5-16-09

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

MLB | May 16
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants San Francisco Giants +150

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the SF Giants over the NY Mets slated to start at 4:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 30-11 making 26.2 units since 2003. Play on home dogs with a money line of +100 or higher starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing facing an opponent with a hot starting pitcher WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts. SF is a solid 119-102 (+49.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better since 1997. Here again, this angle exemplifies the principals of the AiS neural network methodology. It is just 17 games over 500 win percentage, but has made 49.3 units in profits. I often use the Black Jack analogy for these powerful reinforcing systems and angles. Imagine playing BJ and getting paid $1.40 for every $1.00 winning wager. We would not sleep if that were the case, but it is a reality with my research. Take SF.

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Trapp

MLB | May 16
Cleveland Indians vs. Tampa Bay Rays Total 9½ ov-110

Craig keeps up his hot streak in his 5 star Best plays of day going 4-1 this week. Yesterday had Detroit m/l and they won by double digits. Unfortunately free play lost with the Reds unable to hold onto a late game lead. Today we get back on track with free TOTALS WINNER!!


Betting Trends


Over is 5-2 in Pavanos last 7 starts overall.


Over is 5-0 in Indians last 5 road games.


Over is 5-1-1 in Rays last 7 overall.


Over is 5-1-1 in Garzas last 7 home starts.


Over is 36-17-2 in Rays last 55 home games vs. a right-handed starter.



Both of these teams rotations have been very disappointing this season. Pavano was a big offseason pickup for CLE and they thought he would be a quality #2 starter. But thus far he has been giving up a ton of runs. In fact the over has gone over in all but one of his 5 road starts. Even worse news for CLE is that TB bats have been on fire the last 5 games hitting over .312 batting average. Garza has been up and down this year but at home has been giving up way too many runs. So far this season the over is 3-1 in his home starts. Ton of hits and scoring in this match up!SCORE TB 7 - CLE 6

[Mr. IWS]

Balfe

MLB
Mil/STL O8.5

[Mr. IWS]

steve merrill

3 units angels over
5 units orioles action

[Mr. IWS]

Dave M@linsky

4* #920 TORONTO BLUE JAYS (Ray)-125 over Chicago White Sox (Colon)

We believe that the Blue Jays are being sold at less than what the home field advantage is worth in this one, creating a serious value situation for a team that the markets simply refuse to accept, and an ideal opponent for us to buck in this setting. The offensive and defensive gaps here are monsters. Toronto has out-scored Chicago by 82 runs, with major edges in batting average (#1 in the A.L. at .289 vs. #13 at .250), doubles (89, which is tied for #1, vs. 48, which is dead last), home runs (47 vs. 35) and walks (147 vs. 105). Defensively the Blue Jays are #1 in the A.L., and #2 in the Major Leagues, on our best set of ratings, while the White Sox are #13 in the league and #29 overall. And we believe that is magnified here on the faster playing surface of the Rogers Centre. So why the short price? Part of that is the lack of respect for Toronto despite that 24-14 opening to the season, and more comes from the fact that Bartolo Colon has a name and Robert Ray does not. But Colon?s 2-3/4.88 might be all that there is at this stage of his career, and his two wins came vs. a Minnesota team playing without Joe Mauer, and punchless Seattle. His three road outings have been an ugly 0-2/7.90, and a hot Blue Jay offense will get some good swings. Meanwhile Ray is a young guy with talent that needs some time on the mound, but we do not need anything all that special from him here ? just a couple of good passes through the lineup before turning it over to a deep bullpen that does not carry any significant fatigue ratings.


4- phily / wash over
3- mets

[Mr. IWS]

Howie's 100 Dime MLB Winner


Colorado Rockies (Cook) @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Snell) 7:05
Play On: Rockies -110

Over the last 21 innings Aaron Cook has owned the opposition compiling a 2.14 ERA. Meanwhile Ian Snell has gotten shelled his last three starts going 0-3 with an ERA around 5. Snell gets little support from the Pirates bats as Pittsburgh is just 1-6 in Snell's 7 starts. Everything posts to a Rockies win as the road chalk.

Play on the Colorado Rockies (-110) as a 100 Dime selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, May 16, 2009


ELITE SPORTS CIRCLE BIG BASEBALL WINNER
Philadelphia w/Myers -130 1:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Burns

Pirates under
Mets under
Padres unde

[Mr. IWS]

Helmut Sports

MLS

YTD
11-5-1
+5.10


Toronto FC (pk) –116

The Reds are coming off a solid road outing against DC United in which they had the lead late in the game. For the second time this season late in the game Marvell Wynne was called for a hand ball in the penalty area in which DC United converted the penalty kick. The Reds face the Impact Wednesday in the Canadian Championship series game and were more dominate than the 1-0 score indicated. The Reds controlled possession time and out shot the Impact 16-3. The score could have been 3-0 but three shots hit the pipe in this match. The Fire’s defense has been a little suspect this season. Toronto was strong last season at BMO field only losing twice on this field. The Fire’s defense has been a little suspect at times this season. They have allowed goals in 7/8 games this season and have played with a man advantage in games four times this season. I like the Reds in this spot not have to give a way any goals.


Real Salt Lake (–0.5) -118

Last week we were on RSL as well in this same spot. We caught a few bad breaks with a late suspension to Javier Morales and an injury forcing goalkeeper Rimando to also sit. Also Jamison Olave did not play in this game due to a red card suspension in the previous game. Yet despite all this we were in position to win the game before a late game collapse allowed the Galaxy to come back and tie the match in added time. In this match we get those players back except for keeper Rimando. RSL has been particularly strong at Real Tinto stadium putting up an 11-1-7 record dating back to the start of the 2008 season. The Wizards have not been a strong team on the road putting up a 1-3-1 record this season. In their lone tie the Fire was leading 2-0 at the 81st minute before collapsing late and allowing the Wizards to comeback and draw. In their lone win against the Sounders they played with a man advantage for most of the game due to a red card given to goal keeper Keller.

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRRRINGO

2.5-Unit Play. Take Boston (-150) over Seattle

2.5-Unit Play. Take Cincinnati (-130) over San Diego

1.5-Unit Play. Take N.Y. Mets (-170) over San Francisco


Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 N.Y. Mets at San Francisco

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.0 L.A. Angels at Texas

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 10.0 L.A. Dodgers at Florida

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Arizona at Atlanta

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Oakland at Detroit

[Mr. IWS]

IndianCowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Under 10 LA Angels / Texas

[Mr. IWS]

EZ Winners

OVERALL RECORD 66-72 (+16.97 UNITS)
A $100 player would be up $1697

5* Parlay- Mets/Yankees +174
3* Cubs -105
3* Reds -124

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops

5* Houston -107 **POD**
5* Washington +1.5 -136 GAME 1
5* Whitesoxs/Jays OVER 10 -125
5* Boston -148
4* Cincinnati -130
4* St. Louis OVER 9 -115

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers



Marlins Big Ticket

Bos/Sea over

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

20* DET
20* COL
20* PHILA GM 1
30* LAA
200* LAD FLA OVER
200* BALT KC OVER

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Florida -120

Triple Dime

[Mr. IWS]

DailyPowerRatings
5* Star - 6+ Run Differential (Highest-Rated 3 Unit Play)
4* Star - 5 Run Differential (2 Unit Play)
3* Star - 4 Run Differential (1 Unit Play)
2* Star - 2 to 3 Run Differential (Slight Edge)
1* Star - 0 to 1 Run Differential (No Play Recommended)
Today's Play:
3* Detroit (-125) 1 Unit Play

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

3-Unit Play Take Florida Marlins -115 over Los Angeles Dodgers

If any is due to have the breaks even out, it is this Marlin team. The Dodgers send out Eric Milton who hasn’t pitched in the majors since 2007. He underwent elbow ligament replacement surgery. He had had seven starts in AAA. He faces Andrew Miller, who is one of the most promising prospects in MLB. He is coming off two solid rehab outings. Like the chances of the Marlin bullpen today a lot better than that of the Dodgers.


4-Unit Play Take Atlanta Braves -125 over Arizona Diamondbacks

Thinking that the Braves are feeling good about being above the .500 level. Once again the patience of Bobby Cox is paying dividends. The Braves have now won 7 of their last 9. Arizona has lost 7 of 9 since changing skippers. Kawakami has shown definite improvement over his past two starts, limiting the Mets and Phillies to two runs in each start. Max Scherzer remains winless in 22 games and 13 starts. In his last start he gave up three homeruns.


7-Unit Play Take the Cincinnati Reds -125 over San Diego Padres

After Friday’s loss snapped a four-game road winning streak, the Reds hope to resume their solid play away from home in the second game of a three-game series in San Diego. It is a big game for the Reds, as they face Jake Peavey tomorrow. Also, the last time the Reds lost a game they rebounded with a 13-5 thrashing of Arizona. Cincinnati has now won 10 of its last 14 road games. Meanwhile, the Padres are 5-19 in their last 24 and have lost 6 of their last 7. Doubt whether their closer, Heath Bell, is a go or would at least be effective tonight. Like Cincinnati as my National League Game Of The Year.

[Mr. IWS]

Joe D'Amico

Indians at Rays
Pick: Over 9.5

These two teams have played the last two days and have scored 33 runs combined. Going back to last season, these teams have now played to 4 straight OVER"S. In the current situation ( home/away day/night) these teams have combined this season for 7 OVER'S and just 1 UNDER. Cleveland sends Pavano to the mound. The right-hander has a road ERA of 6.15 this season. Tamba Bay has Garza throwing. He has a home ERA of 3.49. OVER is 4-1 in Pavano's last 5 road starts, 17-4 in Cleveland's last 21 games as a 'dog, and 5-1 in Cleveland's last 6 vs. RHP. OVER is 4-0-1 in Garza's last 5 as a home favorite, 5-0-2 in Tampa Bay's last 7 as a favorite, and 4-0 in Tampa bay's last 4 overall. Take the OVER.