6-26-09

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, June 26, 2009

5* Road Warrior Game of the Year, Tigers (969) at Astros: A first place team against a Houston team battling it out with Pittsburgh for last place. Houston is 14th in the NL in runs scored. That is a bad sign against a hard throwing ace like Justin Verlander (8-3, 3.31 ERA). He has 118 strikeouts in 98 innings and has faced the Astros once in his career, shutting them down on 3 hits (7 Ks, no walks). Detroit is in first place and on a 7-game win streak. Houston has a losing record both home and away and will struggle to score against the Tiger ace and the vastly improved and stable Detroit pen. Play the Tigers.

Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, June 26, 2009

4* (965) Red Sox at Braves: Boston's stumble in Washington last night isn't a worry. The Red Sox have won 16 of 22 games. You can't win them all, and they had a bad game while getting a rusty John Smoltz in the lineup (who was tagged early). They outscored Washington 17-7 in rolling in the first two games and have been hot all month. Since June 6, DH David Ortiz is batting .357 with a .480 on-base percentage and an .833 slugging percentage. And they can start a new winning streak with ace Josh Beckett (8-3) on the hill, who is throwing hard and very well. He is showing that last season's late slump was a mirage (an injury, really). Beckett has already faced the Braves once this season, and shut them out on 5 hits. This Atlanta offense is suspect, 11th in the NL in runs. Jair Jurrjens is slumping, as the team is 0-4 his last four starts. Play the Red Sox


Date: Friday, June 26, 2009

3* (957) Phillies at Jays: Philadelphia is still in first place despite a skid, losing a pair of games by one run. They are getting healthy, with Ryan Howard back from a short illness, plus Phillies closer Brad Lidge has been reinstated from the 15-day disabled list. Ace Cole Hamels will have his next start moved up to this game. The move will allow Hamels to make four starts instead of three before the All-Star Break. He's also hot, as the team is 5-2 his last 7 starts. In those two defeats Hamels pitched great baesball, giving up 2 runs apiece in two starts, covering 14 innings, only 2 walks and 16 strikeouts. Yeah, he's back as an ace. Toronto has been so banged up with injuries to the pitching staff that it is having a domino effect, taxing the pen. Starter Ricky Romero allows more hits than innings pitched and I see the Phillies rolling, with a DH added to their already dynamite lineup. Play the Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

Friday ...
5 DIME BALTIMORE ORIOLES -1' RUNS (WITH Bergesen and Detwiler) - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern



5 DIME SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (WITH Cain)

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S 5* MLB INTER-LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK!

Pick # 1 Boston Red Sox / Atlanta Braves Under 8.0 -120

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays

Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) Philadelphia -116

[Mr. IWS]

John Morrison

chase system play is Phillies(A bet)

[Mr. IWS]

Ferrringo

Take #975 L.A. Angels (-135) over Arizona (9:30 p.m., Friday, June 26)


Take #969 Detroit (-115) over Houston (8 p.m., Friday, June 26)


Take #965 Boston (-115) over Atlanta (7:30 p.m., Friday, June 26)


Take #963 N.Y. Yankees (-165) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take #977 Colorado (+125) over Oakland (10 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take #973 Minnesota (+135) over St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, June 26)


Today's Totals
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 N.Y. Yankees at N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Minnesota at St. Louis (8 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Boston at Atlanta (7:30 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Kansas City at Pittsburgh (7 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take ‘Under’ 8.0 Florida at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs (4 p.m., Friday, June 26)

Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Cincinnati at Cleveland (7 p.m., Friday, June 26)

[Mr. IWS]

Elite Sports Circle Guaranteed Selections
Date: Friday, June 26, 2009

ELITE SPORTS CIRCLE HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
San Francisco w/Cain +145 8:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

Friday's Trifecta ...




600? RANGERS RUN LINE (As long as Millwood is your Texas pitcher at the time of bet, you're fine) - Texas finished up in a thriller in Arizona last night while the Padres were in the Emerald City. And since the Rangers found their offense in the desert, and we’re dealing with one of the worst teams in the league – both offensively and defensively – I’m going to lay the run line in this one in Arlington and expect the Rangers to blow things out for us.



We’re going up against Walter Silva, who wasn't exactly sharp in his last start last Saturday against the A's - his first start since enduring a forearm strain in April. Silva, who rehabbed at Triple-A Portland, allowed three runs in 5-1/3 innings on five hits while walking two against a bleak lineup like Oakland’s. Now we’re talking about one of the most potentially lethal lineups in the league.



Remember, Texas led the majors with 901 runs last season, and thought this year’s team ranks 15th in the league it has a better record this season. And the fact it is scoring nearly a full run less per game, I think we’re going to see a nice little run by this team right up to the All-Star Break.



Warming up against the Diamondbacks was perfect for this weekend set with the Padres, who have lost 17 of 24.



And once we have the lead in this one, we’ll have Kevin Millwood stifling the worst hitting team in the league. The Padres’ batting average is .236 will be up against a right-hander who is 3-1 with a 0.94 ERA in his last four starts. Millwood is 5-1 with a 2.08 ERA in eight starts at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington.



And in the event he gets into trouble, he’s shown a knack for working out of jams, as opponents are hitting a bleak .188 against him with runners in scoring position, including .111 with two outs. The veteran hurler is also 5-1 with a 2.95 ERA against the Padres in 13 career starts and has a 29-12 mark with a 3.01 ERA in 56 games (55 starts) in his career against National League West teams.



We pick our spots boys, and tonight is the right time for a 600? Blowout Winner. Take the Rangers on the run line as they drill the visiting Padres with no problem whatsoever.



100? ANGELS RUN LINE (LIST Weaver and Buckner) - In doing radio last Sunday, I mentioned how surprised I was at watching Jered Weaver become emotionally detached in the dugout after unraveling against the Dodgers. Facing his older brother, Jeff, for the first time, the younger Weaver had his worst outing of the season, giving up more than four runs for the first time in 14 starts. Lasting just 5-1/3 innings, Weaver surrendered six earned runs on 10 hits and three walks. To put it in perspective, he had given up six earned runs at home in his previous 53-2/3 innings this season. Weaver, who is facing Arizona for the first time, will be pissed off for this one, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Arizona get shut out.



100? DODGERS RUN LINE (LIST Kershaw) - I think we’ve seen Clayton Kershaw find a nice rhythm in his last two starts, in which he has thrown 12-2/3 consecutive scoreless innings, including seven shutout innings against the Angels last Sunday. He remained poised in overcoming a bases-loaded, no-out jam and four walks, while he's been showing that potential dominance managers hope to see in 21-year-olds. It’s not normal, but this kid has it. The best way to describe him is the same way Angels center fielder Torii Hunter portrayed him: "effectively wild." Seattle won’t stand a chance in this one, as the Dodgers will rip the M’s at Chavez Ravine, while Kershaw will hold serve for us.

[Mr. IWS]

ChicagoSportsConnection

FRIDAY June 26th

WHITE SOX-110 vs Cubs.......4:05 EDT

White Sox just finished winning two of three from the "best team in baseball"...the Dodgers.
They used alot of relief pitchers in a 13 inning game yesterday....but the reason I'm taking the White Sox is....The Cubs.

They stink.....and they're on a downward spiral.

Lou Pinnella is actually feeling the pressure of being the next manager to be axed....even though he doesn't deserve to be axed.

That fate should be Jim Hendry's....the Lovable Loser's clueless GM.
He had the balls to get rid of (2008 Cub MVP in my opinion)Mark Derosa in the offseason and replace him with Aaron Miles....then he signed the much-traveled Milton (9 teams in 10 years)Bradley.... which was another very questioable move considering Ibanez was available.

But wait ....there's more.

He picked up Kevin (Forrest) Gregg to replace Kerry Wood as the closer....even though Gregg just came off a (MLB high) 9-blown-save-season in 2008.

Hendry made thier hitting coach(Gerald Perry) the scapegoat last week and replaced him with Von Joshua. Now, word is ,Sweet Lou is on the hotseat.

Looks like Hendry is trying to save his own job to me.

But anyway's....back to today's game.
We're going with the hotter team and more experienced pitcher....who, by the way, has returned to peak form after an achilles injury.

List Contreras / Action if possible.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy




INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: LOS ANGELES vs SEATTLE ( WNBA )


Play: 5 Unit Play. #658. Take the Seattle Storm -10.5 over LA Sparks (Friday @ 10pm est). (POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: 5 Unit Play. #658. Take the Seattle Storm -10.5 over LA Sparks (Friday @ 10pm est). The Storm are one of the best teams historically in the WNBA in doing very well at home, having a faithful fan base and consequently winning home ballgames big. This is why the spread in Seattle is always fairly large if not double-digit such as it is for this game. Having said that, just take a look at what the Storm have done this year. For starters, they come off a huge win on the road at Phoenix (which is why the line was Seattle +1 as 70% of the public got burned on the play. This team at home has already defeated a decent Lynx team by 28 and the Monarchs by 10. What is surprising is that this team held the Lynx to just 62 points - and considering the Lynx average over 80 ppg this is impressive. I understand this is the Sparks - but this set of Sparks will not have Parker or Leslie suiting up. This is why early on the Sparks are just 2-4. Leslie is listed as day to day and even if she does play, I still think the Sparks likely get defeated by more than double-digits today. Seattle always remembers their losses past or present and they have revenge from the last time these two teams met, a huge home court advantage, a banged up Sparks team that just comes off a home win and the Sparks have struggled on the road going 0-4 as this team averages just 69ppg and they will struggle imo against a Seattle team that has dropped 90 points in both of their last two games. Too many options for Seattle in this contest as compared to the Sparks who have limited options due to their injuries. The Storm are no joke folks with Lauren Jackson, Swin Cash, Sue Bird and Tanisha Wright - this team has solid potential to continue piling on points with a decent bench as well. For all these reasons and the fact the Storm are 5-0 ATS against the Western Conference of late and the Sparks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games (not to mention likely to have a letdown after their recent 20 point win), let's roll with the Storm tonight to cover the double-digit mark.

INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: MINNESOTA TWINS vs ST LOUIS CARDINALS



Play: 4 Unit Play. Under 9 between Twins @ Cards (8pm est).(POD)
Comments: INDIAN COWBOY'S PLAY OF THE DAY: 4 Unit Play. Under 9 between Twins @ Cards (8pm est).

[Mr. IWS]

Tony the ice man Salinas Baseball
Friday, June 26, 2009
25*
Marlins {J.Johnson} (+130) over Devilrays {J.Shields}
7:38 PM -- Tropicana Field
26*
Tigers {J.Verlander} (-120) over Astros {W.Rodriguez}
8:05 PM -- Minute Maid Park
Clear. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 95.
24*
La Angels {J.Weaver} (-140) over Diamondbacks {B.Buckner}
9:40 PM -- Chase Field

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections

Date: Friday, June 26, 2009


BASEBALL DIAMOND CONSENSUS WINNER
Philadelphia w/Hamels -118 7:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Friday Card
MLB
3* Cincinnati (Harang) +100
3* NY Mets (Pelfrey) +150

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

Sfo Giants vs Mil Brewers
San Francisco Giants +146

Both Matt Cain and Yovani Gallardo are having great seasons for the Giants and Brewers, but I'm giving the edge to San Francisco and Cain at this price. Cain is 9-1 on the year with a 2.28 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 14 starts (Giants record is 11-3 in all of his starts). Gallardo has been good, but not great over his last three starts, earning a 3.71 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, resulting in a record of 1-2 in those games. The Brewers do not have a very imposing home record at just 18-16. At +130 or better the Giants have a ton of value, particularly with Cain on the mound.


Min Twins vs Stl Cardinals
20* No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -150

Take the Cardinals over the Twins with Adam Wainwright on the mound in St. Louis. Wainwright has been exceptional at home this season, posting a 2.55 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 8 starts. The Twins overall have been awful on the road this season, and their starter tonight, Glen Perkins, hasn't helped matters. Perkins has 3 road starts this season in which he is 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 1.97 WHIP. The Cardinals have struggled a little as a team against left-handed starters, hitting only .243, but they've still managed a 12-10 record versus southpaws this year. The Cardinals start this three game series off with a victory behind another strong outing from Wainwright.

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops

5* Seattle +155 **POD**
5* Atlanta +108
5* Houston +106
5* San Diego +207
5* Minnesota +138
5* Arizona +134

[Mr. IWS]

Trace Adams 1000* - Philadelphia w/Hamels over Romero, 500* - Florida w/Johnson over Shields The defending champs are sliding, no doubt about it, as Philly lost again last night at Tampa, getting pounded 10-4.

Cole Hamels, and Ricky Romero will battle for the 2nd time in less than 2 weeks, as the pair went at it on June 16th, Hamels going 6 innings, allowing 2 runs, Romero working 7 innings with 3 runs scored. Niether figured in the decision, but the Blue Jays did manage to sweep ALL 3 against the Phils.

Phillies to return the favor tonight in their first visit north of the border in quite some time.

Have to believe Philly is going to turn this things around sonner or later.

I like them, and their 24-11 road record to come through tonight.

1000? - Philadelphia w/Hamels over Romero

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??

Don't look now, but the Marlins have heated up in a hurry, winning # 5 in a row last night over Baltimore.

No doubt the Rays are on an uptick, and James Shields is 2-0 his last 4 starts against Florida.

Problem for Tampa is Josh Johnson is no bullshit, as he is now 7-1 this season after back-to-back wins over the Blue Jays, and the Yankees, and his ERA is only 2.66.

The Marlins know the NL East is very wide open right now, and I like them to continue their push in that division.

Gotta ride Florida to win # 6 in a row.

500? - Florida w/Johnson over Shields

??Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!??

[Mr. IWS]

Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #1

MARLINS +130 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION

JOHNSON IS 7-1 ON THE YEAR, ERA OF 2.66 AND HIS TEAM IS 12-3 IN HIS 15 STARTS. HE IS 1-0 AGAINST THE RAYS LIFETIME AND 3-0 ON THE ROAD. SHIELDS 15 STARTS FOR THE RAYS HAVE ONLY PRODUCED 7 WINS AND 8 LOSES. JOSH GOES TO 8-1.

Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #2

TIGERS -130 FOR 100 DIME SELECTION

100 MILES AN HOUR VERLANDER WILL BRING THE HEAT AND GET THE W HERE. HE IS 8-3 THIS YEAR AND HIS TEAM IS 10-5 IN HIS 15 STARTS. HE IS 1-0 LIFETIME AGAINST THE ASTRO'S. RODRIGUEZ, 1-1 ERA OF 4.00 LAST 18 INNINGS WILL NOT GET THE JOB DONE. DETRIOT WINS HERE.


Stu's 100 Dime Baseball #3

ROCKIES +120 FOR A 100 DIME SELECTION

RED HOT COLORADO GETS THE W BEHIND HAMMEL. HIS TEAM IS 7-4 IN HIS 11 STARTS THIS YEAR. HIS IS 3-1 ON THE ROAD THIS YEAR AND HAS WON HIS LAST 2 STARTS. ANDERSON 3-7 THIS YEAR. HIS TEAM 4-9 IN HIS 13 STARTS. HE IS 1-4 AT HOME AND HIS LAST 2 STARTS 0-2 AND AN ERA OF 9. NEED WE SAY ANYMORE. ROCKIES WIN.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Reds Big Ticket

Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp

Oakland -140

Triple

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco
Friday's Play 10 Dime - BOSTON RED SOX


Note - For the first 5 minutes this play was posted, above it said "atlanta" but CLEARLY if you read any sentence of the analysis below - which was posted simultaneously with the pick - you clearly realized the play was on boston because I didn't say one good thing about the braves tonight.

And that is why I always post both together because occasionally typos will occur but I know when you read the analysis, it always dispels all doubts.

Josh Beckett bounced back quickly from a poor effort at Philadelphia on June 14 in which he was tagged for 11 hits and seven runs (six earned) in six innings by firing a five-hit shutout against Atlanta at home last Saturday, a game in which he fanned seven and walked none, needing just 94 pitches to go the distance. Tonight he faces the Braves again, this time on the road, as Boston looks to improve to 11-4 behind its ace righthander.

Atlanta's Jair Jurrjens absorbed a no-decision in his Fenway Park start last Sunday, allowing eight hits and five runs (two earned) in 6.1 innings of work, but the game marked the fourth straight outing the Braves have lost with the righthander on the mound. And Jurrjens has actually pitched better on the road this year (3-2 with a 2.44 ERA in eight starts) than at home (2-3 with a 3.43 ERA in seven starts). Those numbers might seem comparable, and the earned run averages are both outstanding in this era of offense, but a more telling statistic is the number of baserunners he's allowed: 55 in 48 road innings versus 57 in 39.1 home innings. That alone tells you why his home ERA is nearly a full run higher.

Boston had its four-game winning streak snapped with last night's home loss to Washington, a game the Red Sox were out of after the first-inning in John Smoltz's debut. A team that struggled mightily on the road earlier this season has actually played well in its infrequent excursions from Fenway of late, taking two-of-three at Philadelphia and sweeping a three-game series at Detroit. In all, Boston is on a 6-1 roll on the road.

Considering Beckett is 5-0 with a 0.45 ERA in his last six starts against the Braves, this price it too good to pass up. And two of Atlanta's top hitters, Chipper Jones (5-for-28) and Brian McCann (3-for-14), have struggled against the Red Sox hurler in previous meetings. Then again, Beckett has been tough on everyone of late as his ERA is 1.44 in his last six starts.

The Red Sox have won 16 of their last 22 and they've lost two in a row just once in that stretch. I'm betting against a repeat performance tonight as they bounce back from last night's home loss with a win against the Braves, whom they've beaten in 10 of the last 13 meetings. And Atlanta enters tonight's contest mired in an 11-18 skid with an overworked bullpen that was called on to work 12 innings in consecutive loses the past two nights against the Yankees

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex
Toronto under / 20*

[Mr. IWS]

VR 4* TAM

VR 2* each: MIL, CLE, HOU, ATL, BOS/ATL OVER 8

(2) 7-team parlays for shits and giggles:

Parlay #1: TAM, MIL, CLE, HOU, ATL, BOS/ATL OVER 8, OAK

Parlay #2: TAM (-1.5), MIL (-1.5), CLE (-1.5), HOU, ATL, BOS/ATL OVER 8, OAK


Correction on parlay #2: OAK (-1.5)

[Mr. IWS]

Street Rosenthal of Handicappingtrends

Free Plays are always Premium Plays

*300 Tampa Bay Rays -138

I have found numerous trends that says the Rays will win tonight. We have trends totaling 48-8 SU in favor of a Rays win tonight. We also find the Marlins are a poor 8-30 SU since 2004 season after a win in which they drew 1 or fewer walks. Take the home team for the straight up win.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass:

20* Minn
20* Fl
50* Philly
50* Bos

100* Det/Hou over
100* "steam"- Cinn

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning
toronto and arizona.

[Mr. IWS]

DOC

4 Unit Play. Take Detroit over Houston

The Tigers will enter Friday with a 5 game lead in the AL Central and will have the right man on the mound in Justin Verlander, looking for his ninth win on the season. He has regained his dominating form and has allowed three runs or less in 10 of his last 11 starts. Since April 18th, he has been defeated just one time and we will ride the hot hand and collect big in the process.