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View Full Version : Vitali Klitschko vs Chris Arreola play



Luke
09-26-2009, 02:28 PM
Taking Vitali -530


1 unit


Hate laying this kind of juice but I give Arreola almost a zero chance of winning this fight

He has no head movement and will be a punching bag all night until he get stopped

GL ::handshake::

Mr. IWS
09-26-2009, 02:48 PM
I think this is a good call. Too pricey for me, but Arreola will get picked apart by Vitali tonight.

GL

SPX
09-26-2009, 03:07 PM
How many rounds do you think this fight will go?

Luke
09-26-2009, 04:27 PM
I'd say 8 or less but I'm not too good with over unders .

Vitali Klitschko wont lose tonight unless a prayer by Arreloa comes true but I'm not worried bout it or I'd never lay this juice

SPX
09-26-2009, 04:50 PM
I'd say 8 or less but I'm not too good with over unders .

Vitali Klitschko wont lose tonight unless a prayer by Arreloa comes true but I'm not worried bout it or I'd never lay this juice

Why not load up then? Like 10u or something?

Luke
09-26-2009, 04:56 PM
I'd say 8 or less but I'm not too good with over unders .

Vitali Klitschko wont lose tonight unless a prayer by Arreloa comes true but I'm not worried bout it or I'd never lay this juice

Why not load up then? Like 10u or something?


Because 10 units at -530 juice is 5300 dollars which is all but a few hundred of my whole bankroll and i dont put my whole bankroll down on anything . The most I'll ever lay on one play is 1000-1500

SPX
09-26-2009, 05:00 PM
Because 10 units at -530 juice is 5300 dollars which is all but a few hundred of my whole bankroll and i dont put my whole bankroll down on anything . The most I'll ever lay on one play is 1000-1500

Maybe we're confusing terms. When you say that you're betting "1u" on something then I usually assume that means you're betting 1 of your own personal units, i.e. if your unit is $100 then you're betting $100. And I assume that 1 unit is somewhere around 1% of your total bankroll.

Or do you mean, whenever you say you're betting 1u that if the odds are -200 then you're better 200 or, like in this case, if the odds are -530 then you're betting $530?

Luke
09-26-2009, 05:12 PM
Because 10 units at -530 juice is 5300 dollars which is all but a few hundred of my whole bankroll and i dont put my whole bankroll down on anything . The most I'll ever lay on one play is 1000-1500

Maybe we're confusing terms. When you say that you're betting "1u" on something then I usually assume that means you're betting 1 of your own personal units, i.e. if your unit is $100 then you're betting $100. And I assume that 1 unit is somewhere around 1% of your total bankroll.

Or do you mean, whenever you say you're betting 1u that if the odds are -200 then you're better 200 or, like in this case, if the odds are -530 then you're betting $530?


I always bet to win 100 when theres juice. I bet a little weird but this should clear it up

if the odds are -530 I'm laying 530 to win 100

if the odds are +530 I'm laying 100 to win 530

If its -110 i'm laying 110 to win 100

if its +110 I'm laying 100 to win 110


I use to post my exact risk to win maybe I'll start doing that again.Sorry for the confusion

SPX
09-26-2009, 05:18 PM
I always bet to win 100 when theres juice. I bet a little weird but this should clear it up

if the odds are -530 I'm laying 530 to win 100

if the odds are +530 I'm laying 100 to win 530

If its -110 i'm laying 110 to win 100

if its +110 I'm laying 100 to win 110


I use to post my exact risk to win maybe I'll start doing that again.Sorry for the confusion

Ah, okay. Now I understand.

When I say I'm betting "1u" then that's my personal unit, which for me is only like $20.

Maybe I'll follow you into this one with 6u. I trust your judgement and obviously the oddsmakers agree with you. I wouldn't mind winning something tonight.

Luke
09-26-2009, 05:22 PM
I dont usually tell people to follow me but I really think this will be easy tonight


GL SPX lets cash this

SPX
09-26-2009, 05:29 PM
Just noticed Arreola is undefeated. Is this fight a step up in competition for him?

Luke
09-26-2009, 06:33 PM
Just noticed Arreola is undefeated. Is this fight a step up in competition for him?



Yes about ten steps up

Arreola got rocked bad two fights ago because he has no head movement by a bum named Travis Walker

He will gt hit with shots all night long tonight

SPX
09-26-2009, 06:51 PM
Yes about ten steps up

Arreola got rocked bad two fights ago because he has no head movement by a bum named Travis Walker

He will gt hit with shots all night long tonight

I've read up a bit and have heard that Klitschko has a tendency to get cut and injured really easily. You have any concerns that Arreola might take it due to some bullshit like that?

Luke
09-26-2009, 06:58 PM
Yes about ten steps up

Arreola got rocked bad two fights ago because he has no head movement by a bum named Travis Walker

He will gt hit with shots all night long tonight

I've read up a bit and have heard that Klitschko has a tendency to get cut and injured really easily. You have any concerns that Arreola might take it due to some bullshit like that?


No not at all. Kiltscho has only been cut once that was against Lewis and the injury that cost him the other fight was a bum shoulder .He has lost two fights in his career and that was because of the cut and shoulder besides that he's never lost.

The cut was 6 years ago and the shoulder injury was 9 years ago so nothing has happened in 6 years .I feel this is a safe bet

Mr. IWS
09-26-2009, 07:07 PM
I thought Vitali was winning that fight against Lewis, before it got stopped.

SPX
09-26-2009, 07:10 PM
I thought Vitali was winning that fight against Lewis, before it got stopped.

According to everything I've read he was up on the cards when the fight was stopped.

Luke
09-26-2009, 07:12 PM
I thought Vitali was winning that fight against Lewis, before it got stopped.

According to everything I've read he was up on the cards when the fight was stopped.


He was winning against Lewis when it was stopped ,he was also killing Bryd in the fight he hurt his shoulder before they stopped it

SPX
09-26-2009, 07:17 PM
Do you guys think that MMA is a riskier sport to bet on than boxing due to the smaller gloves and do you think there are more upsets in MMA than boxing?

Mr. IWS
09-26-2009, 07:21 PM
Do you guys think that MMA is a riskier sport to bet on than boxing due to the smaller gloves and do you think there are more upsets in MMA than boxing?

Yeah, I would agree with that for sure.

But on the other hand, you see some real fucked up decisions in boxing.

SPX
09-26-2009, 07:24 PM
Okay, fuck it. I'm in for 6u to win 1.1u.

Luke
09-26-2009, 07:25 PM
MMA is riskier to bet IMO because any one shot could end any fight.

As Zak said there are way more shady decisions in boxing

As for upsets I say they are about the same for both sports

Luke
09-26-2009, 07:26 PM
Okay, fuck it. I'm in for 6u to win 1.1u.


Lets do it man ::handshake::

Mr. IWS
09-26-2009, 07:36 PM
Ill be rooting you guys on. My pussy is too tight right now for me to bet...LOL

Im already 1-3 today in football.

Luke
09-26-2009, 08:08 PM
Ill be rooting you guys on. My pussy is too tight right now for me to bet...LOL

Im already 1-3 today in football.


::lmao::


I went 0-3

Still thinking about Stanford but dont want to curse you

SPX
09-26-2009, 08:34 PM
Ill be rooting you guys on. My pussy is too tight right now for me to bet...LOL

Im already 1-3 today in football.

Bet $20 for the hell of it!

SPX
09-27-2009, 12:10 AM
Woo-hoo! Winner!

I really wish I had taken the over-7.5-rd prop @ +170, but whatever. Just glad to show a profit tonight.

Thanks, Luke!

Luke
09-27-2009, 12:17 AM
Woo-hoo! Winner!

I really wish I had taken the over-7.5-rd prop @ +170, but whatever. Just glad to show a profit tonight.

Thanks, Luke!



Winners for both of us ,Congrads man




1-0 +100 ::dance::

SPX
09-27-2009, 12:28 AM
1-0 +100 ::dance::

Don't forget about the Mayweather fight.

zY|
09-27-2009, 01:02 AM
Congrats guys, but christ what an awful fight that was.

SPX
09-27-2009, 01:28 AM
Congrats guys, but christ what an awful fight that was.

Word.

Just glad that "being boring" doesn't factor into wagering.

Mr. IWS
09-27-2009, 08:15 AM
Nice job fellas!

Luke
09-27-2009, 11:19 AM
Congrats guys, but christ what an awful fight that was.


I figured it was going to be a one sided boring fight.Next time I'll warn you guys

SPX
09-27-2009, 12:59 PM
I figured it was going to be a one sided boring fight.Next time I'll warn you guys

Sometimes that's okay. When I got money out there "boring" and "one-sided" is how I like it.

Luke
09-27-2009, 01:21 PM
I figured it was going to be a one sided boring fight.Next time I'll warn you guys

Sometimes that's okay. When I got money out there "boring" and "one-sided" is how I like it.


Me too ::lmao:: it keeps me from freaking out

zY|
09-28-2009, 04:04 PM
I was thinking of following you guys and dropping some on Klitschko, but I just don't know enough about boxing and you never know when someone like Matt Serra is going to show up and not give a shit what the betting line is.

SPX
09-28-2009, 04:12 PM
I was thinking of following you guys and dropping some on Klitschko, but I just don't know enough about boxing and you never know when someone like Matt Serra is going to show up and not give a shit what the betting line is.

I know almost nothing about boxing, but based upon the confidence the oddsmakers clearly had in Klitschko, the various analyses I read on the Internet, and Luke's advice, I decided to go ahead with it. It's kind of funny, though. I've made 5u and 6u bets on the two boxing matches I've bet on, which is far more than I've ever bet on any single MMA match.