3-22-09

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO

SUNDAY'S PICK
50 DIME



SYRACUSE

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

30 DIMER - KANSAS JAYHAWKS...
10 DIMERS - OKLAHOMA STATE, & CLEVELAND STATE





30 DIMER - KANSAS JAYHAWKS

Perfect matchup today for a BLOWOUT by the Jayhawks.
Yes, Kansas did struggle to put away North Dakota State, but the Bison were a very dangerous team. I don't feel the Flyers are nearly as dangerous, and I think this young Kansas team is gaining confidence with each passing game.
Dayton sports 7 losses this year, 6 of them coming by 8-points or more. When the Flyers lose, they tend to lose big! The Jayhawks are 7-2 their last 9 games, and 6-2-1 against the spread in those 9. Bill Self's team may not defend their title, as they lost too much to the NBA, but this Kansas team is more than capable of blowing this Dayton team out. I will lay the points in this one, as I feel this is the biggest blowout on the Sunday card!




10 DIMER - OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS


Pittsburgh was exposed a little bit against East Tennessee State, as the Panthers turned it over way too many times for the G-Man's liking in winning by just 10-points over the #16 seed.Conversely, Oklahoma State continues to grind it out, as they nipped Tennessee late on Friday to make it 9-2 straight up their last 11 games, and 10-1 against the spread in those 11 games!The 'Pokes have seen their fair share of big men playing in the Big 12 conference, so I don't think they are going to let Young, and Blair exploit them is the paint. I also don't trust Fields handling the ball for Jamie Dixon's team, he turns it over too many times for my liking.The Panthers are just 3-4 against the spread their last 7 games, ALL as the favorite, and while I expect them to get by, I don't expect them to cover this game.

Take the points.



10 DIMER - CLEVELAND STATE VIKINGS

Your "Cinderella" story of this year's Big Dance could very well be the Vikings of Cleveland State.I know Wake Forest hadn't been playing well of late, but to see Cleveland State dismantle that ACC team was something else.
The Vikes have won their last 5, and better still is the fact the Vikes have covered their last 5 in the underdog role.
Arizona did tune up Utah in the opener, but the matchups were in their favor in that one, that won't be the case today, and the fact remains the Wildcats are just 2-5 straight up their last 7 games.
Take State, as the clock has not yet come close to striking midnight for this Cinderella.

[Mr. IWS]

PROFIT ON SPORTS
Syracuse -2 over Arizona St. (NCAAB)
Marquette/Missouri (NCAAB) OVER 146.5
Arizona -2.5 over Cleveland St. (NCAAB)

[Mr. IWS]

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Xavier -3.5 over Wisconsin (NCAAB)
3* Missouri -3.5 over Marquette (NCAAB)
3* Siena +11 over Louisville (NCAAB)

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report
4* Syracuse -2 over Arizona St. (NCAAB)
Range: -.5 to -4
3* Kansas -7.5 over Dayton (NCAAB)
Range: -5.5 to -9.5
3* Marquette/Missouri (NCAAB) OVER 146.5
Range: 141.5 to 145.5

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#708 - NBA - 3 units on Toronto -4
#715 - NCAA - 3 units on Arizona State +2.5
#718 - NCAA - 3 units on Arizona -2.5
#720 - NCAA - 3 units on Pittsburgh -8
#724 - NCAA - 3 units on Kansas -7.5

[Mr. IWS]

ats tourney plays are 5-siena 4-syracuse 4 cleveland st 4 xavier

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 100 unit
Kelso

100 units Arizona -2.5

[Mr. IWS]

Charlies Sports

CBB 500* Michigan State/USC over 129 & Dayton/ Kansas over 133 (Parlay)
CBB 30* USC +4
CBB 20* Xavier -4
CBB 20* Ariz State +2
CBB 10* Clev State +3
CBB 10* Louisville -11 (free play)

[Mr. IWS]

rick on boch

top play



missouri

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Southern Cal vs Michigan State
Pick: Play On: Michigan State - 3.5
Reason: Southern Cal vs Michigan State 5:00 PM EST
Play On: Michigan State -3.5

Southern Cal is 22-12 this year while Michigan State is 27-6 on the season. Southern Cal is 4-8 SU as an underdog this year while Michigan State is 22-4 SU as a favorite. Michigan State is 8-2 ATS since 1997 as a neutral court favorite of 3 1/2 to 6 points. The difference in this game is going to be how each team plays on the road. Southern Cal is only 6-10 SU on the road this year while Michigan State is an amazing 15-3 SU on the road this season. I feel like the Michigan State defense is better than Southern Cal's as they allow only 62.9 points per game. Spartans are 14-3-1 ATS in their last 18 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite.

We'll recommend a small play on
Michigan State - 3.5

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND'S SUNDAY MAGIC MADNESS PICKS

Pick # 1 Arizona State (2.5)


Pick # 2 Pittsburgh (-8.5)



Pick # 3 Michigan State (-4.0)

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davs

25 Dime

Syracuse

[Mr. IWS]

Sean Michaels (Lang's Site)

25 Dime

Syracuse

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Pens/Flyers over 6

Game 2 - Kings/Blackhawks over 5.5

Game 3 - Avalanche/Sharks over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
CBB Arizona St vs Syracuse 12:10 PM EST 20* Syracuse -2.5
CBB Cleveland St vs Arizona 2:40 PM EST 20* Cleveland St +3
CBB Dayton vs Kansas 2:30 PM EST 20* Kansas -7.5
CBB USC vs Michigan St 4:50 PM EST 10* Michigan St -4
CBB Marquette vs Missouri 4:40 PM EST 10* Marquette +4
CBB Siena vs Louisville 5:20 PM EST 10* Louisville -11.5
NBA Golden St @ New Orleans 7:05 PM EST 10* OVER 215

[Mr. IWS]

The prezz NA
Xavier r730
-3.5 (-110) / 4 units

The Prezz NA
Oklahoma State r719
Pittsburgh r720
u150.5 (-110) / 4 units


The Prezz NA
Missouri r728
-3.5 (-110) / 5 units


The Prezz NA
Michigan State r726
-3.5 (-110) / 4 units

[Mr. IWS]

Malinsky

4* #723 DAYTON over KANSAS

In making Kansas this big of a favorite the betting markets are
paying a little too much attention to the uniforms, and it will be
apparent only a few minutes into this one ? we get a lot of points
handed to us with an underdog with more experience, and no
disadvantages in terms of size, depth or athleticism. And what will
be considered a ?shocking? upset if it occurs would be anything but
that.

Bill Self has done a good job of getting a young Jayhawk team to
develop, with two sophomores and two freshmen in the starting lineup,
but he also had some favorable circumstances. There was only one
non-conference road game against a tourney team this season, an ugly
17-point blowout at Arizona, and in the only Big 12 road games
against tourney teams they lost at Missouri, and won at Oklahoma when
Blake Griffin did not play. Down the stretch there were major
stumbles, with the final regular-season road trip an ugly 19-point
shelling at Texas Tech, and they got KO?d by Baylor in the first
round of the conference tourney. As for Friday?s win over North
Dakota State, there was little evidence that the young players were
ready for the spotlight ? Sheron Collins and Cole Aldrich combined
for 55 points, 15 rebounds and eight assists, and the supporting cast
was ordinary, at best. Now the two stars face some difficult matchups
here, and that makes this an extremely vulnerable favorite.

Instead of towering over a smaller team (six of the nine Aldrich
field goals on Friday came on dunks), Aldrich now runs into a Dayton
front-court that goes 6-10/245, 6-6/247 and 6-8/226, the latter being
Chris Wright, one of the best players in the nation that few have
heard about. Just ask Bob Huggins, after he dominated a tough West
Virginia defense for 27 point and 10 rebounds. And Collins also runs
into a difficult matchup against London Warren, who had nine assists
vs. only one turnover in that win, and has been rock solid with the
basketball all season (averaging one turnover every 11.5 floor
minutes), while also exerting outstanding pressure on defense.

A veteran Dayton team starts four upperclassman, and has been
stifling in the key areas all season, allowing 39.6 percent shooting
and winning the boards by 5.0 per game. They are in the hunt all the
way here against a much younger side that may still be a year away
from being ready for prime time.



4* #729 WISCONSIN over XAVIER

If you are going to get a margin against Bo Ryan in an NCAA
tournament game you had better bring the far superior talent or
tactics. Xavier does not have that, and we see this as a major
overlay in a game in which the favorite has some serious matchup
problems to overcome in order to merely win the game, much less get
any kind of margin.

Wisconsin may lack sex appeal, but that has also been the case in the
past, as Ryan grinds away to outright tourney wins (11-7) with a
disciplined style on both ends of the court that are difficult to
prepare for. That Badger defense was once again fundamentally
flawless in that opening win over Florida State, and it is that
veteran unit, keyed by some members with a lot of NCAA tourney games
under their belts, that keys this one. To beat Wisconsin requires a
lot of precision, because openings are few and far between. And it
requires patience, because you are not going to be able to get out
and run. And therein lies the Xavier hole.

The Musketeers are a rarity for a favorite at this stage of the
tournament ? they had an ugly ratio of 44 more turnovers than
assists, and they committed 66 more turnovers than their defense
forced. They overcame this by being tenacious on the boards and
converting at a high ratio in transition, but now the rebounding
advantage is minimal, if there is any at all (the Big 10 wars
certainly get Wisconsin prepared for this kind of battle inside), and
there is almost no transition to be found. So where does the offense
get generated? Through 33 games Sean Miller still does not have a
player with more than 91 assists, and four different Musketeers have
at least 66 turnovers. And even if they do get a lead they are
anything but a lock to extend it with 67.4 percent free throw
shooting. Wisconsin brings the precision that Xavier lacks. The
Badgers maximize their possessions by not giving the ball away (+65
in assist to turnover ratio, and 48 fewer turnovers than their
opponents), and by running their sets they force the Muskeeters to be
patient, which is not a strong suit.

Xavier was only 5-5 over the last 10 games prior to beating
out-manned Portland State on Friday night, a sign that the lack of
point guard play kept the Musketeers from developing this season.
They bring neither the momentum nor the matchup advantages to be in
this pointspread range.

[Mr. IWS]

VR

NASCAR FOOD CITY 500 for SUNDAY :

1.) CLINT BOWYER +1800 (1*)
2.) KEVIN HARVICK +1000 (1*)

Was looking at those 2, Hamlin whose great on short tracks...and Biffle who should also do well but had a boating accident L/wk and should still be sore...Not good when racing Bristol...So let's take a shot at some long prices since we' re doing so well and see if we can make a nice score...VR

Keep in mind that these Bonus Bets do not get GRADED for BetLikeAPro because I know that not everyone has access to these type of wagers...But I will continue to Pass along Nascar, Boxing, UFC, ect...right here when I make a Wager...VR





Sun, 03/22/09 - 12:10 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet
715 Ariz. St 3.0 (-110) Bodog vs 716 Syracuse
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* LATE STEAM **

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Fields

5* Arizona
4* Wisconsin
4* Pittsburgh
4* Marquette/Missouri Under

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Cavs/Nets under 190
3* 76ers/Kings over 206

NCAA:

3* Pitt -8
4* Syracuse -2.5
6* Missouri -4
8* Missouri/Marquette over 147

[Mr. IWS]

Stu Finer

Southern Cal (+4) vs Michigan State (129') @ Minnesota - 5 p.m. EST

Michigan State feasted on slowing down the plodding offenses that the Spartans faced in the Big Ten this year. That won't be the case later this afternoon at the Metrodome as MSU will have its hands full with this athletic, aggressive Southern Cal team that attacks the rim and is playing with a load of confidence of late. The Troajns have won and covered six straight, the last four over Big Dance teams after Friday's solid win over Boston College. Tom Izzo's MSU teams have traditionally played stout defense, but Tim Floyd has really stressed defense and rebounding at Southern Cal and the Trojans held 14 opponents under 60 points this year. MSU has failed to cover in two straight and this team took a hit when Raymar Morgan went down midway through the season with walking pneumonia. He's back, but clearly not himself and that's been a blow to sometimes inconsistent Spartan offense. Michigan State, 1-3 ATS slide on one or less days rest, will encounter a USC team that features five athletic starters who all stand at least 6-foot-5. They're on ATS runs of 26-12 both as a dog and playing on one or less days rest and look for Taj Simmons, Marcus Simmons, super frosh DeMar DeRozan and the rest of the streaking Trojans to stay aggressive offensively in winning this game outright.



SOUTHERN CAL (+4) 5000 Dime High Roller


Arizona State (+2') vs Syracuse (139') @ Miami - 12:10 p.m. EST


Pac-10 Player of the Year James Harden did not have a good game in his team's hard-fought win over Temple on Friday, but he'll bounce back and be special this afternoon in South Florida as the Sun Devils score this win and cover. Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim is shooting for win No. 799, but it will be Herb Sendek coaching ASU into the Sweet 16 as the Sun Devils thrive in this role as a dog (3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS this year). The Sun Devils play stingy defense and this is a Syracuse team that hasn't been consistent away from the Carrier Dome. Jonny Flyn had seven turnovers in Friday's win over Stephen F. Austin and the Orangmenare only 5-6 ATS on one or less days rest this season. ASU has won and covered four of its last five and is 12-1 SU and 6-3 ATS in non-conference games. Again, big rebound effort from Harden as ASU punced its ticket to the Sweet 16.


ARIZONA STATE (+2') 1000 Dime High Roller



Oklahoma State (+8') vs Pittsburgh (150) @ Dayton - 2:50 p.m. EST


This is just way too many points to cover for a Pittsburgh team (3-4 ATS last seven) that didn't look good in Friday's win over East Tennessee State and clearly doesn't have healthy point guard in Lavance Fields. He continues to be bothered by a sore groin and that's the key factor in this one as Fields goes, so do the Panthers (2-4 ATS slide in the Big Dance). He didn't bring the ball up the court against East Tennessee State's press Friday and finished the game with as many feild goals as turnovers (3) and missed all five of his 3-point attempts. He'll again struggle against this Travis Ford-coach Oklahoma State team that plays up-tempo, utilizes a lot of ball movement and defensive pressure and does a good job of crashing the boards. These two teams have split meetings the last two seasons, but it was Pitt scoring an 85-68 home win last year. Payback time for this Cowboy team that is on runs of 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS overall and has covered 13 of its last 20 on neutral courts. Big effort fro Marshall Moses and especially senior point guard Byron Eaton as Oklahoma State takes this one down to the final possession and covers with ease.


OKLAHOMA STATE (+8') 1000 Dime High Roller




Siena (141) vs Louisville (-11') @ Dayton - 5:20 p.m. EST


That was a nice upset win over Ohio State on Friday for the Saints, but their Big Dance run comes to a close Sunday as the top-seeded Cards blast them big time. The Saints needed double-OT to turn back the Buckeyes, but if this team has a weakness, it's depth, and this very deep and relentless Louisville team will flat out wear down Siena. The Cards are a great pressing team and rank ninth in the country in steals and fifth in blocks. Senior guard Andre McGee locks down on opposing ball-handlers and then all those long-armed teammates of his step into passing lanes and swat away shots. The've won 11 straight and have covered in eight of those victories despite just missing the ATS win in Friday's 20-point whipping of Morehead State. They've covered 10 of their last 16 versus teams with winning records, are 2-0 SU/ATS as a neutral court chalk of 9 1/2 to 12 points and they'll pull away from this tiring Siena team in the second half in winning this game by 18 to 20 points.



LOUISVILLE (-11') 1000 Dime High Roller

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

500* CBB Missouri -3.5

50* CBB Syracuse -2.5

50* CBB Xavier -4

50* CBB Arizona -3

50* CBB Over 129.5 Mich St/USC

25* NBA Over 177 Hou/SA

[Mr. IWS]

Great Lakes Sports
4* Louisville From The Northcoast Line

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Sports Club (0-4 yest)

NCAA:

MSU -4
Missouri-4
Louisville/Siena over 142
Pitt/OSU under 150.5

[Mr. IWS]

Sixth Sense
2009 NCAA Tournament Best Bets - Round 2


For Sunday:

2% ARIZONA STATE/SYRACUSE OVER 139.5
2% CLEVELAND STATE/ARIZONA UNDER 134.5
2% SIENA/LOUISVILLE UNDER 143 Must get at least 140
2% KANSAS -7.5
2% MARQUETTE/MISSOURI OVER 148 No higher than 150

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian

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5 OK Thunder (comp)
100 Pitt panthers (Vegas Steam 0-1)
20 Houston
30 LA Clippers
50 Xavier Under
100 Syracuse
100 USC
100 Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Asa 5*....

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Usc

[Mr. IWS]

Jake Timlin
Jake Timlin Sunday's Action
900? Missouri Tigers

I learned a pair of valuable things on Friday and that was Missouri is very good and Marquette is not the same team without Dominic James. You see after watching Missouri win by 19 points on Friday improving to 4-0 SU/ATS in postseason play I am shocked that the Tigers a such a little favorite today. I mean given that they have won 16 of their last 19 games while covering 14 of those games it is very clear that Missouri is one the elite teams in the nation. The same can’t be said for Marquette right now as despite their opening round win they are struggling with Dominic James out with an injury as the Golden Eagles have lost 5 of their last 7 games. Plus, given the league tournament success going 7-2 straight up after last night’s action the Big 12 is show they are a deep and good league with Missouri leading the way with their league title. So backed by the new version of 40 minutes of hell I look for the Missouri with their amazing depth to wear down Marquette as the Tiger run away late for a double digit win.

All Missouri minus the points!

100? Cleveland State Vikings

In bonus action sure Arizona is expected to win today, but I just don’t see it happening as Cleveland State keeping the glass slipper on as they advance with a win. Not when the Wildcats will have their hand full playing a senior laden Cleveland State team show just how good they are with a 15 point win against Wake Forest on Friday thanks to the style up tempo pressure style of play. Well it’s the Vikings style of play that I love today as Arizona a depth shy team that is a undisciplined at time. Plus, given that Cleveland State has wins already over Syracuse, Wake Forest and Butler on the year it’s easy to expect them to beat an Arizona team that still did not deserve a tournament bid despite their first round win. Flat out, the Vikings are the better team here today and it is going to show with a Cleveland State win.

All Cleveland State plus the points!

[Mr. IWS]

California Sports
5 Missouri
4 Louisville
4 Golden State

[Mr. IWS]

STEPHEN NOVER

USC vs. Michigan St.
Play: Under 130

I'm fortunate to have as one of my friends a professional oddsmaker who I regard as one of the top, if not the best, college totals linesmaker in the world.He makes the USC-Michigan State total 125. So there's enough value to make the 'under' a solid play.He anticipates an old fashion grind-it-out type of matchup.Certainly the trends point this way. Michigan State has gone 'under' in nine of its last 12.USC has gone below the total in 11 of its last 15 neutral site contests.Michigan State is a physical team that doesn't give up easy baskets. USC is a finesse club that is peaking with a goal of holding teams under 60 points. The Trojans are 13-0 when that happens

[Mr. IWS]

Joe Nelson

Cleveland at New Jersey
Play: New Jersey +6

We’ll continue to play against the Cavs as the value is at a peak as Cleveland has a phenomenal overall S/U and ATS record. The Cavs have won eight in a row S/U but have now lost five straight ATS. Cleveland has to go on the road after playing a tough game at home last night and New Jersey has played extremely well the past two games. Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in the past eight Sunday games as they often get shaded even further in games that are more visible and this will be a televised game on the NBA network. The Cavs are 7-18 ATS in the last 25 meetings between these teams and New Jersey, though often erratic, has the talent to rise of for a big game on a big stage while the Cavs are in a tough scheduling situation.

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Freese

Philadelphia at Sacramento
Play: Philadelphia -4.5

Philadelphia is in a 39-12 ATS Super System that says to Play On road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a road game where both teams scored 100 or more points in the second half of the season. Sacramento is 2-11 ATS as a home dog of 6 points or less this year and they are 1-8 ATS their last 9 games vs. Atlantic Division teams. The Kings are 9-20 ATS their last 29 Non-Conference games and they are 7-16 ATS at home after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. 10* PLAY ON PHILADELPHIA -

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3-Unit Play #703 Take Miami/Detroit OVER 183½


4-Unit Play Take Oklahoma City -1 Over Minnesota

Feel like we are getting a nice line here since the Thunder have been in a bit of a rut but we feel overall that the Thunder are a better team right now and that they should get the straight up win here and that should provide a cover since this line is slim. The Thunder have more quality wins on their resume lately and this team has struggled with some injuries lately and that has been part of the recent struggles getting everyone to gel again and infusing these guys back in the lineup. The T-Wolves are 1-8 ATS this season as a slim dog so and this team has no heart at the end of games, which is the complete opposite of the Thunder, who have been so great ATS because they compete until the final buzzer.


4-Unit Play Take Toronto -4½ Over LA Clippers

The Raptors aren’t playing well lately but they have had a much tougher schedule than the Clippers and they have played in a lot of much closer games as well. These are two teams that have basically given up on the season but the Clippers are a team that has thrown in the towel a long time ago. These two teams met once in December in LA and Toronto got a 20+win. Revenge isn’t even an option since that was so long ago and the Clippers have been trounced by many teams since then. The Raptors have done very well in this series the last few years, covering in six of the last eight meetings. This is the most winnable game the Raptors have had in awhile and we think they get a solid and easy win in front of the home fans tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex
Super Play
Arizona State

[Mr. IWS]

teddy june


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10* Louisville
10* Usc

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE NERI
4 PITTSBURGH
4 ARIZONA
4 LOUISVILLE
3 michigan state

[Mr. IWS]

Brian King

50 dime big dance 2nd round #1 Wisconsin +4


50 dime big dance round 2 #2 Arizona -3


30 dime NBA release Sacramento +4

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP

DOUBLE DIME


ARIZONA -2.5 (betus) OVER CLEVELAND ST @ 240est


After upsettting butler to get into the big dance and then running over wake forest stan feels the party ends for cleveland st here . Arizona is on a mission and stan says they win by 7 to 10 points . Take arizona as stan sharps wiseguy game of the week . **DOUBLE DIME **

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay 10* Houston Rockets

[Mr. IWS]

IC

under Mich State

over Okl City NBA

both 4 units

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Double-Dime Bet

729 Wisconsin 3.5 (-110) BetUS vs 730 Xavier, Ohio
Analysis: ** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

BODOG and a lot of my other Outs are using +3.5 !!

Sun, 03/22/09 - 2:40 PMvegas-runner | CBB Total Triple-Dime Bet
718 Arizona / 717 Cleveland St Under 135.0 Bodog
Analysis: *** NCAABB 2ND RD 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***

This was almost going to be the 4* GOM, until I began getting more and more support for our 4* today...which is why it's a 3* rather than a 2*...VR



Sun, 03/22/09 - 5:00 PMvegas-runner | CBB Sides Triple-Dime Bet
726 Michigan St. -4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 725 Southern California
Analysis: **** NCAA TOURNAMENT 2nd RD 4* GAME of the MONTH ****


Just way too much value here not to drop a bomb...Not only is MSU playing in Big 10 country...but due to the Blow-Out by USC in Rd 1, and their ATS streak, the oddsmakers have been forced to make this a very low number...Much lower than their Powe-Ratings and my own and other Pros, show also...VR