1-4-08

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME



PHILADELPHIA



Note From Steve Budin:



Philadelphia is a solid -3 as this play is released.



If you have Philadelphia -3, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to -2 1/2 so you get the win should Philadelphia win by three.



If for some reason you get Philadelphia at -3 1/2 - even after shopping around - buy down the 1/2 point to -3 so you get the push should Philadelphia only prevail by a field goal.



Take it from a former bookmaker and the guy who fathered the offshore sportsbook industry that too many gamblers and handicappers needlessly buy half points on all types of numbers. But the ONLY number that matters from a bookmaker's perspective is 3 because of overtime and that's why its the only number they (bookmakers) charge the extra juice for. Once again, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.



Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.

[Mr. IWS]

Docs Sports

4 Unit Play. #42 Take Philadelphia Eagles -3 over Minnesota Vikings

[Mr. IWS]

Thank You for ordering from Pro Sports Plays

Baltimore has won and covered the spread in 10 of the last 13 games when the line is between +3 and -3.

Sunday NFL Football

Take Baltimore (-3) over Miami
1:00 EST Game Time

Baltimore has won and covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 games as a favorite and they have also won and covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games when the total posted is between 35.5 and 42 points.



Take Philadelphia (-3) over Minnesota
4:30 EST Game Time

Philadelphia has won and covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games to end the regular season and they have also won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games vs. Minnesota.

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco
Sunday's Pick

15 Dime - Ravens

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
Minnesota / regular

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial pick for today is

3 Unites on the UNDER 41 in the Phil/Minn game.

[Mr. IWS]

Feist

5* Mia
Platinum PHILLY

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
Balt. -3 4units

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

5* NFC Wild Card GOTY on Vikes +3

Let's be completely honest, the Eagles are very very lucky to be in the postseason. They did win 4 of their last 5 games but everything else had to happen perfectly to get them in. The Eagles are just a 3-4 team on the road this season where their offense has struggled. The Vikes have won 5 of 6 down the stretch, including a confidence boosting win over the reigning Super Bowl champs in their season finale. Minnesota is 6-2 in home games where its defense has been outstanding. Plays on home teams (MINNESOTA) - off 2 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two good offensive teams (23-27 PPG) are 34-9 ATS since 1983. The Eagles are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3 points or less and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3 points or less. We'll pound the Vikes.


4* Major Sunday AFC Wild Card BEST BET on Dolphins +3.5

Since losing to Baltimore in mid-October, the Dolphins won 9 of their final 10 games to close out the season. I don't read much into Miami's earlier season loss to the Ravens because I feel it is key that the Dolphins will be playing with the veteran signal caller Chad Pennington on their side while the Ravens go to battle with a rookie. Experience counts for a lot in the playoff at the QB spot and it will be the deciding factor here. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup. The Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0. The Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in January and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Take the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence
13-0 ATS Playoff Super System Play!
Miami +3

[Mr. IWS]

A. Gomes

Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins

We have in here the lowest totals line of the weekend and honestly I think this line is too high and it should have been at least at 35 points. Make no mistake. This game won't be a game where the offenses will be in evidence just like yesterday in the game between Arizona and Atlanta. It will be the defense which will decided the game. Both teams feature a run-first mentality, ranking in the bottom third of the league in pass attempts per game. Baltimore is similar to Atlanta in the fact that both teams have a rookie QB, but the big difference between the two teams is that Baltimore is a defensive minded club, while Atlanta is an offensive minded team. So, the Ravens will likely play this game with an ultra conservative nature considering they start a rookie at QB. Expect to see the clock moving on a consistent basis with plenty of running. The defense of Miami has been consistent the whole season and especially at the end of the regular season, where they won 9 of their last 10 games. Unlike many defenses, Miami's defense is healthy. Pass rusher Joey Porter has had an MVP-type season and linebacker Channing Crowder has emerged as an upper tier player. During the season, the Dolphins showed to be more comfortable on defense at stopping the run than at stopping the pass attempts from their opponents and even this fits well in today's matchup.

On the other side, we can't much about the defense of the Ravens but praise them. We all know they are a top class defense, as they lead the league with 27 interceptions and with safety Ed Reed being the star player of the squad with 9 interceptions. The problem is that today we won't have any interceptions, as Miami uses an ultra conservative offensive style. Do you know who has the better % of completed passes this season? Kurt Warner? Peyton Manning? No! It's Chad Pennington with 67.4%! The way of confirming that we are in front of a conservative offense is the fact that Miami leads the league in TO differential with +17! The team has just turned the ball over 13 times during the whole season! On the other side, on this very same stat we confirm that Baltimore is also conservative, as they are 3rd in this stat with +13.

These two teams have already faced each other during the regular season, with the Ravens winning by 27-13. I've watched that game and back at the time, the Dolphins were using and abusing the wild cat formation. The Ravens went to Miami and they had the lesson well studied and stopped their offense, managing a TD with a return from an interception. Today Miami won't take as many risks as they took in that game and this game has everything to be a low scoring game. Both teams with rush the football and we have all seen how very few errors these two teams make. Take the under in here.

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on Under 38,5

[Mr. IWS]

Alan Boston

Lock of the year

Southern Illinois

[Mr. IWS]

kelso Clubs FB


3 units Balt/Miami UNDER 38
3 units Phil/Minn OVER 41

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

20 star Baltimore

15 star Minn

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS Steam Play 100* - Cal Santa Barbara

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass - 10* Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NFL Football
Ravens/Dolphins Under 38
This will be a great matchup between two teams nobody expected to make the playoffs. Baltimore has a great defense and rookie QB Joe Flacco has played great this season. Miami has been excellent this year and had the fewest turnovers in NFL History during a regular season. I do not see a lot of scoring in this game. Flacco is just a rookie and might struggle a bit in his first postseason game. The Ravens are good at forcing turnovers for points, but Miami just does not turn it over. Look for a lot of FG's today. Take the Under.

Eagles/Vikings Over 42
Philly comes into this game with a ton of momentum and are lucky that the Minnesota Defensive Line is hurting. The Vikings have a great run defense, but lucky for the Eagles that they are a pass happy team. Look for the Eagles to run a lot of screen plays today. When Minnesota has the ball you will see a lot of run as their offense is huge compared to the Philly Defense. Both teams should be able to run their preferred offenses with ease. Take the Over.

College Football
No plays today.

NBA Basketball
Knicks +10.5 over Celtics

NCAA Basketball
Illinois +2 over Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

ATS lock club baskets

3 Cal Riverside today

[Mr. IWS]

tom stryker
phily

[Mr. IWS]

SCORE

400 Phi
300 Mia

[Mr. IWS]

NSA full card

20* Ravens -3
10* Vikings +3
10* Illinois +2
10* Kentucky +7.5
10* Knicks +10.5
10* Wizards +9.5

[Mr. IWS]

lenny stevens (from phily)
20 phily

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

MORE LATER

4 Unit Play. Take Over 37.5 between the Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins (January 4th @ 1pm). Whenever the Baltimore Ravens face teams on the road and are in competitive games, the games go over. Look at the Dallas game where the final score was 57 points. In fact, on the road this year, Baltimore has gone over the posted total to a tune of 6-1-1. Remember, the game against the Steelers went over, a rare under in Indianapolis (which favors our under when the Colts play the Chargers), the over in Dallas, the over in Miami, the over in Cleveland, the over in Houston, and the over in Cincinnati. The Ravens have put up 33 @ Dallas, 34@ Cincy, 41 @ Houston, 37@ Cleveland and 27@ Miami. This Ravens team is on a mission and by no means hesitates to blow teams out. Look for a slow pace to start off with but Miami has to be dynamic on offense this time around at home where I expect them to do better on offense. I think Baltimore pushes the envelope and it forces Miami to take more shots down the field in the second half. Once agian, the Ravens are 6-1-1 to the over on the road this year. Remember, when this team played New England, the total ended up finishing off at 76 total points so totals can go over in Miami when they face competent teams.

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

DECEMBER TO REMEMBER
Sunday, January 04, 2009
AFC Wild Card Game
5 Units
Ravens (-3½) over Dolphins
1:00 PM -- AFC Wildcard Game - Dolphin Stadium
Baltimore by 7

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

NFC Wild Card Game
10 Units
Eagles (-3) over Vikings
4:30 PM -- NFC Wildcard Game - Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome
Philadelphia by 7-10

Game played in dome. 01/04 10:01:24 ET

AFC Wild Card Total
3 Units
Ravens/Dolphins UNDER 38 Points
1:00 PM -- AFC Wildcard Game - Dolphin Stadium
35 or less points

Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

NFC Wild Card Total
3 Units
Eagles/Vikings OVER 41 Points
4:30 PM -- NFC Wildcard Game - Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome
45 or more points

Game played in dome. 01/04 10:01:24 ET

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP

TRIPLE DIME

MINNESOTA + 3 (betus) OVER PHILLY 430 ET


STAN IS BETTING MINNESOTA TODAY. PHILLY WILL ONLY GO AS FAR AS DNOVAN MCNABB WILL TAKE THEM . MINNESOTA OWNS THE BETTER RUNNING GAME AND WILL TAKE THAT RUNNING ON TO VICTORY TODAY . LOOK FOR MINNESOTA TO WIN BT 7-10 POINTS TODAY.

TRIPLE DIME / NFL WILDCARD BIG BET OF THE YEAR

[Mr. IWS]

Joyce Sterling


Miami +3.5

Miami won 9 of their last 10 games and Baltimore won 9 of their last 11. The difference is when Baltimore played against .666 or better teams, they were 0-4 straight up and 1-3 ATS. Playoff teams, of equal or better win precentage than their favored opponent, are 19-5-1 ATS.

[Mr. IWS]

alatex
miami

[Mr. IWS]

Booooj
Picked up his NFL games for today. Says he was 0-2 yesterday, but today is his big play. Hope it's good.


Sunday, January 4th NFL Wild Card plays…

Baltimore (11-5) vs. Miami (11-5)
Dolphin Stadium, Miami, Florida
50 Units on Baltimore (-3.5) over Miami
Both of these teams have come a long way since they met in week 7 of the season. The Ravens have won 9 of their last 11, and have watched QB Joe Flacco turn from a concern of their offense to a weapon on offense. Flacco has a big arm, and has given this offense the ability to stretch a defense with the deep ball. Baltimore is at its best when the running game is working with LeRon McClain pounding it inside and Willis McGahee slashing on cutback runs. The Raven defense has been outstanding as usual and may be at its best since the 2000 Super Bowl run. Ray Lewis is still a rock in the middle of the D, and safety Ed Reed has a nose for the ball like no one I’ve ever seen. The Dolphins come in red hot as well winning 5 straight, and 9 of their last 10. The Dolphins amazing turnaround has been led by a tough defense and a steady offense. QB Chad Pennington came in and has really been a steadying influence for the offense. Running backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams give the Dolphins a very good 1-2 punch in the backfield and the coaching staff has done a great job creating ways to get them on the field at the same time, which has created all types of headaches for opposing defenses. The Miami offense has been solid all year, but is simply overmatched by this Raven defense, as most teams are. Look for the Ravens defense to dominate, create a couple turnovers, and possibly even score. The Ravens offense won’t light up the scoreboard, but will do enough to make this a comfortable win. Expect a low scoring affair, probably under the total of 38. Baltimore by 10-14.


Philadelphia (9-6-1) vs. Minnesota (10-6)
Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome, Minneapolis, Minnesota
10 Units on Philadelphia (-3) over Minnesota
As is fairly common in the post season, these teams come in playing some of their best football of the year. Philadelphia is coming off an impressive thumping of Dallas, which secured their playoff spot. Donovan McNabb has returned to form since being benched earlier in the season. McNabb is at his best when he is getting the ball out quickly and letting his playmakers do the rest. Brian Westbrook appears to be healthy, and when he is, there aren’t many better backs. One who could be considered better is Adrian Peterson of the Vikings. He is as explosive a runner as there is in the NFL today. QB Tarvaris Jackson will be making his 4th consecutive game, after regaining his job from an injured Gus Frerotte. Jackson has played well, but may have a difficult time with Jim Johnson’s blitzing defense. The Eagles are able to confuse QB’s by blitzing so much because they have three outstanding cornerbacks, who can play in man coverage. The Eagles defense will be able to confuse Jackson and create some turnovers. Don’t expect the Eagles to have a field day against a very tough Minnesota defense, which ranks near the top of the league in run defense, but they should be able to capitalize on some favorable situations created by their defense. Minnesota has been very tough at home, but the inexperience at the QB position could be costly. Lean towards the under, but wouldn’t play the total one way or the other due to the possibility of a lot of turnovers. Philadelphia by 4-7.

[Mr. IWS]

Docs

BB 2-2 yestrerday

4 Unit Play. #744 Take Over 141 in Portland State @ Northern Arizona (4:00 pm)