12-13-08

[Mr. IWS]

::moneybag::

[Mr. IWS]

Balfe

NBA Basketball
Hawks +5 over Cavs

NCAA Basketball
Tennessee -6 over Temple

[timbob]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

Early card for 12/13, Good Luck!!

NHL:

1* Flyers -130
1* Flyers/Pens over 6 even
1* Kings even
1* Oilers -130

NCAAB:

1* UNC -35
2* BYU -17
2* Kansas -18
3* Alabama -3
4* Georgetown -3 (I got this very early, I would still play this up to -6 as a 4*, above -6 this drops to a 3*)

NBA:

2* Cavs -5
2* Kings -3
2* Knicks/Kings over 219
2* Jazz -4

[timbob]

CONFIDENTIAL TIP-OFF BASKETBALL
Saturday, Dec. 13

*DELAWARE over Ohio (Day game)...CTO scouts report surging Delaware (4 straight covers) ready to make a move in Colonial League, bolstered by key addition of Saint Joseph’s transfer 5-11 G Jawan Carter (18 ppg), who has quickly blended with a hungry, veteran supporting cast. So, willing to buck transitioning Ohio (under new HC Croce) playing its 5th game in 8 days, including all-out tussle vs. ranked instate foe Xavier on Dec. 10. Blue Hens nifty, pass-first sr. PG Brian Johnson (8 ppg, 5 apg) breaks down semi-weary Bobcat defense that might not be fully-focused. *DELAWARE 75 - Ohio 65 RATING - 10

[timbob]

THE GOLD SHEET
NBA FORECAST

NBA KEY RELEASES
DENVER by 21 over Golden State (Sat., Dec. 13)

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 13
Cleveland 103 - ATLANTA 92—Atlanta certainly not looking for re-run of first meeting at the “Q ,”when Hawks were left standing at the starting gate after scoring just 11 in 1st Q and 30 in 1st half of eventual 110-96 defeat. LeBron (scored 24) hardly had to play in 4th Q that night. Return of Josh Smith to lineup could help Atlanta cause, but keep in mind that surging Cavs have won and covered last 8 thru Dec. 8 and are 5-0 as road chalk thru Dec. 9. 08-CLE -11' 110-96 (197); 07-CLE -5 98-94 (185), ATL -2' 90-81 (188), Cle +4 100-95 (187)

Detroit 100 - CHARLOTTE 99—Let’s see if Charlotte fares a bit better in
rematch than it did when getting popped by 18 at Auburn Hills back on Nov. 3. Pistons hit 50% from floor that night and dominated backboards by 49-35 count. Bobcats, however, beginning to show signs of absorbing Larry Brown’s style, driving to the basket and posting up more often while shooting outside jumpers a bit less. Recent benefactor has been Emeka Okafor, whose numbers have increased as he becomes more involved in offense. 08-Det -3' 101-83 (180); 07-DET -11' 104-85 (192), Det -10 103-100 (OT-187), DET -11' 113-87 (189)

PHILADELPHIA 101 - Washington 92—We’re not likely to see much
improvement from Washington until Gilbert Arenas returns to lineup around New Year’s. In his absence, Wizard backcourt has struggled, so much so that HC Eddie Jordan was (fairly or unfairly) relieved of duties in late November. But replacement Ed Tapscott not faring much better, as DeShawn Stevenson (33% FGs) and Dee Brown (36% from floor) continue to launch brick after brick from floor. 07-WA -6' 116-101 (184), PHI -2 85-84 (196), PHI +1' 101-96 (190), WA -2 109-93 (194)

New Jersey 107 - CHICAGO 103—New Jersey continuing to prove a pleasant surprise, covering 9 of last 12 thru Dec. 9. Moreover, frisky Nets unexpectedly flourishing on the road, winning 7 of first 10 SU away. Good balance (all starters scored DDs in Dec. 5 romp past T-wolves) and deep bench allowing HC Frank to substitute in waves as he extracts maximum effort from troops. Which means New Jersey should have no trouble accommodating Chicago’s uptempo preference. 07-NJ -2 112-103 (OT-187), NJ +3' 110-102 (OT-189), CHI -6' 112-96 (200)

MILWAUKEE 101 - Indiana 93—Milwaukee seeking to turn around recent
series fortunes after losing last 3 vs. Central rival Indiana last season. Bucks not faring badly in early going as Bradley Center chalk, covering 5 of first 6 in role, as team has begun to embrace HC Scott Skiles’ emphasis on defensive end. Note Indiana no wins or covers last 3 on road thru Dec. 9. 07-MIL -5 104- 92 (209), IND -6 128-106 (216), Ind -1 105-101 (221), IND -9' 105-97 (217)

DALLAS 104 - Oklahoma City 94—Although Ok City’s losing ways recently cost HC P.J. Carlesimo his job, Thunder has been more competitive past few weeks, dropping just 1 of last 8 spread decisions thru Dec. 7. That’s perhaps due to new HC Scott Brooks “going small” with lineup, with Kevin Durant and Jeff Green each moved “up” to SF & PF, respectively, rookie Russell Westbrook now at PG, with Damien Wilkins & Chris Wilcox completing new-look starting quintet that’s helping Ok City improve scoring by 10 ppg since lineup revamp. 07-Dal -9 90-70 (195),
DAL -15 111-96 (203), DAL -18 99-83 (204), OKLA +10' 99-95 (200)

UTAH 102 - Orlando 94—Utah’s fortunes figure to improve with frontliner
Matt Harpring (scored 14 in first extended action of season Dec. 5 vs. Toronto) contributing again after ankle and back problems, star G Deron Williams rounding into form after nagging ankle and hip flexor ailments, and F Carlos Boozer due back soon from quad injury. In meantime, 3rd-year F Paul Millsap really beginning to assert himself, and Ohio State rookie 7-footer Kosta Koufos making worthwhile contributions on offensive end. Meanwhile, Orlando rookie G Courtney Lee (WKU), suddenly becoming a factor on attack. 07-Utah +4 113-94 (208), UTAH -7 119-115 (212)

DENVER 122 - Golden St. 101—It’s payback time for Denver after
getting spanked by 10 at Oakland Nov. 5. Remember, however, that was right after the big A.I. for Chauncey Billups trade, and Nuggets were minus both for that game (Iverson traded, but Billups had yet to arrive for that early-season meeting). Nuggets are 13-4 SU (thru Dec. 9) since the Billups trade, while Warriors on debilitating 9-game SU losing streak thru Dec. 7. “Totals” alert —Warriors “over” 12-4 last 16 thru Dec. 7. 08-GS -3 111-101 (207); 07-Den +4' 124-120 (228), Gs +4 105-95 (228), DEN -7' 119-112 (240), Den +4' 114-105 (237)

SACRAMENTO 104 - New York 100—Situation might be reaching critical
stage for Sacto HC Reggie Theus, on the hot seat as Kings’ SU losing streak grew to 8 thru Dec. 8. Perhaps recent return of high-scoring G Kevin Martin and workmanlike F Francisco Garcia to Sacto lineup will help forge turnaround...but maybe not. Yet we’re not sure N.Y. (only 3-6 vs. line away thru Dec. 8) a much better alternative, with Stephon Marbury still a potential distraction and Mike D’Antoni’s roster and lineup combos continuing to evolve. 07-SAC -3 123-118 (2OT-199), Sac +3' 107-97 (191)

Houston 98 - LA CLIPPERS 88—Houston has already beaten L.A. twice,
although Rockets couldn’t quite cover 11½-point spread in 103-96 win at Toyota Center Dec. 3. Rockets won that recent meeting minus Tracy McGrady, who might still be on sidelines for this matchup. McGrady or not, note that Houston scoring more in recent weeks (91.5 ppg first 10 games, 101.7 next 10 thru Dec. 7). And note that Rockets had won and covered 4 straight vs. Clips prior to most-recent meeting. 08-Hou -6 92-83 (181), ADD 12/3 RESULT; 07-Hou -6 88-71 (188), Hou -9 105-79 (183), HOU -14 93-75 (185)

[timbob]

COLLEGE HOOPS
SATURDAY, DECEMBER 13

Tennessee 72 - TEMPLE 62—Fran Dunphy mixing and matching expertly (as usual) with Temple, as early injuries to frontliners Allen & Olmos have forced Owls to go “small” much of first month. Now, Temple close to full strength, but unfortunately must hook potent Tennessee bunch that’s still stinging from recent Old Spice tourney loss to Gonzaga. Vols have plenty of size in 6-9 W. Chism & 6-10 B. Williams to cause problems in paint, 6-7 Tyler Smith a matchup nightmare, and heady juco G Maze lending much-needed stability to Bruce Pearl’s helter-skelter style. 07-TENN -17 80-63 CABLE TV—ESPN

OHIO ST. 55 - Butler 53—Revenge is on OSU’s mind after losing by 19 vs.
more-experienced Butler at Hinkle Fieldhouse year ago. And Thad Matta
undoubtedly thrilled with progress of Buckeyes after recent wins over Miami-Fla. & Notre Dame, with 6-7 soph Evan Turner (16.6 ppg) emerging as legit go-to threat. But underestimate well-schooled Bulldogs at your own peril. Bulldogs rebuilding on the fly, with frosh Gs Mack & Hayward displaying maturity beyond years, swingman Veasley still a stopper supreme, and 6-7 soph F Howard remaining a tricky matchup. 07-BUT -6 65-46

SYRACUSE over Long Beach St. by 14 to 17—07-DNP CABLE TV—ESPNU

DELAWARE over Ohio by 1 to 3—07-OHIO -13' 78-59

GEORGE WASHINGTON over Harvard by 11 to 14—07-DNP

Va. Commonwealth 68 - RICHMOND 61—Richmond looking to atone for 20-
point loss at crosstown rival VCU last season. And Spiders getting lots of
production in early going from Gs Gonzalvez (17.5 ppg) & Anderson (16.5 ppg). But absence of multi-dimensional 6-9 Geriot (knee) robs HC Mooney of a unique dimension (a big man who could pass and shoot) to help UR’s Princeton-like offense. Meanwhile, emergence of soph G Rodriguez (scored 20 in recent win over W&M) giving Rams necessary backcourt complement to A-A candidate Eric Maynor (23.9 ppg, 53% from floor!), and VCU athleticism rates edge. 07- VCU -14 65-45 CABLE TV—ESPNU

GEORGETOWN 73 - Memphis 66—With Memphis mentor John Calipari
switching to his 3rd PG in 6-8 true frosh Wesley Witherspoon, will endorse
geeked-up G’Town eager to atone for 14-pt. setback at hostile FedEx Forum LY. Hoyas hellacious defense (led nation in FG % allowed LY; 36% TY) should disrupt Tigers unsettled backcourt, while GT’s dynamic G duo of Sapp & Summers make up for subpar 6 of 19 FG shooting in ‘07 meeting. Game features two of the nation’s premier newcomers in Hoyas' 6-10 F Greg Monroe and UM’s 6-6 G Tyreke Evans. 07-MEM -5 85-71 TV—CBS

KANSAS over Mass. by 20 to 23—(at Kansas City, MO) 07-DNP TV—ESPN

MIAMI-OHIO 71 - Valparaiso 50—One of Miami-O’s most-bitter defeats a
year ago was double-OT “Bracket Buster” loss at Valpo. But with Crusader HC Homer Drew still looking to fill gaps caused by graduation of key offensive components Huff & Lloyd, Valpo (only one starter, F Igbavboa, scoring DDs) susceptible to payback beating as it continues to labor on attack end. Vet RedHawks should be happy to oblige, with sr. weapons 6-5 Bramos (18.3 ppg) & 6-2 Hayes (15.9 ppg) giving Charlie Coles’ bunch a chance to extend margin. 07-VAL +1 99-94 (2OT)

Florida St. over GEORGIA ST. by 6 to 8—07-FSU -20' 78-48

KENTUCKY over Indiana by 18 to 22—07-IND -7' 70-51 TV—CBS

OREGON over San Diego by 3 to 5—(at Portland, OR) 07-DNP

MICHIGAN over Eastern Michigan by 19 to 22—07-DNP

OKLAHOMA over Utah by 5 to 7—07-DNP CABLE TV—ESPN2

NEW MEXICO over Mississippi by 4 to 6—07-MISS -9 85-77

Saint Mary’s over San Diego St. by 3 to 5—(at Anaheim, CA) 07-Stm -3' 69-64 (neut.) CABLE TV—WGN
Pacific over PEPPERDINE by 5 to 7—07-Pac -8' 84-76 (neut.), Pep +13' 83-65
WYOMING over Northern Iowa by 3 to 5—(at Casper, WY) 07-DNP

West Virginia over DUQUESNE by 6 to 8—07-WVA -14 92-68

UCLA over DePaul by 14 to 17—DePaul’s chances significantly
compromised if key interior threat 6-10 C Koshwal still on shelf with foot injury that kept him out of Blue Demons’ recent ugly loss (when team shot 24% from floor) at Northwestern. (at Anaheim, CA) 07-DNP CABLE TV—WGN

PURDUE over Indiana St. by 23 to 27—07-PUR -13 71-60

EVANSVILLE over Western Kentucky by 1 to 2—07-DNP

MISSISSIPPI ST. over South Alabama by 8 to 11—07-USA -2 71-67

WISCONSIN over Wis.-Green Bay by 12 to 15—07-WIS -18' 70-52

ALABAMA over Texas A&M by 4 to 6—07-TAM -12 76-63

CINCINNATI over Xavier 1 to 2—07-XAV -19 64-59 CABLE TV—ESPN2

Nebraska over OREGON ST. by 12 to 15—07-DNP

BOISE ST. 69 - San Francisco 66—WCC sources have alerted us to keep
an eye on improved USF squad that has responded positively to new HC Rex Walters in early going. Frosh G Vaughn & juco F Wallace have added to Don firepower quotient that already included holdover F Lowhorn (21.2 ppg) and long-range bomber G Quezada. Boise’s positive start due mostly to soft early slate at friendly Taco Bell Arena, but Broncos still in adjustment phase following graduation of key frontline cogs Larry & Nelson. 07-Bsu +3 91-81

UC STA BARBARA over Loyola Marymt by 11 to 14—07-Ucsb -10' 63-56

BYU 80 - Portland 61—Portland a pleasant surprise in early going, with
addition of quicksilver juco PG Campbell (5.6 apg) igniting Pilot attack. But not sure UP can deal with bigger BYU, especially with 6-11 jr. Miles proving a more than adequate replacement for graduated C Plaisted. 07-Byu -12 78-54

[timbob]

Pointwise Basketball

NBA Selections
Key Releases
3--Utah over Orlando (12/13) 97-81

Best of the Rest
12/13--Cleveland, OK City

NCAA Key Releases
1--Michigan over Eastern Michigan (12/13) 81-50
4--Ohio State over Butler (12/13) 71-60

Best of the Rest
12/13--Kansas, Pepperdine, West Virginia, W. Kentucky, San Francisco, BYU

[timbob]

Marc Lawrence's Playbook

NBA

Saturday, December 13

UTAH over Orlando by 13
Aah… our old stand-by. We’ve fallen so in love with this play we’re thinking of applying for a patent on it. In fact, knowing the vultures in this business that prey on other people’s hard work and pass it off as their own, it’s something we should seriously look into. Simply put, Utah uses its locale to its advantage like no other team in professional sports. When visiting teams arrive in Salt Lake City after playing the night before they simply run out of gas. That’s documented by the Jazz’ 95-50-2 ATS mark in these games since 1990 when they’re not forced to lay double-digits. With Orlando a not-so-magical 5-12 SU and ATS as road dogs after visiting Phoenix, we’ll once again call on our old reliable theory here tonight. We can hear the music!


COLLEGE BASKETBALL

Saturday, December 13

KENTUCKY over Indiana by 28
How far have the Hoosiers plummeted, you ask? How about dressing up as
home dog to an IVY LEAGUE team this year! New head coach Tom Crean
knew he was inheriting a bare cupboard when he stepped in to help salve
the after effects of the Kelvin Sampson fi asco. With all 5 starters gone
from last year’s team and Crean implementing a new playbook, those in
the know are aware it’s going to be a long, cold winter in Bloomington.
To make matters worse, they must pay amends for a 70-51 loss they laid on the Wildcats last season. With one season under their belt behind 2nd year coach Billy Gillispie, look for the favorite in this series to ratchet up to 10-0-1 ATS. Yes, life is good today at the old Kentucky home.



WISCONSIN over Wisc-Green Bay by 3
The Phoenix look to make a statement that they are to be taken seriously
this season when they invade the Kohl Center in Madison Saturday evening. Last year’s 15-15 effort was a good one by Tod Kowalczyk’s squad; were it not for a 70-52 loss on this court they would have ended the season with a winning record. They return all 5 starters knowing they are 13-5-2 ATS when seeking revenge in non-division frays, including 7-0 ATS when taking 15 or more points. In a game that is much bigger to the little brother, look for the Badgers to dip to 1-7 ATS when hosting avenging non-division foes here tonight. GB – from ashes to cashes.



CINCINNATI over Xavier by 7
This inner-city rivalry has been like a ping-pong match, going back and forth the last fi ve years. Last season the Musketeers edged the Bearcats, 64-59, as 18.5-point favorites. Hence, it’s no surprise to learn the underdog in this series has barked 6 years in a row. Cincinnati’s success at the Shoemaker Center is well documented. They are especially accomplished here when taking points, going 12-6-1 ATS since 1990, including 7-1 ATS when seeking revenge. While UC is down a notch or two from past editions (read: Bob Huggins’ squads), they are led by Deonta Vaughn, the Big East’s 6th leading scorer last season. In Xavier’s fi rst true road game this season and with Duke waiting on deck, we’ll gladly grab any points the linesmaker tosses our way.
If Cincy’s takin’, so are we.

[timbob]

DCI Hockey Plays

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12/13/08 Predictions
Season: 146-97 (.601)

PHILADELPHIA 4, Pittsburgh 3
Minnesota vs. LOS ANGELES: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
BOSTON 4, Atlanta 2
Washington vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
OTTAWA 3, Tampa Bay 2
NEW JERSEY 3, Buffalo 2
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Carolina 2
COLUMBUS 4, N.Y. Islanders 3
Dallas vs. NASHVILLE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Detroit 4, PHOENIX 3
Vancouver vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN JOSE 4, St. Louis 2

[timbob]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Butler (8-0, 4-2-1 ATS) at (21) Ohio State (5-0, 3-1 ATS)

A battle of unbeatens is on tap at Value City Arena in Columbus, Ohio, where the 21st-ranked Buckeyes host perennial mid-major power Butler.

Ohio Sate has been idle since Saturday’s 67-62 upset victory over then-No. 7 Notre Dame at the Hall of Fame Classic in Indianapolis, its 11th consecutive win going back to last year, which is the longest winning streak in the nation. The Buckeyes, who covered as a 4½-point underdog against the Irish, have pulled off consecutive upsets of Top 25 teams, also defeating No. 21 Miami (Fla.) 73-68 as an eight-point road underdog in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge on Dec. 2.

Butler pounded Bradley 87-75 as a one-point road underdog on Wednesday to keep its perfect record intact. However, after giving up 59 points or fewer in their first six wins, the Bulldogs have surrendered 75 and 71 in their last two.

These schools met last December, and Butler cruised to a 65-46 victory as a six-point home favorite. In 2005, the Buckeyes won 79-69 in overtime, but the Bulldogs cashed as a 14½-point road underdog.

Butler is on several positive pointspread streaks, including 8-3-1 overall, 35-17-1 in non-conference play, 5-2 on the road, 5-2-1 versus the Big Ten, 4-1 on Saturdays, 6-2-1 against winning teams and 7-3-1 after a SU victory. Likewise, Ohio State sports several ATS runs, including 8-1 overall (3-0 last three), 7-1 at home and 11-1 in non-league play.

For Butler, the over is on stretches of 7-3 overall and 6-2 in non-conference play, but the under is 15-7 in the Bulldogs’ last 22 on the road. The Buckeyes have topped the total in five of their last seven against Horizon League foes, but the under is 36-16-1 in its last 53 games on Saturday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


(17) Memphis (5-1, 4-2 ATS) at (19) Georgetown (6-1, 2-2 ATS)

The day’s only clash between Top 25 teams takes place at the Verizon Center in Washington, D.C., with Georgetown serving as host against the Tigers.

Memphis hasn’t been on the court since Dec. 2, when it blasted Marist College 100-61, covering as a 26-point home favorite. That victory came on the heels of the Tigers’ only loss this year, a 63-58 neutral-site setback to Xavier as a six-point chalk. Aside from that loss to Xavier, Memphis has scored at least 80 points in every game so far, and the Tigers put up 82.5 points per game (44.6 percent shooting)

Georgetown has rebounded from its only loss of the season – 90-78 to Tennessee as a 3½-point underdog in a preseason tournament in Florida – with three straight victories. Most recently, the Hoyas crushed Savannah State 100-38 in a non-lined home game on Dec. 8. Georgetown is putting up 76.6 ppg while shooting an impressive 53.1 percent from the field.

Last year, Georgetown went to Memphis and got cracked 85-71, falling well short as a four-point road underdog. The home team is 3-0 SU and ATS in three head-to-head meetings since 1998.

Memphis carries ATS runs of 7-3 overall (all in non-conference play), 4-1 against the Big East and 4-0 on Saturday, but John Calipari’s club is 1-6 ATS in its last seven after a 20-plus-point victory and 3-9 ATS in its last 12 after a spread-cover. The Hoyas are on ATS dips of 5-12 on Saturday, 1-4 after a victory and 1-6 after a 20-plus-point win.

The Tigers are on over stretches of 5-1 on the road, 7-0 versus the Big East and 4-1 on Saturdays, and the over is also 5-1 in Georgetown’s last six Saturday contests. However, the under is 48-21 in the Hoyas’ last 69 home games.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


Indiana (5-4, 3-3 ATS) at Kentucky (6-3, 1-2-1 ATS)

Two storied programs that are in the midst of rebuilding continue their annual rivalry, with Kentucky welcoming Indiana to Rupp Arena.

The Hoosiers snapped a two-game slide with Wednesday’s 66-56 rout of TCU as a one-point home underdog, improving to 4-1 (3-0 ATS) at home. However, Tom Crean’s squad is just 1-3 in road or neutral-site venues (0-3 ATS). Also, Indiana is averaging just 62.1 ppg on 41.6 percent shooting (29 percent on 3-pointers).

Kentucky quickly rebounded from last Saturday’s 73-67 home loss to Miami (Fla.) as a 3½-point home favorite with Sunday’s 88-65 beatdown for Mississippi Valley State in a non-lined home game. Unlike the Hoosiers, the Wildcats are strong offensively, putting up 78.8 ppg on 50.3 percent shooting (31.1 percent on 3-pointers).

Indiana pounded the Wildcats 70-51 as a six-point home favorite last year after Kentucky prevailed 59-54 as a five-point home favorite in 2006. The host has won the last four meetings and eight of the last 10, with the SU winner covering the spread in each of those contests. During this 10-game stretch, Kentucky is 7-3 SU and ATS (4-0 SU and ATS last four at home), and the favorite is 9-1 ATS.

The Hoosiers are mired in ATS funks of 2-6 against the SEC, 0-5 on the road and 1-6 after a SU win, while Kentucky is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six overall and 1-4 ATS in its last five versus Big Ten foes. But on Saturdays, Indiana is on a 5-2 ATS run and the Wildcats are on a 6-2 ATS surge.

For Indiana, the under is on runs of 4-0 overall, 9-2 against the SEC and 6-1 against winning teams, while Kentucky sports “under” streaks of 5-2 at home, 4-0 against the Big Ten and 6-0 versus winning teams. Finally, the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in this rivalry (3-0 last three years).

ATS ADVANTAGE: KENTUCKY and UNDER


Utah (5-3, 5-2 ATS) at (5) Oklahoma (9-0, 4-2 ATS)

Player-of-the-Year candidate Blake Griffin leads undefeated Oklahoma onto the court at the Noble Center in this non-conference clash with Utah.

After a pair of close calls – an 87-82 overtime win over Purdue in New York and a 73-72 home win over USC – the Sooners reestablished their dominance in blowout wins over Tulsa (69-44 as a seven-point road underdog) and Maine (78-52 in a non-lined home game) in their last two. Oklahoma is 6-0 at the Noble Center this year, outscoring opponents by an average of 18 ppg (82-64), but it is 0-2 ATS in lined home games.

Griffin had 22 points and 10 rebounds in 26 minutes against Maine, and he’s averaging 24.4 points and 15.6 rebounds per game.

The Utes jumped out to a 5-1 start before dropping its last two – a 72-68 loss at Idaho State as a 12-point road favorite last Saturday and a 72-69 setback to California as a 6½-point home chalk Tuesday. Utah shot a combined 44 percent from the field in the two defeats and got outrebounded in both games after having the rebounding edge in five of its first six outings. The SU winner is 16-0-1 ATS in the Utes’ last 17 games.

This is a rematch of a 2005 NCAA Tournament meeting, which Utah won 67-58 as a 4½-point underdog.

The Utes are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall (all non-conference) and 4-1 ATS in their last five following a SU defeat, but they’re 1-4-1 ATS in their last six on Saturday. Meanwhile, Oklahoma has cashed in 10 of its last 14 non-league contests.

The over is on runs of 5-2-1 for the Sooners overall, 10-3-1 for the Sooners in non-conference play, 4-1 for the Sooners at home, 9-3 for Utah overall, 6-2 for Utah in non-conference action and 5-1 for Utah on the road.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA and OVER


DePaul (4-3, 1-4 ATS) vs. (16) UCLA (5-2, 3-4 ATS) (at Anaheim, Calif.)

DePaul takes a three-game losing streak to the West Coast where it meets UCLA in the annual John Wooden Classic at the Pond in Anaheim.

The Blue Demons have gone 0-for-December thus far, losing road games at California (77-67) and Northwestern (63-36), then coming home Wednesday and falling to lowly Morgan State 79-75 in a non-lined game. Since covering the spread in their first lined contest against Illinois-Chicago, DePaul is 0-4 ATS. The Demons are averaging 66.6 ppg, but making just 37.8 percent of their shots.

UCLA bounced back from a tough four-point loss at Texas with Sunday’s 85-67 victory over nearby Cal State Northridge. However, the Bruins fell short as a 22-point home favorite, snapping a 3-0 ATS run. Ben Howland’s team is shooting an even 50 percent from the floor against Division I opponents, averaging 73.3 ppg.

These teams have not faced each other since 2001, when the Bruins went to DePaul and won 94-88 as a two-point road chalk.

Although it has failed to cover in four straight games, DePaul is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 on Saturdays. UCLA is 35-17 ATS in its last 52 games after a non-cover, but otherwise the Bruins are in pointspread ruts of 2-5 at home, 2-5 versus the Big East and 2-5 on Saturdays.

The under is 8-2 in UCLA’s last 10 against the Big East and 5-2 in DePaul’s last seven on the road. However, the over is on runs of 4-1 for the Blue Demons overall, 8-3 for the Blue Demons in non-conference games, 4-0 for UCLA overall, 7-2 for UCLA at home and 5-1 for UCLA on Saturday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


(10) Xavier (8-0, 3-4 ATS) at Cincinnati (6-1, 2-1 ATS)

Off to its best start in school history, Xavier now guns for its second straight victory over cross-town rival Cincinnati, which is unbeaten on its home court this year.

The Musketeers followed up close home wins (and non-covers) over Miami (Ohio) and Auburn by hammering Ohio 78-56 as a 15-point home favorite on Wednesday. Xavier is 3-0 on the highway (2-1 ATS), despite outscoring that trio of opponents by an average of just three points per game (67-64).

Cincinnati returned from a two-game preseason tournament in Las Vegas and held off UAB last Saturday, winning 87-80 as a three-point home favorite. The Bearcats are 5-0 at home, but UAB was the first Division I foe that Cincinnati has hosted.

Xavier struggled to put away the Bearcats last year, winning 64-59 but never threatening to cover as an 18½-point home favorite. Also, in their last trip to Cincinnati’s home court exactly two years ago, the Musketeers lost 67-57 as a 4½-point road chalk. The home team has won the last five meetings, but the visitor has cashed in six of the last eight. Also, the underdog is on an 8-0 ATS run in this rivalry.

These rivals are very similar statistically, with the Musketeers averaging 71.5 ppg (45.2 percent shooting) and allowing 60.2 ppg (35.7 percent), while Cincinnati puts up 73.2 ppg (45.3 percent) and gives up 59.3 ppg (36.8 percent).

Xavier is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on Saturday and 2-6 ATS in its last eight versus the Big East. On the flip side, Cincinnati is on pointspread stretches of 4-1 overall, 8-1 in non-conference action, 5-1 against the Atlantic 10 and 5-2 on Saturdays, but prior to the win over UAB, the Bearcats had failed to cover in four straight home games.

The over is on stretches of 11-5 for the Musketeers in non-conference play, 7-3 for the Bearcats overall, 5-2 for the Bearcats versus the A-10 and 5-0 for the Bearcats on Saturdays. However, the under is 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head clashes between these rivals.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI


NBA

Orlando (17-6, 12-10-1 ATS) at Utah (15-9, 13-11 ATS)

The Magic continue their five-game Western Conference road trip when they visit Salt Lake City for the only time this season for a meeting with the Jazz.

Three days after a buzzer-beating victory at Portland, Orlando was on the wrong end of a last-second loss Friday night in Phoenix, falling 113-112 but covering as a two-point road underdog. That defeat ended the Magic’s four-game winning streak, but they’re still 8-2 SU in their last 10 games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine. Also, Orlando is 4-2 (5-1 ATS) on the road during this run, and for the season, Stan Van Gundy’s squad is 8-3 on the highway (7-3-1 ATS).

Utah is coming off Thursday’s 97-88 rout of Portland as a three-point home favorite, the team’s second straight win and cover. Going back to last month, the Jazz are on a 6-3 SU and ATS run, going 4-2 SU and ATS at home. The SU winner is 17-2 ATS in Utah’s last 19 games (8-0 last eight at home).

The Jazz swept Orlando last year, winning 113-94 as a four-point road underdog and 119-115, falling short as a seven-point home chalk. The ‘dog is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS the last two years when these teams have met. Also, the Magic are 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 5-0-1 ATS in their last six trips to Salt Lake.

In addition to its current ATS runs of 7-2 overall and 5-1 on the road, Orlando is on pointspread upticks of 6-2 against the Western Conference, 27-13-2 against the Northwest Division, 36-17-1 on Saturdays and 4-1 when playing on back-to-back nights (3-1 this year). Meanwhile, the Jazz are on ATS streaks of 47-21-2 at home (8-5 this year), 26-11-1 against teams with a winning record and 4-0 when playing on one day of rest, but Utah is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight against the Eastern Conference and 8-20-2 ATS in its last 30 versus the Southeast Division.

For the Magic, the under is on runs of 16-7 on the road, 9-4-1 against the Northwest Division and 7-2 against winning teams. For Utah, the under is on stretches of 6-1 overall, 4-1 at home and 4-0 against the Eastern Conference. Lastly, the under is 3-1 in the last four series meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and UNDER

[timbob]

BOB BALFE
Hawks +5
Tennessee -6

[timbob]

Wild Bill Basketball

Saturday, Dec 13

Bulls -4 1/2 (5 units)
Dallas -12 1/2 (5 units)
Over 198 1/2 Magic-Jazz (5 units)
Over 219 Knicks-Kings (5 units)

Tennessee -6 1/2 (5 units)
Memphis +5 (5 units)
Valpo +15 (5 units)
Florida St -6 (5 units)
Indiana +16 1/2 (5 units)
Oklahoma -13 (5 units)
San Diego St +3 1/2 (5 units)
Wisconsin -10 1/2 (5 units)
Cincy +2 (5 units)
Murray +18 (5 units)
Marist +7 1/2 (5 units)
Wash St -15 (5 units)
Hawaii -1 1/2 (5 units)

[timbob]

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Mr. A

Cleveland Cavaliers -6
Philadelphia 76ers -5
Utah Jazz -4½

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO SATURDAY'S PICK 25 DIME RELEASE

XAVIER

[Mr. IWS]

Patron

Patrons 30000 game it is Xavier -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:

NCAA Play #1

#527 Ohio +2 2:00 PM EST

[Mr. IWS]

Special K
December 13, 2008

Here Are The Picks you have Purchased:

COLLEGE BASKETBALL 20* (JUST $50):
562 20* PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

[Mr. IWS]

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today we have isolated an ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT in COLLEGE HOOPS WINNER that will again be "in the bag" by Half Time! This game is so strong it can only be rated as a 8000* COLLEGE HOOPS SLAM DUNK WINNER! You can get this TOP RATED WINNER right now for just $25 and you MUST WIN this game or you will not be charged! Why should you get this game? Because we were 66-28 last year in College Hoops! POUND IT 12/13/2008

8000* COLLEGE HOOPS SLAM DUNK WINNER
534 Georgetown -5 2:00 EST


Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we have isolated an ABSOLUTE BLOWOUT in COLLEGE HOOPS WINNER that will again be "in the bag" by Half Time! This game is so strong it can only be rated as a 7000* LATE STEAMER! You can get this TOP RATED WINNER right now for just $25 and you MUST WIN this game or you will not be charged! Why should you get this game? Because we were 66-28 last year in College Hoops! 12/13/2008

7000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAMER
571 Xavier -2.5 8:00 EST


Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: EN FUEGO...If that is what you call an 67-25 RUN than hell yes EN FUEGO!!! We have isolated another HUGE COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER! You can get our 6000* COLLEGE BASKETBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE MONTH today for just $35 and you will pay only after you win! 12/13/2008

6000* COLLEGE BASKETBALL LATE STEAM PLAY OF THE MONTH
542 Kentucky -16.5 4:00 EST


Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2008
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are now 95-53 in the NBA and 97-57 in College Basketball for a total of 192-110 the last two plus years and that my friends is a solid 63%! If you are looking for a WINNER we got you covered with our 7000* COLLEGE HOOPS REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH!! You can get this Guaranteed Winner tonight for a special price of just $35 and you must win or you will not be charged! 12/13/2008

7000* COLLEGE HOOPS REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH
538 Miami Ohio -15.5 4:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
10* philadelphia 76'ers
10* ucla

[Mr. IWS]

Ras Rotation #576 Boise State (-3.5) 1.00 UNIT

[Mr. IWS]

ic

Saturday's Comp Selection: (Premium Selection)
#525. Take Long Beach State +17.5 over Syracuse (Saturday @ 12pm est). I’m actually am a fan of Long Beach State. This team just lost a tough game at Weber State but note that was a revenge game for Weber State who Long Beach State beat earlier this year. LB comes off back to back losses including a tough road loss to San Fran as well in overtime. Don’t forget that LB lost by just 10 to BYU 65-75 and they were dogged by 19.5 points in that game. Then LB went on the road to play Wisconsin and lost by 7 points by a score of 61-68 and they were dogged by 22.5 points in that game. I think this is a game that LB can do very well in this game. After all, Syracuse only defeated Cornell by about 10 points at home and how do you get up for a team like LB State? I look for a strong start from LB State as by no means is this team intimidated bythe better teams in the nation including BYU, Wisconsin and playing Tennessee in the NCAA Tournament a few years ago. LB has sound scoring and I think they hang very tough here all day and hit the cover. The Orange are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and I think they lose another home cover here as well.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS HOOPS LOCK CLUB

7 Georgia St +6.0
5 Evansville -1.5
4 Delaware -1.0
4 St. Mary's -3.0

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Feiner's 25 Dime trio

Georgetown -5
Kansas -18
St. Mary's -3'

[Mr. IWS]

Ras Rotation #593 Chattanooga (+22) 1.00 UNIT

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

CINCINNATI over Xavier by 7
This inner-city rivalry has been like a ping-pong match, going back and forth the last fi ve years. Last season the Musketeers edged the Bearcats, 64-59, as 18.5-point favorites. Hence, it’s no surprise to learn the underdog in this series has barked 6 years in a row. Cincinnati’s success at the Shoemaker Center is well documented. They are especially accomplished here when taking points, going 12-6-1 ATS since 1990, including 7-1 ATS when seeking revenge. While UC is down a notch or two from past editions (read: Bob Huggins’ squads), they are led by Deonta Vaughn, the Big East’s 6th leading scorer last season. In Xavier’s fi rst true road game this season and with Duke waiting on deck, we’ll gladly grab any points the linesmaker tosses our way.
If Cincy’s takin’, so are we.

[Mr. IWS]

Young Guns
4* Sac
3*Jazz
3* Cavs

5* Wash----NHL
3* Minn---NHL

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp NCAAB

St Louis +1.5 -110

Double dime

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
NCAAF
200*Central Mich

100* Central Mich/BallState over

NHL
50* Rangers/Vancouver under 5

NCAAB
20*NC Wilmington

NBA
20*Cleveland/Detroit under
20*Milwaukee Bucks
20*San Antonio

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky
4* wisconsin

4* georgtown


6* atlanta-cleve under

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman paid and confirmed:

NBA
4* Detroit - 3.5
3* LA Clippers +1.5
3* Dallas +4.5/5
College
4* Kent State + 1
3* Morehead St +15.5

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

7500 Unit College Lock

Ball State Cardinals -7

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso's
College Basketball Game Of The Year
100 Units
MiamiOhio (-15½) over Valparaiso
4:00 PM -- Millett Arena
Miami-OH by 25-27
Comments: This game is a classic example of strength against power and an under-rated Miami-OH (5-1) has all the strength. Valparaiso (3-3) started the season as if it might be a decent team but has been crushed by every good team it has played this season. This one should never be close

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Feiner....50 DIME Cavs - Hawks (UNDER 192)

[Mr. IWS]

Stryker 4* PLay Hoops
His play is on Wisconsin -10 over Wisconsin GB

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, December 13, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed: Tonight we are featuring another 6000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER! ALL FIVE of our basketball handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our team an 89% chance of covering the spread for us. Get this GUARANTEED WINNER NOW for just $25 and you are GUARANTEED TO WIN or you will not be charged!! 15-5 COLLEGE HOOPS RUN! 12/13/2008
6000* COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM WINNER
576 Boise St -4 9:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june

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georgetown
cinn

[Mr. IWS]

latex
Super Play
Cincinnati

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Steam Play

100* UCLA

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Rynning
Ball St. / playmaker

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR):



CLEVELAND CAVALIERS vs ATLANTA HAWKS

Play: CLEVELAND CAVALIERS -5.5 (NBA)



LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): DEPAUL vs UCLA

Play: UCLA -16 (COLLEGE BASKETBALL)



LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): BALL STATE vs EASTERN KENTUCKY

Play: EASTERN KENTUCKY+5.5 (COLLEGE BASKETBALL)

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Matt Fargo Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: South Alabama Jaguars @ Mississippi State - Saturday December 13, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: South Alabama Jaguars +7.5 (-110)
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp CBB

Evansville -1.5

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

RAS harvard/gw over 134

[Mr. IWS]

Executive plays for sat.

400%
Texas A&M +3'
over Alabama

300%
New Mexico -3'
over Mississippi


300%
Miss St -7'
over So.Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso BB
5 units Tennessee -8
4 units Indiana +16.5
3 units Utah (college) +12.5
5 units Hawks +5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS VCU/Rich Over 135

[Mr. IWS]

RAS Gtown/Mem Over 136

[Mr. IWS]

Akmens NHL

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20 star play on red Wings tonght.

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

(POD): Take Over 228.5 between Golden State Warriors @ Denver Nuggets (sat @ 9pm est).

2-1 Yesterday in the NBA including:

Clippers +9.5 Outright over Blazers - Once again, we stick to our philosophy of Dogs that can win Outright.

12-6 Last Weekend and let's roll again to another Successfull Winning Weekend.

Our Hard Work and Research will pay Off. Let's Roll!

Very rarely do I play any toal this high but I like this for several reasons. For one, did you know that the Warriors defeated the Nuggets at home back on November 5th by a score of 111-101. The difference in this game is that the Nuggets have revenge, they have Chauncey and by no means are shy in blowing teams out that defeated them once before. Having said that, I hate laying this many points to any team in particular to a Warrior team that is young and dynamic. Coach Nelson has no problem starting his young guns and they will keep this game competitive. Look, I would be a bit surprised if Denver puts up a 130 against the Warriors today. Heck, they put up 131 Raptors and they didn't even have revenge that game. They have the revenge here, the Warriors will look to stay competitive as they come off a tough loss last night to the Rockets and the Warriors have put up over a 100 points in their last 8 of 10 games. Make no bones about it, this game should go into the 250's today as Denver has the incentive to put up a ton of points and the Warriors have the talent and bench to keep pace as the young guys are getting a chacen to play. The over is 6-0 for the Nuggets following a SU win and the over is 4-1 for the Warriors following a double-digit loss at home.




Take Over 200.5 between Orlando Magic @ Utah Jazz (Saturday @ 9pm est). The Magic can flat out play and keep in mind this team has a mission to prove this year and that is to win the Eastern Conference. But, more importantly, we don't care about that. We want to see this game go over. In fact, today should be called over day with respect to our NBA Card as we are pending on 3 overs throughout the day. The Magic will likely be without the services of Howard and the Jazz are still likely without the servies of Boozer. Now, why is this important? Well, yes, it does take away some offense. But, it also takes away defense and post-presence play. These two teams will rely on the perimeter and I will leave it up to both teams to raise the bar in scoring so each will have to keep up pace with the other. Thus, R. Lewis and Hedo will be taking the scoring load from shootin behind the arc along with Nelson and you better believe ol' boy Williams, Brewer, Okur and sharp shooting Korver will all take the scoring load on their shoulders and tee it up from behind the arc as well. Thus, with limited post presence I expect less defense, less post play and more offense and more perimeter shooting. The over is 4-1 for the Magic when they are road dogs as well as the fact the over is 5-1 for the Jazz when they play winning teams at home which in turn pushes their active dog status higher and conequently games push over.




Take Over 186.5 between Cleveland Cavs @ Atlanta Hawks (Saturday @ 7pm est). You want to know something interesting? There is a trend with incredible consistency that has been hitting. The trend is the 186-188 rule. I want you to notice that this year, games that have totaled around 186-188 has hit at a tune of over 66%. Incredible right - that is the advantage of keeping up with statistics. Now, grantd, this game could very well go below the posted total. However, I like several things and you should too. For one, the Hawks will be an active dog this game. While the Cavs are the hottest team in the league right now ATS as they are 19-4 ATS and covered over 10 straight, it is suicide to bet against this team. But, this is a Saturday night game in Hotlanta. You better believe things will be rocking here and I would not be a bit surprised to see the Hawks win outright. Why not? Hawks have renvge, the public supports the Cavs of over 75% and the Hawks will be an active dog and Cleveland will continue to make a statement to the Eastern Conference. Either way, I am not going aginst the Cavs. In that same token, I can take the over in an indirect way as I expect the Hawks to put up at leas 90 points here and the Cavs to match pace. The over is 5-0 for the Hawks when they face teams with a road winning record of over 60% and the Cavs are 4-1 to the over when they face teams with a home winning % of greater than 60% - meaning that when these teams play the better teams in the league, games are competitive and consequently they go over.




Take Long Beach State +17.5 over Syracuse (Saturday @ 12pm est). I'm actually am a fan of Long Beach State. This team just lost a tough game at Weber State but note that was a revenge game for Weber State who Long Beach State beat earlier this year. LB comes off back to back losses including a tough road loss to San Fran as well in overtime. Don't forget that LB lost by just 10 to BYU 65-75 and they were dogged by 19.5 points in that game. Then LB went on the road to play Wisconsin and lost by 7 points by a score of 61-68 and they were dogged by 22.5 points in that game. I think this is a game that LB can do very well in this game. After all, Syracuse only defeated Cornell by about 10 points at home and how do you get up for a team like LB State? I look for a strong start from LB State as by no means is this team intimidated bythe better teams in the nation including BYU, Wisconsin and playing Tennessee in the NCAA Tournament a few years ago. LB has sound scoring and I think they hang very tough here all day and hit the cover. The Orange are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and I think they lose another home cover here as well.




Take Indiana Hoosiers +16.5 over the Kentucky Wildcats (Saturday @ 4pm est). Indiana just defeated TCU at home and frankly, that was a big win for this program – this year. They have very few scholarship players and have covered back to back games. Why are they showing improvement? Well, despite all the hell this program has gone through, they have a great coach from Marquette. They recently lost to Gonzaga by just 16 points and easily covered the 22.5 point spread. Heck, they only lost to a team like Wake Forest by 25 points and did cover against Cornell as well winning by 15 points. Now, this might seem nuts to say that a team only lost to another team by 25 points this year. But, keep in mind that Kentucky should not be within the same realm of a Wake Forest this year. Kentucky comes off a big win against MSVAS but even that team they only defeated by 20 points. I think Indiana hangs very tough here as they have shown vast improvement over the last few games. Besides, this is likely to be a half court game with defense taking precedent and I have Kentucky winning by 12 points as compared to a line of 17 here which I think is too much value for the Wildcats. The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 13 points or more and the Wildcats are 0-6 ATS coming off a win of 20 points or more.




Take Texas A&M Aggies +3.5 over Alabama (Saturday @ 8pm est). You know, I was really tempted to take the ML here. We have it at +147 and putting up 3 units on it would actually help us yield a total of about 4.5 units. But, you know, our luck would lead to the Tide winning by a last second shot. Besides, this is likely to be a game within the mid 60's for both teams and consequently the 3 points could be significant here. Look, the Aggies are good. In fact, they are an early surprise this year given how well they have played. You want to know who else is a surprise? Alabama. But, Bama is a surprise for the wrong reasons. This team had a wealth of talent coming back but even with all this talent, it has only put Mark G. on the hot seat as early on they lost to the Mercer Bears (my alma mater) and they lost to Oregon by nearly 30 in the Maui Classic. This was an embarassment to this program. The Aggies have great defense and solid scoring all the way around. The Aggies have the edge in points per game, field goal %, fewer turnovers and a stronger bench. The Aggies just beat Arizona at home and four players including Carter, Davis, Sloan and Holmes all scored in double-digits. Look for the Aggies to continue play strong basketball as they lost the last road game they took part in and I see a stronger effort on thier part today. Bama has not done well against the better teams in the nation and the Aggies are 4-0 ATS as road underdogs of late.

Best of luck,

Indian Cowboy

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

West Virginia/Duquesne (Under 150) 1 UNIT