5-28-09

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Trapp

NBA | May 28
Orlando Magic vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Total 190 ov-110

Great day yesterday for Craig going 3-0 yesterday. Top 5 star plays were 2-0 for his MLB plays. Today Craig has huge Underdog 5 star Winner that will win guaranteed! Today's free play will win just as easy as yesterdays NBA free play. Lets look at the trends and the winning pick for today!


Betting Trends


-Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.


-Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.


-Over is 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Finals games.


-Over is 5-2 in Magic last 7 vs. NBA Central.



This series has been very one sided with ORL out scoring CLE in every game but one. ORL is up 3-1 and the over is also 3-1. The only under game was under by one point. Also these teams are averaging over 100 pts each in the series. ORL is shooting lights out from the three point line. CLE must shoot better if they are going to have a chance. CLE can't stop ORL and tonight they will outscore them. The surprising ORL Magic will continue to play well and really push CLE in a close game. OVER will be TOO EASY HERE!!Score CLE 102 - ORL 98

[Mr. IWS]

David Burgett

30* Parlay of the month

Arizona RUN LINE -1.5 (+170)
Cubs -125

$1,000 wins $3,860. Good luck guys will be back more with tomorrow!

[Mr. IWS]

Paul leiner...mjwins

25* Indians even

[Mr. IWS]

Cajun Sports

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers

Wrigley Field will be the site of tonight’s National League battle between the host Chicago Cubs and the visiting Los Angeles Dodgers. Both teams enter tonight’s contest off of wins on Wednesday, the Cubs won at home 5 to 2 over the Pirates while the Dodgers were in the Mile High City and came away with an 8 to 6 win over the Rockies. Tonight’s pitching matchup will be a battle of the Randy’s as the Cubs will send Randy Wells to the bump with his 0-1 W/L record and ERA of 1.50. In his last start on Saturday he allowed three runs on five hits over seven innings in a 3 to 1 loss at San Diego. The Dodgers will send Randy Wolf to the hill with his 2-1 W/L record and ERA of 3.02. Wolf’s last start was also on Saturday he faced the LA Angels in interleague play going 6.3 innings allowing four earned runs on ten hits as the Dodgers pulled out the win 5 to 4 although Wolf was not involved in the decision. LA is perfect over his last three starts and Wolf has an ERA of 3.15 with a WHIP of 1.20 striking out 14 batters and only giving five a free pass during that span. In the Dodgers win over Colorado on Wednesday they had 12 hits, left 15 runners on base and scored 8 runs. This qualifies the Dodgers in a Play ON situation that tells us to play on road underdogs off a win in which they had at least ten hits and left ten runners on base and their opponent is also coming in off a win in their last game, these teams are 13-4 W/L +1740 their last 17 qualifying games. The Cubs scored five runs, had twelve hits and left fourteen runners on base in their win on Wednesday over the Pirates. Those numbers qualify Chicago in a Play AGAINST situation that tells us to play against home favorites who are coming off a home win in which they had at least ten hits and left at least ten runners on base versus an opponent who is coming off a road win in which they left at least ten on base, these teams are a perfect 0-5 W/L -810 in this situation. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Dodgers win by 1.8 runs over the Cubs on Thursday night in the Second City so play the underdog here as the Dodgers get the win and cash the ticket for us on Thursday night.

Graded Selection: 2* Los Angeles Dodgers 2 Chicago Cubs 0

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux

#520 - NBA - 3 units on Cleveland -7.5

#903 - MLB - 3 units on Atlanta +115

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex
REDSOX/superplay

[Mr. IWS]

BeatYourBookie

MLB Baseball for Thursday

100* Play Atlanta (+110) over Arizona

50* Play Detroit (+100) over Baltimore


Daily Premium Hoops Winner for Thursday


NBA Basketball


100* Play Orlando Magic (+7.5) over Cleveland (NBA)

Orlando is 18-6 ATS as an underdog this season
Orlando is 18-6 ATS after allowing 110 points or more the last 2 seasons
Orlando is 32-18 ATS in all road games this season

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryan

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Dodgers as they face the Cubs slated to start at 8:00. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 33-14 for 70% winners and has made 21 units since 2003. Play on all teams when the money line is +125 to -125 and is a good hitting team batting >=.275 facing an excellent NL starting pitcher sporting an ERA <=2.70. Dodgers are 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus poor fielding teams that are turning 0.8 or less DP's/game this season. And starter Wolf is a solid 19-7 (+12.8 Units) against the money line versus an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

10 Dime Cavs

[Mr. IWS]

Dr Baseball Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, May 28, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Last year we 120-65 for +$4140 playing $100 per game and our GRAND SLAM Selections are now 412-184 the past FOUR COMBINED! We were also 24-7 in the Playoffs last year. Today we are featuring another GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER for just $35 and PAY ONLY AFTER YOU WIN!! 21-4 RUN!! 5/28/2009

GRAND SLAM BASEBALL WINNER
Boston w/Beckett -130 1:10 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

6 Cavs (Big Ticket)
3 Balt
2 Cubs

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Cavs -7.5 over Magic

[Mr. IWS]

FERRRINGO 5-28 early game
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Take 'Over' 11.0 Tampa Bay at Cleveland (12:05 p.m., Thursday, May 28)
Take Tampa Bay (-110) over Cleveland (12:05 p.m., Thursday, May 28)


Take #907 Boston (-135) over Minnesota (1:10 p.m.)
Take #909 Detroit (+130) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)
Take #904 Arizona (-125) over Atlanta (9:40 p.m.)
Take #901 L.A. Dodgers (+125) over Chicago Cubs (8 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole

CLE / ORL Over 190.5

21-7 O/U last 6 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE teams playing off BB SU losses (CAVS). HOME teams are 16-5 O/U in this situation (CAVS). Home FAVS of 6 > points have gone 8-2 O/U.... and a PERFECT 4-0 O/U in the last 4 seasons.

3-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE home favs of 8 < points playing off a SU road FAVORITE loss (CAVS).

4-0 O/U last 8 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE teams playing off a SU LOSS.... SU LOSS... SU WIN... and SU LOSS (3-1 series deficit).... providing the OU line is 184 or more points (CAVS).

13-2 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVES when the previous game went "OVER the TOTAL' (CAVS).

5-0 O/U since 2000: All NBA Playoff GAME FIVE home teams (in Rounds 2, 3, or 4) when BOTH teams scored 110 > points in the previous game.

In a DESPERATE situation for the home team, I think the "OVER" is worth a small look this evening.....

[Mr. IWS]

Doc

NBA 5-28-09

5 units on the u190.5

[Mr. IWS]

Dave m@linsky

4* BALTIMORE ORIOLES (Hernandez)-110 over Detroit Tigers (Galarraga)

For a team in last place, the Baltimore Orioles have played some decent baseball being in the A.L. East simply does that to a team. What is also does is to under-rate them when stepping out of that difficult division, one that is a collective 10 games over .500 against outside competition this season. This game provides a classic example. 28 of 47 Baltimore games have come against teams that currently sport winning records, while only 16 of 45 Detroit opponents are over .500. And the David Hernandez vs. Armando Galarraga matchup gives us the tools to take advantage this opportunity. The Orioles have been careful to not rush Hernandez, but his numbers show that he is more than ready for the challenge of a Major League mound. He was given a full season at AA ball LY, working to a 10-4/2.68 with 166 strikeouts vs. only 112 hits allowed, and in eight starts at AAA this season it was a 3-1/2.91 with a dominating count of 60 strikeouts vs. only 33 hits allowed. He enters on a run of back-to-back shutouts in which he struck out 20 while allowing only five hits, and not only does his presence bring a spark tonight, but also the fact that the rest of the team is on a major high after making that dramatic rally to beat Toronto on Wednesday, getting a season-high 18 hits in the process (six different players had multiple hits). They were particularly buoyed by the return of Luke Scott, who went 2-4 with a home run and three rbi?s, and the addition of another big left-handed bat matters in this matchup against Galarraga. There may not have been a bigger surprise in the Major Leagues Ly than the Detroit right-hander, an unheralded prospect that turned in a solid 13-7/3.03 campaign. But after getting off to a good start this season the wheels have come off ? he has worked to an 0-4/9.93 over five May starts, and has been every bit as bad as that suggests, with eight home runs allowed in 22.2 innings, and more walks than strikeouts through that span. And it was not as though he was pitching batting practice in the All Star game ? the five teams he has faced in May are a collective 30 games under .500. His biggest weakness is allowing the long ball to left-handed hitters, with 25 blasts in 466 at-bats the past two seasons, and the combination of the Oriole lineup and the friendly right field wall at Camden Yards makes this a particularly difficult matchup for him.

[Mr. IWS]

Triple Crown

3* Baltimore

[Mr. IWS]

C-Stars Sports

1000 Units Top Play Cleveland minus the points over Orlando
50 units Boston over Minnesota
50 Units Cubs over Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

PICK: under
Your pick will be graded at: 190.5 betED
EXPERT: Stephen Nover
REASON FOR PICK: The Cavaliers are out of balance on offense. Most likely they'll win this home game down 3-1, but they'll do it with defense.

Orlando isn't going to shoot 50 percent like it did in Game 4, nor make 17-of-38 shots from beyond the arc. Cleveland's perimeter defense is too strong for that. I don't trust Orlando's erratic point guard Rafer Alston on the road either.

LeBron James is the best player in basketball. His offense gets all the attention. But he's also become a darn good defender, too. Cavaliers coach Mike Brown is a defensive-oriented coach. He knows he's going to need James on the defensive end, which could mean less James on offense and more of a reliance on the lesser Cavaliers scorers.

Cavaliers on the money line probably is the safest play. But I wouldn't recommend laying that kind of price. The Magic have been playing too well for the Cavaliers to be laying this many points. But Cleveland is due. I expect the Cavaliers to have their strongest defensive game. So my play is on the under for three units with the total jacked up because of the Game 4 explosion

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton

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Thursday's winner ...
30 Dime: CAVALIERS in the First Half ONLY (minus the points vs. Magic)

SPECIAL NOTE: This is a first-half play on Cleveland ONLY! Again, you're to play Cleveland minust the points in the first half!



Cavaliers (First Half ONLY)

Surprised? Surprised after riding the Magic four straight times and cashing four straight winners in this series that I would jump off Orlando tonight in Game 5 despite the fact it has all the momentum while the Cavaliers have all the pressure. Despite the fact the Magic have OWNED Cleveland? Despite the fact I’ve been telling you for more than a week now that Orlando is a terrible matchup for the Cavaliers? Allow me to explain.First off, even though they’ve had major problems with the Magic for the last two-plus seasons, I have no doubt that the Cavaliers are going to win this game tonight and force a Game 6. Not to go all Oliver Stone on you, but you can be sure that the NBA has sent word to its officiating crew tonight to, well, let’s just say protect the home team, much the same way that the Lakers were protected versus the Nuggets last night. I am not, however, 100 percent confident that Cleveland can cover this big number for the entire game, because, A) they haven’t shown all season they can cash against Orlando, and B) they’ve been prone to second-half collapses in this series.
On the other hand, the Cavs have been an outstanding first-half team in this series. Get this: In Games 1 and 2 at home, Cleveland led Orlando 63-48 and 56-44 at the break, easily cashing the first-half ticket in both games. Then in Game 3 in Orlando, the Cavs trailed just 42-41 after two periods, but they came back in Game 4 on Tuesday and had a 58-50 halftime advantage.In fact, if you check out Cleveland’s boxscores in their six playoff home games so far, you’ll see they led at halftime in every contest by the following margins: 12, 14, 5, 24, 15 and 12 points. And they covered the spread in five of those six games, and with one more bucket in Game 1 against Atlanta, the Cavs would be 6-for-6 in first halves at home.Bottom line: If there’s one thing I’m absolutely certain of tonight it’s that the Cavs are going to come out like a team possessed, and nobody more so than LeBron James. At the same time, the Magic have come out flat in the first half in every game of this series so far, getting outscored by an average margin of 54.5 to 46. Now, up 3-1 in this series, it would only be natural for Orlando to lack focus and intensity in this contest, at least early on. If that happens, there’s a very good chance the Cavaliers will go into the locker room at the half up 20-plus points.
Simply put, without question the best value on the board tonight is the first half of this Game 5 showdown in Cleveland. Look for the Cavaliers to make an early statement and pounce on Orlando from the opening tip and cash easily.

[Mr. IWS]

charlie
mlb. cleveland-7' (500*).
nba. orlando 2 cleveland under 190 (30*)
mlb. dodgers+120 (20*)
mlb. arizona-125 (20*)
mlb. minnesota+115 (10*)
mlb. tampa bay-120 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams

1500* - Orlando Magic,
500* - Detroit w/Galarraga over Hernandez




2 of the first 4 games in this series have been decided by just 1-point. Tuesday's game was decided by a basket in overtime, and the other game contested was a 10-point Magic win. Now you want to give me 7-plus points with underdog Orlando this evening?!?!?!

Really!?!?!?!?

OK, I am game!

Orlando has shown not just in this series, but during the regular season that they just match up well with the # 1 seeded Cavaliers, and boy is it evident in this series, as the Magic has a strangle-hold now, up 3 games to 1.

The Magic has now won 7 of the last 9 series meetings straight up, and they are on a 19-7-1 spread run in this series the last 27 meetings.

No way I am going against Orlando in this spot. Cleveland needs to show me they can put this team away, and I just don't see it happening.

1500? - Orlando Magic

Baltimore just enjoyed feasting on the fading Blue Jays, but I don't see the feast continuing against a Detroit team that is also off a Wednesday win, and has won 8 of their last 11.

Sure, it is easy to go against Armando Galarraga right now, as the righty has now lost his last 4 decisions, and in pretty ugly fashion, but you can't tell me he is not the more battle-tested starter in this lineup tonight?

David Hernandez will make his major league debut, and my money is on the first place Central Division-leading Tigers to get some run support for Galarraga, and get him back on track.

Take the Tigers.

500? - Detroit w/Galarraga over Hernandez

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play

[Mr. IWS]

Brian Edwards

Orlando at Cleveland
Play: Over 190.5

The 'over' is 3-1 in this series and 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams. The main reason for these 'overs' is moderately low totals and tons of fouls and trips to the charity stripe. As the play gets more physical, the more officials try to keep the games under control (well, L.A. and Denver last night was an exception, but that's because the refs swallowed the whistles and allowed both teams to beat each other up in the fourth quarter) and free-throws galore obviously help 'over' backers. So did 3-pointers galore by the Magic, who hit 17 in Game 4 and hoisted 44. We'll get another 'over' winner tonight.