3-8-09

[Mr. IWS]

Matthew Rivers

100,000* BIG TEN EZ MONEY LOCK Plus Bonus Lock

Your winners here are on:



1. 100,000? Indiana

2. 50,000? Duke

Matthew single-handedly lost the game for West Virginia. He is that bad. I hate seeing him on Duke because that means UNC by 30. I have had Matthew's plays for about 30 days now. He usually comes out with 2 or 3 plays every day. To let you know how bad he is, he has not swept the board more than 2 days out of 30. That is terrible. Sad really. I just wish I could run into the guy. I wouldn't think twice about punching him in the throat.

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES....10 DIMER - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES
20 DIMER - FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES


Despite splitting their last 6 games straight up, I believe this Florida State team is one dangerous outfit as they get set for the ACC tournament, and I also believe they are going to close the regular season with a resounding win at home over the Hokies.


Virginia Tech is a talented unit, but Coach Greenberg's team is just 2-6 against the spread their last 8 games, and they have dropped 5 of their last 6 straight up.

Included is a 67-65 setback at home the Sems, as State upended the Hokies as the 2 1/2-point road dog in that game.

Florida State is now 6-2 straight up the last 8 series meetings, and 5-3 against the spread in those 8.

The Seminoles have played 5 of their last 8 away from home, and they should welcome this home date with open arms.

This one goes to the Seminoles both straight up, and against the spread.



10 DIMER - MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES

Yes, Memphis was in action on Saturday night, but that fact does not concern me. I am more interested in the fact Houston has a big Monday night game at Denver on-deck, and the Rockets are coming off a tough one at home slipping by Phoenix on Friday.

This game smacks of 9-point Rockets win, NO COVER!

Memphis has actually won outright the last 2 times these teams have met, and the Grizzlies have covered the last 3, and 6 of the last 10 series meetings against the spread.

With Friday's home spread loss, the Rockets are just 15-16-1 against the spread at the Toyota Center this season.

No doubt the Rockets get the win, but the G-Man doubts they get the cover.


Take the Grizzlies plus the points.

[Mr. IWS]

charliessports sunday march 9, 2009 .

nba.knicks @ nets over 220 500*
nba. denver @ sacramento over 211' (30*)
cbb. akron+4 (20*)
cbb. duke+8' (20*)
cbb. buffalo-3 (10*)
nba. sacramento+7 (10*) free pla

[Mr. IWS]

GREG SHAKER


NCAAB: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at North Texas Mean Green Eagles - North Texas -2 -110
Game Date: 3/8/2009

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL BEST BET OF THE DAY!

Pick # 1 New York Rangers (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's #1 CBB Game of the Week (8-0 Saturday!) **EARLY**
Play on Michigan State at 12:00 ET. Good things come to those who wait. This game was originally scheduled for Saturday, but considering how badly Michigan State wants a piece of Purdue, the Spartans are more than happy to wait the extra day. Last month, MSU suffered its worst league loss in more than a year at West Lafayette as Purdue held them to a season-low 32.7% shooting in a 72-54 Boilermakers win. That win put Purdue just a game behind Michigan State in the race for the Big Ten title, but the Spartans have refused to give up first place, winning their last four contests. Consider that in the first meeting Michigan State trailed by just three at halftime despite F Morgan being sick and playing just 60% of his normal minutes. The team's top scorer last season, Morgan has scored 14 points each of the last two games. That's a good sign. What's a bad sign is that Purdue lost to Northwestern last time out. Izzo will have his team's earlier loss to the Boilermakers + a poor showing last time out vs. last place Indiana fresh on his players minds. Purdus is just 9-26 ATS as a road underdog since 1997. Over that same time, Michigan State is 21-9 ATS playing with same season revenge. Boilermakers have lost their last eight trips to East Lansing. Short number. Michigan State is our #1 CBB Game of the Week

[Mr. IWS]

Malinsky

4* #810 HOUSTON/MEMPHIS Under

As we enter the final push for playoff positioning the phrase "Manage
The Game", which we will reduce to "MTG", begins coming into play
much more often. In most of these games we are focusing more on the
Total than the Side, and the concept is exactly what the name calls
it to be - a team in position to manage affairs against a particular
opponent will use their advantages to do just that. It means that
when we see a big favorite in a setting in which they do not want to
use any more energy than is necessary we can confidently look for an
Under, as they control the pace to grind out the win. And when a team
plays defense the way that Houston does (#5 in the NBA on our best
set of ratings), the task is made that much easier.

The Rockets do not have any matchup issues against a tired Memphis
team, but that is not news - when you are laying a baker's dozen the
marketplace is fully aware. So they can establish their flow here,
and that means a methodical half-court affair in which Rick Adelman
is in no hurry whatsoever. Off of showdown games vs. Utah and
Phoenix, and with a trip to the altitude of Denver immediately on
deck, the idea is to keep the minutes of the key cogs down, and also
to make the minutes that they do play as deliberate as possible.
Adelman has already shown his cards in these settings, going 5-1 to
the Under when favored in double figures this season, with those six
games finishing a collective 107 points below the projections, an
average of 16.1 per game.

Memphis will do little to impact the flow; in going 4-2 to the Under
when taking double figures in calendar 2009 it shows how teams are
managing the pace against them at this time of the season. They may
be limited here without Rudy Gay (eye), who left early vs.
Philadelphia, taxing a team that lacks depth, and it may not be easy
generating much pace or offensive efficiency with Mike Conley off of
a career-high 44 minutes against Philadelphia last night, while O. J.
Mayor and Marc Gasol also logged high counts. They just go along for
the ride in this one.


6* #834 NORTH CAROLINA/DUKE Under

It does not get much more intense than when the two most bitter
rivals in all of college basketball go head-to-head in the final game
of the regular season with a share of the A.C.C. Championship on the
line. And that means a level of passion and intensity that makes it
much more difficult to find open looks at the basket in a game in
which the defenses ratchet up. That matters in a pointspread range in
which the oddsmakers are calling for a free-flowing track meet
throughout.

Yes, the first meeting between these two was an offensive showcase
that North Carolina won 101-87. But while that helps to set this line
in a high range, there were circumstances in play that we will not
see this time around. In that game Mike Krzyzewski took a much
different path than expected, choosing to run and press the matter
against the Tar Heels, who were down to a seven-man rotation. It was
a hot day in the area, and the lack of air conditioning at Cameron
created a sweltering environment, which he thought he could use to
his advantage. And when Duke exploded to a 52-44 halftime lead, it
appeared that his tactics were correct. It ultimately back-fired, of
course, as the Carolina starters reached back for something special,
and the only two players that contributed off the bench were on their
game, with Bobby Frasor and Ed Davis combining for 17 points on 6-8
shooting. And in a free-flowing affair the Blue Devils had no answer
for Ty Lawson, who exploded for 25 points. There was a positive,
however, in their ability to limit the touches of Tyler Hansbrough,
who had only 17 points on nine field goal attempts, and that part can
repeat here - not only has Krzyzewski coached as many floor minutes
against Hansbrough as perhaps any player through his career, but he
has likely been dreaming up schemes to stop him through those years
in the off-season anyway.

So fast forward to today and what do we have? An entirely different
flow. Away from Cameron there is no chance of Duke inviting a track
meet. And that is not just vs. Carolina, but any A.C.C. opponent -
the Blue Devils are 6-1 to the Under on conference trips this season,
with the average score in those comes coming in a full 11.0 below the
projections. And it is not all that easy for the Tar Heels to push
things with Lawson far from 100 percent - his injured toe will not
keep him out in what is almost assuredly his last home game, but
having missed practices each of the last two days, and using crutches
to limit pressure, he will not be on his game. With neither team
filled with depth (Nolan Smith was a spark plug with 11 points and
two assists in 22 minutes the first time around, but is likely to be
held out until the conference tourney), we actually have a couple of
punched-out sides at the end of the long schedule, which limits
efficiency as well. This turns into a steeple chase, instead of a
sprint.


4* #838 WAKE FOREST over CLEMSON


Dino Gaudio has one of those advantages over Oliver Purnell that
coaches love to have - his players are better. That matters when a
team that is playing its Last Home Game, and has gone 6-1 SU and 5-2
ATS at home in A.C.C. play, because it means that they are going to
play at a special level (particularly so in the case of the Deacons,
with those back-to-back league road wins building confidence), which
forces the underdog to overcome the disadvantages through hustle and
effort. And while Clemson is known for just that under Purnell, there
is a catch this time.

When these two met at Littlejohn earlier, Purnell's team won some of
the "hustle" categories by staggering amounts. They committed nine
fewer turnovers, had 10 more offensive rebounds, and three more
steals. If you do that at home, it should translate to something good
on the scoreboard unless there are serious issues in other parts of
the matchup. The scoreboard that night ended with Wake Forest on top
78-68, and that tells us what Clemson is up against here.

Wake Forest has the best perimeter on the court in Jeff Teague, who
scored 24 points and dished out five assists in the first meeting.
The Deacons have the best inside player in James Johnson, who had 19
points and eight rebounds. With a chance to likely pull into a tie
with Duke for 2nd place in the A.C.C. the energy level in this
atmosphere will be special, and when a team that shoots better than
its opponent (49.4 percent vs. 46.6), stops opposing shooters better
(allowing 39.0 vs. 42.2) is priced at no more than the home court
advantage, and perhaps not even that on a day in which the court
means more, it is easy to get in the game. This is an awfully
difficult team to chase here because they have the depth to not wear
down, and when playing from behind Clemson is up against a defense
that has held teams to a stifling 29.5 percent, and shooters that
have knocked down 70.8 at the free throw line. It is too much for the
Tigers to overcome, especially since their preferred pace plays right
into the hands of what this favorite does best.

[Mr. IWS]

Balfe

NBA- Kings +7
NCAA- Purdue +5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Spurs -5.5
3* Jazz -5
5* Celtics -3.5

NCAA:

2* Duke/UNC over 164
4* Indiana +17
5* Bowling Green -4.5
6* Alabama +13
8* Michigan State -5.5

NHL:

6* Penguins/Capitals over 6.5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#845 S. Bama +0.5
#842 N. TX -2
#839 FL Int. +9.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Pens/Caps over 6.5

Game 2 - Blackhawks/Avalanche over 5.5

Game 3 - Flames/Thrashers over 6

Game 4 - Anaheim Ducks -150
__________________

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
845 South Alabama 0.0 (-110) Bodog vs 846 Troy
Analysis: Stan is Betting S. ALABAMA today. Stan likes S. ALABAMA here as they play with Double Revenge as TROY has beat them both times this year including just a week ago. It's tough to beat the same team 3 times in one year and Stan feels S. Alabama gets their revenge today. Stan has S. Alabama winning by 5-7 Points. TAKE S. ALABAMA as STAN SHARP'S WISE GUY SEASON ENDING BIG BET and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

NSA
CBB 20* Tennessee -12.5
CBB 10* Duke +8.5
CBB 10* Vanderbilt -8
CBB 10* Clemson +5.5
NBA 10* Boston -3.5
NBA 10* Utah -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Wake Forest -5
4 Florida Int +9.5

ATS Financial Package
3 N.C. -8
3 Kent St. -4

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Stryker
3* Ohio St

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex
Super Play
Troy State
Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

TSC 20* NBA O/U FEATURED PLAY (100% 7-0 NBA RUN)
03.08 12:30 PM 20* Featured Play: San Antonio Under 219 (806)

[Mr. IWS]

CTO 11* Vandy

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo for Sunday. Went 8-7 yesterday.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #839 Florida International (+9) over Western Kentucky (2:30 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
I'm going to try to soak one last score out of Florida International. I think that they are a completely different team now that they are healthy and I think that they have the size to compete with Western Kentucky underneath. The Hilltoppers are out of control most of the time, and pounding the offensive glass is their best offensive weapon. I think FIU can limit those opportunities and can keep this one close.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #826 Toledo (-4) over Northern Illinois (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Toledo was a team I played a lot - clearly too much - early in the year. And I vowed I would be done with them. But if this team is a favorite that clearly means that something fishy is going on. They have four senior starters. And this is a team that was a great home bet in conference last year. NIU has really struggled on the road and

1.5-Unit Play. Take #846 Troy (Pk) over South Alabama (10 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
The Trojans were the better team throughout the regular season and South Alabama has not been a strong road team over the past few seasons. USA is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games and are actually just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Trojans have been a consistent squad all season and I think that they will be ready to advance in this one.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #824 Bowling Green (-4.5) over Ohio (2 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Ohio has been one of the worst road teams in the country over the past several years and still need to be a blind fade away from home. Bowling Green has an upperclassmen-laden team and they have four seniors that will be playing their last game. Ohio is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 0-6 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 4-10-1 ATS as a road underdog.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #857 Charleston (+9) over Davidson (7 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
I know you must think I'm nuts to mess with Stephon Curry today. But I really don't think that it was a fluke that Charleston beat the Wildcats in their last meeting. Charleston has covered both times that they have played Curry's crew this year and I think that they have a decent shot at an outright victory here.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #849 Old Dominion (+5) over VCU (4 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
This is a regional rivalry and ODU has been playing good basketball lately. This one is going to be a very emotional grinder, and the Monarchs have won 10 of their last 11 games outright, including a home win over VCU in the last meeting. I don't think that Eric Maynor will let his team lose. But Gerald Lee and company should make this a one-possession game in the last four minutes tonight and if that's the case we're going to be real happy about having these points.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #829 Arkansas (+8) over Vanderbilt (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Vanderbilt is playing well. No doubt about that. And Arkansas has been a mess in conference play this year. But I'm not ready to say that the 'Dores are going to go out there and lay a double-digit beating on anyone. Arkansas has some athletes, and the SEC has been just shaky enough this year where I could see an outright upset here and not be stunned.

1-Unit Play. Take #832 Buffalo (-3) over Miami, OH (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
Buffalo has pretty much falled apart, losing five of their last six games. But I think they will be up for this game with wounded Miami tonight. The Redhawks are without their starting point guard and starting forward and are simply not as strong of a team without two of their top four scorers. Buffalo has several seniors playing in their last game and this Bulls team handled Miami on the road earlier in the year. I think they get it done on their home court and muster the sweep.

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 138.5 Virginia Tech at Florida State (3 p.m., Sunday, March 8)
I'm not a bit totals guy, but I do know that Florida State has been playing great defense and that neither of these teams really want to get out and run up-and-down the court. I think this one will be played in the 60's, and a 67-61 score is more likely than a 74-68 score is. I think this is strong value for a low Unit rating.

Today's Teasers
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #862 Siena (-7) over Fairfield (7 p.m.) AND Take #855 Portland (+13) over St. Mary’s (11:30 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #849 Old Dominion (+10) over VCU (4 p.m.) AND Take #839 Florida International (+14) over Western Kentucky (2:30 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #841 Middle Tennessee State (+7) over North Texas (5 p.m.)
AND Take #860 Chattanooga (Pk) over Samford (8:30 p.m.)



That's it for today. Good luck. If you don't want to play all of these games and want a tighter card, I say play FIU, Portland, Charleston, ODU, Toledo and Bowling Green. Those are my favorite games.

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. Take Over 197.5 between Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics (Sunday @ 1pm est). Let's take the Over in the NBA today as we look for the Winning Week and our 9th winning week of the last 11. We are 3-3 on the week as I would love to go 4-3 on the week squeezing out a profit in our flat betting while going 5-2 in college hoops today with our winner there for an overall week of 9-5. There is a reason I waited as long as I could to release this play as we get a far better number than the opening price as we get this total at 197.5. What the public remembers in this game is the last contest in which Boston went on the road to defeat this team 90-80. But, there are some key differences in that contest. For starters, Boston was on the road and defense had to be their calling card if they were going to win and they had Garnett in that game. They do not have him this game. Boston without Garnett has been scoring far more points if you have noticed as well. For example, the Cleveland game showed this when the final score was 105-94. If Boston can drop 105 points on the Cavs at home, they can certainly drop that and more against the Magic. Tack on the fact that 72% are on the home favorite here in the Celtics, the Magic having revenge and likely to be an active dog as there is a reason why the line is just +3, you will likely see just that - an active dog and an Over. I actually think the Magic win this game SU but betting against Boston in beantown is suicidal so let's just take the Over and call it a day shall we? We have Orlando with revenge and consequently will look to exceed the total as an active dog, the public likely gets buried which is further indication that Orlando exceeds expectations, the Orlando vs. Chicago game total was 222 and the Bulls attempt to be a defensive team, the Celtics and Pistons even scored 200 in Beantown and there is no reason why the total cannot exceed 200, nevertheless 197.5. The over is 8-2 for the Magic after an ATS loss, the over is 4-1 for the Magic the last 5 road contests and the over is 4-0 for Boston when they play winning teams at home indicative competitive games that go over the posted total for Boston without Garnett

[Mr. IWS]

RAS



#846 S. Bama UNDER 147.5

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#862 Fairfield UNDER 140.5

[Mr. IWS]

ICEMAN
Phoenix Coyotes vs. New York Islanders (NHL) - 3:05 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: -115 Phoenix Coyotes Play Title: 4*


Handicapper: ICEMAN
Montreal Canadiens vs. Dallas Stars (NHL) - 6:05 PM EDT
Pick: Money Line: -115 Dallas Stars Play Title: 4*

[Mr. IWS]

Adam H. Meyer [Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 6:00 PM.]
Clemson (+6 Points) vs. Wake Forest
***Please note that like "Adam's Best Bets" today's "Daily Previews" are information driven therefore no analysis is necessary.
Play: Clemson (+6 Points)


[ NBA ]





Sam Cheng [Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 3:30 PM]
San Antonio Spurs (-5 Points) vs. Phoenix Suns
***Please note that like "Adam's Best Bets" today's "Daily Previews" are information driven therefore no analysis is necessary.
Play: San Antonio Spurs (-5 Points)






Adam H. Meyer [Sunday, March 8, 2009 at 5:00 PM]
Northwestern (+6 Points) vs. Ohio State
***Please note that like "Adam's Best Bets" today's "Daily Previews" are information driven therefore no analysis is necessary.
Play: Northwestern (+6 Points)

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

4 northern illinois