5-1-09

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#955 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis +100
#957 - MLB - 3 units on Cincinnati +118
#963 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego +127
#966 - MLB - 3 units on San Francisco -112
#967 - MLB - 3 units on LA Angels +141
#980 - MLB - 3 units on Seattle +100

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball

#566 - NBA - 3 units on Miami -5

[Mr. IWS]

Renning

Pirates 20*

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

5 Dime Heat (1st Half)

5 Dime Heat

5 Dime Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Insider Sports Report

4* Chicago White Sox (Buehrle) -125 over Texas (Feldman)
Range: -105 to -145

3* San Francisco (Johnson) -120 over Colorado (Jimenez)
Range: -105 to -140

3* Boston (Masterson) -125 over Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine)
Range: -105 to -145

[Mr. IWS]

Elite Sports Picks

San Diego (Peavy) +110 over L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw)

[Mr. IWS]

Discount Sports Picks

10* Chicago White Sox (Buehrle) -125 over Texas (Feldman)
5* L.A. Angels (Weaver)/N.Y. Yankees (Pettitte) UNDER 10.5

[Mr. IWS]

steve merrill


5 units nationals(action)
5 units white sox under 11
5 units brewers (action)

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRRINGO

1.5-Unit Play. Take Toronto (-1.5, -125)
1.5-Unit Play. Take San Diego (+125)
1.5-Unit Play. Take Philadelphia (-110)
1-Unit Play. Take Atlanta (-170)

Today's Totals

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Baltimore
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 St. Louis
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Boston
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

tonyosports

Josh Smith will be Public Enemy #1 for the Miami Heat tonight, as they will attempt to force a Game 7 against the Atlanta Hawks from AmericanAirlinesArena.

Smith attempted a between-the-legs dunk in the final minutes during Atlanta's blowout Game 5 win that seemed to irk some of Miami's players.

The Heat will have to do a better job containing Flip Murray tonight, as Murray nearly outscored Miami's entire bench by himself (Murray scored 23, Miami's bench scored 24) in Game 5.

Heat reserve Michael Beasley had his best game of the series despite the Game 5 loss, as he scored 18 points off the bench along with 5 rebounds.

I look for Miami to come out with a lot of emotion tonight & they will send this series back to Atlanta for a decisive Game 7 on Sunday.

All Heat!

The New York Mets begin a crucial NL East showdown tonight with the Philadelphia Phillies, who currently are in 2nd place with a 2.5 game lead over their rival team.

Mets righthander Mike Pelfrey (2-0, 6.32 ERA) will take the mound Friday night & will be opposed by Phillies righthander Chan Ho Park (0-0, 7.16 ERA).

Pelfrey has been unable to reach the 6th inning in all 3 of his starts so far this season & finished 1-1 in 3 starts with a 4.24 ERA vs. Philadelphia in '08.

Park will attempt to beat the Mets for the first time on Friday since August 9th, 2005. In that game as a member of the San Diego Padres, Park pitched 5 & 2/3 innings & allowed 2 runs on 6 hits while striking out eight during the Mets' 8-3 loss.

Look for the Mets to hold on late to record a win in what should be an exciting slugfest.

All Mets!

Today's Complimentary Play( Blue Jays-1½ -115)

[Mr. IWS]

Dean of sports GOY
NHL GOY

20* Boston -200

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club (and Financial,same pick)
3 Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Akmens

Det/Anaheim Under 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

566 Miami -5
967 NY Yankees Over 10 (Big Ticket)
979 Oakland -105

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis Friday's Lineup
30 Dime ---- HEAT

20 Dime ---- RED SOX (Masterson must start or this play is void)

10 Dime ---- GIANTS (Johnson must start or this play is void)

HEAT --- To me, this game tonight comes down to one thing: PRIDE. How much pride do the Heat have left? Do they realize they are one game away from elimination? Yes, they do. Do they realize the Hawks were "rubbing it in" when Josh Smith tried a "between the legs" dunk on them in the 4th quarter after Game 5 was out of hand? You bet they do.

One things these players thrive on is pride and respect. You don't "disrespect" another man on the basketball court... let alone a team of them. Miami's players were absolutely furious that Smith attempted this type of dunk on them and viewed it as a slap in the face. You can trust me when I say this might be the best complete effort Miami has given the entire playoffs.

The funny thing about this series is that, well, it sucks. It hasn't been fun. Good basketball hasn't been played by BOTH teams in the same game yet. Not one game has been decided by single digits, and I don't see that trend changing tonight... I mean, why should it?

Atlanta knows how well they play at home, and even if they happen to fall tonight, they still get one more game at home where they are DOMINANT. You have to remember, these guys are human, just like you and me. They're not stupid, they know they're currently sitting in the driver's seat right now. Now, I'm not saying they won't come out and give maximum effort, but seeing as they've won just one road playoff game in their last 13 tries tells me this team simply doesn't know how to prepare for road contests.

I also realize Dwayne Wade hasn't been 100% since Game 3, but Atlanta has their own worries as Al Horford is a game-time decision and Marvin Williams isn't expected to play either.

Look, I know both of these teams are capable of winning, but much like my top NBA play of the year on Miami in Game 3 of this series, I believe the Heat will play the game of their lives at home tonight, grabbing a 105-91 victory to force a pivotal game 7.

BOSTON RED SOX --- You know that as a Yankees fan, this play pains me. I hate backing the Red Sox in anything... but color me impressed by Justin Masterson since he's moved from the bullpen to the starting rotation.

So far, two starts for Masterson, and both of them were nearly identical. 5.1 IP in both games; 1 ER in both games; both games resulted in a win for the Red Sox; and both of Masterson's starts resulted in just one ER allowed by the entire staff. Yes, I realize it's early, but if those two starts are any indication as to what he's capable of, you might not see him back in the bullpen anytime soon... even when Dice K comes back off the DL.

There's no doubt, Tampa owns Boston recently, especially at home, but I'll take a pitching matchup like this any day of the week. Andy Sonnanstine counters for Tampa tonight, but let's be honest, he's no Matt Garza or James Shields. He's not even Scott Kazmir. He's a solid pitcher on the backend of their rotation that they hope just keeps the team in the game until they can get to the pen.

Boston has been on quite a roll lately, especially when listed as the favorite (12-1 over their last 13 in that role). Vegas isn't stupid, and they're just begging you to side with the Rays as an underdog at home, tricking you into believing it's "great value". Trust me, it's not.

The Rays are 0-3 in Sonnanstine's starts this year as he sports a 7.78 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP in those three starts. And yes, I realize you could look back at 2008 and feel comfortable backing Sonnanstine tonight, but his two wins against the BoSox last year don't sway me away from watching what he's done in 2009. Until he gets "right", there's no way I could back the Rays in any game. Take Boston as your top baseball play of the day.

SF GIANTS --- Randy Johnson vs. Ubaldo Jimenez. Giants 8-3 at home; Colorado 4-7 on the road. I'm sorry, but there are just too many factors in my favor tonight. The Giants have won seven of their last nine and are getting very solid pitching from their starters, their middle relief and their closer, and nothing about Colorado on the road really scares me from backing Johnson tonight.

The last time I backed Ubaldo Jimenez, I think the Dodgers hit 25 home runs and, at last report, they were still hitting (sorry, poor attempt at humor). Seriously, though, this guy has been nothing short of miserable to start the season.

There was a lot of hype surrounding Jimenez at the beginning of the year... some even thought he could be a legitimate ace. Sorry, but I haven't seen it. The guy's WHIP is over 2... THAT'S INSANE. That means every inning Jimenez has allowed at LEAST two base runners, whether by hit or walk. I'll take those odds every time. No wonder the guy has just one win in four tries this year.

After dominating Arizona in his first start of the year (no ER in 7 innings of work), Jimenez has allowed 14 BB, 16 ER and 19 H in three games since then.

And again, I'll say that I'm fully aware that old-man Randy Johnson hasn't been great either, but in two home games so far this year, Johnson has allowed a total of four ER in 12 innings of work, not to mention 14 total strikeouts (7 in each game). At his age, he probably doesn't like to travel and pitch as much as he did in his younger days. The cool breezes of AT&T Park are just what the doctor ordered tonight for Mr. Johnson, as he sets down the Rockies and the Giants run their home record to 9-3.

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes


CINCINNATI (11 - 10) at PITTSBURGH (11 - 10)
Friday, 5/1/2009 7:05 PM BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. ZACH DUKE (L)

Note: No write ups for today
Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on Pittsburgh ML @ 1.80 on Pinnacle



SAN DIEGO (11 - 11) at LA DODGERS (15 - 8)
Friday, 5/1/2009 10:10 PM JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on San Diego ML @ 2.24 on Bookmaker




BOSTON (14 - 8) at TAMPA BAY (9 - 14)
Friday, 5/1/2009 7:38 PM JUSTIN MASTERSON (R) vs. ANDY SONNANSTINE (R)

Pick: 3 units (Regular Play) on Over 9 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle




KANSAS CITY (12 - 10) at MINNESOTA (11 - 11)
Friday, 5/1/2009 8:10 PM SIDNEY PONSON (R) vs. KEVIN SLOWEY (R)

Pick: 2 units on Minnesota ML @ 1.588 on Pinnacle
Pick: 1 units on Minnesota RL -1.5 @ 2.19 on Pinnacle

[Mr. IWS]

GAMEHUNTER

2009 Record: 88-67, +47.9325

Thursday: 2-4, -3.1825 units

Hit a brick wall at the end of April as things seem to fall apart late in games. I'm happy with the great April. There is no way I can expect to keep up that pace as that would be over 280 units by year's end. Heck, I'd do a dance if I was guaranteed of +100 units for the season. Let's see if I can start a new month with a good Friday!



WASHINGTON -110 1ST 5 INNS (1.25 UNITS)
WASHINGTON -108 (1 UNIT)


METS +105 (2.25 UNITS)

CUBS -1.5 RUNS (-112) (1.75 UNITS)

HOUSTON +158 (1.5 UNITS)

LA ANGELS +143 (1.5 UNITS)

SEATTLE EVEN (1.5 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Bruno Wins

15 dime play

Atlanta Hawks

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

566 Miami -5
967 NY Yankees Over 10 (Big Ticket)
979 Oakland -105

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Wash -120

Double Dime

[Mr. IWS]

kelso

3 units Heat

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 2500 Dime High Roller
Atlanta Hawks (182) at Miami Heat (-5') - 8:05 p.m. EST



This series is going seven games folks as the Heat will score a blowout Game 6 win tonight at home, where they have covered seven of their last 10 overall and 13 of their last 17 versus the Hawks. Atlanta, already utilizing a thin bench, will be without a healthy Al Horford (ankle), but more importantly, the Hawks have pissed the Heat off. Whether it be Josh Smith show-boating on a missed dunk, Mario West celebrating an end of the first half defensive stop against Dwyane Wade like he'd won the NBA title or even the Hawks play-by-play announcer Steve Holman mocking Wade and his teammates, this Miami team is hot mad. Much like their game 3 blowout at home, Miami will come out smoking from the opening tip and blast Atlanta (1-5 ATS as a dog), which outside of Game 5, has done very little on the road this year or on the highway in recent postseasons. Wade and Miami in a rout by at least 15 points.





MIAMI HEAT (-5') 2500 Dime High Roller

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Stu's 100 Dime MLB Winner #1

Cincinnati Reds (Arroyo) at Pittsburgh Pirates (Duke') - 7:05 p.m. EST



Bounce back win for the Pirates who just got swept at Milwaukee (18th straight losses at Miller Park!). Zach Duke (3-1, 2.43) is pitching well and has gone at least six innings in all four starts. The Reds averaged just 2.3 runs in six games and PNC Park and Bronson Arroyo (6.48 ERA this year) was most recently rocked by the Braves. Bucs win.



PITTSBURGH PIRATES(Duke) (-135) 100 Dimes


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Stu's 100 Dime MLB Winner #2

Chicago White Sox (Buehrle) at Texas (Feldman) - 8:05 p.m. EST



This one stays under tonight in Arlington. The Sox are struggling big time to score and are missing Jim Thome in the middle of the lineup. They do have Mark Buehrle (3-0, 3.00), who is 10-3 with a 2.84 lifetime against the Rangers, who will be minus Josh Hamilton's bat tonight. Scott Feldman gave up one run in five innings at Baltimore last start and has a 3.72 ERA in his career versus the Sox. This total is too high and it stays low.




UNDER (11) (-110) 100 Dimes

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Stu's 100 Dime MLB Winner #3

San Diego Padres (Peavy) at L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) - 10:10 p.m. EST


The Dodgers Clayton Kershaw (0-2, 7.29) has been hit hard his past two starts while the Padres Jake Peavy (2-3, 5.74) has hardly been his dominant self. L.A. is playing great at home (7-0) and are one of the top hitting teams in the league. This total is too low and this game goes over the posted price tonight.




OVER (8) (-110) 100 Dimes