5-2-09

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky

6* Under 197 bulls/celtics

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#573 - NBA - 3 units on Chicago +6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Baseball
#901 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis -130
#912 - MLB - 3 units on Milwaukee +107
#915 - MLB - 3 units on San Diego +149
#920 - MLB - 3 units on Toronto -125

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAYS

NY Yanks/ LA Angels Over 10

The Over is 6-0 in Angels last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, while the Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. The last 7 games played in NY have averaged 13.1 rpg, with 6 of the 7 going over the total. CC Sabathia has struggled in his first year with the Yanks thus far with a 4.73 ERA and his games have averaged 11.2 rpg. CC also has 2 home starts, with a 5.11 ERA and those 2 starts have averaged 14 rpg, plus he owns a 7.02 ERA in 3 day starts, with those games averaging 14.33. Matt Palmer has just 1 start on the year with a 6.00 ERA and that start put up 15 total runs. Overall Matt has just 4 career starts, with a 7.71 ERA in those starts. The Angels have averaged 6.9 rpg in their last 9 games, while the Yanks have averaged 9 rpg in their last 4 games and they have averaged 6 rpg at home. Yankee home games are the highest scoring in the league at 13.8 rpg, while their days games have averaged 13.8 rpg. Here we have some hot hitting, some struggling pitching & two of the worst pens in the league in the top scoring park in baseball. No brainer here. Easy Over.


Baltimore/ Toronto over 10.5

The Over is 22-8-3 in Orioles last 33 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, while the Over is 25-11 in Blue Jays last 36 during game 2 of a series. 10 of the last 12 played in toronto between these two have gone over the total, with an average of 10.9 rpg being scored in the last 10. Bradley Bergesen has just 2 starts on the year and has a 5.59 ERA in those starts and an average of 13 rpg being scored. Toropnto has averaged 6.1 rpg vs righty starters, while the O's have averaged 5.5 rpg vs righty starters. Toronto's last 9 games overall have averaged 11.4 rpg, while Oriole road games have avergaed 14 rpg. Neither pitcher has faced the opponent and that gives them the edge, but I still feel that both offenses will have a good afternoon and pu no less than 13 runs on the board in this one.


2 UNIT PLAY

St louis -124 over WASHINGTON

The Cardinals are 12-1 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 and 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite of -110 to -150, while the Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 during game 3 of a series and 1-7 in their last 8 vs. National League Central. Joel Piniero has been solid out the gate, with a 4-0 record and a 3.76 ERA. Shairon Martis does have a 2-0 record overall, but with a high 6.21 ERA. The Nats are just 2-2 in his starts. The Cards havce one of the top offenses in the NL, they have their top pitcher on the mlound and are playing the worst team in the league. Easy call here.


1 UNIT PLAY

PHILADELPHIA -113 over NY Mets

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning
marlins/playmaker

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK
5 Indians
4 Rangers
4 over 10 Ang/NYY

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Financial Package

4 Units on Philadelphia (-115)

3 Units on Toronto (-125)

[Mr. IWS]

jack jones

15* on Philadelphia Phillies -115 over NY Mets

It seems like there is something wrong with Oliver Perez who has given up 20 runs in 19.3 innings this year, mainly because he's issued 15 free passes. Jamie Moyer hasn't been great, but is coming off a six innings, one run performance in Florida. the Phillies have torn apart left-handed pitching this year, hitting .317 and scoring 8 runs in the five games. The Mets are struggling and with Perez on the mound this is a good spot to take the defending champs at a cheap price.

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso Sat BB
10 units Bulls

[Mr. IWS]

GameHunter

2009 Record: 91-70, +48.0900 Lemkes

Friday: 3-3, +0.1575 units

DERBY DAY!!!!!!!!!!! I like Desert Party (19) and will sprinkle in Freisan Fire (6) with General Quarters (12) and Pioneer of the Nile (16)

My infatuation with the Nationals continues. Angel Hernandez is behind the plate today and last year he was 25-9 for the homers. Martis pitches well at home and I still am not fond of Pineiro. Feel free to ignore the play as they have cost me about 13 units this season. Have a good Saturday. Family time!


TEXAS -116 (2.25 UNITS)

WASHINGTON +132 (2 UNITS)

METS +111 (2 UNITS)

BALTIMORE +123 (2 UNITS)

OVER SD/LA DODGERS 8.5 (-120) (1.75 UNITS)

OVER LAA/YANKS 10 RUNS (-115) (1.75 UNITS)

DETROIT +101 (1.5 UNITS)

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

921 2:43 Cleveland -110 (Big Ticket)
928 7:08 Texas -125
574 7:13 Boston Under 195.5

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass Bases
20* Pitt
20* Clev
20* TB
20* Oak
30* Phil

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferrrrringo

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5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 N.Y. Mets
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Florida
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 L.A. Angels
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 Cleveland
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 11.0 Chicago White Sox
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 St. Louis
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.5 Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

Saturday's Card
15 Dime Brewers



5 Dime Bulls



5 Dime Hatton-Pacquiao Under 10 Rounds

[Mr. IWS]

DOC NHL

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Pitt for 3 units

[Mr. IWS]

Doc NBA

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Boston u196 for 4 units

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club (Financial is the same pick)
3 Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

M@linsky

4* Yankees RL

[Mr. IWS]

charlie
chicago @ boston under 196' & mlb. oakland @ seattle under 8' runs(500*).
nba. boston-6' (30*)
mlb. detroit-115 (20*)
mlb. cincinnati-115 (20*)
mlb. boston-125 (10*)
mlb. arizona-125 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

KB

6 Straight winning nights in baseball, and I have hit 6 Consecutive POD's. Lets keep it going, Saturdays final card is below

MLB
5* Toronto OVER 10.5 **POD**
5* NY Yankees OVER 10.5 +107
5* NY Mets +108
4* St. Louis -116
4* Boston -113

NBA
3* Bulls +6.5
3* Bulls OVER 195.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Bulls/Celtics Under

Phillies -120 over Mets
Moyer/Perez

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

BOS/CHI Under 196

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 2500 Dime High Roller
________________________________________
Chicago @ Boston 8:05 PM ET
Play On: Boston -6.5

The general public has fell in love with Bulls in this series. In this particular instance we are talking about the most highly pressurized of situations in the NBA Playoffs and that is a Game 7. Having said that experince will be a critical factor in this affair. The celtics were involved in two Game 7 situations in the 2008 Playoffs both versus decided underdogs and prevailed in easy fashion in both. This is the "Baby Bulls" first rodeo of this magnitude. The Celtics are tired of being part of close games resulting in this becoming a series of epic proportions. This one will not be an instant classic. Play on Boston minue the points as my 2500 Dime High Roller.





Stu's 100 Dime MLB Winner #1

Cleveland (Laffey) @ Detroit (Miner) 3:40 PM ET
Play On: Cleveland +102

The Indians have owned Detroit winning the last 8 meetings between these two clubs. The Cleveland starter Aaron laffey has been excellent in his first 3 starts of the season posting a 2.41 ERA. The Detroit starter Zach Miner enters the game in bad form off of his last 3 starts posting a 1.86 WHIP and 6.43 ERA. Miner is a money-burning 4-10 with his last 14 team starts as a home favorite. Play on the Cleveland Indians as a 100 Dime MLB selection.


Stu's 100 Dime MLB Winner #2


________________________________________
Mets (Oliver Perez) @ Philadelphia (Moyer) 3:40 PM ET
Play On: Philadelphia -113

Jamey Moyer has been solid in his last 3 starts with the Phillies winning all 3 games that he has taken the hill. Moyer is 7-1 in his last 8 team starts as a favorite. Philadelphia is an extremely profitable 9-1 in their last 10 versus a left-handed starting pitcher. The Phillies are hitting a torrid .308 as a team versus left-handed pitching at home so far in 2009. The Mets starter Oliver Perez has struggled badly out of the gate in this new season. Until we see something different from Perez and at this price he is a play against. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies as a 100 Dime MLB selection.




Stu's 100 Dime MLB Winner #3

________________________________________

Boston (Wakefield) @ Tampa Bay (Niemann) 7:05 PM ET
Play On: Under 9.0

Both of these starting pitchers enter the game tonight in very good form off of their last 3 starts. Tim Wakefield has seen 5 of his last 6 starts go under the total. The Red Sox are hitting just .230 on the road versus right-handed pitching so far this season. Both of these bullpens are amonst the best the American League has to offer. Enough said play on under the total as a MLB 100 Dime selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Fred Wallin
Fred Wallin's Total Play of the Weekend
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (May 2 7:05 PM)
Over 8.5 (-105.0)
Should be rocking and rolling at PNC as Owings is hittable and might be the best hitting pitcher in baseball. Ohlendorf has pitched well for the Pirates but is hittable. The Pirates scoring problem ends tonight.

Over is the winning play

[Mr. IWS]

indiancowboy

4 Unit Play. #928. Take the Texas Rangers -130 over the Chicago Whitesox

2 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 -115 between the Oakland As @ Seattle Mariners

4 Unit Play. #574. Take the Boston Celtics -6 over the Chicago Bulls

[Mr. IWS]

Drew Gordon
Today's Games...

1. 200,000? Celtics
2. 50,000? Rangers

1. Celtics- I know, I know, everyone not only wants, but expects this game to be insanely competitive, like Game 6 or the multitude of razor close games in this series. But I for one, DO NOT expect that to happen tonight, and here's why:

First, there's a big difference between Game 6 and Game 7... The venue, as now the baby Bulls have to come to TD Banknorth Garden and attempt to eliminate the defending champs - a tall order if you ask me. Despite a couple bad games this series, Boston has been outstanding at home, going 37-7 SU there on the season. True, they are on a 5-14 slide ATS at home, but quite frankly, I believe Vegas knows that and we're actually getting value here, as I can easily see the Celtics winning this game by 10+ points.

I know its hard to believe, but remember guys, the Celtics had a 8-point lead late in Game 6 and simply let it slip away. Not only that, but Rajon Rondo, one of the Celtics "new" Big 3 had a good, but strange game (19 assists and no turnovers, but shot only 4 of 17). You know he'll shoot a hell of a lot better on the friendly rims at home, and his production (point production to be specific) is critical, as the Celts need him to score as well as distribute. Rondo is the key, and I say he gets it done at home tonight.

That brings me to Paul Pierce, who unlike Rondo (who had a good game with 19 assists), really did not play well in Game 6. He shot just 5 of 13 and had one of the costliest turnovers of the game in Game 6 (the Noah steal late). Look guys, what I'm trying to say is both Pierce & Rondo could've played better offensively, and if they would've, that 8-point lead late would've grown instead of evaporated. Point is, this Celtics team can beat the Bulls handily, we just haven't seen them put together a "complete" effort since Game 3 (a reminder of what this Boston team can do), and that's EXACTLY what I expect tonight.

Bottom line, Game 7's have a way of separating the men from the boys. Bulls have made a nice run, and are a team to contend with in the future, but tonight, their youth and inexperience comes back to bite them in the ass. Rondo, Pierce, and Allen lead the way, with a healthy dose of Glen Davis, as the Celtics circle the wagons at home and finally deliver that "complete" effort we've been waiting for at home all series!

Take the Celtics over the Bulls as your top-rated play of the day.

2. Rangers- True, Contreras is coming off his best start of the 2009 season, but its going to take a lot more than one good start to make me a believer again. Let's not forget, we're talking about the same guy who's still 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA on the season! Not only that, but that quality start came at home against the Blue Jays, whereas tonight's start is the complete opposite - on the road against a team he's struggled mightily against! Read on...

Anyone who's followed Contreras knows that Arlington has been a nightmare for him, going 1-1 with an astronomical 8.69 ERA in career starts there! Not only that, but he was 3-3 with a 5.85 ERA on the road last season, so let's not get too carried away with one good home start in 2009!

Granted, I'm not saying Brandon McCarthy is a lockdown pitcher, but he did post back-to-back quality starts before a sloppy game at the Orioles. Although he's never pitched against his former team during the regular season, we should expect a nice bounce back at home here, where his career ERA in 19 games with Texas is 4.34, or almost a run lower than his current ERA on the season (5.32).

Finally, although Hamilton is on the disabled list, the Rangers still have plenty of pop with Kinsler and company. Texas is averaging an impressive 6.1 runs per game against righties at home, and they should have little trouble matching that number against a pitcher they've dominated in the past. In the end, the Rangers have lost 2 straight at home, and I expect they'll come out swinging in this one - bad news Contreras if you ask me!

Take the Rangers behind McCarthy over the Chicago White Sox and Contreras in this MLB match up.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino
Bob Valentino Saturday's NBA Playoffs winner ... 40 DIME -- BOSTON CELTICS (minus the points vs. Chicago Bulls)

NOTE: As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

To that point, if this number is sitting at 6 1/2, play it smart and buy the half-point and only lay 6. You do not want to get beat by the half-point - the "hook" -- in this

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Saturday's Play
5 Dime - Cincinnati Reds



Yes, the Pirates are struggling, having lost four in a row and being shutout in 22 straight innings following last night's 4-0 loss to Cincinnati, a game in which their offense mustered just five singles. Injuries, particular those to catcher Ryan Doumit and shortstop Jack Wilson, have certainly hurt, but that's not the reason I'm going against them tonight.



Truth be told, it's not like the Reds are striking fear into the hearts of opponents with their offense, currently ranked 28th in the majors with 82 runs scored in 22 games. But, Cincinnati has been getting good pitching for the most part this season and its staff has put up 19 scoreless frames on the board heading into Game Two of this series.



The reason I'm backing the Reds in this virtual pick-em game is Micah Owings, who lately has received more recognition for his hitting than pitching. But after struggling in his first two outings with his new team, Cincinnati's fifth starter came up with a gem in his last appearance, holding Atlanta to one run on six hits while fanning six in seven strong innings. True, the Braves aren't exactly an offensive juggernaut, but as noted previously, neither are the Pirates.



At the beginning of the 2008 season Owings was getting attention for his work on the mound as he won his first four starts while compiling a 2.42 ERA pitching for the Diamondbacks. But then he hurt his ankle running the bases in his fifth start and never was the same the rest of the season.



Last Sunday I backed Pittsburgh's Ross Ohlendorf at San Diego and he delivered as a big road dog in the last game won by the Pirates. But today I've got to go against the Bucs and side with Owings and Cincinnati.

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 2500 Dime High Roller
________________________________________
Chicago @ Boston 8:05 PM ET
Play On: Boston -6.5

The general public has fell in love with Bulls in this series. In this particular instance we are talking about the most highly pressurized of situations in the NBA Playoffs and that is a Game 7. Having said that experince will be a critical factor in this affair. The celtics were involved in two Game 7 situations in the 2008 Playoffs both versus decided underdogs and prevailed in easy fashion in both. This is the "Baby Bulls" first rodeo of this magnitude. The Celtics are tired of being part of close games resulting in this becoming a series of epic proportions. This one will not be an instant classic. Play on Boston minue the points as my 2500 Dime High Roller.