2-23-09

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#505 - NBA - 3 units on Atlanta +7
#521 - NCAA - 3 units on College of Charleston +2.5

Hockey
#2 - NHL - 2 units on Dallas +145

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Syracuse (-3) Sunday.

Today it's the College of Charleston.

[Mr. IWS]

Raging Bull

Soccer:

RC Lens/FC Metz over 2 (France Ligue 2)

FC Kaiserslautern/FC St. Pauli over 2.5 (German 2 Bundesliga)

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

1* 76ers-1
2* Pacers/Knicks over 224
4* Warriors/Clippers over 228

NCAA:

1* Murray St. -2

NHL:

Pass

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Monday Action !!
Sunday Recap: 1-0 CBB (+90 pts)

CBB
3* Louisville -1.5 (-110)
3* Wofford -3 (-110)

NBA
3* Over 198.5 (-110) Boston vs Denver

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Fields:
4.5* OKL

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman:
5* NBA GOM PHIL

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Angle Plays for Monday
NCAA

Play Georgetown (+1.5) over Louisville* (Top NCAA Play)

Georgetown has won 14 of the last 15 games after forcing 8 or less turnovers in the last game and they are only allowing an average of 60 points a game on defense at home this season.





Play Charleston (+2.5) over Chattanooga* (Bonus NCAA Play)

NBA Hoops
Play Atlanta (+7) over Utah (NBA Top Play)

NHL
Play Dallas (+145) over San Jose* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE Monday Hoops Power Plays are:
VSE Power Plays

10* Take Western Carolina (+3) over Wofford (NCAA Power Play)

Wofford
• 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less
• 2-7 ATS in home games when the total posted is between 140 and 144.5
• 0-5 ATS when revenging a loss by 10 points or more


10* Take Indiana (+6) over New York (NBA Power Play)

New York
• 2-7 SU over the last 9 games
• 0-4 SU & ATS vs. Indiana at home
• 8-16 SU in home games when the total posted is greater than 210 points

Bonus Pays
5* Take Georgetown (+1.5) over Louisville (NCAA)
5* Take Dallas (+145) over San Jose (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

Utah
Indiana under
Boston

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe
02/23/2009

NBA Basketball
Jazz -7.5 over Atlanta

NCAA Basketball
Kansas +4 over Oklahoma

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 20/20/10 parlay
20 units Louisville
20 units Oklahoma
10 units parlay

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. #515. Take the Kansas Jayhawks +4 over the Oklahoma Sooners (Monday @ 9pm est). An up and down week in college hoops, with many winning in college last week. The official documented record is 3-3-1, but many received a win with VCU which made it 4-3, but for record purposes, it was a 3-3-1 week last week. At this point, I'm so impressed with Kansas, that I'd like to kick off the new week with the Jayhawks today catching the 4 points. This team has been rock solid on the road this year and has a great shot at winning the conference championship and they truly deserve it. Yes, Griffin and Oklahoma have been great this year, but I think Kansas is deeper and plays a greater team element of basketball as it is never too much on solid ground to have your entire attack based on one player. Remember, this is the same Kansas team that went into Missouri and should have beat the Tigers as they had dominated them in the first half. This is the same Kansas team that is ranked top 10 in the nation in power rankings while Oklahoma is only ranked in the top 25 in power rankings. Kansas is the same team that beat Kansas State on the road by by double-digits - even when K-State had revenge. Since conference play in January 13th, this team has gone 12-1 overall in conference. And, that one loss was to Mizzou on the road 60-62 in a game they really should not have lost in all due honesty. So, with Griffin a bit banged up, despite having a negative MRI, the fact that Oklahoma's season rests on this one kid, I cannot imagine them taking too much of a risk with him on the floor playing massive minutes. Plus, Kansas is a team that keeps coming at home, from start to finish as they have great depth and a wonderful defensive presence. Let's not forget that Oklahoma has yet to face Mizzou and Kansas this year and when they do, I believe they will have their hands full. I look for the Jayhawks to win this contest and indeed, win yet another Big 12 Title when all is said and done as despite the fact this team is young, they are so incredibly well coached and have proven their worth in the regular season imo. Remember, Kansas has the 42th toughest schedule in the nation while Oklahoma has the 61st. Oklahoma goes to their bench for about less than 20% of the minutes while Kansas goes to their bench for about 27% of the minutes showing their depth. Kansas also shoots nearly 73% in free throws while Oklahoma shoots around 68% and if Griffin plays limited minutes, I expect this to drop a bit more for OU. I will take the team that si 13th in the country in field goal % made and top 15 in the country in field goal % allowed. The Sooners have a sound offense, but have a defense that is ranked top 150 in the nation while KU has a defense that is ranked top 90. I believe this will make the difference today. The Jayhawks have covered their last 6 Road games this year and are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 contests as road Underdogs. We hit Umass Outright on Sunday over St. Josephs, let's hit Kansas Outright over Oklahoma today, Monday Night.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

Play: 4 Unit Play. #512. Take the L.A. Clippers +4 against the Golden State Warriors (Monday @ 10:35pm e
Comments: 4 Unit Play. #512. Take the L.A. Clippers +4 against the Golden State Warriors (Monday @ 10:35pm est). I like the Clippers here for several reasons as they are the other +4 point dog we take today. Bear in mind the Clippers come off three straight ugly losses losing to the Suns by 40 points apiece and then losing to the Blazers by nearly 30 points on the road. This team now returns home and I believe will play with a sense of pride. Let's not forget that the Clippers have already lost to the Warriors twice this year by scores of 103-121 and 92-107. But, there are some principles that you just stick to with a stubbornness in the NBA and one is that it is very difficult for a NBA team to cover against another NBA team when they are looking to beat them 3 straight times within one season. With 77% of the public all over the Warriors who have done extremely well of late, this seems to be a letdown spot for GS. Remember, Montae Ellis is out until around early March due to an ankle injury. Yes, Biedrins comes back likely today but again, it will take him sometime to get his feet wet in my opinion. The Warriors are indeed 7-2-1 ATS over their last 10, but many of those were home games. With Randolph coming back, Baron Davis, Camby and Eric Gordon, this team should have the offensive firepower to go against the Warriors here who I think will be a bit flat footed in the early going without Ellis. Remember, there are certain games that the Clippers "show up" for. That is the uniqueness with this team. Remember, this is the same team that beat the Mavs at home when healthy and this is the same team that went on a huge ATS run when they get Randolph back. After coming home after three straight losses, facing a GS team to avoid 3 straight losses in one season to them, with Randolph, Camby and Davis all playing or returning in this game, with 77% of the public fawning over GS laying the road chalk with no Ellis, I will take the Clippers who are the same team that beat the Knicks at home in overtime after coming back after a series of tough losses on the road. This team is still a series of professionals and they will get it done in this situational spot today imo.

[Mr. IWS]

Matty O'Shea | NBA Total Triple-Dime Bet
510 SAC / 509 NOH Over 203.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 games for the New Orleans Hornets without Tyson Chandler, and now they get to visit arguably the worst defensive team in the NBA. The Sacramento Kings have surrendered less than 105 points just once in their last 19 games, giving up an average of 116 points during that stretch. The OVER is 11-8 in Sacramento's last 19 games, but this is the lowest posted total on a game for the Kings since January 11th. The OVER is also 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams, so I believe this is a true oddsmaker error. Bet the OVER as my Triple Dime NBA Total Play O' the Month.

[Mr. IWS]

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
3* Utah -7
3* New Orleans -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Fredrick

New Orleans at Sacramento
Pick: New Orleans -7.5

Hornets have had some real sting in the role of away favorite winning 9 straight games while going a very nice 7-2 ATS. On the other hand Kings have not been very regal as in the role of home dog they have only gone 2-13 SU & 4-11 ATS.

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

Philadelphia at New Jersey
Play: Philadelphia -2

Both teams are in desperate need of a victory. The 76ers were hot going into the All-Star break, but are 0-3 since the break. New Jersey has lost five in a row.The 76ers are the better team, though. They have double-revenge for two home losses, have a strong track record playing at New Jersey and are a superior rebounding club.The Nets edged the 76ers, 85-83, on Jan. 31 after Philadelphia blew a 12-point fourth quarter lead.The Nets are averaging 10 fewer rebounds per game than their opponents during their losing streak. The 76ers are a top-10 rebounding club.The Nets aren't playing much defense, allowing an average of 111.3 points in their past three games.The Nets rely on Devin Harris and Vince Carter to do their offensive damage. But Harris is shooting 40 percent from the floor in his last 12 games, while Carter is making just 39 percent of his shots from the field during the past 11 games.The 76ers have covered in each of their last six visits to the Nets. The road team is 13-3 against the spread in this series.

[Mr. IWS]

MTi Sports

Golden State at LA Clippers
Play: Under 228

In their last game the Warriors shot 56.3% from the field and dusted the Thunder 133-120. This has the OU line jacked up here, but the Warriors are 0-8 OU (-13.9 ppg) as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they shot at least 55% from the field. Also, Golden St is 0-7 OU (-10.7 ppg) as a road favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which they had at least 12 steals and 0-5 OU (-16.1 ppg) after a win in which they controlled 40% or less of the available rebounds, staying under by an average of 16.1 ppg.Golden State is already 2-0 vs the Clips this season, winning 121-103 and 107-92. The OU line in the first game was 202. It was 215 in their second meeting and here it is 228. The line is going up when it should be going down. Golden St plays it close to the vest when playing a team they have beaten. Specifically, the Warriors are 0-8 OU (-12.9 ppg) as a road favorite and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season.Perhaps more importantly, the Warriors are 0-4 OU as a road favorite vs any team they beat four straight, staying under by an average of a whopping 23.6 ppg. if this game was at home, or if they were playing a good team, they would push the pace. On the road, vs a team they can beat, they will take fewer risks with the ball and not play to the crowd. There’s plenty of room under this jacked-up number.

MTi’s FORECAST: Golden St 108 LA CLIPPERS 102

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino

One-and-only 25 Dime Nba Total Of The Year

Celtics / Nuggets Under

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA BEST BET WINNER! (72% L14 DAYS)


Pick # 1 Philadelphia 76ers /New Jersey Nets Over 192.5 -110

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
CBB 20* Oklahoma -3.5
CBB 10* Georgeown +2
CBB 10* OVER 132
NBA 10* Utah -7
NBA 10* Boston -1.5
NBA 10* OVER 228 Golden State

[Mr. IWS]

al demarco

5 dime
76ers

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Over 198.5 Bos/Den
3 Jazz -7

ATS Financial Package
3 Pacers +7
3 Oklahoma -4

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
30 Louisville
20 NYK, 76ers over
30 Sac, Utah
Steam (100) Clippers

[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIE

nba. pacers @ knicks over 224' (500*)
nba. nets+1' (30*)
nba. new orleans @ sacramento over 203 (20*)
cbb. georgetown+1' (20*)
nba. sacramento+7' (10*)
nba. atlanta+7 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Mon, 02/23/09 - 10:05 PMStan Sharp | NBA Total
double-dime bet510 SAC / 509 NOH Under 203.5 BetUS
Analysis: Stan is Betting NEW ORLEANS/SACRAMENTO UNDER today. Stan expects a big defensive effort tonight from New Orleans as they look to get back on the Winning track after losses in LA to the Lakers and in Utah. Prior to that New Orleans had held 6 straight opponents to Under 100 points. Stan has this game ending between 192-196 points. TAKE NEW ORLEANS/SACRAMENTO UNDER as STAN SHARP'S NBA INSIDER BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, February 23, 2009
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9000* MEGA NBA BLOWOUT WINNER
512 LA Clippers +4 10:35 ES

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
Monday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- LOUISVILLE

15 Dime ---- NUGGETS

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CBB Sides
double-dime bet522 Chattanooga -2.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 521 Coll. of Charleston
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* WAGER **

Mon, 02/23/09 - 10:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Sides
triple-dime bet512 LAC 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 511 GSW
Analysis:
*** NBA 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

500* NBA Over 191 NJ/Phi

50* CBB Over 132 Gtown/Lville

[Mr. IWS]

EXPERT: Marc Lawrence
TITLE: Never Lost College Hoops Super Play! - Mon
REASON FOR PICK: Play On: Georgetown +2
Note: When the Hoyas play host to Louisville in a key Big East battle tonight they will do so knowing they are 23-6 SU and 15-7 ATS at home in games off a SU favorite loss, including 10-0 SU and ATS if the loss was at home the previous game. Catching the Cardinals off a revenge win over Cincinnati is good. Putting them up against a sub .640 opponent off a SU favorites loss when the Cardinals are coming off a conference game is better (0-10 ATS since 1998). Look for Georgetown to get back on the winning track here tonight.

We recommend a 5-unit play on Georgetown.

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, February 23, 2009
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9000* COLLEGE HOOPS BAILOUT BOMB
516 Oklahoma -2.5 9:00 EST
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

EXPERT: David Malinsky
TITLE: 5*Top of the Ticket - Louisville/Georgetown
REASON FOR PICK: 5* #513 LOUISVILLE/GEORGETOWN Under

The markets have been helping us on this one so far, pushing the plateau to 133 in most key precincts, but now that the move has stalled it is time to get in play. After these teams played to a 107 and a 110 head-to-head LY there is ample room at the anticipated pace, especially with an added caveat that makes this particular meeting even better.

Have you noticed how short the Monday college basketball boards are this season? It is only because of ESPN that we have the games that we do have, since they present awful schedule cycles for the teams. Virtually everyone plays on Saturday, which makes these settings two games in three days, and while that is not a big deal with conferences that have natural travel partners (like the Pac 10), for the Big East it is a conundrum, especially since there is no such thing as an easy game in that league these days. The Monday games produce slower tempos and lower levels of offensive efficiency, and the patterns for Rick Pitino and John Thompson in these settings has been rather remarkable the past two seasons.

This will be the sixth Saturday/Monday Big East cycle for Louisville the past two campaigns, with the previous five all playing Under, by a collective 65.5 below the projections (note, as always, that we only use regulation scoring in our tracking, which would explain why others might show a different count for the Cardinals because of their overtime vs. Notre Dame this season). For Georgetown this will be game #7, with the first six also all playing Under, by a collective 70 points below the projections. Add the two patterns together and it is an 11-0 to the Under, with the oddsmakers pricing the games an average of 12.3 points above the final result.

We do not expect that to be any different here; if anything the notion of tired legs is even more extreme this time. Louisville is 26 games into a difficult schedule (#20 Sagarin and #25 Pomeroy), and Georgetown 25 into a downright brutal one (#3 from both sources). And note that the average of 108.5 that they played to LY was not a result of some offensive flukes – the two teams actually combined to shoot 45.3 percent in those games, which is higher than we would anticipate for tonight. That makes this a stodgy affair in which nothing comes easily, and we have excellent value at the new market rate.

[Mr. IWS]

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, February 23, 2009
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514 Georgetown +2 7:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

kbhoops
NBA
5* Sacramento UNDER 203.5 +100 **POD**
4* Utah UNDER 205.5

CBB
4* Tenn Martin OVER 142 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June
10* Georgetown

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett
20 DIMER - UTAH JAZZ.....10 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS 20 DIMER - UTAH JAZZ