7-8-09

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S AL DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR!


Pick # 1 Toronto Blue Jays / Tampa Bay Rays Over 9.0 -105

[Mr. IWS]

John Morrison's pick(s) for July 8th, 2009

(MLB baseball) -> Chicago Cubs -120 {Money Line} Their game is against Atlanta at 2:20 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Colorado -170 {Money Line} Their game is against Washington at 3:10 E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> San Francisco -135 {Money Line} Their game is against Florida at 3:45 E.T.

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

Premium Picks For The Day

Todays Selections

*MLB Baseball

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

MLB Baseball

3 (***) CWS -132
3 (***) San Francisco -135

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime


100* Play Houston (-160) over Pittsburgh (TOP MLB PLAY)
Pittsburgh has lost 10 of the last 13 road games as an underdog of +150 to +175
and they have also lost 12 of the last 17 road games when the total posted is
between 8 and 8.5 runs. Pittsburgh has lost 24 of the last 35 games vs.
division opponents and they have also lost 5 consecutive games when their on
base percentage is .300 or worse over the last 5 games. Wandy Rodriguez has won
5 of the last 6 games when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest and he is also 2-0
over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.70.


100* Play Colorado (-165) over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)
Washington has lost 21 of the last 25 road games as an underdog of +150 or
higher and they have also lost 16 of the last 22 games vs. left-handed starting
pitchers. Washington has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a
Wednesday and Ross Detwiler is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of
8.40. Colorado has won 7 of the last 8 home games as a favorite of -150 to -200
and Jorge De La Rosa is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.75.


50* Play Kansas City (-130) over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Detroit has lost 7 of the last 11 games and they have also lost 18 of the last
27 games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Zack Greinke has won 18 of the last
24 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he is also 10-4 in
all starts this season with an ERA of 2.00.


50* Play Philadelphia (-150) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Philadelphia has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 33 of the last
44 home games as a favorite of -150 to -175. Rodrigo Lopez has won 8 of the
last 9 home games over the last 3 seasons and he is also 1-0 this season with an
ERA of 2.84. Homer Bailey has lost 10 of the last 11 games and he is also 0-2
vs. Philadelphia over his career with an ERA of 9.00.


WNBA Hoops
100* Play Phoenix (-10) over Chicago (WNBA TOP PLAY)
Chicago has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have also
lost 6 consecutive games against the spread vs. Phoenix. Meanwhile, Phoenix has
won 10 consecutive games as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and they are
averaging over 95 points a game at home this season.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

-=TOP PLAY=-

Florida Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants -1½+183

The Giants have surprised a lot of folks this season, and their pitching has been outstanding. Their pitching will keep them in the race all season, especially if Ryan Sadowski maintains being a viable option in the rotation, where he has left no arguments otherwise in his first two starts. Sadowski has made two starts and has yet to allow a run, covering 13 innings, and will face a Marlina? lineup that scores -0.7 runs a game less against righthand pitching than they do against southpaws. Chris Volstad has had a miserable year pitching to an ERA of nearly five. He got off to a roaring start, but his last nine outings have produced a 6.27 ERA.

I look for the Giants to tee off on him in this one, and will play them on the runline.

[Mr. IWS]

Premium picks from Jimmy Boyd

MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | Jul 08 '09 (3:45p)

Florida Marlins vs San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants -116


4* Major MLB Afternoon Delight of the Week on Giants -116
The Giants have handled the fish back-to-back nights and I like them to pull off the series sweep this afternoon. The Giants have taken 13 of the last 19 meetings overall and the Marlins are just 10-26 in the last 36 meetings in San Francisco. The G-Men have the edge again today against Volstad, whose ERA is up to 5.40 over his last 3 starts. In fact, the Marlins are 1-6 in Volstads last 7 starts. Sadowski has been brilliant for the Giants and the Fish don't stand a chance having never seen this kid. He is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.00. Sadowski gave up four hits over six innings in his debut June 28 at Milwaukee in a 7-0 win, then limited Houston to three hits over seven innings in a 13-0 victory Friday. The Marlins have lost 5 straight on the road while the Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Bet the G-Men.



-= TOP PLAY =-
MLB | Jul 08 '09 (10:05p)

Texas Rangers vs LAA Angels LAA Angels -130

4* Major MLB Bailout of the Week on Angels -130
Santana has struggled this season due to injuries, but he's 100% now and I love him at home tonight to put the Angels in 1st place. The Angels are 4-1 in Santana's last 5 home starts vs. the Rangers. The Angels are 38-14 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series, 10-4 in their last 14 overall, and 9-1 in their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Halos are 17-4 against the money line in home games after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LA ANGELS 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2. Bet the Halos in this bounce back spot tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Nick Bookie Killer Parsons
triple dime Angels/Rangers under 10

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbauch

Top Play

2* White Sox over 9.5 runs

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Wednesday Card
Tuesday Recap: 3-0 MLB
7-Day Recap: 10-2 MLB

MLB
4* Over 8.5 (-120) LA Dodgers (Kuroda) vs NY Mets (Perez)

[Mr. IWS]

IndianCowboy

7-8 the last 15 MLB plays

Sport: MLB Baseball

Game: Oakland Athletics @ Boston Red Sox - Wednesday July 8, 2009 7:10 pm

Pick: 4 units (Play of the Day) RUNLINE:Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+110)

4 Unit Play. Take the Boston Redsox -1.5 (+110) over the Oakland A's (Wednesday @ 7:10pm est). I'm not a big run-line player and never have been, but this game does call for it for a couple of reasons. For starters, Boston is in a very tight race for the division with the Yankees and they continue to one-up each other with wins. Boston is 50-33 while the Yankees are 49-34 as the Redsox cling to their short edge as they head into the All-Star Break. This is also the rubber game of this series as they have split the series thus far with Oakland 1-1. Tack that on with the fact that Wakefield comes off a shaky start where he gave up 5 runs to Seattle in 8 innings for a rare loss, he is on the bounce-back today which is usually when we ride the Melbourne, Florida native. We have ridden Wake plenty of times both on the Under as well as on the Side when he is on a bounce-back as he is 10-3 for a reason and rarely has back to back non-quality starts. The A's are 0-4 when Cahill starts with a total set at this mark. Cahill has struggled considerably of late and I just don't think he will all of a sudden have a huge change in effort in Fenway. Boston is highly talented and even the best performance of Cahill could still yield to a Redsox -1.5 win as Wake is on the bounce-back and the Redsox offense is stout. Cahill has given up 12 runs in 5 innings of late and he is on a bounce-back of sorts, but I simply think it might be asking him too much to have a bounce-back in Fenway. I do think he bounces back at home when he returns to Oakland as we will likely take him for the side then. Let's roll with the RSox as Wakefield is on the bounce-back, the Redsox look to keep their lead in the division and they look to win this se

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops
5* Florida +102 **POD**
5* Pittsburgh +160
5* Washington +167
5* Oakland +160
5* Minnesota +125

[Mr. IWS]

Rocky Atkinson's TOP 4* TRIPLE DIME BEST BET Game of the Week!

LA Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio's Oddsmaker Mismatch

LA Dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

FRANK PATRON 10000 UNIT LOCK

FRANK PATRON
10000 UNIT LOCK
CHICAGO WHITE SOX -140 W/ CONTREAS

[Mr. IWS]

Dr. Bond
12* White Sox -145

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - MILWAUKEE (Suppan over Wellemeyer)....10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO (Sadowski over Volstad)
20 DIMER - MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Suppan over Wellemeyer)



The Cards shut out the Brewers last night 5-0, as the Redbirds lead in the Central grew to 2 games.



St. Louis has won 5 of 6, while Milwaukee has lost 5 of their last 6.



Look for things to change tonight, as I don't see the Brew Crew getting skunked again tonight.



Jeff Suppan may be just 1-5 at home this year, but Todd Wellemeyer's season ERA is over 5, so to me the starters appear to be a wash. It should be noted however, that Suppan is 3-1 his last 5 starts against the Cards, with the lone loss coming in May.



Wellemeyer is just 1-2 the last 3 times he has started against the Brewers.



Milwaukee needs to stop the bleeding in a big way, and at this near pick price, I think they will do so tonight.



10 DIMER - SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (Sadowski over Vostad)



The Giants continue to get the job done, especially at home, as last night's win over the Marlins pushed their home mark to 28-13!



Gotta back them again as the home favorite, and sweep the Marlins. Rookie Ryan Sadowski is a perfect 2-for-2 since his call up, working 13 innings without allowing an earned run to score. Hard to argue that!



The Marlins are just 18-21 on the road this year, and starter Chris Volstad has been strictly middle of the road of late, as 9 runs have scored in 15 innings of work for a 1-1 mark his last 3 times out.



Volstad also took the loss back in early June at home against the Giants who are now 4-2 in this year's season series. The Giants are also 6-2 at home dating back to 2007 against the Fish.



Take Frisco to break out the broom!

[Mr. IWS]

JEFFERSON-SPORTS

MLB
FLORIDA+103

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan
Chris Jordan Wednesday's winner ...


300? CHICAGO WHITE SOX (LIST Contreras and Laffey) - Coming right back for my third 300? in a row with another stab on the South Siders. It's so hard to ignore this series, since the White Sox have been dominating this team.

Chicago's 10-6 win last night was the White Sox's (43-40) 13th in 17 games, while the setback for the AL-worst Indians (33-51) was their 15th in 19 games.

Part of those streaks for both teams is a three-game sweep by Chicago, in Cleveland, last week. The South Siders outscored the Tribe by a combined tally of 23-9, which means they've now outscored Cleveland by a tally of 33-15 the last four games.

The Sox will once again provide plenty of run support tonight, as I see them producing plenty of offense against Aaron Laffey, who is in off the disabled list after making four Minor League rehab starts. Not exactly sure he's ready to come back, though, as he turned in rough starts for Double-A Akron and Triple-A Columbus in his last two outings, including last Friday, when he was slapped around for for seven runs on 10 hits in four innings for Columbus.

Instead we're siding with Jose Contreras, who received some needed run support and an overdue win in his last start. Contreras got double the run support that he had in the two previous games combined in a 6-2 victory over the Indians last Wednesday. He tossed eight innings and gave up just five hits and two runs while striking out a season-high eight batters.

It marked his fourth quality start in five games since returning from his own minor-league stint. The power right-hander has posted a 2.17 ERA in those starts, with 29 strikeouts and just five walks, while lowering his season ERA from 8.19 to 4.84. He's an impressive 6-2 in 14 appearances (13 starts) with just higher than a 3.00 ERA against the Indians in his career.

This is another easy one, as the Sox are going to blast visiting Cleveland once again.

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[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini Wednesday's play 20 Dime -- Dodgers (Kuroda) -1 1/2 runs over METS (Perez)

DODGERS
NOTE: List only Kuroda and Perez as starting pitchers

The Mets gave Dodgers right-hander Hiroki Kuroda (3-4, 3.91 ERA) a ton of trouble last year, pounding him for 10 runs (eight earned) and 15 hits in six innings over two starts.

But this New York team is much different than last season’s squad. Eight of those 15 hits off Kuroda were by five players no longer on the roster, one retired (Moises Alou) and four injured (Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado, Angel Pagan and Jose Reyes).

Those missing players have taken a toll of the Mets’ offense, which is downright awful these days. Here are the numbers, which are more frightening than most horror movies: New York has scored 25 runs in its last 11 games, and nine of those came in one game. The Mets, who were shut out on four hits Tuesday, are 2-9 in those 11 games. They have lost four straight, have scored three runs in those four games and haven’t scored at all in their last 22 innings.

Scary, isn’t it?

And just when it can’t get much worse for the Mets, who do they have pitching today? Erratic left-hander Oliver Perez (1-2, 9.97), who is making his first start since May 2. Perez, who was on the disabled list with patellar tendinitis in his right knee, wasn’t exactly sharp in his rehab outings, walking nine batters in 9 1/3 innings over two Triple-A starts. In his last rehab start, he allowed three runs on five hits in five innings while throwing just 46 of his 92 pitches for strikes.

Perez also is 2-3 with a 5.97 ERA in his last five starts against Los Angeles, giving up 30 hits and 22 walks in 28 2/3 innings, and that was when he was healthy.

Enough said? I think so. This one could get ugly fast. Take the Dodgers on the run line

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton
Wednesday's MLB winners ... 10 Dime: DODGERS (over Mets) ... NOTE: Stick with this play regardless of any changes to the starting pitchers.

5 Dime: Rangers-Angels OVER the total ... NOTE: Vicente Padilla (Rangers) and Ervin Santana (Angels) must start this game on the mound or this play is VOID!


Dodgers

You know I’m not a fan of laying this kind of chalk, especially with a road team. But I’m making an exception tonight because the Mets are just god-awful right now. With last night’s 8-0 shutout loss to Los Angeles, New York has now dropped four in a row, which in and of itself wouldn’t be THAT bad except when you look at the scores of those four games: 7-2, 4-1, 2-0 and 8-0.

That’s right: The Mets have produced just three runs in their last 36 innings. Going back to June 26, New York is 2-9 in its last 11 games, and the only wins came by scores of 1-0 at Milwaukee and 9-8 at Pittsburgh in extra innings. If you take out that nine-run effort at the Pirates and a six-run output in a 10-6 loss at the Brewers, the Mets have scored a grand total of 10 runs in the other nine games during this 2-9 slump, including a total of three runs in four straight home losses.

Now compare that to what the Dodgers’ offense has done since Manny Ramirez returned to the lineup, putting up 8, 7, 4 and 6 runs – all on the road, all in pitcher’s parks (San Diego and New York) – while winning three of those four contests. In fact, L.A. is 4-1 in its last five games, and it continues to own baseball’s best record at 53-30. Those 53 wins include four victories in as many tries against the Mets, whose putrid offense has produced a total of six runs against L.A. pitching this season.

Speaking of pitching, the Dodgers also have the edge on the mound tonight with Hiroki Kuroda (3-4, 3.91 ERA overall; 3-1, 3.60 ERA on the road) going up against Oliver Perez, who is returning from a two-month stint on the disabled list that was as much about mental issues as it was any physical ailment. Before being essentially demoted to the minors, Perez posted a 9.97 ERA in five starts, with the Mets losing four of them. He’s given up 28 hits and 21 walks in 21 2/3 innings. Now the southpaw is going up against one of the most patient, productive lineups in all of baseball – a lineup that’s hitting .290 on the season against lefties!

Bottom line: Perez is going to have to be near perfect to win this game because there’s little chance he’s going to get much run support from an offense that’s barely batting .200 during its 2-9 slump. And while I know the old cliché is that pitching wins games, but if you can’t score, you can’t win. And right now the Mets cannot score a lick. So we’ll lay the reasonable chalk with the best team in baseball as it improves to 5-0 against New York this season.


Rangers-Angels OVER the total

Let’s start with the fact that these teams have faced each other four times in the last eight days and the final scores of those contests were 9-5, 9-7, 9-4 and 8-5 – all four easily going OVER the total. Going back to the last week of the 2008 season, these teams have played five games at Angel Stadium and combined for 13, 12, 7, 14, 16, 13 and 13 runs.

Of course, as I always say, any play on a baseball total – be it an over or under – has to begin with the starting pitching. Well, we’ve got two starters going tonight who are giving it up in bunches in Texas’ Vicente Padilla and L.A.’s Ervin Santana.

Padilla has a 4.75 ERA overall and a 6.38 ERA in eight night games (compared with a 3.07 ERA in day contests). Padilla has allowed 126 baserunners in 83 1/3 innings, including 77 baserunners in 42 1/3 innings at night. And in last Monday’s 5-2 loss to the Angels – his most recent start – Padilla gave up five runs on 10 hits (two home runs) in five innings. He’s now got an ERA barely south of 5.00 in 13 career starts against the Angels, and the “over” is 5-0 in his last five starts at Angel Stadium.

As for Santana, in between two stints on the disabled list, the right-hander has made seven starts in 2009 and been dreadful in nearly all of them. He’s 1-4 with a 7.43 ERA overall, including 0-2 with a whopping 12.12 ERA in four starts at home, giving up 24 runs, 34 hits and 10 walks in just 16 1/3 innings in his own ballpark (where he had previously dominated in his career). Also, the right-hander hasn’t exactly enjoyed facing Texas, posting a 6.46 ERA in 14 career starts, with the “over” going 5-1-1 in his last seven outings against the Rangers.

The over is also on runs of 4-1-1 for Santana at home, 27-13-2 for Padilla on the road, 4-1 in the Rangers’ last five on the highway and 11-4-1 in the Angels’ last 16 at home. Throw in two sensational offensive ballclubs, and this one’s got double digit runs written all over it. Play it OVER the total.

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass:

20* Clev
20* Bos over
20* NYY over
20* Philly
50* SF
100* Sea

100* "steam" - Minn

[Mr. IWS]

Vrunner two *3 plays
VR 3* NYY/MIN (BURNETT vs SWARZAK) OVER 9.5
VR 3* STL (WELLEMEYER vs SUPPAN)

[Mr. IWS]

Tom Stryker's MLB Grand Slam Super Total Play
Off last night's awesome Upset Special payday on St. Louis, Tom returns to the diamond on Wednesday night with a rare total selection. The pitching matchup in this game supports this investment tremendously and two more power team trends ensure that this key release will bring home the bacon. Grab Tom's MLB Grand Slam Super Total Play for $20.
Price: $20.00


ST.LOUIS OVER 9.5