12-31-08

[Mr. IWS]

Asa
7* Georgia Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Nsa
CFB LSU vs Georgia Tech 7:30 20* LSU +4.5
CFB Minnesota vs Kansas 6:00 10* Minnesota +9
CFB Boston College vs Vanderbilt 3:30 10* Boston College -3.5
CFB Pittsburgh vs Oregon St 2:00 10* Oregon St -2.5
CFB Air Force vs Houston 12:00 10* Air Force +4
CBB Wisconsin @ Michigan 2:00 10* Wisconsin +2.5
NBA Orlando @ Chicago 2:05 10* Orlando -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 15* graded play on Vanderbilt (CFB) Music City Bowl – AiS shows an 87% probability that Vanderbilt will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and a 64% probability that they will win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 40-14 ATS for 74% since 1997. Play against neutral field favorites in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences and with an inexperienced QB as starter. Vanderbilt is not a strong passing team, but BC is just 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor passing teams averaging 5.75 or less passing yards/att. since 1992. Vanderbilt is in a series of strong angles noting they are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992; 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road since 1992; 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992. Vanderbilt head coach Johnson is in a solid role noting he is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after playing their last game on the road. Let’s face it Vanderbilt’s 6-6 record is superior BS’ winning record. Vanderbilt came out of the SEC Conference where every week is a war of attrition. Moreover, Vanderbilt is playing in its’ first bowl game since 1982 and they have a significant reason to show the country that they belong in a bowl game on New Year’s Eve. The Vanderbilt program is on the rise and a win here would certainly go a long way for an even better recruiting season. Even better for the Commodores is that they are playing at LP Field, home of the NFL Titan, and just 3 or so miles away from the Vanderbilt University. A victory against the Eagles would give the Commodores their first winning season since 1982 and just their fourth seven-win season the past 50 years. BC does not have this type of motivation after losing to Va Tech in the ACC Championship game. A loss like that one, where the reward was a trip to the Orange Bowl singes for a long time and even after a month they could be quite flat. I also think the Vandy defense will be a significant factor in this game as well given their speed. BC is starting a redhirt freshmen at QB in Dominique Davis. He will make only his third career start for the Eagles with Chris Crane unable to return from a fractured collarbone. Davis was intercepted twice in the ACC title game. Vandy will get Jared Hawkins back, who is their lead rusher. But Jamie Graham, who also has played receiver, may get the start. Graham, a redshirt freshman who also plays on the basketball team, has his own goal. ``I'd rather my ring say champion rather than just Vanderbilt,' he said. That sums up the team’s focus. Take Vanderbilt for 15*.

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play OVER Air Force/Houston and a 3* OVER play on the first half line – AiS shows an 84% probability that 65 or more points will be scored in this game. This pits two different teams. Air Force runs the ball and Houston passes the ball and both will have large success against the respective defenses. AiS shows a 90% probability that Houston will gain a MINIMUM of 6.5 yards per play. Note that Houston is 13-4 OVER (+8.6 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 24-6 OVER for 80% since 2002. Play over with neutral field teams where the total is greater than or equal to 63 in minor bowl games played in December. AF is a strong 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) versus good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last 2 seasons. Houston is the nation’s most prolific offense averaging 575 yards and 41 points per game and the second leading passing attack. As we have seen so many times in years past, a poor defense nearly always accompanies a high powered offense. The reason is simple in that the defense has to play far more downs and far more time than if it was a more balanced team chemistry. AF will run the ball well and may actually throw more passes than normal – perhaps as many as 15 based on the AiS projections. AF is led by true freshman Tim Jefferson and he is the first AF QB in years that actually does possess a duel threat capability. So, look for him to pass earl in this game. Houston’s offense racked up 641 yards against Tulane, 700 against UTEP, and 634 against Rice in their last 3 games. This is a rematch from 9/13 where AF defeated Houston 31-28. With a touch of revenge added in, Houston will be looking to score on every possession and AF will keep stride with them. I also like the first half play on the total as well for 3* amount.

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Kansas as they face Minnesota in the Insight Bowl set to kick off at 6:00 EST.– Kansas has an 87% probability of scoring 35 or more points, gaining a minimum of 350 net passing yards in this game. Note that Minnesota is just 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 total yards per play since 1992; 16-41 ATS (-29.1 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992. Kansas is a solid 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they gain 350 to 400 net passing yards over the last 2 seasons; 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when they score 28 or more points over the last 2 seasons; 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 to 7 total yards per play since 1992; 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they gain 6.5 or more total yards per play over the last 2 seasons. Kansas is also in a solid power type role for this game noting they are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=120 rushing yards/game since 1992; 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

[Mr. IWS]

Colin Cowherd

48-30-2

Georgia

[Mr. IWS]

ETHAN LAW:

Verdict: Minnesota 24, Kansas 28
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON MINNESOTA +10 -$115

Verdict: LSU 27, Georgia Tech 20
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON LSU +4.5 -$115

[Mr. IWS]

Tim TRushel
20* pittsburgh
reg/ minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Budin: 25 dime Georgia Tech!

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

5* Minny / Kansas over 58

3* LSU +4

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Bowl GOY
10 units on LSU (+4) over Georgia Tech, 7:30
5 units on Houston (-3 1/2) over Air Force, 12:00
4 units on boston College (-3 1/2) over Vanderbilt, 3:30

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

3 Units Air Force (+3½) over Houston
12:00 PM -- Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl - Amon G. Carter
Air Force by 3-4
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 50.

3 Units Pittsburgh (+2½) over Oregon State
2:15 PM -- Brut Sun Bowl - Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, TX
Pittsburgh by 3-4
Sunny. Winds blowing from the Southeast at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.

3 Units Boston College (-3½) over Vanderbilt
3:30 PM -- Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl - LP Field, Nashvil
Boaton College by 7-10
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the North at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 40.

3 Units Kansas (-9) over Minnesota
6:00 PM -- Insight Bowl - Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, AZ
Kansas by 13-14
Clear. Winds blowing from the East at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

College Bowl Power Play100 Units Georgia Tech (-4) over LSU
7:30 PM -- Chick-fil-A Bowl - Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Georgia Tech by 13-14

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial

Wednesday

4 Units on Oregon St
3 Units on Kansas

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Feiner
1000 Dime BC
1000 Dime LSU

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

College Football
Air Force +3.5 over Houston
Two teams with different styles will face off this afternoon in the Armed Forces Bowl. Air Force runs the ball very well while Houston is great throwing the ball. Look for Air Force to keep the ball on the ground and to chew up the clock limiting the amount of time Houston get the ball. Air Force has a better defense and should throw off the timing of the Cougar offense. This is the Armed Forces Bowl. Houston doesn't have any army. Take Air Force.

Pittsburgh +2 over Oregon State
Oregon State will be remembered this year for the team that beat USC, but today will be without both Rogers brothers that account for a lot of their offense. Pittsburgh has a great running back in McCoy and should run the ball well. This should be a close game, but in the end the running game for Pitt should come out on top. Take the Panthers.

Boston College -3.5 over Vanderbilt
This is practically a home game for Vanderbilt, but this team did not play that well at home down the stretch and record wise jumped out of the gates early because they were beneficent of a lot of opponent turnovers. Boston College has won 8 straight bowl games and the only way Vanderbilt has a shot is if Boston College beats themselves. Look for BC to do enough to get their 9th straight bowl win.

Kansas -9 over Minnesota
Minnesota is a lot like Vanderbilt. This team started hot, but still has a long way to go. When you turn the ball over a lot it gets in your head that you are still that same old Gophers team. Kansas has a better offense and should put up a lot of points. Both defenses stink, but I do not see Minnesota trading points all night. One or two key turnovers will put this game out of reach. Take Kansas.

LSU +4 over GTech
LSU has been horrible against the spread this year while GTech has covered a lot for the public. These trends have a way of balancing out especially in bowl games. This game is being played in the Georgia Dome and we will see just how much speed LSU has. The Tigers have superior athletes and should slow down the high powered running game of the Yellow Jackets. LSU will make up for a very disappointing season tonight.

NBA Basketball
Magic -6 over Bulls

NCAA Basketball
DePaul +7.5 over Notre Dame

[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIE

ncaaf. lsu vs ga tech over 52' (500*)
ncaaf. vandy+3' (30*)
ncaaf. air force-3 (20*)
ncaaf. boston college vs vandy under 40' (20*)
ncaaf. minnesota+10 (10*)
ncaaf. pitt+3 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

2:00p Teddy Covers Pittsburgh +2.5 / 3 units

6:00p Teddy Covers Kansas -8.5 / 4 units

[Mr. IWS]

12:00p Bob Akmens Air Force +3.5 / 5 units
12:00p Bob Akmens Air Force Houston o64.5 / 5 units
2:00p Bob Akmens Oregon State -2.5 / 5 units
3:30p Bob Akmens Vanderbilt +3.5 / 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Sports paid picks

Top pick 4* on LSU

3* Hou
3* Pit under

Top Opinion: Minn
Top Opinion: BC under (triple play)
Opinion: Van
Opinion: Org St
Double Totals Play: Hou over
Single Totals Play: LSU over
Single Totals Play: Minn under

[Mr. IWS]

Special K 20 star baskets Michigan State

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Steam
100* Akron NCAA hoops

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers
4 unit NBA - Milwaukee

[Mr. IWS]

december 31 2008
frank patron 10000 unit bowl lock

frank patron
10000 unit bowl lock
lsu tigers +4

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

College Foot for New Year's Day
4** Georgia -7.5
4* V.Tech + 2
3* Penn St-USC under 45
NBA
4* Orlando-Chi under 202
3* Houston -8.5
College
4* Evansville + 7.5
3* UNLV + 13
3 utah st -12.5

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky
4* Pitt / Org state Under 52.5

4* Kansas -7.5


hoops

4* Denver -1.5

4* Depaul +7

6* Providence -8

[Mr. IWS]

Boooj

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth Texas
5 Units on Houston (-4) over Air Force
Houston (7-5) vs. Air Force (8-4)- This is our second bowl game that features a regular season rematch, and like the first one, I expect a different result. Houston was a distracted team in the first meeting, with the game being moved from their campus due to Hurricane Ike. The Cougars are a team that has grown a lot this season, and are hungry to end an 8 bowl losing streak. QB Case Keenum will have a big game throwing the ball to a variety of weapons. On the defensive side of the ball, Houston will look to slow down a dominant Air Force rushing attack. Todd Newell and Asher Clark should be able to get some things done on the ground, but look for Houston to outscore the Falcons. Houston by 7-10.


Brut Sun Bowl
Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas
15 Units on Pittsburgh (+2) over Oregon St.
Oregon St. (8-4) vs. Pittsburgh (9-3)- Oregon St. comes in after a disappointing loss to rival Oregon. The Beavers had a chance to play in the Rose Bowl, and can’t be thrilled to play in this game. If running back Jacquizz Rodgers can’t play, which it appears he won’t, the Beavers will struggle to run against a tough Pitt defense. QB Lyle Moevao will have to carry the Beaver offense and I don’t believe he can do it against this Panther defense. On offense, Pitt features one of the nation’s top backs in LeSean McCoy. Pitt will look to get him the ball upwards of 30 times and hope he can wear down the Beaver defense. Pitt will pound the ball enough to open up the play action passing game for QB Bill Stull. Look for Pitt to win a tight, low scoring affair. Pitt by 4-7.

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
LP Field, Nashville, Tennessee
25 Units on Boston College (-3.5) over Vanderbilt
Boston College (9-4) vs. Vanderbilt (6-6)- Don’t expect Vanderbilt to be happy just being in a bowl game for the first time in 26 years. They will certainly come to play, and will have the advantage of playing what is virtually a home game. Boston College comes in looking to continue the nation’s longest post season winning streak. Redshirt Freshman QB Dominique Davis will be making just his third career start for the Eagles, and is coming off of a shaky performance in the ACC championship game. With the extra time to prepare, Davis should have a much better game. On the other side of the ball, the Boston College defense is led by standout linebacker Mark Herzlich, who was named ACC defensive player of the year. Vanderbilt struggles on offense and don’t expect much to change today. BC wins a defensive battle. Boston College by 13-17.

Insight Bowl
Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, Arizona
3 Units on Minnesota (+8.5) over Kansas
Kansas (7-5) vs. Minnesota (7-5)- Minnesota comes into this game on a four game losing streak after opening the season 7-1. They have struggled done the stretch a little, but really just ran into opponents that were better than them. Minnesota loves to throw the ball on offense, and have a very talented young QB Adam Weber. Kansas will be able to outscore the Gophers in this one behind playmaking QB Todd Reesing. Minnesota should keep it close, but Kansas will get the victory. Kansas by 3-7.

Chick- fil- A Bowl
Georgia Dome, Atlanta, Georgia
15 Units on LSU (+4) over Georgia Tech
LSU (7-5) vs. Georgia Tech (9-3)- The defending National champs certainly didn’t expect to be playing in a bowl game before New Year’s Day. Things certainly have not gone as planned for LSU this year, they’ve suffered through inconsistent QB play and an underachieving defense, among other things. Georgia Tech, on the other hand has overachieved under first year coach Paul Johnson. Georgia Tech features one of the nation’s most dynamic offenses led by QB Josh Nesbitt and RB Jonathan Dwyer. LSU freshman QB Jordan Jefferson will be making his second career start in this game, and should benefit from the extra time to prepare. Jefferson is a supremely talented dual threat QB, and could give the Yellow Jackets defense fits. Look for LSU’s defense to perform better than they have of late and the Tiger’s offense to make enough plays to spring the upset. LSU by 3-7.

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky
4* LSU/ Gtech Under 54

[Mr. IWS]

Kruuger
3 unit NCAAB Utah

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Stevens GUARANTEED 20* or 2009 year is FREE.

MORTAL LOCK ON HOUSTON U -4

[Mr. IWS]

SCORE

400 Kansas
300 Boston College
300 LSU
__________

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp | CFB Side
triple-dime bet243 LSU 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 244 Georgia Tech
Analysis: Stan is Betting LSU today. Stan notes that the LSU defense will be able to shut down the Georgia Tech running game. look for the LSU offense to be able to move the ball against Georgia Tech and wear them down in the second half. ACC wasn't as strong as the SEC this year. Stan has LSU winning this game outright by 7-10 points. TAKE LSU as STAN'S COLLEGE BOWL BIG BET OF THE MONTH and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex Super Play

Kansas Under

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

20* okla city(nba)
reg. ohio st.(ncaa)
playmaker / lsu (football)

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

20* Pitt
50* Vandy
50* Minn
200* LSU

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

3 Unit Play. #237. Take Pittsburgh +2.5 over Oregon State (Wednesday, December 31st @ 2pm est) (Released Friday, December 26th @ 6pm est).

5 of 8 Winning days in the NBA.

Going for Winning Football Week #4 in a row: Pending Pitt, and 2 selections tomorrow.

NFL GOY: San Fran -2.5 over Washington. (Lifetime, 2-0 on GOYs).






I am a firm believer in taking dogs outright. We have taken countless football teams in college football, in college basketball (Cleveland State +13 outright over Syracuse), in the NFL (Bengals outright over Redskins and Titans outright over Steelers) and the list goes on and on. Why would we not take the Pittsburgh Panthers over Oregon State here. Oregon State is actually a very good team. But, Pittsburgh is better. I am a firm believer that the Big East was a sound conference this year and Oregon State has truly not impressed me on the road. This game is in El Paso, Texas for God's sakes. You have a team from Pittsburgh and a team from Oregon heading down to Texas for this contest. Folks, Oregon State is just 3-3 on the road. They are a team that is dynamic at home, but much weaker on the road. Also, yes, they beat USC at home, congrats. But, this tam did lose to Utah by a field goal on the road and took it up the chin losing by 37 to Oregon on the road by a score of 38-65. I have also come to believe in Coach Dave W. Somehow he has literally turned around this program at Pittsburgh and this team sits at 9-3 and as a top 25 team. By the way, I always believe a firm defense is better than any offense. The Big East has been a very tough conference top to bottom this year. Give me the teams of Pittsburgh, Rutgers (at their current level of play which is unbelievable), Cincinnati, South Florida and West Virginia (and heck, even Uconn) and they can go toe to toe with nearly any conference out there with the exception of maybe the Big 12 this year as even my SEC had a down year overall with the exception of Florida and Bama. Pitt hails a team that defeated South Florida, Uconn, Notre Dame and Uconn on the road. I know Oregon State is itching to play from their tough loss to Oregon on the road, but I just feel that Pitt is the better team and in particular, they are the better team on the highway as compared to Oregon State who has lost to the likes of Stanford, Penn State and Utah on the road and even barely beat Arizona.





4 Unit Play. #729. Take Evansville +7.5 over Illinois State. (Wednesday @ 3:05pm eastern). I actually have Evansville as the higher ranked squad today as they are ranked in the top 75 while Illinois State is ranked around the top 80. But, note that Illinois State is hosting Evansville today but defeated this team 49-47 on the road last year so obviously Evansville remembers that tough loss. Evansville is the same team that had beaten once ranked Western Kentucky by a score of 72-40. This team has also defeated a top 100 team in Buffalo by double-digits at home. Note, Evansville just defeated conference rival Drake by 11 points as well and although Illinois State is undefeated, they have yet to play a top 75 squad such as Evansville all year. I think Evansville remembers last year's loss and shows up here as I have them at a 30% shot at winning outright, but more importantly, likely losing this game by a bucket. The Purple Aces are 6-01 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and are 4-0 ATS against teams with a winning % of 60% or more.




4 Unit Play. Take Over 201.5 between Orlando Magic @ Chicago Bulls (Wednesday @ 2pm est). The Magic are typically one of the best teams in the league to wager on after a loss. Well, we are doing so indirectly here. We have two converging forces. For starters, the Magic had a rarity where they did not put up over a 100 points in their last game against the Pistons at the Palace. Prior to that, the Magic had put up a 100 points in 7 of their last 9 contests and in particular, on the road. The Magic had put over a 100 points in their previous 5 contests on the road before the Pistons game. Now, this team plays a Chicago team who they scored 96 points on at home and who they defeated 96-93. I expect Chicago to have revenge from that loss which the fell short by a bucket and be an active dog today. In that same token, I expect the Magic to release some frustration from their loss at Detroit by putting up more than 82 points which they were held to by he stifling Pistons defense. When the Magic are at home getting out their frustration, they usually do it on the defensive end and when the Magic is on the road to get out their frustration, they usually do it by blowing teams out by the widest margin possible. This is just a trend that this team has with Van Gundy as their coach. Look for both teams to get over a 100 points in this afternoon New Year's contest as the fireworks start early

[Mr. IWS]

RAS
#744 Drexel under 127

[Mr. IWS]

RAS #739 LSU over 127

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's NBA Afternoon WINNER
Lenny Del Genio | NBA Sides
double-dime bet704 DET -5.0 (-110) BetUS vs 703 NJN
Analysis:
Play on Detroit at 3:05 ET.

Lenny Del Genio | CFB Side
triple-dime bet244 Georgia Tech -4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 243 LSU
Analysis:
Play on Georgia Tech at 7:30 ET.
Georgia Tech is our 20* December Bowl Game of the Month.

[Mr. IWS]

Wed, 12/31/08 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
240 Vanderbilt 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 239 Boston College
Analysis:
** NCAAFB 2* WAGER **



We highly recommend that those of you who have not yet gotten down on VANDI, to go ahead and BUY the 1/2 PT and take it up to +6...

The "Steam" was actually on Vandi heading into today...But with all of the action that BC has attracted, the "Outfits" are now being used to EDGE some of that money off, which makes BC look like a "Steam" play...And I can tell you with certainty that it's not the case...I only wish that I would have waited to Upload the Play so that I could have recommended taking it up to +6...Because we always want to try and get the best number possible for every bet that we make...VR



Wed, 12/31/08 - 6:00 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
241 Minnesota 8.5 (-110) Bodog vs 242 Kansas
Analysis: ** NCAAFB 2* WAGER **



Wed, 12/31/08 - 7:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
243 LSU 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 244 Georgia Tech
Analysis:
** NCAAFB 2* WAGER **



(PLEASE CHECK BACK before KICK-OFF for POSSIBLE 3* BEST BET UPGRADE)

Wed, 12/31/08 - 7:30 PMvegas-runner | CFB Total Triple-Dime Bet
244 Georgia Tech / 243 LSU Under 54.5 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis: **** NCAAFB BOWL 4* TOTAL of the MONTH ****
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

ron meyer:

lockerroom: georgia tech
playbook: pitt(already went off)

[Mr. IWS]

Animal:

5* G. Tech -4

3½* GEORGIA TECH OVER
3½* OVER AIR FORCE
3* Air Force
3* GEORGIA TECH
3* VANDERBILT