4-19-09

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Stryker

5* ORLANDO

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#966 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago Cubs -130
#971 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox +151

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#710 - NBA - 3 units on LA Lakers -11.5
#713 - NBA - 3 units on Miami +5
#716 - NBA - 3 units on Denver -6

[Mr. IWS]

Dave M@linsky

4* Under Orlando/Philly

[Mr. IWS]

DailyPowerRatings
Daily Free Pick -
Sunday, April 19th

5* Star - 9+ Point Differential from Point Spread (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 7 to 8 Point Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 5 to 6 Point Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 3 to 4 Point Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 2 Point Differential (No Play Recommended)

Team
(Game*) Game Rating
(Point Differential) Vegas
Line Our
Line Power
Rating Series Home/
Away Rest/
Play
(711) Philadelphia


6 1 1 2
(712) Orlando 4* Star (-8) -9 -17 2 -2 -3 0



Today's Play:
4* Orlando (-9) 2 Unit Play, should be -17 Point Favorites

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott

5 UNIT PLAY (Total Of The Month)

Boston/ Baltimore Over 10: Baltimore's road games have averaged 16.8 rpg and they do come in 3rd in scoring at 6.2 rpg. John Lester has strugggled out the gate with a 9.00 ERA in his 2 starts and should have problems with this strong Baltimore offense. Koji Uehara has a 7.20 ERA in his 2 starts and a 2-0 record in those starts and that would indicate high scoring games (15.5 rpg in his 2 starts). He will be facing a Boston team that is starting to score as they have averaged 7.3 rpg in their last 4 games. This one should be easy.



4 UNIT PLAY

Cleveland/ NY Yanks Over 10.5: AJ Burnett has a 9.00 ERA in his last 4 starts vs the Tribe, while Pavano has been rocked in his first 2 starts (16.71 ERA). The Yanks were blasted last night 22-4 and you can expect the big bats will be out for revenge. Cleveland has scored 37 runs in the first 3 games of this series and should continue to score vs Burnett. Easy over here.



3 UNIT PLAY

Texas/ Kansas City Over 10.5: Do we see a pattern here with the Overs. LOL Texas has a very powerful offense and they have been held to just 3 runs in their last 2 games. The Rangers are still scoring 8.1 rpg at home this year and they should breakout again vs today's starter. Kyle Davies does have a 2.13 ERA to start the year for the Royals, but he has a career 5.52 ERA, including a 5.89 ERA in 4 starts vs the rangers and an 8.03 ERA in 3 starts at Rangers Ballpark. The Royals should be able to grab plenty of runs vs Padilla, who has a 10.00 ERA in his 2 starts this year and he does have a 4.79 ERA in his last 13 starts at Rangers Ballpark and he owns a 4.,79 ERA in 4 career starts vs the Royals. Last night just 2 runs were score, but Ranger home games have still scored 14.5 rpg. I see this one hitting that mark as well.



2 UNIT PLAY

Cincinnati -119 over HOUSTON: Edinson Volquez will out duel the rookie as Cincinnati gets payback for last night's 7-0 loss.



1 UNIT PLAY

NY METS -157 over Milwaukee

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

04/19/2009
MLB Baseball
Indians/Yankees Over 9.5 runs -110
Pavano/Burnett

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Utah/L.A. Lakers (NBA) OVER 209.5
Range: 208 to 211.5

4* Kansas City (Davies) +100 over Texas (Padilla)
Range: +115 to -120

3* Seattle (Silva) -120 over Detroit (Porcello)
Range: -105 to -140

[Mr. IWS]

Discount Sports Picks

20* Florida (Volstad) -145 over Washington (Cabrera)
5* Colorado (Jimenez) -105 over L.A. Dodgers (McDonald)

[Mr. IWS]

Elite Sports Picks

N.Y. Yankees (Burnett) -1.5 runs -120 over Cleveland (Pavano)

[Mr. IWS]

Cal Sports

4* Nuggets
3* Phi under, Mia under

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie
Daily Premium Hoops
& Hockey Winners for Sunday


NBA Basketball
100* Play New Orleans (+6) over Denver (NBA)
Denver is 5-10 ATS vs. New Orleans at home
Denver is 1-3 ATS over the last 4 games
Denver is 1-8 SU when playing in the 1st round of the playoffs
Denver is allowing an average of 103 ppg on defense over the last 5 games


100* Play Miami (+5) over Atlanta (NBA)
Miami is 6-2 ATS over the last 8 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS vs. Atlanta on the road the last 3 seasons

Other Hoops & Hockey Plays
50* Play Carolina (-140) over New Jersey (N

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie

MLB Baseball for Sunday
100* Play NY Yankees (-250) over Cleveland
50* Play Tampa Bay (-170) over Chicago White Sox
50* Play Kansas City (+100) over Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

20* baseball

minn
arizona
mil
over phillies
under yanks

20* BASKETBALL

ATL/MIAMI UNDER
NO/DENVER OVER
New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky (8-1) last 2 days in Bases per website

Today’s Free Pick
GAME: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Francisco Giants Apr 19, 2009 4:05PM
SPORT: Major League Baseball Picks
PICK: over
Offered at: 8
REASON FOR PICK: 4* #962 SAN FRANCISCO/ARIZONA Over

It is going to be a nice “summer” day in San Francisco, with the first pitch temperature in the upper 70's and a slight breeze blowing out to right field. That does not call for the cheap “8’s” that the betting markets reduced this game to in the early trading (you should be able to find one at no worse than -105).

Randy Johnson is off to an 0-2/11.42 start, and at this stage we have to wonder if that is all that there is left. He last only 8.2 innings through those two games, laboring through 175 pitches to merely get that far, and Mike Cameron, Yovani Gallardo (!), Orlando Hudson and Andre Ethier have already homered against him. And while his statistics were decent LY take note of how they got put together – of the 95 pitchers that worked at least 150 innings, his difficulty of batters faced was dead last at #95 (as always, we use On Base + Slugging as our preferred measure). Now he faces a lineup that is most familiar with his ways, and he will have a difficult time getting deep into this one. That opens the door against a mediocre Giant bullpen, one that also has particular late-game issues with closer Brian Wilson already throwing 41 pitches in working each game of this series.

Arizona counters with hard-throwing Max Scherzer, for a while. But maybe not for long. Scherzer only got 8.2 innings of work in the Cactus League, and went 4.2 in a AAA start and five frames in his lone outing with the Diamondbacks. That does not have him anywhere near the kind of rhythm and conditioning needed to make more than a couple of passes through a lineup, and note that he has yet to pitch beyond the 6th inning in his Major League career.

There are multiple ways to win this one – hitters that have been had-cuffed so far in this series can get some good early swings in the warm conditions against the fastballs that they are going to see, but even if Johnson and Scherzer can be effective at the start we do not expect either to be around when the 7th inning takes place. That means late opportunities against middle relief corps that are unimposing, and it does not ask us for much at all to top this low Total.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock
4 Lakers
3 Heat
4 Pirates
4 over 10 NYY/Clev

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Rose
Milwaukee Brewers r951
New York Mets r952
o9.5 (-115) / 3 units



3* MIL/NYM OVER 9? -115 (SUPPAN/FIGUEROA) ACTION 1:10 ET (BETUS)


1:35p

Mike Rose
Baltimore Orioles r973
(185) / 2 units



2* BAL +185 (UEHARA) VS. BOS (LESTER) ACTION 1:35 ET (BOOKMAKER)


4:10p

Mike Rose
Detroit Tigers r979
Seattle Mariners r980
o9.5 / 3 units



3* DET/SEA OVER 9? -110 (PORCELLO/SILVA) ACTION 4:10 ET (BETUS)

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

4 Units - St Louis Blues

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

Trace Adams
1000* - Orlando Magic
500* - Denver Nuggets
500* - Colorado w/Jimenez over McDonald

Both teams closed poorly, the Sixers losing 6 of their last 7, the Magic dropping 4 of their final 6, but my belief is Orlando was just going through the motions, knowing they would be locked into the 3rd spot, while Philly nearly dipped to 8th with their end of the season swoon.

I don't like the matchups at all for the 76ers in this series, as Orlando won and covered all 3 in this year's season series, and they have won 4 straight, and 8 of the last 9 series meetings, covering the last 4, and 6 of the last 8.

Orlando finished the regular season 32-9 straight up at home, going 23-18 against the spread, while Philadelphia went just 17-24 straight up on the road, and 18-23 against the spread in those road games.

I am fully expecting an Orlando blowout win tonight.

1000? - Orlando Magic

Denver finished as the # 2 seed in the West, and a quiet # 2 seed at that, as I don't here much talk surrounding George Karl's team. In the past, the Nuggets defense would do them in come the post season, but the addition of stopper Chauncy Billups has given Denver a little toughness they haven't had in the past, and I expect the Nuggets to open at home with the win, and cover over the Hornets.

New Orleans has played an injury-ravaged regular season, and while CP3 is a man among men, the fact remains the Hornets closed with losses in their last pair, and 6 of their final 8, going just 3-5 against the spread in those setbacks!

Denver has had some flameouts early in the postseason in the past, but I don't think tonight is going to be one of them. The Nuggets did close the regular season with series wins, and covers in 2 of the last 3 meetings against the Hornets.

I like them to make it 3 of 4 with the win, and cover tonight.

500? - Denver Nuggets

In baseball, take the Rockies to avoid the sweep at Chavez Ravine.

Los Angeles has won 7 straight, and they have yet to lose at home at 5-0. One of the Dodgers 3 losses came with rookie McDonald on the hill, as the young righty allowed 5 runs in just 2 innings of work against Arizona.

While you can expect the rookie to be better today, I don't see him outdueling Ubaldo Jimenez for the "W". Jimenez is making his 3rd straight road start, and he is off to a 1-1 start, but coming off a loss at the Cubs.

Jimenez is 3-0 over his last 5 starts against the Dodgers, and I like him today to cool off the sizzling start LA has gotten off to.

Take the Rockies in the small underdog role.

500? - Colorado w/Jimenez over McDonald

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??

[Mr. IWS]

Budin

25- Series bet on Hawks
25- Lakers side bet one game 1

[Mr. IWS]

Kirkwins


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5 Yanks-1.5
3 Seattle over
3 Pitt
3 Florida over

NBA
3 Hawks
3 Lakers over
3 Orlando under
3 New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

Drew Gordon...
200k Atlanta
50k New Orl

[Mr. IWS]

Kent Elola

SUNDAY NBA PLAYOFFS

35 units on Lakers-Jazz OVER 209
30 units on Sixers-Magic UNDER 191
30 units on Miami +5 over Hawks
30 units on Denver -2.5 FIRST HALF over New Orleans
40 units on Denver -5.5 over New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

JMKWinners

15* San Fran Giants 4:05pm ET

10* Cincinnati Reds 2:05pm ET

15* Miami Heat 8:00pm ET

10* Denver Nuggets 10:30 pm ET

[Mr. IWS]

ic


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MLB
Yankees rl
Minn under
Boston over

NBA
Atl ov
new Orleans / denver over

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

UTAH JAZZ

Magic -9.5 over Sixers
Hawks -5 over Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferrrringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take Atlanta (-115) over Pittsburgh
1.5-Unit Play. Take N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -120) over Cleveland
1-Unit Play. Take Cincinnati (-115) over Houston
1-Unit Play. Take Colorado (+105) over L.A. Dodgers
1-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-125) over Oakland
1-Unit Play. Take Seattle (-105) over Detroit
1-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-150) over San Diego

Today's Totals
4-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.0 St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Los Angeles Angels at Minnesota
3.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Colorado at Los Angeles Dodgers
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Oakland at Toronto
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Cincinnati at Houston
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Baltimore at Boston
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Tampa Bay
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 Cleveland at New York Yankees
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Detroit at Seattle