12-21-08

[Mr. IWS]

Joyce Sterling Sunday

Sunday NFL 11/30?????????????

The NFL has been hot all season
It always gets difficult at the end of regular season
These are our top plays

Cleveland -3
10 Game of the Week
Cincinnati with more injuries and they can not score on the road.
In their last 4 road games they have scored 3, 10, 6 and 14.
Cincy has scored 2 TDs in the last 15 quarters averaging 9.8 in their last 5 games.
Cincy has covered only 1 of their last 10 AFC Matchups
The Browns have played better at home and we feel that makes all the difference in this game.

OVER 38.5 Philadelphia vs Washington
10 Game of the Week
Redskins both offensive tackles are out.
Philadelphia plays focused with revenge after blowing a 14-0 lead in the loss.
Phila looks to continue their run to the playoffs.

[Mr. IWS]

Spylock
Tampa Bay......1 unit

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Private Play Hotline

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Afc Gow Titans, Nfc Gow Seahawks

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner
NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
118 MIN -3.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 117 ATL
Analysis:
*** NFL 3* "POD-CAST" GAME of the WEEK ***

(Analysis on Pod-Cast)

Here is a situation where I will always look to BUY the 1/2 PT and take it down to -2.5...off the Key Number of 3...But because it's only Wed, and I have been informed that a few Outfits have already laid -3 at some shops, I believe they books will be forced to move the Vig to -120 or higher, just to get -3...Which means that many of my guys who don't have access to early numbers will have trouble getting it...and although I have the kind of relationships that allows me to lay -110 regardless of the 1/2 point I want to buy, with many of my outs...I fear that even this early, it may cost many of you too much to do...

Obviously, if you have the opportunity to BUY the 1/2 POINT down to -2.5 (-120 or even -125)...I highly suggest doing so....Which is exactly what I will be doing...But if not, go ahead and lay the -3 on the VIKINGS, who are my NFL 3* "POD-CAST" GAME of the WEEK...VR

[Mr. IWS]

m@linsky

4* Troy -4

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: RJ Robbins
New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions (NFL) - 1:00 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Total: 50.5/-108 Over Play Title:
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
This will be a SHOOT-0UT!! These two teams are a combined 19-8 OVER this year. Detroit will try and pull out all the stops trying for their 1st win, while NO doesn't want to be their only victim. NEW ORLEANS is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) vs bad rushing teams - averaging less than 90ypg over the last 3 seasons,and also 6-0 OVER vs NFC North and they are 7-0 OVER in December games the last 2 years. DETROIT is 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) vs. good passing teams over the last 2 seasons. NFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR OVER 50.5

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NFL UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK

Pick # 1 Detroit Lions (7)



6 2008-12-19 RON RAYMOND’S 5* NFL O/U GAME OF THE WEEK


Pick # 1 Arizona Cardinals / New England Patriots Under 43.5



RON RAYMONDS' 4-GAME NFL PROLINE PICK PACK


Pick # 1 New England Patriots (-9.0)


Pick # 2 Detroit Lions (7)



Pick# 3 Oakland Raiders (7)


Pick # 4 Denver Broncos (-6.0)

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops:

8* NFL Game of the Week NY Giants -3.5 **POD**
7* NFL Game of the Week Tampa Bay -3.5
5* Kansas City Chiefs +3.5
5* Detroit Lions +7
5* Tennessee Titans +2

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Sunday Early Card !!

Saturday Recap: 2-0 CFB (+190) pts : 2-0 NHL (+176) pts : 0-1 CBB (-88) pts : 0-1 NBA (-88) pts : 0-1 NFL (-88) pts : Another 5* Winner in CFB 6-0 !!

NFL
4* Tampa Bay -3 (-110)
4* Over 49.5 (-110) New Orleans vs Detroit
3* Houston -7 (-110)
3* Philadelphia -4.5 (-110)
3* Seattle +4 (-110)

NHL
3* Over 5.5 (-120) Boston vs St Louis
3* Under 5.5 (-110) Carolina vs Montreal

NBA
3* Cleveland -13 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: College Football
Game: Troy Trojans @ So Mississippi - Sunday December 21, 2008 8:15 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) TOTAL: Under 55 (-110)


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Carolina Panthers @ New York Giants - Sunday December 21, 2008 8:15 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: New York Giants -3 (-125)


Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: NFL Football
Game: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tennesse Titans - Sunday December 21, 2008 1:00 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) ATS: Tennesse Titans +2 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawerence Playbook



Marc Lawrence Playbook 4* (10-7)... Tampa
Marc Lawrence Playbook 5* (10-8)... Ny Giants

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial picks are up:

4 NY Jets -3 1/2 over Seattle

4 Tampa -3 over San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Youngstown Connection
Date: Sunday, December 21, 2008
$25.00 Guaranteed Selection:

NFL Play #1

Pittsburgh -2 1:00PM Eastern

[Mr. IWS]

December 21 2008

Frank Patron 30000 Unit Lock #38

Frank Patron

30000 Unit Lock #38

Minnesota Vikings -3

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Sevransky (Teddy Covers)

3 units Falcons +3.5

6 units Giants +3

3 units Troy -4 (CFB)

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Sherwood

DETROIT +7 over New Orleans PINNACLE
The Saints absolutely don’t want to be the only team that loses to the Lions this year but Detroit wants to win a lot more then New Orleans doesn’t want to lose. In fact, members of the 1976 Bucs (the 0-14 ’76 Bucs) have called some of the Lions and told them that if they go 0-16 they will never live it down and that it will stay with them forever. Some of those winless players went on to go as far as saying that they were embarrassed to go out in public. If the Lions lose this game and subsequently lose to the Packers in Green Bay next week, the 2008 Lions will be headed to the Football Hall of Fame and that’s a distinction that they absolutely do not want. The Saints were officially eliminated last week from playoff contention and besides that they’re one of the worst traveling teams in the league. After all that NFL teams go through in the course of a season and then to be eliminated it has to be tough to get up for a game like this one. Should the Saints lose, it’ll be forgotten real soon. Should the Lions lose go winless, it’ll never be forgotten and that alone will have this team playing their hearts out. The Lions want this one more then they want the Super Bowl. Also, Reggie Bush will not go and the Saints defense is a complete mess. Remember, the Lions pushed the Colts to the brink last week in Indy and they’ll absolutely compete here. Play: Detroit +7 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).

WASHINGTON +5 over Philadelphia PINNACLE
It’s definitely not going to be easy to pull the trigger on the Skins here, as their stock has crumpled to a season low. In fact, of all the teams in the NFL, nobody’s stock has fallen quicker. By contrast, the Eagles stock has dramatically risen over the past month and wagering on the NFL is all about picking the right spot. So, what we have here is an Eagles team that is at its season high point playing against a Skins team that is at its season low point. I’ve said it a million times over and it’s worth repeating that the absolute worst time to bet on a team is when everyone else is on them too and their stock is high. This one is twofold in that everyone is also betting against Washington right now too and that makes this one doubly dangerous. The books were fully aware that they were going to get overloaded with Philly money and they came out with a very appealing line for Eagle backer. Also note that the whole world saw the Eagles crush the Brownies on Monday night and that, too, has added to the appeal of the Eagles. A Skins team that lost to Cincinnati last week and that can’t move five yards on anyone has no appeal whatsoever and this is a classic case of the oddsmakers trapping you into playing the wrong side. I’m urging you to lay off the Eagles this week. Wait til Sunday to bet this one cause we’ll likely get six points and I’ll update it Sunday morning. Play: Washington +5 (Risking 2.1 units to win 2).

Carolina +3 +1.05 over NY
This is a case of one team getting too much credit while nobody believes in the other team despite the great roll they’re on to go along with a great record. Let’s start with the Panthers. They’ve been playing under the radar the whole season and it might surprise you to know that they’ve won seven of their last eight games. They’ve suddenly become one of the more potent offenses in the game and that’s due to a running game (DeAngelo Williams and rookie Jonathan Stewart have combined for 1,980 yards and 23 rushing TDs so far this season) that is as powerful as any out there and then some. Playing a December game in New York fits right into that deadly running attack and you can be damn sure they’ll pound the ball on the ground all day. The Panthers have scored 30 or more in five of those eight games and the defense is beginning to pick it up too. Carolina held the Broncos to 10 lousy points last week in another romp. As for the Giants, well, they’re way out of sorts and Eli Manning has taken giant leaps backwards. Brandon Jacobs is hurting bad and although he may go he ios just not the same either. The Giants have dropped two straight to Philly and Dallas and those were games they wanted desperately yet they fell way short in both. The Giants had a great run indeed and everyone is expecting them to snap out of now. However, it’s not a light-switch we’re talking about that can be turned on at any time, as the Giants have found out the last couple of weeks. The Giants are considered a great team indeed, perhaps the best in the business and I would have agreed with that three weeks ago. However, things change quickly in this league, just ask the Cowboys, Redskins, Falcons, Dolphins, Seahawks and Eagles and right now the Giants are just not that same dominant team, not even close. Play: Carolina +3 +1.05 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
Sunday, December 21, 2008
50 UnitsEagles (-5) over Redskins
4:15 PM -- FedEx Field
Mostly cloudy with a 70-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the Northwest at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 45.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

5* NFL 81.2% Dark Horse Dandy

Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs
Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs

This time of year, the linesmakers over adjust lines more than usual based on must wins situations and playoff pushes. That is no doubt the case here with the Dolphins who are in a fight with the Jets and Patriots for the AFC East title and the possible only playoff spot between the three teams. Thus, the Dolphins have been shaded as the public loves to bet on these must win games. That is shaping up here as over 80 percent of the action has been on Miami in what is perceived a small line and thus an easy victory

The Chiefs continue to battle and if not for a fumbled onsides kick, they would have come out with a victory against the Chargers last week. They blew a 21-3 lead against San Diego but I don?t expect a hangover or a letdown from that as this is the final home game of the season and why not try and play spoiler. Kansas City is the best one-win team we have seen in a while as it has been competitive in all but one of its last eight games. This team has not quit and is actually picking up steam as the season ends.

After scoring more than 14 points once in their first six games, the Chiefs have scored 20 points or more in six of their last eight games, averaging 22.4 ppg over this span. While the offense is clicking behind the resurgent Tyler Thigpen, the Dolphins offense has been pretty stagnate. Miami has scored 16 points or fewer in its last three games and has scored 17 points or fewer in eight of its 15 games. Kansas City is no potent defense but neither was San Francisco, Buffalo, St. Louis or Oakland.

The Dolphins have won seven of their last eight games which is pretty miraculous considering they had just one win all of last season. The turnaround will be one of the biggest in NFL history but it has been pretty close to not being a turnaround at all. Of those seven wins, only one has been by double digits, four have been by five points or fewer and six have come against teams that will not be in the playoffs. Six of the last nine games have been at home while one roadie, at Buffalo, actually took place in Toronto.

Miami is winning but not covering so we should expect yet another tight game and Kansas City falls into a great situation based on this. Play against teams after failing to cover the spread in four out of their last five games that have won between 60 and 75 percent of their games and playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential covering the numbers by close to six ppg. The Dolphins may be looking ahead to the Jets next week as well. 5* Kansas City Chiefs
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial

4 NY Jets -3 1/2 over Seattle

4 Tampa -3 over San Diego

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Bentons

NFL Plays
15 DIME TEXANS
5 DIME CARDINALS
5 DIME DETROIT
5 DIME BILLS

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO
SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME

MINNESOTA

Note From Steve Budin:

This price is floating between -3 and -3 1/2

If you have Minnesota -3, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 so you get the win should Minnesota win by three.

If for some reason you get Minnesota at -3 1/2 - even after shopping around - buy down the 1/2 point to -3 so you get the push should Minnesota only prevail by a field goal.

Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.

Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

[Mr. IWS]

here is Bob akmen's Hockey.


New jersey -130

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
3.5 Philadelphia
3* Tampa Bay
3* Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Doc's
4* Minnesota
3* Detroit
3* St. Louis

4* Troy

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Steelers/Titans Over 34
Both teams are fighting for the number one seed in the AFC. Defense has gotten both squads to the top this year, but today both offenses matchup well against the opposing defense. The Steelers should be able to run the ball well without Vanden Bosch and Haynesworth on the Titans defensive line. Big Ben should also have time to throw to his receivers against smaller Titans cornerbacks. When Tennessee has the ball they should flat out just out muscle the Steelers. The Titans are huge up front and have monster receivers. Both defenses do have the ability to score which should help. Both teams should score enough just on offense to push this over the total. Take the Over.

Redskins +5 over Eagles
All of a sudden the red hot Eagles are hurting on offense. Curtis is not in the lineup and two offensive guards are out. The Eagles have a shot at making the playoffs but they need to win out and need a little help. The Redskins probably will not make the playoffs and would need a miracle to do so, but they are still alive and will at the very least want to send their hated rivals packing. Washington went into Philadelphia earlier this year and won outright so they are perfectly capable of winning at home. The Eagles have played some teams in the last week that were just not prepared due to injuries or drama such as the Giants and I do not think because they beat these teams that they have fixed their problems. The Eagles may squeak out a win, but their is great value in this line. Take the Skins.

Jets -3.5 over Seahawks
The Jets need a big win on the west coast to keep their playoff hopes alive. New York out played Buffalo last week, but special teams and big plays almost cost them the game. New York responded well and their defense made a big play to win the game. This team is confident and with Brett Favre under center they can play with anyone. Seattle is coming off a come from behind win in St. Louis, but I saw a Rams team that just gave up and doesn't really care about the rest of this season. I just do not see Wallace producing as much offense as Favre. Look for the big Jets Defensive Line to bully the Seahawks young and banged up offensive line. Take the Jets.

Chargers +3.5 over Bucs
The Chargers need a win and a Broncos loss to stay alive. Last week San Diego looked down and out only to make a huge 4th quarter run to beat the Chiefs in Kansas City. I know it was the Chiefs they played, but Arrowhead is one of the toughest stadiums to play in. We all know the NFC South has a great home record, but something happened to this Tampa team. Their defense is so banged up and just cannot stop the run. L.T should have a decent day on the ground and the Chargers defense should step up to the task. The loser of this game is out, but I just cant get over how the Bucs lost two games in a row. Momentum is everything in the NFL. Take the Chargers.

Falcons +3 over Vikings
The Vikings are so good at stopping the run however without Pat Williams in the lineup that defensive line just got a whole lot smaller. Matt Ryan has been playing great football and already proved he can win on the road. Last weeks big win in Arizona might give this Vikings team false confidence. The truth is Arizona is in the worst division in football. Tavaris Jackson looked good, but I do not think he is ready to lead this team to the playoffs. Look for a complete team effort from Atlanta. Take the Falcons.

Lions +7 over Saints
Both teams will be home for the playoffs, but the Lions have everything to play for. Next week they will be in the cold in Green Bay and could possibly go 0-16. I am a big believer that this team needs to win today. With the economy being so bad especially in the Detroit area this team will need to be competitive to sell tickets. If this team does not win this year a lot of ticket holders will not be back. This may seem like a far out statement, but this is a big business and you need to sell tickets. The Saints stink on defense anyway and the past couple of weeks there has been tremendous improvement from the Lions. This spread is too high. Take Detroit.

College Football
Southern Miss +4.5 over Troy
Both teams had early season injuries to the starting QB's this season and have handled it well. Southern Miss has not lost a football game since October after starting 2-6 on the year. This team is red hot and playing great defense. Troy was great in the Sun Belt, but it is the worst conference in College Football and I do not think they will stop senior RB Damion Fletcher. Southern Miss has the better defense and should make Troy uncomfortable all night long. The betting public is all over Troy. Take Southern Miss.

NBA Basketball
Wizard +6 over Magic

NCAA Basketball
Clemson +3.5 over Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast (Uncle PHil)


3.5 EAGLES, 3 BUCS, VIKINGS

DOUBLE MARQUEE- OVER TROY, MARQUEE- GIANTS, OVER BROWNS

[Mr. IWS]

T Covers

20* NYG
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

20* Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

ETHAN LAW

Opinion: So Miss +4.5

2-0 yesterday with opinions

2% Troy/So Miss over



CONFIRMED SUNDAY NCAA BOWL SELECTION
2% TROY/SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI OVER 54
Opinion selection on Southern Mississippi +4.5

CONFIRMED SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS
2% CLEVELAND -3 +$100
2% DETROIT +7
2% NEW YORK GIANTS -3 -$120
2% WASHINGTON +5

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist's Pro Dog Game of the Year, $39!
Cost: Free Pick ($39) Ungraded
Handicapper: Jim Feist
League: NFL
Event: Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos on 12/21/2008 at 1:05PM
Condition: Buffalo Bills
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: Dog Game of the Year (Bills) : Buffalo (6-8 SU/ATS) has had all kinds of bad luck since their 5-1 start. Despite a heartbreaking loss last week to the Jets, the Bills finished the game with a season-high 187 yards rushing, something they might have success here against this awful Denver rush defense. Second-year QB Trent Edwards (10 TDs, 0 INTs) has a groin injury but is probable to return here on Sunday. With weapons like RB Marshawn Lynch, WRs Lee Evans and slot WR Roscoe Parrish, the Bills gladly look forward to the return of Edwards. The NFC has been on the rise over the last year, and the Broncos got an up-close look Sunday as the Panthers destroyed them, 30-10. Denver (8-6 SU, 4-9-1 ATS) is in first-place in the lousy AFC West. The offense (No. 2 in the NFL) is normally very good behind QB Jay Cutler (24 TDs, 15 INTs) and WRs Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal. The Broncos lost their sixth tailback when bulldozing rookie Peyton Hillis went down with a torn hamstring two weeks ago, so they don?t have the offensive balance Mike Shanahan normally likes. RB Tatum Bell, who was selling cell phones last month, started at tailback Sunday (43 yards on seven carries) while RB P.J. Pope rushed for 51 yards. The main problem with this team is that they have holes on defense, especially against the run, giving up 383 yards (142 rushing) to the Jets and 400 yards (147 rushing) Sunday at Carolina. The Broncos started with a unique 4-4 defensive alignment, or four defensive linemen and four linebackers, with Wesley Woodyard officially listed as a strong safety. The idea was to halt Carolina's formidable running back duo, but it left the Broncos with only three defensive backs. The Panthers quickly made the Broncos' strategy look like a silly gimmick as WR Steve Smith went wild. The Broncos allow 26 points per game and are vulnerable to the run, allowing 140 yards per game (27th). The Broncos are still without star cornerback Champ Bailey and all three of their projected starters at linebacker. The last six games the defense has allowed 257, 75, 160, 114, 158, 142, 88 and 147 yards rushing. Denver is 4-3 SU/0-7 ATS at home and 5-19 ATS its last 24 at home. Too many points here for a team that has yet to cover a game at home. The Bills should be able to run at will in this game and with Edwards back, he will keep the Bills close and might even pull out the straight up win.

Scott Spreitzer's NFL TAILOR-MADE BEATDOWN GAME OF THE MONTH! *2-0, 100%!
Cost: Free Pick ($40) Ungraded
Handicapper: Scott Spreitzer
League: NFL
Event: Carolina Panthers vs New York Giants on 12/21/2008 at 5:15PM
Condition: New York Giants
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: I'm laying the points with the Giants on Sunday night. The defending champs had to take on two incredibly miffed and desperate football teams the last two weeks. They faced the Eagles the week after Philly hit rock bottom in the McNabb benching. They faced the NFL's talented yet disfunctional Cowboys last week. This week, it's the NY Giants who are in a state of desperation, relatively speaking. New York has been dealing with the Plaxcio mess and its "butterfly effect" while facing the last two opponents. Now, after watching the offense stumble for most of the last eight quarters, they need a shot of confidence, themselves. Carolina should provide the sweet elixir. The Panthers have been less than impressive outside of North Carolina. They barely escaped with a 26-24 win at mediocre San Diego. They were thumped at Minnesota and Tampa Bay, getting out-scored 47-13. Carolina won an uninspiring 17-6 game at Oakland, lost 45-28 at Atlanta, and escaped with a last-second win at mediocre Green Bay. Jake Delhomme is the poster-boy for home/road dichomtomy. He owns a 100.8 rating at home and a horrible 63.3 rating on the road! Defensively, Carolina's weakness is matched up against NY's new strength. The Giants don't have a consistent deep threat without Burress. So, they are back to a quick & decisive, underneath passing game. That's exactly the type of offense Carolina struggles against the most. As far as the techs are concerned, Carolina is on a 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS slide against the tough NFC East, while the physical Giants are on a 5-1 SU/ATS run against the NFC South. And, last year's Super Bowl champs are 8-2 SU/ATS in conference play this season, including 26-11 ATS the last three years. I'm laying the points with the Giants, my Tailor-Made Beatdown. Thanks! GL! Scott.

Larry Ness' 15* Sunday Night Showdown-Car/NYG (4 straight SNF wins / can you say 5 in a row?)
Cost: Free Pick ($40) Ungraded
Handicapper: Larry Ness
League: NFL
Event: Carolina Panthers vs New York Giants on 12/21/2008 at 5:15PM
Condition: New York Giants
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: What a great game. Both teams come in 11-3 and the winner clinches home-field advantage through the NFC playoffs. While their records may be identical, the Giants come in off two straight losses, while the Panthers have won three straight and SEVEN of their last eight. The Panthers lost to the Pats in the Super Bowl (2003 season) and in 2005, lost the NFC championship game in Seattle to the Seahawks. The 2006 season saw Carolina disappoint at 8-8 and then fall to 7-9 in '07, with QB Jake Delhomme missing most of the year and undergoing "Tommy John surgery." Needless to say, the Panthers had some question marks entering the '08 season. As for the Giants, they were coming off a superlative postseason in which Eli matured and led by an incredible defensive effort, prevented the Patriots from completing the NFL's first-ever 19-0 season. The Giants were defending Super Bowl champs but still weren't the NFC favorites (the Cowboys were). However, the Giants opened 11-1 through 13 weeks and were considered to be the NFL's best team (Titans were a close 2nd). However, the last two weeks they have lost at home to the Eagles and then at Dallas. The losses were 'ugly,' as the Giants gained just 211 yards vs the Eagles and scored their only offensive TD with 15 second left in a 20-14 loss. Last Sunday night in Dallas, the offense was just as inept, totaling just 218 yards and not scoring a single TD in a 20-8 loss to the Cowboys. Manning, who is having the best statistical season of his career (60.3 / 2,938 YP / 20-10 ratio / 86.4 rating), is just 31-of-62 the last two weeks, with 314 yards (one TD / two INTs). Moving to the Panthers, Delhomme has been a pleasant surprise at QB. He has not been great but coming off Tommy John surgery, he's been everything and more, than the Panthers could have hoped for. He's completing 58.9 percent with 14 TDs and 12 INTs (2,853 YP) and has a QB rating of 82.0. WR Steve Smith sat out the first two games, but still has 70 catches and his average of 103.3 YPG receiving, tops the league. Mushin Muhammad returned to Carolina from Chicago and has been an outstanding compliment to Smith, with 54 catches (14.1 YPC / 4 TDs). The Giants still lead the NFL in rushing (148.7 YPG) but the Panthers are "closing in," averaging 146.1 YPG (4.8 YPC). Carolina also has 25 rushing TDs, the most in the NFL (Giants have 16). DeAngelo Williams has blossomed into one of the NFL's top RBs with 1,229 yards on the year (5.5 YPC / 14 TDs). He's topped 100 yards in FIVE of his last seven games, scoring at least oneTD in each game (12 in all, including one TD catch). Rookie Jonathan Stewart has 751 YR (4.8 YPC) and nine TDs. Both teams have solid defenses (Giants allow 17.6 PPG and the Panthers allow 18.9) and this game will have a true "playoff atmosphere." Jacobs (1,002 YR / 5.1 YPC / 12 TDs) is expected to play (knee) and Ward (733 YR / 4.8 YPC) is also set to go (ankle), meaning the Giants will have "all hands on deck," with Bradshaw (327 YR / 5.7 YPC) being just fine. The key to the Giants running game is Jacobs pounding the middle, Ward being the "change of pace back" and Bradshaw coming in will 'fresh legs' and explosive speed in the 4th quarter. The Giants were "on top of the NFL world" just three weeks ago and now, if they lose Sunday while Minnesota wins, the NFC East champs would need to beat the Vikings in Week 17 just to get a first-round bye. Wow! The Panthers have been quite a story this year but let's take a close look at their road games. They've won at San Diego in Week 1 on the game's final play to the league's biggest underachievers, they've won at Oakland (3-11 and minus-143 in point differential on the year) and they've won at Green Bay, which has 'imploded,' losing four straight while allowing 32.5 PPG. The Panthers have lost at three 9-5 teams, Minnesota, Tampa Bay and Atlanta. Aren't the Giants better than the the Vikes, Bucs and Falcons by a WIDE margin? Sunday Night Showdown 15* NY Giants.

Scott Spreitzer's NFL 3-PLAY TRIPLE DOG TRIFECTA! **8-1, 89% in '08!**
Cost: Free Pick ($45) Ungraded
Handicapper: Scott Spreitzer
League: NFL
Event: New York Jets vs Seattle Seahawks on 12/21/2008 at 1:05PM
Condition: Seattle Seahawks
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: I'm taking the points with Seattle. The Seahawks "brought it" last week on the road and picked up an outright win in St. Louis. I expect another spirited effort in what is supposed to be Mike Holgren's home finale as HC. There's been a little secrecy in practice this week, leading many to think Seattle will pull out all stops to get their popular coach a win. One of the best things they have going for them is that New York has been horrible in west coast games, going 0-3 SU/ATS. As of the time of this typing, it looks as though Seneca Wallace will get the start with Hasselbeck likely only playing in an emergency situation. That suits me just fine. Wallace has been a part of this organiztion for half a dozen years, and gives the Seahawk receivers extra time to get open, thanks to his ability to extend plays with his legs. Wallace also doesn't make costly mistakes. He owns eight TDs in '08 with just one interception in 174 attempts. Brett Favre, meanwhile, has been mistake-prone in those west coast trips mentioned above, throwing six INTs and just one TD. Look for Seattle to add in more blitz packages against the Jets' inconsistent aerial assault. Offensively, I expect the Seahawks to develop the running game right off the bat, then utilize Wallace's strength...play action! The Jets enter this contest 1-4 ATS against losing teams outside of the AFC East. Look for that trend to continue on Sunday. With the Jets stressing for a win and Seattle playing loose, but spirited for Holmgren, I expect an upset in the Emerald City. I'm taking the points with the Seahawks.

Handicapper: Scott Spreitzer
League: NFL
Event: Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos on 12/21/2008 at 1:05PM
Condition: Buffalo Bills
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: I'm taking the points with the Bills. I have been picking my spots in Bronco games this season and have fared quite well. It's never a bad idea to buck the Broncos when laying points at home. They're now on a 2-15 ATS slide as home chalk. They're 0-6-1 ATS at home this season and the offense has been the culprit. The Broncos scored 73 points combined in winning their first two home games of the season. But since then, they have scored 16, 17, 17, 10, and 24. Denver has lost three of their last four home games outright. Buffalo backers received good news on Thursday and Friday when it was announced that QB Trent Edwards practiced both days. In fact, he took most of the snaps on Friday and he's expected to start. Look for Edwards to get RB Lynch involved early and often in this one. Lynch has been slamming the ball right at opposing defenses and I expect a big game from him against Denver's smallish defensive line. Buffalo owns a huge offensive line and the duo of Lynch and Fred Jackson will be tough to stop. Denver is allowing 140 rypg at 4.9 yards per pop. And, they're giving up a hefty 7.3 pypa! The Bills currently own a big advantage at RB and an edge on defense. Having Edwards at QB, just cut into Denver's advantage under center. Denver is stressing the 6-8 Chargers right now in the AFC West, which shows just how average this team truly is. I'm taking the points with the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.

Handicapper: Scott Spreitzer
League: NFL
Event: Miami Dolphins vs Kansas City Chiefs on 12/21/2008 at 10:00AM
Condition: Kansas City Chiefs
Grade: Ungraded
Promotion: I'm taking the points with the Chiefs on Sunday. The Dolphins are coming off a non-covering, fortunate win over San Francisco. I say fortunate because they were dominated statistically by the Niners. SFO finished the game with a 24-11 FD advantage and outgained Miami by 70 yards, but couldn't get out of their own way in the redzone. Now, with a 1-5 ATS record as a favorite, the Fins must travel to chilly Arrowhead Stadium. In fact, the temp may be in single digits when this game is being played. Not exactly comfortable weather for the Dolphins. But the Chiefs, not the weather, is the reason I'm backing the underdog. KC has been in six of their last seven games well into the fourth quarter, and they're 5-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. Herm Edwards has his team playing to build momentum for next season. They have been a better team with Tyler Thigpen at QB, and own the type of offense that should fare well against this Dolphin defense. Offensively, Miami has bogged down when it comes to scoring points, averaging just 17.2 ppg in their last five games. In fact, take away the one "outburst" of 28 in a loss to New England, and that average drops to 15.75. The Dolphins are 0-4 ATS this season and 0-8 the last three seasons when laying points in a range that includes Sunday's spread. Finally, it must be noted that Edwards knows Pennington's tendencies, having coached the Miami signal-caller in New York. Look for the Chiefs to pull the upset. I'm taking the points with Kansas City on Sunday.

[Mr. IWS]

LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR)


CINCINNATI BENGALS vs CLEVELAND BROWNS

Play: CLEVELAND BROWNS -3


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): SAN DIEGO CHARGERS vs TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Play: TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -3


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NY JETS vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Play: NY JETS -3


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): PHILADELPHIA EAGLES vs WASHINGTON REDSKINS

Play: EAGLES / REDSKINS OVER 37


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): NEW ORLEANS SAINTS vs DETROIT LIONS

Play: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -7


LAS VEGAS TECH REPORT (LVTR): BUFFALO BILLS vs DENVER BRONCOS

Play: BUFFALO BILLS +7
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[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIE

nfl. dolphins @ chiefs over 37'(500* )
nfl. jets-3' (30*)
nfl.redskins+5 (20*)
nfl. titans+2' (20*)
nfl. panthers @ giants over 37. (10*)
nfl. vikings-3 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso Clubs FB

10 units Bengals +3
5 units Seahawks +3.5
4 units Carol/Giants UNDER 37
3 units Eagles/Skins UNDER 37
3 units Bengals /Browns UNDER 31.5
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
6 Eagles -4.5
5 NY Giants -3
4 Vikings -3
Hoops
3 Mia Fla -3.5

ATS Financial Package
Hoops
3 Fla St. +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast total play of the week
Wash/phi under38

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers at Tennessee Titans Dec 21 2008 1:00PM
Prediction: Tennessee Titans

Reason: Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Tennessee (NFL) - AiS shows an 82% probability that Tennessee will win this game. Tennessee has a 90% probability that they will not allow 21 or more points in this game. Tennessee is 8-1 ATS last 3 seasons when they allow 15 to 21 points in a game. Tennessee also has a 90% probability of allowing 5.5 or less net passing yards per attempt. note that Tennessee is a perfect 6-0 ATS in that role. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 29-10 ATS for 74% since 2002. Play on any team that is a good team outscoring opponents by 4 or more points/game and after scoring and allowing 14 pts or less points. Tennessee is also in a solid role as they are 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus excellent punt coverage teams allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons; 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) vs. good passing defenses allowing 175 or less passing yards/game in the second half of the season since 1992

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

3* Tampa Bay
3* Seattle
3* Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp - Triple Dime (confirmed)

Tenn Titans +3

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
20 Det OVer
20 SD
30 BUF
50 OAK
50 NYG
100 7pt Tease Phi under 44 Oak Over 36.5

NCAAF
20 Troy

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | NFL Side Triple-Dime Bet
118 MIN -3.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 117 ATL
Analysis:
*** NFL 3* "POD-CAST" GAME of the WEEK ***



(Analysis on Pod-Cast)



Here is a situation where I will always look to BUY the 1/2 PT and take it down to -2.5...off the Key Number of 3...But because it's only Wed, and I have been informed that a few Outfits have already laid -3 at some shops, I believe they books will be forced to move the Vig to -120 or higher, just to get -3...Which means that many of my guys who don't have access to early numbers will have trouble getting it...and although I have the kind of relationships that allows me to lay -110 regardless of the 1/2 point I want to buy, with many of my outs...I fear that even this early, it may cost many of you too much to do...

Obviously, if you have the opportunity to BUY the 1/2 POINT down to -2.5 (-120 or even -125)...I highly suggest doing so....Which is exactly what I will be doing...But if not, go ahead and lay the -3 on the VIKINGS, who are my NFL 3* "POD-CAST" GAME of the WEEK...VR








Sun, 12/21/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Total Double-Dime Bet
116 STL / 115 SFX Under 43.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
** NFL 2* TOTAL PLAY of the DAY **



(BUY the 1/2 PT to 43)



With a Number this KEY for NFL TOTALS...I highly recommed that those who have the ability to BUY the 1/2 PT on Totals...to go ahead and take it UP TO 43...I would have loved to have given it out at the Opening Number of 44...But we are still getting plenty of Value, based on my "TRUE LINE" of "39"...VR





Sun, 12/21/08 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
116 STL 5.0 (-110) Bodog vs 115 SFX
Analysis: ** NFL 2* "STEAM" WAGER **





Sun, 12/21/08 - 4:15 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Single-Dime Bet
117 ATL 4.0 (-120) Sportsbetting.com vs 118 MIN
Analysis:
* 1* NFL (MIDDLE) WAGER *



We laid -3 with MINN earlier in the week as my 3* Pod-Cast Play...Now we have an opportunity for a really nice middle, since most of the locals I've spoken with, along with a few other shops...have moved the line to 3.5...And many of us were probably able to get -2.5 on the Vikings by laying the Vig, like I suggested in the Analysis...So I decided that we will now take a 2* Position on MINN...with the chance of a Middle Opportunity as well...VR

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy


CBB (POD): 4 Unit Play. #529. Take Loyola Marymount +6.5 over UC Davis (Sunday @ 5pm est).


NBA (POD): 4 Unit Play. Take Over 201 between Dallas Mavericks @ Washington Wizards

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Trophy Club
top 20 stat Tenn
regulars
cincy ,detroit, buffalo

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso's Private Players Club
200* NYG-3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback

ARIZONA CARDINALS

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

NFL
4* Pitt - 2.5
4* Minnesota -3.5
3* St.Louis + 5
3* Philly - 5
3* Buff + 6

NBA
3* Detroit + 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june
sea
nyg

ncaa
mia canes

[Mr. IWS]

Score-500 Pitt 400-Hou TB NYG

[Mr. IWS]

wunderdog

Game: New Orleans at Detroit (Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 50.5 -110

The Lions are running out of time as they enter this one with a 0-14 record. They stand to become the only team that will forever be entrenched in the NFL record books for absolute futility. It certainly won't be easy to avoid this fate. They have not been able to find stability all season on offense. How can you when you have had three different QBs starting games? None of them ever had a chance to stay long behind center to get in any kind of rhythm. Orlovsky had five starts, Kitna four starts, and Culpepper five starts. Consequently, the Lions have not produced more than 23 points in a game all season long. They have had their QBs sacked 49 times, and have converted just 28% of their third-down attempts. The Saints, without Reggie Bush, carry one surprise into this game. They are considered to be a soft defense, but no running back has gotten 100 yards on them all season! They are the top-ranked offense in the NFL overall, but the numbers on the road haven't been as glossy. Over their last five road games, the Saints have produced just 20.2 points per game. They are dead at 7-7 in terms of finding the playoffs. There are five teams ahead of them in the wildcard standings, and another tied with them, so how much energy will they bring to a game against an 0-14 team? The offense hasn't produced, and attention and motivation here should be low. The Lions haven't produced all season. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

Game: Pittsburgh at Tennessee (Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Tennessee +2 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

This may be a first. The Tennessee Titans, who sport the best record in the NFL at 12-2, are a slight dog at home. While I haven't been a big proponent of the Tiants this season, feeling they have been the beneficiary of a soft schedule and a great turnover ratio, they continue to be the Rodney Dangerfield of the NFL, not getting any respect. Their loss at Houston last week plays into this. And, Pittsburgh's five-game winning streak, capped by a win over Baltimore last week also plays a factor. But, should the Titans really be a home dog? I think not! The fact that their opponent is off a win and they are off a loss makes me like them even more. Most got a chance to see Pittsburgh's big defense and win last week, while all that stands out from the Titans game is that they lost. Here is why there is value here. The end of the Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore game last week ended with a controversial Pittsburgh TD. If it was ruled the other way and the Steelers lost, what would this line be? The Titans out-gained the Texans last week by 100 yards and lost by a point. If those two games switched, what would change? The teams wouldn't, but the perception would and that is what drives the line. There is value here because if those changes occurred, Tennessee would be a -3 in this game instead of a +1. The Steelers have now had to bring it three consecutive weeks. First they played the Patriots, then the Cowboys and finally the Ravens. Their most emotional and physical game was last week. They now have to bring it a fourth-straight week, this time against the Titans who will be loaded for bear at home with the playoff-like atmosphere and drive after laying low for a couple weeks. I see a lot of value on the Titans who are 6-1 at home and will be ready to bring it in this one.

Game: San Francisco at St. Louis (Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Francisco -5 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Pick: 4 units on Game Total UNDER 43.5 -110

The Rams have had a dreadful season and have played themselves to a 2-12 record. The actuality is that their season has been even worse than that. They have managed to lose nine of the twelve games by 19 points or more, so even if this team was given 17 points a game in every contest, their record would be 5-9! That is pretty eye-opening, so to back this terrible team hoping for a close game certainly is questionable. The Niners have played with renewed vigor under Mike Singletary. He has this team playing with intensity and purpose. This is a team that isn't playing out the string, but rather playing inspired football, giving it their all week after week. The results have them at 5-1 ATS over the past six weeks. The defense has really picked it up as they have allowed just 31 points in their last three games, or 10.3 ppg, to teams that have averaged 23 ppg. So how do the Rams find the end zone here? They have managed just 93 points in their last eight games, or 11.6 ppg. What is more amazing is 48 of those 93 have come on FGs - or more than half! One of those 19+ point losses came at the hands of the Niners, which are playing at a much higher level now every week. I like San Francisco and the UNDER in this one.


Game: Arizona at New England (Sunday 12/21 1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Arizona +8 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)

Last week was Arizona's worst game of the year. They got down 14-0 early to the Vikings on a punt return and long TD pass and they never recovered. Combine that with the fact that the Pats are off their best game of the season against Oakland, and the oddsmakers have been fored to inflate this one to offer value on the Cards. These teams are just about a dead-heat statistically on defense and at the same time the Cards have an offensive advantage. Sure, New England has been the "hotter" team of late. But is not too often that you see a line posted at this lofty level when the team getting the points is, at the worst, the just as good on both sides of the ball. Arizona has the QB advantage as Kurt Warner has a rating 10 points higher than Cassel. The Cards get a pass last week as they are a premier team. They clinched the division and had no interest against the Vikings and it showed. They took the week off. They were blitzed by the media, and you can bet they have something to play for here. It is the Patriots and a measuring-stick game for this team, and their ability to go on the road and play a tough team. The weather could become a factor here with rain, snow, and wind in the forecast offering further value in the already inflated line. I'll back the Cards, and fade the Pats here in a buy-low, sell-high situation.


Game: Buffalo at Denver (Sunday 12/21 4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Buffalo +7 (-120) (risk 5 to win 4.2)

These teams started out the season getting a lot of ink and even Super Bowl talk. But that talk certainly faded from the Bills camp as a 5-1 start became a 1-7 disaster. The Bills have walked a fine line with a small margin of error. Early on, they found ways to win but lately they have found themselves in situations where they find ways to lose. The Bills have been in just about every game they play. During this 1-7 streak, they have lost six of the seven games by 10 points or less, and their largest loss has been 13 points. They are hanging around every game, so the points are enticing here. After a 38 ppg start in the first three games, the Denver offense has been greatly reduced and inconsistent. They have not even reached that 38 point mark once since then. And in eight of their eleven games, they have scored less than 20. The odds-makers have consistently made them a bigger favorite, especially at home, than they should be and it has resulted in them not covering a single game all season at home. They have not covered a game all season, home or away as a favorite of more than three points where they are 0-7 ATS. As I mentioned in my recent blog on lucky NFL teams, Denver could very well be 6-8 right now instead of 8-6. I like the Bills who have been in every game they have played, against a continually overrated Denver team.

Game: Houston at Oakland (Sunday 12/21 4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Oakland +7 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)

The Houston Texans are mirroring their 2007-08 performance where they recovered from a slow start to reach the .500 mark for the first time. They have now won four straight to lift them to the .500 mark for the first time this year. After their big upset win last week over the Titans, everyone seems to have taken notice. The question is, have the odds-makers now gotten too frisky with this team, placing them as a TD favorite on the road? The answer to that in my opinion is yes. This is an improved team for sure, but one that has been flexing their muscle at home, not on the road. Over the last four seasons the Texans are just 6-25 SU on the road. I don't recall ever seeing a team that has won just 19% of their road games over four seasons, with a similar mark this season at 22%, asked to cover a number this size. They have managed to cover this number in just three of their last 31 road games, and you can be sure they have played teams similar to Oakland in the process. The Raiders may be off their worst game of the year which certainly has something to do with this line. It's painful to back this Raiders team but it is the right side of this game. Let's not forget that the Raiders went to New Orleans and lost 34-3 to the Saints and then beat the playoff-bound division-leading Jets outright. They went to Miami and lost by just two to the Dolphins on a last minute FG. Then came back and beat another division leader, the Broncos, on the road 31-10. They have had their moments while the moments for the Texans on the road winning has not come easy. Winning by this large a number has been a rarity. I'll back the Raiders in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo's plays for today

Miami -3 Triple Dime Play
New Orleans/Detroit over 50.5 Double Dime Play (O/U GOW)
New York Jets -3.5 Double Dime Play (NFL GOW)

[Mr. IWS]

JEFFERSONSPORTS
45-23-1 in the NFL (66%)

KC CHIEFS+3.5
BUFFALO+4.5
PITT-2.5
MINNESOTA-3
NY GIANTS-3 (im buying to 2.5 even if i lay -150)