12-18-08

Bob Balfe

Jacksonville +6.5 over Indianapolis (21-10 YTD!)
The Colts can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight, however this team is banged up big time and it is not good for them to be playing on such a short week of rest. Joseph Addai might not play and even if he does I do not see the Colts running the ball on the Jaguars defensive line. Payton Manning is going to have to throw the ball a lot and it doesn't help that Marvin Harrison is out tonight. To make matters worst Dallas Clark is banged up and so if 60% of the offensive line. This Colts team could be in major trouble tonight and for the rest of the regular season. The Jaguars had a very disappointing season, but there is no denying that they have a load of talent. This team underachieved and would like to do nothing more than make Indy wait another week to make the playoffs or perhaps miss them entirely. Jacksonville has a big offensive line going against a very undersized Colts Defense. Indianapolis is even hurting on defense with their LB's shuffled and Freeney and Sanders nursing injuries. Jacksonville already beat the Colts on the road this season and match up very well today. This is worth a moneyline play of +220. Take the Jaguars.

Dave Cokin

(713) WESTERN KENTUCKY
(714) SOUTH ALABAMA
Take "(713) WESTERN KENTUCKY"

Free opinion is Western Kentucky. The Hilltoppers are a pretty decent team, not as good as last year to be sure, but still very capable of making noise again in the Sun Belt. They were awful last game as they were annihilated at Evansville, but watch for Western Kentucky to bounce back with a much better effort tonight in a big game at South Alabama. I look for a tight skirmish that goes to the wire, and I'm backing the visiting Hilltoppers plus the points.

Wild Bill

Over 44 Colts-Jags (5 units)

NFL



Week 16


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Thursday, December 18

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INDIANAPOLIS (10 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (5 - 9) - 12/18/2008, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
JACKSONVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Trend Sheet
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Thursday, December 18

8:15 PM INDIANAPOLIS vs. JACKSONVILLE
Indianapolis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Jacksonville is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

NHL


Thursday, December 18

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM FLORIDA vs. CAROLINA
Florida is 1-15-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Florida


7:00 PM PITTSBURGH vs. ATLANTA
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh


7:00 PM ST. LOUIS vs. WASHINGTON
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games
Washington is 1-9-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
Washington is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


7:00 PM TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home


7:30 PM COLORADO vs. TAMPA BAY
Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home


7:30 PM PHILADELPHIA vs. MONTREAL
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games at home
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games


7:30 PM SAN JOSE vs. DETROIT
San Jose is 4-16-1 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 9 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing San Jose


8:30 PM COLUMBUS vs. DALLAS
Columbus is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


9:00 PM NASHVILLE vs. PHOENIX
Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville

NHL
Write-up


Thursday, December 18

Hot teams
-- Washington won four in row, eight of last ten games.
-- Flyers won their last five games, scoring 23 goals.
-- Panthers won six of their last eight games.
-- Bruins won 19 of their last 23 games. Maple Leafs won last three in a row, allowing total of five goals.
-- Sharks won 11 of their last 13 games. Red Wings won five of their last seven games.
-- Colorado is 5-1 in game following its last six losses.
-- Blue Jackets won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- Blues lost their last four games, outscored 21-11.
-- Canadiens lost last three games, scoring total of four goals.
-- Carolina lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Thrashers lost 11 of their last 14 games. Penguins lost four of last five games.
-- Lightning lost 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Dallas is 1-10 this season in the game following a win.
-- Predators lost three of their last four games. Coyotes lost last two and four of last six games- their last two games both went OT.

Totals
-- Last seven St Louis games went over the total.
-- Last five Montreal games stayed under the total; Flyers' last four went over the total. .
-- Eight of last ten Carolina games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Over is 10-2 in Boston's last dozen home games.
-- Five of last six San Jose games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Colorado games went over the total.
-- Last eight Columbus games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Nashville games stayed under the total.

Series Records
-- Home side won last two St Louis-Washington games.
-- Flyers won five of their last six games vs Carolina.
-- Carolina won 13 of last 16 games against the Panthers.
-- Penguins won four of last five games vs Atlanta.
-- Bruins won four of last five games against Toronto.
-- Sharks won last two games vs Detroit, after losing previous six.
-- Colorado won its last three games vs Tampa Bay: 4-2/3-0/4-3.
-- Columbus won seven of last ten games against Dallas.
-- Predators lost four of their last five visits to Phoenix.

NBA
Write-up


Thursday, December 18

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won, covered six of their last seven games. Spurs won five of their last six games.
-- Suns won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Trailblazers lost three of last four, covered one of last eight games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Orlando games stayed under the total.
-- Nine of last ten Phoenix games went over the total.

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Trend Sheet
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8:00 PM SAN ANTONIO vs. ORLANDO
San Antonio is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


10:30 PM PHOENIX vs. PORTLAND
Phoenix is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Raging Bull Handicappers

9-4 yesterday

Here is the early card for 12/18

UEFA Cup Soccer (2-0 yesterday)

2* Standard Liege/VfB Stuttgart over 2.5 -125
3* PSG/Twente Enschede over 2.5 -110

NBA (4-0 yesterday)

2* Magic -3

NHL (0-3 yesterday)

1* Canadiens -125
1* Lightning -125
1* Stars -150

NCAAB (3-1 yesterday)

Nothing at this time, will have plays in the afternoon.

NFL - will have plays later

Pointwise NFL 12/18

THURSDAY
INDIANAPOLIS 24 - Jacksonville 19 - (8:15 - NFL) -- Seven straight wins for the
Colts, with but 3 covers in that stretch, with their last 3 RGs decided by just 4, 3,
& 4 pts straightup. But this is a revenger, & Peyton is in synch (28-of-37 for 318
yds vs hapless Lions), & now 23/12 for the season. Jags in off snapping 4-game
SU slide, as well as 0-6 ATS home run slide. Thus, the dog is now 15-2 ATS in
J'Ville games. The Jags are 9-2 ATS in Dec, vs an opponent off a pair of wins, as
well as 8-2 ATS as division dogs. Another? Okay, they are 6-2 ATS vs the Colts.
And Indy is just a 1-8 ATS chalk, off a double digit win vs an opponent off a win.

KEVIN O’NEILL’S
THE MAX
The Maximum Profit Football Weekly
• Volume 9 Issue 18 December 18th-22nd, 2008 •

NFL

Thursday, December 18h, 2008

@Jaguars (+6½) over Colts
Selection and Analysis by Dave Fobare
In their 31-21 win over the toothless Lions the Colts became the first team in NFL history to reel off a 7+ game winning streak in 6 consecutive seasons. Impressive on its face, but the Colts are just 3-3-1 ATS over that streak, and not one of the last 5 wins have come over opponents with a combined record of 19-49-1. Indy is just 5-4-1 ATS in their 10 wins as seven of those have come by less than the touchdown Jacksonville is receiving here. And the undermanned Lions played the Colts well despite the travails of QB Dan Orlovsky, who made his return to the lineup after just 4 weeks off recuperating a throwing hand with multiple fractures.

I love playing against high scoring teams, and my database pops a negative 32-63 ATS system based on the Colts last 2 offensive outputs of 31 and 35 points. These public darlings have failed to cover in this spot by an average of 6 points per game and this spot is 0-2 in 2008.

As we reach the end of the season my database contains a number of special situations for the occasion. The Colts will finish up the 2008 campaign at home, and therefore apply to a negative 7-30 ATS "last game lookahead" play. This play works particularly well when our team is on an
extended winning streak. These teams are not only 0-6 ATS when entering Game 15 off four or more wins, but have won straight up only once in that span despite an average price of -9. Let's not forget the Jaguars either. Off their 20-16 upset win over Green Bay they qualify in a 25-6 ATS "bad team off a win" system that won its only 2008
appearance on Cincinnati in their infamous 13-13 tie against the Eagles.

The Colts looked disinterested against the 0-14 Lions, and while they will not look past a 4-9 Jags outfit that beat them 23-21 back in the third game of the season. But the Colts have to work a bit too hard to score most of their points. Detroit has by far the worst secondary in the league
and Peyton Manning could only go up top successfully once all game. Indy will be able to move the chains on Jacksonville, but with a diminished quick strike ability and a much sexier game at home against the Titans awaiting
them next week I expect the Colts to stub their toe just enough to let the Jags stay with them until the end. Indianapolis by 1

MARC LAWERENCE PLAYBOOK

NFL

Thursday, December 18th

Indianapolis over JACKSONVILLE by 3
If momentum is a key to a team’s playoff hopes then the Colts are playing
like locksmiths. Seven wins in a row and counting, Indy invades Jacksonville with the added incentive of revenge from a 23-21 home loss in Week Two earlier this season. The jamb in their plans is a nasty late season angle that fi nds dogs in Last Home Games in money-making moods when playing off SU underdog wins as these teams are 34-15-1 ATS, including 17-5-1 ATS against an opponent off back-to-back wins. Despite the Ponies’ 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS log on Thursdays, we’ll stand up and Yale with the Jags.

Nelly’s Green Sheet

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 18, 2008 Indianapolis (-6½) JACKSONVILLE (45) 7:15 PM

The NFL network had to be thrilled to land this match-up before the season started but it much less appealing with the Jaguars completely
collapsing this season. Indianapolis has not been dominant but the Colts have now won seven consecutive games and should coast into the
playoffs as the top wild card team. The Jaguars snapped a four-game losing streak with its first ATS win at home all season long last week but the offense has topped 20 points just once in the last eight games. Jacksonville actually features a far superior run defense to the Colts and the Jaguars could be a dangerous home underdog. COLTS BY 3

THE GOLD SHEET

NFL

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 18
*Indianapolis 23 - JACKSONVILLE 13—Not convinced last week’s rally
vs. Green Bay a late-season “buy” signal on banged-up, going-nowhere
Jacksonville, which was down six offensive starters as well as top CB Rashean Mathis. Although Indy (no win by more than 4 on road) not a consistent margin team TY, Colts (7 straight wins) better synchronized than they were when Jags ball-controlled Indy to death at Lucas Oil Stadium Sept. 21. Colts motivated to wrap up a wild card before closing regular season finale vs. powerful Tennessee. TV—NFL (08-Jack. 23-INDY 21...J.25-19 J.48/236 I.19/114 I.15/29/2/211 J.16/22/1/167 J.0 I.0) (07-Indy 29-JACK. 7...I.24-18 I.33/141 J.27/117 I.23/37/1/243 J.17/36/2/109 I.0 J.1) (07-INDY 28-Jack. 25...J.27-19 J.31/168 I.25/63 I.20/29/1/279 J.24/29/1/243 I.0 J.1) (08-Jack. +4' 23-21; 07-Indy -3 29-7, INDY -6' 28-25...SR: Indianapolis 11-4)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe's Huge Special Release Colts at Jaguars

Tonight will be a great divisional game between the Colts and Jaguars. Its not often that I release moneylines, but when I do they usually cash the ticket! The circumstances in this game call for us to take a shot. Read my writeup below.

Jacksonville +6.5 over Indianapolis (21-10 YTD!)
The Colts can clinch a playoff spot with a win tonight, however this team is banged up big time and it is not good for them to be playing on such a short week of rest. Joseph Addai might not play and even if he does I do not see the Colts running the ball on the Jaguars defensive line. Payton Manning is going to have to throw the ball a lot and it doesn't help that Marvin Harrison is out tonight. To make matters worst Dallas Clark is banged up and so if 60% of the offensive line. This Colts team could be in major trouble tonight and for the rest of the regular season. The Jaguars had a very disappointing season, but there is no denying that they have a load of talent. This team underachieved and would like to do nothing more than make Indy wait another week to make the playoffs or perhaps miss them entirely. Jacksonville has a big offensive line going against a very undersized Colts Defense. Indianapolis is even hurting on defense with their LB's shuffled and Freeney and Sanders nursing injuries. Jacksonville already beat the Colts on the road this season and match up very well today. This is worth a moneyline play of +220. Take the Jaguars.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

La Tech +3.5
Fresno St. -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 25 FB
25 units Jags +6

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB BEST BET WINNER (16-6-1 YTD)

Pick # 1 Western Kentucky (3.5)



RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER! (2-0 YESTERDAY)
Pick # 1 Phoenix Suns (4.0)





RON RAYMOND’S COLTS VS. JAGUARS WINNER! (80% CLUB STAT INCLUDED)

Pick # 1 Jacksonville Jaguars (6)






RON RAYMOND’S 3-NHL UNDERDOG PICK PACK! (BIG PICKS INSIDE)

Pick # 1 St Louis Blues (200)


Pick # 2 Philadelphia Flyers (100)


Pick # 3 Toronto Maple Leafs (195)

[Mr. IWS]

20 Unit Plays by Vernon Croy


Vernon Croy's **20 Unit Thursday Night NFL SMASH** (Colts/Jaguars)
NFL Dec 18 '08
8:15p Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Take: Jacksonville Jaguars + 7-120



Vernon Croy's **20 Unit NBA TNT GAME OF THE MONTH** (80% Overall Run)
NBA Dec 18 '08
10:35p Phoenix Suns vs Portland Trail Blazers
Take: Portland Trail Blazers -4½-110



Vernon Croy's **20 Unit Thursday Night NHL SMASH** (12-4 NHL Side Run)
NHL Dec 18 '08
7:35p San Jose Sharks vs Detroit Red Wings
Take: Detroit Red Wings -128

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Nite Owl Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: San Antonio Spurs @ Orlando Magic - Thursday December 18, 2008 8:00 pm
Pick: 2 units ATS: Orlando Magic -3.5 (-110)



We love to go against Spurs in spots where we believe they are vulnerable, as they are still a “public team” with lots of betting support, so we typically get good “lines” whenever we bet against them. And during the latter part of last season we discovered some very distinct tendencies and scoring patterns for this Spurs team, which were reinforced in the playoffs and have statrted to show again this season. We have been waiting patiently for the perfect spot to pounce on this Spurs team that has struggled so far TY with injuries to key skill performers (mostly Ginobli and Parker), and still is not fully "in sync" even though both of those guys are back on the floor, and that spot was last night, in their 7 point loss to Hornets in New Orleans, where we had our BIGGEST WIN OF THE YEAR, for TEN UNITS on Hornets – two five unit picks, one ATS at –2 and one on money line at –130. Prior to last night’s game, the Spurs had played only two games TY visiting good teams, in which they are 1-1, victorious by 17 in Denver while betting blown out by 19 in Houston. But looking at their record LY in that mode, with basically the same team, Spurs were a crappy 6-12-1 ATS, including playoffs, with average MOL of 9 points (and they are just 3 or 3.5 point dogs here). In addition, there was a pretty distinct pattern in many of those games, particularly in the playoffs against the Hornets and Lakers, of Spurs either being close or even leading at the half, but then getting blown out in second half, mostly due to poor shooting. And Spurs did not disappoint us last night, as after three quarters of pretty good shooting and good all around play, resulting in a 7 point Spurs lead after three quarters, they totally self-destructed in the fourth, shooting under 30% and getting outscored 27-13 for the quarter, during which they threw up enough bricks to build a new arena next door, all leading to that exhilarating win for Hornets and +10 units for our subscribers. And that was just part of our MONSTER 5-0 NIGHT LAST NIGHT IN NBA, where we went 5-0 for +17.4 UNITS.

And tonite we find Spurs in another vulnerable spot, having to take a late night flight to Orlando after their come from ahead loss in the Big Easy, and then having to play a rested 19-6 Magic team. Moreover, Spurs have been pretty bad lately playing “back to backs,” already 1-4 ATS TY in that mode, and LY 5-12 ATS, incl 3-7 when the second game was on the road. On the other hand, Orlando will be well rested, with two days rest after returning home from their recent western trip. And Magic are 3-0-1 ATS TY (average win by 4.5 points in those four) when playing on two days rest, as well as 4-0 ATS when playing on at least one day of rest against an unrested team (like SA tonite).

So with all of these edges for Magic, why aren’t we “pounding” them like we did New Orleans last night? Well, there are two reasons. First and foremost is the “questionable” playing status of Magic star forward Dwight Howard, who has missed his last two games with a sprained knee and is officially listed as “questionable” for tonite’s game. Howard not only is leading his team in scoring (21 ppg) and rebounds (14 pg), but he had a field day in each of Magic’s games LY against Spurs, averaging 29 points and 19 rebounds. We will have an update on Howard’s condition and likelihood of playing tonite when we update our pick write up for our subscribers later today. The other reason for holding back on Magic is that they have not been that great at home vs the NBA’s top teams, and despite the “negatives” pointed out above for Spurs in negative scheduling situations like tonite, Spurs are still one of the NBA’s “elite” teams. Magic were just 4-5 ATS LY vs A teams at home (with an average margin of loss of 4 points), including a ten point home loss to SA, “gagged” at home vs Detroit in playoffs, and they are 0-1 (a 5 point loss to Houston) in their one home game TY vs a top team, in addition to two other home losses TY to “B” teams Portland and Atlanta..

So we’ll keep it at two units on Magic at -3.5 or less, but we might “unofficially” increase the units if we are able to get reliable information that Howard not only will play tonite but that his mobility, jumping and shooting no longer seem to be significantly impaired by his ankle injury.

One final note about a possible second half value bet on Magic -- while we cannot assume that this will happen again tonite, it should be noted that NO was behind at HT and after 3Q vs Spurs, only to bury them in the fourth quarter. So we suggest that whatever you plan to play on Magic, hold back half of it for a possible second half bet on Orlando, knowing that you won’t have a second half bet on them if they are up at the half and the HT score and second half line results in a worse adjusted game line on Magic than their pre-game point spread. But if the value is there for a second half bet on Magic (e.g, if adjusted game line based on HT score and 2H line is pick or better), and not only is Dwight Howard playing but there are no game ending first half injuries to him or any other key Magic player, then go for it.

[Mr. IWS]

Hunter Price

(POD) PHOENIX SUNS & PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS UNDER 201.5

Hold on a minute taking the under in a Suns game, are you serious? Why Yes I am. This number is screaming trap. The Suns have played to the over in 9 of t heir last 10 games and they set this line at just over 200? The blazers know that they can't get in a run and gun kind of game and hope to stick with Phoenix and as such they will be stressing defense on their night off (yesterday). Part of this play is predicated on thinking the Blazers will control their home court and slam the breaks on the pace of the game and stifle the tempo of the suns. Also Richardson has had little time to adjust to his new teammates and will cause a little problem in keeping the team running which furthers our under. Ultimately, I see the Blazers controlling the game from start to finish and getting a big lead that will allow them to milk the shot clock in the fourth quarter causing the game to go under.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

4 Unit Play. #1 Take Indianapolis over Jacksonville (8:15 NFL Network) The Colts enter this game on fire having won seven straight years and a win here will likely get them into the playoffs as a wild card. The Jaguars always seem to get up for the Colts but this game at this date they do not have the bullets to compete with the Colts. During this winning streak QB Manning has been outstanding over this winning streak with a 13-3 touchdown to interception ratio. The Colts stop the run and beat the Jags over the top with the pass





DOC
College Basketball

4 Unit Play. #710 Take Troy over Florida Atlantic (8:00 pm) The Trojans come into this game having lost three straight but they will notch their first victory tonight in the Sun Belt against Florida Atlantic. The Owls have not been much better having lost five of six with their only victory coming against SE Louisiana. This losing streak includes some shaky losses to Denver, Florida Gulf Coast, and McNeese State. We full expect home court to be the difference in this contest and since this one is being played @ Trojan Arena, we will side with the team from Troy. The Owls are 0-5 away from South Florida and do not expect their first victory to come tonight in Alabama.




DOC

3 Unit Play. #704 Take Over in Phoenix @ Portland (10:35 pm TNT) The Suns have been going back to the old days recently and because of that their scoring has been high. We will not worry about who wins this game on Thursday and just collect with the over. Phoenix has combined to go over tonight’s total in nine of their last 10 games and you can expect more of the same on Thursday.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo NCAA Hoops

2-Unit Play. Take #706 Cincinnati (-5) over Mississippi State (6:30 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #707 Evansville (+30) over North Carolina (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


2-Unit Play. Take #727 Louisiana Tech (+3) over Samford (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #709 Florida Atlantic (+2) over Troy (8 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #723 Niagara (-3.5) over Drexel (7 p.m., Thursday, Dec. 18)


I also have a strong (1-Unit) lean on #717 Mississippi (+16) over Louisville (9 p.m.).

[Mr. IWS]

Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays

Thursday Plays

10* Take Portland (-4.5) over Phoenix (NBA Top Play)

Phoenix has lost 25 of the last 30 games as an underdog and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread after a game where the combined score was 205 points or more this season.


--------------------------------------------------------------------

5* Take Mississippi State (+5.5) over Cincinnati (NCAA Bonus Play)

5* Take Montana (+2) over UC-Riverside (NCAA Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays

Thursday Football

Take Jacksonville (+6) over Indianapolis
(10* Top Play)
8:15 PM EST

Indianapolis has lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread vs. division opponents and they have also lost 4 of the last 5 games against the spread as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Thursday

NCAA Basketball


100* Play Mississippi State (+5.5) over Cincinnati (NCAA)
Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS coming off a win by 10 points or more
Cincinnati is 5-12 ATS as a home favorite the last 3 seasons
Cincinnati is 3-10 ATS coming off 2 or more consecutive home games

100* Play Mississippi (+16.5) over Louisville (NCAA)

Mississippi is 21-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more the last 3 seasons
Mississippi is 5-0 SU coming off 2 or more consecutive road games
Mississippi is 10-3 SU coming off a win by 6 points or less

Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Detroit (-140) over San Jose (NHL)
50* Play Orlando (-3.5) over San Antonio (NBA)

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie.com
Daily Premium Football Winners for Thursday
Thursday Football Winner

100* Play Jacksonville (+6) over Indianapolis
(8:15 P.M. EST Kick-Off)

Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS as a favorite this season
Indianapolis is 9-23 ATS when playing in the last 2 weeks of the regular season

[Mr. IWS]

Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Your Thursday Night Football Selection is:

Play on Jacksonville (+6) over Indianapolis*
8:15 P.M. EST Kick-Off (Top NFL Guarantee)

Indianapolis has lost 7 of the last 9 games against the spread as a favorite and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. Indianapolis has lost 23 of the last 32 games against the spread when playing in the last two weeks of the regular season and they have also lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread vs. division opponents over the last three seasons.

Play on Jacksonville plus the points on Thursday

[Mr. IWS]

Thank you for ordering from WinningAngle.com your one source for sports information on the web.

Winning Angle NBA & NHL for Thursday

NBA

Play Orlando (-3.5) over San Antonio* (Top NBA Play)

NCAA Hoops

Play Evansville (+30.5) over North Carolina* (Top NCAA Play)
Play Mississippi State (+5.5) over Cincinnati

NHL
Play Boston (-245) over Toronto* (Top NHL Play)

[Mr. IWS]

akmens full card

cbb

10* niagra under 129.5

10* troy over 145

10* arkansas st -12

nba

10* suns +4

nhl

10* carolina -150

10* detroit -135

[Mr. IWS]

JEFFERSONSPORTS 0-2 yest

12-3 last 15 coll hoops
15-7 since SATURDAY all sports (68%)
55-27 in College Hoops (67%)
44-23-1 in the NFL (66%)
11-4 in NHL HOCKEY 1 unit plays (73%)

EARLY RELEASES
SAMFORD-3
DREXEL+4

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial for tonight is:

3 Unites on the OVER 44 Colts/Jacksonville

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops

NBA
5* Suns +4.5 **POD**
3* Spurs +3

NCAA Hoops
5* Montana +2.5
5* S. Alabama -4
3* Niagra -3.5
3* Troy -2

NFL
3* Jacksonville +6

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Colts -5.5
4 Magic -1.5
3 Arkansas St -12

ATS Financial Package
3 Over 44 Indy/Jax
3 Evansville +30
3 Louisville -15.5

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Indianapolis @ Jacksonville +6.5: Jacksonville +6.5 (10 unit play)

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
Northcoast--

Indy -5'

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

Two 5* Selections Today:

19-6 Lifetime with such selections.

5* College Basketball GOW: Last 5*: Cleveland State +13 Outright over Syracuse.
5* NBA GOW: Last 5*: Was GOW Last Week with Spurs over Mavs in 2OT.

I am returning to something that I did last year when I did just 1 play per day per each sport and had success of getting over 60% for 7 straight months. I wanted to try this given what I was seeing from the latest numbers we've been tracking with my plays. I still believe that the more you butt your head against Vegas the less likely you are to succeed so look for just 1 POD per day in the NBA and College Basketball every day for at least the next week. I believe this will likely lead us to more profit as we ride our best play due to our research and that should yield us a steady dose of winning days and everything else should take care of itself. Bear with me as I re-start this to see where it takes us. thanks.


The Morehead State Eagles are quietly soaring under the radar and there is a reason they are favored today. This team faced some incredibly tough non-conference games on their schedule including Vanderbilt, Drake and Louisville. That worked out extremelyl well for this team as it prepared them for their conference games which they have fared much better. Remember, although this team is ranked 270 in most power rankings, they have done wonders the last four games. Consequently, they are ona 4-0 ATS streak over their last four games. This team:

Beat Central Florida on neutral ground in New Mexico: 71-65. That is a team that is similarly ranked with James Madison btw. Then, this team beat Tennessee Martin at home 80-71, another team ranked in the top 220. Remember, James Madison is ranked in the top 230. Then, it what might be the biggest shocker of the year, this team beat Murray State at home 79-74 in a game they were 6.5 dogs and then went on the road recently to lose by just 6 points to an Illinois State team that was favored ovedr them by 18 points. Now, this team faces a James Madison team that beat them and beat the pulp out of them 89-57 last year. You think Morehead State isn't ready for this game in a big way. What stinks is that this team is in the afternoon, but regardless, I like Morehead State coming off a loss in the confines of their home here as they have beat better teams like Murray State by 7 and I can see them getting revenge here and winning by about 12 points. The James Madison Dukes are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games and the Eagles once again are 4-0 ATS in their last four overall.






5 Unit Play. #704. NBA Game of the Week: Take Portland Trail Blazers -5 over Phoenix Suns (Thursday @ 10:30pm est). Well, whenever you see 65% of the public riding a dog that is usually a good sign to move far away from that game. In fact, it is a good sign to go the other way. Phoenix has beat this team in back to back games 102-92 and 107-96 in the first two games of the year thus far. So, this is a huge revenge game for Portland no matter how you slice it. Tack on the fact that this team is 8-2 at home while Phoenix is just 7-5 on the road it makes up for a split that is in our favor. Keep in mind that I firmly believe that Nate McMillan is the better coach between these two teams as Coach Porter of the Suns to me is just a hack that simply has players that can play and if you give him a young crop of players like Nate has, he couldn't teach them to run a single offense. What the Suns have is the remnants of Mike D'Antoni's genius which he is proving works in New York as well. Remember, Phoenix lost by 15 to Dallas and 13 to New Orleans on the road earlier this year. Portland beat the likes of New Orleans at home by 15 when they had revenge and this is the exact same situation. Expect Portland to be absolutely fired up for this game and win this game by double-digits as I expect 65% of the public to get buried here while we cash in our NBA GOW with the Portland Trail Blazers by 12 over the Phoenix Suns. The Suns are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road as ATS Underdogs while the Blazers are 4-1 ATS when facing a winning team at home meaning they "show up" well against the better teams in the league in their house.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Portland -5

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

Thurs card

must show profit in hoops

4* Suns
4* under spurs
3* spurs


2* under san jose

[Mr. IWS]

kelso

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Thursday, December 18, 2008
Chairman's Club
25 Units
Jaguars (+6) over Colts
8:15 PM -- Jacksonville Municipal Stadium
Indianapolis Colts by 1-2 points

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

Best Bets Club
5 Units
Colts/Jaguars UNDER 44 Points
8:15 PM -- Jacksonville Municipal Stadium
40 or less points will be scored

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.