4-29-09

[Mr. IWS]

Gamehunter

Early Game:

Baltimore -128 (2.25 Units)

[Mr. IWS]

Discount Sports Picks

10* Toronto (Tallet)/Kansas City (Greinke) UNDER 7.5
5* San Diego (Coreia) +140 over Colorado (Cook)

[Mr. IWS]

Elite Sports Picks

Florida (Johnson)/N.Y. Mets (Santana) UNDER 7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Diceituponline plays 4/29
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Fireman:

Denver -10 = 25 DIMES

Hawks -5 = 25 DIMES
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Mojo's Picks
MLB: 10 Dimes Baltimore
MLB: 10 Dimes Seattle
MLB: 10 Dimes Boston
MLB: 20 Dimes Tampa Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* St. Louis (Wainwright)/Atlanta (Vazquez) UNDER 8.5
Range: 9 to 8

3* Seattle (Bedard) -110 over Chicago White Sox (Floyd)
Range: +110 to -130

3* New Orleans/Denver (NBA) OVER 197
Range: 195.5 to 199

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection
*************************
15 games scheduled today.

Of the 30 starting pitchers...15 of them are their teams # 2 starters.

5 others are #1's.

Only ONE game doesn't have a #1 or #2 starter involved...and that is tonights NYY@ DETROIT game.

FYI
*************************
Day games

UNDER 8.5 WhiteSox..2:05 EDT...Wind In from L/LC at 10 MPH...two good pitchers

SAN DIEGO+140.........3:10 EDT...Cook for COL has served up 5 gopher balls YTD...will take a shot with Correia, who doesn't suck.

UNDER 9.5 Arizona.....3:40 EDT... Davis for AZ has been impressive..middle of Cubbie order banged up....expect Dempster to have a good start.

[Mr. IWS]

EZWINNERS



***** 5 STAR SELECTION *****



Risk/Win: $500 to win $650



(963) Houston Astros +$130

(Listing Paulino and Volquez)

(Line from BetJamaica)





***** 3 STAR PARLAY SELECTION *****




Risk/Win: $300 to win $409



(952) Milwaukee Brewers -$196 and (954) New York Mets -$177

(Listing Gallardo, Snell, Santana and Johnson)

(Line from BetJamaica)





***** 3 STAR SELECTION *****



Risk/Win: $369 to win $300



(971) Boston Red Sox -$123

(Listing Lester and Carmona)

(Line from BetJamaica)





***** 3 STAR SELECTION *****



Risk/Win: $300 to win $399



(965) Los Angeles Dodgers +$133

(Listing Stults and Lincecum)

(Line from BetJamaica)

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball

#551 - NBA - 3 units on Miami +5.5
#553 - NBA - 3 units on New Orleans +10.5

Baseball

3 units on Chicago Cubs -117
3 units on San Francisco -144
3 units on LA Angels +128

[Mr. IWS]

GameHunter


2009 Record: 85-59, +57.665
Tuesday: 4-2, +5.190 units



BALTIMORE -128 (2.25 UNITS)

OVER OAK/TEX 10.5 RUNS (-114) (2 UNITS)

UNDER STL/ATL 1ST 5 INNS 4 (+102) (1.75 UNITS)

SAN DIEGO +144 (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER SEA/CWS 1ST 5 INNS 4.5 RUNS (-103) (1.5 UNITS)

UNDER MINN/TB 1ST 5 INNS 4.5 (-116) (1 UNIT)

UNDER MINN/TB 8 RUNS (+108) (0.75 UNITS)*

[Mr. IWS]

Diceituponline

Stansfield:

5 dimes Pirates ML to win 9 dimes

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover


PICK: Pittsburgh Pirates
Your pick was graded at: 183 5Dimes
EXPERT: Stephen Nover
TITLE: Early NL Winner
EVALUATION: Play Not Evaluated.
REASON FOR PICK: The Pirates never win in Milwaukee, but at this price I'll take Pittsburgh to end their Brewers jinx.

I like Brewers starter Yovani Gallardo. But the Pirates have the more rested bullpen and are going with Ian Snell, who is 4-1 with a 2.38 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers.

Pittsburgh has won 60 percent of its day games this season.

This is a one-unit play for me.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK
4 M's
4 over 10.5 Sd/Col

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Big Ticket
Under 9 Houston/Cinci

reg- Over 9.5 Red Sox

reg- Denver -10.5

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

Wednesday's Card
10 Dime Hawks



5 Dime Hornets



5 Dime Cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

5 Units New Orleans +10.5

[Mr. IWS]

sargentsportsline

3 UNIT-Cleveland Indians
3 UNIT-Atlanta Hawks

[Mr. IWS]

tonyosports

Play: HEAT
Comments: (NBA SLAM DUNK # 5 IN A ROW) - The Atlanta Hawks will look to continue to stifle Dwyane Wade as they prepare for a huge Game 5 tonight at home against the Miami Heat. The Hawks' defense on Wade will determine whether or not they'll advance to the 2nd round. In two Atlanta wins, Wade is averaging just 20.5 points per game on 36 percent shooting. But in 2 Atlanta losses, Wade is averaging 31 points per game on 51 percent shooting. The Hawks had six players reach double figures during their Game 4 win which included backup center Zaza Pachulia, who scored 12 points & grabbed a career-playoff high 18 rebounds. Wade hasn't had two back-to-back subpar games in this series, so look for him to rebound & lead Miami to a big Game 5 road win. All Heat!
Result: Pending

Play: RAYS
Comments: The Tampa Bay Rays will go for a series win tonight against Minnesota, as southpaw Scott Kazmir (3-1, 3.97 ERA) will go up against Twins righthander Nick Blackburn (1-1, 4.44 ERA). Kazmir has gotten 30 runs of support in his 3 wins so far this season & hasn't lost to Minnesota since July 18th, 2006. In that game, Kazmir allowed 4 runs on 7 hits in 6 innings of work during the Rays' 8-1 loss. Blackburn's shortest outing of his big-league career came against Tampa Bay on September 19th, 2008 as he lasted just 1 & 1/3 innings while giving up 6 runs on 6 hits during Minnesota's 11-1 loss. Look for Kazmir to have a solid outing today, as Tampa Bay will leave Minnesota with a series win. All Rays!
Result: Pending

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
3 Heat

Financial
3 Nuggets

[Mr. IWS]

Total Sports Solution
5 Marlins

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops

MLB
5* Seattle -117
5* Texas OVER 10.5
5* San Francisco -140
4* St. Louis +108
4* Boston -130

NBA
5* Denver -10.5 **POD**

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Bruno Wins

100 Dime Play (highest rated play)

New York Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Top Play Atlanta/St Louis OVER the total
1000 Units Top Play Houston/Cincy OVER the total
1000 Units Top Play Giants -130
50 Units Atlanta/Miami OVER the total

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe

Miami at Atlanta
Pick: Under 180.5

This has been a most unusual series in that both teams have recorded a pair of double digit wins, one at home and one on the road. What has been consistent for much of the series has been deflated scoring. After playing 4 very low scoring games during the regular season (160, 174, 174 and 160) the teams have gone UNDER in 3 of 4 Playoff games (154, 185 and 152). Only game 2 -- won by Miami 108-93, went OVER the Total (although Miami's 107-78 win in game 3 stayed under by just a deuce). Still, the teams have established styles of play that suggest scoring shall again be limited in game 5 especially with thie now turning into a best of three series. It might well be that the first team to 80 wins this game -- and may be the only team to 85 in a game that handicaps as being played in the high 160s to low 170s

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Kruuger

Miami at Atlanta
Play: Under 179.5

When these two divisional teams have met this past year the best spot to play is the UNDER. In the last 8 meetings between them, the UNDER is 7-1. In their last game, the Heat and Hawks combined in the second half for only a total of 64 points. The pace was a very slow tempo. Dwayne Wade is complaining of back spasms and didn’t practice yesterday. If he is not 100%, the Heat offense does not work. An April playoff trend that deals with the amount of rest for both teams and is 22-2 UNDER since 2004 is active tonight in this game.

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fagro


7* NBA STAR ATTRACTION 59%

New Orleans at Denver
Play: New Orleans +10.5

Denver is coming off a match of the biggest playoff victory in the history of the NBA. This could be looked at in two ways. New Orleans can completely fold after that game and give the series to the Nuggets. Or it can takes some pride in itself and come out strong while Denver could be playing with some overconfidence. My first thought was that it might be more of the latter as the Nuggets will be overconfident and may be looking to just slide by in this game to take the series. As bad as the Hornets played, those players want to play for pride if nothing else. That lopsided victory prompted the linesmakers to bump this line up four points from the previous two games that were played in Denver. I was not expecting double-digits in this game so we get incredible line value and we see that the public does not care and is lining up on the Nuggets side. The Nuggets have mostly dominated the series, and they lead all Western Conference playoff teams in scoring and shooting percentage. The Hornets trail the field in both categories but both of those are skewed by that last game. New Orleans is coming into this game loose and knowing the pressure is on the Nuggets. Hornets forward David West said the pressure is on the Nuggets to close out the series tonight. If Denver wins, it will be the first time since the 1993-94 season the team has advanced past the first round. “We have to go up there with the mind-set we have to do everything in our power to keep the game close and hopefully give ourselves a chance to win,” West said. “We have not played them close up there the last two games.” This is a big contrarian play and that is how money has been made in the NBA this entire season. There is an interesting historical scenario that comes into play here. Two other teams in playoff history have lost games by 56 or more points and they both came back to win the next game. It hasn’t happened since 1973 and while those games really mean nothing here, it does show that when pride is on the line, teams do tend to play better than anticipated. New Orleans does fall into a great contrarian situation as well. Play against favorites of 10 or more points after allowing 80 points or less going up against an opponent after allowing 110 points or more. This situation is 40-13 ATS (75.5 percent) since 1996. This is the first time New Orleans has been an underdog all season long of more than 10 points so we are definitely catching a great number here. 7* New Orleans Hornets

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Royals -145 over Bluejays
Greinke/Tallet

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

under 9.5 New York-Detroit

Double Dime

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

10 Nuggets
3 Hawks

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

30* MIAMI
30* UNDER MIAMI/ATLANTA
30* OVER DENVER/NO

[Mr. IWS]

Brian King

10 dime Tampa Bay Rays
10 dime San Fran Giants

30 dime New Orleans Hornets

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney
Scott Delaney
Wednesday lineup:

30 DIME ATLANTA HAWKS - If Dwayne Wade was battling back spasms at home, and couldn’t do anything but be a hindrance to his team on Monday, what do you think will take place in Atlanta after he spent yesterday out of practice being treated for the ailment? He’ll be evaluated at some point just before the 8 p.m. tip, which tells me he’s still in pain. And all the stretching, H-Wave and Ultrasound treatments and rubdowns he gets won’t take away from the fact he is less than 100 percent, and he is on the road.



Wade comes in after his worst shooting performance of the series Monday, when he was 9 of 26 from the field and 1 of 8 from three-point range in 41 minutes. As you can see, all the halftime-treatment and back rubs during timeouts did him no good. In fact, at one point his teammates had to help him off the bench so he could get back into the game.



Wade’s back injury had a vivid effect on the way he lifted for his jump shots, while it hindered his ability to drive around Atlanta’s defenders, who were sturdy enough against the all-star, who averaged a league-best 30.2 points during the regular season. In this series, his average is down about five points and he’s committing five turnovers in this series. His field-goal percentage and free throw attempts are also down from his season averages.



You’re going to see Atlanta take full advantage of this series, and isolate the opportunity to go up 3 games to 2 in this one, there’s no doubt about it. This whole game and game plan is about being physical at home, getting the crowd into it and taking Wade out of the mix. Lay the chalk with the Hawks.



10 DIME TAMPA BAY RAYS (WITH Kazmir and Blackburn) - I realize the Rays have suffered through a frustrating road trip, having lost two of three in Seattle and Oakland before splitting out here in the Metrodome, but this is a perfect opportunity with Scott Kazmir toeing the slab for us against a right-hander, and I’ll lay the chalk. The Rays, who are 7-5 against northpaws, take on Nick Blackburn, who gave up six runs in 1-1/3 innings of an 11-1 loss last September to the Rays.



And with Pat Burrell expected to be back in the lineup, and the defending AL champs looking to revitalize the offense, I think Kazmir will get the run support he’ll need today. Kazmir has won both road outings this season, including last Friday’s outing in Oakland, where the left-hander yielded two hits over six scoreless innings of an 8-2 win. List both and lay the chalk.

[Mr. IWS]

Gomes
Houston at Cincinnati


Play: Single Dime Play on Under 9
Comments: HOUSTON (9 - 12) at CINCINNATI (10 - 10) Wednesday, 4/29/2009 7:10 PM FELIPE PAULINO (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
A couple of weeks ago Edinson Volquez completely struggled with his command in Houston by walking 5 Astros' batters and still the Astros scored only one run! This is being the story about Volquez and the Astros: 3-0 with an ERA of 1.37 and a WHIP of 1.170! The Astros lineup is batting just .216 against him and I expect Volquez to dominate them once again. Houston is one of the worst offensive teams of the league with the Under cashing 12-3 vs. RHP and 5-2 road games. Last night they scored 8 runs but note that 4 of them were scored in the 5th inning and the Reds committed 3 errors so we can expect a more focused Reds' team on the defensive end.

Meanwhile the Astros send Felipe Paulino to the mound and this is going to be his 3rd start of the season. He made a quality start in his debut facing the Reds by not allowing a single run while striking out 6 batters! The Reds' offense are struggling right now, in the last 5 games for only once they scored more than 4 runs and even in that game (a 8-2 win vs. Atlanta) 6 of the 8 runs come in the same inning (the fifth inning). With both offenses struggling I expect a low outcome for this contest. The line of 9 runs is a high number as I expect this game to end with 6/8 runs. Take the Under in here.
Pick: 3 units on Under 9



Tampa Bay at Minnesota


Play: Single Dime Play on Tampa Bay ML
Comments: TAMPA BAY (8 - 13) at MINNESOTA (10 - 11) Wednesday, 4/29/2009 8:10 PMSCOTT KAZMIR (L) vs. NICK BLACKBURN (R)
The Rays are just 8-13 and naturally they didn't look like the same team from last season however there is a huge difference for them facing lefty handed pitchers than facing right handed pitchers! In fact, they are 1-8 vs. LHP but 7-5 vs. RHP! Facing right handed pitchers the Rays are scoring 5.6 runs/games while batting .277 BA and .354 OBP! Last night once again the Rays struggled facing LHP Francisco Liriano but the scenario for this game is much better as the Twins send to the mound Nick Blackburn. Blackburn is coming from a quality start vs. Cleveland but I can't trust him as he at home already allowed back to back 4 runs vs. Mariners and vs. Angels.

Meanwhile the Rays send southpaw Scott Kazmir to mound and Kazmir is perfect on the road with 2-0 and a micro ERA of 0.75! He had one non quality start so far in the season vs. White Sox but he bounced back last game vs. Oakland. The Twins was a superb team facing lefty handed pitchers last season but the same cannot be said this season as they are batting just .232 BA for a dismal mark of 3.5 runs per game! Last season Kazmir went scoreless against them in his only start vs. Minnesota while Blackburn was pounded vs. Tampa Bay allowing 6 runs in just one inning! I expect the Rays to roll tonight as they have all the edges for a nice win. Take the Rays in here.
Pick: 2 units on Tampa Bay ML
Pick: 1 units on Tampa Bay RL -1.5