3-12-09

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
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All ONE UNIT plays this afternoon.
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1:00 EDT
#751 MISSISSIPPI +6.5 vs Kentucky

MISS...11-5 ATS as dog
...........11-5 ATS in conference
...........11-5 ATS in L16 games
KY.......3-8 STRAIGHT UP in L11
............6-10 ATS in conference.
............2-9 ATS in L11 games.
KY is one of a few high profile teams limping into March Madness.
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2:20 EDT
#708 VILLANOVA minus points VS Marquette

I have an UNOFFICIAL opener @ NOVA-3.
We will play NOVA @ -5 or lower......(5.5=no play)

MARQ played yesterday as NOVA rested.
MARQ lost 4 of L5 on road.
NOVA won 4 of L5 on road.

NOVA gaurds are better and are a deeper team.
We have them winning this one by 8 to 10 points.
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2:30 EDT
#716 MICHIGAN -5.5 vs Iowa

IOWA is pretty bad.
They've lost 11 straight on the road.
..........4-12 SU in L16.
(sidenote....2-11 ATS in tournament games /L3 years)

MICHIGAN coming into postseason on a little roll.
They have 19 wins and a win or two more could put them in the Big Dance.
.....7-2 ATS in L9.
2 nice recent ROAD wins @ MINN & N'WESTERN``

[Mr. IWS]

Cajun Sports
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: Los Angeles Lakers +2.5

The AT&T Center will be the site of tonight’s Western Conference battle between the host San Antonio Spurs and the visiting Los Angeles Lakers. The Lakers lost their last trip here 112 to 111 back on January 14th but they did avenge that loss by defeating the Spurs less than two weeks later at the Staples Center, winning by 14 points. In the Lakers loss here the Spurs shot better than 57 percent from the floor and we do not expect that type of shooting performance from the host tonight. The Spurs will be without Manu Ginobili in tonight’s game as he is suffering from an injured right leg and they want him to be at 100 percent for the playoffs so they are not taking any chances with his health at this point. For the Lakers Pau Gasol was awarded the Western Conference Player of the Month Award for February. A Lakers player had won the award the previous two months but that was Kobe Bryant winning those, a two pronged offensive attack from the Lakers makes defending them even more difficult as evidenced by their conference leading record. The Lakers are 21-9 ATS when installed as an underdog and a perfect 5-0 ATS as a road dog coming off a road game. The Spurs are 6-16 ATS when playing against a team with a win percentage > 70 percent the last 2 seasons. Play ON NBA teams facing a conference rival after playing at least their last two games on the road and a line range of pk-2.5 points, 24-4 ATS their last 28 qualifying games. If our Play ON team is an underdog their record is 31-13 ATS and if they have a line range of pk-2.5 points their record is 7-1 ATS this season. We will take the points here as the Lakers get the straight up win in San Antonio on Thursday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Los Angeles Lakers 108 San Antonio Spurs 101

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Trapp

NC State vs. Maryland
Play: Maryland -1.5

Maryland has created a tough spot for themselves with an unexplainable loss to end the regular season. The loss at Virginia puts them under 500 in the ACC at only 7-9. Maryland most likely needs to win a minimum of two games to feel confident about their chances come Selection Sunday. Greivis Vasquez is the key to this team when he scores over 20 points and also is getting others involved Maryland can beat anyone. But when teams take him away they can lose to anyone. NC State lost by 11 earlier this year to Maryland in a game that Maryland really dominated. NC State has 4 players in double figures and don't rely on one player to carry them. Spreading the scoring around is a good thing but unfortunately they don't really have a go to player come the end of games. NC State lost a ton of close games this year with no leader or players stepping up to take and make the big one. Motivation for this team might be a problem and if they get down early they might just quit. Betting Trends: Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Terrapins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings. NC State have not beat Maryland ATS in the last 5 meeting and Maryland is in a must win game. Spells trouble for the Wolfpack and a blowout is a high probability in this one. SCORE MAR 76 - NCST 61


USC vs. California
Play: California -1.5

The PAC 10 conference overall has had a disappointing year. Most experts had USC as a definite NCAA tourney team in the preseason but not many picked CAL as one. CAL has outplayed all expectations and Coach Montgomery has shown why so many saw him as a top Coach while he was at Stanford. Both teams could really use this win and this game will probably be a very physical match up.

Even scoring has been the key for a big improvement at CAL this year, led by guard Jerome Randle averaging over 17 points and 4 assists a game. Coach Montgomery has brought his success that he had at Stanford over to the Bears. A year ahead of time this team will make the big dance as most likely a #7 seed.

USC has played tough defense all year and most games dominate the glass also. But in almost every loss they have struggled on the offensive end. Poor and inconsistent outside shooting has really let them down in some key games this year. Most likely need 2 wins to have any chance of making the big dance.

Recent Trends:

Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

Golden Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite.

Golden Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Head to head Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Talent between these teams is pretty close and maybe USC is a little more athletic. This game is going to be won in a close one and the team that comes with better effort will win this game. Coach Montgomery has proven that his games win the game they are supposed to win so we are going to take CAL. SCORE CAL 69 - USC 62

[Mr. IWS]

Nelly

Providence + over Louisville

Providence was a little flat in the opening game yesterday but you can blame Cincinnati for that. All week Providence prepped for a critical match-up with the Bearcats that would improve its NCAA candidacy but DePaul pulled out the upset and plans changed. The Friars had less time to prepare for DePaul and also could have looked past the Blue Demons towards this game. Providence got things together in time to close out the win but it was not its best performance and certainly did not deserve the cover they nearly stole. This should be a much better effort as this is the game they wanted all along, as it offers a legitimate ticket to the Big Dance. Louisville won the Big East and earned the top spot in this tournament but few would argue the Cardinals are the best team in the conference. Louisville drew one of the easiest schedules in the behemoth league, playing Pitt and Connecticut once each at home and the late season win streak did not feature many impressive wins and the best two wins came by very slim margins. The final score says that Louisville won by 18 against Providence in the regular season but the Friars led at halftime and this will be a much less favorable venue for Louisville. Providence actually won the rebounding battle and had a lot of opportunities in that game but Louisville simply had a hot shooting game. The comfort level for Providence should be strong having played at Madison Square Garden already and playing in the early time slot yesterday while Louisville is more likely focused on the talk of earning a potential #1 seed and could easily look past a pretty solid Providence squad. Take the points and expect an underwhelming effort from the Cardinals as Providence is by far the superior offensive team.

[Mr. IWS]

Great Lakes Sports

Kent State vs Buffalo
Play: Kent State

The Kent State Golden Flashes are coming off a thrill last Tuesday beating Northern Illinois and with a game under their belt we look for the Kent State Golden Flashes to be ready. The Kent State Golden Flashes is a very respectable 35-27 ATS in the role of a favorite the last three years, and the Golden Flashes is also a very solid 31-22 ATS when playing after a conference game the last three years. The Buffalo Bulls are a terrible 5-12 ATS off of a win vs a conference rival the last three years, and the Bulls are a terrible 19-30 ATS vs conference opponents the last three years. We look for the Kent State Golden Flashes to roll over the Buffalo Bulls in the quarter finals of this year’s Mid-American Conference Tournament for the ATS Win & Cover tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Michael Cannon

Iowa +5 vs. Michigan, at Indianapolis, IN

Take the points with Iowa this afternoon in the first round of the Big Ten tournament.

The Hawkeyes are a much improved team and should be able to give the Wolverines a scare today. Iowa is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 overall, including an overtime win over Michigan at Iowa City on Feb. 22.

Iowa also plays tough defense, ranking 12th in the nation in scoring at 58.9 ppg.

Michigan relies so heavily on its perimeter game, but they are going to have a hard time finding open looks against the aggressive Iowa defense.

Jake Kelly has done a good job running the point in the absence of Jeff Peterson, who is day-to-day with a hamstring injury.

Take the points with Iowa as they stay within the number.

3? IOWA


Georgia vs. Mississippi State -9', at Tampa, FL

Take Mississippi State minus the points over Georgia in the first round of the SEC tournament.

Mississippi State has revenge motive for last year’s upset loss to the Bulldogs in the SEC tourney, and they should have an easy time winning and covering this line today.

That’s because Georgia ranked at the bottom of the conference in both scoring and field goal percentage, and they will be going against a Mississippi State team that’s allowing only 39 percent from the field on the year.

Mississippi State ended the regular season with back-to-back wins over Florida and Ole Miss and that momentum should carry over into today.

Georgia’s last seven losses have been by double-digits and I see no reason why that trend should change against the deeper, more talented Msu team.

Take Mississippi State minus the points as they grab the win and cover.

4? MISSISSIPPI STATE

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

Pistons on Monday.

Cleveland State outright on Tuesday.

Colorado right here on Wednesday!

For Thursday let's make it four in a row by taking the points with the Georgia Bulldogs against Mississippi State.

I'm not at all asking history to repeat itself because it won't but I will grab this healthy sum with Terrance Woodbury and the Dawgs,

Sure UGA is clearly the weakest team in the SEC and it cost Dennis Felton his job but after the unreal SEC tournament championship run last season why not look for a little more lightning in a bottle here, or at least a semi competitive game from a still big-time athletic program in a neutral site!?!?!?

It's not like Mississippi State has been all that this season at all. These Bulldogs lost Jamont Gordon and others from last season's team and have been fairly mediocre overall. Granted mediocre is better than Georgia, there is no denying that, but besides Jarvis Varnado swatting balls away in the middle I'm really not all that concerned with much else State has to offer. These guys come in on a two game winning streak but dropped five of six before those last two victories and were fairly awful during that recent stretch.

Georgia in the SEC is similar (but even a little better) to how DePaul was in the Big East and we all saw how the Blue Demons whacked Cincinnati. UGA downed Florida and just won at Rupp against Kentucky. Sure I'll take these points!

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball

3 units on Iowa +5.5
3 units on Maryland -1.5
3 units on Boston College -4.5
3 units on Bowling Green -2
3 units on Arizona +4

Free Pick Utah -10

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Bowling Green -2 over Ohio
Range: -.5 to -4

3* Maryland -1.5 over N. Carolina St.
Range: Pk to -3.5

3* California -1.5 over U.S.C.
Range: +.5 to -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Clemson -9.5 over Georgia Tech


2 UNIT PLAYS

Ole Miss +6.5 over Kentucky

Arizona/ Arizona State Over 131.5


1 UNIT PLAY

Miami -3 over Virginia Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

Take San Diego State, as it will go into the Thomas and Mack Center and deflate Las Vegas for the next few days, by knocking Sin City's beloved Runnin Rebels from tournament existence.

UNLV has shown signs of offensive fatigue all season, and truthfully has been the most inconsistent of the upper echelon in this conference. But it's not the Rebels' fault the Aztecs will be so motivated ... blame Cleveland State.

With the Vikings' win over Butler in the Horizon League final, it meant an at-large bid was stolen from one bubble team, and many believe that would be San Diego State.

That being said there's plenty of motivation for San Diego State to roll into Vegas and knock off Lon ******'s bunch, which has a road win at Louisville to its credit. By doing that, the Aztecs raise one eyebrow of the Selection Commmittee. And ensuing win raise the other eyebrows and just a trip to the Mountain Finals could get them back in the mix for a tournament berth.

Take the road underdog in this one, as the Aztecs knock UNLV from the tournament being held in its own house.

SAN DIEGO STATE

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Thursday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Buffalo (+1.5) over Kent State (NCAA)

Kent State is 1-9 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days
Kent State is 0-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court
Kent State is 2-10 ATS after playing two games as a favorite



100* Play San Diego State (+4) over UNLV (NCAA)

UNLV is 0-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less the last 3 seasons
UNLV is 3-9 ATS coming off an UNDER the total this season
UNLV is 0-5 ATS over the last 5 games



100* Play NC State (+2) over Maryland (NCAA)

NC State is 10-3 ATS as an underdog this season
NC State is 17-6 ATS in conference tournament games since 1997
NC State is 7-2 ATS over the last 9 games


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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays


50* Play LA Lakers (+2) over San Antonio (NBA)


30* Play Montreal (-275) over NY Islanders (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman:
4* BC

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO March Madness Basketball Package


4 Units
Arizona (+4) over Arizona State

3 Units
Utah State (-10) over Fresno State

5 Units
Providence (+10) over Louisville

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

CBB Basketball
3 Units on Kansas St +4.5
3 Units on Virginia Tech +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

charliessports thursday march 12, 2009 early card

cbb. providence vs louisville over 147 500*
cbb. minnesot-2 (30*)
cbb. ball st pk (20*)
cbb. kentucky-6' (20*)
cbb. clemson vs georgia tech over 144 (10*)
cbb. va tech +3 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO
THURSDAY'S PICK

25 DIME



VILLANOVA



This price is -2 to -2 1/2.



If you've got -2, buy down the 1/2 point to -1 1/2 so you get the win should Villanova win by two.



If you have Villanova at -2 1/2, even after shopping around, go ahead and buy down to -2 so you get the push should Villanova win by two.



At over 1700 dimes of profit over the past two years, we're using the power of money - our bulging bankroll - against the bookmaker in this case.



Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Angle Plays for Thursday

NCAA

Play Florida (-9.5) over Arkansas* (Top NCAA Play)

Arkansas has lost 14 of the last 16 conference games and they have also lost 12 of the last 15 games as an underdog. Arkansas has lost 7 of the last 9 games coming off an UNDER the total and they are allowing an average of 82 points a game on defense over the last 5 games.

Play Kansas (-9) over Baylor* (Bonus NCAA Play)

Kansas has won 14 of the last 16 games and they have also won 11 of the last 12 games vs. Baylor. Kansas has covered the spread in 13 of the last 15 games vs. conference opponents and they are averaging over 77 points a game this season.

Play Utah (-10) over TCU* (Top NCAA Play)

TCU has lost 10 of the last 11 games and they have also lost 8 of the last 10 games against the spread after scoring 60 points or less. TCU has lost 21 of the last 29 games against the spread coming off a loss by 10 points or more and they are only averaging 61 points a game on the road this season.

NBA Hoops

Play Phoenix (+3.5) over Cleveland* (NBA Top Play)

NHL
Play Boston (-250) over Ottawa* (NHL Bonus Play)

[Mr. IWS]

Balfe

NBA Basketball

Suns +4.5 over Cavs

NCAA Basketball

NC State +2 over Maryland

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy The Moose NHL 03/12/09
Game: Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs Mar 12 2009 7:30PM
Prediction: Tampa Bay Lightning
Reason: Two team's battling near the bottom of the standings meet-up in Toronto tonight. Tampa played and lost in OT last night and they'll take on a Leafs team that they's had success against recently. The Lightning have won 3 straight over Toronto and 4 of the last 5 meetings. The Maple Leafs are 4-10 in their last 14 home games. In their last 6 games vs. a team from the Southeast the Leafs are 1-5. Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning +.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers
200,000* UNREAL BARKING DOG!

Your winner here is on Georgia Tech!



Yes Clemson won and covered both meetings this season but it wasn't nearly as easy as the final score may indicate and to get Tech here plus this gaudy number at the Georgia Dome, making this thing close to a home game, is a total coup!



In the series this season Clemson won by 14 at home, covering by 1 1/2 points and then won by 8 at the Thrillerdome a few weeks ago covering by literally 1/2 point. In both games it was the Jackets who looked the better in the first halves. In that last game Tech even built a 15 point lead about 10 minutes in before flailing later on. I am telling you that this is not that far from an even game in this situation and to get around double digits is just wrong!



Paul Hewitt's team has not quit. Yes the season has been horrific as they have lost a ton of close games and I mean a ton. The last defeat in Chestnut Hill against Tyrese Rice and Boston College about summed up the season. The Jackets played tough, had the lead late and failed by a slimmer than slim (one point) margin at the very end. I am not at all saying that Georgia Tech is a good team as 2-14 in the ACC and 11-18 overall is rather poor for sure but there is a decent upside with Hewitt's crew and I just do not see them getting blasted here at all.



Clemson is a solid team that has a high ceiling for sure with talented talented players like Rivers, Oglesby, Booker and others but the Tigers are not the same team away from LittleJohn Coliseum. We have seen it over and over and over again how Oliver Purnell's team rises up at home and blows out Duke and others but just sometimes craps in its collective pants away from home. This is not considered a true road game but with the game being a mile away from the Georgia Tech campus it certainly is not a comfortable setting for Clemson.



Lawal, Clinch, Peacock, Aminu, Shumpert and the rest of this Tech team has had issues shooting free throws but it's not like this Clemson team is any good at that themselves as they are known to throw a brick or two from the charity stripe.



Clemson may win and advance but to be honest with you there is a great chance that they may not. That about sums up why I love the dog Jackets so much here!

[Mr. IWS]

Frank patron 30000 unit must win game of my career #48

frank patron



30000 unit must win game of my career #48



bowling green falcons -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Sports Experts

The VSE Thursday Hoops Power Plays are:

VSE Power Plays

10* Take UAB (-9) over Southern Mississippi (NCAA Power Play)

Southern Mississippi
• 2-9 ATS as an underdog this season
• 4-12 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
• 3-12 ATS when playing their 2nd game in a week

10* Take Phoenix (+3.5) over Cleveland (NBA Power Play)

Phoenix
• 10-2 SU vs. Cleveland at home since 1996
• 7-1 SU after having lost 5 or 6 of the last 7 games
• Averaging 110 ppg at home this season

Bonus Pays
5* Take Virginia Tech (+3) over Miami (NCAA)
5* Take NC State (+2) over Maryland (NCAA)
5* Take New Jersey (-320) over Phoenix (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

Matt F@rgo
Vanderbilt v/s Alabama 3/12/2009 7:30:00 pm

Predicted Winner: Vanderbilt

**9** SEC TOURNEY GAME OF THE YEAR **6-0** After starting the season 1-5 in the SEC, Vanderbilt rallied to finish 7-3 over its final 10 gets to get back to even in the conference and that is a big momentum builder heading into the conference tournament. The Commodores are coming off a 75-58 drubbing of Arkansas, their third straight victory that includes a win at LSU that snapped the Tigers\' 13-game conference winning streak. Other wins came against SEC East leader South Carolina, another incredibly hot team in 10-6 Auburn as well as this same Alabama team. When the offense gets going, this is a tough team to take down as the Commodores have won seven straight games when surpassing 70 points and that includes a 79-point effort in that Alabama game. The Alabama defense is not a strong one as it has allowed 70.7 ppg on the season including 77.4 ppg away from home and that could very well be the difference once again. Alabama enters this game off a win and it has won four of its last five games to turn around what looked like was going to a disaster of a season after head coach Mike Gottfried resigned. A lot of people have been impressed but I’m still not sold on the Tide despite coming in with some momentum following that buzzer-beating three-pointer at Tennessee on Sunday. Alabama has won two conference road games, snapping a two-year, 18-game SEC road losing streak. That includes Sunday’s win. While this game is not a true road game, it isn’t at home either so winning three straight outside of Tuscaloosa against conference foes is the task at hand and one that just isn’t going to happen. Vanderbilt will enter the SEC tournament on a winning streak for the first time since the 1993-94 season. This is a revenge game for Alabama but it means little for this team as it is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games away from home when revenging a loss where that opponent scored 75 or more points. Vanderbilt is known for its strong home floor edge but it is a solid 9-2 ATS in its last 11 neutral court contests. The fantasy run for the Tide ends on Thursday as the much stronger Commodores takes it going away.

9* Vanderbilt Commodores

Matt F@rgo
Kent St. v/s Buffalo 3/12/2009 2:20:00 pm

Predicted Winner: Buffalo

**7** CBB DARK HORSE DANDY ***7-1 START*** The MAC tournament is as wide open as ever this season so the low numbers in Thursday’s four games comes is no surprise. What does come as a surprise is the fact that the 6th seed is favored over the 3rd seed in this game. The Golden Flashes finished the season stronger over the second half so that is the main reason but one that should not affect the line like that. Buffalo head coach Reggie Witherspoon has stressed to his players all season that they’re only as good as their intensity. The Bulls reeled off nine straight wins before a Feb. 15 loss at Ball State launched a four-game losing streak in which their focus wavered. They vowed they’ve learned their lesson. Kent St. is coming off an unimpressive win over Northern Illinois on Tuesday to advance to this one and while it has had a day to rest and prepare, the Bulls have had four days off to get ready for this game. The win against Miami on Sunday gave the Bulls their first ever first-round bye in the MAC Tournament and a share of the league title. The Bulls have never been seeded higher than fifth in the MAC tournament since joining the conference in 1998. That speaks volumes of how good this team is and the way it won on Sunday gives Buffalo a huge boost of confidence. The Bulls came from 13 points down at the half to score the vital victory. Buffalo has won seven road games this season—its most since the 2004-05 campaign when it won eight. The seven road wins are tied with Miami for second most in the MAC this season (Akron has eight). These two teams squared off just a week ago and that game resulted in a six-point win for the Golden Flashes in overtime. That game was decided by free throw shooting as Kent St. scored 12 more points from the line. That was an aberration however as they do not get to the line much. A big edge here for the Bulls is the post play. Either the Golden Flashes control the boards or they are dominated on the boards. Buffalo pulled down 34 offensive rebounds in the two meetings between the teams during the regular season. They have gotten erratic production down low all season. During the first-round game against Northern Illinois, Kent St.\'s forwards combined for just 16 of the team\'s 64 points. That will be the difference and Buffalo moves forward.

7* Buffalo Bulls

Matt F@rgo
Cleveland v/s Phoenix 3/12/2009 10:35:00 pm

Predicted Winner: Phoenix

**8** NBA TNT STAR ATTRACTION **15-5 RUN** I have gone against Cleveland numerous times on the road lately and will do so once again. The red hot start for the Cavaliers has led to them being overvalued almost every time out, especially in road games. Cleveland started the season 10-4 on the road but since then, it has gone 12-8 which is definitely solid, but not nearly the same. It is 8-12 ATS in those games and is a proven point to the Cavaliers being overvalued in these recent road games and it is definitely overvalued tonight. Phoenix is having a tougher than normal season and it is in the midst of a season long five-game losing streak. That only adds to our value here. Four of those losses came on the road, all against playoff bound teams while the latest came on Tuesday at home against Dallas who is gaining momentum right now. This recent skid has put the Suns five and a half games out of the Western Conference top eight so a run has to start and what better time than now against one of the best teams in the league while getting a ton of home points. A solid strategy in the NBA is to back these home underdogs whose home record is at least identical or close to the road record of the favorite and that is certainly the case here. Phoenix is 19-12 at home this year so it is only a game and a half worse than the Cavaliers road record. The Suns have been home underdogs only twice this season, winning against the Lakers 11 days ago as dogs of roughly the same number. The loss also came against the Lakers but that was way back on November 20th. Phoenix has not been playing bad during this recent stretch, it has just been on the wrong side of some late game breaks. The last four losses have come by six points or fewer. The Suns defense was torched for 122 points last time out against Dallas and the defense is the liability again but a bounce back effort can be expected. Phoenix is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 games after allowing 120 points or more and Cleveland is 0-6 ATS in the second half of this season when playing against a team that is allowing 46 percent shooting or worse from the floor. There is no denying that Phoenix has struggled against the better teams this season but this number is too good to pass up. Cleveland has covered 75 percent of its games as a home favorite but just 54.2 percent of its games as a road favorite. This game also sets up as a revenge spot as Phoenix was beaten soundly in Cleveland by 17 points just a month ago. The Suns had 22 assists and an amazing 25 turnovers in that game and the main reason for that was that they were without Steve Nash in that contest. This will be a different result in the desert.

8* Phoenix Suns

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#738 Buff +1

#776 Boise +1'

#782 ID -1

#766 UTEP +1'

#793 CS Full +1

all for 1 unit.

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Canada

Game 1- Pens/Jackets over 5.5

Game 2- Sabres -130

Game 3 - Caps/Flyers over 6

Game 4 - Predators -130

Game 5 - Sharks -135

[Mr. IWS]

Yankee Capper Early Plays (2 of 5)
NCAA HOOPS GUARANTEED BLOWOUT
Thursday, March 12th * 12:00pm EST
$15 - GUARANTEED TO WIN OR YOUR MONEY BACK
Guaranteed Blowout Plays are just that, guaranteed! This is a game
in which one team is so far superior to the other that they just can't
put a high enough number on it.
LOUISVILLE -9.5

NCAA HOOPS GUARANTEED BLOWOUT
Thursday, March 12th * 12:30pm EST
$15 - GUARANTEED TO WIN OR YOUR MONEY BACK
Guaranteed Blowout Plays are just that, guaranteed! This is a game
in which one team is so far superior to the other that they just can't
put a high enough number on it.
KANSAS -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Clemson -9.5 over Georgia Tech


2 UNIT PLAYS

Ole Miss +6.5 over Kentucky

Arizona/ Arizona State Over 131.5


1 UNIT PLAY

Miami -3 over Virginia Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

FJ 20* Mia Fl

[Mr. IWS]

T. Covers has two 20*'s
Northwestern
Providence

[Mr. IWS]

Great Lakes
5* BC
4* Iowa
4* B Green
3* Ariz St
3* N Mex
4* S Ant
3* Phoenix

[Mr. IWS]

Friends of Mike Lee
5* Underr 147 Louisville
4* BC
3* W Virg
3* Nwestern
3* Penn St
3* Temple

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning
1 play so far
baylor

[Mr. IWS]

CALIFORNIA SPORTS

4* INDIANA
4* SYRACUSE
4* BOISE STATE OVER
4* CENTRAL MICHIGAN
4* SOUTHERN CAL
3* miami florida
3* rhode island

[Mr. IWS]

GAME DAY
2 virginia tech
2 kansas
2 northwestern

[Mr. IWS]

Ferrringo.

NOTE: WE ARE GOING TO HAVE A SLATE SIMILAR TO WHAT I GET GOING ON SATURDAYS, SO BE PREPARED FOR A LITTLE MORE ACTION THAN NORMAL.


1-Unit Play. Take #705 Providence (+9.5) over Louisville (Noon, Thursday, March 12)


2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #728 Xavier (-6) over St. Louis (Noon) AND Take #718 Penn State (-4) over Indiana (5 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #713 Northwestern (+7) over Minnesota (Noon) AND Take #720 Virginia Tech (+8.5) over Miami (Noon)
I like both of these underdogs to win outright, so I'm going to "package" them into a teaser. Since I think that both will win - and I truly think both games are going to be one-possession affairs in the last four minutes - I think that there is tremendous value in having all of these points. I just think that if you look at the spreads we have "created" with this play there is no doubt that if they were the original numbers for these games (like, if Northwestern had opened at +7 from the LVSC) that we would be absolutely pounding these games.

6-Unit Play. Take #708 Villanova (-2) over Marquette (2:20 p.m., Thursday, March 12)
Note: This is our Conference Tournament Game of the Year.

Villanova manhandled Marquette by 18 points in their last meeting – and that was with Dominic James in uniform for the Golden Eagles. The bottom line is that I think that this Marquette team is still rattled by the loss of James. They are still a quality opponent but they are no longer the elite team that they once were. Further, this Marquette team has some questionable losses this year and most of them came on the road, like on a neutral court against Dayton and at South Florida. Yesterday Marquette scored what might have been the most misleading 29-point victory in history. They did not look comfortable and did not play particularly well. And if St. John’s wasn’t having a historically bad first half (which, again, can only partially be attributed to the Marquette defense) then I think St. John’s would have actually been winning that game. Villanova is very comfortable in who they are as a team. They have an All-American guard to go to in Scottie Reynolds and they are a larger-than-average team, which is precisely the type of squad that Marquette is vulnerable against. The last five years in a row the Wildcats have won and covered in their opening Big East Tournament game. And dating back to March 1999 they are an incredible 9-0 SU and 9-0 ATS in their opening Big East Tournament game. Most of those wins were of the convincing (double-digit) variety. I think that they are aggressive and capable and that they will go right at Marquette today with no mercy.

3-Unit Play. Take #783 Arizona (+4.5) over Arizona State (3 p.m., Thursday, March 12)
I just don’t think that Arizona State is going to sweep the Wildcats this year. They have won four straight in this series, but every one of those games was fiercely fought and incredibly close. I hate the fact that this game is being played at noon local time. I think it zaps some of the intensity and that’s not good for the Wildcats. However, Arizona is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games and there is no doubt in my mind that this is an NCAA Tournament-caliber team. They have been playing at a high level, even if they haven’t got the road wins to show for it. The last five meetings in this rivalry have been decided by six points or less with an average difference of just 4.2 points per game. Hence the number. I think Arizona wins outright but we’ll take the points just in case.

3-Unit Play. Take #710 Pittsburgh (-4) over West Virginia (7 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #718 Penn State (-9) over Indiana (5 p.m., Thursday, March 12)
It looks like the Hoosiers will be without leading scorer Devan Dumes again today and they recently got hammered in Wisconsin without him. Indiana is already undermanned as is. They’ve been a pretty game competitor all season long. But when it comes down to it, they have the talent level of a middle-of-the-road Ohio Valley Conference team. This group of walk-ons and intramural players fights hard. But Penn State is a good team that is on the verge of locking up an NCAA Tournament bit that they have been fighting two years for. I think this one is close for a bit, but that Talor Battle and Jermelle Cornley won’t let this team lose. I’m not normally one to lay a big number but I think this situation warrants it.

2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 136.5 Georgia vs. Mississippi State (3 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #745 Texas (-2.5) over Kansas State (3 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #726 Boston College (-4.5) over Virginia (9 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #740 Bowling Green (-1) over Ohio (7 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #723 N.C. State (+1.5) over Maryland (7 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


2-Unit Play. Take #721 Georgia Tech (+9.5) over Clemson (2 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #788 Cal (Pk) over USC (9 p.m., Thursday, March 12)


Today's Teasers:
As always, these are optional bets. Not like we don't have MORE than enough selections to satisfy your needs without these, but I do think that they are moneymakers so I'm releasing them in the interest of making you some loot:

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #785 Stanford (+10) over Washington (7 p.m.) AND Take #773 Wyoming (+15) over New Mexico (11:30 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #733 Richmond (+9.5) over Dayton (9 p.m.) AND Take #779 San Jose State (+16) over Nevada (9 p.m.)


1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #769 San Diego State (+9.5) over UNLV (5:30 p.m.) AND Take #738 Buffalo (+6) over Kent State (2:30 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
6 unit bowling green
4 Dayton
4 Georgia Tech
4 Maryland
3 Okl. St

[Mr. IWS]

SMTM Sports Picks

2* Villanova -2
2* Providence +11
1* Miami Florida -2 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Lakers +3
3* Cavaliers/Suns over 218.5

NCAA:

2* Minnesota -2
4* Virginia Tech +3.5
5* San Jose St./Nevada over 135
7* Pitt -4
8* UCONN -4

NHL:

3* Penguins/Blue Jackets over 5.5
6* San Jose Sharks -135

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Runner

first play is 2* Kentucky -7

[Mr. IWS]

helmut

3/12/09 CBB The first release time will be pushed back to 9 AM pacific. Second release is still 3 PM pacific


3/12/09 CBB Rhode Island Under 156.5 -110 (732)


3/12/09 CBB Kansas Under 145 -110 (744)


3/12/09 CBB UNLV Under 124.5 -110 (770)

[Mr. IWS]

seabass

30* prov
20* marq 1st half
20* baylor
20* st louis
20* asu/az under
20* mia -fla

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
CBB Providence vs Louisville 12:00 PM EST 20* OVER 147.5
CBB Duquesne vs Rhode Island 6:30 PM EST 20* Rhode Island -2.5
CBB Marquette vs Villanova 2:20 PM EST 10* OVER 149
CBB San Diego St vs UNLV 5:30 PM EST 10* UNLV -4
CBB West Virginia vs Pittsburgh 7:00 PM EST 10* Pittsburgh -3.5
NBA Cleveland @ Phoenix 10:35 PM EST 10* Phoenix +5

[Mr. IWS]

Brian King 50 dime Pay After You win

Baylor +8

[Mr. IWS]

Robin Banks
SOUTHERN MISS (15 - 16) vs. UAB (21 - 10) @ 2:30 PM
The UAB Blazers, the 3rd seed in C-USA tourney, will take on 11th seeded Golden Eagles of Southern Miss. USM pulled the upset over UCF 77-53 to advance to today’s second round matchup.
UAB and Southern Miss will meet for a third time this year, UAB has dominated this matchup this season, winning by 30 at home (86-56). And winning by 17 on road (66-49).
Southern Miss’s first win in almost a month Yesterday does nothing to make me think they are a better team than they have displayed all year. USM is 3-15 ATS in last 18.USM is also 4-17 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog since 1997.
UAB on the other hand come in today’s game off a first round bye, going 21-10 on the season, and 11-5 in conference play. One fact that I love from a team is that as a team, the Blazers are leading Conference USA in field goal percentage, connecting on 46.1 percent of their shots from the floor, while also hitting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc this season.
I expect both teams to show there true colors today. Another UAB blowout!
UAB-9

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Indiana University Hoosiers @ Penn State Nittany Lions - Thursday March 12, 2009 5:00 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Indiana University Hoosiers +9 (-110)



Indiana has continued to play hard under 1st year coach Tom Crean. They have shown improvement throughout the season as well. The Hoosiers have the added confidence of knowing that they can play with Penn State because of a close three point loss to them just two weeks ago. In addition, that game was played at Penn State with the Nittany Lions needing a good performance to make it to the tournament. The Nittany Lions are going to be the much more nervous team in this match-up, as every national media outlet has them labeled as an obvious bubble team. Penn State also hasn’t been able to beat teams by margin this season, as they play up or down to the opponent they’re facing. Indiana’s best guard, Devan Dumes, is going to play in this game after taking a few days to rest his knee injury. He is the absolute key to Indiana’s success. Look for the Hoosiers to take this game down to the wire.

3 UNIT SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - GEORGIA TECH (2:20 PM TIP-OFF!)....20 DIMER - TEXAS...10 DIMER - SAN ANTONIO
40 DIMER - GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS - 2:20 PM TIP-OFF!!!!!



Keep in mind, this is an afternoon tip-off, so make sure to get down early on this baby!



I know Georgia Tech is just 11-18 on the season, including getting swept in the season series by the Tigers, but both games saw the Yellow Jackets come within a basket of covering.



Playing at the Georgia Dome has got to give the Techsters a bit of a boost, and I suspect they will be an outright threat for the better part of the 40 minutes Thursday afternoon in Atlanta.



Clemson doesn't exactly enter brimming with confidence, as the Tigers 3 of their last 4 straight up, and 5 of their last 9 straight up! I am sure Oliver Purnell's team will be happy with any win they can get, and I really see this one going right down to the wire.



Take the points as Georgia Tech makes it 7 straight 40 Dime College Dog Shockers for the G-Man!



20 DIMER - TEXAS LONGHORNS - 3:00 PM



While Texas didn't cover yesterday against Colorado, they were also never threatened in that game. Sure, this is a back-to-back situation, but I like the fact the Longhorns got themselves familiar with the venue, and I think that will give them a little bit of an advantage.



Kansas State is just 3-4 straight up their last 7, but it is their spread mark that has me liking the Longhorns, as the Wildcats have failed 4 straight, and are 0-5-1 against the spread their last 6 lined games.



This is a revenge spot for the 'Horns who did lose an 85-81 overtime affair at home to K-State back on January 31st.



The Longhorns have won 3 of the last 5, and 6 of the last 10 series meetings, and a straight up win today would likely cover this one, especially if Texas hits their free throws, which I think they will.



Lay it!



10 DIMER - SAN ANTONIO SPURS



Obvious bad schedule spot for the Lakers who had to tangle with the Rockets last night, and while the Lakers are 10-5 when playing with no rest, the Spurs have had an extra days rest, and they are riding a 3-game win and cover streak on this current 4-game homestand.



The home team has won both meetings this season, and the host has won 9 of the last 10 - playoffs included - dating back to 2007.



With this game priced near a pick, have to side with the rested host over the back-to-back traveling visitor, even if the visitor is Kobe and the Lakers.



Take San Antone as they complete the homestand at 4-0 both straight up, and against the spread.
Feast on it

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

300* CBB Villanova -2
50* NBA Over 218.5 Phx/Cle
50* CBB Maryland -1.5
25* CBB Miami -3
10* CBB Over 120 Northwestern/Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

purelock



florida

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Northwestern
Baylor
Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex
Super Play
New Mexico State

[Mr. IWS]

rick on boch


top play

usc

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S CBB BEST BET WINNER! (PAC 10 WINNER)

Pick # 1 Washington State /UCLA Over 121.5 -110




RON RAYMOND'S 5* NBA O/U GAME OF THE NIGHT!

Pick # 1 Cleveland Cavaliers / Phoenix Suns Over 220.5 -105




RON RAYMOND'S 5* NHL UPSET SPECIAL BEST BET PICK

Pick # 1 St Louis Blues (125)

[Mr. IWS]

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units UAB minus the points over Southern Miss
1000 Units Houston minus the points over Texas El-Paso
1000 Units - NHL - Atlanta/Edmonton OVER the total

[Mr. IWS]

RAS
#762 S. Miss UNDER 132'

#778 Fresno St. UNDER 132

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

uab under 132.5
utah st under 132

[Mr. IWS]

jefferson adds

cbb
boise st. pk

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky


4- Lakers +2.5

6 Villanova -2
4 Baylor Kansas Under 146.5
4 Marylan/NCstate Under 142
4 Bowling Green -1
4 Missouri -12
6 Washington -5.5
5 USC Pk

[Mr. IWS]

The Prezz
MAD **9** GAME OF THE MONTH
Boston College -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio A-10 Tourney Game of the Year:

#733 Richmond Spiders +4 vs. Dayton Flyers at 9:00 EST.

"....Dayton won the only regular season meeting by just six and that was on their home floor. Flyers are just 9-19 ATS off a SU conference win."

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 50 unit
Kelso 50 unit Wash St +8.5 v. UCLA

[Mr. IWS]

Dr.Cogyle has

10* on Bos/Ott over 5.5 an
8* on Fla/Buf over 5.5
8* on Min/Col UNDER 5.5.

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 2500 Dime High Roller Western Conference Game of the Year

L.A. Lakers (194') at San Antonio Spurs (-3) - 8:05 pm EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown





SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-3) 2500 Dime High Roller

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY

4 Unit Play. #717. Take Indiana +9 over Penn State (Thursday @ 5pm est). I know, hold your nose. But, we took two ugly dogs yesterday in Depaul +9.5 and Southern Methodist +11 and they both cashed for us, so let's take a dog that we are getting almost that many points in Indiana. Yes, Indiana is horrible, pathetic, blah, blah, blah. But, do you think the regular season every matters worth of diddly in this conference tournament? Heck, Depaul went 0-16 in conference tourney games - 0-16! And, yet this team defeated Georgetown and was giving all Providence can handle from start to finish. Indiana actually defeated Iowa at home and covered countless games at home. This game is played in Indianapolis for starters, Indiana lost to Penn State by just 3 points on the road and 10 points at home. Believe it or not, Indiana matches up well with Penn State even if is their scrubs and essentially non-scholarship players. If you are Penn State, how do you get your boys up for this first round game against the Hoosiers? Indiana comes into this game getting trounced by 24 to Wisconsin on the road, they face a team that they lost to at home by 10, then went on the road to just lose by 3, they are catching 9 points in a total of 123, and this is the same Penn State team that lost in double-overtime to Iowa and 6 conference games on the road. Penn State is used to playing the role of the spoiler, but now, they are favored and this is a new role for them that they will get used to. Let's take the points as Indiana should be game from start to finish and they will get some home cooking calls in our favor as well.

4 Unit Play. #723. Take NC State +1.5 over Maryland (Thursday @ 7pm est). This is a gutsy call. I can dig it. But, I like it here as the ACC Tourney is held in Atlanta and places this game on a neutral footing. I am also no fan of Maryland as I think they are over-rated frankly. I don't believe the ACC is overrated - I just think Maryland is overrated. The terps are similar to when the Cavs sit around and watch Lebron go to work at times when they sit around and Vasquez does all the work. NC State is a team that plays the great concept of "team basketball". Remember, this team beat NC State by 11 on the road earlier this year so this is a revenge game for NC State. I can easily see Maryland looking over the shoulder of NC State to their next opponent and they just might get their head caught in some headlights. Folks, I think Maryland is going to be in some serious trouble today along with Boston College for that matter. Remember 70% of the public loves Maryland here and why? This is not a home game for them. NC State has had luck on this floor defeating Georgia Tech 21, this team beat Wake at home, beat Virginia and Boston College at home as well. Heck, they even beat Miami of Florida at home as well. No, this team is not at home, but I am stating this to say, that this team has potential and when they play together, they can certainly accomplish a lot. I believe the line is revealing here and that Maryland is in for a big awakening and exit in the first round when all is said and done. The thing with Maryland is that when they stink, they stink bad such as their 41 point loss to Duke and 29 point loss to Clemson. NC State comes in with a more spirited attitude and takes the cake here today in Hotlanta.

4 Unit Play. #725. Take Virginia +4.5 over Boston College (Thursday @ 9:20pm est). Another upset in the making today. Let me ask you something - what has Boston College done on the road this year? BC lost to NC State by 5, lost to Miami of Florida by 11 and although this team is a 21 win team, they are in for trouble here today. The last time these two teams played, I don't believe Virginia was playing its best basketball when they lost to BC at home by 10. This Cavalier team remembers that loss when these two lock horns again today. Virginia shoots 74.5% from the free throw line and if they can attack the basket, they will win this game as they have some solid spot up 3-point shooters. I understand that this team was 4-12 this year in conference play - but I also understand that this team went 3-4 to close out the year, and they can certainly call on the barons of an upset here as if Virginia gets going early, BC can get rattled easily. I just don't feel BC is playing their best basketball heading into the tournament as this team barely defeated Tech at home by 1 point and I think they are going to be deer caught in headlights as well as I don't see BC getting "up" for this game as well. Don't be surprised to see both Virginia and NC State make the upset today against their respective opponents. I have a feelingg the public simply gets burned today with BC as they did with Texas A&M yesterday. The Cavaliers are 5-0-2 ATS as underdogs in their last 7 neutral site games and BC is just 1-7 ATS against teams with a SU (straight up) losing record as this team just simply does not "get-up" for weaker teams.

4 Unit Play. Take the Phoenix Suns +4.5 over the Cleveland Cavaliers (Friday @ 10:30pm est). We are 2-1 on the week as roll into Sunday. Let's cash the Thursday ticket with the Phoenix Suns at home against the Cleveland Cavaliers. The public for the most part should love the Cavs here, and we will gladly go the other way. Remember, we took the Clippers just on Tuesday against the Cavs and the fact they won that game by coming back makes me like this pick even more. After all, you never want to go against a Cavs team that comes off a loss - but it is ok to go against a Cavs team that comes off a win in which they were fortunate. This reduces the "edge" that this team has from coming off a loss. Speaking of edge, the Phoenix Suns will have some tonight against the Cavs. From the fact that this team has lost five straight, returned home from a four game road swing in which they lost all four SU, including a home loss against Dallas, this team will be more than fired up to go against Lebron and company. There are certain situations when the Phoenix Suns will make sense and there are certain situations when they step up. This is one such situation. This game is on TNT, which is renowned for Underdogs covering and the Suns will use this game as a stepping stone to attempt to make a run out West. The Suns are the same team that beat the Lakers at home with no Amare winning 118-111 and there are just times when they step up. This will be one of those games as with the likes of Nash, O'Neal, Richardson, Hill, Barnes and Barbosa, the Suns can get this done. Remember, this was the exact same line when the Suns hosted the Lakers and won Outright as a small home dog as well and they desperately need a win once again and will step up on TNT to do so as a likely Outright Winner.

[Mr. IWS]

Drew Gordon
Today's Games...

1. 200,000? Maryland
2. 50,000? California
3. 50,000? Virginia

1. Maryland- This isn't just a must-win for the Terrapins, this is a must-win for revered coach Gary Williams, who's facing an incresingly vocal chorus of critics that are calling for the long-time architect of Maryland basketball to call it a day. I don't care on what side of the fence you lie on, but fact remains, everyone from the coaching staff on down to the water boy knows Maryland MUST WIN this game.

Besdies the obvious motivational factor mentioned above, the Terps got lucky to get such a favorable match up in this contest, because truth be told, the Wolf Pack is just as road weary (if not worse), than Maryland. Both teams struggled on the road this season, but unlike NC State, who lost its only neutral court game this season to Davidson, Maryland is 2-2 in those contests this year, including a big-time upset win over Michigan State! Any 'Capper worth his salt will tell you that you have to examine road play when considering these neutral court games, and in this case, the edge goes to Maryland.

Remember guys, these two teams played just under two weeks ago, with the Terps taking it to the Wolf Pack 71-60, in Raleigh no less! In that contest, Terps star G Greivis Vasquez dominated the Wolf Pack defense, scoring 33 points, dishing out 5 assists, and committing only 1 turnover! Terrapin-backers will tell you, when Vasquez plays well, Maryland usually wins, and I see more of the same in this one! In fact, most of the Maryland backcourt played well, as Hayes chipped in 9 points and 4 assists, and Tucker 7 points! In other words, Maryland will win win the battle of the guards, while Maryland forwards Milbourne and Neal equalize the Wolf Pack's slight edge down-low.

Finally, while NC State had a solid run going in late January thru mid-February, winning against Miami-Florida and Wake Forest to name a few, this team has tailed off since then. Barely beating Virginia, losing at Wake, losing to Maryland at home, a surprise win against un-motivated Boston College team, followed by a loss at Miami... Not exactly consistent basketball, and I expect to see more of that tonight. Maryland is the better, more motivated team in this contest, and while the game will be relatively close, the Terrapins get the solid win & cover, quieting their critics for at least one more day!

Take Maryland over NC State as your top-rated play of the day.

2. California- Is Southern Cal's modest 2-game win streak supposed to make me forget about their absolutely horrendous month of February? Trojans lost 6 of 7 games last month (2-5 ATS), including some pretty questionable home losses (see Washington State), and some pretty ugly road effort (see at Stanford). So what if they beat sorry-ass Oregon and Oregon State in back-to-back home games?! You know recent play is a HUGE factor when 'capping conference tourney games, and clearly Southern Cal has NOT been playing well.

True, the Bears have lost 3 of their last 5 games, but I don't consider losses to the cream of the PAC-10 crop (UCLA and at Arizona State) too disheartening. True, their road loss at Oregon State was disappointing, but who did they beat in the very next game? That's right, Southern Cal, in their wild 81-78 home win in OT back on February 26th! Much like that game, I expect this game will be highly competitive, but Cal simply has too much firepower in the end.

Speaking of firepower, its no secret guard play is the key to tourney play, you've heard it repeated again and again in the media, and for once, they're dead-on. The backcourt duo of Randle and Christopher (29 points in last meeting) is the key to this contest, because clearly they are the better guard duo. If not for USC's Daniel Hackett getting hot in their last meeting, that game would've never been close, and I suspect the Trojans backcourt will get out-played even worse tonight.

True, the Bears have no answer for Taj Gibson, but with Robertson playing really well of late (avergaing 19 ppg L3 games), and Boykin and Wilkes anchoring the paint, Cal has more than enough frontcourt play to at least equalize USC's edge down-low. However, on the flip side, you can rest-assured the Trojans have no way of equalizing Randle and Christopher.

Finally, one strong trend has emerged over the course of the last 8 meetings between these two schools... The favorite is a solid 6-2 ATS over that span! Once again, we expect a very competitive contest here, but the edge in backcourt is the difference here, as when it comes down to it, the Bears have the playmakers necessary to win a tight contest.

Take California over Southern Cal in this college hoops match up.

3. Virginia- I don't expect many people to agree with this play, but I could care less. Sometimes when a line on a contest is THIS fishy, you have to go with your first instict, which is to avoid the incredible trap set by Vegas in this match up. But let's dig a little deeper...

So you tell me why a team that won 10 games this season, including just ONE on the road, is only a relatively slight underdog against a 21-win rock-solid Boston College team? You may not like the answer, but oddsmakers know what they're doing, and to think they are going to give us a "hand out" in this contest is totally ridiculous. With a huge majority of the betting public on the Eagles in this spot, I simly cannot allow my clients to fall prey to this trap.

So, how do the Cavaliers do it? Well, it comes down to a couple key match ups, because we know BC's Tyrese Rice and Virginia's Sylven Landesberg will play well, but after that it comes down to players like G Mamadi Diane, who's been great when given minutes. Note, he had a real breakout in his last contest versus Maryland, playing 34 minutes, scoring 23 points, and finally taking some of the heat off of Landesberg! He's a senior, and with his time running VERY short, look for Diane to relish in his extended role tonight.

Herein lies the problem for Boston College, because in their last meeting - an 80-70 Eagles road win and cover - the only player they had to worry about was Landesberg, who dropped 32 points on BC in that contest. Fuck, Diane played only 4 minutes, and the rest of Virginia's guards played awful (Jones & Baker combined to go 4 of 22 overall)! Look for a much more focused effort tonight from a Cavaliers team that's playing for all the marbles tonight.

Finally, I know full well the Cavaliers were terrible on the road this season, going 1-9 SU, BUT they were not a particularly bad bet, going 6-4 ATS away over that span! Add in the fact that Boston College's defense on the road is just as bad as the Cavaliers (both teams allow about 75 ppg away), and don't tell me the Eagles are a "lock" here, because they're not. In the end, we're making this a small play, but rest-assured, following the herd on Boston College is a mistake here, as Virginia will grab the cash tonight.

Take Virginia plus the points over Boston College in this college hoops match up

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Money Line: 118 St. Louis Blues

Ai Simulator 7* graded play on St. Louis as they host San Jose slated to start at 8:35 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 238-245 making a whopping 98.9 units since 2003. Play against any team against the money line revenging a same season loss versus opponent with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. It is very rare to find any NHL system that has made close to 100 units over 13 seasons let alone this one that has done it in just 5+ seasons. AiS shows a 90% probability that San Jose will score 2 or less goals in this game. Note that STL is a solid 22-6 making 20.7 units this season. 73-21 making 73.7 units over the past 3 seasons, and 371-78 making 330.5 units since 1996. Take St. Louis

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Runner (2-0 so far Kentucky & Marquette...)

2* Virginia +5 Personal Play

3* Ohio +1 (Conference Game of The Week)

2* Vanderbilt -3 Personal Play

3* West Virginia +4.5 BEST BET OF THE DAY!!!

2* USC -1.5 Personal Play

2* Personal TNT Over 194 San Antonio vs. LA Lakers

[Mr. IWS]

L*e K os t ros k i
8* Washington State +8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass night plays
200 wash st
100 akron and bowling green
200 lakers under

[Mr. IWS]

Thu, 03/12/09 - 7:00 PMStan Sharp | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
723 North Carolina St. 2.5 (-110) Bodog vs 724 Maryland
Analysis: Stan is Betting NC ST today. Stan loves NC ST here as the public will be in Love with Maryland who is a so called bubble team needing a win today and probably tomorrow to have any chance at an at large bid. Expect NC ST. to get revenge for a loss on March 1st at home to Maryland. Stan feels Vegas has the wrong team favored and is taking the points as NC St wins this by 5-7 points. TAKE NC ST as STAN SHARP'S WISE GUY CONF. TOURNEY BIG BET OF THE MONTH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

charliessports thursday march 12, 2009 late card

cbb. pitt vs west virginia over 136 500*
cbb. ok state vs oklahoma over 158 (30*)
cbb. memphis-22' (20*)
cbb. oklahoma-5 (20*)
cbb. bowling green-1 (10*)
cbb. uconn-5 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

AJ Apollo paid and confirmed


12:30p AJ Apollo
Baylor r743
+7.5 (-110) / 4 units 4* Baylor +7.5 vs Kansas

2:20p AJ Apollo
Marquette r707
+2.5 (-110) / 4 units 4* Marquette +2.5 vs Villanova

7:00p AJ Apollo
West Virginia r709
+4.0 (-110) / 6 units 6* West Virginia +4 vs Pittsburgh

9:20p AJ Apollo
Syracuse r711
+4.5 (-110) / 4 units 4* Syracuse +4.5 vs Connecticut

[Mr. IWS]

Helmut late release

3/12/09 CBB UCLA Over 122 -110 (790)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Akmens nhl

red wings

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june


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North Carolina St
USC