3-23-09

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - STANFORD CARDINAL....10 DIMER - VERMONT CATAMOUNTS
20 DIMER - STANFORD CARDINAL



Not real sure why the 17-16 Wheat Shockers are in this tournament, or why they are hosting this one, but I have no issue backing Stanford in this one tonight.



Both schools with impressive first round wins, but for my money, I will take Johnny Dawkins' tournament "know how" from his days working at Duke under Coach K.



By all accounts this was a down season for the Missouri Valley Conference, and going up against the Pac 10 Cardinal is going to be a test the Shockers will not be able to pass, even at home.



Stanford is starting to pick up their game, winning and covering in 4 of their last 6, and I like them to make it 5 of 7 with the "W" tonight.



10 DIMER - VERMONT CATAMOUNTS



Sure having to travel 'cross country could pose a problem for the Catamounts, but it is not like they are playing a team that is all that impressive in the Beavers.



There is no way a 14-17 school should be playing in any postseason tournament, and even though State dumped Houston 49-45 at home to open the CBI, I don't think they will be able to duplicate that effort tonight.



Vermont came up with a solid outright win at Wisconsin Green Bay in the first round, as they are now 24-8 for the season. The Catamounts have been off-line more often then not this year, but they are 4-1 against the spread in games that have been lined this season.



Go with Vermont to take out the under .500 Beavers.
Today's Complimentary Selection

Sunday comp play winner on Siena plus the points.



Your "marquee" matchup tonight in the NIT features Davidson heading to St. Mary's, and the G-Man will grab the points with the Wildcats.

Rare underdog role for Davidson who were able to win outright in the underdog role in round one at South Carolina. That dog win moved the Wildcats to 4-1 this season when catching points.

St. Mary's is on a role, winning 8 of their last 9 straight up, but the Gaels are just 3-4 in that span when laying points.

I am looking forward to watching Stephen Curry, and Patty Mills have at it, as with Curry and Mills you have two of the better guards in all of the nation on the hardwood. The G-Man gives the slight edge to Curry and his 'Cats.


3? DAVIDSON
(on a 1? to 5? basis)

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Trapp

How bad does Kentucky have to be that they are traveling to Creighton in the NIT and are the underdog at -2. Hard to imagine at the beginning of this season that anyone would have imagined this scenario but never the less it has occurred. The Wildcats started there NIT off with a bang playing at home and winning by 10 points and looking very impressive. Creighton on the other hand did win but had to hold on late barely beating Bowling Green by 2 points. Lets look at records and trend for this match up:


Records:


Creighton 27-7 overall 16-13 ATS


Kentucky 21-13 overall 14-14 ATS


Trends:


Kentucky is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games


Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road


Creighton is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


Creighton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home


Neither one of these teams have been playing well ATS but you have to think the toughness of the schedule for UK will help them in this match up. Creighton has not faced any player as good as Patrick Paterson and Jody Meeks. UK getting 2 points on the road isn't a lock but definitely think Meeks and Patterson can carry this Wildcat team all the way to Madison Square Gardens. Both of these players are most likely auditioning for the NBA draft as both most likely will leaver early. Creighton will keep it close early but UK is too athletic and the stars will prevail. SCORE UK 73 - CREI 70

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach’s




College Basketball Picks
3/23/2009
7:00:00 PM CREIGHTON BLUEJAYS(-2)
over Kentucky Wildcats
Scott Rickenbach’s March Madness 2* (Top Play) Creighton Blue Jays (-) vs Kentucky @ 7 PM ET – When Creighton squeaked by Bowling Green Wednesday there were a couple of key factors. One was that the Blue Jays were still trying to get over the disappointment of not making the Big Dance. The other was that the Falcons had an 11-4 run going as they headed into Creighton for an NIT Opener that Bowling Green was much more excited about than the Blue Jays were. This all showed up in the way the Blue Jays played that game as they trailed by as many as 14 points in the first half and still trailed by 8 points with under 9 minutes to play in the game! Creighton simply was disappointed by not making the Big Dance and they were also guilty of overlooking Bowling Green. That all changes now for the Blue Jays as, after surviving the expected “let-down game”, it’s a unique opportunity that now sits in front of Creighton! The Blue Jays are fired up about the opportunity of hosting Kentucky in a game that will be televised on ESPN. This is a rare chance for Creighton to secure a high-profile victory over a big-school foe! Additionally, even though they certainly won’t overlook the Wildcats, the Blue Jays know that defeating Kentucky will set up a home date with Notre Dame. This would be huge for Creighton, a Catholic school, as they would then get a showdown with one of the most high-profile programs in the country. As you can see, and the players don’t need reminded of this but Coach Dana Altman will do just that, not making the NCAA Tournament is not the total disaster it originally appeared to be. After surviving the first round scare, the Blue Jays now see this as an opportunity to take down some big-name schools and make a run at winning the NIT! The Blue Jays have the horses to do just that. Kentucky, though they did manage to beat UNLV in the first round, is still upset about missing out on the Big Dance. That’s because it was the first time the Wildcats had missed the NCAA Tourney in 18 years! That’s not very easy to overcome and coach Billy Gillispie continues to be on the hot seat. Unlike a Creighton team that was red-hot at the end of the season, the Wildcats had lost 9 of their last 13 games before coming up with the win over UNLV. The trouble here is that Creighton has enough size inside to slow down big man Patrick Patterson of Kentucky. Also, the Wildcats have seen star Jodie Meeks continue to struggle with his shooting touch. Kentucky also has had a big problem with turnovers this season and we feel certain that Creighton’s pressure defense is absolutely going to disrupt the Wildcats offense throughout this game. Kentucky shot 50% from the floor against UNLV even though three starters – Meeks, Michael Porter, Perry Stevenson – combined to make just 9 of their 25 shots. The rest of the team made 17 of 27 shots from the floor and that’s unlikely to be repeated against the pressure defense that the Blue Jays employ. Yes, Creighton’s defense did not look good against Bowling Green but so much of that had to do with missing out on the Big Dance. The situation is an entirely different one now. The Blue Jays are hosting the Wildcats of Kentucky and that means they bring their “A game” tonight and score a big win for the mid-majors in this one! Play Creighton minus the points as a Top Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

The King Maker | CBB Total
double-dime bet616 Creighton / 615 Kentucky Over 139.0 BetUS
Analysis:
Kentucky/Creighton OVER 139 (-120) BetUS

2-Units



Mississippi 85

Kentucky 80



Georgia 90

Kentucky 85

(KM TOTAL Cashed with 10 min remaining)



Both of the teams mentioned above possess 4 GUARDS in their top 5 in terms of production.



Kentucky has 1 Guard in their top 5.





HMMMMMMM?



5 of the top 6 points producers for Creighton are GUARDS.





Does something start to resonate with you?



A HOME perimeter team against this lumbering Kentucky perimeter defense will have plenty of open looks. And Kentucky is a team that depends on 4 Forwards to pull most of the weight on defense.



Creighton is designed to take advantage of this sort of allignment mismatch.



If they hit the THREE, then this game cashes early.

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* NHL MONEYMAKER BEST BET

Pick # 1 New Jersey Devils (-115)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave M
4* #602 ATLANTA/MINESOTA Under

Full season numbers are lagging way behind where these two are
performing in this category right now, and with Mike Woodson in a
classic MTG setting (?Manage The Game?), off of Cleveland, and with
San Antonio, Boston and the Lakers immediately on deck, this pace is
not going anywhere.

Before that Saturday road loss against the Cavaliers the Hawks had
made news on a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS home stand, with Maurice
Williams assimilating well into the starting lineup. What went
unnoticed, based on tonight?s high Total, was that there was another
pattern in play beyond the Hawks just winning ? the pace was slowing,
and the defense was gearing up. Those seven games played Under at a
6-1 clip, falling a collective 69 points below the projections, or
nearly 10 full points per game. And the only Over came in a setting
in which the Hawks could not help but scored in a 119-97 blowout of
Sacramento. And since the All Star break it has been an 8-1 tally to
the Under on this court, falling a collective 105 points below the
projections. There is no reason for that to change here in a game
that the Hawks should be able to command the pace throughout.

Minnesota provides one of those sleeper counter-sides to MTG
settings. When the Timberwolves come to town it is a chance for the
home team to get a win without overly taxing themselves, and we can
see the patter this way ? in five settings as a road underdog in
March it has been a 4-1 Under count, with those games falling 40
points below the projections. At the back end of a cycle that makes
this the fifth game in seven days, with a court change every time,
Kevin McHale knows that his best chance to compete is to make this as
slow of a flow as possible, which further plays to our purposes.



4* #616 CREIGHTON over KENTUCKY

It might not be a stretch to call for this to be one of the most
intense crowds we will ever see for an NIT game, with standing room
only seats now being sold at the Qwest Center, where they may top out
at over 18,00 spectators tonight (Creighton reached 17,954 vs.
Wichita State earlier). And that provides exactly the kind of passion
and intensity that can drive a key matchup advantage into an easy win
for the home team.

Creighton came out flat in the NIT opener vs. Bowling Green, which is
what happens to a lot of teams that felt that they were snubbed by
the Big Dance (no team had ever had 26 wins, and finished in the RPI
top 40, without getting in). But whereas the markets often view such
a performance as a team being disinterested, it is in game #2 when
the intensity and focus returns, particularly when a name program is
coming to town. And Dana Altman?s squad has the ideal tactics to make
this one work.

Altman has one of the deepest rotations in the nation, with 10
different players averaging at least 14 minutes per game, and they
will press the length of the court for the full 40minutes. Nine of
those 10 players have at least a dozen steals, and it helped them to
finish #12 in the nation in turnover margin. And in terms of floor
play the overall execution brings a lot of extra scoring
opportunities to the table ? the finished +63 in assist to turnover
ratio, while holding their opponents to -133 in that same category.

Enter Kentucky. While Jodie Meeks is special on the perimeter and
Patrick Patterson is a load down low, the Wildcats are just abysmal
at handling the rock. And we mean abysmal. They finished #322 in the
nation in turnovers (correct, #322), and #296 in turnover margin.
They gave the ball up 586 times this season, with seven different
players turning the ball over at least 53 times. Those just happen to
be the only seven players that average double-figure minutes, which
also makes this an uphill battle as the Blue Jays throw fresher
players at them all evening, with the crowd only making matters more
difficult for the Wildcat ball-handlers.

The S.E.C. was nothing special at all this season, and yet Kentucky
is being priced as being the significantly better team here, based on
what we think the home court is worth. We will back a hungry
Creighton team to create easy points off of Wildcat turnovers to
build a lead in this one, and the Blue Jays can use their 75.3
percent free throw accuracy to close it out late.

[Mr. IWS]

Docs sports

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st. Mary's 4 (4U)
north eastern- 7.5 (3U)
bradley -3 (3U)

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman Sports NCAA 03/23/09
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Oakland vs. Bradley (NCAAB) - Mar 23, 2009 9:00 PM EDTPlay: Point Spread: 3/-104 Oakland Pick Title: Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play MondayOakland @ Bradley 8:00 PM EST Play On: Oakland +3 1/2 Oakland comes in with a 23-12 record this year while Bradley is 19-14 on the season. Oakland is 5-1 ATS since 1997 and 4-0 ATS last 3 years when playing in March. Seems they step it up a notch at the end of the season. Oakland is 5-1 ATS since 1997 when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games. Golden Grizzlies are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Golden Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Golden Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Golden Grizzlies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Golden Grizzlies are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Golden Grizzlies are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. Golden Grizzlies are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Braves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Braves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. We'll recommend a small play on Oakland tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | NBA Sides
free pick613 PHI 8.0 (-110) vs 614 POR
Analysis: The Sixers can still salvage a winning record on the five-game West Coast swing with a victory Monday night. They'll go 3-2 if they can beat the Trail Blazers. The Sixers handled Portland 100-79 in the teams' first meeting on Jan. 14. They had 11 three-pointers in the game, held a 16-2 edge in fast-break points and the bench's plus-minus total was plus-69; I expect another similar performance. Portland is a horrible 4-5 ATS against Atlantic division opponents; play on the 76'ers

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Florida Panthers -110

[Mr. IWS]

MURRAY HILL MIKE’S CIT BIG BOSS
Murray Hill Mike remains HOT in College Hoops going 2-1 again yesterday with winners on Arizona (Big Boss) and Kansas (Black Hand) and narrowly missed out on Pitt by 1 point! With that Big Boss win on Arizona, that makes it EIGHT STRAIGHT WINNERS (100%) in College Basketball! Mike is now 12-6 (67%) in the NCAA Tournament!

BRADLEY
Larry Ness' 20* CIT 2nd Round GOY (15-7 s/Mar 3)
Larry's high-end plays in CBB (20*s or higher) have gone 15-7 (68.2 percent) since the beginning of the conference tourneys on March 3. It's a new week but Larry's 'ASSAULT' continues, as this 25-year vet has no plans of letting up. He tips off this Monday with his 20* CIT 2nd Round GOY. Any takers?

BRADLEY

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

NBA:

2* Wizards +7.5
2* Nuggets/Suns over 237
3* Magic/Knicks over 213

NCAA:

2* Vermont +1
4* Davidson/St. Mary's over 142

[Mr. IWS]

Matty O'Shea | NBA Sides
dime bet
611 DEN 3.5 (-110) vs 612 PHO
Analysis:Single Dime NBA Underdog Play O' the Day on Nuggets +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

S S G

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10** Game of the year

Davidson v. St Marys
PICK: St Marys CA -4* Buy the half point..

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay: Belmont

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio NBA 03/23/09
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Game: Chicago Bulls at Washington Wizards Mar 23 2009 7:00PM
Prediction: over
Reason: 10* Play Over Chicago/Washington at 7:05 ET. Lenny spent years working on an NBA "totals system" and began using it in January '07 on the net, with great success. It's based on numerous factors, some of them listed here. Anticipated pace and style of both teams' play. Days of rest for teams or lack of it. Number of points scored by starters as compared to subs in recent outings (plus season-long averages). It also factors in point and rebounding differentials of the two teams. With all these factors (and many more), it's not possible to provide Lenny's "typical analysis" with his NBA totals selections. However, after the last two year's success, he anticipates another banner year. Play are rated 10* (Game of Day), 15* (Game of Week), 20* (Game of Month) and some rare 25* plays. Good luck. Take Over Chicago/Washington (10*).

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Meyer

Blowout Winner

Creighton

[Mr. IWS]

Sportsbetcapping

7* Creighton -2

[Mr. IWS]

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Top Play Kentucky/Creighton OVER the total
50 Units Memphis/Miami UNDER the total
50 Units Atlanta minus the points over Minnesota
50 Units Minnesota/Atlanta UNDER the total

[Mr. IWS]

NSA's Selection
CBB Kentucky @ Creighton 7:00 PM EST 20* Kentucky +2.5
CBB Davidson @ St Mary's 11:30 PM EST 10* St Mary's -4
CBB Stanford @ Wichita St 8:00 PM EST 10* Stanford +1.5
CBB Vermont @ Oregon St 10:00 PM EST 10* Vermont +1
NBA Orlando @ New York 7:35 PM EST 10* NEw York +6
NBA Denver @ Phoenix 10:05 PM EST 10* Phoenix -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe
NBA Basketball
Knicks +6 over Magic

Free $500 Match Bet!!!

NCAA Basketball
St. Mary's -4.5 over Davidson

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 500 Dime High Roller CBI Tournament Mismatch Game of the Year



Stanford (135') at Wichita State (-1') - 8 p.m. EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown



WICHITA STATE (-1') 500 Dimes


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Stu's 100 Dime Hoops Five Pack Game #1



College of Charleston (+4') at Richmond (143) - 7 p.m. EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown



COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON (+4') 100 Dimes


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Stu's 100 Dime Hoops Five Pack Game #2



Oakland (+3) at Bradley (138') - 8 p.m. EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown



OAKLAND (+3) 100 Dimes




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Stu's 100 Dime Hoops Five Pack Game #3

Vermont (+1) at Oregon State (127) - 10 p.m. EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown



VERMONT (+1) 100 Dimes


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Stu's 100 Dime Hoops Five Pack Game #4

Idaho (+8) at Pacific (125') - 10 p.m. EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown



IDAHO (+8) 100 Dimes


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Stu's 100 Dime Hoops Five Pack Game #5

Davidson (+4') at Saint Mary's (143) - 11:30 p.m. EST



Back by 5 p.m. EST with a full breakdown



DAVIDSON (+4') 100 Dimes


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King's 20 Dime Hoops Perfecta Game #1

Kentucky (139') vs Creighton (-2) - 7:00, ET
Brian King's 20 Dime Hoops Winner #1
Kentucky (+2) 20 Dimes

King's 20 Dime Hoops Perfecta Game #2

James Madison (141') vs Liberty (-3) - 7:00, ET
Brian King's 20 Dime Hoops Winner #2
Liberty (-3) 20 Dimes



King's 20 Dime Hoops Perfecta Game #3

Vermont (127') vs Oregon State (-1) - 10:00, ET
Brian King's 20 Dime Hoops Winner #3
Vermont (+1) 20 Dimes



King's 20 Dime Hoops Perfecta Game #4

Philadelphia 76ers (190') at Portland Trailblazers (-8) - 10:05, ET
Brian King's 20 Dime Hoops Winner #4
Portland Trailblazers (-8) 20 Dimes



Howie's NBA Non Conference Game of the Week



L.A. Clippers (200) at Boston Celtics (-15') – 7:35 p.m.

This is a huge number as L.A. will easily stay inside this bloated number tonight. Kevin Garnett is back, but nowhere near 100 percent and Paul Pierce (5-of-22 shooting the last two games) is struggling. The Celtics have covered just three of their last 13 including an outright loss at the Clippers on Feb. 25. L.A. was horrible Sunday afternoon at Toronto, so this is a classic bounce back spot for the Clips as Zach Randolph, Baron Davis and L.A. keep this one competitive and close.





L.A. Clippers (+15') 100 Dimes






Howie's NBA Atlantic Conference Game of the Week

Orlando Magic (217) at New York Knicks (+6) – 7:35 p.m.

Orlando turned back visiting New York Saturday night by a 110-103 count, and look for the Knicks to again cover in keeping this one close tonight. Center David Lee, he of 54 double-doubles this year, missed Saturday's game with a sore knee, but he's expected to be back tonight. New York is on ATS runs of 10-3 versus teams with winning records and 28-18 when avenging a road loss. Big effort tonight from Nate Robinson, Quentin Richardson and the Knicks as they stay inside this number.





New York Knicks (+6) 100 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

VR

NBA...2* Miami over 195

2*davidson +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Brian King

Kentucky +2 20 dimes
Liberty -3 20 dimes
Vermont +1 20 dimes
Portland Trail Blazers -8 20 dimes

[Mr. IWS]

VR

NBA...2* Miami over 195

2*davidson +4.5
4* st mary under 143.5
3* creighton -2
2*Oakland +3

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Lisowski

4'* NIT GOY----St Mary

[Mr. IWS]

IC

Play: 5 Unit Play (CBI Goy). Take Over 143.5 between Charleston vs. Richmond (Monday @ 7pm est).

Play: 4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU (Monday @ 7pm eastern). (POD)

Play: 4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Celtics -15.5 over the L.A. Clippers (Monday @ 7pm est). (POD)

[Mr. IWS]

HOWIE FEINER

Non Conference Game of the Week

L.A. Clippers (200) at Boston Celtics (-15')

This is a huge number as L.A. will easily stay inside this bloated number tonight. Kevin Garnett is back, but nowhere near 100 percent and Paul Pierce (5-of-22 shooting the last two games) is struggling. The Celtics have covered just three of their last 13 including an outright loss at the Clippers on Feb. 25. L.A. was horrible Sunday afternoon at Toronto, so this is a classic bounce back spot for the Clips as Zach Randolph, Baron Davis and L.A. keep this one competitive and close.

L.A. Clippers (+15') 100 Dimes


Atlantic Conference Game of the Week

Orlando Magic (217) at New York Knicks (+6)

Orlando turned back visiting New York Saturday night by a 110-103 count, and look for the Knicks to again cover in keeping this one close tonight. Center David Lee, he of 54 double-doubles this year, missed Saturday's game with a sore knee, but he's expected to be back tonight. New York is on ATS runs of 10-3 versus teams with winning records and 28-18 when avenging a road loss. Big effort tonight from Nate Robinson, Quentin Richardson and the Knicks as they stay inside this number.

New York Knicks (+6) 100 Dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports



4 UNIT PLAY

St Mary's -4 over Davidson: The Wildcats are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win, while the Gaels are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Despite their loss to Gonzaga the Gaels have been hot down the stretch as they have won 8 of their last 9 games and have outscored their opponents by 7.7 ppg during that stretch. Another note is that they played most of that stretch without superstar guard Patty Mills. Now let's look at their 6 looses on the season for a moment, as 3 of those losses were to Gonzaga and 1 other loss was vs Santa Clara when they were without Mills. This team is tough and much stronger now that Mills is back. The Gaels have also been superb at home where they are 13-1 and have outscored their opponents by 15.3 ppg. Thier only home loss was by 2 points to Gonzaga and again that was without Mills. Davidson has had a great year out of the Southern Conference, but this team has not done well in some high profile games on the road vs good competition this year as they have lost at Duke, Purdue and Oklahoma, plus they have a home loss to Butler and they have been outscored by 11.5 ppg in those games, plus they also had home losses to formidable Southern foes Charleston and Citadel. St Mary's could have rolled over after their snub by the NCAA committee, but they came out an had a strong 11 point win over a tough Washington State squad in the opening round of the NIT. I see another double digit win tonight



3 UNIT PLAYS

Kentucky +2 over Creighton: The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, while the Bluejays are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Kentucky has struggled for much of the SEC season, but they have been successful ivs non-conf opponents this year. The Cats have gone 12-3 this year vs non-conf foes and that includes wins ove KSU and West Virginia on a neutral floor, plus they had just a 3 point loss at Louisville. The Blue Jays of Creighton have been hot down the stretch as they won 12 of their last 13 games, but in their last 5 games they are 0-4-1 ATS as they have just 2, 1,4 and 6 points wins and a 24 point loss and that's vs some questionable competition, so to say they have been impessive in their last 5 games would not be true. Kentucky is much more battle tested in this one and Creighton just won't have an answer for Meeks from the outside or Patterson down low. Cats take this one by 5+.

College Of Charleston +4.5 over Richmond: What a year the Cougars of Charleston have had as they have gone 27-8 overall, including a very nice 12-3 in their true road games. The Cougars have gone 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and they have gone an impressive 11-2 SU vs non-conf opponents on the year. Charleston has won 9 of their last 10 games and have outscored their opponents by 6.9 pg over that stretch. Richmond has had a good year at 19-13, but thye are just 9-7 in non-conf opponents and 10-6 at home, where they have outscored their opponents by just 3.6 ppg. Richmond is also just 5-4 in their last 9 at home and have been outscored by 1 ppg in those games. Charleston is off a solid road win vs Troy, while the Spiders struggled at home vs a sub .500 St Johns squad. Charleston has the clear advantage on offense (77.6 ppg to 69.7 ppg) and rebounding (32.1 to 28.5), plus they are more proficient behind the arc as they hit 37.4% of their 3pt shots, while the Spiders hit just 33.1% of theirs. Richmond does get the defensive edge as they allow just 66.9 ppg, while the Cougars allow 72.7 ppg. The Cougars are the hotter team here and their offense should carry them to the outright win here.



2 UNIT PLAYS

Davidson/ St Marys Over 143: The 7-1 in Gaels last 8 home games and 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games. Both of these teams certainly know how to score as Davidson has averaged 77.2 ppg overall, including 79 ppg in their last 5. St Marys has averaged 72.6 ppg overall and 77.6 ppg at home. The defenses have been solid this year, but I see the offenses taking center stage and pushing this one over the total. I see this one approaching 150 points.

Bradley -3 over Oakland: The Braves are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Bradley has been tough at hoe this year as they were 12-3 and have outscored their opponents by 5.8 ppg on their home floor. Oakland is 23-12 on the year, but they have really struggled away from home where they are 7-10 in their true road games and have been outscored by 4.4 ppg in those games. Oakland does get the offensive edge, but they allow 74.2 ppg on the road, while the Braves allow just 65.9 ppg at home. Bradley has played very well at home this year ad they should be able to handle an Oakland team that just doesn't play well on the road.



1 UNIT PLAY

Kentucky/ Creighton Over 139.5: The Over is 9-2-1 in Bluejays last 12 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5 and 23-7-1 in their last 31 home games overall. The Wildcats have averaged 74.6 ppg overall and 68.3 ppg on the road. The Blue Jays have averaged 73.6 ppg overall and 76.3 ppg at home. Kentucky's games overall have averaged 140.6 ppg, while Creighton's home games have averaged 141.3 ppg. 10 of Creighton's 13 games have gone over the total and I see another one happening tonight as this game tops 145 points.

[Mr. IWS]

CHARLIE

500* 2 team parlay
ny knicks
phoenix suns over

[Mr. IWS]

INDIAN COWBOY


5 Unit Play (CBI Goy). Take Over 143.5 between Charleston vs. Richmond (Monday @ 7pm est). We started off the week strong in college hoops last week and then tailed a bit. No worries as I'm confident our research will yield a strong March to close and then we will continue to roll as the NBA takes us into summer. We had a winning January and February in college hoops and I'm confident we will return to that consistency we are used to. If you are looking for other selections today check out the site each day and read the research as every cbb and nba game is researched and published except for the ones that I have a play in. As per this play, Charleston is a team that can light it up. Frankly, it should have been this team that should have been playing in the NCAA Tourney but one of the worst officiated games ever went down in the books in Chattanooga as the home crowd helped propel Chattanooga to a birth to the Tourney. I'm glad the Southern Conference strategy of playing conference games blew up in their face as Chatt got blown out by 50+ to Uconn. If that was Charleston, I can promise you it would have been far more competitive. Rather than taking Charleston to win this game, let's take the over as I expect them to be a solid dog today. Remember, Charleston put up 93 points on Troy on the road and 77 points on Davidson on the road. For this game to go ovr, we need to expect each team to knock up roughly 72 points which I expec tot happen. Just as much as Charleston relies on the outside shot and loves to run, Richmond likes to do the same. The Spiders are the same team that put up 80 points on Xavier at home and 78 against Rhode Island. Heck, Richmond even put up 75 points against a defensive St. John's team and that game totaled 144. So, why can't this game total of 144? The over is 4-0 in the last 4 non-conference games and the over is 5-1 for the Spiders in the last 6 home games when they face a team with a winning % greater than 60% - meaning that if when they face competitive teams, both teams push the total over.

4 Unit Play. Take Belmont +6 over ODU (Monday @ 7pm eastern). Write-up to come by 12:15pm eastern. This is just way too tempting not to take Belmont here for several reasons. For starers, the public to a tune of 70% loves ODU here. But, it is Belmont that is a rock solid taem who shoots nearly 70% free throws, who lost to Tennessee on the road by a bucket and who comes off beating Evansville by 16 on the road. Belmont is out of the A-sun and I have personally seen this team place several times this year. This team lost to the eventual A-Sun champ in East-Tennessee State. This is not to take anything away from ODU but if you noticed they only beat Citadel by 8 points at home who is a top 200 team. Belmont is a top 125 team. ODU only beat the likes of William and Mary and Richmond by 1 point and 3 points. Belmont is an extremely well coached team, that shoots quailty free throws and runs a nice pro-set offense and defense. I can see Belmont hanging tough here and have an outside shot at a win. I'll take the 6 points here as the ODU Monarchs are 1-7 ATS as a small favorite of 0 to 6.5 points at home and 2-9 ATS as a favorite of this margin as they typically do not play well as small home favorites as they typically win these games but not by a wide margin.

4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Celtics -15.5 over the L.A. Clippers (Monday @ 7pm est). It's not often that I take such a heavy favorite, but I like the Celtics here as they return home from their road trip. The C's are back in form after crushing the Grizzlies on the road and Garnett played for over 15 minutes in that contest as he gets a feel for the action again. The C's have won their last 3 including over Miami at home, defeating San Antonio on the road with Garnett back and defeating Memphis on the road by 18. The C's lost to the Clippers on the road by a bucket last time around and without a doubt, Pierce, Allen and company remember that loss. This team remembers their losses such as the one to SA only to go on the road to defeat them. I look for the C's to step up big here and win in a defensive manner holding the Clippers to probably less than 90 points while the Celtics top 110 at home with that revenge. There might be a backdoor cover here, but if the C's can win by 18 on the road at Memphis, why can't they win by 16 or more at hoem against a team who they have revenge with as they return home from back to back road games. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS when facing a team with a winning record on the road, they are 1-4 ATS as 11 point dogs or greater while the C's are 15-5 as a favorite of 11 points or greater at home.

Good luck,

Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

JB's Full Card


3* Bulls
2* Blazers
2* Suns

[Mr. IWS]

Helmut

3/23/09
CBB
Saint Marys-CA Over 143 -110 (618)
ANALYSIS:
Tonight’s game should be played at a up-tempo pace as both teams like to push at times. Both of these teams are also excellent on the offensive end with the Gael’s ranking #34 in the league in offensive efficiency and the Wildcat’s ranking #37. I believe this game will exceed 140 total possessions and when that number of possessions has been exceeded the Gael’s have played exceeded 70 points in 8/9 games and the Wildcat’s have exceeded 70 points in 18/20 games. The Wildcat’s have shot the ball very well from the field down the stretch with the last 4/5 games shooting >47% from the field. They did not protect the ball very well when facing South Carolina last game which kept the scoring down for them despite shooting very well. The Gaels have their superstar Mills back and look like a much better offensive team in the last two games putting up 85 points on Eastern Washington and 68 points on a tough Washington State team.

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP

DOUBLE DIME


ORLANDO -6 OVER NEW YORK @ 735 est



This is the second of a home & home series and when these two teams met on saturday orlando only won by 7 points laying 13 @ home . Fact is orlando wasn't mentally prepared to play the knicks as they just returned home from two road games @ cleveland and milw. Tonight they will be ready for new york and will get the job done . **DOUBLE DIME**

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie.com

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Monday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Vermont (+1.5) over Oregon State (NCAA)

Oregon State is 1-10 ATS when playing in the month of March
Oregon State is 0-3 ATS when playing as a favorite this season
Oregon State is 4-14 ATS coming off a game as a home underdog
Oregon State is 9-19 ATS in all home games the last 2 seasons


100* Play Belmont (+6) over Old Dominion (NCAA)

Old Dominion is 1-9 ATS when playing in the month of March
Old Dominion is 2-12 ATS in all tournament games the last 3 seasons
Old Dominion is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less
Old Dominion is 5-12 ATS coming off a win this season


100* Play Northeastern (+8) over UTEP (NCAA)

Northeastern is 3-0 ATS when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5
Northeastern is 6-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 of the last 3 games
Northeastern is 5-1 ATS coming off an upset win as a road underdog


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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays


50* Play Kentucky (+1.5) over Creighton (NCAA)

30* Play NY Knicks (+5.5) over Orlando (NBA)

30* Play Calgary (-105) over Detroit (NHL)

[Mr. IWS]

kbhoops

1-0 +5* Sunday hitting the POD on Mizzou -2.5. The final card for monday is below

NBA
5* Minnesota/Atlanta UNDER 195 **POD**
4* Orlando -6
3* Memphis +9.5
2* Bulls/Wizards UNDER 210

CBB
3* Vermont +1
2* Coll Of Charleston +4.5