2-18-09

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club
February 18, 2009

UEFA Cup:

Zenit St. Petersburg vs. VfB Stuttgart over 2.5

Paris Saint-Germain vs. VfL Wolfsburg over 2.5

Sampdoria -140

Scottish Cup:

Rangers vs. Forfar Athletic over 2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

1* Nuggets -1
2* Hawks -5
4* Blazers -11

NCAA:

1* Auburn/Georgia over 135
2* Notre Dame/WVU o146
2* TN-Martin -5
3* Wright St. +3

NHL:

2* Canadians/Capitals over 6

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Columbus Blue Jackets -140

Game 2 - Red Wings/Predators over 5.5

Game 3 - Canadiens/Capitals over 6

Game 4 - Kings/Ducks over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

LEE KOSTROSKI

Indiana State @ Southern Illinois
PICK: Indiana State

Southern Illinois continues to live off their past exploits. The fact is, they simply aren’t very good this year. Their record stands at just 11-15 overall and only 6-9 in the Missouri Valley Conference. Their points per possession differential (offensive points per possession minus defensive points per possession) bears out the fact that they are just not very good. For the season overall that number stands at -0.045 and in conference play it drops to -0.051. This team used to be unbeatable at home but that is not the case this season. They are just 7-5 SU at home this year. They have been known as a great shutdown defensive team, however this year they are just 6th in the league in defensive field goal % allowed and 8th in defensive points per possession. The Salukis aren’t playing well enough to lay this number against a resurgent Indiana State squad.

If you simply look at ISU’s overall record, you are not getting the entire story. The Sycamores are just 7-19 overall and 5-10 in the MVC, but a shorter window suggests this team is under valued and really playing well. This team is on a three game winning streak beating third place Illinois State on the road as a 15.5 point dog, then whipping Drake at home as a 3.5 point dog before tripping up Missouri State on the road last Saturday at a 7.5 point puppy. During that 3-game run the Sycamores have shot 48% and allowed just 39%.

SIU is coming off two huge games vs. first place Northern Iowa and second place Creighton. The Salukis had high hopes of turning around their season during that two game stretch, however they were blasted in both games losing by 26 to UNI and by 22 to Creighton. Southern Illinois already beat Indiana State this year on the road so we highly doubt after those two huge games that ISU will get their full attention. Don’t read too much into that 9-point road win for SIU earlier this year as the Sycamores were playing very bad basketball at the time and shot just 28% in that game. The Salukis also have a big game on deck on “Bracket Buster Saturday” as they play in-state Illinois-Chicago.

The road team is 11-3-1 ATS in this series and that continues tonight. We expect Indiana State to continue playing well and get the out right win here. Take the generous points.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#619 Pacific -1
#621 UC Davis +1
#626 Irvine +2

[Mr. IWS]

John Morrison System Play

Atlanta Hawks (B)

Remember to buy 2-3 points

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach’s College Hoops Game #603 - 2* (Top Play) Drake Bulldogs (+) @ Northern Iowa @ 8:05 PM ET

[Mr. IWS]

IC: 4 unit play Take NC Wilmington +10.5 over Old Dominion

4 Unit Play. #526. Take NC Wilmington +10.5 over Old Dominion (Wednesday @ 7pm est). Great game yesterday as Vandy gets it done for us although the first half might have given you a coronary. For today's action, I nearly settled on Florida as they come back home off of back to back losses and will likely look for a blowout against the Tide. But, the Tide were imperssive against South Carolina at home only losing by 2 so I laid off. Instead, let's look at a classic type of play we like to roll with and that is a home dog that is catching a butt load of points on revenge. Such is the case with the Seahawks today. We are 2-0 on the week and we will look to the Seahawks to get us to 3-0 and get a nice stranglehold on the winning week. The Seahawks are 6-21 SU. There is no doubt when you look at the SU record of this team they are abysmal. But, this team at home does have the capacity to play well. Remember, this is the same team that beat a top VCU team by 9, lost to James Madison by 6 at home who is a top 125 team, lost to Hofstra by 2 at home who is a top 140 team and lost to Richmond at home by 7 who is also a top 125 team. Yes, these two met earlier this year and NC Wilmington got drilled by a score of 57-87. But, what if I told you they got drilled by a similar margin against VCU on the road earlier this year by a score of 59-88 only to come back home and defeat the same team 81-72. The difference between NC Wilmington at home and on the road is that they can shoot at the friendly confines of their gym as compared to the on the road they can't shoot worth a lick as it is obvious. Look for NC Wilmington, who comes off a tight loss to Georgia State on the road by just 3, as they return home, with revenge, in a similar game as the VCU contest (who is a top 100 team as compared to ODU who is a top 125 team), who has covered their last 6 of 7, and their last 3 at home to be very game for this contest.
Good Luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie



NCAA Basketball


100* Play James Madison (+2.5) over Hofstra (NCAA)
(Colonial Athletic Game of the Year)

James Madison is 12-3 ATS over the last 15 games
James Madison is 8-1 ATS in road games this season
James Madison is 11-4 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
James Madison is 8-2 ATS coming off an OVER the total



100* Play Mississippi (+5) over Tennessee (NCAA)

Mississippi is 11-2 ATS when playing on a Wednesday the last 2 seasons
Mississippi is 15-5 ATS in home games when the total is between 140 and 149.5
Mississippi is 8-2 ATS vs. conference opponents this season



Bonus Hoops & Hockey Plays

30* Play Minnesota (+9.5) over Miami (NBA)

Miami is 0-7 ATS coming off an upset win as a road underdog
Miami is 9-22 ATS when playing as a home favorite the last 2 seasons
Miami is 7-19 ATS after having won 2 of the last 3 games


30* Play Detroit (-315) over Nashville (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

fairway jay


Rider +4.5 (-110) / 3 units


fairway jay
Wyoming +7.0 (-110) / 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Jack Clayton easily cashed his only total last night, as the Bucks/Pistons sailed under. His top play for Wednesday is with an NBA total, another game that oddsmakers simply missed the boat on. Go inside the numbers, and collect with this 5-Star NBA "Total" Crusher! 2/17/2009

5* Nets/Mavericks over the total (513/514): There are plenty of offensive weapons on both sides, and neither team plays a lick of defense. New Jersey averages 98 ppg but allows 100 ppg. The Mavs average 100 ppg, but allow 99 ppg. Antoine Wright scored 23 points, his best scoring game in nearly three months, Howard also had 23 points, and the Mavericks won 118-100 over Sacramento last week to make the Kings the first NBA team guaranteed to have a losing season. Surprised this total wasn't above 200. Dallas I on a 3-2 run over the total, while the Nets just allowed 108 to San Antonio. Look for plenty of points, play the Nets/Mavericks over the total.

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL O/U BEST BET + 2 BONUS PICKS!

Pick # 1 St Louis Blues (125)



Pick # 2 Montreal Canadiens / Washington Capitals Over 6 -120




Pick # 3 Anaheim Ducks (-150)

[Mr. IWS]

MATT FARRGO

7* ACC SUPREME ANNIHILATOR **6-3 RUN**

Matchup: VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA
PICK: VIRGINIA TECH +1.5

Virginia is coming off its best ACC wins of the year as it knocked off Clemson in overtime on Sunday. I was on the Cavaliers for that one but I am now heading the opposite way this time around as playing with that much energy for a second game in four days will be next to impossible. That big win improved Virginia to just 2-8 in the conference and things remain tough with a visit from rival Virginia Tech. The Cavaliers want nothing more than to avoid a season sweep against the Hokies and while that will be an angle for Virginia, the Hokies swept the season series last season. And that was against a much better Virginia team. While the Cavaliers are coming off a big win, Virginia Tech is coming off a disappointing loss as it went down by 10 points in Maryland on Saturday. It was just the fourth loss in the last 15 games for the Hokies and it dropped them into a tie for 4th place in the ACC. They will no doubt be up for this rivalry game but the fact that Virginia is coming off that win over Clemson, it will surely not be looking past this one. The last five ACC games for the Hokies are against Florida St. twice, Clemson, Duke and North Carolina. Therefore this is the last “winnable” game on the schedule so it is a must at this point. Virginia Tech enters this game 16-8 on the season and I believe this record could be a lot better even. The Hokies lost by 25 points at Duke and was the only real bad game of the season. They have registered victories on the road against Miami and Wake Forest in back-to-back games and winning in those venues is no small feat. The losses have been tough to take in some cases. Virginia Tech’s first four losses this season were by a total of eight points and two against Xavier and Wisconsin came with less than one second on the clock. Two other losses against Clemson and Boston College came by five points combined meaning they have lost six games by an average of 2.2 ppg. That is just some really bad luck and the majority of the defeats have come against some excellent competition in some tough places. Virginia is not an excellent team and John Paul Jones Arena is not a tough spot for visitors this season with Virginia going just 7-6 there on the season. Five of those came against VMI, Radford, Longwood, Hampton and Brown who are ranked 183rd, 177th, 291st, 279th and 304th. One of those losses came against Liberty, ranked 173rd. Proving that the Hokies are strewn with talent, Virginia Tech is one of only two Division I schools to have three different players record 30-point games this season against Division I opponents. That is pretty solid. The Hokies will be without forward Jeff Allen for this game as he is serving a one-game suspension stemming from the game against Maryland. Normally that would be a problem and while his production will no doubt be missed, it is not as bad playing against Virginia who is far from a dominant big team. Looking at the overall number, the Hokies have a huge edge in efficiency as well as the ever important assist/turnover ratio category. Virginia Tech has held the opposition to under 40 percent from the floor in nine of the 23 games this season and opponents have shot better than 45 percent from the field just six times this season. The Hokies fall into a very solid situation as well. Play on road teams as a favorite or pick that are averaging between 67 and 74 ppg going up against a team allowing between 67 and 74 , after a combined score of 155 points or more. This situation is 139-83 ATS (62.6 percent) since 1997 with the average point differential being +6.0 ppg. The percentage may not seem exciting however based on 222 games, it is extremely powerful, picking up close to 50 units in the process. 7* Virginia Tech Hokies

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Bovi

LA Lakers at Golden State
Play: Over 228.5

Not too long ago these two hooked up in what was to be a 114 106 Lakers victory. It's been only 6 weeks since that contest, but much has changed which will only serve to weaken defenses that were already suspect, much more so in the case of the Warriors who lack presence on the inside. Biedrins is out for GS who averages only 13 but provides shot blocking prowess (he had 3 in that game) as is Andrew Bynum for LA who himself had a pair of rejections in that Laker win. Stephen Jackson sat out for the Warriors in that one as did Monta Ellis, the latter who is 11 games removed from an ankle injury that forced him to miss the early part of the season. LA beat the Hawks last night in a yawner but nobody was put out to pasture. Lamar Odom led with 34 minutes. Adam Morrison gets his first field goal tonight and the Lakers and Warriors play out a wild one that hits the 240 mark.

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
CBB 20* Notre Dame +9.5
CBB 10* Rhode Island -1
CBB 10* Florida St -2
CBB 10* Illinois -9.5
CBB 10* Providence +13
NBA 10* Philadelphia +1.5

[Mr. IWS]

BobbyClarkeSports..(3-3)-285$

NCAA:Notre Dame +9 Wager 1100 to win 1000
Virginia Tech +1.5 Wager 550 to win 500
St Josephs +1 Wager 660 to win 600

BONUS: Raptors +7.5

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners

3* Houston -4.5
3* Texas Tech +1.5
3* Lakers -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

alatex 20* Miss +5.5
Wisc-Milw +5.5
Hoftra -3.5

TVS
20* NC Wilm +10.5

[Mr. IWS]

NC Community Line----Will Cover 4* Buffalo U

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Wednesday Action !!
Tuesday Recap: 0-1 CBB (-99 pts)

5* Youngstown State +15 (-110)
4* Rider +4.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino
Wednesday's 30 Dime College Basketball winner 30 DIME -- Penn State-Illinois UNDER the total

NOTE: This is a play on the TOTAL in tonight's Penn-State Illinois game. We're playing it UNDER the posted number.

As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more points on a favorite than you have to ... or take fewer points on an underdog than are available!

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

02/18/2009

NBA Basketball
Warriors +5 over Lakers

NCAA Basketball
Idaho +6 over Boise State

[Mr. IWS]

ROCKETMAN SPORTS

NBA
3* Charlotte -4 1/2 (7:05 PM EST)
3* Miami -9 (7:35 PM EST)
5* Chicago -1 1/2 (8:05 PM EST)
3* Phoenix -7 (10:35 PM EST)

CBB
3* (#523) Fordham +25 1/2 (7:00 PM EST)
3* (#602) Colorado State +9 (8:00 PM EST)

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - DREXEL DRAGONS.....
20 DIMER - HOUSTON COUGARS....
10 DIMER - ORLANDO MAGIC








40 DIMER - DREXEL DRAGONS

The Patriots are a perfect 12-0 at home this year, and they are a solid 8-2 against the spread at home this year, and that is the primary reason the price tonight is just a little too high. Drexel has been a tough out for George Mason, as the Dragons are on a 6-2-1 spread run the last 9 times these schools have met, with 4 outright wins.
The Dragons have done well for themselves away from home, as they are 7-6 straight up, and 8-4 against the spread on the road this year in their lined games. Drexel is also on a 9-2 spread run their last 11 games. At 14-10 for the year, this is Drexel's chance to show that they will be a force come CAA tourney time in a few weeks.
I like the Dragons plus the points to take this one right down to the wire.



20 DIMER - HOUSTON COUGARS

I smell "blowout" at Marshall tonight.
Houston is coming on strong to end the regular season, as they bring a 4 game winning streak into town this evening.
Always tricky laying points on the road in college, but there is no other choice in this one, as the Thundering Herd haven't been exactly "thundering" lately, going just 1-8-1 against the spread their last 10 at home, and 5-14-1 overall their last 20 on line! Houston has taken all 3 previous series meetings, both straight up, and against the spread, and they have won all 3 of those meetings by double-digits. The Cougars stand at 16-7 straight up this year, and if they wish to nab an at-large bid to the Big Dance next month, this is the type of game they had better make their bones with. Go ahead and lay it, as the Cougars are up to the task.



10 DIMER - ORLANDO MAGIC

Bad message New Orleans ownership sent yesterday by dealing Tyson Chandler to Oklahoma City in what amounted to a salary dump.
You think West, and Paul aren't taking note of George Shinn, and that cheapskate move!?!??!
The Hornets failed the spread again last night, dipping to a money-burning 2-7 against the spread their last 9 games.
The Magic meanwhile, are on a money-turning 23-9 spread run their last 32 overall.In the series, Orlando has taken 6 of the last 9 straight up, and the visitor is 7-2-1 against the spread in the last 10 meetings. Both teams were in action last night, and while the Hornets are just 4-7-1 ATS when playing with no rest, it hasn't seemed to bother the Magic at all, as Orlando is 6-2 against the spread when playing back-to-backers. Stick with the Magic.

[Mr. IWS]

president
St Louis r616
(-110) / 4 units


Colorado r609
+13.0 (-110) / 4 units


North Carolina State r575
+20.0 (-110) / 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
......subscriber email.......

****************************
Nice and easy 3-0 sweep yesterday.
Really like two today.
****************************
NBA
ORLANDO +1.5 (get +2 if you can) @ N.Orl........8:05 EDT

ORL....18-7 SU & ATS on the road this year.
............5-2 SU in L7 road games.
...........Won 3 of L4 times @ N.O.....the loss was in OT.
...........played and won in OT yesterday vs CHAR, but that won't hurt since it was the first game after the All-Star break....it may even help to get back into a rythem.
The game still ended before NORL's game @ OKC anyway.

N.ORL....is struggling a bit.Yesterday they traded the popular 7 footer, Tyson Chandler , so they will be a bit shorthanded as the two players they got back are not supposed to play tonight.
...........Losing Chandler may also create a mismatch in the paint.
Orlando's Dwight Howard is quite a handful and Chandler would have helped slow Howard down some.
...........Hornets are 3-6 SU in the L9.
...........2-4 SU in the L6 @ home.
...........and ,they prepare for a West Coast trip that starts Friday @ LALakers. So they may be looking ahead a bit, and that is not good when you are going against a quality team like ORL.
************************************************** **********
NCAAB
WRIGHT ST +2 @ Illinois-Chicago.........8:00 EDT

It blows my mind that ILL-CHIC is still getting repect from the BM's.
They were expected to be so much better.... but ,they haven't shown us anything yet.
There's always the chance they may stick it up my ass and win this one...anything can happen..... but I highly doubt it.

WRIGHT ST...
...........is 14-3 SU in their L17.
...........10-3 SU in Conference play
...........they have a 16-10 record , and still have a shot @ some postseason play.
ILL-CHIC...
.......... have won only 2 of their L6 games.
...........their 2 wins vs VALPO & DETR....the two worst teams in the Conf.
...........have lost 3 of their L4 home games
...........4-11 SU in Conference games.

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

1500* - Auburn,
1000* - Penn State,
500* - Rhode Island,
500* - St. Joseph's



All set to do some 4-0 damage this Wednesday night!

Forget about UGA's unlikely weekend win at home over Florida, they will NOT duplicate that effort tonight, as Auburn is a hungry team in need of a road win, and an empty Stegeman Coliseum is the perfect spot for the Tigers to notch that road win.

Auburn has lost the last 3 series meetings against Georgia, so this is indeed a great revenge spot for the Tigers who do bring a 3-game season winning streak into this one.

Prior to their upset of Florida, Georgia had lost 11 in a row. That win gives us decent "line value" with Auburn tonight, as they are not laying too many at all on the road in this spot.

Remember, the Bulldogs are on a 3-6-1 spread run their last 10 games.

Granted, Auburn has struggled on the road this season, but tonight is the night they make a statement.

Lay the small impost.

1500? - Auburn Tigers

Too many points for the Illini to be laying tonight!

The series between Penn State and Illinois has been a hotly-contested series, as the last pair of meetings have been decided by just one point each. As a matter of fact, the last 6 series meetings have been decided by a grand total of just 15 points!

The Nittany's need this one badly, as their recent 3-game slide was not what the doctor ordered at this time of the year. Still, Penn State stands at 18-8 for the year, and they did recently win at Michigan State, so they have the confidence to compete at Champaign tonight.

The Illini have been tough at home this season, but this line is inflated, and as you can see by the numbers in the series, this one should once again go right down to the wire.

Take the points.

1000? - Penn State Nittany Lions

Some way the Rams will gut out the win tonight at UMass.

The Minutemen have been unable to duplicate their success from a season ago, and at 9-14 for the year, you know if it is close late, UMass just doesn't believe they can win the game.

The same cannot be said for Rhode Island, as the Rams tote in an 18-8 straight up mark, and URI has only lost once in their last 7 games.

The Rams are in "triple revenge" tonight, as the Minutemen have won the last 3, and 6 of the last 8 in this rivalry, BUT it is important to note that the road team is on a 10-3 spread run the last 13 series showdowns.

Have to go with Rhodey to prevail in this road spot tonight.

500? - Rhode Island Rams

The Hawks of St. Joe's are off back-to-back city-series losses to Temple, and La Salle, but a change in location tonight should be the tonic Phil Martelli's crew needs to get back on track in this big conference showdown in the Gateway City.

St. Louis does enter with a 4-1 straight up mark their last 5, and they have won the last pair of series meetings. Those 2 series wins put the road team on a 4-0 straight up, and against the spread run in this series, and you know who is the road team tonight.

The Hawks have proven to be "road warriors" this season, covering 7 of their last 9 lined road games.

I like St. Joe's to cover again on the road tonight.

500? - St. Joseph's Hawks

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2009
$29.00 Guaranteed: Today we are featuring our 9000* COLLEGE HOOPS REVENGE BAILOUT WINNER! You can get this HUGE WINNER for only $29 GUARANTEED! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are on this game and ALL FIVE of them are making this game a BEST BET!! The Computer Simulator gives our team an 89% chance of covering the spread for us. We are currently on a 45-26 guaranteed run! 2/18/2009

9000* COLLEGE HOOPS REVENGE BAILOUT WINNER
536 Buffalo -8.5 7:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, February 18, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: ONE WORD...BLOWOUT!!! That is what I have for you today! This is so BIG it can only be rated as my COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM BLOWOUT WINNER! and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you WIN! We are currently on a 59-33 run with all selections and we are currently 44-25 in College Basketball this year! 2/18/2009

COLLEGE HOOPS LATE STEAM BLOWOUT WINNEr
526 NC Wilmington +10.5 7:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
5 Cal. ST. Fullerton -2
4 ST.Louis +1
4 Notre Dame +9.5
4 Youngstown St. +15

ATS Financial Club
3 Boise St. -6
3 Virginia Pick
3 Georgia St. +14

[Mr. IWS]

Thank You for purchasing the Booooj’s NBA Game of the Month…
Denver (36-17) vs. Philadelphia (27-25)
Wachovia Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
35 units on Denver (-1) over Philadelphia

When I first saw the line on this game at Denver -1, I was pleasantly surprised. I had figured they would be about a 3.5 point favorite when I first circled this game. Philadelphia is coming in off of a loss in Indiana last night which was not even as close as the final score would indicate, while Denver was resting comfortably in their Philadelphia hotel waiting for the Sixers to arrive in their home town. This is just one reason why I like Denver in this game. There are plenty of on the court reasons as well. The Nuggets have been one of the most pleasant surprises in the NBA this season, sitting in 2nd place in the Western Conference. The addition of Chauncey Billups has brought stability to the offense and given them a championship caliber leader at the point. Billups has made everyone around him better, most notably Nene Hilario, who is averaging nearly 15 points per game and over 8 rebounds per at the Center position. With Elton Brand out for the season, the Nuggets match up favorably at every position on the floor with the Sixers. Thaddeus Young is having a solid season, but I expect he will have some problems on the offensive end matching up with Kenyon Martin and Chris Anderson. The Sixers may keep it close in the 1st half, but look for Denver to pull away in the 2nd. Denver by 8-12.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass:

200 URI
100 VaTech
50, Buff, WMich
20 FSU
Steam (100) LSU

[Mr. IWS]

Asa 5*
Youngstown State

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP

UTEP tonight (double dime).

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

# 548
Northern Illinois/Central Michigan (Under 133.5)
Rating: 1.00


RAS

Rotation: 529
Massachusetts/Rhode Island (Over 154.5)
Rating: 1.00




RAS

Rotation #590 Tennessee/Mississippi (Under 151) 1.00 UNIT


RAS

#626 Cal State Northridge/UC Irvine (Under 138.5) 1.00 UNIT

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. #526. Take NC Wilmington +10.5 over Old Dominion (Wednesday @ 7pm est). Great game yesterday as Vandy gets it done for us although the first half might have given you a coronary. For today's action, I nearly settled on Florida as they come back home off of back to back losses and will likely look for a blowout against the Tide. But, the Tide were imperssive against South Carolina at home only losing by 2 so I laid off. Instead, let's look at a classic type of play we like to roll with and that is a home dog that is catching a butt load of points on revenge. Such is the case with the Seahawks today. We are 2-0 on the week and we will look to the Seahawks to get us to 3-0 and get a nice stranglehold on the winning week. The Seahawks are 6-21 SU. There is no doubt when you look at the SU record of this team they are abysmal. But, this team at home does have the capacity to play well. Remember, this is the same team that beat a top VCU team by 9, lost to James Madison by 6 at home who is a top 125 team, lost to Hofstra by 2 at home who is a top 140 team and lost to Richmond at home by 7 who is also a top 125 team. Yes, these two met earlier this year and NC Wilmington got drilled by a score of 57-87. But, what if I told you they got drilled by a similar margin against VCU on the road earlier this year by a score of 59-88 only to come back home and defeat the same team 81-72. The difference between NC Wilmington at home and on the road is that they can shoot at the friendly confines of their gym as compared to the on the road they can't shoot worth a lick as it is obvious. Look for NC Wilmington, who comes off a tight loss to Georgia State on the road by just 3, as they return home, with revenge, in a similar game as the VCU contest (who is a top 100 team as compared to ODU who is a top 125 team), who has covered their last 6 of 7, and their last 3 at home to be very game for this contest.

4 Unit Play. Take Minnesota +9.5 over the Miami Heat (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est). Let's ride the Twolves once again as they hit the road to Miami. One of my most favorite plays is to fade a team off of a new trade. I faded the Pistons the first few days from the AI trade and we cashed just fine. In that same token, I am going to fade the Miami Heat today as O'Neal and Moon cross over for them. It takes a team to get used to new players and consequently this team will have some hiccups today and will not be in complete sync until the first few games are done and over with. Do note however, that I think this is a great trade for the Heat as this adds more scoring, a rebounding presence and O'Neal will fit into the half court game the Heat have here. The Heat are a dynamic looking team with young talent and Moon will fit right in with the solid young guards that Miami has. But, this will take time to gel and I like the Timberwolves today to stay inside single digits. Look, this team should have won at Washington given their slow start, massive come back, at one point leading by 5 late in this game only to lose the game and cover. Miami beat this team by 3 points on the road earlier this year so Minny has revenge from that game, tack on the fact they are beginning to play better with no Al Jefferson for the year and Mchale is giving some of his young players such as Cardinal and McCants more time to build the depth of this team, I like the Twolves to hang tough in a low scoring contest. I believe it will take some time for the Heat to gel and the Twolves are beginning to figure out how to play with out Jefferson as the top five plus, the some of the reserves are making up the ground. The Twolves are 14-3 ATS when facing a team on the road with a winning record.
gl,

[Mr. IWS]

ASA
4* Raptors Over
5* Youngtown St
3* Indiana St
3* Ole Miss

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june

west virginia
wisc milwaukee
northwestern private players club

[Mr. IWS]

teddy covers
ball st 20* big ticket

[Mr. IWS]

Doc's Sports Picks For NBA Basketball







3-Unit Play #501 Take Cleveland -7 ½ Over Toronto (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

We were originally looking at the total for this game but upon further inspection we came out with the Cavs as the play. Tonight we have one of the worst offensive teams in the league (Toronto) going up against the best defense in the league (Cleveland). The Raptors have really struggled to get points against strong defenses lately. They managed 91 against the Spurs, 92 against the Hornets and just 83 in the last meeting with these Cavs earlier in the month. In fact, Cleveland has dominated this series lately with four straight wins and covers. This team is well rested and we feel they will play their best offensively and defensively and we see this one as a double-digit win for the favorites.



3-Unit Play #509 Take Orlando/New Orleans UNDER 189 (8 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

We always like to play the under when two top defenses square off – especially when the posted number is over 185 – and that is the case tonight. The Magic are No. 6 in the NBA defensively while the Hornets sit at No. 3. We expect another defensive battle tonight, just like these teams have engaged in many times in the history of this series. Five straight meetings and nine of the last 10 have gone under the posted total. The last meeting this season between these clubs was one of the lowest scoring games of the season and the final wound up at 158. We don’t think this one will be that drastic, but we thing it will wind up in the mid-to-low 180s.



4-Unit Play #522 Take LA Clippers +8 Over Phoenix (10:30 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

We came close to making this our Game of the Week but there is another game later in the week we think will be better so we held back. But we love this situation here tonight. The Clippers got smacked around last night in Phoenix and lost by 40 points. However, when teams play on back-to-back nights like this – especially after a blowout – the losing team always gives a much better effort in the second game. And now the Clippers are at home. The Suns are a HUGE public play here with the majority of the action coming in on them yet the line isn’t moving and some places have even dropped this number to 7 ½. That tells us the oddsmakers want more money to come in on Phoenix and that is a good sign. The Suns are one of the most overrated teams in the NBA and they have only covered 18 games all season. The Clippers have covered four straight in this series before that ugly loss last night.