6-7-09

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG TOTAL PICK FOR NBA PLAYOFF GAME

Game: Orlando at Los Angeles Lakers (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 202 -110

I really like the UNDER again. We played that as a 5-unit play in game one noting that both teams are averaging less than 200 points in the playoffs yet we saw a total of 206. That was the easiest bet of the playoffs thus far as the teams went UNDER the total by 31 points. Now the oddsmakers are in a real quandary. They realize their total for game one was way off but how far can they adjust it? They've shaved four points off that total but just two baskets isn't enough! The total in this game should be under 200 again and yet it's over 200. The Magic and Lakers have both been playing to totals well under their season average. The 20 Magic playoff games have averaged just 190 points, while the Lakers have averaged 198 in their 19 games. The average of the two is 194. The Lakers have played eight of their last nine playoff games at home UNDER the total and 28 of their last 37 as a favorite UNDER the total. The last six times these two teams have met in Los Angeles, the total has gone UNDER in all but one. Orlando is 12-3 UNDER this season vs. teams that average 103+ ppg while the Lakers are 13-5 UNDER at home vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ ppg. I like the UNDER here.

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

MLB Baseball
3 (***) Toronto -(1.5 RL)
3 (***) Atlanta -140

[Mr. IWS]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#703 - NBA - 3 units on Orlando +6.5

Today's Free Pick is Orlando & LA Over 202

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock

5 TB RAYS

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club
4 Magic

Financial
4 Over Magic

[Mr. IWS]

Las Vegas Sport Picks

3* Lakers 1st half -4

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

REASON FOR PICK: I see the White Sox hitting picking up now that Jermaine Dye has served his two-game suspension.

Chicago is facing lefty David Huff, making just his fifth big-league start. Huff has a 9.79 ERA. The White Sox are 17-8 in their last 25 home games against a southpaw.

I rate Bartolo Colon a solid favorite to out-pitched young Huff. The White Sox have defeated Cleveland in nine of their last 12 home contests.

This is a one-unit play for me.

[Mr. IWS]

stephen nover

REASON FOR PICK: I'm sticking with Seattle southpaw Erik Bedard. He's been red-hot allowing two runs or less in each of his last five starts.

The Twins' key bats come from the left side. Minnesota is 7-17 on the road this season.

Seattle is playing better ball, winning six of its last nine.

This is a one-unit play for me.

[Mr. IWS]

WeCoverSpreads

Tigers-112

Rookie Rick Porcello has been pitching like a veteran this season and there is no telling he only has 10 career stars under his belt from his performances this season. He has a 6-4 record, 3.70 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, and a 34 to 17 strike out to walks ratio. He is on fire with six quality starts in a row shutting down opposing offenses three earned runs and less in each game(3,2,1,1,1,0). The Angels bats have struggled vs. right handed pitchers their last 10 games, batting just .247.

Lefty Joe Saunders gets the go for the Angels today and we expect the Tigers bats to wake up today. They have been solid at home batting .322 vs. southpaws on the season. Saunders has struggled the past three seasons vs. Detroit allowing 16 earned runs in just four starts. They beat him up for five runs and seven hits earlier this season in five innings on the hill. We'll back Detroit today at home to get the job done.


Braves Under 9.5

Right now the bats of the Atlanta hitters are cold as can be. They have scored just eight runs in their last four games and have been shutout two nights in a row. That is good news for Manny Parra and the Brewers tonight. We have watched Manny grow since his debut a couple of years ago and despite his rough record he is a solid pitcher and we think he is still in the learning curve of his young career. He has shown us his mental toughness to bounce back after rough outings and we think today vs. the slumping Braves is a great opportunity after being throttled for 10 runs in his last start. After giving up five runs in an April start vs. Philly he bounced back his next start and held Houston to one earned run. Last month vs. the Twins he gave up eight earned runs and bounced back his next start on the hill with a quality start and just three earned runs vs. the Cards. He has a solid fastball in the low 90's and should take advantage of the Braves who are hitting just .223 vs. southpaws in their last 10 games.

The Braves will send out Tommy Hansen to make his debut start today. Hansen is a 6 foot 6 hurler and has dominated this season in Triple-A with a 1.49 ERA and 90 strike outs in just 66 innings of work. He is highly touted and the Braves organization is excited as ever today to see him on the hill. Last year in the Arizona Fall League he dominated with a 0.63 ERA. We expect him to take advantage of a line up that will be unfamiliar with his pitching today. The Under has cashed a ticket 11 meetings between the two teams in a row.

[Mr. IWS]

Doc Sports

3-Unit Play Take# 901 Chicago Cubs -120 over Cincinnati Reds (1:10pm.)

3-Unit Play Take # 915 Philadelphia Phillies +120 over Los Angeles Dodgers (8:05pm.)

3-Unit Play Take #927 Baltimore Orioles EV over Oakland A’s (4:05pm.)

3-Unit Play Take #930 Seattle Mariners -130 over Minnesota Twins (4:10pm.)

[Mr. IWS]

John Morrison's pick(s) for June 7th, 2009.



(MLB baseball) -> Chicago Cubs -110 {Money Line] Their game is against Cincinnati at 1:10 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Arzona -150 {Money Line] Their game is against San Diego at 4:05 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Baltimore +105 {Money Line] Their game is against Oakland at 4:10 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Philadelphia +105 {Money Line] Their game is against Los Angeles Doodgers at 8:05 PM E.T.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks 6/7
Sunday June 7, 2009


NBA
8:05 LA Lakers-pts
8:05 Over 202

MLB
1:35 Atl. Braves
4:05 Ariz. Diamondbacks
5:05 SF Giants
1:05 TB Rays
1:05 Tor. Bluejays

[Mr. IWS]

W.E.Stockton.20* NBA Lakers -6.5(100 Dime BIG TICKET)
20* MLB Dodgers over 8
10* MLB Yankees over 9.5
10* NBA Lakers under 202
10* MLB Oakland under 8.5
10* MLB Seattle under 7

[Mr. IWS]

VR

so far he has

4* Magic
2* Tampa Bay Rays
1* Brian Vickers +2500 in NASCAR

[Mr. IWS]

maddux bb

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

908 - MLB - 3 units on Houston -121
#910 - MLB - 3 units on St. Louis -128
#926 - MLB - 3 units on Chicago White Sox -112
#927 - MLB - 3 units on Baltimore +100
#930 - MLB - 3 units on Seattle -135

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers
Sunday Plays

Orlando +7
NY Yankees -145

[Mr. IWS]

Chris James Sports

2* Cubs / Reds Under 8.5 -115

[Mr. IWS]

Beatyourbookie.com

100* Cincy
100* Orlando

[Mr. IWS]

Docs***** NBA's picks
3-Unit Play #704 Take LA Lakers -6 ½ Over Orlando (8 p.m. EST, Sunday)

[Mr. IWS]

The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
Date: Sunday, June 07, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: Today we are featuring a 93% BASEBALL GRAND SLAM WINNER and you can get this WINNER for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! We are 648-315 since joining this web site! We win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! - EVERY PLAY IS OUR GAME OF THE YEAR - 84-34 RUN! 6/7/2009

93% BASEBALL GRAND SLAM WINNER
Houston w/Palino -125 2:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops

MLB
5* Philadelphia +113 **POD**
5* Kansas City +235
5* San Diego +147
5* NY Mets -106

NBA
5* LA Lakers -6.5

[Mr. IWS]

charliemlb. minnesota @ seattle under 7' runs (500*).
mlb. minnesota @ seattle under 7' runs (500*).
nba. orlando @ lakers over 201 (30*)
nba. orlando+6' (20*)
mlb. washington-110 (20*)
mlb. detroit-125 (10*)
mlb. oakland-115 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

VR added

3* Mariners
2* Mike Brown over Urijah Faber in WEC

[Mr. IWS]

Ferrrringo 6-6

3.5-Unit Play. Take #913 San Francisco (-125) over Florida (5 p.m., Sunday, June 7)


3-Unit Play. Take #926 Chicago White Sox (-115) over Cleveland (2 p.m., Sunday, June 7)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #910 St. Louis (-130) over Colorado (2 p.m., Sunday, June 7)


2-Unit Play. Take #930 Seattle (-130) over Minnesota (4 p.m., Sunday, June 7)


1-Unit Play. Take #924 Boston (-170) over Texas (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 7)


1-Unit Play. Take #917 L.A. Angels (+105) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, June 7)
Note: Bump to 1.5-Unit Play.


Today's Totals
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Kansas City at Toronto (1 p.m., Sunday, June 7)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Colorado at St. Louis (2 p.m., Sunday, June 7)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.5 San Francisco at Florida (5 p.m., Sunday, June 7)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 N.Y. Mets at Washington (1:30 p.m., Sunday, June 7)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati (1 p.m., Sunday, June 7)
Note: Bump to 3-Unit Play. Trust me.

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 L.A. Angels at Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, June 7)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 Arizona at San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, June 7)

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Magic/Lakers Over

Dodgers -120 over Phillies
Wolf/Bastardo

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman

NY Mets
5*

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

20* Orlando
20* Orlando under

100* Steam Cubs

20* Tampa Bay
20* Balt.
20* Giants
50* St. Louis
50* over Pitts/Houston
50* over KC/Toronto

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

REASON FOR PICK: Rich Hill can be streaky, but when he's on he can be dominant. Lately the lefty Hill has been on.

Baltimore is 4-0 in Hill's starts this season. I favor Hill against Oakland rookie Vin Mazzaro, who I see struggling in this matchup after a brilliant major league debut performance.

The A's could be missing Jason Giambi (calf injury).

This is a one-unit play for me.

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Sunday's Play
5 Dime - Boston Red Sox (Matsuzaka) - 1 1/2 Runs over Texas (Padilla)



Vincente Padilla and the phrase "big game pitcher" have never been used in the same sentence. And after being put on outright waivers by the Rangers on Wednesday, in essence being told by his team that they no longer wanted him, today's game at Boston is as close to a big game as it gets for the inconsistent righthander, who has never shown the ability to deliver in the clutch.



Texas made the unusual move of seeing if anyone would take Padilla and his $9-million salary off its hands after he returned from a disabled list stint caused by a strained shoulder and promptly got rocked Tuesday at New York, allowing seven runs and seven hits in addition to walking four in 3.2 innings against the Yankees. Making matters worse, he also continued his nonsensical personal beanball war with Mark Teixeira, plunking him twice for no good reason. Prior to going on the DL, Padilla actually had three good starts in a row, a stretch in which he went 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA. But, it's more telling that his overall earned run average for the season heading into today's game remains at 5.57 as he's allowed 81 baserunners in 53.1 innings pitched.



Padilla, who is 1-3 with a 5.46 ERA lifetime as a starter versus Boston, will be facing a Red Sox squad that has dominated the Rangers in recent years, winning 10 of the 12 meetings the past two seasons combined, 26 of the last 36 overall, and 35 of the last 45 games at Fenway, where Boston is already 18-7 on the year.



Boston's Daisuke Matsuzaka is coming off his first win and best outing of the season as he beat the Tigers on the road in his last start, an outing in which he allowed six hits and one run with six strikeouts over five innings. Like other World Baseball Classic veterans (think Jake Peavy and Roy Oswalt), Dice-K has struggled this season as this is just his fourth start since returning from the disabled list from a tired arm. But there's no denying the Red Sox are on a 32-11 run when he heads to the hill, and he's personally 3-0 lifetime against Texas, winning both starts against the Rangers last season.



The Red Sox have won five of their last six, averaging 6.3 runs a game. They've averaged 6.2 runs at home this year. With Padilla on the mound and Dice-K pitching better, Boston is worth the investment on the Run Line, transforming the Sox from a heavy favorite to a virtual pick'em.

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman NASCAR
4*-Jeff Burton over David Reutimann
4*-Tony Stewart over Kyle Busch

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino

Sunday's 30 Dime NBA Finals winner ...
30 DIME -- Magic-Lakers OVER the total



IMPORTANT NOTE: This is a play on the total for Game 2. We're taking it OVER the posted number.



As always, be sure to shop around and get the best of the number! Never lay more on a favorite than you have to or take back less than you can on an underdog!

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis Sunday's Lineup
25 Dime ---- Magic - Lakers OVER

10 Dime ---- BLUE JAYS -1 1/2 RUN LINE (With Halladay as listed pitcher)

MAGIC-LAKERS OVER --- Forget what you saw in Game 1 (a 100-75 Lakers win), this game is going over the total as I expect the Orlando Magic to push the Lakers all the way through the fourth quarter. Two things happened in the last game that caused it to stay under the number. First, the Magic shot like they hadn't ever seen a basket before in their lives. 23 of 77 is less than 30% from the field. Yeah, did you realize that?? The Magic shot less than 30% from the field for the entire game and I guarantee you that won't happen again tonight. Second, the Lakers took their foot off the gas in the fourth quarter or they could have easily posted between 110 and 115 points. They cruised into the final stanza with a comfortable lead and only scored 18 in the final 12 minutes. And like I said, with tonight's game expected to be a little more competitive, look for the Lakers to top the century mark again.

Back to Orlando. How quickly we forget what this team did to the Cleveland Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals. Do you not remember them scoring over 100 points in 4 of the 6 games vs. Cleveland (and one of those games was a 99-point output)? Don't you remember what got the Cavs the best record in the NBA? DEFENSE. This was supposed to be the best defensive team in the NBA, but Orlando showed us that Cleveland's defense could be exploited with the right combo on offense. Tonight, the Magic put together the right combo again vs. the Lakers and score in triple digits.

As for the Lakers, I have no doubts they get to the century mark again themselves, having done it 7 straight post-season games dating back to the Denver series. And if you look at Orlando's defense, they play much better at home than they do on the road, so I'm not really worried about them slowing this Lakers' machine down much. It's business as usual for both offenses and I see the final score somewhere in the neighborhood of 111-105. Play the OVER.


TORONTO (-1 1/2 run line) (must list Halladay) --- Is there a better pitcher in the American League right now than Roy Halladay? The guy is 9-1 on the season with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP in 12 starts, and simply hasn't had any games where his control is a problem. He isn't walking batters and isn't really allowing opponents to put a string of base hits together, which continually puts his Blue Jays in a position to win. The Jays are 20-10 when playing at home this year and Halladay has a better career ERA and WHIP when pitching in front of the home crowd. Okay, sure, his last outing was definitely not his best, but you can't expect him to go out and pitch a shutout every outing, can you?

Halladay's career numbers vs. the Royals look like this: 13 starts, 93 innings, 2.90 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, .234 opponent's batting average against. Folks, those are solid numbers and I see nothing that tells me he won't repeat another dominating performance this afternoon.

Kansas City counters with Kyle Davies, who has been roughed up in his last two outings. 9 ER in his last 11 innings of work, and let's not forget he's suffered four straight losse. His season ERA is over 5 and his walk total is absolutely absurd, including 6 free passes in over 5 innings of work vs. Tampa Bay in his last start. Davies is simply overmatched in this game and it's probably only going to take 5 runs for the Jays to get the cash vs. the run line. Play Toronto -1 1/2 as your best bet on the diamond today.