were one of the best teams in the country last season in free throw shooting but this season they have been well below average, shooting just 65.7 percent. Conversely, Miami is very experienced and it is hitting a solid 79.7 percent from the stripe. That alone is worth a few extra points. 8* Miami Ohio RedHawks

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock CLub Hoops
5 George Mason -6
4 Nebraska -4.5
3 Portland -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

NC Phones

4* Tennessee
4* Maryland
3* South Carolina
3* Memphis
3* Utah St./OVER
3* UAB/UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Football
300 S carolina
200 Cinn
100 oklahoma
100 memphis
100 so miss
100 north carolina
100 tulsa
100 georgia Vegas Steam

[Mr. IWS]

Budin 25 dime

Memphis

[Mr. IWS]

Score
300%-VA TECH-OREGON
400%-BAMA

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky
6* South Carolina +1
4* Georgia -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

NBA
5* Okla City-Memphis over 195.5 *****
3* Miami +1.5

College
4* Wyoming -11
3* Northeastern + 3.5
3* ST.Bonnies - 3

[Mr. IWS]

ATS FINANCIAL

4 utah
4 tulsa
4 s.carolina

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex 20* Superplay...Kentucky

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp CFB

Oregon State -3

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners

NCAA Football
3 star Rice +3 over Houston
3 star Oregon +3 over Oregon St.
3 star Missouri -16 over Kansas St.

NBA
1 star Wizards -1 over Hawks
1 star Timberwolves +4.5 over Denver
1 star Bucks +7 over Cavs

NCAA Hoops
1 star Detroit +2 over St. Louis
1 star Kentucky +8 over West Virginia
1 star California -3.5 over Fla. St

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens

10-1 NBA run

Wash/Atl under 200.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Brando Sports High Volume Program 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 10-1-0 for +930.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 9-1-0)
NCAA ATS Plays 78-61-5/+630.00 Units (Special 150 Units 9-8, Top 100 Units 64-53-4, Reg 50 Units 5-0)
NCAA Money Lines 17-20/+98.75 Units (Top 100 Units 2-0, Regular 50 Units 9-10, Light 25 Units 6-10)
NFL Regular Season ATS Plays 49-35-0 for +630.00 Units (Special 150 Units 10-7, Top 100 Units 39-28)
NFL Regular Season Money Line Plays 17-20/-25.00 Units (Regular 50 Units 11-11, Light 25 Units 6-9)

Dominic Brando Sports Saturday NCAA College Football High Volume Program Report #1:
NCAA Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #363 OKLAHOMA -6/-130 over Oklahoma State
NCAA Special 150 Unit Executive Max Out: #379 SOUTH CAROLINA PICK/-115 over Clemson
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #342 BOSTON COLLEGE -6/-115 over Maryland
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #371 FLORIDA -15/-120 over Florida State
NCAA Top Rated 100 Unit Golden Star Lock: #374 TENNESSEE -3/-130 over Kentucky

Pending NFL/NCAA Teaser Club Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock 4 Team 14 Point Teaser Isolation:
1) #305 TENNESSEE TITANS +3.5 over Detroit Lions (Winner 47-10)
2) #308 DALLAS COWBOYS +1.5 over Seattle Seahawks (Winner 34-9)
3) #318 MISSISSIPPI REBELS PICK over Mississippi State Bulldogs (In-Action/Pending)
4) #352 MEMPHIS TIGERS +1.5 over Tulane Green Wave (Saturday 3:30 PM ET)

[Mr. IWS]

ras 2 unit side
idaho st

[Mr. IWS]

Mark Lawrence


* GOM Florida State

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 100 DIME College Football Rivalry Game of the Year (SF1)

Kansas (69) vs Missouri (-16) @ Kansas City - 12:30 p.m. EST




I have played against an overrated Kansas team several times this year and will do so again this afternoon as Missouri, which was denied a chance at so much (conference title, BCS bowl) with a loss to the Jayhawks last year, gains some serious revenge with this win and cover. Statistically, the Tigers are better than Kansas in scoring, scoring defense, total offense and total defense, passing offense and passing defense, passing efficiency and pass defense efficiency, kickoff returns, punting, kickoff coverage, field goal and PAT kicking, sacks, sacks against, first downs gained and third-down conversions. Don’t count on Mizzou looking ahead to next week’s Big 12 championship game as the Tigers don’t even know who they’ll be facing. Their attention is squarely focused on beating the Jayhawks. Chase Daniel has been hot under center for Mizzou and in his last two games versus Kansas he has tossed for more than 700 yards, seven TDs and no INTs. He gets standout TE Chase Coffman back in the lineup today and he and WR Jeremy Maclin should have big games. Also, Tiger RB Derrick Washington should pick up big yards on this suspect KU defense that ranks just eighth in the conference. KU has a poor pass rush and the secondary has only 10 picks this season. No wonder the Jayhawks’ pass defense is ranked 114th in the country. On offense, KU is hobbling as both QB Todd Reesing and WR Kerry Meier will play but aren’t 100 percent. RB Jake Sharp is listed as doubtful with an undisclosed injury. The offensive line has had protection issues and is facing a Missouri defense that is steadily improving. Against Big 12 North foes this year, the Tigers’ No. 1 unit has allowed just four TD drives. Free safety William Moore has been a stud and the Tiger defense will come to play. And the Tigers have a decided advantage in the special teams and the KU return units have been very sub-par. Kansas has been a pretender in big games this year and against upper echelon teams like Mizzou such as Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Nebraska and Texas, the Hawks are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS (backdoor cover) being outscored by 24 ppg and out-gained by 153 ypg. Missouri will have a decided crowd advantage and comes in 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 neutral site games. The straight-up winner has covered 10 straight meetings and that’s not changing this afternoon as Missouri rolls.





MISSOURI (-16) 100 Dimes
Stu's 75 DIME College Football No Brainers (Two Pack) (SF2)







Baylor (71) at Texas Tech (-22) - 3:30 p.m. EST



Humiliated last week at Oklahoma, the Red Raiders of Texas Tech still have tons to play for and they will bounce back in style and post a huge number in covering this number against Baylor. Seventh-ranked Texas Tech can still claim a spot in the Big 12 title game with as win this afternoon and an Oklahoma loss later this evening at Oklahoma State. They know they have to take care of business first and they have much respect for this much-improved Baylor outfit. But the Bears will have their hands more than full with this Red Raider offense that is averaging 45.5 ppg and 551 ypg. Baylor has really struggled in the past against Mike Leach’s offenses as Texas Tech (which has won 12 straight over the Bears) has completed 70 percent of its passes for a 27-to-6 TD-INT ratio and averaged 470 passing yards the last six meetings. This game is in Lubbock and it’s Senior Day. At home this year, the Red Raiders are outscoring opponents by 25 ppg and out-gaining them by 232 ypg. On the road this year, Baylor is being outscored by 17 ppg and out-gained by 149 ypg. Baylor has the nation’s 84th ranked pass defense and is facing Graham Harrell, Michael Crabtree and a Texas Tech offense that is ranked third overall in the country. With a chance to tie school records for single-season wins and conference victories, this will be a focused Red Raiders team today. Texas Tech has covered 14 of its last 18 home finales and is a series run of 15-2 SU and 14-3 ATS the last 17 meetings. In winning 12 straight over Baylor, Texas Tech has won by an average margin of 30 ppg. Yes Baylor has gotten a lot out of freshman QB Robert Griffin this year, but this is a Texas Tech defense that had played well this year before getting steamrolled on the ground last week by the Sooners. Baylor will not be able to push around Texas Tech like OU did last week in Norman, and while Griffin will make some plays, he and the Bears won’t be able to keep pace. The Red Raiders were embarrassed on national TV last week, but the team is 21-10 ATS off a scoreboard loss and they have everything in the world to play for this afternoon. Leach will have them ready and the Red Raiders will score early and often in winning this game by four touchdowns or more.




TEXAS TECH (-22) 75 Dimes








--------------------------------------------------------------------------------







Tulane (51) at Memphis (-14) - 3:30 p.m. EST



Memphis is as healthy as its been in a long, long time. Tulane is battered and bruised on both sides of the football. The Tigers need this win to become bowl eligible. Tulane, losers of seven straight, just wants this nightmare season to end. And it will today at the Liberty Bowl as Memphis dominates the Green Wave and wins this by at least three touchdowns. Memphis is on a 10-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS runs in this series and have won the last four by an average score of 38-19. Last week, despite out-gaining Central Florida by a 305-194 margin (allowed just 42 yards in the second half), the Tigers blew a chance to become bowl eligible as they allowed a fumble returned for a score and had a blocked punt to set up another as they fell 28-21. That game was QB Arkelon Hall’s first back after a month off due to a thumb injury. He was rusty, but he’ll be much better today against a woeful Tulane defense that gave up 56 points last week to Tulsa, but more importantly 593 yards including a whopping 489 rushing yards! Not only is Hall healthy again, but so is RB Curtis Steele and his backup Charlie Jones. Steele battled illness and a stout Central Florida run defense last week, but he should run and run and run (Tigers average 190 yrg) against this porous Green Wave that ranks second-to-last in C-USA in run defense and is ranked 103rd in the nation in scoring defense. Tulane is last in the country in tackles for losses (Memphis had 11 tackles for loss in last week’s game alone). This Tulane defense has allowed at least 500 yards in three straight games. Offensively, they’re ranked 112th in the country in scoring and have lost star RB Andre Anderson, another RB in Albert Williams and top WR Jeremy Williams to season-ending injuries. The three had accounted for 15 of the team’s 22 touchdowns. The Memphis defense, ranked third in the conference against the pass, has gotten back DT Clinton McDonald from injury and the Tigers will be able to stuff this weak Tulane offense. Twenty of the Tigers’ 25 seniors are in the two-deep depth chart (two more would be if not for injury) and on Senior Day and with an opportunity to become bowl eligible, the Tigers will roll big time over a Tulane squad (losers of five straight by double digits) that is riddled with injury and has all but quit. Memphis big time.



MEMPHIS (-14) 75 Dimes
King's 80 DIME Saturday College Football Trifecta (BK1)









South Carolina (40') at Clemson (-1) - Noon, EST





Spurrier is coming off the worst loss of his college coaching career and I am sure the Gamecocks are coming off the longest two weeks of practice in a long time. The truth is that South Carolina is a few key players short of being a powerhouse program.



Spurrier's former program, the Gators, humiliated him 56-6 two weeks ago and Spurrier will not need much more incentive than that to have his team ready. There is only one thing South Carolina fans would like more than beating Clemson and that is doing it on the Tigers home field. These two teams hate each other and South Carolina has been looking for blood since last year and these two weeks, after the Gator loss, have been plenty of time for the 'Cocks to prepare.




Spurrier can even up his SU mark against Clemson with a win in Death Valley today. Tommy Bowden was able to dominate South Carolina during his tenure but with Bowden relieved of his coaching duties and "newbie" head coach Swinney at the help Clemson will be outmatched on the coaching end for certain.



Clemson is 2-9 ATS in season finales and 0-5 ATS off a SU win. Spurrier on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in season finales off of a loss (3-0 as a dog) and South Carolina is on a 5-0-1 ATS run after a double digit ATS loss.



The last 3 in this series have been decided by less than nine points and you can expect the tenacious defensive front of South Carolina to test the sub par "O-Line" of Clemson. The Gamecocks are playing to be New Years Bowl Eligible for the first time under Spurrier.



Clemson has only a slight offensive edge while the defensive and strength of schedule edge is clearly the Gamecocks. Look for South Carolina to get their pound of flesh this week, after the embarassing Gators loss, in a game that will be a battle of field position and decided by less than 7.



Take South Carolina with the revenge factor and Gator loss big motivators. South Carolina plus the point is the play.





South Carolina (+1) 40 Dimes







--------------------------------------------------------------------------------





Houston (78') at Rice (+3) - 3:30 p.m. EST



I feel Houston is not getting enough credit today after their poor showing last week in which they had to come back late to get the win and keep their hopes of winning the Conference USA West alive. Now in a position to clinch the West title you can expect a different Cougar team to show up today.



Even though Houston let UTEP stay in that game they still outgained them 700-462 and Houston is now averaging 678 ypg and 51 ppg over the last 3 games. I am hearing all about Rice QB Clement and he is talented and the all time Conference USA TD leader. He averages over 300 ypg and has a 36:7 ratio. But look at Keenum. Keenum is averaging 389 ypg with a 69% completion percentage and a 38:9 ratio while leading the number two passing offense in the country.



Houston is just 1-4 ATS on the road going to face a Rice squad that has won 5 in a row (4-1 ATS). These schools are just 5 miles apart however so Rice's home field advantage is minimized with what is expected to be a strong Houston showing. Houston has won three straight in this series (1-2 ATS) but they were laying big numbers the last 3 years. This year heading into this game Rice's strong last 5 and Houston's poor showing last week when favored by 17 have gotten us tremendous value with this low line.



I know Clement is playing his last game in front of the home crowd but this game is just too big for Keenum and Houston. Last Keenum and company torched the Rice "D" for 21 unanswered points and a shocking come from behind win. Houston amassed 748 yards of offense in that game and they have only improved. Houston's defensive leaks won't be enough to keep Rice in this game. Houston got caught looking ahead last week. They are ready today. Houston comes in with a clear statistical advantage. Take Houston minus the small number to win easily today at Rice.





HOUSTON (-3) 20 Dimes





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



Oregon (58) at Oregon State (-3) - 7:00 p.m. EST



Analysis By 1 PM, EST



OREGON (+3) 20 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso other BB
5 units Ball St -4.5
4 units WVU -7.5
3 units W Carolina -7.5
3 units Mavs -5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 50 unit BB
South Florida -4

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky
6* South Carolina +1
4* Georgia -7.5


6* Memphis -13.5
4* Florida/Flor St Under 56
4* Oregon/Oregon State Under 58


6* 9-11 in football
4* 89-62 in football

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

North Carolina at Duke
Prediction: Duke

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Duke - AiS shows an 80% probability that Duke will lose this game by 7 or fewer points. AiS shows a 90% probability that Duke will not gain more than 250 net passing yards. Note that UNC is just 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards since 1992. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 52-22 ATS for 70% since 1992, Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points poor rushing team gaining 100-140 RY/game against a team with an average rushing defense allowing 140-190 RY/game and after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games.

Florida at Florida St
Prediction: Florida St

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Florida State - AiS shows an 82% probability that FSU will lose this game by 16 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 32-8 ATS for 80% since 1997. Play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a good rushing D allowing 125 or less rushing yards/game and after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Here is a second and very simple system that has gone 29-6 ATS for 83% Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points off a road win. Fine tuning this system to include only Saturday games produces 90% ATS winning percentage. FSU is also a strong 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a top-level team with a win percentage of > 75% since 1992. Bowden is a solid 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games versus good teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since being the HC of FSU, whihc is a long, very long, time. Take FSU.


Southern Miss at SMU
Prediction: SMU

Ai Simulator 5* graded play on SMU - AiS shows an 82% probability that SMU will lose this game by 15 or fewer points. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 42-11 ATA for 79% since 2002. Play against road favorites team with a turnover differential of +0.75/game or better facing a team with a differential of -0.75/game or worse, in conference games. Here is a second system that has gone 74-33 ATS for 69% since 2002. Play on home dogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games with an experienced QB returning as starter. SM has ripped off 3 straight wins and covered all three as well. Note, however, that SM is just 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. SMU HC JIm Jones is in a solid role noting that he is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off 2 straight losses against conference rivals in all games he has coached since 1992. Take SMU

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 50 unit BB
South Florida -4

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

7:00pm Pacific - #568 Portland -2.5 for 1 UNIT

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback
4* under ok st 75

4* memphis -13 1/2

hoops
under denver..4*

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Vernon Croy
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (NHL) - 7:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -113 Philadelphia Flyers Play Title: Eastern Conference Game of the Month
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
20 Units, Take Philadelphia ML, We are getting solid value here Saturday night with the overall better team and this pick falls into one of my top NHL systems. The Leafs have allowed an average of 4 goals per game over their last 5 games and they are also winless in their last 5 games. The Flyers come into this game on a high winning 6 of their last 7 games including 3 on the road against a lot better teams than the Leafs. The Leafs have struggled killing penalties at home this season with opponents converting 27.5% against them with the extra man and the Flyers penalty kill has been solid with opponents converting just 3.9% against them over their last 5 games. The Leafs are just 5-16 in their last 21 games when their opponents score 2 goals or less in their previous game and the Flyers are 5-1 in their last 6 games when playing with no days rest. Take Philadelphia as my Eastern Conference Game of the Month and make sure you get on my CFB Rivalry Game of the Year that goes tonight.