9-11-09

[Mr. IWS]

Fellas. You could really help out our forum by voting for us by going to this page and clicking the link below

http://www.investwithsports.com/toplist

then click on the little button that says, sports100.

There are no pop-ups or anything like that, and it helps us get more traffic to the forum.

Thanks a lot.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Pick: 3 units on Toledo +4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Toledo is never an easy out when you get them at home. They have also proven to be best when they aren't expected to win as they have turned in an 8-3 ATS mark as a home dog this decade. The Buffalos, who once played even with Nebraska and Oklahoma in the Big-12, have not been seen since the 1990s. The proof came last week when they were a big favorite at home vs. a weak Colorado State team with a brand new quarterback, and before you knew it they were down 20-3. The offense is simply a mess and the coaching is suspect. Dan Hawkins, while he killed it at Boise, is just 13-23 ATS at Colorado. He claims the Buffs are capable of winning ten games this season, but now there are just 11 left and he has to go to Oklahoma State and Texas yet, so I don't see it. The play calling and defensive line are issues and the secondary is very suspect. This is a team that has won a total of two road games in the last three years and have no right being favored in this spot. Very telling is the fact the Buffalo's are 0-6 ATS following a game where the offense generated 275 yards or less. Toledo is a tough out at home where they are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 played. They are also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home coming off a road loss. I'm going with Toledo in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

CharliE

mlb & ncaaf.
atlanta @ st louis under 8 runs, colorado @ toledo over 54' & toledo+3' (500* triple play).

mlb. arizona-135 (30*)
mlb. dodgers @ giants under 7' runs (20*)
mlb. royals @ indians under 7' runs (20*)
mlb. royals-145 (10*)

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSportsGroup - 9/11
MLB

Friday Sep 10th

Washington v. Florida 7:10pm
PICK: Marlins OVER 8.5 -110 (7*)


Tampa Bay v. Boston 7:10pm
PICK: Boston RL +105 (7*)


Colorado v. San Diego 10pm
PICK: Padres ML +135 (8*) Best Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Sid Paradise - 9/11
Thank you for purchasing my picks!
Colorado @ Toledo +4(-110)/54, 9pm Et
Both teams opened the season with a loss so both will be that much hungrier for a win. In some ways, these two teams paralleled each other last year. They both had trouble on offense, while relying on their defense to get them the few wins that they did get. Both should struggle on offense in this one as well. Toledo passed for over 400 yards vs Purdue last week but they were in pass only mode most of the game. Colorado led the Big 12 in pass defense last season and has most of its secondary returning. Colorado has inexperience in the passing game and should also struggle vs a veteran Toledo secondary. The main concern for the Rockets is there run defense, which gave up 315 yards on 39 carries (8.1 per). A little of this is miss leading because they gave up TD runs in the 1st quarter of 78 and 43. Take out those runs and it looks much more respectable at 5.2 per rush and they happened in the first quarter so they were able to tighten up on the big plays after that. Purdue returned 4 guys to their offensive line and had their focus on the ground attack we should give Toledo's run D a small break. Colorado despite returning 4 starters of their own only ran for 29 yards last week so after a week of tightening the holes the Toledo run D should be much better. Defense and sloppy play will rule this one, at least to the point that I like the Under 54. Both teams have been hitting Unders of late, Colorado 4 of their last 6 road games and Toledo 4 of their last 5 home games. Colorado went 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS to close out last season on the road and Toledo has historically played well at home, especially as the under dog vs bigger conferences. Gotta like the classic dog and the under trick.


Pick- Toledo +4 (-110) 4* play
Pick- UNDER 54 (-105) 2* play

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Pick: 3 units on Toledo +4 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
Toledo is never an easy out when you get them at home. They have also proven to be best when they aren't expected to win as they have turned in an 8-3 ATS mark as a home dog this decade. The Buffalos, who once played even with Nebraska and Oklahoma in the Big-12, have not been seen since the 1990s. The proof came last week when they were a big favorite at home vs. a weak Colorado State team with a brand new quarterback, and before you knew it they were down 20-3. The offense is simply a mess and the coaching is suspect. Dan Hawkins, while he killed it at Boise, is just 13-23 ATS at Colorado. He claims the Buffs are capable of winning ten games this season, but now there are just 11 left and he has to go to Oklahoma State and Texas yet, so I don't see it. The play calling and defensive line are issues and the secondary is very suspect. This is a team that has won a total of two road games in the last three years and have no right being favored in this spot. Very telling is the fact the Buffalo's are 0-6 ATS following a game where the offense generated 275 yards or less. Toledo is a tough out at home where they are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 played. They are also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home coming off a road loss.

[Mr. IWS]

Wizzard's Picks for 9/11/09
MLB: Friday 9/11/09
30* KC Royals (-140)
50* Boston Red Sox (-200)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Malinsky Top of the Ticket - Run Line

-1.5 RUNS,BOSTON RED SOX (Lester)-vs- Tampa Bay Devil Rays (Shields)

4* #974 BOSTON Run Line over TAMPA BAY

It should not come as any surprise at all that we stay in play against the shell-shocked Rays in this one ? with their losing streak having reached eight games Fenway Park is the last place that they want to be, particularly with this mound being a personal House of Horrors for starter James Shields. So with the Run Line offering us an underdog return, we are in play. Shields sports a career count of 0-5/9.00 in Fenway, with 37 hits allowed over 22 innings, including five home runs. And when we go up and down the Red Sox lineup it is easy to see how that count got produced; counting games both here and at The Trop, J. D. Drew is 9-23 with two home runs, Mike Lowell 8-22, David Ortiz 8-21 with two homers, Dustin Pedroia 9-19 with a home run; and Jason Bay 3-8 with a home run. Now they add Victor Martinez, and his .333 lifetime count against the Tampa right-hander. And it is not as though Shields can rely on current form to overcome this, with his 2-0 run over the last three starts masquerading a 5.85 ERA, and an allowance of six home runs over those 20 innings. And behind him is a disheveled bullpen that has worked to an awful 9.78 tune over this 0-8 slide. Meanwhile Jon Lester continues to work as effectively as anyone in the game right now, and that may sound like a strong statement considering how hot some other starters are, take a closer look. Since August 1st it has been a 2.12 allowance over 46.2 frames, with far more strikeouts (56) than base-runners allowed (32 hits and 13 walks). But what makes that really go to a higher level is how those numbers got compiled ? six of seven starts in that span were on the road, including facing the Yankees in the Bronx, these Rays in Tampa twice, and the Rangers in Arlington. Lester held the Rays to three runs over 12 innings in those two outings, with nearly twice as many strikeouts (19) as hits allowed (10), and in a rare chance to work from his preferred home mound we can back him confidently.

[Mr. IWS]

MLB BASEBALL PLAYS

5 Unit Play. #960 Take St. Louis -130 over Atlanta (Friday 9/11 8:15 PM)

(Game of the Week) St. Louis is just on cruise control and tonight the Cards welcome Atlanta to a 3-game series. Atlanta has Jair Jurrjens on the mound tonight and in his last 2 starts against St. Louis he is 0-2 with an ERA of 3.46. Atlanta doesn’t have the bats to play ketchup so I look for St. Louis to score early and often tonight. The Cardinals have won 9 of 12 meetings against Braves and tonight in St. Louis we should see number 10 of 13. Atlanta is 0-11 when Jurrjens starts against NL Central teams


Vegas Sports Informer's

[Mr. IWS]

3-Unit Play. Take #978 Minnesota (-1.5, -110) over Oakland (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)
Things are getting desperate for Minnesota right now. And they are nearing the end of the Metrodome. I think they are going to be a strong home team for the last month of the season. The A's are just 14-37 after an off day and the Twins are 6-1 against Oakland at home.

Allen Eastman

[Mr. IWS]

9-1 MLB Run & 6 of 7 winning days. 6-1 in mlb this week. Let's keep it going:

4 Unit Play. #952. Take the Chicago Cubs -1.5 (No run-line value given yet, when it is up, I will update) over the Cincinnati Reds (Friday @ 2:20pm). Lehr comes off back to back wins and he is in prime spot for a let down here. Despite giving up 9 runs over his last two starts Justin has managed to pick up back to back wins. He is not in overly sharp form right now and I believe the Cubs are just waiting for him with open arms right now. The last time Lehr faced the Cubs he pitched a complete game four hit shutout. Now that the Cubs have had nine solid innings to look at his stuff, I expect the hitters to have an edge here. On top of that, the last time Harden pitched against the Reds on the road he picked up the loss as the Cubs lost 0-4. I look for Harden and the Cubs to get their revenge at home today as they likely cover the run-line. The Reds are 0-4 in their last four road games and the Cubs are 10-2 as large favorites by this margin of late.

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between the New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies (Friday @ 7:05pm est). Do not underestimate Figueroa as he is able to put up some solid starts on the road. This veteran born in 1974 in Brooklyn New York went seven innings and gave up just one run to the Cubs on the road en route to a 4-1 win. He then faced the Cubs in the next game as well and fell short 3-5 which is expected given that it is very tough to defeat a team in back to back starts. I look for Figueora to have a solid start today but in the same token I expect Hamels to have a good bounce-back effort as well. Cole gave up four runs in six innings in a tough loss to the Astros in his last effort. Prior to that start, Hamels had given up no runs in seventeen innings. In fact, he went on that streak after he had given up four runs in the previous start - similar to the situation he is in today. The Under is 5-1 in Figueora's last six starts against a team with a winning record and the Under is 5-0 for Hamels when the total is set at this range.

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8 between the Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals (Friday @ 8:15pm est). Despite Jair pitching well, he is still falling short of picking up wins. I look for him to continue to seek those wins and produce one quality start after another. The young man who was born in 86' still has a 2.93 era this year as it is sub 3 which has to make the organization very pleased. I look for yet another quality start as Jair comes off back to back losses despite both of them being solid starts. Pineiro comes off a no-decision at Pittsburgh but did not pitch well to his expectations. The Cards ended up losing the game 5-6 and I suspect Pineiro puts together a strong effort today coming off that start. The Under is 7-1 when the total is set at this range for Pineiro.

Good luck,

IC

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferrringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #954 Philadelphia (-1.5, -130) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #956 Florida (-1.5, -120) over Washington (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #960 St. Louis (-125) over Atlanta (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)


1-Unit Play. Take #963 Colorado (-145) over San Diego (10 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)


1-Unit Play. Take #966 San Francisco (-120) over L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)


1-Unit Play. Take #970 N.Y. Yankees (-1.5, -145) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)



Today's Totals
1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 8.5 Tampa Bay at Boston (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Seattle at Texas (8 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs (2 p.m., Friday, Sept. 11)

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel

toledo /reg
under houston / reg

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Salinas Baseball
Friday, September 11, 2009

25*
Royals {Z.Greinke} (-145) over Indians {J.Masterson}
7:05 PM -- Progressive Field
Mostly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

23*
Cardinals {J.Pineiro} (-135) over Braves {J.Jurrjens}
8:15 PM -- Busch Stadium
Clear. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.

24*
Rockies {J.De La Rosa} (-150) over Padres {E.Mujica}
10:05 PM -- Petco Park
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing in from left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

[Mr. IWS]

Alatex

MLB:Arizona Over 9 -125 Regular Play

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso
Highrollers Baseball

15 UnitsLa Angels {J.Saunders} (-130) over Whitesox {G.Floyd}
10:05 PM -- Angel Stadium of Anaheim
LOS ANGELES ANGELS (84-55) -130 over Chicago White Sox (70-71) Pitching for Los Angeles: LH Joe Saunders (12-7, 4.97) Pitching for Chicago: RH Gavin Floyd (11-9, 3.84) Starting Time: 10:05 TV: WGN, Fox Sports West

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS:

30* Colorado/Toledo over

[Mr. IWS]

igz1 sports

Friday Card
Thursday Recap: 1-0 NFL / 1-0 CFB / 0-1 MLB

MLB
3* Kansas City -140 (Greinke)

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordans pick for today


Friday's Winner ...
200? ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (LIST Pineiro and Jurrjens) - Analysis due back by 4 p.m. eastern

[Mr. IWS]

Joe Nelson

Reds at Cubs
Pick: Reds +200

Justin Lehr pitched a complete game four-hit shutout against the Cubs just over a month ago and Cincinnati has quietly been a highly productive team in recent weeks. The Reds recently dropped four straight to the Rockies but Colorado remains one of the hottest teams in baseball. Prior to that series the Reds had won 12 of the past 14 games and the Reds have been a solid road team on the season. Rich Harden owns a 6.21 ERA in his home starts and a 6.20 ERA in day games with a 1.57 WHIP. The Cubs are a losing team behind Harden at home and recent wins over the Pirates should not carry significant weight for a Chicago team that has disappointed all season long. Chicago returns home after six straight road games and the Cubs are 7-8 over the past two home stands. Chicago is batting just .243 against right-handed pitching in the last ten games and the Reds have featured the much more reliable bullpen this season making Cincinnati an attractive underdog play today.

[Mr. IWS]

Rob Vinciletti

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona D-Backs (MLB) - 9:40 PM EDT Premium Pick

Pick: Money Line: -128 Arizona D-Backs Play Title: FRIDAY 90% MLB DOMINATOR SYSTEM WINS BY 5 RUNS PER GAME

On Friday night the big 90% dominator system play is on Arizona. Game 962 at 9:40 eastern. What we want to do here tonight is play on certain home favorites off a home win if they scored 4 or less runs and tonights opponent scored 2 or less in a home dog loss. This system cashes 90% of the time and wins by an average 7-2 score. Milwaukee is hitting just .172 and averaging 2 runs per game over the last week. When coming off a day off they are 4-10. They have struggled in September with a 2-7 record. Arizona is 18-8 in the second half vs losing teams. In the pitching match up the Brewers have B.Looper making the start. His road era is 5.02 this year. Arizona has left hander D.Davis going tonight. In his home starts he has a solid 3.22 era. In 11+ innings this year vs Milwaukee he has allowed 4 runs. The last time Lopper pitched in Arizona he lasted just 3+ innings giving up 7 runs. Based on the dominator system and the better numbers ,lets back the Diamondbacks tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Bruno Wins

Under Toledo

[Mr. IWS]

Adam Meyer

PLAY: Toledo +3.5 / -110 / 5 Units

PLAY: Toledo/Colorado Over 54.5 / -110 / 4 Units

PLAY: Colorado Rockies / -140 / 4 Units

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits:

Mariners/Rangers UNDER 9.5 -111
Rockies/Padres UNDER 8 -120
White Sox/Angels UNDER 9 -110

[Mr. IWS]

SAM CLAYTON

20 DIME - CHW/LAA UNDER 9

As a lifelong White Sox fan, I am very familiar with the west coast blunders that Chicago often finds themselves in on their California coast road trips. The offense gets stuck somewhere between the jet lag and the self-inflicted "we can't win out west" mentality and it's a pain in the ass to observe. And with the way these two teams have been sailing under the posted total this month, this play is a no-brainer for me.
Since September 1, the White Sox have cashed the under in 7 of 9 games and get this -- the Angels (sans one push) are a perfect 8 for 8 when it comes to sailing under the total. That's highly unusual for the Halos given their offensive prowess, but I'm going to beat the dead horse today and call for a low scoring affair in the series opener. I think we're in for a pitching duel to say the least and I'm riding the hot arm of Gavin Floyd (11-9, 3.84) to keep the Angels bats at bay. In Floyd's last ten starts, the under has cashed eight times and he's allowed more than three runs only twice. Parlay that with the fact that Joe Saunders, the bulldog that he is, has had moderate success against Chicago throughout his career. He's 2-2 with a 3.98 ERA in five career starts and I love his chances tonight in the opener against a Chicago team that is notorious for struggling at the plate on road trips.

Play the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

IC WNBA

7 Unit Play. WNBA GOY. Take Over 168.5 between the Connecticut Sun @ Atlanta Dream (Friday @ 7pm). Well, what better day to step out than today? We have made great profit of late (15-8 run including a 5* GOM Winner yesterday) that we can build off of. The playoffs are approaching and the incentive to produce has never been as high as this week for certain teams in the league. We rode that philosophy with our 5* GOM winner yesterday on Chicago over the Fever at home. With that win, the Chicago stay on pace for a potential playoff spot. In that same manner, we look for the Connecticut Sun to do their part to hang out to their dreams of going dancing as well. The Mystics, Sun and Sky are all battling for the fourth playoff spot in the East. The Sky won a much needed game over the league leading Fever at home so they can obtain their 16th win of the season. Washington and Connecticut are at 15 wins. Thus, Connecticut desperately needs a win today. Bear in mind that Washington has two games remaining and will play on the last day of the regular season so they have a slight edge in controlling their own destiny one more time. That makes this game even more paramount for Connecticut. The Sun have been dismal of late down the stretch. Yet, they can still make it to the playoffs if the upset Atlanta on the road. The Dream however come off a loss themselves and technically, have not clinched a playoff spot. The Dream have 17 wins. Rather than the side, I like the over here for the underlying reasons mentioned above. Atlanta is great off a loss. This team is 8-2 to the over and has not played back to back Unders in their last 10 games. They come off getting handily defeated at Phoenix and will look to rebound back at home. The Dream's avenue of bouncing-back is putting up a ton of points at home as evidenced by putting up 103 points at home after a loss to the Sparks at home. Connecticut comes off a big overtime win over New York. This team had a tough road trip prior to that but did score a wealth of points going over in three of those four road games. One of those games was in Phoenix. Phoenix ended up winning that game 84-95 (179) but that game is a perfect prototype to this game. The Dream and Mercury play similar style of play and I expect a 170+ scoring total. Bear in mind that Atlanta comes off a loss and with an increased scoring output for them as well as the fact Connecticut will look to stay competitive tonight as it is a must win for them, I suspect this game will go over the posted total. The Sun also have revenge from the most recent loss to Atlanta. The Sun are also 8-1-1 to the Over in their last ten games quietly as well. On top of all that, I want to point you to the total that has been set for this game - 168.5. Considering the first game the total was set at 155, the next game the total was set at 155.5 and the most recent game, the total was set at 156.5, it is a stark jump for this total to be set at 168.5. What makes it more surprising is the fact that the three previous games went under the posted total - and yet, this total is still set 12 points more than the highest total prior to this game. I believe this is another sign that Vegas is expecting a very competitive, and high scoring contest this evening. The Over is 10-1 for the Sun following a straight up loss, the Over is 12-2 for the Dream on 3 days rest and the Over is 6-1 for the Dream following a straight up loss as well. Here's to going on a 16-8 run and add to the winning week as we gear up for a big playoff stretch run.
Good luck,
IC

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Toronto at Detroit (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Toronto +140 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 4.2)

[Mr. IWS]

apache

11 colorado
23 colorado over

[Mr. IWS]

JR Sports 7* total play (18-4 ATS)

Colorado Buffaloes @ Toledo Rockets - Fri September 11, 2009 9:00 pm est

4 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 54.5

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) LA Angels -140

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club

3 Toledo +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

Friday's Card
10 Dime Colorado

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass bases

20 Florida -1.5
20 Arizona
20 San Fran

[Mr. IWS]

Executive

200% Toledo

[Mr. IWS]

Street Rosenthal

*200 Arizona Diamondbacks -128

I am taking the Diamondbacks for the win tonight. I have the Brewers as 7-19 SU since 2007 after a loss in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks. I also have the Diamondbacks as 25-8 SU since 2007 as a home favorite when they won the last time they faced this starting pitcher. Finally, I have the Diamondbacks as 21-6 SU since 2007 as a favorite after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks. Take the DBacks for the win.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

Late Breaking Winner

COL Rockies

[Mr. IWS]

vegas runner late steam - dodgers

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

September 11, 2009
Frank Patron 20,000 UNIT LOCK #6 IN A ROW

OVER 54.5 POINTS COLORADO AT TOLEDO