3-3-09

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Angle Plays for Tuesday
NCAA
Play Austin Peay (-10.5) over Eastern Illinois* (Top NCAA Play)

Austin Peay has won 11 of the last 12 games vs. Eastern Illinois and they are averaging over 79 points a game at home this season. Meanwhile, Eastern Illinois has lost 9 consecutive games against the spread on the road coming off two or more consecutive road losses by ten points or more.


Play Tennessee Martin (-11) over Tennessee Tech* (Bonus NCAA Play)

Tennessee Martin has won 19 of the last 22 games and they are averaging over 81 points a game at home this season. Tennessee Martin has covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games coming off an UNDER the total and they have also covered the spread in 13 of the last 18 games vs. conference opponents this season.


NBA Hoops
Play Houston (-8) over Toronto* (NBA Top Play)

NHL
Play Washington (-175) over Carolina* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts
The VSE Monday Hoops Power Plays are:
VSE Power Plays

10* Take Weber State (-3.5) over Montana State (NCAA Power Play)

Weber State
• 9-0 ATS over the last 9 games
• 20-6 ATS coming off an OVER the total the last two seasons
• 12-1 ATS coming off two or more consecutive wins

---10* Take Houston (-8) over Toronto (NBA Power Play)

Toronto
• 13-22 ATS when playing as an underdog this season
• 9-19 ATS in non-conference road games the last two seasons
• 6-14 ATS in road games coming off an OVER the total

--Bonus Pays
5* Take Syracuse (-15.5) over Rutgers (NCAA)
5* Take Chicago (-170) over Anaheim (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Tuesday, March 03, 2009
Handicapper: ICEMAN
Edmonton Oilers vs. Nashville Predators (NHL) - 8:05 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 125 Edmonton Oilers Play Title: 5* NHL GAME OF THE YEAR
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
Playoff positioning in the Western Conference will be on the line when the Nashville Predators host the Edmonton Oilers tonight in a key showdown from the Sommet Center.
Only one point separates these teams in the jumbled conference standings right now, with Edmonton clinging to one of the final two postseason seeds. The Oilers are tied with Anaheim for seventh place in the West with 67 points, while Nashville sits immediately behind those two.

The Predators enter this matchup coming off a HUGE 8-0 shutout of Detroit. Predators goaltender Pekka Rinne registered his sixth shutout of the season by stopping all 30 shots he faced.

EDMONTON is ready for double revenge against Rinne as he both of his two starts against the Oilers this season.

The Oilers are riding high now having earned a 3-2 home victory over Minnesota on Saturday and playing great hockey. This is a statement game tonight for EDM who will be playing without their Captain. Expect a letdown from Nashville after their 8-0 pounding of Detroit and EDM to come in as the underdog and steal this important playoff positioning game tonight.

5* NHL ICEMAN GAME OF THE YEAR on the EDMONTON OILERS!


Handicapper: ICEMAN
Calgary Flames vs. Ottawa Senators (NHL) - 7:35 PM EST Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: -132 Calgary Flames Play Title: 4*
Click Here to View Pick Analysis
This is the first game of a season long seven game roadie for the Calgary Flames and they are coming off a rough game in which they gave up eight goals to a lowly Tampa Bay team on Sunday losing 8-6. They'll bounce back tonight so take the Clagary Flames Tuesday Night.

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Fiest

5* weber st
4* nets

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Malinsky

4 Cincy
4 Aub/Bama Over
4 Det/Denver Under
4 Indy/Sac Under

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan - NHL

Money Line: -131 Florida Panthers

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on Florida as travel to face Atlanta slated to start at 7:00 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 20-10 making 14.5 units since 2003. Play on road teams against the money line off a win by 3 goals or more over a division rival facing an opponent after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals. Florida is a solid 10-3 against the money line (+7.7 Units) in road games against poor possession teams averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opposition in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is a very weak 5-14 against the money line (-17.1 Units) against poor possession teams that are averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opposition in the 2nd half of the year over the last 3 seasons. Florida is 7-1 against the money line (+8.0 Units) off a road win by 2 goals or more this season; 8-1 against the money line (+7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season. Atlanta is 3-11 against the money line (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days this season. Take Florida.

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports


Hockey

3 units on Los Angeles +145
3 units on Carolina +165
3 units on Minnesota +150

[Mr. IWS]

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Tuesday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Cleveland State (-17) over Detroit (NCAA)

Detroit is 4-11 ATS when playing as a road underdog this season
Detroit is 4-13 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Detroit is 2-11 ATS coming off a loss by 6 points or less



100* Play WI-Milwaukee (-7) over Loyola-IL (NCAA)

Loyola-IL is 2-8 ATS coming off an UNDER the total this season
Loyola-IL is 2-9 ATS when playing their 2nd game in a week this season
Loyola-IL is 6-13 ATS as an underdog this season



100* Play Wright State (-9.5) over Valparaiso (NCAA)

Valparaiso is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Valparaiso is 3-14 ATS coming off a conference win
Valparaiso is averaging 56 ppg on the road this season

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA O/U BEST BET WINNER! (80% WINNING SYSTEM)


Pick # 1 Chicago Bulls / Charlotte Bobcats Over 192.5 -110





RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL BEST BET WINNER!

Pick # 1 Minnesota Wild /Vancouver Canucks /Under 5 100

[Mr. IWS]

Charlie Sports

cbb.kansas state @ ok state over 153 (500*)
cbb. youngstown st+2' (30*)
cbb. cleveland st-17 (20*)
cbb. duke-11' (20*)
nba. houston-8' (10*)
nba. indiana-3 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

STu Feiner


Cincinnati (-3) at South Florida (123) - 7 p.m. EST


Cincinnati laid an egg at Syracuse Sunday afternoon and coach Mike Cronin let his players know it. He ripped them a good one and now look for them to respond with a solid effort in this win and cover over a decimated South Florida team minus three starters. Guard Jesus Verdejo, the team’s second-leading scorer and top three-point shooter, is the latest casualty as he injured his foot in Saturday’s 14-point home loss to West Virginia, the team’s sixth consecutive double-digit loss. Overall the offensively-challenged Bulls have dropped nine of their last 10 on the scoreboard. They rank last in the Big East in scoring (59.4 ppg), FG percentage (39.9), free throw percentage (59.2) and are second-to-last in three-point percentage (29.4). Dominique Jones is good, but he can’t do it by himself. Cincy is 18-11 SU and needs this win, plus a win over visiting Seton Hall this weekend and then a win in the Big East Tournament to get in the Big Dance. They have won and covered four of their last five at South Florida. The Cats (2-0 SU/ATS as a foad chalk of three or less) also haven’t been entirely terrible on the road with wins and covers at Georgetown, St. John’s and DePaul this season. Look for Deonta Vaughn to have a big game and for the Bearcats to respond to their coach’s challenge as they show up from the start tonight and cover this small price with little problem at all.

CINCINNATI (-3) 500 Dime High Roller Club

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock CLub
4 Oklahoma St -5
3 Maryland +1.5
3 Bobcats -1.5

ATS Financial Package
3 New Mexico -4
3 Kings +2.5

[Mr. IWS]

iceman goy
oilers +125

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams


1000* - Illinois-Chicago,
500* - Georgetown,
500* - Oklahoma State



Youngstown State completed the regular season series sweep over Illinois-Chicago, but winning # 3 in a row over the Flames tonight is not going to be an easy task.

The Flames come into this one with a little momentum on their side, as they have won and covered 4 straight, and 5 of their last 6. The lone loss in that span came against Butler, so you know Jimmy Collins' team is peaking at the the right time.

The Penguins have lost their last pair, and 3 of their last 4 straight up, and have failed 3 in a row against the spread leading up to this game.

Going to back the Flames minus the small road wood, as Illinois-Chicago avoids the "hat trick" in series meetings tonight.

1000? - Illinois-Chicago Flames

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Tuesday Action !!
CBB
4* Youngstown state +2.5 (-110)
3* Iowa +1 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the New Jersey Nets as they travel to face Milwaukee slated to start at 8:05 EST. AiS shows a 70% probability that NJ will lose this game by 3 or fewer points and also has a 50% probability of winning the game. AiS also projects an 85% probability that NJ will shoot between 43 and 47%. Note that NJ is a solid 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when they make 43% to 47% of their shots in a game this season. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 29-7 ATS for 81% winners since 2003. Play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two poor defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of 45.5-47.5% and after 3 straight games and allowing a shooting percentage of 47% or higher.

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning
over timberwolves/playmaker
over bucks/regular

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass
Steam 100 Ind/Sac over
300 Toronto
30 OK State

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
Tuesday's Lineup
40 Dime ---- RAPTORS

15 Dime ---- PACERS

10 Dime ---- ST. JOHN'S

TORONTO RAPTORS --- Guys, I realize I’ve been in a funk the last four or five days, and sometimes that happens to the best of us. I’ve also seen day after day after day of winning selections in the recent past and it always begins with a big selection. Today I have another one of those big plays and it probably has you scratching your head. Toronto? Seriously? Absolutely. To be completely honest with you, just about every trend in the book says the Raptors are the wrong side of this game, and I’m guessing a LOT of people are going to play the Rockets laying the points at home because they’ve dropped just six games there all season. Toronto is just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 overall. They just got whipped in Dallas Sunday night and were beaten by 20 two nights before that in Phoenix. Houston, on the other hand, has won seven of their last eight overall and their last nine games played at home, covering four of their last six home games. So why back Toronto in this one?

Well, aside from having just an enormous gut feeling the Raptors are due for a breakout performance, I feel the Raptors are playing looser than the Rockets right now and I believe Houston will look past this team… and why shouldn’t they? As previously stated, Toronto has been just plain bad recently. Can they really be excited about playing this game with a trip to Utah coming up next, followed by Phoenix and Memphis at home, the Nuggets on the road and the Lakers back at home? Trust me, they are looking way ahead of this game and will be lucky to come out of the Toyota Center with a win. Let’s also not forget the Raptors have played the Rockets extremely well the last five years, covering 8 of the last 11 meetings including a 94-73 blowout win back in early January. Toronto has also taken two of the last three SU in Houston and covered three of the last five there.

And one final note… Toronto C Chris Bosh was recently referred to as the “RuPaul of big men in the NBA” by Shaq after Bosh complained about Shaq’s 45-point performance vs. the Raptors was aided by officials failing to call Shaq for three seconds in the lane. What better way to motivate a player than calling him RuPaul?? Bosh comes out on fire and will give Yao Ming everything he has to offer. The Raptors shoot free throws as well as anyone in the NBA and will take the Rockets by surprise, easily covering this high number on the road.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

100,000* SEC EZ MONEY LOCK Plus Bonus Lock

Your winners here are on:



1. 100,000? Auburn

2. 50,000? Florida State

[Mr. IWS]

Brian King


Indiana Pacers(214')at Sacramento Kings (+2') - 10:05, ET
Brian King's 25 Dime NBA Non Conference Game of the Week Winner is....
Sacramento Kings (+2') 25 Dim

[Mr. IWS]

Donnie Black

20* ACC GOY Florida State +12.5

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Pacers/Kings over 214
3* Houston Rockets -8
5* Warriors/T-Wolves over 227

NCAA:

2* Cincy -2.5
4* Oklahoma St -5
6* Auburn/Alabama over 144

NHL:

2* Capitals -170
5* Flyers/Bruins over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

NBA Basketball
Bucks -4 over Nets

NCAA Basketball
Auburn +1.5 over Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Ferrringo NCAA (coming back down to Earth since his lucky day on 2/21)

2.5-Unit Play. Take #742 New Mexico (-4.5) over Utah (9 p.m.)
Home court has been an unbelievable advantage in the Mountain West and this is a great number for us to get on. Utah is coming of a very emotional Holy War game at BYU over the weekend in which they got rocked in the second half. Now they head to The Pit to take on a Lobos team that is still looking to make a case for an at-large bid. This is a veteran New Mexico team and they have been exceptional as a home favorite (23-11 ATS). New Mexico is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and 7-3 ATS in the last 10. They only lost by one point at Utah earlier in the year - also following an emotional game against BYU for the Utes - and I think that they lay the lumber here. Utah has not been a good road team and their only recent road wins have come over the three weakest teams in the league.

2-Unit Play. Take #747 Detroit (+17) over Cleveland State (7 p.m.)
This is too many points for a team coming in off a bit of a letdown - CSU lost a tough one to Butler over the weekend - and playing against a team that can defend and has nothing to lose. This is what conference tournaments are all about: giving Little Guys a one-shot deal to knock off a top team in the conference. Everyone is playing for their life and I think that will make this game a bit tighter. Besides the letdown, Cleveland State just beat Detroit by 17 in their last meeting. I don't think they will top that effort. That 17-point win was the largest margin in this series in the last 10 meetings and I think the Titans manage to hang around and lose by about 13 tonight.

2-Unit Play. Take #721 Ohio State (-1.5) over Iowa (9 p.m.)
Must win game. And normally I'm all for fading "must win" teams, but I think this Buckeye team is a bit undervalued right now because they've ripped through a rough schedule recently. They are coming off an embarrassing loss at Purdue and now get a crack at one of the Big 10 bottom feeders. Iowa has been on an 8-3 ATS tear, but they are just 3-11 SU in their last 14 games. In order to cover here they have to win outright, and I don't think they will. This is the same team that lost to Indiana for crying out loud. OSU has faltered - no doubt about that - but I think they can man up and get a road win here.

2-Unit Play. Take #733 Georgetown (-6) over St. John’s (7:30 p.m.)
Georgetown just took down Villanova and they didn't even play that well. This completely fits my "tier" theory about the Big East (I'm so damn pissed I didn't take Nova last night it's making me sick) and I think that the Hoyas show no mercy against the Johnnies. St. John's is coming off an uncharacteristic blowout over the pathetic Blue Demons but they are about to come back to reality. In their last three games against teams that Georgetown has beaten or played with (Syracuse, Duke, Louisville) the Red Storm have lost by 29, 7, and 13 and the "7" wasn't nearly that close. Hoyas big.

1-Unit Play. Take #739 Wake Forest (-1.5) over Maryland (9 p.m.)
Wake Forest is all over the map these days but I still am just not buying the Maryland bandwagon. They are tough at home, but the Terps really don't have the firepower to consistently beat the top teams in their league and in the country. Yeah, they might fluke out a game now and then, but I think that Wake's problem is lack of motivation. They will be "up" for this game. The crowd and the situation will dictate it. And if the Deacons come to play I think they just have more firepower and that the Terps will play right into their hands. If Wake is a serious Sweet 16 threat, they win this game. If they don't win this game then we will make 5x as much playing against them this month.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #760 Tennessee-Martin (-6) over Tennessee Tech (8 p.m.) AND Take #762 Austin Peay (-6) over Eastern Illinois (8 p.m.)
The OVC tournament gets underway and I have no problem playing down two of the top teams against significantly weaker foes. Eastern Illinois is one of the worst teams in the country, while UT-Martin is my pick to win the whole tourney. Granted, matching up against an in-state rival in the opening round is tough. But Martin has the benefit of playing on its home court. I don't trust them to cover the 11, but a medium number like this is ripe.

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #735 Florida State (+17.5) over Duke (8 p.m.) AND Take #733 Georgetown (-1) over St. John’s (7:30 p.m.)
Florida State is going to get bombed here, but I think they play too hard and play too good of defense to get ripped by 18 or 20 points tonight. I also LOVE the 'under' in that game. I don't think that Georgetown is going to lose this game at St. John's. They aren't suffering from a lack of motivation or a lack of focus, so I think they will take care of business against the Red Storm.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy

IOWA +1.5 (POD)
GSW/MINNI under

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
CBB Auburn @ Alabama 9:00 PM EST 20* Alabama -1.5
CBB Wake Forest @ Maryland 9:00 PM EST 10* Maryland +1.5
CBB Utah @ New Mexico 9:00 PM EST 10* New Mexico -4.5
CBB Cincinnati @ South Florida 7:00 PM EST 10* Cincinnati -3
NBA Chicago @ Charlotte 7:05 PM EST 10* Charlotte -2.5
NBA Indiana @ Sacramento 10:05 PM EST 10* OVER 213.5

[Mr. IWS]

malinsky
4- Cincy
4- Aub/Bama Over
4 Det/Denver Under
4 Indy/Sac Under

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

300* NBA Over 208 LAL/Mem

50* CBB Oklahoma State -5.5

25* CBB Over 119 Ohio State/Iowa

10* CBB Cincinnatti -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#764 Tennessee State/Murray State (Under 144.5)
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June

Cincy private players club

Illinios Chicago 10*

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Denver Nuggets 20* big ticket

Illinios Chicago big ticket

[Mr. IWS]

vegas runner


Tue, 03/03/09 - 8:05 PMvegas-runner | NBA Sides
double-dime bet710 MIN -1.0 (-110) BetUS vs 709 GSW

Tue, 03/03/09 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NBA Total
double-dime bet712 HOU / 711 TOR Over 198.5 SportBet

Tue, 03/03/09 - 7:30 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides
double-dime bet731 Kansas St. 5.5 (-110) Bodog vs 732 Oklahoma St.

Tue, 03/03/09 - 9:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides
double-dime bet756 Montana St. 4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 755 Weber St.

Tue, 03/03/09 - 8:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides
triple-dime bet736 Duke -12.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 735 Florida St.

[Mr. IWS]

SCORE

400 SYRACUSE
300 charlotte bobcats
300 kansas state

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

5 NEW MEXICO
4 florida state
4 cincinnati

[Mr. IWS]

IC

4 Unit Play. Take Under 229 between Golden State @ Minnesota Timberwolves (Tuesday @ 8pm est).

3 Straight NBA Winners.
2-0 Yesterday (Elon & OKC/Dallas Under) (+7.6 Units in March).
3-1 in March.
Winning January and Winning February in Hoops (+87 Units for 2009).
8 of 10 Winning NBA Weeks.
6 of 8 Winning College Hoops.

We've now hit 3 straight NBA Winners in a row, won 8 of 10 weeks in the Association and come off a 2-0 sweep yesterday as the Under in OKC cash as well as Elon +14 over Davidson - and 1-0 on the week in the NBA. Let's keep it going with our 4th NBA Winner in a row with another Under and this time in Minnesota. For starters, there will be no Telfair for this game. Normally, this would not mean a whole lot for a Minny team that had depth with McHale taking over but it does have ramifications today. After all, with the injuries to Brewer and Jefferson for outstanding amount of time, Telfair was a key part of this team's staggering offense. After all, this team only has five capable scorers and they were Miller, Foye, Gomes and Love. You take out Telfair and this team will have to have Craig Smith and Rodney Carney take over. Tack on the fact, that this team has a very small bench that it relies on with the likes of Brian Cardinal and Bobby Brown - who? Bingo. In an up and down game with the Warriors and with a total that is as high as 229, you have to have efficient shooting. With this team's key guard out, the fact that it will have to rely a bit more on defense, I don't see a great out pouring of scoring. Sure, there can be over 200 points scored in this game and frankly, I expect around a total of 210 but by no means, do I think these teams will have the efficiency to put up a 229 spot here. After all, I have seen enough totals in my time to know what kind of efficient shooting needs to take place for a 229 spot and keep in mind that Minnesota is infamous for their scoring droughts of offense. Also note that GS will not have the services of Ellis or Maggette today so their "slashers" are limited and they will have to rely on more outside shooting as well. Turiaf will likely be out or limited as well for this game. In short, if these two teams were healthy, 229 would be nothing as they could drop a total of 250 without blinking together. But, given that they are banged up, I believe this total will go under the posted total by at least 15 points similar to yesterday's Under in OKC which went under by around 20 points. The Under is 5-0 for the Warriors in their last 5 road games and the Under is 7-3 for the Timberwolves following a double-digit loss at home speaking to their increased focus on defense after a big home loss.






4 Unit Play. #722. Take Iowa +1.5 over Ohio State (Tuesday @ 9pm est). Elon holds on for us as a +14 point dog at Davidson as does the Under in OKC for us to go 2-0 yesterday and start March off well as we look for our 3rd straight winning month in hoops. You might want to get a few tums out for this contest, but I like Iowa here to get it done over Ohio State. I went against the Buckeyes when they were at Purdue and the Boilermakers blew them out. There is no reason that a 74.5% free throw shooting team, at home, coming off tough road losses to Northwestern by 6 and Michigan State by 8 cannot beat a Ohio State team who they lost to by just 3 points on the road earlier this year 65-68. Bear in mind that Iowa went into that game as a 8.5 dog and nearly won Outright as they were down 28-36 at the end of the first half, but got their bearings together to put a great run outscoring Ohio State 37-32. I love Iowa as they are a team that never quits and busts their tail. I actually waited around so we can get the +1.5 line as compared to the +1 line as that 1 point could become significant today. In fact, who knows, the line could go up as much as +2 if you wait around as over 63% of the public is on Ohio State off of the television loss to Purdue. Iowa is relatively healthy again and has scoring pop through Gatens, Kelly and Bawinkell. Iowa by the way only had 7 free throw attempts in that game and was 5 for 7 (over 70%) while Ohio State got all the home court calls and went to the line 22 times and made just 15 of 22. Make no mistake, Iowa gets those calls today. You don't think Iowa can play? This team beat Michigan at home in OT, beat Northwestern at home, beat Wisconsin at home in OT, beat Kansas State on neutral footing, crushed ATS darling Citadel on the road by 22, beat Iowa State at home by double-digits, lost to Michigan State by 8 on the road, shoots 74.5% in free throws as a team which will be key, has great defense, lost to Purdue by 4 points at home and lost to Minnesota by 3 points at home. Ohio State in conference play has only defeated Indiana and Michigan and has lost all of its other road games. Iowa gets it done today at home Outright as they are 5-1 ATS when facing teams with a winning % greater than 60% meaning they show up against the better teams in the league and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games which have also been Big10 games well. Go Hawkeyes!

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.