2-10-09

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
February 10, 2009

NBA:

Spurs -5
Kings/Mavs over 213
Knicks/Warriors over 233

NCAA:

Michigan St. -4
Villanova -4
Seton Hall/Depaul over 144

NHL:

Bruins -130
Lightning -150
Leafs/Panthers over 6

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Tuesday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Florida (+4) over Kentucky (NCAA)
(SEC Game of the Year)

Florida is 2-0 SU & ATS in road games when the total is between 145 and 149.5
Florida is 9-0 SU coming off a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons
Florida is 5-0 SU when playing on a Tuesday this season
Florida is 13-1 SU after failing to cover the spread in the last game



100* Play Marquette (+4.5) over Villanova (NCAA)

Marquette is 5-0 ATS vs. Villanova since 1997
Marquette is 9-1 SU vs. conference opponents this season
Marquette is 12-1 SU when playing on a Tuesday this season
Marquette is 2-0 SU & ATS in road games when the total is between 140 and 149.5


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Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Minnesota (+1.5) over Toronto (NBA)

Toronto is 16-30 ATS when playing in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 years
Toronto is 18-30 ATS when playing in non-conference games
Toronto is 6-20 ATS after allowing 85 points or less the last game


30* Play Detroit (-175) over Nashville (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts


The VSE Tuesday Hoops Power Plays are:


VSE Power Plays

10* Take Hofstra (+1.5) over Old Dominion (NCAA Power Play)

Old Dominion
• 0-10 ATS coming off a conference win by 10 points or more
• 3-8 ATS when playing as a favorite this season



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5* Take Dallas (-12) over Sacramento (NBA Bonus Play)

Sacramento
• 1-11 SU over the last 12 games
• 2-24 SU coming off a road game this season
• 1-13 SU coming off a loss by 6 points or less




Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:

3* Take Oklahoma State (+9) over Texas (NCAA)

3* Take Florida (-185) over Toronto (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Angle Plays for Tuesday

NCAA

Play South Florida (pick) over Providence* (Top NCAA Play)

Providence has lost 3 consecutive games and they have also lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of February. Providence has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread on the road after allowing 75 points or more in the last game.


Play Florida State (-10) over Virginia* (Top NCAA Play)

Virginia has lost 7 consecutive games and they have also lost 10 of the last 11 games when playing as an underdog this season. Virginia has lost 16 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. Florida State.


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NBA Hoops

Play Chicago (-2) over Detroit* (NBA Bonus Play)



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NHL

Play Florida (-185) over Toronto* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis Tuesday's Lineup

40 Dime ---- RAPTORS

10 Dime ---- MARQUETTE

10 Dime ---- SETON HALL

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Murray State (-1-1/2) yesterday.

Today it's Texas

NBA
Write-up


Tuesday, February 10

Hot Teams
-- Wizards are 0-4 vs spread in game after their last four wins.
-- Cavaliers won five of their last six road games.
-- Nuggets won seven of their last nine games. Heat won five of their last six home games.
-- Nets won four of their last five games.
-- Bulls are 6-0-1 vs spread in their last seven games.
-- Mavericks won last three home games by 24-1-5 points.
-- Lakers won last six games (5-0-1 vs spread) could be in for letdown as they played Celtics, Cleveland in last two games.

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost four of their last six home games.
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Raptors lost their last six games (0-5-1 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost six of last seven games, is now without Jefferson, who is now out (knee).
-- Pistons are 3-5 in last eight games (0-5 vs spread in last five).
-- Kings lost 11 of last 12 games (4-8 vs spread).
-- Golden State is 1-9 vs spread in game after its last ten wins. Knicks lost last four games, but are 9-2 vs spread in their last eleven.
-- Oklahoma City failed to cover its last three road games.

Totals
-- Last six Washington games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Miami games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Last six San Antonio games all went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Chicago games went over the total.
-- Six of last nine Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Golden State games stayed under the total; Knicks' last six games all went over.
-- Eight of last ten Laker games went over the total.

Back-to Back
-- Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread on road if they play again the next night.
-- Denver is 6-2 vs spread on road if they play again the next night.
-- Spurs are 0-3-1 vs spread if playing first of two consecutive nights on the road.
-- Raptors are 2-7 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Detroit is 5-2 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Sacramento is 5-1 vs spread if playing first of two consecutive nights on the road.
-- Knicks are 3-3 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Thunder is 6-2-1 vs spread if they play again the next night.

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Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM CLEVELAND vs. INDIANA
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Indiana is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Cleveland


7:00 PM WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
Washington is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home


7:30 PM DENVER vs. MIAMI
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Miami is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Denver


7:30 PM SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW JERSEY
San Antonio is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing New Jersey
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


8:00 PM TORONTO vs. MINNESOTA
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games


8:30 PM DETROIT vs. CHICAGO
Detroit is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Detroit is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Detroit


8:30 PM SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
Sacramento is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Sacramento


10:30 PM NEW YORK vs. GOLDEN STATE
New York is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
Golden State is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing New York


10:30 PM OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA LAKERS
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 2-4-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

NHL
Write-up


Tuesday, February 10

Hot teams
-- Bruins won six of their last eight games.
-- Kings won three in row, six of last seven games.
-- Florida is 5-1 in game following its last five losses.
-- Red Wings won last four games, outscoring foes 20-10. Predators won four of their last five games.
-- Blues won six of their last nine games. Canucks won their last couple games, scoring eleven goals.

Cold teams
-- Sharks lost last three games, the last two in overtime.
-- Islanders are 5-12 in last 17 games, but allowed total of six goals in last four contests.
-- Colorado lost eight of its last eleven games. Columbus lost three of its last four games.
-- Thrashers lost six of their last seven games. Tampa Bay lost four of its last five games.
-- Maple Leafs are 1-5 in game following their last six wins.

Totals
-- Three of last four San Jose road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Islander games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Colorado's last dozen games.
-- Three of last four Thrasher games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Florida games stayed under the total; eight of last ten Toronto games went over.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total; five of Nashville's last six games stayed under.
-- Last four St Louis home games stayed under the total; Vancouver's last four games all went over.

Back-to-Back
-- Sharks are 4-3 of they play again the next night.
-- Islanders are 2-5 if they play again the next night.
-- Colorado is 1-3 if it plays again the next night.
-- Thrashers are 1-3 on road if they play again the next night.

Series Records
-- Road team won last two San Jose-Boston games.
-- Kings won last two games against the Islanders, 4-2/3-1.
-- Columbus won five of last six against the Avalanche.
-- Thrashers won six of last eight against Tampa Bay.
-- Road team won seven of last eight Florida-Toronto games.
-- Red Wings lost three of last four visits to Nashville.
-- Canucks won three of last four games against St Louis.
Trend Sheet
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7:00 PM COLORADO vs. COLUMBUS
Colorado is 10-4-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Colorado is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado


7:00 PM LOS ANGELES vs. NY ISLANDERS
Los Angeles is 3-5-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
NY Islanders are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Islanders last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles


7:00 PM SAN JOSE vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Jose's last 12 games on the road
San Jose is 5-9-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Boston
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home


7:30 PM ATLANTA vs. TAMPA BAY
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta


7:30 PM TORONTO vs. FLORIDA
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games at home
Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


8:00 PM DETROIT vs. NASHVILLE
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Nashville is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Detroit
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


8:30 PM VANCOUVER vs. ST. LOUIS
Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games

Dave Cokin

(719) MICHIGAN STATE
(720) MICHIGAN
Take "(719) MICHIGAN STATE"

Tuesday's free opinion is Michigan State to get past Michigan. I definitely like what John Beilein has accomplished this season with the youthful Wolverines, but they're still a year away. Raymer Morgan is still likely out for the Spartans, and I can't therefore step out with the road team here, but the price is short enough for me to at least lean Michigan State's way.

Jim Feist

(717) NEW YORK KNICKS
(718) GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
Take "Over"

The uptempo Knicks average 104 ppg, fifth most in the NBA, but allow 106 ppg -- fourth most in the league. Oddsmakers still haven't been able to adjust, as the Knicks are on a 6-0 run over the total. Golden State is second in scoring and allows 111 ppg -- most in the NBA. They've allowed 110 or more points in four of the last five games, and here comes the "push it up the floor" Knicks. These teams have already met and with a total of 224, the final score was 138-125 -- 39 points over the total. Play the Knicks/Warriors over the total.

JEFFERSON-SPORTS 1-1 on MON

EARLY RELEASE NBA

OKLAHOMA CITY+13

Tough to get up for this one if you are LA. Kobe battling flu, off huge wins vs cavs and celtics. Big road game in Utah coming up. Oklahoma City playing well and scoring more. Brooks gets them fired up and we should stay within this number.

Mr. A's

San Antonio Spurs 5
Chicago Bulls -2
Dallas Mavericks -12

Cappers Access

Michigan
Seton Hall

Arthur Ralph

Free Play Marquette

John Morrison

2/10 Toronto

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

(9) Michigan State (19-4, 11-8-1 ATS) at Michigan (15-9, 10-8-1 ATS)

Michigan takes on its second consecutive Top 10 opponent when it entertains Michigan State, which brings a perfect Big Ten road record into Chrisler Arena in Ann Arbor.

The Wolverines went to No. 1 Connecticut on Saturday and took a one-point lead into halftime but couldn’t finish the job, losing 69-61 while cashing easily as a 16½-point road favorite. Although it has covered the spread in back-to-back outings, Michigan is just 2-6 SU in its last eight, with both victories coming in Big Ten home games (68-59 over Northwestern and 71-51 over Penn State). The Wolverines have scored 61 points or fewer in all six losses during their 2-6 funk.

The Spartans are coming off near-identical blowout home wins over Minnesota (76-47) and Indiana (75-47), cashing in both contests to move to 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five. In the last two wins, Michigan State gave just 28 field goals in 94 attempts (29.8 percent), and they’ve held six of 11 conference foes to 58 points or less.

Michigan State sits alone atop the Big Ten standings at 9-2 (6-4-1 ATS), two games ahead of both Ohio State and Illinois. Most impressively, Tom Izzo’s squad is 5-0 (4-0-1 ATS) in Big Ten road games and it is 7-0 in true road contests this season (5-0-1 ATS in lined action). Michigan is 5-6 in conference (4-7 ATS), including 4-2 SU and ATS at home.

These rivals met just once last year, with Michigan State rolling to a 77-62 home win but coming up just short as a 15½-point favorite. The host has won the last five meetings (4-1 ATS) in this rivalry and is 8-2 (7-3 ATS) in the last 10.

In addition to the Spartans’ ATS hot streaks of 4-1 in Big Ten play and 5-0-1 on the road, they’re 5-0-1 ATS as a favorite of less than eight points this season and 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after a victory of more than 20 points. However, they’ve failed to cash in four consecutive Tuesday outings. Conversely, despite its 2-5 ATS slump in conference action, Michigan is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 at home and 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 on Tuesday, but the Wolverines are 0-3-1 ATS as an underdog of less than eight points

Michigan State has topped the total four consecutive road games, but the under is 6-1 in its last seven on Tuesday and 12-5-1 in its last 18 following a victory of more than 20 points. Also, Michigan is on “under” stretches of 4-0 overall, 16-5-1 in Big Ten play, 4-1-1 on Tuesday and 9-3-1 after a SU defeat.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


(10) Marquette (20-3, 10-7-1 ATS) at (13) Villanova (19-4, 12-7 ATS)

Marquette will try to rebound from its first Big East loss of the season when it hits the road for the third consecutive game in a battle against red-hot Villanova at The Pavilion.

The Golden Eagles kicked off the conference season with a 79-72 home victory over then-No. 15 Villanova on New Year’s Day and eventually got to 8-0 in Big East play before Friday’s last-second 57-56 loss at South Florida as an 8½-point road favorite. That defeat snapped Marquette’s 12-game overall win streak (8-2-1 ATS) going back to the non-conference campaign. It also marked the first time all season the Eagles were held under 60 points and the first time in Big East play they they’d scored fewer than 71.

Villanova topped the century mark for the second time this season in Saturday’s 102-85 pounding of Syracuse, covering easily as a 6½-point home favorite. The Wildcats have won five straight games (all against the Big East) and they’re also on a 7-0 ATS tear (all in conference). During the five-game winning streak, Jay Wright’s club has averaged 80.8 ppg on 48 percent shooting while allowing 68.8 ppg on 36.5 percent shooting.

Marquette is tied with Louisville – both a half-game behind UConn – in the Big East race with a 9-1 SU mark (7-3 ATS), including 4-1 on the highway (3-2 ATS). Villanova is in fifth place at 7-3 SU and ATS, including 4-1 SU and ATS in their two home venues (The Pavilion on campus and the Wachovia Center in nearby Philadelphia).

Including last month’s seven-point win at home, Marquette has won three straight and four of five against Villanova since 2002, cashing in all five contests (four times as a favorite). In last year’s trip to The Pavilion, the Eagles rolled to an 85-75 victory as a 1½-point road chalk.

The Golden Eagles are on a bunch of ATS hot streaks, including 8-3 overall, 12-5 on the highway (5-1 last six), 15-6 in Big East action, 4-1-1 after a SU loss, 6-2-1 after a non-cover and 5-0 against winning teams. Meanwhile, in addition to its 7-0 ATS run (all in Big East action), Villanova is on pointspread upticks of 4-0 at home, 6-0 versus teams with a winning record and 9-3 as a favorite of less than 15 points.

Marquette is 4-1 SU and ATS against Top 25 teams and the Wildcats are 2-3 against ranked competition (3-2 ATS, including three straight spread-covers).

The over is on streaks of 5-2 for Villanova overall, 8-3 for Villanova against Big East rivals and 4-1 in this rivalry. However, the under is on stretches of 20-7 for the Wildcats at home, 5-2 for the Wildcats on Tuesday, 10-4 for the Wildcats after a SU win, 6-0 for the Wildcats after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game, 5-2 for Marquette on the road and 5-1 for Marquette on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


(12) Clemson (19-3, 8-8-1 ATS) at Boston College (18-7, 11-9 ATS)

Two ACC rivals that had winning streaks snapped over the weekend will try to get back on track when Boston College hosts Clemson at the Conte Forum.

The Tigers took a three-game SU and ATS winning streak into Saturday’s home game against Florida State, including a stunning 27-point victory over fourth-ranked Duke on Wednesday. However, Clemson blew a 15-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play and fell to the Seminoles 65-61 as a nine-point home chalk. Since starting the season 16-0, the Tigers have split their last six games both SU and ATS, all against ACC competition.

After an ugly four-game SU and ATS losing skid that came on the heels of a shocking upset at then-No. 1 North Carolina, Boston College saved its season with a five-game winning streak (4-1 ATS). However, the Eagles’ run ended in Sunday’s 93-76 blowout loss at Wake Forest as an 11-point road underdog.

Clemson is one of four ACC teams with a 5-3 conference record (4-3-1 ATS), including 2-1 SU and ATS on the road. Boston College is 6-4 in the ACC (5-5 ATS), and after losing their first two conference home games (0-2 ATS) the Eagles have won two straight at Conte Forum (1-1 ATS).

This rivalry has belonged to the home team, which has won all six regular-season meetings going back to 2003 (3-1-2 ATS). Last year, Clemson rolled to a 78-56 victory as a 10½-point home chalk, then blitzed the Eagles out of the ACC tournament with an 82-48 romp as a nine-point favorite. The Tigers are 5-0-2 ATS all-time against B.C., and the favorite is 4-1-2 ATS.

Clemson’s pointspread trends include 4-1 on the road, 7-3-1 in ACC action and 7-1 on the highway against teams with a winning record. Boston College is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 on Tuesday, but 1-4 ATS in its last five as a host.

The last five meetings in this rivalry have stayed under the total, and the under is also on stretches of 7-2 for Clemson overall, 5-2 for Clemson in ACC play, 4-0 for Clemson against winning teams and 5-0 for the Eagles against squads with a winning record. However, the over is on runs of 5-0 for the Tigers on the road, 5-1-1 for Boston College overall, 21-7 for Boston College at home and 7-3-1 for Boston College on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEMSON


NBA

San Antonio (34-15, 24-23-2 ATS) at New Jersey (24-28, 28-24 ATS)

Fresh off Sunday’s impressive upset victory at Boston, the Spurs continue their brutal eight-game road trip when the make their only visit of the season to Continental Airlines Arena for a clash with the Nets, who have lost 12 consecutive games to San Antonio.

The Spurs went to Boston after a four-day layoff and knocked off the defending champs 105-99 as a 6½-point road underdog. San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 and 5-0-1 ATS in its last six, averaging 106.2 points per game in those six games, including scoring 105 or more five times. Also, the Spurs have won nine of 12 on the road (8-3-1 ATS).

New Jersey had a four-game SU and ATS winning streak snapped in Sunday’s 101-84 loss at Orlando, falling short as a 13-point underdog. The Nets have scored 88 points or fewer in four of their last eight games, and although they’ve cashed in three straight home games, they’re just 7-10 SU in their last 17 at Continental Airlines Arena. In fact, Lawrence Frank’s troops have a better record on the road (13-13, 17-9 ATS) than at home (11-15 SU and ATS).

San Antonio defeated the Nets for the 12th straight time on Jan. 23, holding on for a 94-91 victory but never threatening to cover as an 11½-point home favorite. Despite that non-cover, the Spurs are 14-3-1 ATS in the last 18 meetings, including eight consecutive wins and covers in New Jersey. The favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six clashes and the visitor is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven.

The Spurs are on ATS runs of 4-0-1 on the highway and 12-5-2 when playing on one day of rest, but despite Sunday’s upset win of the Celtics, they’re still just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 against the Eastern Conference and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 against the Atlantic Division. New Jersey has cashed in 14 of its last 20 games after a double-digit loss, but otherwise the Nets are on ATS slides of 7-15-2 against the Southwest Division and 4-13-1 on Tuesday.

For San Antonio, the over is on streaks of 6-0 overall, 5-0 on the road, 4-1 against the Atlantic Division, 4-1-1 on Tuesday and 4-0 when playing after one day off. Conversely, the Nets are riding under stretches of 5-1 overall, 8-3 at home, 4-1 after a SU loss, 4-0 against the Western Conference, 4-0 against winning teams and 4-1 when playing on one day of rest. Finally, the last four Nets-Spurs clashes have stayed low, and the under is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in New Jersey.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN ANTONIO and UNDER


Denver (34-17, 28-22-1 ATS) at Miami (27-23, 23-25-2 ATS)

The Nuggets continue an eight-game road trip with a stop at American Airlines Arena in South Beach as they look to knock off the Heat for the eighth consecutive time.

Denver has been idle since Saturday, when its four-game winning streak came to an end in an embarrassing 114-70 loss at New Jersey as a 2½-point road favorite. The Nuggets, who had averaged 113 ppg during their four-game winning streak, hadn’t scored fewer than 81 points in a game this season and shot just 35.6 percent from the field. Despite that effort, Denver is still 7-2 in its last nine games (3-3 on the road).

Miami enters this contest in a 2-4 SU and ATS funk, most recently edging Charlotte 96-92 on Sunday but failing to cover as an eight-point favorite. On the bright side, the Heat have won five of their last six home games (4-2 ATS). For the season, Dwyane Wade and Co. are 17-8 at home, but 11-13-1 ATS, averaging 96.5 ppg and allowing 92 ppg.

The Nuggets routed the Heat 108-97 in Denver on Jan. 7, covering as a 5½-point favorite to move to 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven series meetings, including 3-0 in Miami (2-1 ATS). In last year’s clash in South Beach, the Nuggets needed overtime to escape with a 114-113 victory as a 5½-point road chalk. The host has covered in the last four series battles.

Denver has failed to cash in six of its last seven when playing on two days’ rest, but it is otherwise on ATS streaks of 4-1 after both a SU and ATS loss and 6-2 after a double-digit defeat. Miami is on ATS runs of 7-0 on Tuesday, 7-1 when playing on one day of rest and 5-2 against the Western Conference, but it is 14-32-3 ATS in its last 49 games after a SU victory.

The over is on streaks of 4-1 in this rivalry, 5-1 for Miami overall, 7-1 for Miami against the Western Conference, 24-8-1 for Miami against the Northwest Division, 4-1 for Denver on the road, 7-3 for Denver on the road 11-4 for Denver against the Eastern Conference, 4-1 for Denver against the Southeast Division and 5-0 for Denver after a non-cover.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Boston Bruins -130

Game 2 - Columbus Blue Jackets -150

Game 3 - LA Kings vs. NY Islanders over 5.5

Game 4 - Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers over 6

Raging Bull

Here is the rest for today:

NBA:

Spurs -5
Warriors -4

NCAA:

Villanova -4
Wichita St. -6

NHL:

Bruins -130
Red Wings -160

Betweiser (0-7-0 / -755)
CBA - Michigan State (-4)

Winners only (3-7-0 / -470)
NBA - Chicago Over (189.5)

Vernon Croy (3-5-0 / -185)
NBA - Toronto (-2.5)

Lance's Lock


Overall record: 737-629-25

Current streak: 1 loss

Todays play: Michigan +4

Vegas Sports Experts


The VSE Tuesday Hoops Power Plays are:


VSE Power Plays

10* Take Hofstra (+1.5) over Old Dominion (NCAA Power Play)

Old Dominion
• 0-10 ATS coming off a conference win by 10 points or more
• 3-8 ATS when playing as a favorite this season



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5* Take Dallas (-12) over Sacramento (NBA Bonus Play)

Sacramento
• 1-11 SU over the last 12 games
• 2-24 SU coming off a road game this season
• 1-13 SU coming off a loss by 6 points or less




Bonus Hoops & NHL Plays are:

3* Take Oklahoma State (+9) over Texas (NCAA)

3* Take Florida (-185) over Toronto (NHL)

Winning Angle Plays for Tuesday

NCAA

Play South Florida (pick) over Providence* (Top NCAA Play)

Providence has lost 3 consecutive games and they have also lost 8 of the last 9 games against the spread when playing in the month of February. Providence has lost 7 consecutive games against the spread on the road after allowing 75 points or more in the last game.


Play Florida State (-10) over Virginia* (Top NCAA Play)

Virginia has lost 7 consecutive games and they have also lost 10 of the last 11 games when playing as an underdog this season. Virginia has lost 16 of the last 21 games against the spread vs. Florida State.


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NBA Hoops

Play Chicago (-2) over Detroit* (NBA Bonus Play)



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NHL

Play Florida (-185) over Toronto* (NHL Bonus Play)

Craig Davis Tuesday's Lineup

40 Dime ---- RAPTORS

10 Dime ---- MARQUETTE

10 Dime ---- SETON HALL

Maddux Sports

Basketball

#714 - NBA - 3 units on Chicago -2
#717 - NBA - 3 units on New York +4.5
#722 - NCAA - 3 units on Hofstra +1.5
#742 - NCAA - 3 units on Boston College +3.5
#744 - NCAA - 3 units on Kentucky -3.5

Young Gun:
5* NBA GOM Spurs (7-1 on 5*'s)
4* G.S.
3* CLEV
3* MIC ST

docs***** NBA

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3-Unit Play #707 Take San Antonio/New Jersey UNDER 188 (7:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)


5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #714 Take Chicago -2 ½ Over Detroit (8:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)


3-Unit Play #715 Take Oklahoma City +11 ½ Over LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST, Tuesday)

**7** NBA DARK HORSE DANDY *12-7 DHD RUN* - Feb 10/09
NBA Matt Fargo $35.00
Far go is coming off an easy wire-to-wire win Monday on the Bucks who crushed the number by 18 points to won outright! He has been on a MASSIVE run with TOP PLAYS going 43-27-1 ATS (61.4%) in his last 71 Reports while his DHD reports are 12-7-1 (63.2%) in his L20 releases! He adds another TOP PLAY and DHD to the Winners Circle tonight!

NY KNICKS +4.5

Wunderdog

Game: New York Knicks at Golden State (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: New York Knicks +4.5 (-110)

The Knicks have had more success this season under Mike D'Antoni's catch-and-shoot offense. When they haven’t been winning, they have certainly been getting the money, especially as an underdog. The Knicks have been a stellar 12-3 ATS as a road dog in their last 15 games. The Warriors have been tough as a home dog, but on the season stand just 5-9 ATS as a favorite. The Knicks are playing some good basketball right now, and certainly have the firepower to match hoops with Golden State and be in this one to the end. The Knickerbockers get the call here.

**89% RUN** THE *BLOWOUT* - Feb 10/09
NCAAB Scott Rickenbach $35.00
If you're seeking THE *BLOWOUT* on the college card Tuesday, seek no further! This game has R-O-U-T written all over it! It's a revenge game and MUCH has changed since these teams last met! As for Scott, not much has changed! The WINNING continues! MASSIVE 8-1 (89%) run in College Hoops adds another BIG WIN!

WICHITA ST -6

GamblersWorld

Tip of the Day - February 10, 2009

Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NHL

Game: 7:00PM, San Jose Sharks vs. Boston Bruins

Prediction: Boston Bruins

Current Line: -130

Over/Under: 5.5

Reason: The San Jose Sharks and the Boston Bruins will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at TD Banknorth Garden.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bruins listed as 130-moneyline favorites versus the Sharks, while the game's total is sitting at 5½.

The Sharks suffered a 3-2 overtime defeat to the Blue Jackets at Nationwide Arena Saturday.

Columbus won as a +185 home underdogs while the final score played under the 5.5-goal total.

Byron Bitz, Chuck Kobasew and Marc Savard all scored for Boston but it was not enough in a 4-3 OT loss to Philadelphia on Saturday afternoon.

The Bruins lost as -220 favorites, while the final score played OVER the day's posted total of 5.5.

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NHL:

1* Bruins -130
2* Blue Jackets -150

NBA:

1* Mavs -12
2* Knicks/Warriors over 233
4* Raptors -2

NCAA:

1* Providence/So Florida over 140
1* Florida/Kentucky over 145
2* Villanova -4

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes

Michigan State vs. Michigan
Play: Michigan +4

#9 Michigan State (19-4) has had their problems at times this season but not on the road where they are 7-0. They have had some problems are home losting to the likes Penn State and Northwestern along with North Carolina. Michigan comes in off a losing effort against Connecticut on Saturday but showed they can play with ranked teams. A game against your instate rival where they are 12-2 at home give the edge with the points to Michigan. WOLVERINES!


New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors
Play: Over 233

The Knicks try to avoid a fifth straight loss Tuesday as two of the NBA's highest-scoring teams meet in what's likely to be an entertaining shootout.New York (21-29) had started to come together recently under first-year coach Mike D'Antoni, winning six of seven going into last week. The Knicks, though, were swept on a three-game homestand by the Los Angeles Lakers, Cleveland and Boston - the three best teams in the NBA.New York opened a three-game West Coast trip Sunday with a 109-108 defeat at Portland, blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead and losing on Brandon Roy's buzzer-beating layup.The Knicks trail New Jersey by two games for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, but they're still optimistic after staying close to the Cavaliers and Celtics and nearly beating the Blazers, who are 19-5 at home.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Witchita St. -6
3 Villanova -4.5

ATS Financial Package
3 Seton Hall -1
3 Hawks -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

SCOTT RICKENBACH
6-0 RUN** BIG EAST *SMASH

Scott Rickenbach's College Hoops Game #723 - 1* (regular play) Providence Friars (-) @ South Florida @ 7 PM ET

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 7* Wichita State (-6) vs. Missouri State, Tuesday at 8:00 PM EST

We see great value in the Shockers as a small home favorite on Tuesday night. Wichita State has won 5 of their last 7 including 4 straight home wins. They lost @Evansville by 9 on Saturday, so this will be a game in which they'll want a bounce-back performance. Despite out-rebounding Evansville by 10, they shot just 2-16 from three-point range. The Shockers are 9-3 at home this season, holding opponents to just 56.7 points per game in their 12 home games. Missouri State has lost 7 straight road games and is just 1-8 on the road this season (all losses coming by a combined 11 points per game).

After starting the season at a promising 7-3, Missouri State has posted just a 3-11 record since late December. In their last 6 road games (all losses), their margins of defeat are 24, 11, 12, 14, 5, and 18 points. They have one of the worst offenses in the nation; shooting an average of 39.1% field goals this season, and 31.3% from three point range. They have just one player averaging over 10 points per game. If Wichita State gets any lead whatsoever, don’t expect to see Missouri State make a comeback.

Wichita State is coming off of that road loss to @Evansville on Saturday, as well as their January 14th road loss @Missouri State. This is a great revenge situation for the Shockers who are playing very good basketball right now, against Missouri State, who has lost 7 of their last 10. Missouri State is just 6-20 ATS in their last 26 road games and 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings @Wichita State. Go with the Shockers at home on Tuesday night.

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 5* Kentucky (-4) vs. Florida, Tuesday at 9:00 PM EST

Kentucky started conference play hot, winning their first 5 games by an average of 14 points per game. Since then, they have lost 3 straight by 5, 1, and 9 points. This is a HUGE game for the Wildcats, who have had a week off since their last game, to get a big win against the SEC’s top team (although probably a little overrated). They are 11-4 at home this season, and we expect them to notch their 12th win at home on Tuesday night.

Kentucky has one of the best offenses in the SEC, scoring 77.5 points per game on 49% field goals (8th nationally). Along with their great offense, they also allow just 37.3% field goals on defense (4th nationally). Jodie Meeks and Patrick Patterson give the Wildcats one of the best scoring tandems in the nation, scoring a combined 43.4 points per game between the two of them. Florida has a high-octane offense, but we don’t expect them to be able to contain Meeks and Patterson on defense.

The Gators have played just 6 of their 23 games on the road this season and boast just a 3-3 record. Their wins have come against Central Florida, Auburn, and Vanderbilt. They’ve lost against the “more talented” teams they have played; Florida State, South Carolina, and Tennessee. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings between these two teams and we expect that trend to continue Tuesday. Go with Kentucky.

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
REASON FOR PICK: PLAY ON 4* Virginia (+11) vs. Florida State, 7:00 PM EST

FSU is coming off a big time resume’ building upset @ Clemson on Saturday. It was a huge win for the Noles who rallied from a 19-point second half deficit to grab the close win. They were catching the Tigers in a great spot for a letdown as Clemson had just come off a blowout win over Duke. This team was looking for a “signature win” and now they got it. Leading scorer Toney Douglas knelt at midcourt after the huge come from behind win and stated, “This win is going to go down in history.” Do you think this team is going to be concerned with a 1-7 ACC team just a few days after this monumental win? A UVA team they already beat on the road. No chance. Not only that, FSU takes on Wake Forest this Saturday which will also waver their focus here. A classic sandwich situation for the home team here which will lead to a letdown.

The one thing that stands out to us about this Virginia that is only 1-7 SU in the ACC is they have been fairly competitive in nearly all of their conference games. That’s a good mix for a cover on the road, getting double digits and facing a disinterested FSU team. If you take away the Cavs road game @ Duke where they were dominated, this team has really had a chance in every game. Their road games include a 10-point loss @ Minnesota, a 3-point loss @ Syracuse, a win @ Georgia Tech, a 3-point loss @ Virginia Tech, a 6-point loss @ Maryland and finally last Saturday just a 16-point loss @ North Carolina. The Cavs were down by 20+ @ UNC and battled to the end to close the margin. That’s a good sign for a dog. This team doesn’t quit.

The first match up between these two teams was an 11-point win for FSU on January 24th. Despite shooting only 35% (FSU shot 50%) and a terrible 28% from behind the arc (FSU shot 53% from deep) this game was not a white wash. Against UNC, this Virginia team went with a smaller line up and played zone daring the Heels to shoot from the perimeter. Don’t be surprised if they use the same strategy tonight against a Florida State team that has hit only 29% of its shots from outside the arc in ACC play (11th in the league). As we mentioned, this FSU team hit 53% of their 3-pointers @ Virginia, however that is not their strength and we don’t expect to see that happen again on Tuesday.

We look for FSU to come out flat as a pancake and this to be a close game with a good shot that UVA leads at halftime. The Noles will most likely get it together in the second half at home, but not enough to cover this one. Virginia fights to the end again and gets an easy

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay
Kentucky r744
-4.0 (-110) / 3 units

[Mr. IWS]

The Prezz NA
Marquette r729
Villanova r730
u148.0 (-110) / 4 units

The Prezz NA
Oklahoma State r733
+9.0 (-110) / 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Hurley
2008 Cashline Basketball
Tuesday, February 10, 2009

2 Stars Michigan (+4) over Michigan State
7:00 PM -- Crisler Arena

2 Stars Wright State (-3½) over LoyolaChicago
8:00 PM -- Gentile Center

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Tuesday Action !!
CBB
4* Under 135.5 (-110) Michigan St. vs Michigan

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio
NBA Trifecta

25* Toronto / Minnesota Over


Cleveland at Indiana
Play: Indiana +6

The Pacers can be a very dangerous home team. Just ask Boston, the Lakers and Orlando, all of whom they have beaten here at Conseco Fieldhouse. Entering February, the team had won seven of eight home games. The Cavs could and should be flat here coming off the loss to the Lakers. Yes, we are aware that Cleveland is a perfect 9-0 ATS off a SU loss this year, but that was their first home loss of the season, so they have yet to be in this particular situation. They also have Phoenix, at home, on deck, so we can see them "looking past" this one. Indiana, meanwhile, will want to atone for a road loss vs. a terrible Washington team Sunday night. They are 16-4 ATS off a road loss this season, which could very well "trump" the Cavs trend. A healthy Mike Dunleavy gives All-Star F Danny Granger a nice scoring compliment. Injuries are starting to be a problem for Cleveland. Take Indiana.


San Antonio at New Jersey
Play: San Antonio -5

We've said this a million times before, but everyone who was writing off the Spurs following their sluggish start to the season should be embarrassed. A return of a healthy starting backcourt (Parker and Ginobili) obviously was the catalyst, but so too is the club's improved defense, always a Greg Popovich hallmark. We've also said this a million times, but San Antonio (an older team) is much better when rested. This will be just their second game in seven days. On Sunday, they proved they are still a force to be reckoned with when they went into Boston and beat the Celtics SU. Meanwhile, this is New Jersey's 3rd game in four nights. We had them Saturday for that incredible 44 point win over Denver, but then Vince Carter got hurt the next night and they got waxed by Orlando. Carter is probable here, but it won't matter. They already have injuries to Jianlin and Swift and PG Harris is in a slump. The Nets have a losing home record this season. Take San Antonio

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

50 unit Seton Hall
25 unit Golden State

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
******************************

SETON HALL -1 vs Depaul.......9:00 EDT

Get on this at HALL-1 if you can.

DePaul is bad....real bad.
A bunch of young kids....mostly Fresh-Soph.....
....even if they should have a 2nd half lead,...they will find a way to blow it.

DEPAUL has lost 11 straight,
S HALL is on a 4 game win streak and has hope for postseason play.

This betting situation reminds me a little of last nights Clipper-CHARL game.
The BM made a mistake when he put the opener out @ CHAR -2.5.
It shoulda have opened @ CHAR-5.

After the BM's realized the mistake,they tried to fool the public into thinking that the Clippers were the "smart play" by moving the line in the other direction.....to CHAR -1.

I got a couple messages from people who were gun-shy and didn't want to play CHAR because of the line movement.

I told them not to worry about it.
This type of "trickery" happens all the time.

If the BM's moved the # in the "correct direction" every time....everyone would play the line moves and clean up.

Alot of the "moves" are nothing but mind games.
That's why you have to study and study hard.
Make your own decision and don't let a small line move effect that decision...especially in baskets.

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
20* Marquette +5
10* Providence +1
10* Florida +4
10* UNLV -13
10* Knicks over 231
10* New Jersey +5.5 ( NBA)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Nets +5 over Spurs

NCAA Basketball
Villanova -4.5 over Marquette
Oklahoma State +8.5 over Texas

[Mr. IWS]

ETHAN LAWS TUESDAY

Verdict: Wright State 53, Loyola Chicago 56
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON Loyola Chicago +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

100% Perfect NBA Fan Appreciation Play!

Denver Nuggets at Miami Heat
Play On: Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets look to regroup following a devastating 44-point loss Saturday night at New Jersey when they invade South Beach to take on the Heat in Miami tonight. The good news for Denver is their success in this series where they stand 11-2 SU and 8-4-1 ATS of late, including 3-0 SU and ATS when playing off a double-digit loss. In addition, the Nuggets are 12-1 ATS in non-division games when playing off a loss of 36 or more points. The clincher, though, is this angle from our data base. It tells us to: Play On any NBA road team off a loss of 40 or more points vs. a .540 or greater non division opponent. That's because these teams are 9-0 ATS in this role since 1990. Look for Denver to resume its winning ways here today.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

4 Unit Play. #719 Take Michigan State over Michigan (7:00 pm ESPN) The Wolverines are a bottom half of the Big 10 team and if they do not make three point shoots, they will be blown out of this game. Michigan State has yet to lose a game on the road in Big 10 play and is 6-0 in true road games this season. Raymar Morgan is questionable but regardless if he plays or not, the Spartans will emerge victories.

[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIE

cbb. miami ohio-7' (500*)
cbb. florida+3' (30*)
cbb. michigan+4 (20*)
cbb. kent st-9' (20*)
nba. knicks @ golden state over 233 (10*)
nba. new jersey+5 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Loyola-Chicago (double dime)

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
REASON FOR PICK: 7* PLAY UNDER 218.5 Oklahoma City Thunder vs. LA Lakers - 10:35 pm EST

This is one of those Total bets that you have to plug your nose to swallow as it’s not going to be a popular play. Take the UNDER in the Oklahoma City vs. LA Lakers game. The Lakers are first in the league in offensive efficiency and average 108 ppg and they’re 4th in the NBA in pace of play with 97 offensive possessions per game. Oklahoma City is 8th in the league in pace of play at 96.1 but they’re 27th in the league in offensive efficiency. Defensively it’s pretty much the same story as these two clubs are at the opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Lakers are 6th in the league while OKC is 25th. So why do we like the UNDER in this game. First off, our highly successful math-model which continues to prove itself projects a Total on this game of just 203 which is a full 15-points less than the number the oddsmakers have posted. The Lakers are coming off a brutal 6 game East Coast road trip which saw them finish up with TWO huge wins over the Celtics and Cavaliers. How motivated will they be tonight facing the Thunder AND they have the Jazz on deck. This number of 218 is simply too high as 19 of the Lakers 27 home games have resulted in less than 218 total points. The oddsmakers have posted Totals on Thunder games higher than tonight’s number of 218 just TWO times this season. Vegas had to set this number this high with the way these two team can play but the Lakers will dictate the tempo, rest starters for tomorrow night and keep this game from turning into a track meet. Easy call with the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
FREE PICK 1*: Tonight we side with the home team Bulls over the Pistons in this Central Division showdown. The Pistons continue to slide with a 4-6 SU record their last 10 games and are looking to make a big trade before the deadline to improve the club. How far have the Pistons fallen compared to last season you ask? Well, last year at the All-Star break (with Billups) the Pistons were 39-13. This year with a few game remaining and having Iverson on the team the Pistons are just 27-22. Chicago had high expectations this season and they’ve certainly had their share of problems with injuries but they’re finally starting to play better having won 4 of their last seven, all of which were on the road. They also managed to cash in at the ticket window in 6 of those seven road contests. The Pistons have always been known for their defense but in their last five games they’ve allowed foes to hit over 45% from the field. That’s not a good thing considering the hot shooting Bulls are making over 49% of their shots in their last five games and again that was on the road. The Bulls improvement can be seen in their point differentials as they are currently +7.6 their last five games compared to a negative -1.92 season differential. Comparing the Pistons differentials we find Detroit’s season number to be minus -.24 compared to minus -4.00 their last five. The home team has covered 5 of the last six in this rivalry and we side with the Bulls again here.

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS

NBA

20* Spurs
100* Tor
100* Tor over

NCAAB

20* Prov
100* Kent St

100* "Steam Play" OK City

[Mr. IWS]

ras under miaoh
ras under minny/INDIANA

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy


Unit Play. Take Under 192.5 between Toronto @ Minnesota (Tuesday @ 8:05pm est).

Yesterday: 1-0-1 (EZ 20 point cover on the Under and although many got a win with Furman at +8.5, I went ahead and counted it as a push as I had +8 in the morning. Let's roll again today:

7 Straight Winning NBA Weeks (11-3 last 14 Selections and 3 in a Row).
10-4 (71%) Last week in Hoops
5-2 (71%) in NBA.
5-2 (71%) in CBB.
+66 Units in January Hoops (64% Overall).
+20 Units in February (64% Overall)

Congrats on yesterday's winning day as we are en route to our 8th straight winning week in the NBA as we are 11-3 over our last 14 Selections. As per today, well, let's ride another Under except this time in Minnesota. We rode the Under as New Orleans visited Memphis yesterday in part because there were several injuries to both teams and the question begged who was going to score to get up to such a high total of 186? Well, the Under covered by about 20 points or more as that scoring load was never picked up as Arthur, Gay, Paul and Chandler did not play. Such is the case with this game as Minnesota will be without the services of one of the best up and coming players in the league who was establishing himself as a superstar in Al Jefferson. Folks, Jefferson can ball. It's a shame that he went out with this season ending injury as Minnesota was beginning to gel very well with the likes of Foye, Gomes, Love and Telfair. I actually think Minny likely wins this game Outright whenever one follows the theory, "bet on a team that just lost its star player". One can even look to as early as the Magic who played the Clippers after losing Nelson in a game which they covered relatively easily. One can look at the game when the Hawks were at Minnesota and manged to cover as well. The question begs, similar to yesterday's game, who is going to pick up the scoring? With no Chris Bosh, the Raptors lineup features Calderon, O'Neal (who blows), Graham, Parker and Bargnani. This lineup put up a ravishing 70 points at Memphis. Note, Toronto is a defensive team that needs to rely on its defense as their offense is questionable at best right now with no Bosh. Consequently, this is the first full game for the Twolves without big Al. Look for both teams to be sluggish on offense and rely on defense as the Twolves likely win this game - but more importantly, look for this total to dip under. The Under is 6-2 between these two teams when they were healthy in the last 8 games and the under is 5-1 between these two teams in Minny.




4 Unit Play. #728. Take Central Michigan +8 over Miami of Ohio (Tuesday @ 7pm est). Although many clients received the win on Furman with the +8.5 line, I went ahead and took a push with the +8 line for our records. In essence, we kissed our sister as we look to duplicate the 5-2 week last week and our 16-8 (66%) run over the last 24 days with our PODs. For starters, I have respect for Miami of Ohio and what they have done this year. This team is a top 75 team, they are a 14 win team thus far, a solid 7-2 in conference play and the schools they have lost to for their 7 losses come against elite schools such as UCLA by 5 on the road, Pittsburgh, Xavier by 7 on the road, West Virginia, Dayton by 5 on the road, Ohio and Buffalo at home. I mention this to say that they are a worthy opponent. But, to catch 8 points in a game where Miami of Ohio only beat this team by 4 points last year at home, with over 66% of the public riding the road chalk, on a total of just 120 is great. What if someone told you that in a game that is expected to score 120 points, they wanted to give you 8 points which is about 6.7% of the points with the home court advantage - would you do it? I would. The question then begs how competitive can Central Michigan be? For starters, this is an evening game, there will be a decent crowd at Central Michigan for this contest, Miami of Ohio typically only scores 63 points per game on average and Central Michigan is the same team that beat top 140 Ohio at home as well as Ball State. Remember, Ohio - they are the same team that Miami of Ohio lost to at home. Central Michigan comes off a tough loss to Bowling Green at home and to their credit only lost by 1 point to Buffalo on the road - remember Buffalo? They are the same team that beat Miami of Ohio on the road as well. Thus, considering the matchups between these two squads in a low scoring game, with home court advantage, off a tough loss, I think Central Michigan will be very competitive here tonight. I do not expect this line to budge and I expect the public to take it up the chin a bit here as once again 2/3rds are riding the road chalk as The Chippewas are 4-1 ATS when playing a team with a winning record meaning they get up for the better teams such as Buffalo and Ohio and will likely get up once again for the Red Hawks at home.

Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

THE BOOOOJ:

25 UNITS PROVIDENCE -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june

marq/vill under

kentucky

[Mr. IWS]

helmut

over loyal chi