1-24-09

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
January 24, 2009

Soccer Back of the Net Winners:

England League 1
Leeds Utd vs. Peterborough Utd over 2.5

Italy Serie A
Juventus -160

Spain La Liga
Barcelona vs. Numancia over 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

JEFFERSON-SPORTS rolling 1-0 yest (canisiuis+5.5)

23-13 since 1-16-09 (64%)
UPDATED 1/24

100-69 in College Hoops (59%)
58-30-2 in the NFL (66%) 8-3 in NFL PLAYOFFS

CBB EARLY RELEASE

This should be really high scoring. Missouri should set the tone early with their press and that will get Texas Tech running. They both play at a high pace and both like to run. Tech will be thinking break the press to score, not set-up their offense. Big day tomorrow.

TEXAS TECH OVER 159

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law:

FRESNO ST (8-11) at SAN JOSE ST (8-9)

Verdict: Fresno State 69, San Jose State 63
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON FRESNO STATE +6

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo

Wisconsin-Green Bay v/s Valparaiso

Predicted Winner: Wisconsin-Green Bay

**10** Horizon Game of the Year 10* Won LW Wisconsin-Green Bay was 6-1 in the Horizon League before meeting Butler on Thursday. The Phoenix lost by nine points but put forth a great effort in the defeat as they limited Butler to just 7-of-25 shooting in the first half. The Bulldogs proved to be just too tough on their home floor as they pulled away late but now is the time to bounce back. After starting the season 0-2, Wisconsin-Green Bay went 14-3 in its next 17 games and that one league loss came by just a single bucket at Loyola-Chicago. This is no fluke as it was poised to be at the top of the conference this season as it brought back all five starters from last season, the only team in the conference that can say that. Last year was a disappointment as the Phoenix lost six of their final eight games including the final game which was in the first round of the Horizon League Tournament to Valparaiso. This does bring in a revenge angle although that is not part of the reason for this take. Coming off that loss against Butler will have them ready for a big bounce back. While the Phoenix were losing, Valparaiso was winning as it took out Wisconsin-Milwaukee on Thursday. The Panthers did not have much going for them as the Crusaders were playing with revenge from a 14-point loss in Milwaukee earlier in the season and it was likely in lookahead mode to Butler on Saturday. While the win was nice, I think it was more of a loss by the Panthers than anything. That victory snapped a three-game losing streak and it has been a tough season and one that has been the exact opposite of Wisconsin-Green Bay. Valparaiso started the season 2-0 but went on a 3-14 run before Thursday’s victory. One of those victories came against North Park, a small Division III university while the other came against Marian College, an NAIA school out of Indianapolis. The only other victories came against Youngstown St. and Detroit who are a combined 10-27 this season. The Crusaders have yet to put together two good back-to-back games against Division I teams and it likely will not happen here. Not only do the situations favor the Phoenix but they have advantages in almost every pertinent statistic. Green Bay ranks first in the Horizon League in scoring offense at 70.4 ppg, free throw percentage at 79.3 percent, field goal percentage at 43.3 percent and three-point percentage at 39.3 percent. The Phoenix are second nationally in free throw percentage and 23rd in three-point shooting. Valparaiso is hitting just 62.7 percent of its free throws, which is 310th in the nation and 30.8 percent from long range which is tied for 282nd in the country. It doesn’t end there. Wisconsin-Green Bay has an offensive efficiency rating of 106.6 which is 2nd in the conference and 82nd overall while the Crusaders have a 91.8 rating which is 9th in the 10-team conference and 291st in the nation. Wisconsin-Green Bay also has a 1.01 assist/turnover ratio compared to a 0.82 ratio for Valparaiso. To the Crusaders credit, they have played a tougher schedule overall but it has not done much to help in the win column. The Phoenix are an extremely deep team as well as they have had eight different leading scorers and seven different leading rebounders this season. In addition, five players are averaging at least 9.0 ppg, and four are in double figures. Wisconsin-Green Bay has feasted on these types of opponents in the past as they are 12-3 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last three seasons. Valparaiso is just 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games off a win against a conference rival and it is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against teams with a winning record. The Phoenix are also 9-0 ATS after having won three of their last four games over the last two seasons showing that they just don’t put together back-to-back poor efforts. That will be case again here. 10* Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix

[Mr. IWS]

The VSE Friday Hoops Power Plays are:


VSE NCAA Power Plays

10* Take Xavier (+3) over LSU (NCAA Power Play)

Xavier
• 6-0 SU & ATS over the last 6 games
• 5-0 SU in all road games this season
• 4-0 SU when the line is between +3 to -3
• 14-2 SU coming off a road win over the last 3 seasons

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5* Take Baylor (+7.5) over Oklahoma (NCAA Bonus Play)

Baylor
• 7-0 SU when playing on a Saturday this season
• 3-0 SU & ATS as an underdog this season
• 7-1 SU coming off a road win by 10 points or more




Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:

3* Take Utah (+4.5) over UNLV (NCAA)

3* Take Philadelphia (-8) over New York (NBA

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin's College Game of the Month, Plus Two Big Bonus Plays!
545-46 Memphis @ Tennessee 3:30PM ET
553-54 Wisconsin @ Illinois 4PM ET
575-76 Southern Illinois @ Illinois State 5PM ET

Plays:
3* Memphis +3
5** (GOM) Illinois -6'
3* Southern Illinois +7'

Memphis lost just one regular season contest all of last season, and it was at home against the Volunteers. The cast of characters has obviously changed for the Tigers, but this is nevertheless a major revenge game for Memphis. And there's no question in my mind that Tennessee is very beatable. The Vols are off a good win at Vandy, but this team has some notable defeciencies on defense and, let's face it, the entire SEC is struggling this year against quality out of conference competition. Memphis has an easy road to their own league's title, so they will unquestionably be pointing to this clash as perhaps their biggest challenge of the regular season, and I believe the Tigers have what it takes to win the game outright.
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The Illini have been outstanding at home, and I'm expecting their best effort today as they play host to Wisconsin. The Badgers have not exactly been world beaters on the road and for whatever reason Bo Ryan has just not been able to get his team to a really high level this season. Illinois will want this game badly as they lost three times last season to the Badgers. Illinois has definitely stepped up for their big games this season and I believe this is one of the games they've had circled all season, so they should be primed for a top performance. I'll give the points and back Illinois for my College Game of the Month.
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SIU was shooting almost all bricks until recently, and that was the very simple reason the Salukis were struggling. But they've begun to find their range and in the process, So Illinois is now on a nice roll as they prep for this game. Illinois State feasted on a cupcake pre-conference slate but the Redbirds have not been sharp lately. No doubting this is a very tough home court, but I much prefer the team that's trending more positively right now, so Southern Illinois plus the points is the choice.

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - LSU TIGERS....10 DIMERS - TENNESSEE, NEBRASKA, & MICHIGAN
40 DIMER - LSU TIGERS - 8:00 PM
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[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock club underdog GOY

Cal Irvine +9 1/2....20 Units

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
20 Cal Irvine +9.5 Underdog LOY
7 Wyoming -7
7 Iowa St. +7.5
6 Buffalo +9
5 LSU -2.5

ATS Financial Package
4 Nebraska -3
4 Wisconsin Mil. +13.5
4 Arkansas -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO
SATURDAY'S PICK

25 DIME



VILLANOVA

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB BEST BET WINNER! (67% PVI Rating)

Pick # 1 Oklahoma State (3.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex

20* TCU+2
Notre Dame +2
Ark -4.5
S. Ala -1.5
confirmed

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Knicks +7.5 over Sixers

NCAA Basketball
Detroit -2 over Loyola Chicago

[Mr. IWS]

Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, January 24, 2009
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POWER PLAY FALSE FAVORITE GAME OF THE YEAR
628 TCU +2 8:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman

4* Florida St. +1
4* Ill-Chic +4
4* Weber OVER 137
3* Creighton -10
3* Utah +5

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS

NCAAB:

50* Mich
50* Wisc-GB
50* UC Davis
100*Fresno St
100*Missouri
100*Wyoming
300*Harvard

NBA:

50* Orl
50* Port
100*Sac

[Mr. IWS]

Biily Coleman
3 * Creighton

[Mr. IWS]

tedy june

iowa

utah private players

u wash

hou

tcu

lsu

[Mr. IWS]

RAS Sides

#654 Idaho -2
#623 Xavier +2.5
#603 Wilmington +11.5

[Mr. IWS]

Asa 6* Cbb Gom

Idaho -2

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Stryker 5 * Play
His 5 * play is on.....................

MICHIGAN !!

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Stevens

20 star oklahoma
10 star penn state
10 star. lasalle

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Saturday Action !!
CBB
5* Iowa +6.5 (-110)
4* Florida State +1 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Doc's Sports Package
5 Unit Play. #520 Take Arkansas -4 ½ over Auburn (1:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) This is a make or break game for Arkansas and if they cannot beat Auburn at home, their tournament hopes are gone.

4 Unit Play. #533 Take Milwaukee +13 ½ over Butler (2:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) Butler is the real deal, but Milwaukee is the second best team in the Horizon and Butler does not score a lot of points. They will have trouble covering this spread scoring in the sixties and we fully expect to collect with the dog.

4 Unit Play. #541 Take Kentucky -6 ½ over Alabama (3:00 pm ESPN Fullcourt) The Cats are the best team in the SEC and Bama is without Ronald Steele (plantar fasciitis). That is a major loss at the guard position for the Tide and Kentucky just has too many weapons without him. Kentucky owns a 97-35 series lead over Alabama, and the Wildcats won last season's meeting, 62-52. The Cats are 5-2 away from Lexington this season and they will make some wins especially on the road with low numbers.

7 Unit Play. #567 Take Florida State +1 over Virginia (4:00 pm FSN) College Game of the Year. This line is low because the Seminoles have traditionally not been a good road team but they will enter this season with a 7-2 record in games not played in Tallassee and are playing the worst teams in the ACC. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 in the ACC and they do not have much of a home court advantage winning just six of their ten games in Charlottesville. Their lone ACC win came against Georgia Tech and they are 0-5 in the conference. They enter off of three straight losses and much of their scoring stats are skewed because of an opening game victory against VMI in which they scored 107 points. Of their seven wins, their best one is South Florida, a terrible team from the Big East conference. They have already lost at home to Auburn and Liberty and major changes are likely to be made after the season. FSU is well on their way to an NCAA tournament bid currently in the top 25 with regards to RPI. They challenged themselves during the non-conference portion of the season and this has paid off with a 15-4 record and all four losses have been against decent teams. FSU beat Virginia last year and Sean Singletary is long gone and he was the heart and soul of that team last season. FSU allows just over sixty points per game and will pull away late to win this game comfortably. It also helps to have the best player on the floor in Tony Douglas, a player that gets it done on both ends of the court. Play the Noles and watch your money grow.

4 Unit Play. #572 Take Washington (pk) over UCLA (4:00 pm FSN) The Bruins are still a solid team but they do not come close to having the athletes that this Husky team offers. Washington has size and speed but they are young and sometimes lay an egg against teams they should beat. I do not think that will be the case today, as this game can put them atop the standing alone in the PAC-10. UCLA struggled to beat Washington State (2 points) and this same Husky team went into Pullman and beat them by 20 points. This is a statement game for UW and we will collect along the way.

4 Unit Play. #592 Take Penn State -6 ½ over Iowa (6:00 pm Big 10 Network) The Hawkeyes just cannot score points and will be without Tucker (doubtful) and Tate (out) when they make this trip to Happy Valley. The Lions have a winning conference record and are 11-2 at Bryce Jordan Center. Penn State will come close to reaching 70 points and I cannot see Iowa getting out of the fifties. Iowa is 1-5 in true road games this season and their last two have been big blowouts. Make it three in a row Saturday nights.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

[Mr. IWS]

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9000* COLLEGE HOOPS BLOWOUT WINNER
554 Illinois -6.5 4:00 EST
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[Mr. IWS]

Tom Stryker:

5* MICH
4* WYO
3* ARK
3* BRAD

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex 20* Superplay TCU

[Mr. IWS]

malinsky
5 neb
4 cal, tcu, ga st, mem under (ncaa)

[Mr. IWS]

atslocks.com

Wisconsin vs Illinois: Over 120 (10 units)

Kentucky vs Alabama: Under 140 (10 units)

Drake vs Creighton: Over 136 (5 units)

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio
CBB Trifecta ( 3 Big Plays )
Mich
LSU
Utah st

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP


568 Virginia -1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 567 Florida St.
Analysis: Stan is Betting VIRGINIA today. Stan notes that Vegas has set a Trap here as you have 15-4 Florida St at Pick or +1 playing a 7-8 Virginia team. Yes Vegas wants you to bet Florida St. Stan notes Florida St hasn't played anyone and that 15-4 record is misleading and giving us great line value. Stan has Virginia winning by 8-10 points. TAKE VIRGINIA as STAN SHARP'S TRIPLE PLAY ACC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#566 under 152.5 (Oklahoma)

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy's Picks For College Basketball




4 Unit Play. #554. Take Illinois -6 over Wisconsin (Saturday @ 4pm est). I sat around this morning waiting for this line to down to -6 before releasing this play. After all, ever half a point makes a difference right? I have rode Illinois countless times this year. I believe in this team. This is the same team that went on the road to defeat Vanderbilt outright, defeated Purdue outright on the road in OT, who has hammered UGA by 31, Indiana by 30+, Michigan at home by 15, covered against Michigan State and currently sits at 17-3. This team is good and they are deep with the addition of Kentucky transfer Alex Legion who has done nothing more than added much needed depth, a big presence inside and another powerful scoring option down low (he was the leading scorer for Illinois in the game at Michigan State). Remember, Illinois went into the half leading by 7 in that contest at Michigan State. Wisconsin is a good team that has great coaching. But, this team has now lost 3 in a row. They are 3-3 in conference play. They just come off an outright loss to Iowa on the road and prior to that lost to Minnesota at home. Normally, I would not go against such a desperate team but there is caveat here. For starters, Wisconsin beat Illinois both times last year sweeping them. Illinois remembers that here b/c their incoming freshman class was decimated with transfers such as Eric Gordon who committed to Illinois and then switched to Indiana at the last second. Either way, Gordon ended up for just 1 year in Indiana and then ending up with the Clippers. Oddly enough Indiana's program is in disarray while Illinois came back with a vengeance and now sits at 17-3. Illinois remembers those two losses by double-digits, but at home and away, and have come back this year with a drive second to none. The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big 10, Illinois has covered their last 7 games in front of their faithful Saturday crowd and are 4-0 ATS with the spread at this margin at home.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

100* GOY
Wyoming -7.5 6pm est
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