3-15-09

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS....10 DIMER - TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS
20 DIMER - PURDUE BOILERMAKERS
The Buckeyes picked the right time to start winning, but I doubt they are going to be able to handle the offensive firepower what the Boilermakers are packing.
Purdue easily dispatched Illinois on Saturday, to make it 2-for-2 both straight up, and against the spread in this tournament.
More of the same on Sunday, as Purdue rolled Ohio State but good earlier this season, 75-50 in West Lafayette.
I would say both teams are in the Big Dance, regardless of what happens in this one, and I would also say that this title means a little more to the Boilermakers who last won it when Big Dog Glen Robinson was wearing a Purdue uni.
Lay it with the Boilermakers!

10 DIMER - TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS
No doubt in my mind the Vols end of the season loss to 'Bama was a total fluke, as Tennessee once again made it look easy on Saturday, beating back Auburn.
Both teams are sitting on in the 20-plus win plateau, and I have a feeling the loser of this game may not make it into the Big Dance party. I expect Tennessee to take care of business against upstart Miss State, and cop the automatic bid that comes with the win.
The Bulldogs served notice that they will hang around until the end of this one, with their upset win over LSU yesterday, but I just can't play against the Volunteers in this one, as Tennessee has looked mighty sharp down the stretch, especially on the road.
Lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CSC NBA
UNDER 187...Portland @ Atlanta............1:05 EDT

ATL......5 of L6 opponents @ home have scored 87 or less
............all six have scored 93 or less

Game tips @ 10:00 AM Portland time

SmashYourBook

Mississippi State
Florida State
Ohio State

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

ACC TOURNAMENT
(at Atlanta)

(22) Florida State (25-8, 18-8-1 ATS) vs. (9) Duke (26-6, 15-15-1 ATS)

Florida State advanced to its first ever ACC tournament championship game by upsetting top-seeded and No. 1-ranked North Carolina 73-70 as a nine-point underdog at the Georgia Dome on Saturday. Toney Douglas had a game-high 27 points for the Seminoles, who shot 49 percent from the field and held the Tar Heels to 37.3 percent. Florida State snapped an 11-game losing skid to North Carolina and ended the Tar Heels’ two-year reign as tournament champs.

One day after barely staving off elimination with a 66-65 quarterfinals victory over Boston College as a 10-point chalk, Duke knocked out Maryland on Saturday, prevailing 67-61 but once again coming up short against the number, this time as a nine-point favorite. The Blue Devils advanced to the tourney championship game for the first time since winning the title in 2006 despite shooting just 36.4 percent overall, but they made 9 of 22 shots from the three-point arc (41 percent).

Prior to shocking North Carolina, the Seminoles eliminated Georgia Tech 64-62 in the semifinals, failing to cover as a five-point favorite. They’ve won three in a row and nine of their last 12, and they’re on a 13-5-1 ATS roll. Meanwhile, Duke has won seven of its last eight games – the only defeat coming a week ago today at North Carolina (79-71) – but it has followed up a three-game ATS winning streak by going 1-3 ATS in its last four (0-3 ATS as a favorite).

Duke swept the season series from Florida State, but the ‘Noles got the cash both times. The Blue Devils prevailed 66-58 in Tallahassee as a 9½-point favorite on Jan. 10, then barely held off the Seminoles at home two weeks ago, eking out an 84-81 win as a 12½-point chalk. Duke has won three in a row and eight of the last 10 in this rivalry, but Florida State has cashed eight times during this stretch, going 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, all from the underdog role.

The Seminoles carry a slew of positive ATS streaks into the championship game, including 22-9-2 overall, 6-1 at neutral sites, 16-5-2 in ACC action, 19-7-2 against winning teams and 15-4-1 as an underdog. Duke is on ATS slides of 10-22 at neutral venues and 1-5 the ACC tourney.

The under has been the play in 10 of the last 12 meetings in this rivalry, though the clash earlier this month at Duke went over the total. Additionally, the under for Florida State is on stretches of 6-1 overall (all in the ACC), 14-4-2 at neutral sites, 20-7-1 on Sunday and 10-2 against winning teams. Finally, Duke sports “under” streaks of 26-11 overall (5-1 last six), 17-5 in ACC play, 10-1 at neutral venues and 5-2 on Sunday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: FLORIDA STATE and UNDER


BIG TEN TOURNAMENT
(at Indianapolis)

Ohio State (22-9, 16-11 ATS) vs. (24) Purdue (23-9, 13-15 ATS)

Ohio State dominated top-seeded and seventh-ranked Michigan State in Saturday’s Big Ten tournament semifinals, rolling to an 82-70 victory as an eight-point underdog at Conseco Fieldhouse to reach the league championship game for the second time in three years. The Buckeyes shot a blistering 53.2 percent from the field, including making 9 of 16 three-point tries, and held Michigan State to 38 percent shooting (3-for-21 from long range) as they won their fourth in a row (3-1 ATS).

Purdue followed up Friday’s 79-65 rout of Penn State as an eight-point favorite with Saturday’s 66-56 win over Illinois as a 3½-point chalk. The Boilermakers, who led 37-17 at halftime, got 20 points from JaJuan Johnson and 19 from Robbie Hummel to make it to the title game for the first time in 11 years. Purdue’s two wins and covers in Indianapolis come on the heels of a 1-3 SU and 1-4 ATS slump

These teams split their season series, with the host winning each contest. The Buckeyes needed overtime for an 80-72 victory as a two-point home ‘dog, but Purdue got revenge in a big way three weeks later, rolling 75-50 as a 9½-point chalk. Ohio State is 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings and 12-4-1 ATS in the last 17 clashes, including a 63-52 rout as a 6½-point favorite in the 2007 Big Ten tournament.

Ohio State, which won the tournament championship behind then-freshman Greg Oden in 2007, is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games in this event. Also, the Buckeyes, who won last year’s NIT, have won and covered seven straight postseason games, including Friday’s 61-57 upset victory over Wisconsin as a three-point ‘dog in the quarterfinals, and they’re on additional pointspread runs of 9-4 overall (all in the Big Ten) and 5-0 at neutral sites. However, OSU has failed to cash in seven of its last eight on Sunday.

Purdue, which had advanced past the first round of the Big Ten tournament just once in seven years prior to this season, is 4-5 ATS in its last nine tourney games and 3-5 ATS in its last eight at neutral sites.

The under is on runs of 4-1 for Ohio State overall (all in the Big Ten), 16-5 for Ohio State on Sunday, 5-1 for Purdue on Sunday and 4-1 in this rivalry. However, the Boilermakers have topped the total in both of their tournament games this weekend, making the over 7-1 in their last eight on neutral courts.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO STATE and UNDER


SEC TOURNAMENT
(at Tampa, Fla.)

Mississippi State (22-12, 17-10-1 ATS) vs. Tennessee (20-11, 13-15-1 ATS)

Mississippi State knocked off SEC regular-season champion LSU 67-57 in Saturday’s tournament semifinals, prevailing as a four-point underdog to earn their first berth in the finals since 2003. The Bulldogs have won and covered five in a row and kept their postseason hopes alive despite making just 33 percent of their shots against the Tigers, including missing 13 of 16 tries from beyond the three-point line. However, Mississippi State held LSU to just 31 percent shooting and it went 24-for-35 from the foul line, while its opponent was 9-for-13 on free throws.

Tennessee routed Auburn 94-85 in Saturday’s other semifinal matchup, cashing as a 4½-point favorite just one day after pummeling Alabama 88-62 as an eight-point chalk. The Volunteers, who have reached the title game for the first time in 18 years, shot 62 percent from the field and 58 percent from beyond the arc in crushing Auburn. The Vols have won five of their last six, and they’ve followed an 0-3 ATS stretch by cashing in four of their last five.

These teams faced off on Feb. 25 in Knoxville, Tenn., and the Vols scored an 81-76 victory but failed to cover as a nine-point home favorite. Tennessee has won five in a row in this series (4-1 ATS).

Prior to this weekend, Mississippi State had been in a 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS slump in the SEC tournament since losing to Kentucky in 2003 finals. In addition to knocking off LSU yesterday, the Bulldogs beat Georgia 79-60 as a nine-point favorite Thursday and routed South Carolina 82-68 as a 2½-point pup Friday.

In addition to cashing in its last five games, Mississippi State is 5-2 ATS in its last seven at neutral sites and 4-0 ATS in its last four against winning teams. Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last five at neutral sites, but 3-6 ATS in its last nine SEC tourney tilts. Also, the Vols haven’t covered in three straight games all season.

Tennessee entered this tournament on a 12-3 “under” streak (11-3 in SEC play), but it has topped the total in its two games this weekend. Mississippi State is on “over” runs of 8-3-1 overall (all in SEC action), 5-0 on Sunday and 23-9-1 after a spread-cover. Finally, the over is 3-1 in the last four meetings between these schools.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE


NBA

Dallas (40-26, 32-34 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (52-13, 34-31 ATS)

After two days off, the Lakers will try to complete a Texas trifecta when they host the Mavericks inside the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

Los Angeles scored back-to-back wins and covers in Texas last week, winning at Houston 102-96 as a 3½-point ‘dog Wednesday and then getting a 102-95 victory in San Antonio the following night as a three-point pup. The Lakers are 29-4 at home this season, but just 16-17 ATS.

The Mavericks had their three-game winning streak snapped Friday night in Oakland when they fell to Golden State 119-110 as a 1½-point favorite. The 119 points was the most Dallas has allowed since Jan. 25 when it got smoked in Boston 124-100 as a nine-point pup.

The Lakers have dominated this rivalry lately, winning five straight (2-3 ATS), including both meetings this season. On Nov. 11, Los Angeles got a 106-99 win in Dallas as a 5½-point chalk and then scored a 114-107 home win on Nov. 28 but came up short as a 10½-point favorite. The visitor is on a 6-0-1 ATS run in this series, and the Mavs have gotten the cash in their last four visits to the Staples Center.

Dallas is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight roadies overall and 2-5 ATS in its last seven as a pup, but it is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 after a non-cover and 4-1 ATS in its last five against Pacific Division squads. The Lakers are just 1-4 ATS in their last five as a favorite, but they are on positive pointspread runs of 6-1 after getting two days off and 6-2 against Southwest Division teams.

The Mavs have topped the total in seven of 10 overall, but otherwise it’s been all “unders” for Dallas, including 7-2 on the road, 17-6 on Sundays and 7-1 as an underdog. For Los Angeles, the under is on runs of 5-2 overall, 4-1 as a favorite, 4-1-1 on Sundays and 4-0 at home against teams with losing road records. However in this rivalry, the over is 5-1 in the last six clashes overall and 6-2 in the last eight in Hollywood.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Utah (41-25, 35-31 ATS) at Orlando (48-17, 41-23-1 ATS)

The Jazz don’t have much time to recover after a triple-overtime loss in Miami Saturday, heading up the Florida coast to Amway Arena in Orlando to take on the Magic.

Utah has followed up a 12-game winning streak (9-3 ATS) with back-to-back SU and ATS setbacks, including Saturday’s heartbreaking 140-129 setback in Miami in three overtimes, failing as a two-point chalk. Including Wednesday’s 100-93 loss in Atlanta as a 1½-point underdog, the Jazz are just 13-19 SU (15-17 ATS) on the highway this season.

Orlando has won six of seven overall (5-2 ATS), most recently knocking off Washington 112-103 Friday, getting the cash as a 7½-point favorite. The Magic have been tough defensively, allowing just 92.2 points a game over the last five, and they surrender just 91.8 ppg at home this season.

The Magic are 9-1-1 ATS in this series dating back to 2004 and they scored a 103-94 victory in Utah on Dec. 13, pulling off the upset as a 7½-point underdogs However, last season in Orlando, the Jazz prevailed 113-94 as four-point underdogs. The pup has cashed in five straight meetings, with the visitor getting the money in four of those five. Finally, prior to last year, the Magic had covered four straight against Utah at Amway Arena.

Utah is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 overall and 4-2 in its last six on the road, but the Jazz are on ATS slides of 2-5 against the Southeast Division, 2-5 on the second night of a back-to-back and 2-7 on the road against teams with a winning home record. Orlando is on a plethora of ATS runs, including 35-16 overall, 20-6 against the Western Conference, 5-0 on Sundays, 6-1 after one day off and 4-1 against Northwest Division teams.

For the Jazz, the under is 6-2 in their last seven overall, 4-1 in their last five on Sunday and 4-2 in their last six against teams from the Eastern Conference, but the over has been the play in seven of their last 10 on the second day of a back-to-back. Orlando is on “under” streaks of 15-7 at home, 5-2 against Western Conference teams and 4-1 against teams with a winning record. Lastly, the under is 4-1 in the last five matchups in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#873 - NBA - 3 units on Portland +4.5
#894 - NCAA - 3 units on Duke -6
#900 - NCAA - 3 units on Stephen Austin -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner 0-3 for minus 900 stars yest.

500* NBA Over 211 LAL/Dal

100* CBB Duke -5.5

50* CBB Tennessee -5

25* CBB Ohio State +6.5

Ross Benjamin CBB Conference Tournament Game of the Year
vs. (Jan 1 12:00 AM)

Mississippi St. vs. Tennessee 1:00 PM ET
Play On: Tennessee –4.5

Any conference tournament neutral site favorite of 14.5 or less that is coming off of BB neutral site favorite ATS wins, they scored 74 points or more in their previous game, they are a #2 seed or lower, versus an opponent that is coming off of a neutral site SU underdog win, and is a #3 seed or lower is 10-0 SU&ATS since 1995. The favorite has won those 10 games by an average of 13.6 points per game.

Any conference tournament neutral site favorite that is facing an opponent playing their 4th game in 4 days, they are 3-0 SU&ATS in the previous 4 games, and they covered their previous game by 6.0 points or more is 0-11 SU&ATS since 1990. Play on Tennessee minus the points as my College Basketball Conference Tournament Game of the Year.

Johnny Guild

Sunday, March 15, 2009 1:00 PM EST.
Portland Trail Blazers (41-24) at Atlanta Hawks (38-28)
Portland Trail Blazers have won six of their last eight games and have taken 13 of the last 14 clashes against the Atlanta Hawks, including six straight in Atlanta. However, the Blazers road struggles continue. Portland has lost six of their last 7 games on the road, going 2-5 ATS and is just 13-18 away from home this season. Contrary, the Hawks have won six of its last seven games at home, going 7-0 ATS. Take the Hawks on their home court to finally win a hard fought clash against the road struggling Blazers.

Atlanta Hawks -4


Conference Tournament
Ohio St. Buckeyes +6.5

Gina

Sunday, March 15th, 2009 3:30 p.m. est.

Dallas Mavericks (40-26) at Los Angeles Lakers (52-13)
The Lakers should have no problem against the Mavericks tonight at the Staples Center. Los Angeles has won 22 their last 25 games at home versus Dallas, but they haven’t beaten them by double digits in the last ten battles. Take the points! The Mavericks have covered the spread in the last four contests versus the Lakers in Los Angeles and the road team in this series is 6-0-1 ATS.

Dallas Mavericks +9½

IC

7 Unit Play. #893. Take FSU +6 over Duke (Sunday @ 1pm est). To give you a preface, this is just my 2nd 7* Selection of my lifetime. I don't make over 5* plays very often and the first 7* Selection I made was when the 49ers defeated the Redskins in my NFL GOY by the hook -2.5. That game was a tight cover and hopefull this one will not be as tight. This is also the first selection over 5* I've made in Basketball this year overall. I like FSU a great deal today. This is not to take anything away from Coach Mike and the Blue Devils. Look, I respect anyone who works hard, has discipline and instills good values in anybody. Mike K. is one of the best ever had it and you have to admire him for that. But, that does not mean that Duke is not vulnerable and that does not mean they cover this spread, and that does not even mean they win this contest today. But, Leonard Hamilton, the head coach of FSU is a stud. His players play for him with incredible loyalty and I've watched his career over the past few years and it has only flourished. Did you know Hamilton is one of the seven all time winningest Coaches in the ACC? How about the fact he has won over 300 games since January 23rd of 2008 when he reached this milestone when his team defeated Virginia? How about the fact the Seminoles have won 19 straight games the last three years which had not been done since the 91'-93' season. Plus, this year, the Seminoles defeating Flordida has allowed FSU to defeat a ranked opponent for six straight years. Did you know whow as the ACC leader in FT percentage last year - try FSU. This year, nothing has changed. This year FSU shoots 72.5% from the charity stripe - while Duke shoots 72%. Are you surprised yet? I say all this to state that FSU being here is not a fluke. This team has every right to be here. They have earned it. We hear so much about Duke and the national media giving Coach Mike K a "b-job" in the news reel, quality coaches such as Leonard Hamilton and the work he has done goes unnoticed. But, I'm glad it gets unnoticed. This is because we get Hamilton and the Seminoles as +6 point dogs for this very reason. FSU lost to Duke earlier this year at home 58-66 - where they covered as 9.5 home dogs. Then, this team went on the road to Duke in a revenge game where they were dogged by 12.5 points and lost 81-84. Let me take you through that game - it was a game that FSU was actually leading at halftime 40-34. Despite scoring 41 points in the second half, Duke was able to score 50 due to the help of the Zebras and went to the stripe a total of 31 times to FSU's 20 times. I don't see that happening today. FSU did not shoot all that well from the charity striple from that game going 13 for 20 (65%) which is a bit uncharacteristic wihle Duke hit its usual 71% from the line at home. However, this game is different. Duke does not have the friendly confines of Cameron. This team struggled against Maryland until the 10 minute mark of the second half when they finally started to pull away. Until then, Maryland and their limited scoring were able to hang tough. Well, FSU has more than Vasquez as a scoring option as compared to Maryland. FSU has the likes of Echefu, Alabi, Toney Douglas and Derwin Kitchen. I also want to point out that I FSU is strong on the boards having out rebounded Hansborough and UNC 35-34 and FSU had outrebounded Duke in Cameron in their las meeting 39-35. This is because FSU is a bit a leaner and they have the size down low which Duke gives up a bit as they only have Singler who is of relative decent size along with Henderson. I expect Schyer to get taken off the dribble as if Jon was having trouble covering backup point guard Hayes of Maryland - he is going to have his work cutout for him against a very athletic core group of FSU point guards. FSU is well coached, they are disciplined, I expect them to drive hard and often to the hoop and get to the line consequently. I expect FSU to shoot better from the line, and to win the battle of the boards once again. I respect Duke, but Hamilton will have his boys ready to play. I will gladly take the 6 points here, but I don't believe it will be necessary. FSU covered the 9.5 at home this year, they covered the 12.5 on the road this year losing by just 3 in Cameron, and they can certainly win Outright in Hotlanta without the points - but the 6 is nice. The Seminoles are 4-0 ATS as an Underdog on neutral sites, 9-2-1 ATS as Underdogs of 0 to 6.5 points and Duke is just 3-7 ATS over their last contests. Besides, I'm an Indian Cowboy, the Seminoles will come through for me. I will be at this game - look for the brown fella' with the cowboy hat.

3 Unit Play. #897. Take Ohio State +6.5 over Purdue (Sunday @ 3:30pm est). I'm no Ohio State fan and my long-term clients no that. But, they are in a good spot today and I have to respect that. I watched the game when these two teams met the last time at Purdue and Ohio State was a debacle. They were horrible in that contest. If I can remember details about that game, you don't think these guys will? Ohio State travels well as they should have their fan base at this game and this program would love nothing more than to win the Big10 Tourney in front of their fan base in what has been a lackluster basketball year. But, Ohio State has truly earned a right of passage to this game. They have defeated a Wisconsin team that might have been playing its best basketball coming into the tourney and took care of a very good Michigan State team. Purdue did defeat a solid Penn State and man-handled an Illinois team - but don't forget, Illinois did not have Frasier in that game. I like the fact Purdue looked so dominant over Illinois - b/c that is not reality. After all, people forget, Illinois beat this Purdue team twice this year - once on the road in OT and then hammered them at home in Illinois - both games with Frasier. And, Ohio Staet lose to tihs team by 25 at in Purdue but also beat them in OT this year as well at home. The 6.5 points is nice here and there is a solid shot that Ohio State can win this game outright, I'll take the 6.5 here as Ohio State is playing decent basketball, has revenge, and in what might be a low scoring contest, the 6.5 is fine by me. Look, the Buckeyes are in the same spot as Purdue was in their last game was Illinois. They have lost to this Purdue team twice - just like Purdue had lost to Illinois twice. You don't think Ohio State is going to be fired up for this game. Look for the Buckeyes to play spirited basketball today and in the waning moments to make a run at this baby for the Outright.

Winner Line-Memphis
OTM-OVER Utah
Doug Sanders-Miami
Kevin Kennedy-New Jersey Nets

GamblersWorld
Tip of the Day - March 15, 2009

Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NBA Basketball

Game: 3:30PM Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Lakers

Prediction: Los Angeles Lakers

Current Line: -9

Over/Under: 211.5

Reason: The fans at STAPLES Center will be treated to a game between the Dallas Mavericks and the Los Angeles Lakers when they take their seats on Sunday.

Oddsmakers currently have the Lakers listed as 9-point favorites versus the Mavericks, while the game's total is sitting at 211½.

Dirk Nowitzki led the way for Dallas with 27 points and nine boards in its 119-110 loss to Golden State on Friday night.

Golden State covered as 1-point home favorites as the game played over the 223-point total posted by sportsbooks.

Pau Gasol went for 23 points and 11 rebounds to lead the Lakers over the Spurs 102-95 on Thursday night.

Los Angeles cashed as 1.5-point road underdogs as the teams played over the 196-point total listed by oddsmakers.

Mr A

Detroit Pistons -8½
Cleveland Cavaliers -10

Master Sports
4'* Duke
4* Milw
4* Wash
3* Pistons
3* Over Orlando

Burns
Duke
Milw
Under Lakers

Kelso

25 each on Purdue, Fla St and Tenn and the incumbent parlay.
Web site singing praises on yesterday tourney when in actuality he was loser on 25 unit, 1-1 on 10 units and 2-2 on 5 units or less. Guide your bets accordingly today

sports bet capping:
Duke -5.5 (5**)
Ohio st. +6.5 (4**)

The real animal

2* New Jersey Nets -2

Scott Rickenbach

4 - 0 yesterday

Top Play - 76'ers
Reg Play - MS ST, UTSA

Smart Money NBA
OVER Phoenix

Craig Davis
Sunday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- PURDUE

10 Dime ---- KINGS

PURDUE --- As many of you know who have been with me for some time, I’m a huge Ohio State fan. I was born and raised in Ohio and have followed all things Buckeye since about 1982. It’s not often I miss a selection when picking on or against this team, but I’ll admit I stubbed my toe yesterday backing the Bucks as eight-point dogs to Michigan State. OSU used 53% shooting from the field and 9-of-16 shooting from downtown to bury the Spartans in the second half, 82-70. I’ll tell you this much… if these two laced up the shoes tomorrow, Michigan State would likely win by 10 or more. The Bucks just happened to catch fire at the right time and MSU wasn’t hitting anything from beyond the arc.

Folks, I love the Buckeyes, but they just aren’t that good. They’re young and inexperienced and their best defender, David Lighty, has been out since December with a broken foot. OSU was lucky to beat Wisconsin (down 54-47 with about four minutes to go) and very fortunate to clobber Michigan State… but the luck must run out at some point and that’s going to happen today. Position for position, they just aren’t as talented as Purdue. Aside from Evan Turner, OSU just doesn’t have that “go to” player to rely on like Purdue does. If Robbie Hummel isn’t hitting, they Boilers can always rely on E’twaun Moore to pick up the slack. If he’s struggling, Keaton Grant usually steps up. You see, Purdue simply has more quality depth in their starting five and on their bench and they’ll roll the Buckeyes this afternoon in Indy.

It’s been a nice run for the Bucks… good enough to lock them in to the Big Dance, but not enough to win the Big 10 Tournament Championship. Purdue and Ohio State recently played in West Lafayette on February 28 and the Boilers could do no wrong, torching the Bucks 75-50. The other meeting between the two resulted in an overtime win for OSU in Columbus, but Purdue didn’t have Robbie Hummel available in that one. He’ll be healthy this time around and should be too much for Ohio State to handle. For what it’s worth, Ohio State just doesn’t play well on Sundays, covering just once in their last eight games played on Sunday. Purdue cuts down the nets at Conseco Fieldhouse Sunday, winning 72-61 over Ohio State.

Lance's Lock


Overall record: 751-644-28

Current streak: 2 losses

Todays play: Mississippi St. +3'

Triple Crown 4* Atlanta---- Northcoast Comm Line

Kindergarden capper

Well it's been a great NCAA run this year. I will probably not be posting for the tourney unless I run into a great deal of free time while in Vegas. Hope everyone else has enjoyed this year.

I really don't like anything so i'm going to throw what I would lean towards out there

I would lean towards both unders for the 1:00 games.
I will probably take some o/u halftime lines today

I'm not that good at spreads....so take this one with a grain of salt.

Florida St. +7
Duke has covered the -7 two times in their last 10 games.(Maryland, WF, with two pushes St. Johns..ha ha, and VT) Gerald Henderson has been a one man wrecking crew for Duke against FSU this year. I think the size will cause problems inside and FSU D and confidence will cover this. Duke has beat BC by 1 and Maryland by 6. Also, love the fact that Duke has beat them twice this year. It's hard to beat a team 3 times, let alone by 7 points.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE, no matter what side you are on.

11-2 over/unders in last 3 days

49-19 in last 68 NCAAB

124-60 Run in NCAAB

Underground Sports Connection

100* Utah Jazz

Anthony Redd

Sunday's Card
15 Dime Florida State



5 Dime Mississippi State



5 Dime Ohio State

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Flyers/Rangers over 5.5

Game 2 - Bruins/Penguins over 5.5

Game 3 - Islanders/Blackhawks over 5.5

vegas-runner | NBA Total Double-Dime Bet

874 ATL / 873 POR Under 187.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** NBA 2* PERSONAL PLAY **
Sun, 03/15/09 - 1:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
894 Duke -6.5 (-110) BetUS vs 893 Florida St.
Analysis: **** NCAABB CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP 4* GAME of the MONTH ****

I highly recommend going ahead and laying the 10cents, to take this Line down to -6...which is what I did for myself and the Fund I manage...VR



Sun, 03/15/09 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
898 Purdue -6.0 (-110) SportBet vs 897 Ohio St.
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **


Sun, 03/15/09 - 3:30 PMvegas-runner | CBB Total Double-Dime Bet
898 Purdue / 897 Ohio St. Under 125.0 Bodog
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Sunday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Florida State (+6) over Duke (NCAA)

Florida State is 7-3 ATS over the last 10 games
Florida State is 4-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog the last 3 seasons
Florida State is 5-1 ATS when revenging a loss this season



100* Play Ohio State (+6.5) over Purdue (NCAA)

Ohio State is 16-4 ATS vs. Purdue over the last 20 games
Ohio State is 18-6 ATS in all tournament games the last 3 seasons
Ohio State is 5-1 ATS revenging a loss of 20 points or more



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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays


30* Play Portland (+4) over Atlanta (NBA)


30* Play Pittsburgh (-130) over Boston (NHL)

Jake Timlin
Sunday's Action
300? Florida State Seminoles

Huge winner on the Seminoles yesterday I continue to see value with Florida State today. I mean given how good Florida State is right now and throughout the year I am a bit shocked that Duke is any sort of favorite today. You see for Florida State golden thus far in the league tournament the Seminoles have been a very solid team this year with 25 wins overall and an amazing 18-8-1 ATS mark on the season. Included the Seminoles ATS record is a pair of cover wins against Duke improving Florida State to 5-1 ATS in the last 6 series meetings. Meanwhile, you know what they say about a team beating another team three times in one season in that it is very hard to accomplish and will be here today for Duke. Flat out, given the matchup problems Florida State is going to cause for Duke today mixed in with the Seminoles ability to cover games this year I expect nothing less than a close game where FSU stays inside the number with an outright being very possible as well.

All Florida State plus the points!

Raging Bull


NBA:

Golden State Warriors -2
Miami Heat +8
Dallas Mavericks vs. LA Lakers over 211
Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptors over 212.5

NCAA:

Tennessee -5
Florida State vs. Duke over 133

Best Sports Picks

Pistons -8

OSU +6.5

Eddie Mush 274-267-4 -85.2 YTD

4* OSU +6.5
4* Knicks +10
4* Duke -6.5
6* Heat +7.5

smooth44

KNOCKOUT PUNCH OF THE DAY - DUKE -5 -120

OTHER PICKS
(NBA) 12:35PM EST
TORONTO -2

(CBB) 1:00PM EST
MISSISSIPPI STATE +5

(CBB) 1:00PM EST
TEX-SAN ANTONIO +7

(CBB) 3:30PM EST
PURDUE -6 -120

(NBA) 3:30PM EST
DALLAS +10 -120

Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Tennessee Volunteers - Sunday March 15, 2009 1:00 pm
Pick: 5 units ATS: Mississippi State Bulldogs +5 (-105)



Tennessee has more than likely secured a berth in the NCAA tournament, while Mississippi State will arguably need a win here to get an invitation. The Volunteers used a hot shooting performance to get a nine point win over Auburn yesterday. However, they allowed the Tigers to shoot 46% from the field. Mississippi State is playing like a team on a mission with two very impressive wins over LSU and South Carolina in consecutive games. The Bulldogs have the added confidence of knowing that they can play against Tennessee, as they only lost by five points to them back in late February. Mississippi State will play with more intensity in this game, which is critical because the Volunteers defense has been porous lately. I look for effort to be the difference, especially with Tennessee being this much of a favorite. Look for the Bulldogs to take this game down to the wire with a chance to win outright.

Mike Lineback

Suns/Warriors Under

JB Sports

Toronto Raptors

Bob Balfe

Atlanta Hawks

Rocketman

Memphis Grizzlies

*Opposite Action Plays

Tennessee

*Lenny Del Genio

Milwaukee Bucks

*Tony George

Florida St

Teddy june
purdue *10

Midwest Money Makers

The plays for March 15th are:

Duke of Detroit
Purdue -6.5 (6*)

St. Louis Slugger
Florida State +6.5 (4*)

Kansas City Kid
Bluejackets +105 (6*)
Blackhawks/Islanders under 5.5 (4*)

Chicago Cash Cow
St. Louis Blues -150 (4*)

Stan Sharp | NBA Sides
double-dime bet889 PHO 2.5 (-110) Bodog vs 890 GSW
Analysis: Stan is Betting PHOENIX today. Stan feels the wrong team is favored here as Vegas has over adjusted the line today because Phoenix played yesterday. That win last night snapped their losing streak and they will build momentum with another win tonight. Stan has Phoenix winning by 6-8 Points. TAKE PHOENIX as STAN SHARP'S WISE GUY BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

Sportsbetcapping:

Payne Sports: Miss St +6 7x, FSU +7 8x

hit acc goy and big 12 goy both outright last two days

Cokin

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Reg Duke
Hat Miss State
Window Stephen Austin
Guns Detroit
System Ohio State
Total Over 242 Phoenix/Golden State

iceman 5* pittsburgh

Dr Bob 3* Indiana Pacers

ASA
10-1 with
5* or better in the NBA this year.
5* Atlanta

Wunderdog

Game: Portland at Atlanta (1:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 187 -110

The Blazers are tied with the Nuggets at the top of the Northwest. This team doesn't lose at the Rose Garden but on the road they struggle. Atlanta is very similar - not so hot on the road but extremely tough at home. As we get closer to the playoffs, games like this become statement games of sorts. They often take on a playoff atmosphere and that means defense. Atlanta games have averaged just 181.6 total points in their last five. They are 18-12 UNDER at home this season and Portland has seen more UNDERs than OVERs on the road this season. The Hawks are also 16-6 UNDER in non-conference games this season. When facing a winning team, the Blazers are 65-45 UNDER the past three seasons. Over the past two seasons, Portland is 42-29 UNDER as an underdog. The last time these teams met, Portland embarrassed the Hawks, winning by double-digits. I expect a fired-up Hawks team to dictate the tone here and that will be defense. Take the UNDER.

CALIFORNIA SPORTS
4 CLEVELAND CAVS UNDER
4 DUKE
4 PURDUE OVER
3 tennessee
3 atlanta hawks

Tim Trushel

Miami Heat +7.5

Kanesline

NCAAB

CBS



Mississippi State Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers

Projected Spread: Tennessee Volunteers by 1

Projected Total:149

Projected Score:

Mississippi State Volunteers 74

Tennessee Volunteers 75

System Pick: Take Mississippi State Bulldogs +4.50

Trend to Watch:


None




ESPN

Florida State Seminoles at Duke Blue Devils

Projected Spread: EVEN

Projected Total:138

Projected Score:

Florida State Seminoles 69

Duke Blue Devils 69

System Pick: Take Florida State Seminoles +6



Trends to watch:

None




CBS

Ohio State Buckeyes at Purdue Boilermakers



Projected Spread: Purdue Boilermakers by 8

Projected Total: 128

Projected Score:

Ohio State Buckeyes 60



Purdue Boilermakers 68

System Pick: Take Purdue Boilermakers -6



Trend to Watch:

None


We like our system picks for college basketball. Please take the Miss State Bulldogs +4.50, Florida State Seminoles +6, and the Purdue Boilermakers -6. Also, we will have some bonus NBA system picks for the evenings.

kbhoops


5* Purdue -6
5* Tennessee -5.5
4* Florida State +6.5

igz1 sports

Sunday Action !!
NBA
3* Under 243.5 (-110) Phoenix vs Golden State
3* Toronto -2 (-110)

NHL
3* Boston +100

SMTM Sports Picks
3* FSU +7
2* Miss St +6
1* Heat +8

Feist
Home Chalk-Orlando Magic
Inner Circle Bailout-New Jersey Nets

Bought & Confirmed
Good Luck To All

Maddux Sports

Hockey

#9 - NHL - 3 units on Minnesota +130
#12 - NHL - 3 units on Anaheim +110

NBA Daily Premium-March 15th


Thank You for Your Purchase!

Capper: Deano

*Must figure in juice*
SESSION 42: Roller System_*New Session Bet*

**********************************
Today's Premium Pick: Jazz +6.5
Projected System Results: Magic by (2-4)
Play Strength (1-10*): 8*
Unit: 1
**********************************

Breakdown:

Congrats on another great win with the Hornets on Friday. Today we are looking to keep this streak going by taking the Jazz at 6:05 EST. Right now I'm on a 56-25 run and am making it a personal goal to get that 70% to near 80% where we've been for most of the year. It will be tough and it will be near impossible but so was going 80% for 50+ games! I like the spot the Jazz are in here posting as a high dog on the last game of their road trip. You guys know how much I love the playing the under valued road team. A win here would give them a winning road trip but they're going to have to do it against a solid Magic squad. Orlando traveled to Boston and Detroit to do a back-to-back then back at home to play Chicago, then back on the road to face Washington, then came back home today to face the Jazz. After this match up they travel to Cleveland where they start another back to back. I think the Jazz are going to be more focused here and I LOVE the number they're given as I think Utah has a good chance for the upset here. Note: Jazz are 6-2 ATS L8 after a loss by 10 or more; 7-4 off upset loss; 5-2 L7 vs. the East; and 4-1 L5 following 125+ points in their previous game. Magic are 3-7 ATS L10 as a fav. in this range; 3-9 L12 after an S.U. win. The Jazz coming out strong in the 2nd half of the season posting a 12-6 ATS record. Play the Utah Jazz today as they need this game more than you think for our 1 unit play.

System Record: 41-0
Profit: 41 Units

Stu Feiner

2500 Dime -miss State

2500 Dime - Fsu

2500 Dime - Ohio State

Dave M@linsky

5 Duke -6
4 MissSt/Tenn Under 150

4 Atlanta -4
4 Memphis 9
4 Dallas/LAL Under 211
4 Orlando -5.5

The Consensus Pick


Pick of the Day: Florida State +6.5 (-110)

Free Pick: Purdue -6 (-1100

charlie
cbb. florida st+6' (500*)
cbb.miss st vs tennessee over 149 (30*)
cbb. mississippi+5 (20*)
cbb. purdue-6 (20*)
cbb. fl state vs duke over 133' (10*)
nba. portland+4 (10*) free play

Stu's 2500 Dime ACC Championship Mismatch High Roller Winner



Florida State (+6) vs Duke at Atlanta - 1 p.m. EST


Fresh from their upset of North Carolina, the Seminoles are not done yet as they’ll take this ACC Tournament championship game down to the final possession and it won’t surprise me at all if these Noles end up cutting down the nets. This is a solid club led by stud point guard named Toney Douglas. The Atlanta native has been shining this weekend in his hometown and finished off yesterday’s performance with 27 points. He had 27 points and seven assists in Durham 12 days ago, but the refs jobbed the Noles late and Duke escaped with a three-point win. Duke is not physical enough inside to handle this FSU team and once again, the Blue Devils (12-15 ATS as a favorite this, 1-3 ATS last four overall) are being asked to cover too many points. They couldn’t do it Friday against Boston College, or Saturday against Maryland and they won’t be able to do it today. The Seminoles thrive as a dog (11-4 ATS this year) and are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in neutral court games. They’ve covered three of the last four meetings and they know they can hang with Duke. Today they get over the top and win this one outright!



FLORIDA STATE (+6) 2500 Dime High Roller

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Stu's 2500 Dime SEC CHampionship Oddsmaker Blunder High Roller Winner


Mississppi State (+5) vs Tennessee@ Tampa - 1 p.m. EST


Tennessee is playing better basketball, but no way they should be favored by this many points this afternoon in the SEC title game. Mississippi State is streaking at 5-0 SU/ATS and the Bulldogs know they’re playing for their Big Dance lives. They’ve actually won more games this year than has Tennessee (22-21) and it’s not like the Vols are playing lights out basketball of late, going 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS with bad losses to Alabama (at home), Ole Miss and Kentucky. Wayne Chism is a streaky shooter and I look for the Bulldogs to play a lot of match up zone with big Jarvis Varnado in the middle. The Dogs are quicker and faster and while UT might win the rebounding battle, look for Mississippi State to compensate with blocks and steals. UT is just 11-14 ATS versus teams with winning records while MSU went 13-6 ATS against such and has covered seven of 11 as a dog this year. They led at Tennessee by eight in the first half last month only to come undone late with some turnovers in losing by five. Mississippi State takes better care of the basketball today in staying inside this beefy price.


MISSISSIPPI STATE (+5) 2500 Dime High Roller


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Stu's 2500 Dime Big Ten Championship Game of the Year High Roller Winner


Ohio State(+6') vs Purdue @ Indianapolis - 3:30 p.m. EST



Back by 1 p.m. EST with a full breakdown


OHIO STATE (+6') 2500 Dime High Roller

All Sports Picks

Rangers -125
Ducks +120