1/1/09

NCAAF

Trend Sheet



Thursday, January 1

11:00 AM IOWA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Iowa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Iowa is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
South Carolina is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games


1:00 PM CLEMSON vs. NEBRASKA
Clemson is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nebraska is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
Nebraska is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


1:00 PM MICHIGAN STATE vs. GEORGIA
Michigan State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games
Georgia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Georgia is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games


5:00 PM PENN STATE vs. SOUTHERN CAL
Penn State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Penn State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Southern Cal is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


8:15 PM VIRGINIA TECH vs. CINCINNATI
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


Thursday, January 1st

Outback Bowl
Tampa, FL
TV: ESPN
Iowa vs. South Carolina, 11:00 AM ET

Iowa:
10-1 Under vs. non-conference
29-15 Under after a win by 17+ points

South Carolina:
4-13 ATS after allowing 50+ points
0-6 ATS after scoring 37+ points BB games



Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, FL
TV: CBS
Clemson vs. Nebraska, 1:00 ET

Clemson:
6-0 Under as favorite
10-2 Under in bowl games

Nebraska:
3-11 ATS off home win
2-10 ATS off SU win



Capital One Bowl
Orlando, FL
TV: ABC
Michigan State vs. Georgia, 1:00 ET

Michigan State:
13-27 ATS off road conference loss
12-0 Over after having won 3 out of their last 4

Georgia:
19-5 ATS Away vs. non-conference
16-6 ATS Away off bye week



Rose Bowl
Pasadena, CA
TV: ABC
Penn State vs. USC, 5:00 ET

Penn State:
22-9 Under after scoring 42 points
31-15 Under as underdog

USC:
6-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
10-1 ATS in non-conference games



Orange Bowl
Miami, FL
TV: FOX
Virginia Tech vs. Cincinnati, 8:15 ET

Virginia Tech:
12-2 ATS off SU win as dog
63-38 ATS off ATS win

Cincinnati:
6-0 Over on grass
5-1 Over playing with 2+ weeks rest

Colin Cowherd

penn st
georgia

[Mr. IWS]

ATS TRIPLE CROWN for tomorrow,

7 USC -8.5
6 Georgia -7
5 S.C. +4
1 unit Round Robin Parlay those three


4 N.O. (NCAA) Small Favorite

[Mr. IWS]

Akmens

All 5 units
S. Car
Georgia
Nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay
5 unit PSU/USC under
4 unit Nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers
all 3 units
Mich St/GA over
Clem/Neb over
USC

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

College Foot for New Year's Day
4** Georgia -7.5
4* V.Tech + 2
3* Penn St-USC under 45



NBA
4* Orlando-Chi under 202
3* Houston -8.5



College
4* Evansville + 7.5
3* UNLV + 13
3 utah st -12.5

[Mr. IWS]

Spylock
Iowa
penn st..... 1unit each
virginia tech.......3 unit

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial

Thursday

4 Units on Clemson
3 Units on Va Tk

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
25 dime on Penn St
5 dime on Mich State

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law | CFB Side Double-Dime Bet
250 Georgia -8.0 (-110) BetUS vs 249 Michigan St.
Analysis: MICHIGAN ST (9-3) at GEORGIA (9-3)
Verdict: Michigan State 14, Georgia 38
PLAY 2* UNITS (3%) ON GEORGIA -8


Thu, 01/01/09 - 5:00 PMEthan Law | CFB Side Single-Dime Bet
251 Penn St. -10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 252 Southern Cal
Analysis: PENN ST (11-1) at USC (11-1)
Verdict: Penn State 21, USC 24
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON PENN STATE +9


OPINION SELECTION ON:
VIRGINIA TECH (9-4) at CINCINNATI (11-2)
Verdict: Virginia Tech 28, Cincinnati 20
PLAY 1/2* UNIT (1%) ON VIRGINIA TECH +2

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

Nebraska +2 vs Clemson

In all our years of watching College Football on New Years Day, we can't remember a single more undeserving team to get the coveted spot than this year's edition of the Clemson Tigers. Sure, they were SUPPOSED to get here as they were a consensus top ten team in the country before the season started and the favorite to win the ACC. But they never lived up to expectations, got Tommy Bowden fired and went just 4-4 in conference play. They should consider this bowl invite a gift considering that there were three conference teams with better records than the Tigers, two of which beat them H2H, that are already done for the season. You might think that this kind of lucky invite could help galvanize Clemson, but you would be wrong. It just never happened this year. The Davis/Spiller RB combo combined for just 200 yards once in 11 lined games this season. There is turmoil on the coaching staff, with new assistants coming in, which will serve to distract and unmotivate the current employees. Meanwhile, on the Nebraska sidelines, 1st year HC Bo Pelini made tremendous strides in returning this program to its roots. The Cornhuskers offense has gone back to run-first and it paid off with the average time of possession coming in at over 33 minutes per game. Nebraska averages over 36 PPG. Clemson is 0-6 ATS when allowing 28+ points. The right team was favored initially, so we take advantage of the public's mistake and call for the outright "upset" in the 2009 Gator Bowl. Nebraska is our "VEGAS ICON" Play.

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

20* s.carolina

[Mr. IWS]

2008 PERSONAL BEST FOOTBALL CLUB
Thursday, January 01, 2009
Bowl Game of the Year
200 Units
Georgia (-8) over Michigan State
1:00 PM -- Capital One Bowl - Florida Citrus Bowl Stadium, Or
Georgia by 17-21

Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.

[Mr. IWS]

Pure Lock

CFB play Thursday
VIRGINIA TECH VS CINCINNATI 8:15 PM EST

PLAY ON: CINCINNATI (-) PTS

[Mr. IWS]

coach ron meyer:

lockerroom-s. carolina
live dog-psu
dallas sportsman-clemson

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

NHL
3* Pittsburgh Under 6

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

Michigan St. at Georgia
Prediction: Georgia

I am a big fan of Michigan St. head coach Mark Dantonio and what he is doing to this program but his team is outmatched in this spot. I made reference in the Iowa/South Carolina matchup that the SEC had a down year and Georgia was part of that making the Big Ten the conference with the value. However, the two big opponents the Spartans faced, Ohio St. and Penn St., blew them out. They snuck by Iowa and Wisconsin and beat Northwestern by 17 points despite getting outgained by 162 total yards. The Bulldogs never recovered from their blowout loss against Florida as they snuck by both Auburn and Kentucky, although those games were on the road, and then lost to Georgia Tech in the season finale. The good news is that the time off from then until now can only help Georgia. The Bulldogs have a solid coach of their own in Mark Richt and he knows how to get the troops ready as they have won seven of their last eight non-BCS bowl games. Michigan St. struggled defensively against some of the tougher offenses and Georgia has the firepower to put up a lot of points with a first round draft pick at quarterback in Matthew Stafford and a great running back in Knowshon Moreno. Georgia is a solid 19-5 ATS in its last 24 non-conference road games while Michigan St. is just 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after allowing more than 6.25 yppl in its last game. The Bulldogs bounce back and win this one going away. 5* Georgia Bulldogs
Can'tPickaWinner is offline Report Post Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Bowl Package
5* bowl GOY Georgia-8-
3* Clemson over
3* Pn ST+9
regular opinions: VaTech+2-, Nebraska+2,Iowa-3

[Mr. IWS]

The Booooj was 2-3 yesterday. 15-7 overall in Bowl games.

Outback Bowl
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida
50 Units on Iowa (-4) over South Carolina
South Carolina (7-5) vs. Iowa (8-4)- South Carolina comes into this game struggling, especially on offense. If the Gamecocks expect to win this game they will have to get a big effort out of a defense that has been very good at times this year. Offensively, they have really struggled and things won’t get any easier against an Iowa defense that has been dominant. The Hawkeyes offense is centered around Doak Walker award winner Shonn Greene. Greene is the only player in the country to run for 100 yards in every game this season, and this one shouldn’t be any different. The South Carolina defense will undoubtedly focus on stopping Greene, which will mean Iowa will need to get some plays out of QB Ricky Stanzi. If Stanzi can do enough to keep the Gamecocks defense honest, Greene should have some room to run. Look for Iowa to dominate on defense and get enough plays out of their offense to win handily. Iowa by 13-17.

Konica Minolta Gator Bowl
Jacksonville Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, Florida
10 Units on Clemson (-1) over Nebraska
Nebraska (8-4) vs. Clemson (7-5)- When the season began Clemson expected to be playing on New Year’s Day. They just didn’t expect it to be with Dabo Swinney as their head coach. The Tigers managed to salvage their season after a disappointing start and the firing of Tommy Bowden. Nebraska’s season can only be categorized as a success. They have won five of their last six under first year coach Beau Pelini, and have played better than expected most of the season. In this game the Huskers will look to overpower Clemson with a huge offensive line and an efficient passing game. Joe Ganz comes in completing 70 percent of his passes. He will look to spread the ball around to a lot of weapons and keep the Clemson defense off balance. Clemson’s Cullen Harper will be looking to end his career on a high note after many ups and downs. The Tiger’s dynamic backfield duo of James Davis and CJ Spiller will show what they are capable of after a disappointing season for both. In the end I look for Clemson’s talent to come through and get the victory in what should be an entertaining game. Clemson by 4-7.

Capital One Bowl
Florida Citrus Bowl Stadium, Orlando, Florida
100 Units on Georgia (-8.5) over Michigan St.
Georgia (9-3) vs. Michigan St. (9-3)- Many people expected Georgia to be playing for the National Championship at the beginning of the season. Those expectations weren’t lived up to, but this is still a very talented football team. Michigan St. has overachieved this season, but on the two occasions they’ve met teams that could be considered in Georgia’s class, they were blown out. Georgia QB Matthew Stafford could be making his last start as a Bulldog, and will make it a memorable one. Georgia has so many weapons on offense including running back Knowshon Moreno, Mohamed Massaquoi, and AJ Green. For the Spartans to keep it close, Javon Ringer will have to get close to 35 carries and control the clock. Georgia’s defense will be very aware of Ringer, and will try to force Bryan Hoyer to beat them, which he won’t be able to do. The Bulldogs win big. Georgia by 17-27.

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, California
25 Units on USC (-9) over Penn St.
Penn St. (11-1) vs. Southern Cal (11-1)- All the talk coming into this game has been about the Trojan defense vs. the Nittany Lion offense, but I believe the other side of the ball will be the key. Penn St. features a great defense and will have to hold down the USC offense to stay in the game. QB Mark Sanchez will have to manage the game and spread the ball around to his many playmakers to keep the Penn St. defense off balance. USC’s Joe McKnight is as explosive a running back as there is in the country and could be the difference in this game. For Penn St. QB Darryl Clark will have to be patient and not force things because there won’t be much there against this defense. Expect to see some great defense in this game, and whichever team can make a couple of big plays to get the win. Look for those big plays from Joe McKnight. USC by 10-17.

Fed Ex Orange Bowl
Dolphin Stadium, Miami, Florida
10 Units on Virginia Tech (+2) over Cincinnati
Cincinnati (11-2) vs. Virginia Tech (9-4)- This is without a doubt the biggest game in the history of Cincinnati football, and they know it. Cincinnati will come out fired up and Virginia Tech better match the Bearcats intensity or they could be in trouble. Cincinnati’s defense will be one of the best the Hokies have seen and QB Tyrod Taylor will have to make plays with his feet to break the defense down. Cincinnati QB Tony Pike will have to be patient against an aggressive Virginia Tech defense. In a game so closely matched, special teams could be the difference, which should favor Virginia Tech. Hokies in a close one. Virginia Tech by 3-7.

[Mr. IWS]

joyce sterling

over 43 iowa/sc
mich st+7.5

[Mr. IWS]

JEFFERSONSPORTS 5-1 yest

NCAA FOOTBALL
GEORGIA-9
PENN ST. +9

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Trophy Club

10 Unit Regular Play = Iowa Under...

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass: 20* SCarolina--buy to 4.

[Mr. IWS]

SCORE early game

400 Iowa

[Mr. IWS]

KBHOOPS

NCAAF
7* Game of the Week Georgia -8 **POD**
5* Virginia Tech +2.5
5* Clemson -1
5* USC -9
4* Iowa -3.5
3* Iowa OVER 43

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky Red Hot at the moment
These were the lines when he released the games

6* Georgia -7.5

4* USC -8.5

4* Alabama -9

[Mr. IWS]

LENNY STEVENS
20* PENN STATE
10* nebraska
10* iowa
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Kruuuger
4 units Cincy
3 units Nebraska
3 units S. Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast triple totals 2-0 yesterday //

clemson over 56

penn state under 45

iowa under 43

[Mr. IWS]

frank patron 10000 unit bowl double play

frank patron
10000 unit bowl double play
usc trojans -9
va tech hokies -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, January 01, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: These rare selections use to be only reserved for Teddy's private clients. Now available on the internet and he has been red hot in all sports with his PPC selections as he is 41-16 (72%) his last 57 Private Players Club Selections! Get on board! 1/1/2009

My 10* Private Players Club Selection is the Penn State Nittany Lions/USC Trojans Under the posted total. I currently have this line at 45. As always, Good Luck, Let’s make some money.

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CFB Side Triple-Dime Bet
254 Cincinnati -2.0 (-110) Sportsbetting.com vs 253 Virginia Tech
Analysis: **** NCAAFB 4* BOWL (SIDE) GAME of the MONTH ****

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP

Analysis: Stan is Betting USC today. Although Penn St has been nearly perfect this year they haven't faced an offense with the speed of USC. Stan has USC winning this game by 14-17 points today. TAKE USC as STAN'S NEW YEARS DAY BIG BET and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE

5-2 L7 Bowls

100% Perfect Orange Bowl Beauty

VIRGINIA TECH vs CINCINNATI
Pick: VIRGINIA TECH +2.5

The Orange Bowl Thursday night is the setting for a showdown between the champs of the Big East (Cincinnati) and the ACC (Virginia Tech). The Bearcats have won 6 games in a row and head coach Brian Kelly is on everyone’s short list for a new hire in 2010. We don’t like the fact that they have surrendered 20 or more points in 4 of their final 5 games. That’s because Frank Beamer is 34-13 ATS as a head coach with Virginia Tech in games in which his team scores 20 or more points as an underdog, including 14-3 ATS against an .850 or greater opponent. The Hokies lost to Kansas as 3-point favorites in the Orange Bowl last year, making them an avenging bowl-returning dog. Toss in Beamer’s 4-0 ATS mark as a dog of 6 or fewer points off a SU and ATS win when taking on teams from the Big East and you can understand our admiration for the Techsters. After all, we have an affinity for bowl dogs with better defenses, especially those looking to make amends. Our database cements it with this play that tells us to: Play On any sub .700 ACC bowl dog of 5 or less points if the scored 10 or more points in their last game. That's because these teams are 12-2 SU and 13-1 ATS, including 11-0 ATS if the dog did not toss a shutout in its last game. Take the points with the Hokies.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

Nebraska

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN - PAID & CONFIRMED


Ai Simulator 7* graded play Under Michigan State/Georgia - AiS shows a 80% probability that 55 or fewer points will be score in this game. AiS also shows that the Georgia defense will have a solid day and has an 88% probability of limiting MSU to 350 or fewer total yards. MSU is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards over the last 3 seasons. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 45-17 ATS for 73% since 1992. Play under with any team against the total after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games when playing on a Thursday. Thursday is an important day of the week in CFB as it nearly always entails a game where the teams have additional rest 10 to 14 days. In this case the rest will sharpen the defenses and the offenses will be a rusty - again based on the AiS projections. Georgia HC Richt is 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. Take the UNDER for 7*.

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO

THURSDAY'S PICK
25 DIME TWO-TEAM TEASER

GEORGIA and PENN STATE

Using the standard six points you receive in a 2-Team Teaser, reduce the price you are laying with Georgia while increasing the number of points you are getting with Penn State.

Georgia is right around -9. Penn State is priced most places at +9 1/2. Now, your prices might vary by a half-point or so, but using these current numbers above, you would make Georgia -3 versus Michigan State and Penn State +15 1/2 against Southern California.

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. #509. Take Denver +3.5 over New Orleans. (Thursday @ 3:30pm eastern). Denver is playing very well of late so we are going to take a shot on them here to win outright on the road. This is a conference game and of course, the majority of the public are favoring New Orleans at home here. Keep in mind that this is an afternoon game on New Year's Day. I can't imagine there being a full crowd there and in particular, in New Orleans on top of that. The last game that New Orleans played at home the attendance was 659 and that was against North Texas in the evening. I wouldn't be surprised if the attendance did not top 500 at the most today. Thus, little to no home court advantage. Tack on the fact that New Orleans beat this team last year 65-60 at home and 60-54 on the road, Denver has plenty of revenge coming into this game. Denver will get up for this game for that reason alone. Plus, the Pioneers are on a sound win streak. They have won 5 in a row including beating UC Riverside, top 150 Colorado State, Florida Atlantic and South Dakota State. Heck, this team even defeated Texas Arlington. This is not to take anything against New Orleans, but they come off losing to a team not even in Division I and they play a Denver team playing well that wants revenge badly. Plus, this is expected to be a very low scoring game so we will take our 3.5 points and look for the outright win here. Denver is a team that feeds off confidence as they are 9-2 ATS following a straight up win and 6-1 ATS when they allow 50 points or less to their opponent in their previous game.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass:

20 Cinc
50 GA/MSU over
100 Penn St
300 USC/Penn St under 45

[Mr. IWS]

Heisman Club
20* usc