12-26-08

[Mr. IWS]

Spylock
Central Michigan.... 1 unit

[Mr. IWS]

The Booooj is now 6-1 in Bowl games.

Motor City Bowl
Ford Field, Detroit, Michigan
10 Units on Central Michigan (-7) over Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic (6-6) vs. Central Michigan (8-4)- The Motor City Bowl features 2 powerful offenses led by Junior QB’s. Florida Atlantic’s Rusty Smith has put up some huge numbers for the Owls and should be able to lead his offense to some scores in this one, but the Chippewa defense is not as bad as they showed in their last outing. I would expect a much better performance out of the Central defense, this is not to say that they will pitch a shutout, but they should be able to come up with some stops when they need them. On the other side of the ball, record setting QB Dan LeFevour will make plenty of plays with his feet and through the air. Look for Wide Receiver Antonio Brown to have a big game as the Chippewa offense rolls up many touchdowns. Central’s defense should be able to feed off of what will be a Chippewa heavy crowd, to make enough plays to allow their offense to pull away. Central by 16-21.

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman
NBA
4* Charlotte +4.5
4* Chic/Mia OVER 199.5
4* Toronto -2
3* Houston +2

NHL
3* Pittsburgh PK(+120)
2* Los Angeles PK(-125)

CFB
3* C.Mich/Fla-Atl OVER 67

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law

Verdict: Central Michigan 24, Florida Atlantic 31

PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON FLORIDA ATLANTIC +7;
PLAY 1* UNIT ON FLORIDA ATLANTIC/CENTRAL MICHIGAN UNDER 68

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso's Personal Best

2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB
Friday, December 26, 2008
25*
Central Mich (-7) over Fla Atlantic
7:30 PM -- Motor City Bowl - Ford Field, Detroit, MI

This game matching Florida Atlantic (6-6) and Central Michigan (8-4) is a good example of making sure that what you got during the regular season is what you are getting in the bowl games. The Central Michigan team that plays here is precisely the team you saw during the season; Florida Atlanta is not. Florida Atlantic will be without two starting offensive linemen, a starting linebacker and its place kicker, all victims of academic ineligibility. And these are not just any starters. Offensive lineman Brandon Jackson is a 4-year starter, while Kevin Miller started at one of the guard spots. Outside linebacker Andre Clark is one of the team's best players. As for place kicker Warley Leroy, he is a 5th year senior who has held this job for three season. A team cannot lose this many starters of this caliber and expect to be the team it was. This game also will be played before a heavily partisan Central M ichigan crowd. Florida Atlantic is bringing less than 1,500 fans to the game. I cannot find a single spot in which Florida Atlantic has an edge.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial pick for tonight is:

3 Units on the over 68 Central Michigan/Florida Atlantic

[Mr. IWS]

TS Lock Club
4 Central Mich -6.5
4 Mavs +4.5
3 Celtics -10

ATS Financial Package
4 Rockets -2
3 Knicks -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jeffersonsports



Nba Early Play
Chicago Over 189.5

[Mr. IWS]

seabass steam
100* Chicago Bulls

[Mr. IWS]

Akmens Hockey tonight

Carolina

Florida

[Mr. IWS]

Balfe

College Football
Florida Atlantic +7 over Central Michigan

NBA Basketball
Sixers +6.5 over Nuggets

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Football
20* over Motor City Bowl

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4* Bobcats +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp | NBA Sides
triple-dime bet517 TOR -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 518 SAC
Analysis: Stan is Betting TORONTO today. Stan notes that Sacramento is returning home off of a long road trip and should come out flat off of the holiday. Toronto posted an easy win in their last game and should continue the winning momentum here. Stan has Toronto winning by 9-12 points. TAKE TORONTO as STAN'S NBA BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Indiancowboy


NBA: (Pod): 4 Unit Play. Over 205 between Indiana Pacers @ Memphis Grizzlies (Friday @ 8:05pm est).

You have already received the over in tonight's football game released well in advance. I'm glad it was released about 8 days ago as it is now roughly 3 points higher. This is one of the advantages of releasing plays well in advance.

Golden Week in NBA in tact: (3-0, +13 Units this week).
CBB - Niagara 18 piont winner last selection.
Going for 4 Straight Winning Weeks in Football.
7-1 NFL Run and 3-0 in the NFL this past week.

If you go back the last couple of games for Memphis prior to their series of losses, they were actually playing very well. In fact, even in their losses, this team was making improvements and you can see it via the box score. Think about it, the Memphis Grizzlies were up by 3 points on the L.A. Lakers at home going into the fourth quarter. There is something to be said about that. Plus, a defensive team like the Lakers gave up 80 points in the first 3 quarters of this team as they were well on their way to a 100 points prior to a 16 point 4th quarter as L.A. tightened up on defense. The Grizzlies average about twenty 3 pointers per game and the Pacers are about the same chucking up twenty 3 pointers a game as well. Both these teams come off frustrating losses as the Pacers lost on a buzzer beater to the Nets at home as Devin Harris made a last second shot and the Grizzlies got drilled on the road scoring just 82 points losing to the Mavs by 18 points. The Grizzlies are the same team that put up over a 109 points on the Rockets and nearly put up a 100 points on a defensive team in the Lakers. There are many things that the Pacers are, one, is certainly not defensive as this team gives up 104 points per game and are 17-10 to the over this year. The Pacers are ranked 6th in the NBA in offense and shoot over 80% from the line as well. There are questionables in this game, but certain key players will still be playing and that incudes Danny Granger who will take more than 20 shots undoubtedly and about 4-5 three pointers as well, Brandon Rush who will chuck up double-digit shots and plenty of three pointers, tack on Deiner and Ford who is likely to return what you have is a great up and down game with two teams getting out some frustrations as this game is likely to go over. With the likes of the Grizzlies continuing to produce sound offense at home such as 102 on Miami and 103 on Chicago, I'll take my chances on the over as Indiana is no where near the defensive teams as the Heat or Bulls - as remember, Miami is the same team that held the Lakers to under 90 points at home. I look for both teams to get over a 100 and this game to hover in the range of 212-215. The over is 6-2 for the Pacers following an ATS loss and the over is 7-0 for the Grizzlies as a small favorite of late.






CBB (Pod): 4 Unit Play. #521. Take Fairfield Stags +23.5 over Uconn Huskies (Friday @ 7pm est). We come off a win with Niagara in the last college play pod as we continue to be selective and do 1 pod per day. Niagara ended up being an 18 point cover so let's keep it going with that in heart. I actually did the research for this game back on Tuesday and was not planning to make a play. But, there are many things that are working in our favor. For starters, this is the sole college basketball action on the card and as expected the public is heavily on UConn to a tune of 70% or more. Tack on the fact that Uconn has only played teams ranked in the top 280-320 at home, this actually is the "toughest" competition this team has played at home all year as Fairfield is in and around the top 150 in the power rankings. Offshore, the line opened up at -27 and quickly took a hit to -24 where it stands currently and continues to come down to -23.5. Remember, Uconn has only played teams in the top 280-320 at home and subsequently easily defeated such teams at home including by 26 against Western Carolina, 43 against Hartford, 30 against Bryant, 30 against Deleware State and 34 against Stony Brook. But, they play a team in the top 150 today. By no means is a Fairfield a top tier school, but they are actually in the top 45% of schools in the nation as they are a top 150 school. Tack on the fact this team is 8-3 this year and only has losses to such teams such as Memphis, Missouri and Virginia Tech. Those losses by the way came early on in the year and Fairfield within their own conference and otherwise has reeled off seven straight wins since those early non-conference heavy weights. As wild as it sounds, this is the best team that UConn has played all year at home as Fairfield is 80 spots higher in the power rankings than even Western Carolina who UConn beat by 26 at home earlier this year. Uconn also comes off a big overtime win against Gonzaga so undoubtedly that was an emotional lift for this team. Coming off such a big high, it is tough for this team to "get-up" for this team such as Fairfield who neither has the name recognition or the stature of a Gonzaga. Fairfield has had nearly 2 weeks to prepare for this game and in many ways, this game is the National Championship for the Stags as they actually get national attention for a while. Heck, the closest this the biggest attendance this team has had for a home game is about 2,000 people so a stage like this in Uconn is very exciting. It's not like this team has not played some tough teams including Va Tech, Missour and Memphis in the beginning of the season. Once again, this is the only college basketball game in division one in the nation, and all too often time and time again the favorite gets buried in such instances along with the public. Hence, over 70% are riding Uconn, tack on that Fairfield is a sound team this year that comes off seven straight wins, this is the "toughest" team that UConn has played all year at home as they won by 26 over Western Carolina who is ranked roughly 75-80 spots worse than Fairfield, my math model shows an 18 point win here for Uconn as Fairfield rides some confidence coming in and having won seven in a row. I have the Stags staying inside the number here, as they are 4-0 ATS against the Big East of late. For these reasons, it's worth a shot here as we look ahead to saturday's and sundays pod. I believe Uconn leads by about 6-8 points at the end of the first half and ends up closing the game out by winning by 18 in the end and inside the number.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Special K NBA

Small play

Knicks/Minn Over 214.5