2-11-09

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
8* Xavier (-2) vs. Dayton, Wednesday at 7:00 PM EST

Xavier had their first hiccup in the A-10 last Saturday. They played very lethargic and lost @ Duquesne by 4. Somewhat of a letdown was to be expected for that one as XU just beat conference contender Temple the game prior and they had this big match up on deck. While the Dukes were definitely a formidable foe, they haven’t been near the top of the league in quite some time so a look ahead was in order. Star guard B.J. Raymond summed it up by saying, “We make no excuses here. We weren’t ready to play.”

The Musketeers are no question the best team in the league. It’s not really close. They lead the A-10 in conference games in a number of key categories including shooting percentage (50.1%), defensive shooting percentage allowed (39.2%), rebounding, offensive points per possession, defensive points per possession and the list goes on. They are also unfazed by playing on the road where they are 6-1 this season (their only loss @ Duquesne last Saturday). They have beaten some very good teams on the road this season including LSU and Rhode Island. They have also beaten Memphis and Missouri on a neutral court. This team is battle tested and coming off a loss, they will be ornery on Wednesday.

This Dayton team who is 7-2 conference record and 21-3 overall, is a bit over valued in our opinion. Their points per possession ratio (PPPR) is not that of a team with such a lofty record. In conference play, the Flyers sit barely above water with a PPPR of +0.011. Compare that to Xavier’s conference PPPR which is +0.196 and the difference in record between these two really looks as if it should be much greater. Dayton sits at 9th in the league in shooting percentage, 5th in defensive shooting percentage allowed and 8th in rebounding. Those are not the stats of a second place team and it shows tonight against the Atlantic 10’s best.

Xavier has topped Dayton in 15 of the last 18 meetings including six straight. No reason to think it will change tonight, especially since we’ll have an extremely motivated team from Cincinnati facing off for first place in the conference. Xavier wins this one easier than most think.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
February 11, 2009

Soccer:

International Friendlies

Estonia -135
Norway/Germany over 2.5
Greece +125

World Cup Qualifier:

USA even

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club Adding:

NBA:

Spurs -6
Nuggets/Magic over 209

NCAA:

UNC -1.5
Oklahoma -2
LSU/Mississippi St. over 139

NHL:

Sabres -165
Blackhawks/Thrashers over 6
Canadians/Oilers over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Angle Plays for Wednesday
NCAA
Play LSU (+1) over Mississippi State* (Top NCAA Play)

LSU has won 7 of the last 8 games and they have also covered the spread in 9 of the last 11 games coming off a conference win.

Play Duke (+1.5) over North Carolina* (Top NCAA Play)

Duke has won 8 consecutive home games when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5 points and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a win by 6 points or less.

NBA Hoops
Play Utah (+3) over LA Lakers* (NBA Bonus Play)

NHL
Play New Jersey (-300) over NY Islanders* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Jazz +2.5 over Lakers

NCAA Basketball
Baylor +3.5 over Oklahoma

[Mr. IWS]

Erin Renning leans from radio show:

ATL
CLE
CHA over
PHI over


The paid plays are:
over charlotte, over clippers, and Cleveland.

[Mr. IWS]

The Prez NA
Penn State r525
+10.5 (-110) / 3 units

The Prez NA
NC Wilmington r535
+8.5 (-110) / 4 units

The Prez NA
Drexel r553
+9.5 (-110) / 4 units

The Prez NA
George Washington r562
-1.0 (-110) / 3 units

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL UPSET SPECIAL + 2 BONUS PICKS!

Pick # 1 Ottawa Senators (145)


Pick # 2 Anaheim Ducks (-110)


Pick # 3 Montreal Canadiens (-105)

[Mr. IWS]

Wednesday, February 11, 2009
Handicapper: ICEMAN
San Jose Sharks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL) - 7:35 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -148 San Jose Sharks Play Title: 5*
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
The Sharks have won 11 of the last 13 meetings against the Penguins who have lost four of their last six overall. Side with San Jose on Wednesday against Pittsburgh. The San Jose Sharks snapped a three-game losing streak last night by beating the top team in the NHL, the Boston Bruins.
San Jose is 39-15 in their last 54 games. The Sharks are 40-12-4 in their last 56 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents and also a very dominant road team. In their last seven games vs. a team from the Atlantic Division, the Sharks are 7-0.

The Pittsburgh Penguins have been a major disappointment this season after making the Finals last year. Pittsburgh has lost four of their last six games. In their last seven games vs. Western Conference opponents they are 2-5. The Sharks are 11-1-1 in the last 13 meetings between the clubs and should take this one easily.

[Mr. IWS]

Barry Holthaus

North Carolina at Duke
Pick:North Carolina -1.5

Duke's weakness on the interior is really getting exposed. After getting hammered at Clemson, the Blue Devils were lucky to defeat Miami (Fl) at home in OT 68-65. North Carolina is looking to win its 4th straight game at Cameron Indoor Arena. Behind Ty Lawson and Tyler Hansbrough, the Tar Heels get it done

[Mr. IWS]

Chip Chirimbes

North Carolina vs. Duke
Play: Duke +1.5

This is the biggest and best matchup of the season in the Atlantic Coast Conferenceas the #5 Duke Blue Devils (20-3) hosts #3 North Carolina (21-2) in Durham. The Tar Heels have won seve in-a-row since their loss to Wake Forest back on January 11th. Duke meanwhile has had their problems also losing to Wake Forest and them being totally embarassed by Clemson 74-47 last Wednesday. The Underdog has won 12 of the last 15 meeting between these two and with the Blue Devils at home I have to side with DUKE!

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens
Anaheim Ducks (-110) / 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Budin 25 Dime

N.carolina

[Mr. IWS]

stan lisowski
5* utah utes
3* drake, evansville, and magic

[Mr. IWS]

triple crown sports
5* lakers
3* over clippers
4* north carolina
3* cincy and lsu

[Mr. IWS]

red dog sports
5* north carolina
3* clippers

[Mr. IWS]

jim fiest
4* oklahoma

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach

NBA- San Antonio- 2* top play
Memphis- free play

NCAA- St. John's- 1* regular play
Southern Illinois- 1* regular play

NHL- Montreal- 2* top play

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes
Denver +7
Washington under 188
Toronto over 189
Laker +1

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso.

Oklahoma 50 Unit
Tulsa Syndicate Pick

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan ASI

GOY

is

BAYLOR

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Va Tech--double dime

[Mr. IWS]

ASA 5* NBA Denver

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial Package
4 Oklahoma -3
3 Wisconsin -11
3 UConn -12

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
8* Denver Nuggets +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
6 Cal Riverside -1
4 Georgia State +4
4 Utah -4.5
4 St. Louis -3

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Wednesday Action !!
Tuesday Recap: 1-0 CBB (+90 pts)

CBB
4* Oklahoma -3.5 (-110)
3* St. Bonaventure +14 (-110)
3* Under 150 (-110) Dusquesne vs Richmond

NBA
3* Lakers Pk (-110)
3* Oklahoma City +12 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
20* North Carolina -1.5
10* Connecticut -11
10* BYU -18
10* San Diego St +5
10* Lakers -1
10* Denver +8

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

100 Steam Wake
20, StJohns
50 Denver, Boston, Memphis under
100 Portland, Knicks under
100 NHL Calgary

[Mr. IWS]

kelso plays
5 VCU
3 St. Louis
3 Nuggets
10 Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIES SPORTS
500* Syracuse @ UCONN over 148
30* Drake -2
20* North Carolina -2
20* Dayton +3
10* Baylor +4
10* Wisconsin -11 (free play)

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Feiner

1000 Dimer
Oklahoma

500 Dimer
North Carolina

[Mr. IWS]

RAS #536
Wilmington under 140
#539 Mass over 141.5

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney
Wednesday ... 30 Dime AUBURN TIGERS - Arkansas had a promising start to the campaign, I admit that, but things have completely fallen apart for the Hogs, and far be it for me to not take advantage of a team in demise. The Razorbacks have lost three straight decisions, seven of their last eight and have slipped to 1-7 in conference play.

On the other hand, the Tigers snapped a two-game skid this past Saturday against Tennessee, winning 78-77 with an exhilirating finish, one of those victories that most certainly can spark something in this last month of the season. I've seen it before, and this has all the makings of a big run for the Tigers.

And here's the kicker of all this, 12 of Auburn's 15 home games this season have resulted in wins. Yet in the first meeting this season, Auburn cruised to a 73-51 victory over the Hogs on January 24th in Arkansas.

A 22-point road win ... and now the encore comes at home? I don't have to go any further, as the Tigers are the play here.
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june ...no ppc today


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dayton

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex 15* NC-1.5
Lasalle +2
Creighton under 137.5
TVS
HH St. Bonny +14
NC ST +6
J. Madison +11

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Wednesday's Pick
5 Dime - Northeastern



Little was expected of Drexel at the start of the season as most pundits picked the Dragons to be near the bottom of the Colonial Athletic Conference. But a seven-game winning streak suddenly propelled them to the upper echelon of the league standings and opened eyes along the way.



The problem with that seven-game winning streak is that it was compiled mostly against the dregs of the conference: Georgia State (twice), N.C. Wilmington, Delaware, William & Mary, and Towson. Yes, the Dragons did soundly beat Hofstra at home by 18 points, but much like their earlier non-conference win on New Year's Eve against St. Joseph's of the Atlantic-10, they happened to catch the Pride on a bad night and in the middle of a slump. Now, however, it's Drexel that's in a slump as Bruiser Flint's team has dropped two in a row, falling 73-70 in overtime at Delaware on February 4 and 63-53 at home to Old Dominion three days later.



Drexel's problem is simple: it can't shoot straight. The Dragons are next to last in the league in scoring at 62.3 points a game because they're dead last in field goal percentage (37%) and three-point shooting (28.6%) and eighth from the free throw line (67.8%). Yes, they're a good defensive team, and they're a strong rebounding team, but how can they not be good on the boards considering how many shots of their own they're grabbing?



Northeastern has already hammered out double-digit home wins against the likes of N.C. Wilmington (12), Delaware (14), Towson (15), and Hofstra (23). Plus, the Huskies have beatten VCU, Indiana and Providence on the road this season. They also dominated Drexel last year, prevailing 63-40 on the road and 79-45 at home.

PAID AND CONFIRMED

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. #535. Take NC Wilmington +8.5 over William and Mary (Wednesday @ 7pm est).

7 Straight winning NBA Weeks.
February: 63% Currently and +20 Units.
January Overall: 38-21 (64%) = +66 Units (Personal High).
17-8 Last 25 CBB Selections (17 of 25 winning days)

Congrats on Central Michigan +8 Outright over Miami of Ohio yesterday. We are now on pace to continue our 17-8 run over the last 25 days in College Ball as we look to go 2-0-1 on the week after tonight. If our basketball teams actually had a "look" they would be the ugliest puppies you can find. Don't get me wrong, I love favorites in the right spot - but, I certainly love some dogs. Heck, at one point last week, we took 5 straight dogs and they all cashed with 4 cashing outright. We took St. Peter +11.5 over Siena, we took San Diego State +4.5 Outright over UNLV, Indiana +3.5 Outright over Iowa, the Citadel +4 Outright over App. State and Dartmouth +1 Outright over Brown. Such is the case today as we gear up for the Seahawks to be competitive on the road against William and Mary. Do not underestimate NC Wilmington simply because they are 6-19 SU. Heck, if that was the case, we certainly wouldn't have cashed all the dogs we have as I promise you the combined total of St. Peter + San Diego State + Indiana + Citadel and Dartmouth's SU win total is not that high. But, this is the same NC Wilmington team that has showed enough bite to cover 5 straight. These are the teams that you look for at this time of year. The teams that have horrible SU records, but ATS covers. Too often, the public just looks at the SU record and assumes that means a cover for the team with a better record. If that was the case, Vegas would be out of business and we would all be rich. But, NC Wilmington is similar to OKC of the NBA who manages to cover at a ridiculous pace yet with a struggling SU overall record. The Seahawks are the same team that beat top 75 VCU at home by 9 points. This is the same team that lost to James Madison by just 6 points at home and lost to Hofstra by 2 points which ODU can tell you how difficult that was as they lost to Hofstra just last night. I want to take you to the game VCU game that NC Wilmington played in. This team went on the road to VCU and got thumped 59-88 - basically by 29 points. Then, this team came back home to play this team on February 4th and beat them 81-72. I mention that to say that this team certainly has the capability of beating any team within conference with revenge. And, what has NC Wilmington done against William and Mary? Well, these two teams hooked up earlier this year and NC Wilmington actually led this team Outright at the end of the first half prior to collapsing in the second half. I like this Seahawk team to remain focused today to get the cover on the road with the 8.5 as they are a much improved team as compared to the team that played William and Mary back on January 7th. For a team that just 1 just more SU win in W & M they certainly should not be laying this type of number with NC Wilmington having revenge and playing better in my opinion. Seahawks likely stay inside the number today as they are 5-0 ATS overall while W&M is 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games Overall.

4 Unit Play. #503. Take Denver Nuggets +7.5 against the Orlando Magic (Wednesday @ 7pm est). George Karl and Denver are a proud team. You don't think this team remembers the 88-106 thumping they took on their home floor to this Orlando team back on January 17th - less than a month ago? You better believe they have that in the back of their minds as they come off a rout in Miami. The difference in this game will be the point guard play. After all, you have an Orlando team that will continue to rout "so-so" teams at home such as New Jersey and a healthy a Clipper team (who did beat the Hawks on the road) - but when this team plays competitive teams at home and on the road their lack of point guard play will stand out like a bad sore. I'm sorry, J.J. Reddick, bless is heart and the fact that he bleeds is blue and white, but he is no Jameer Nelson. Nor, is J.J. Reddick Chauncey Billups. Given that Billups is very familiar with the Magic from the simple fact the Pistons and Magic played each other constantly with Detroit constantly getting the better end of the team (including in the playoffs a few years back), there is no reason to believe that Chauncey doesn't dictate the pace, the game in this revenge effort. If Orlando thought that Indiana was a tough play on the road when they lost SU, there is no reason to think Denver is not going to give them a handful this evening as they look to exact such revenge. What makes this play nice is the fact that Orlando comes off a big win over NJ after their loss at Indiana and consequently are not on a bounce-back. Let's ride the Nuggets who are playing great basketball right now behind Billups, Melo and Martin and who have a bench that I believe is stronger than the Magic's given that Nelson is out. Why not take a team + the 7.5 points when I believe that team has a 48% chance of winning SU. This is a typical type of play that I like to roll with as we look to go 2-1 on the week and repeat last weeks 5-2 (5-2 the week before) as well as we cruise on to winning week #8 in a row in the NBA this week.

Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

Spec K 10 NCarol
7 Neastern Cinc Miss st Hous Univ

[Mr. IWS]

doc 5* LSU