7-30-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan Thursday's trifecta ...
200? N.Y. YANKEES (LIST Pettitte and Floyd)


200? FLORIDA MARLINS (Action) -

200? S.F. GIANTS (Action)

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis
Thursday's Lineup
100 DIME ---- MILWAUKEE BREWERS (with Gallardo) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over WASHINGTON NATIONALS (with Martin)

Honestly, I don't even know where to begin. This month of July, with the exception of the last two days (two very tough, close losses) has been a hot bed of cash. I've never seen so many easy winners in my life and today is no different. The Milwaukee Brewers are going to plant a big, fat "L" on the foreheads of the Washington Nationals this afternoon for a number of reasons.

First off, have you seen how poorly the Nats have played on the road this year? 12. And keep this in mind... they just took two of the first three in this series with Milwaukee, so coming in they had 10 --- yeah, 10 road wins all season long. That's worse than San Diego. That's worse than Pittsburgh. That's the worst in Major League Baseball and I don't see it getting better anytime soon. Looking back at the first three games of this series, it's obvious why Washington was able to grab two wins right off the bat: Poor Milwaukee pitching. The Brewers have basically become Yovani Gallardo and four #4 starters, and today the young righty looks to stop the bleeding.

Gallardo finally settled down in his last start (coming in off three shaky starts), pitching 7 1/3 scoreless innings in a 4-0 win against the Braves. He allowed just four hits and four walks, striking out six in his best performance since July 1st. Ironically enough, that game (the July 1 outing) was also against a team from the NL East. In fact, if you look back at his 2009 performances vs. teams from that division, he's 2-1, working 22 1/3 innings allowing just ONE earned run. His lone loss was a 1-0 setback to the Mets in which he struck out 12 hitters. Gallardo recently had a conversation with future Hall-of-Famer Trevor Hoffman about not "wasting his pitches" and running up his pitch count. Although his walk total in the last game was a bit high, he still has taken Hoffman's advice to heart and really wants to finish today's game with under 100 pitches.

There's more. Not only does Gallardo own the NL East, he owns the daylight. His daytime ERA is a full run lower during the day (2.35) than at night and his opponent's batting average against is a sizzling .190 at home. He seems to bring his A-game when he's pitching in front of the home crowd, especially when a crappy team like Washington has come into his place and taken two of the first three. There is no way in heck he's going to allow the Washington Nationals to take three of four on their home turf... he wouldn't be able to live with himself.

Now, let's talk about his opponent... J.D. Martin. A very small sample size to work with, but we do know this will be his first appearance on the road as a professional pitcher. He's had all sorts of experience in the minors as he was drafted in the first round of the 2001 supplemental draft by the Cleveland Indians. He was recently called up to Washington after a solid stint at Triple-A Syracuse, coming to the Nation's Capitol with a 2.66 ERA and an 11-3 record. However, in his first two starts with the Nats things have been a little shaky. A 7.50 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP is hardly someone I'd be excited about sending to the hill when I knew my counterpart was going to be Yovani Gallardo.

Look, he might come out and surprise us for a few innings, but in the end the Milwaukee bats will figure him out and make him wish he was back in Syracuse. The Nats are 12-43 in their last 55 road games, dating back to last year, and have dropped 7 of the last 9 in Milwaukee. The Brewers always seem to take care of business when they are a decided favorite of greater than -200 (24-5 in the last 29) and they've won 7 of their last 10 with Gallardo on the hill when he is coming off a quality appearance in his last start. This one is going to be ugly as the Brewers win by at least 5.

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney
Thursday ... 15-Dime Reds -1' Runs (WITH Cueto over Stauffer) - Analysis due back by 11:30 a.m. eastern

5-Dime Cubs -1' Runs (WITH Hart and Ortiz) -

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Fazzini Thursday's play 10 Dime -- BREWERS (Gallardo) -1 1/2 runs over Nationals(Martin)

BREWERS
NOTE: List only Gallardo as Milwaukee's starting pitcher

The Brewers have been a big disappointment in July after entering the month in first place in the NL Central. They have lost 16 of their last 24 games, including two of the last three to the lowly Nationals.

Milwaukee ace Yovani Gallardo (9-7, 3.09 ERA) has not been one of the reasons Milwaukee has slipped, however. The right-hander, despite a 1-3 record in July, has pitched relatively well. He has a 3.86 ERA in five starts this month, and pitched 7 1/3 scoreless innings Saturday against Atlanta in his last outing.

Gallardo also drove in the first run in the 4-0 victory, the third time this year he has driven in the winning run.

The Nationals will send rookie J.D. Martin (0-1, 7.50 ERA) to the mound. The right-hander, who will be making his third major league start, pitched two scoreless innings Saturday against San Diego before a rain delay ended his night. In his only other big-league outing, he allowed five runs and eight hits in four innings against the Mets.

Washington is 11-50 in its last 61 games vs. right-handers, and despite two road against the Brewers this week, the Nationals are 2-8 in their last 10 games in Milwaukee. And the Brewers have a hell of a lot more offensive firepower than either the Padres or Mets, so I expect Milwaukee to score quite a few runs today. Take the Brewers on the run line.

[Mr. IWS]

Michael Cannon
Thursday's Play...



25 Dime –



ROYALS (With Hochevar as listed pitcher)



Take the Royals for the road win this afternoon over the Orioles.



Kansas City will start Luke Hochevar and it looks like the 25-year old is having a breakthrough of sorts.



Hochevar is coming off a dominating win over the Rangers on Saturday night. The right-hander allowed two earned runs and five hits and registered 13 strikeouts in seven innings. More impressively, he didn’t walk anyone in the Royals’ 6-3 win. Over his last five starts, Hochevar is 4-0 with a 3.55 ERA.



Baltimore will counter with Brad Bergesen and the rookie has pitched well this year but hasn’t received much run support. The right-hander is just 1-3 in his last four starts despite a 3.65 ERA.



I know Kansas City isn’t a very good team, but neither is Baltimore and the price should reflect that. There’s no way I would feel confident laying this kind of number with the Orioles, regardless if they are playing at home.



With the way Hochevar has turned the corner this appears like a serious miscalculation by the oddsmaker.



Take the Royals as they grab the road win.

[Mr. IWS]

COLORADO ROCKIES @ NEW YORK METS 12:10 ET
METS ARE 10-7 THE LAST THREE YEARS AGAINST COLORADO. THEY ARE 7-1 AT HOME AGAINST COLORADO AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. SANTANA GETS THE START TONIGHT FOR NEW YORK AND WILL POST HIS 12TH WIN OF THE YEAR. HE IS 7-3 AT HOME WITH AN ERA 1.86. HAMMELS LAST 3 STARTS HAVE BEEN BELOW AVERAGE. HE IS 0-1 WITH AN ERA OF 5.52. THE METS ARE 27-20 AT HOME AND WILL WIN THIS ONE GOING AWAY.
METS -140 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

fat stu fininer

[zags]

I just bought lillefty's picks so they are confirmed

free play was san diego +145.. already gone off

paid plays cubs runline +115

colorado game #2 only if you can get it at -125 or lower.

thanks and keep up the good work

[Mr. IWS]

charlie
mlb. washington @ miwaukee under 8' runs early card & atl @ florida under 8 runs late card ( 500*).
mlb. reds-150 (30*)
mlb. phillies-125 (20*)
mlb. rockies-130 (20*)
mlb. dodgers-110 (10*)
mlb. yankees-125 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

RatedPicks


MLB: *GoTY* released today

MLB 07/30 San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds pick: *BP* Cincinnati Reds pts: -1.5 (+140) 5 units np
MLB 07/30 San Diego Padres at Cincinnati Reds pick: *GOTY* Cincinnati Reds pts: -155 5 units np


Our regular card for 7/30:

MLB 07/30 Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins pick: Atlanta Braves pts: -160 3 units
MLB 07/30 Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins pick: over pts: 8 3 units
MLB 07/30 Oakland Athletics at Boston Red Sox pick: Boston Red Sox pts: -340 5 units

[Mr. IWS]

Jack Jones

15* on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +135

Play on the Orioles over the Royals Thursday afternoon. Luke Hochevar has struggled for the Royals on the road this season posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Meanwhile, Bradley Bergesen has been incredible for the Orioles, particularly when he pitches in Baltimore. So far he is 6-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 10 starts at home (the Orioles are 8-2 in all of his home starts). The Royals are now 17-28 on the road and are scoring just 3.5 runs per game in those games. The Orioles are now 27-23 in home games while posting 5.1 runs per game in Baltimore.

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Mallinsky

UNDER 7 RUNS,NEW YORK METS (Santana)-vs- Colorado Rockies (Hammel)

5*

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime 7 /30

Thursday Plays


MLB Baseball

100* Play Cincinnati (-145) over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)

San Diego has lost 45 of the last 61 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175 and they have also lost 20 of the last 26 games in the month of July. San Diego has lost 24 of the last 33 games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and Tim Stauffer has lost 4 of the last 5 games. Cincinnati has won 3 of the last 4 games as a favorite of -150 or higher and Johnny Cueto has won 2 consecutive games vs. NL West Division Opponents.


100* Play Baltimore (-150) over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)

Kansas City has lost 17 of the last 24 games in the month of July and they have also lost 22 of the last 34 day games. Kansas City has lost 8 of the last 12 games when playing on a Thursday and Luke Hochevar has an ERA of 6.75 on the road this season. Bradley Bergessen has won 8 of the last 10 home games and he has also won 5 consecutive games as a favorite of -110 or higher.



100* Play Atlanta (-150) over Florida (MLB TOP PLAY)

Javier Vazquez has won 4 consecutive games in the month of July and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.57. Florida has lost 12 of the last 18 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher and Rick Vandenhurk has lost 5 of the last 6 games as an underdog of +125 to +175.



CFL Football

50* Play Montreal (-6.5) over Edmonton (CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)

Edmonton has lost 5 consecutive games as an underdog of 3.5 to 7 points and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games against the spread coming off a road win. Montreal has won 7 of the last 8 games when playing in weeks five through nine and they are averaging over 41 points a game on offense in road games this season.



WNBA BASKETBALL


50* Play San Antonio (+2.5) over Sacramento (WNBA HOOPS PLAY)

Sacramento has lost 7 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 2 consecutive games vs. San Antonio. Sacramento has lost 10 of the last 12 games against the spread vs. division opponents and they have also lost 5 consecutive games against the spread when playing their 2nd game in 5 days.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Rockies/Mets game 1 under Big Ticket

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo's **8** MLB AFTERNOON TOTAL ***DOMINATOR*** - Thursday
**8** MLB AFTERNOON TOTAL ***DOMINATOR**

8* Over Houston Astros/Chicago Cubs

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

Take the Mets ML for 1.5 u and Baltimore ML for 1u.

GOTM 5 u on Philly ML

1.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Chicago White Sox (+115) over N.Y. Yankees (8 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #907 Atlanta (-150) over Florida (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #922 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +100) over Houston (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take Colorado (-120) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #910 St. Louis (-110) over L.A. Dodgers (8 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Prez

Brewers-1.5
CWS

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog 2009/07/30

Game: Kansas City at Baltimore (12:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Baltimore -160 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 1.9)

Game: San Diego at Cincinnati (12:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Diego +140 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.2)

Game: San Diego at Cincinnati (12:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Diego +1.5 runs -150 (runline) (risk 3 to wi
n 2)

Game: Oakland at Boston (1:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Boston -1.5 runs -170 (runline) (risk 5 to win 2.9)

Game: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Chicago Cubs -190 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 2.1)

Game: Houston at Chicago Cubs (2:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs +110 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.3)

Game: Colorado at New York Mets (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado -130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.3)

Game: Colorado at New York Mets (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Colorado -1.5 runs +130 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)

Game: Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis (8:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on St. Louis -1.5 runs +190 (runline) (risk 2 to win 3.8)

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

Take the Mets ML for 1.5 u and Baltimore ML for 1u.

GOTM 5 u on Philly ML

1.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Chicago White Sox (+115) over N.Y. Yankees (8 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #907 Atlanta (-150) over Florida (7 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #922 Chicago Cubs (-1.5, +100) over Houston (2 p.m.)
1.5-Unit Play. Take Colorado (-120) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #910 St. Louis (-110) over L.A. Dodgers (8 p.m.)
Today's Totals

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 10.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Philadelphia at San Francisco (10 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Houston at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 L.A. Dodgers at St. Louis (8 p.m.)[/font][/color]

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass

Steam BRAVES

[Mr. IWS]

TONY BRUNO WINS

GIANTS 30x

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Salinas


25*
Cardinals {K.Lohse} (+105) over Dodgers {H.Kuroda}
8:15 PM -- Busch Stadium
Partly cloudy with a 50-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

25*
Braves {J.Vazquez}/Marlins {R.VandenHurk} UNDER 8 Runs
7:10 PM -- Dolphin Stadium
Mostly clear. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 85.

[Mr. IWS]

Jake Timlin
Thursday's Action
400? Chicago White Sox

List both Floyd & Pettitte as starting pitchers or this play is void

Take the White Sox tonight as they bounce back from an awful road swing at home.

With all due respect to the Yankees 11-2 record since the All-Star break given the fact Pettitte is pitching tonight there is no reason they should be a road favorite. Not when Pettitte has gone over a month since winning last going 0-3 with an ERA of 6.38 in his last four starts. Even worst numbers for Pettitte to overcome is his 0-6 mark with an ERA of 8.66 in his last seven series starts against the White Sox with his last win against Chicago coming a decade ago in 1996.

Chicago, meanwhile, will counter with Floyd who is a perfect 4-0 record with an ERA of 2.03 over his last seven home starts. Even better it’s Floyd who is a solid 5-1 with an ERA of 2.61 over his last 10 starts as the White Sox won 7 of those 10 games.

Simple, given that the White Sox huge edge on the mound tonight and that they won 11 of their last 15 games at home I expect for Chicago to open tonight’s series a winner.

All Chicago!

[Mr. IWS]

Eddie Roman
$20,000 MLB GUARANTEED LOCK OF LIFE


$20,000 MLB Guaranteed Recession Ending Lock of Life #2
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES -115 W/ LOPEZ
over SAN FRANCISO W/ SANCHEZ
Absolutely love this spot here. This San Francisco team isn't a good team at all, I don't care what their record says. They just played three games at home against Pittsburgh, who is in the middle of trading everyone on their team including the bat boy and even though the Giants swept them, they were far from impressive in victory. They scored just 8 runs in the 3 games and two of the wins came by 1 run, and they needed extra innings to win a game as well.
Now the Phillies come to town and this team is just streaking. They are 19-4 over their last 23 games and the whole team has to feel pretty damn good about it's chances to get back to World Series and possibly repeat with the acquisition of Cliff Lee yesterday.
They are batting .350 in their last 10 games vs. left handed pitching and I'm not sold on Sanchez at all, despite his no hitter. Facts are facts, take that no hitter out, which was probably the biggest fluke of all time, and his last 7 starts add up to this. 34 2/3 innings pitched, 27 earned runs allowed, for a 7.14 earned run average. Please now, to get a team like the Phillies, who are hitting left handed pitching well, against this guy at this price is wonderful in my book.
As for our starter, Rodrigo Lopez, he has only made 4 starts this year but 3 of them were quality starts and the Phillies are a perfect 4-0 in those games. Batters still relatively do not know his stuff and with the Giants averaging just 2.6 runs per game in their last 10, I can see Lopez easily giving us a quality start here. By the way, the Phillies have scored 33 runs in their last 5 games.
Basically here's what we have. The hottest team in the league, hitting left handers well, against a low rate left handed starting pitcher. We get the better team with a pitcher who has been very good at a very manageable price. Can't ask for more then this when it comes to baseball and that's why I guaranteed the game.

[Mr. IWS]

TONY BRUNO WINS

GIANTS 30x

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Rose' 3 Actions; 2 Pups Thursday Night...
The run of the Summer is in FULL Effect: Mike has cashed 6 of his last 7 and 15 of his last 22 MLB days and has made 76+ units of profit his L/34 days of baseball betting. Cashed with the Yankees last night - Rose is now +Units on the year after burying himself and his customers in May & June! What a Comeback! Over the last decade, no-one has made more than Rose betting baseball. He's only had one losing season during that span and last year was his best ever as Mike made 177 Units for his ecstatic customers. His 2007 season saw him make $80K for his dime bettors and he has made over $50K in profit 4 of the L/5 MLB seasons. His MLB Top Positions are on a 16-6 run and 61% on the year and his baseball Top Totals are 62% lifetime.

3* Yankees, Marlins, Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Doc's Sports

5 Unit Play. #902 Take New York -144 over Colorado Game 1 (12:10 pm MLB.tv)

[Mr. IWS]

VR

3* Giants

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Fargo's **10** CFL TOP JULY REPORT ***62.5% YTD*** - Thursday
**10** CFL TOP JULY REPORT ***62.5% YTD

10* Edmonton Eskimos

[Mr. IWS]

KBHoops

5* Texas UNDER 10 +122 **POD**

[Mr. IWS]

Thank you for your purchase

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends

5-0 in the last 5 selections!

*200 Chicago White Sox +100

I have several trends that point to White Sox victory tonight. Here are a couple. The White Sox are 29-11 since August 08, 2004 at home after a loss in which they had fewer than five team-left-on-base for a net profit of $1635. The Trends get even better for the White Sox tonight. The White Sox are 14-1 since April 18, 2008 within 20 cents of pickem after a loss in which they allowed 5+ walks for a net profit of $1330. Gavin Floyd as 11-0 SU at home when his opponent starter faced less than 33 batters in his last start. Feel confident and take the White Sox for the win tonight!

Good Luck!!

[Mr. IWS]

John Ryans 15 star play on Atlanta

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

NEW YORK YANKEES

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS