4-13-09

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA (Moyer over Cabrera)....10 DIMER - TAMPA BAY (Kazmir over Wang)
20 DIMER - PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (Moyer over Cabrera)



The Phillies look like they have shaken off the sluggish start, as they just took the last pair at Colorado, and now make their way back east to face the winless Nationals.



Washington is not a very good team, and they are headed for another loss this afternoon in their home opener.



Jamie Moyer's best mound work last season came on the road where he went 10-3, with a 2.92 ERA. Philadelphia also went 6-3 at Washington, and 12-6 overall against the Nats in last year's season series.



Daniel Cabrera lost in his Washington debut, allowing 5 runs in 6 innings of work, and I am not sure his control is going to be able to make it through the Philly lineup more than once without giving up a few runs.



Moyer did go 3-0 in 5 starts against the Nats last year, including a 2-0 mark in DC allowing 3 runs over 12 innings of work.



Take the Phillies.



10 DIMER - TAMPA BAY RAYS (Kazmir over Wang)



Not sure Wang is ready to mow this lineup down, especially after the way he looked in his first start since last June, as he gave up a whopping 7 runs in just 4 innings of work.



Scott Kazmir counters, as he was sharp as tacks in his first start at Boston, limiting the Red Sox to 1 run in his 6 innings of work.



Kazmir is also 3-1 his last 4 decisions against the Yankees, and with the likes of Gardner, and Ransom in the lineup, and Texeira now listed as questionable, I don't see the Yankees wininng this game, I just don't.



Take Tampa in their home opener.
Today's Complimentary Selection

G-Man rolling with a 13-6 comp play run the last 19 days, and tonight I like the offense to lead the way to another OVER at Arlington.



Texas played OVER the total in all 3 of their home games last week against Cleveland, and there is no reason to think tonight's game against Baltimore won't land OVER the total as well.



Baltimore is fresh off a 6-game homestand that saw them land OVER the total in 4 of the 6 games.



Can't count on rookie Uehara to deliver another 5 innings of 1 run ball like he did in his ML debut against the Yankees last week, at least not in Texas. And you certainly can't count on Vincente Padilla against Baltimore, as the O's did tag him for 14 runs in 7 innings in a pair of 2008 starts in Baltimore.



Expect the offense to light the scoreboard up in this one, and for the Orioles-Rangers to make their way OVER the posted total.



3? OVER
(on a 1? to 5? basis)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

4 UNIT PLAY

Boston -141 over OAKLAND: I will have a write up for this game after work, just wanted to get this one out before the line goes up.


3 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia -115 over WASHINGTON: The Phillies are in their last 6 games as a road favorite and 10-2 in Moyers last 12 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5, while the Nationals are 3-13 in their last 16 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 and 5-16 in their last 21 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Jamie Moyer struggled in his first start vs the Braves, but he usually struggles vs them. Today though he will be facing a team he has handled. Moyer is 11-4 with a solid 2.83 ERA in 23 starts vs them and he is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA at Nationals Park. Daniel Cabrera is just 48-60 with a 5.07 ERA in his career as a starter and he is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA in 1 start vs the Phills. The Nationals are averaging just .244 on the year, while their pitching hgas been horrible as they have a 7.84 ERA overall, including an 11.14 ERA from their starters. Not good numbers, especially when about to face a strong Phillies offense. The Phils are only hitting about .260 on the year, but in their last 4 games the Phils offense has hit .324 and has scored 7.5 rpg. No way Washington can Match that. The Phills are the better squad here with a much better starter and they should have no problems with the Nats today.


2 UNIT PLAY

LA DODGERS -1.5 (+120) over San Francisco: The Dodgers are 4-3 on the year, but all 4 wins have been by 2 runs or more. Chad Billiningsley is 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA vs the Giants and he is also 17-8 with a 3.58 ERA at home. Yes Randy Johnson is undefeated in LA (7-0), but he has only faced them once here since 2004 and he is just 1-3 in his last 4 meetings with Dodger Blue overall. With Chad at home vs a Giants team that has scored just 7 total runs in their 3 games away from home and with RJ not the same pitcher he wonce was I'll epect LA to take this one by 3+ runs.


1 UNIT PLAYS

CHICAGO -133 over Colorado: The Rockies are 1-6 in Jimenezs last 7 starts with 5 days of rest, while the Cubs are 12-2 in Lillys last 14 starts vs. a team with a winning record and 9-2 in his last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Ted Lilly has pitched well at Wrigley Field, going 16-10 with a 4.13 ERA there, with teams hitting just .235 vs him in his home starts there. Ubaldo Jiminez has not fared well vs the Cubs, going 0-2 with a 7.24 ERA in 3 starts vs them. The Cubs bats are coming alive and even though they will be playing about 15 hours after their game with the Brewers they should still have little trouble with the Rockies today.

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

MLB Baseball

3 units on Tampa Bay -125

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Philadelphia (Moyer) -115 over Washington (Cabrera)
Range: +100 to -135

3* Chicago White Sox (Floyd)/Detroit (Miner) UNDER 9.5
Range: 10 to 9

3* Memphis/Phoenix (NBA) UNDER 221
Range: 223 to 219.5

[Mr. IWS]

Discount Sports Picks

10* Pittsburgh (Duke) -140 over Houston (Moehler)
5* Boston (Lester) -130 over Oakland (Braden)

[Mr. IWS]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

Chicago (40-40, 41-38-1 ATS) at Detroit (39-41, 34-46 ATS)

The streaking Bulls have won four straight and are trying to get to the sixth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff standings and will square off with the Pistons, who are in the eighth position, a game behind Chicago and Philadelphia.

Chicago continued its winning ways with Saturday’s 113-106 victory over Charlotte, but it came up short as a 9½-point home favorite to drop to 2-2 ATS during its winning streak. The Bulls have been scoring at will lately, topping 103 points in each of their last eight games.

Detroit had a three-game winning streak snapped Saturday when it fell in Indiana 106-102 as a two-point road ‘dog. The Pistons clinched their playoff spot on Friday with a 100-93 win at home over the Nets, but failed to cover as eight-point favorites. Prior to Saturday’s loss, Detroit had held four straight opponents to 97 points or less.

The host has won five straight in this series, but the Bulls have dominated at the window, cashing in each of the last seven games and nine of the last 10. Most recently, Chicago got a 99-91 win on March 24 as a five-point home chalk, and in their December matchup in Detroit the Pistons prevailed 104-98 but came up short as seven-point favorites, the fourth straight cover for the Bulls in the Palace at Auburn Hills. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 series clashes.

Chicago is on ATS runs of 5-2 as a ‘dog, 7-3-1 on the road against teams with a winning home mark and 9-3 following a non-cover, but it is just 1-4 ATS in its last five after a straight-up win. Detroit is on ATS slides of 1-5 against Central Division teams, 7-17 at home, 8-19 as a home favorite and 2-5 after a non-cover, but the Pistons have cashed in eight straight Monday contests.

The Bulls are on “over” runs of 9-4 as a road ‘dog, 9-4-1 after a non-cover and 19-9-1 against Central Division foes. Likewise, the Pistons are on “over” stretches of 13-5-1 overall, 10-3-1 against Eastern Conference teams, 5-1 at home, 6-1 as a favorite, 5-0 at home against teams with losing road records and 10-3-1 after getting a day off. Finally, the over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between these rivals and 5-0 in the last five clashes in Michigan.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


New Orleans (49-31, 34-44-2 ATS) at Houston (52-28, 39-40-1 ATS)

The Rockets are shooting for their fifth straight win when they welcome the Hornets into the Toyota Center in Houston in a matchup of Southwest Division rivals and Western Conference playoff squads.

New Orleans beat Dallas 102-92 at home on Sunday, covering as a four-point favorite. The Hornets are in the sixth spot in the Western Conference playoff race, one game ahead of Dallas and two ahead of the Jazz.

Houston got a 113-109 win at Golden State on Saturday but came up just short as six-point favorites. The Rockets are tied for the third seed in the playoff race with Portland and they’re just a half-game ahead of the Spurs in the Southwest Division standings.

The Rockets have won two of the three head-to-head meetings with New Orleans this season (2-1 ATS), including a 95-84 win in the Big Easy on March 16 as six-point ‘dogs. Houston has cashed in four of the last six meetings overall, but the Hornets are on a 7-2 ATS run in the Toyota Center.

New Orleans is on ATS slides of 2-5 on the road, 1-5 on Mondays and 1-4 against Western Conference teams. Conversely, Houston is 4-0 ATS in its last four in front of the home fans.

The Hornets enter this contest on “under” streaks of 13-4 overall, 6-2 on the road, 9-4 against Western Conference teams and 7-0-1 on the road against teams with winning home records. On the flip side, the Rockets are on “over” streaks of 5-2 overall, 4-1 at home and 5-1 against Western Conference teams.

In this series, the under is 4-0 in the last four battles overall and 6-2 in the last eight at the Toyota Center.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (3-3) at Tampa Bay (3-3)

The Yankees send Chien-Ming Wang (0-1, 17.18 ERA) to the mound today to face the Rays and lefty Scott Kazmir (1-0, 1.50 ERA) in the home opener for Tampa Bay at Tropicana Field.

New York’s three-game winning streak came to an end Sunday with a 6-4 loss in Kansas City, Meanwhile, Tampa salvaged a three-game series in Baltimore by routing the Orioles on Sunday 11-3 to end its six-game, season-opening road trip. The Yankees won six of the last eight meetings with the Rays last year and they’re 6-2 in Wang’s last eight starts versus Tampa.

The Yankees are on positive streaks of 5-3 on the road, 5-1 in series openers, 5-1 as underdogs and 5-0 against southpaws. The Rays are also on a plethora of positive streaks, including 58-20 at home, 43-13 at home against right-handed starters and 48-18 as a home favorite.

Wang, making his first start since June 15, 2008, got knocked around at Baltimore on Wednesday, giving up seven runs on nine hits in just 3 2/3 innings of a 7-5 loss. He missed the second half of last season with a leg injury but the Yankees won his final five starts. The right-hander faced the Rays twice last season and allowed a combined one run on 11 hits in 13 innings but the Bronx Bombers split the two contests, winning 2-0 at home and losing 2-1 in Tampa. For his career, Wang is 7-4 with a 3.35 ERA against the Rays in 86 innings of work.

Kazmir pitched well in his first start of the year Wednesday, holding Boston to one run on five hits in six innings as the Rays rolled to a 7-2 victory. He saw the Yankees three times last season and gave up a total of two runs in 17 innings as the Rays won two of his three starts. In 12 career games against the Yankees, Kazmir is 4-4 with a 2.51 ERA in 68 innings of action.

Despite Wednesday’s ugly loss to the Orioles, New York is on several positive runs with Wang on the hill, including 41-16 overall, 21-7 when he starts on the road, 21-6 when he opens a series and 6-2 when he faces A.L. East squads. Tampa is on streaks of 22-10 in Kazmir’s last 32 starts, 19-7 when he starts at home, 20-7 when he’s a favorite and 5-2 against A.L. East competition.

New York has topped the total in six of Wang’s last seven starts, but the under has been the play in five of his last seven as a road ‘dog and the under is 6-1-2 in his last nine against Tampa. As a team, the Yankees are on “over” runs of 7-3 as a road ‘dog, 5-2 on field turf, 6-2 on Mondays and 5-1 against A.L. East foes.

Tampa Bay is on a plethora of “over” runs with Kazmir on the hill, including 9-3 overall, 6-2 at home, 7-0 against A.L. East teams, 7-1 as a favorite and 6-1 when he gets four days of rest. As a team, the Rays are on “under” streaks of 5-2 overall, 6-2 against A.L. East teams, 4-0 at home and 4-1 as a home favorite.

Finally, the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (2-4) at Oakland (2-4)

A pair of southpaws will take the mound in Oakland when Jon Lester (0-1, 9.00 ERA) and the Red Sox open a three-game set against Dallas Braden (0-1, 4.50) and the A’s.

Both teams lost heartbreakers Sunday, with Boston falling 5-4 in Anaheim, while the A’s got swept by the Mariners after 1-0 home defeat. The Red Sox have won nine of the last 13 meetings overall with Oakland, but they are just 4-11 in their last 15 visits to northern California.

As a team, Boston is just 3-8 in its last 11 as a favorite, but it is 13-3 in its last 16 series openers, 12-4 in its last 16 against A.L. West teams and 43-15 against teams with losing records. Oakland is mired in funks of 2-9 overall, 0-6 against southpaws and 5-18 against A.L. East squads.

Lester got knocked around at home by the Rays on Wednesday, giving up five runs on eight hits over five innings of a 7-2 home loss. He also got touched up in the American League Championship Series in his last two starts last season, allowing eight runs (seven earned) on 14 hits in 12 2/3 innings. He made four starts against the A’s last season, including three in California, with the Red Sox going 2-2. Lester is 2-2 with a 3.94 ERA in his career against Oakland.

Braden has had a week off since his Opening Day start in Anaheim when he allowed three runs on nine hits in six innings of a 3-0 loss. The A’s won five of Braden’s final seven starts last season, and he allowed the opposition three runs or less in six of the seven contests. He’s made just one career start against the Red Sox and allowed four runs on six hits in 3 1/3 innings of a 5-2 loss in Boston last August.

While the BoSox are just 1-4 in Lester’s last five roadies, they are on several positive runs with the lefty on the hill, including 35-16 overall, 25-9 as a favorite, 7-1 on Mondays, 5-0 against A.L. West teams and 23-6 when he faces teams with a losing record. The A’s are 5-2 in Braden’s last seven starts as a ‘dog and 4-1 in his last five as a home pup.

The Red Sox are on several “under” runs with Lester on the hill, including 6-2-1 on the road, 6-0-1 in series openers, 5-2 as a favorite and 7-3 against A.L. West teams. As a team, Boston is on “under” streaks of 20-8-3 in series openers 11-5-1 as a favorite and 4-0 as a road chalk.

With Braden starting, the A’s are on “under” runs of 5-1 overall, 4-1 at home, 4-1 as a ‘dog and 5-2 in series openers. As a team, Oakland is on “under” streaks of 35-16 in series openers and 14-5 against A.L. East teams, but the A’s have topped the total in four of six at home and four of five overall.

In this series, the under has been the play in seven of the last 10 meetings in Oakland.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

2* Bucks -3
4* Blazers -12

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning
pittsburgh and tampa bay

[Mr. IWS]

Total Sports Solution ( SWAMMI )

5's Tampa, KC, Minnesota

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball

#507 - NBA - 3 units on Charlotte +4
#522 - NBA - 3 units on Portland -12.5

[Mr. IWS]

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Monday

NBA Basketball

100* Play Orlando (+4) over Milwaukee (NBA)

Orlando is 12-3 ATS when playing as an underdog this season
Orlando is 15-4 ATS in road games when the total is between 195 and
199.5
Orlando is 13-3 SU coming off an upset loss as a favorite
Orlando is 8-2 SU vs. Milwaukee over the last 3 seasons


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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays

50* Play Memphis (+9) over Phoenix (NBA)

No NHL Plays Today

[Mr. IWS]

FeRrringo 4-13-09
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1.5-Unit Play. Take #955 Philadelphia (-110) over Washington (3 p.m., Monday, April 13)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #960 New York Mets (-1.5, +100) over San Diego (7 p.m., Monday, April 13)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #974 Minnesota (-120) over Toronto (8 p.m., Monday, April 13)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #972 Kansas City (-120) over Cleveland (8 p.m., Monday, April 13)


Underdog System Plays
1-Unit Play. Take #957 San Francisco (+165) over L.A. Dodgers (4 p.m., Monday, April 13)

1-Unit Play. Take #961 Cincinnati (+130) over Milwaukee (8 p.m., Monday, April 13)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #951 Houston (+125) over Pittsburgh (1:30 p.m., Monday, April 13)


Today’s Total
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 Baltimore at Texas (8 p.m., Monday, April 13

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball

#507 - NBA - 3 units on Charlotte +4
#522 - NBA - 3 units on Portland -12.5

[Mr. IWS]

DOC NBA 4-13-09
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3-Unit Play #503 Take Toronto +2 ½ Over Washington (7 p.m. EST, Monday)
Writeup Coming Soon

5-Unit NBA Game of the Week #507 Take Charlotte/New Jersey UNDER 196 (7:30 p.m. EST, Monday)
Writeup Coming Soon

4-Unit Play #511 Take Minnesota/Dallas UNDER 201 (8:30 p.m. EST, Monday)
Writeup Coming Soon

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports



MLB - 2 units on NY Yankees +144
MLB - 2 units on Cleveland +112
MLB - 2 units on Oakland +137

[Mr. IWS]

tonyosports

The Dallas Mavericks still have an outside shot of the #6 seed out West as they will host the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. The Mavericks have played well recently, as they have won 7 of their last 10 games entering Monday's action. Dirk Nowitzki has stepped up his play in each of the past 3 months & is averaging 29.7 points in 6 April games on 57 percent shooting. Minnesota has showed little improvement over last season, but not enough to show that the franchise has risen from trading away Kevin Garnett to the Boston Celtics during the 2007 offseason. With injuries to both Al Jefferson & Randy Foye, Kevin Love could be the man to watch tonight if the Timberwolves want to make things competitive. Love has played better since the All-Star break, but is struggling this month as he's averaging just 10 points on 36 percent shooting. Look for Dallas to win this game in blowout fashion, as they try to set up an All-Texas 1st round matchup with San Antonio. All Dallas!

The Boston Red Sox continue their West Coast road trip tonight in Oakland to face the Athletics & look for better play, as their 2-4 record is currently last in the AL East. Righthander Jon Lester will start tonight for Boston, who went 2-2 in 4 starts against Oakland last season with a 3.57 ERA. Southpaw Dallas Braden will counter for Oakland, who lost his only career start to Boston on August 3rd, 2008. In that game, Braden allowed 4 runs on 6 hits in just 3 & 1/3 innings pitched during the Red Sox's 5-2 win. I look for Boston to shake off some of their early-season struggles and pick up a key win tonight in Oakland. All Red Sox!

Today's Complimentary Play: PHILLIES

[Mr. IWS]

Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, April 13, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last season in Baseball we were 102-54 for the enitre season. Today we are featuring a DOMINATOR BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $25 and you will pay only after you win. We are currently on a 48-16 run with all selections! 4/13/2009

DOMINATOR BASEBALL WINNER
Philadelphia w/Meyer -110 3:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Rocco Vincintore Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, April 13, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year in Baseball we were 79-42 for PLUS 33.6 UNITS and that was playing just ONE UNIT PER GAME! We are already 3-2 for PLUS 1.5 UNITS this season in Baseball! Today we have isolated another very STRONG BASEBALL WINNER that can only be rated as a PREFERRED PLAYERS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER! Get this GUARANTEED WINNER NOW for just $25! We are currently on a 117-55 run with all of our selections! 4/13/2009

PREFERRED PLAYERS CLUB BASEBALL WINNER
968 Tampa Bay w/Kazmir -153 7:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, April 13, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today in baseball the Hitman has just what you are looking for! A PERFECT way for you to WHACK your man with his PRIVATE PLAY BASEBALL WINNER you can get it now for just $25 and as always you must win this game or you will not be charged! Last year we were 119-52 for PLUS 36.5 UNITS PLAYING just ONE UNIT PER GAME!! 4-1 this year +3.0 Units! 4/13/2009

PRIVATE PLAY BASEBALL WINNER
Boston w/LESTER -145 10:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

C-Stars Sports

5000 Units - NBA Hammer Play of the Year - Milwaukee minus the points over Orlando
1000 Units Top Play Arizona over St. Louis
50 Units Boston/Oakland UNDER the total

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
3 Bulls

ATS Financial Package
3 Nets

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning
pistons, memphis , minny

[Mr. IWS]

NSA
NBA 20* Memphis @ Phoenix OVER 216
MLB 20* Tampa Bay -130
MLB 10* Detroit -120
MLB 10* Boston -145
NBA 10* Orlando @ Milwaukee OVER 197
NBA 10* Chicago +4

[Mr. IWS]

Fred Wallin's MLB Total's Play of the Day
St Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (Apr 13 9:40 PM)
Over 10.5 (-105.0)
Have you seen Davis throw this season, either in the spring games or last week? Even when he is on, he gives the batters a comfortable collar. Meanwhile Wellemeyer has a tendency to blow up.. SO


Over is the play!

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Moore

Hornets at Rockets
Pick: Under +184.5

Under is 4-0-1 in Hornets last 5 games as an underdog. Under is 7-0-1 in Hornets last 8 road games against a team with a winning home record. Under is 4-0 in Hornets last 4 against a team with a winning SU record. Under is 7-1 in Hornets last 8 games following a ATS win. Under is 13-3-1 in Hornets last 17 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 8-2 in Hornets last 10 games following a SU win. Under is 4-1-1 in Hornets last 6 games as a road underdog. Under is 11-3 in Hornets last 14 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 13-4 in Hornets last 17 overall. Under is 6-2 in Hornets last 8 road games. Under is 8-3 in Hornets last 11 games as an underdog between 5-10.5 points. Under is 5-2 in Hornets last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Under is 7-3 in Hornets last 10 games as a road underdog between 5-10.5 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

Orlando at Milwaukee
Play: Under 198.5

Orlando is banged-up, unmotivated and its offense is averaging just 88 points in its last five games.The Magic are locked into the No. 3 seed in the East. This game is meaningless to them, although they would like to regain momentum having lost three of their past four games.Magic coach Stan Van Gundy is going to hold out Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu. That's a lot of missing scoring from the wing and 3-point baskets.In addition, Dwight Howard should see a reduction in minutes.The Bucks are missing their leading scorer, Michael Redd, and top inside threat, Andrew Bogut. The lottery-bound Bucks are giving minutes to rookies Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Joe Alexander along with non-scoring threat backup center Dan Gadzuric.Orlando would like to stiffen its defense. The Magic surrendered 103 points to the Nets and 105 to the Knicks in their last two games. Previous to that, however, the Magic had allowed an average of 85 points in their last four games.

[Mr. IWS]

Bill Marzano

Minnesota at Dallas
Play: Dallas -11

I really like the Dallas Mavericks in this game vs Minnesota...Dallas comes into this game having dropped last nights game to NO....a big game at that, Dallas needs wins to move up in the standings...Dallas has absolutely dominated this series and the Timberwolves over the past several years...look for Dallas to clamp down on D and to get back in the win column in a big way...Mavericks are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS loss...the Timberwolves are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest...Dallas is a LOCK

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* MLB GAME OF THE DAY (8-3 (72% ON THE SEASON)

Pick # 1 Cincinnati Reds /Milwaukee Brewers Under 8.0 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Pacers

Diamondbacks

[Mr. IWS]

4/13/2009
7:10:00 PM Over 9 RUNS,NEW YORK METS (Pelfrey)
-vs- San Diego Padres (Silva)
Scott Rickenbach's MLB 1* (regular play) OVER the total in New York Mets vs San Diego @ 7:10 PM ET - Pelfrey vs Silva - Taking a look at Silva and Pelfrey's first starts, they both got roughed up a bit. Of course that's what happens when you each walk four guys and only combine for three strikeouts. That's what these guys did in their first starts and this included Silva walking the pitcher twice! Keep in mind those struggles for Silva came at home and now the young right-hander has to take to the road and face a very strong Mets lineup that also includes left-handed power! Of course, the atmosphere will also be electric for this game as it's the first ever game at new Citi Field in New York! The Mets are coming off of a tight 2-1 loss at Florida but they had previously scored 27 runs in their last 4 games! Their offense, just like last season, is likely to be, when healthy, one of the better lineups in the national league. The Padres though have been a pleasant surprise so far this season and should match the Mets run for run. San Diego has won four straight games and they've averaged nearly six runs per game! The Padres offense was doing this damage in hitter friendly San Diego so that makes it even more impressive. Even though Citi Field is not expected to be hitter friendly per se, it still will be kinder to hitters than Petco Park in San Diego. Additionally, the Padres have a number of solid left-handed bats and it's left-handed hitters that have given Pelfrey the most trouble. Most importantly San Diego heads to New York with plnety of confidence. Their ability to get on a solid, early-season winning streak does wonders for the confidence of a lineup that wasn't expected to do much this season. Of course, it is also those generalized perceptions about the Padres offense that is also serving to give us some line value here! This total is just a 9 and, even though both teams are considered to have good bullpens, the Mets have already shown a tendency toward higher scoring games so far this season. Before a 2-1 loss at Florida, the Mets last 4 games had averaged about 13 runs per game. As for the Padres, their lineup has been a pleasant surprise thusfar. Tonight's starting pitching match-up pits two right-handers up against some dangerous left-handed lumber for both teams. We also feel that with an electric atmosphere at Citi Field and with decent weather (by mid April standards in NYC) we should see plenty of offense on display tonight. Silva was lucky the damage in his start was worse and, truly, the same goes for Pelfrey. Keep in mind, with this total sitting at just a 9, we need only four runs from each team to guarantee no worse than a push as the worst possible score for us at that point would still be 4-4. With the way these two teams are playing right now, we're very comfortable betting on that and we expect some lefthanded pop could lead the way tonight against these righty starters. The wind is projected to be blowing out to right this evening! Play OVER the total in the New York Mets game as a regular selection!

Pro Basketball Picks
4/13/2009
7:35:00 PM Chicago Bulls (+4)
Over DETROIT PISTONS
Scott Rickenbach's 2* (Top Play) Chicago Bulls (+) @ Detroit @ 7:35 PM ET - This is a classic case of two teams heading in opposite directions right now. Yes, both teams are heading to the post-season but only one team has really been playing like a play-off team over the last month and that's the Bulls! Chicago has won 11 of their last 14 games while the Pistons have lost 10 of their last 16 games! Yes Detroit recently did win three straight but they were helped by facing some weak teams and, hence, a favorable schedule. That all changes now as the Pistons face an upstart Bulls team that has a lot more jump in their step right now! Chicago is coming off of a win over Charlotte where, despite being eliminated from the playoffs, the Bobcats brought a very strong effort. The Bulls managed to weather the storm in that game and now they have a chance at something the Pistons recenlty blew: better playoff seeding! Yes, Detroit is not yet mathematically eliminated from improving their playoff seeding but, with Saturday's lost to Indiana,the Pistons know they are just about resigned to a #8 seed and a first-round match-up with the top-seeded Cavaliers. As a result, there is no doubt that the Pistons are already thinking a bit about resting up for the Cavs and trying to get guys like Rasheed Wallace and Richard Hamilton a little bit of rest. This is in stark contrast with a Bulls team that is still battling to at least get the #7 seed, and possibly even the #6 seed in the Eastern Conference. Ever since the trade for John Salmons and Brad Miller, the Bulls have been a different team. Also, point guard Derrick Rose has shown great progress through the season and the Pistons didn't even have to contend with him the last time they faced the Bulls. Rose missed that game last month and it was a 99-91 Bulls win. Hamilton and Wallace did miss that game for the Pistons and they have since been back in the lineup. However, they are not 100% and this is a veteran Detroit team that is already starting to think more about "saving it" for the post-season rather than worry about extracting every last drop of energy to try and knock off Chicago here. In other words, there is a big motivational edge to the young, upstart Bulls here! Play Chicago plus the points as a Top Play selection!

[Mr. IWS]

seabass

mlb
20* tb
50* red sox
100* kc

nba
100* jazz
100* steam bucks

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, April 13, 2009

4* Timberwolves/Mavericks over the total (511-512): I don't see any defense this game. Mavericks PG Jason Kidd has been cooking down the stretch, starting with the 140-116 victory over the Phoenix Suns and continuing through the thrashing of the Utah Jazz that gave Dallas the chance to leap out of that dreaded No. 8 spot in the Western Conference standings. They are on a 3-1 run over the total and face a Minnesota team that hasn't played defense since Kevin McHale took over as coach. The offense has improved, though, under McHale, as he has turned the young kids loose with an uptempo, attacking style. That's win with Kidd and the Mavs. Play the Timberwolves/Mavericks over the total.

[Mr. IWS]

The Hitman Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, April 13, 2009

NBA PRIVATE PLAY WINNER
510 Milwaukee -3.5 8:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Computer Crushers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, April 13, 2009

COMPUTER CRUSHER NBA PLAY OF THE YEAR
510 Milwaukee -3.5 8:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy


4 Unit Play. Take Oklahoma City Thunder First Half ONLY +7 over Portland Trailblazers (Monday @ 10pm est).

2-0 Sunday:

5* GOW: Rays +110 over Baltimore: Winner.
4* NBA: Sixers/Raptors Over 206: Winner.

At this point in the season, as there are about 4 days left, it is all about motivation. For example, why else would Van Gundy of the Magic not care as much if his Magic lost to the Nets? - Because it doesn't matter. What does matter is when teams that do not quit because they have a great deal of motivation. We look for motivation and we find it in the Oklahoma City Thunder today. Keep in mind I nearly went with the Twolves on the road today for the first half as they had a horrendous first quarter against Phoenix and expect them to play well at Dallas, but with Dallas off a loss and the lack of depth of Minny, I laid off. OKC lost by 35 to this Portland team at home back on April 3rd (72-107). Note, the last 7 times these two teams have met, the game has gone under as well. The fact that this team took such an ugly loss up the chin, I expect OKC to have a bounce in their step today. I'm not certain about the whole game as I took the Thunder against Milwaukee and they were in at the end of the first half and had a horrendous 3rd quarter. So, we will take the 7 points for the first half today in what is likely to be a low-scoring game. OKC is the same team that beat the Spurs on the road Outright as double-digit dog which shows their capability against defensive minded teams with revenge, and that is the same situation today. The 7 points is nice on a total of 193, which the first half total around 97.5 and I will take the 25 minutes or so of Durant, Westbrook, Green, Kristic and Thabo to hang in there in the Rose Garden. The Blazers are playing very well but if the Clipper game is any sign, this team started off extremely lax and slow. Thunder are either up at the half or down by 4 in my book which helps us cash today imo.

0.5 Unit Play. Take Golden State Warriors +175 ML over San Antonio Spurs (Monday @ 10:35pm est). I would like to do more ML plays as I did this last year on heavy dogs, and today is a mini-dog on the ML play, but still potentially productive. Remember, the Warriors just beat the Jazz Outright as 16.5 dogs in Utah, and has nearly beat this SA twice losing by 1 on the road as 8 point dogs and losing by 5 in OT to this team. Nelson has his crop of young guys thinking like its the playoffs and they are showing great effort to close the season. Consequently they have covered 4 of 5 including beating New Orlans, Utah on the road, Sac on the road and at home. I look for the Warriors to be tough today and considering the Spurs have not been dominant of late, they could get shocked today against GS. we'll take the +175 to yield some additional profit.

4 Unit Play. Take the Baltimore Orioles +115 over the Texas Rangers (Monday @ 8:05pm est). We cashed nicely on a dog yesterday with the Devil Rays at +110 for our 5* game of the week as we look to cash another dog today. If you wait prior to gametime, you might be able to even get a much better line than this. So, just hang out a bit and gauge the line. Uehara was stellar in his first outing against the Yankees. He couldn't grip the ball so he was unable to use his curve ball, and still he managed to take care of the Yankees with a 1.80 era as "C.C. or no C.C", the Orioles went on to win easily. That might not be the case today as there could be quite a lot of runs scored today as Texas is a hitters ballpark. Nevertheless, I trust Uehara a lot more considering that he wants to prove a lot in his opportunity to play in the U.S., the Rangers have yet to face him, no team has a scouting report or has seen his curve ball yet and he is a very disciplined pitcher. The Orioles also come off a 0-8 beat down to the hands of the Rays yesterday which was our Pod, so they will be looking to get back on the saddle today. Remember, the Rangers also come off a loss, but Padilla has never had much success against a fastball hitting team such as the O's. Padilla consequently is 2-5 with a 8.6era against the Orioles. Padilla won his last contest with a 4.76 era, but I don't think he'll be as fortunate today as Uehara has solid talent. Either way, high scoring or low scoring, I will take the better pitcher as these offenses or equitable and the Orioles bullpen is solid which is part of the reason this team has started 5-2 as they have a great crop of coaches and managers as well who are pulling the right trigger on all fronts right now.

Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.

[Mr. IWS]

STAN SHARP

DOUBLE DIME

SAN ANTONIO -4 OVER GOLDEN ST @ 10 30 est