10-24-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

[Mr. IWS]

Doc

6U Georgia Tech -5.5
5U Michigan +4.5
5U Tennessee +14
4U Arkansas State -10.5
4U Louisville +18
4U Under 43 Minnesota/ Ohio State
4U Boise St -24.5

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
Picks and Analysis
Game: Central Michigan at Bowling Green (Saturday 10/24 12:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Bowling Green +8 (-110)
The Chippewas boast the best overall record in the MAC at 6-0, as well as the best record in the Conference at 4-0. They will face a Bowling Green team that has suffered just one loss in the conference, and as such, this is an important game for both teams as it relates to the conference championship. Bowling Green has proven that they can play when they choose to show up, as they had Missouri on the ropes before falling 27-20. And, they already own an impressive 31-14 win over a good Troy team. Outside of the Boise State game, who seems to be steamrolling everyone as usual, no one has beaten this Falcons team by more than a TD. It is no secret that the Falcons are going to air it out. And why not? With QB Tyler Sheehan having already thrown for 2,336 yards and 14 TDs the Falcons can score. They have topped the 30-point mark in each of the last three. Central Michigan has a big win over Michigan State and knows a little about scoring themselves, having put up 48+ three timesalready. This one should be fun to watch as both teams can put up points in a hurry, but the Chipps are down when they face a team on the road with a losing home record, cashing just one of their last four. The Falcons rise to the occasion as a home dog of 3.5-10 where they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven and have enough offense to hang inside the number here. Bowling Green gets the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast Early Bird
5-2 this year

USC -20

[Mr. IWS]

CKO

10 WAKE FOREST over *Navy
Late Score Forecast:
WAKE FOREST 34 - *Navy 26

10 *SOUTH CAROLINA over
Vanderbilt
Late Score Foreacast:
*SOUTH CAROLINA 31 - Vanderbilt 7

10 *STANFORD over Arizona State
Late Score Forecast:
*STANFORD 33 - Arizona State 17

NINE-RATED GAMES: OHIO (-10) vs. Kent State—Big QB experience edge for Bobcats, who are now 3-0 in the MAC with thoughts of the East title on
their minds...MICHIGAN (+4) vs. Penn State—Wolverines believe in HC Rodriguez, QB Forcier; ready to extend Lions’ nightmare in The Big House...UTAH
STATE (+2) vs. Louisiana Tech—La Tech is not a good traveler; new HC Gary Anderson (former Utah d.c.) has offensively-potent Aggies ready for a
mini-breakthrough.

[Mr. IWS]

purelock : ( 6-1 ) :

virginia

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog from a friend of IWS

This Week's Picks (9)
Florida State +130 over N. Carolina
Virginia +185 over Georgia Tech
Bowling Green +270 over C. Michigan
Vanderbilt +390 over S. Carolina
Buffalo +180 over W. Michigan
Wake Forest +125 over Navy
UCLA +260 over Arizona
Arkansas +220 over Ole Miss
Florida International +350 over Arkansas State

[Mr. IWS]

Norm Hitzges
Double Plays

· Oklahoma State -10.5 vs Baylor
· Arkansas +6.5 vs Mississippi
· California -35.5 vs Washington State

Single Plays

· Auburn +7.5 vs LSU
· Boise -25 vs Hawaii
· Central Michigan -8 vs Bowling Green
· South Carolina -12.5 vs Vanderbilt
· Western Michigan -5 vs Buffalo
· Texas Tech -21.5 vs Texas A&M
· Michigan +4.5 vs Penn State
· Oklahoma -7.5 vs Kansas
· Air Force +9.5 vs Utah
· Nevada -15.5 vs Idaho
· Central Florida -10 vs Rice
· SMU +16.5 vs Houston
· Fresno -24 vs New Mexico State
· ULaMonroe +16.5 vs Kentucky
· Florida Atlantic +3 vs ULaLa

[Mr. IWS]

Spartan

3* Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
Michigan State/ 20*

[Mr. IWS]

Randall The Handle

NCAAF
Season To Date (Since August 2009) 13-5-0 +15.50 Units

Colorado +4½ over KANSAS ST. PINNACLE

I’m going back to the well after getting humiliated last week because I still have no faith that Kansas State is anything close to a decent football team. I’ll give the Wildcats credit for embarrassing Texas A&M last week in a result not many people expected but to make them a favorite based on that performance is simply foolish. Texas A&M obviously wasn’t ready to play and that falls on the coaching staff led by NFL failure Mike Sherman. Dan Hawkins is a legitimate coach that had massive success at Boise State but more importantly had the fortitude to pull his son Cody Hawkins and replace him with Tyler Hansen. That quarterback switch sparked a 34-30 upset of #17 Kansas and leaves the Buffalos with a much more talented signal caller. The numbers for Kansas State remain the same: third to last in the Big 12 in points allowed, third to last in passing yards allowed and dead last in passing yards. Any way you slice it, K-State isn’t a better team than Colorado and playing at home is the only saving grace their backers can point to. Colorado is riding a wave of confidence and their new quarterback gives them an extra dimension they didn’t have before. Colorado’s offensive numbers don’t look very good but that’s because an ineffective quarterback and tough opponents in West Virginia and Texas plagued them. I got burned by a shameful performance by Texas A&M last week and maintain Kansas State isn’t a good team. Catching Colorado with points after a big win and potentially capitalizing on a potentially over-confident Kansas State team definitely warrants a play. Play: #381 Colorado +4½ (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

ThePrez

PICK: Rutgers Your pick will be graded at: -10 WSEX EXPERT: The **** TITLE: ****' SUPREME COURT CFB GOW *HUGE 5-1 RUN* REASON FOR PICK:

SUPREME COURT CFB GAME OF THE WEEK
(305) RUTGERS at (306) ARMY 8:00 PM

Rutgers gets a game outside of the Big East on Friday night, their second straight ESPN appearance. Rutgers is 4-2 on the year with their two loses coming against Cincinnati and Pittsburgh, easily the two best teams in the conference.

It's reasonable to compare Army's offensive scheme to that of Georgia Tech, save the blue-chip talent. The Black Knight's are also led by a freshman, QB Trent Steelman, who still lacks the game savvy of a seasoned upperclassman. The fact that Steelman leads the team in rushing with only 405 yards (3.5 yards per carry) speaks volumes to his complete understanding of the offense.

Rutgers rush defense has allowed less than 92 yards per game, a difficult matchup for Army.

Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a visitor and sport a 5-0 ATS mark in their last five meetings with Army. Rutgers is also 18-3 ATS when they hold the opposition to less than 250 total yards of offense.

9* Play on Rutgers (buy the .5 point to -9.5 if necessary)

[davidabott]

Doc

6U Georgia Tech -5.5
5U Michigan +4.5
5U Tennessee +14
4U Arkansas State -10.5
4U Louisville +18
4U Under 43 Minnesota/ Ohio State
4U Boise St -24.5

Is this Doc's Sports? One of the few forums that has this right now. Nice. Just wondering why this is not in the premium section?

[Mr. IWS]

HELMUT

BGSU o56.5
TT o67

[Mr. IWS]

Strike Point

5-Unit Play. #313 Take Georgia Tech -5.5 over Virginia (10/24 Saturday - 12 p.m. EST)

A lot see this game as a letdown for Tech, but you can throw out the first month of the season for Virginia, because the Cavs are undefeated in ACC play, and that means in this a must win for the Yellow Jackets if they want to continue their push towards the conference title and a BCS game. And so far, nearly everyone has failed to stop Paul Johnson's dynamic triple option, as he has athletes and weapons all over in this brilliant system. After running over the likes of Mississippi State, Florida State and Virginia Tech in consecutive weeks, I just cannot see Virginia doing anything either. Tech is too locked in, and in every facet of the game this team is playing so well. Lay the number, Georgia Tech comes through with another impressive ACC win.

5-Unit Play. #382 Take Kansas State -4.5 over Colorado (10/24 Saturday - 12:30 p.m. EST)

This is not an overraction to the Wildcats' monster scoreline last week over Texas A&M, but simply following suit with what these two teams have shown this year. On the road this year Colorado has been one of the worst teams in the country. 0-3 away from Boulder, they have been outscored by 51 points on the road. Kansas State is 3-0 at home and have outscored opponents by 94 points in Manhattan. And let me just say the point differential this week won't be that drastic, but the success and failure on the road for Colorado and at home for Kansas State is too obvious to ignore. That, and Colorado never should have even won last week had it not been for a dropped TD pass by stud wide out Desmond Briscoe for Kansas. Touchdown victory for KSU.

5-Unit Play. #343 Take Louisiana Tech +1 over Utah State (10/24 Saturday - 3 p.m. EST)

I have not seen anything all season from Utah State to think they can knock off a more than solid Bulldogs team in this WAC match-up. Louisiana Tech has responded nicely after two road losses to begin the season by winning three of their last four overall. With Ross ******* under center and Daniel Porter running the ball, Louisana Tech has a very nice duo in the backfield and can put up some points. And the Aggies can allow some points, giving up nearly 33 per game. The trends hold up and La Tech gets back over .500 and perhaps push towards a bowl birth just the same.

5-Unit Play. #365 Take Idaho +15.5 over Nevada (10/24 Saturday - 4:05 p.m. EST)

Just cash, baby. All the Vandels have done this year is go 6-1 to start the year and cover all seven spreads in the process. And I for one don't care a bit that Nevada rung up 100 points in their last two home games in league play. Nevada hasn't played well against legit competition, so no reason to hop off the Idaho train just yet. The Wolfpack struggled against Missouri and Notre Dame, and even Colorado State, so even though Idaho is their own team, Nevada has not shown the same moxy against winning teams. Just because they are back in Reno, it doesn't automatically translate into success. Maybe this line suggests that it will, but we are not sold on that idea. Winning breeds confidence, and right now there might not be a more confidence and swagger boasting team than Idaho, and we back them again.

6-Unit Play. Game of the Month. #372 Take Toledo -2.5 over Temple (10/24 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)

The injury that has not been factored into this line is the return of Toledo's quarterback and top player Aaron Opelt. After missing essentially the last two games, expect the Rockets and the offense to get back to racking up the yards and scoring points at home. Opelt and his 14 TDs is a big time threat in the MAC and really makes this offense go. Scoring over 33 points per game at home, Toledo will be too much for a Temple team, likely minus starting running back Bernard Pierce, that is only scoring a couple of touchdowns on the road. This one could start to get ugly in the second half. Toledo by double figures.

5-Unit Play. #383 Take Iowa PK over Michigan State (10/24 Saturday - 7 p.m. EST)

This isn't the week the Hawkeyes suffer their first defeat. Iowa continues to get the job done and rack up the wins. Just because it isn't pretty doesn't mean it is not effective. Iowa is 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. winning teams, and I am still not thoroughly convinced that the success Michigan State has had is legit enough to pull off the upset. The Hawkeyes return to Iowa City 8-0

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco
5* BYU

[Mr. IWS]

3gwins


SATURDAY ACTION:

COLLEGE FOOTBALL:
10* Underdog game of the month: VIRGINIA +5.5
10* Revenge burial: SYRACUSE -10
5* Colorado +5
5* West Virginia -7.5
4* Nevada -15.5
4* Michigan St -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends


*200 Texas -13
*200 Kansas State -4
*200 Duke -4
*300 Miami -4
*500 LSU -7

[Mr. IWS]

BRYAN LEONARD'S LINE MOVER TOTAL DOMINATION

333/334 Ball State at Eastern Michigan

The Cardinals have struggled offensively all season surpassing 19 points just twice all year. But upon closer inspection we see that in those two games they averaged just 3.5 and 3.9 yards per play. Now starting quarterback Kelly Page is out for the season with a thumb injury and fifth year senior Tanner Justice takes over. Justice enters this game with a disappointing quarterback rating of 88.88 with a 0 to 1 touchdown to interception ratio. Ball State has a freshman signal caller Aaron Mershman who would normally be the backup but coach Parrish doesn't want to take off his redshirt. Therefore if Justice gets injured the team will go to the Wildcat offense in which they haven't attempted a pass this season. That means plenty of running the football and taking time off the clock.

Eastern Michigan is also down to a backup signal caller and as expected they have struggled to put points on the board since starter Andy Schmitt was lost for the season. They were going with last years backup Kyle McMahon but last week they played some with freshman Alex Gillett behind center. Neither of the two backups has thrown a touchdown pass this season and we would really expect English to be conservative here. Considering that in the last three games they have scored 6, 8 and 12 points he doesn't have many options.

Defensively the Eagles are improving and they are really stepping down in class this week. After facing the likes of Michigan and Central Michigan on their schedule they finally face a team they can match up against. Ball State's defense has struggled all year mostly because they continue to let the opposition start drives with excellent starting field position. But that likely won't be the case this week as Eastern Michigan simply doesn't have the offensive talent to exploit this weak Ball State secondary. The Cardinals are allowing 8.37 yards per pass attempt but the Eagles only produce 4.18 yppa and that included Andy Schmidt making the calls.

With two teams desperate for a victory and both playing backup signal callers we look for very conservative game plans. Lots of running the football and keeping turnovers to a minimum. That keeps the clock ticking and provides us with a quick game.

PLAY UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

Bobby Maxwell

Saturday's winners

600-Unit SEC Super Lock - SOUTH CAROLINA GAMECOCKS

South Carolina is at home and angry after last week’s loss to Alabama. The Gamecocks are definitely the play in this one, and get them early before the line jumps to more than two touchdowns.

The ‘Cocks lost last week at Alabama 20-6, but cashed as 18-point road ‘dogs. They went into that game on a four-game winning streak (2-2 ATS) that saw them score 28 points or more in four of the previous five contests.

QB Stephen Garcia has proven he can lead this offense, throwing for 1,482 yards and Nine TDs this season with just four INTs. He’s also got some revenge on his mind as the Commodores have taken each of the last two against South Carolina, upsetting the ‘Cocks 17-6 in 2007 as a 13-point road ‘dog and then winning 24-17 last year at Vandy as a 9 ½-point home ‘pup.

The 2007 win for Vandy snapped a seven-game losing streak (4-2-1 ATS) in the series. You know the two straight losses to lowly Vanderbilt is really sitting wrong with South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier. If he gets the chance, he’s going to pile on the points tonight in this one.

The Commodores have lost five of their last six games with the only victory a 36-17 road win at Rice, cashing as 7 ½-point favorites against one of the worst teams in college football this season. Scoring points has been the big problem for Vandy, as it’s been held to 13 points or less in five of the last six games, including a 34-10 loss to Georgia at home last week, coming up well short as 7 ½-point underdogs.

South Carolina is on ATS runs of 4-0 against losing teams, 5-2 in SEC games, 5-2 overall and 13-6 following a spread-cover. Meanwhile the Commodores are on ATS slides of 1-4 in SEC games, 1-4 overall and 0-4 in October games.

I’m loving Spurrier and the ‘Cocks tonight. Play South Carolina to win this one big!



100-Unit MWC Must-Play - TCU HORNED FROGS

This is a huge game for the Mountain West Conference as it has three ranked teams currently in the Top 25 and two of them are squaring off today in Provo. But the biggest difference-maker in this game is the defense of Texas Christian.

TCU’s has allowed 17 points or less in 13 straight Division I-A games and 17 of 18 dating back to the beginning of the 2008 season. And they have given up 10 points or less nine times in that 18-game stretch.

The Horned Frogs destroyed Colorado State 44-6 last week as a 22-point home favorite and they got 211 yards and two TD throws from QB Andy Dalton. The combination of that stingy defense and a QB that can complete some passes when they need it makes this a very dangerous team.

BYU racked up 512 yards of offense last week, but failed to cover as 17-point road favorites when the Cougars beat San Diego State 38-28. The Cougars have won four straight, but have only been able to alternate spread-covers in the last six. And a problem for them early in the season was INTs by QB Max Hall who threw 10 picks in the team’s first five games this season.

TCU whipped the Cougars last season 32-7 as a 1 ½-point home favorite. In fact, the Horned Frogs have gotten the cash in three of the last four series clashes. That defense is ranked in the top 10 in almost every major category and it has the Horned Frogs on ATS runs of 15-6 in conference play, 27-13 as a favorite and 6-1 as a favorite of three points or less.

BYU has had trouble at the betting window, currently on ATS slides of 1-5 at home, 3-7 against Mountain West teams, 1-7 in October, 3-9 after a SU win and 1-4 as a home ‘dog of three points or less.

I love the way TCU gets after it defensively. This team could probably quiet down any offense in the country. Play the Horned Frogs to be rough and a bully tonight.



100-Unit Big Ten Big Winner - IOWA HAWKEYES

Iowa has got it rolling and Michigan State is not the power it once was. I’m loving the Hawkeyes in this one as they have a winning attitude and have dominated this series with the Spartans in recent years.

The Hawkeyes have come out of the chute strong with wins at Wisconsin and at home against Michigan, plus their biggest win of the season, a 21-10 beating of Penn State on Sept. 26, easily cashing as a 9 ½-point underdog.

Iowa has dominated Michigan State in recent years, cashing in six of the last seven overall. In this rivalry, the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven years.

Iowa has taken care of the ball this season, leading to other facets of a good football program. The Hawkeyes are on ATS runs of 5-0 on the road (including all three this season), 7-3 in Big Ten action, 5-2 in October, 8-1 against winning teams and 7-1 as an underdog.

Meanwhile, the Spartans are on ATS slides of 1-5 against winning teams, 2-5 at home and 5-12-1 since joining the Big Ten.

Iowa is having one of those magical years where everything is lining up for it. Play the Hawkeyes on the road in this Big Ten showdown

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

Saturday's Plays

10 Dime - WEST VIRGINIA
It's hard to think Connecticut will be in top shape to concentrate against a foe it struggles with following the violent death of junior cornerback Jasper Howard, who was stabbed to death hours after the Huskies' 38-25 win over Louisville last week.

This hasn't been a close series. Connecticut hasn't been able to match West Virginia's athleticism and speed. The Mountaineers have won and covered the past five by an average victory margin of 28 points. The Huskies lost 66-21 when they last visited Morgantown two years ago.

West Virginia's Noel Devine is one of the best running backs in the country. The Huskies actually held him to 60 yards on 17 carries last year at home, but still lost 35-13.

Now the Huskies have to travel with heavy hearts. West Virignia is 10-1 at home since last year. The Mountaineers just climbed back into the Top 25 following a 24-7 win last Saturday against Marshall.

The Mountaineers prevailed despite losing quarterback Jarrett Brown to a concussion on their first series. Brown practiced this week and should be a go. If not, backup quarterback Geno Smith is very talented, too. He was 15-for-21 in the win against Marshall replacing Brown.



10 Dime - TEXAS CHRISTIAN
This wasn't a good matchup for BYU last year when it lost 32-7 and it's not a good matchup this season for the Cougars.

TCU's defensive line is too quick for BYU's big but slow offensive line. The Horned Frogs' star defensive end Jerry Hughes had four of TCU's seven sacks of Max Hall last year. Hughes is having another big year this season with eight sacks, tied for fourth in the nation.

TCU ranks eighth in the nation in rushing defense. The Horned Frogs have yielded just three touchdowns on the ground. Hall could be missing two of his top wide receivers. McKay Jacobson (hamstring) isn't 100 percent and O'Neill Chambers has been battling the flu this week. Hall has been picked off 10 times this season.

The Horned Frogs' defense has been dominant holding their last four foes to 17 points or less, giving up a season-low yardage figure against three opponents. Going back to last year, TCU has heled 17 of its last 18 foes to 18 points or less.

TCU is 17-2 with Andy Dalton at quarterback. Dalton isn't flashy, but operates a balanced attack that has a solid run game, which sets up effective play-action passes.

BYU has covered just one of its past six home games. The Cougars are 3-9 against the spread following a win.



10 Dime - ANGELS -
The Yankees, Angels and Phillies are the three best teams in baseball. Unless there's a dominant ace going, the price should never be this high when these teams match up.

The value is with the Angels and that's the way I'm going trying to push my baseball winning streak to five straight games.

Before we get to the starting pitchers, Joe Saunders and Andy Pettitte, let's discuss some other factors that point toward the Angels.

The Yankees are the ones feeling the pressure after not closing the deal on the West Coast during Game 5. Thoughts of their mammoth choke of 2004 have to be in the back of their mind. That was the last time New York reached the ALCS and it blew a 3-0 series lead to Boston in an epic meltdown.

The Angels come into New York loose and with renewed confidence. They have won 12 of their last 16 games. They are 10-3 the past 13 times they've been in the plus $1.51-to-$2.00 range. The Angels are not a team to lay a big price against.

The weather is expected to be much warmer than it was during Games 1 and 2 at Yankee Stadium. Rain and wind are expected, though. Bad weather elements usually are a negative for the favorite since it can add a randomness factor into the equation.

Saunders isn't the type of pitcher bothered by weather conditions, not being a West Coast guy. He pitched superbly in the cold weather in Game 2 holding the Yankees to two runs while pitching into the seventh inning. The Angels are 44-20 in Saunders' last 64 starts.

Pettitte has had trouble pitching this season at the new hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. His home ERA was 4.59 compared to 3.61 on the road. The Angels have defeated Pettitte in six of the last seven times they've faced him.

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

50 DIMER - LOUISVILLE CARDINALS - 7 PM


No doubt Steve Kragthorpe and Louisville hasn't been what either expected when Kragthorpe took over in 2007, and while the Redbirds may not be the outright victor in this game, the nature of this Ohio River Rivalry ensures us that the 'Ville will come to compete in this game against the undefeated Bearcats.

Cincinnati QB Pike left Cincy's last win at South Florida with a messed up non-throwing wrist, and even if he is able to make the post for this one, you know the injury is going to be playing on his mind.

If it isn't Pike, the 'Cats will use sophmore Collaros who can run, but isn't much of a passer. I would say the advantage swings in Louisville's favor if this is the case.

The road team in this rivaly has covered 4 straight, and 7 of the last 8, and the last 3 series showdowns have been decided by a grand total of just 18-points.

This is the perfect spot for the underperforming underdog to come into Nippert Stadium and give the home team a good scare.

G-Man taking the very generous impost with Louisville as the Cards make it another close one in this rivalry.

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

20 Dime College Football trio

20 Dime: ARKANSAS (plus the points vs. Ole Miss) ... NOTE: This number is at 6 1/2 in a lot of spots, so I want you to buy the half-point with Arkansas and take that 6 1/2 up to 7, which is obviously a very key number in football.


20 Dime: KANSAS (plus the points vs. Oklahoma) ... NOTE: This number is jumping up to Oklahoma -8, so be sure to shop around and get that number. Do NOT settle for 7 1/2 if you don't have to!


20 Dime: WASHINGTON (plus the points vs. Oregon) ... NOTE: Be sure you AT LEAST get Washington at +10 in this game. There are plenty of spots out there where you can find +10, but if you absolutely cannot, then buy the half-point with Washington to take 9 1/2 up to 10.


Arkansas

Arkansas got completely hosed last week by that crappy SEC officiating crew, which called a bogus personal-foul penalty on the Razorbacks late in the game that allowed Florida to move into position to kick the game-winning field goal. It was a horrific call that the SEC admitted was wrong and it cost Arkansas a shot at a monumental upset win over the top-ranked team in the nation

The question now is, can the Razorbacks overcome that disappointment? Can they put aside the one negative and focus on the positive fact that they played the defending champs even-up all day and then take those positives into today’s game at Ole Miss? Obviously, I don’t have the definitive answer. However, I’ve always believed that 18- to 22-year-old college football players are a resilient bunch, and with a veteran coach like Bobby Petrino piloting Arkansas ship, let’s just say I like the Razorbacks’ chances to bounce back.

This much I do know, though: If Arkansas channels its anger and disappointment in the right direction, they’re winning this game against Ole Miss today. Because the Razorbacks are a better team, plain and simple.

Since suffering two tough SEC losses to Georgia (52-41) and Alabama (35-7), Arkansas has been playing tremendous football. First, it crushed then-unbeaten Texas A&M 47-19 as a two-point underdog in a neutral-site game in Dallas. Then the Hogs hammered then-unbeaten Auburn 44-23 as a 1½-point home underdog. Then last week, they went to Florida as a 24-point underdog and very, very easily could’ve pulled off the biggest shocker of this college football season.

The common thread in the last three games for Arkansas? The improved play of the defense. After yielding 87 points to Georgia and Alabama – their first two Division I-A opponents – the Razorbacks held Texas A&M, Auburn and Florida to an average of 21.7 ppg. Here’s how impressive that is: A&M, Auburn and Florida rank 19th, 12th and 11th in the nation in scoring offense, with each putting up between 33.2 points and 36.3 points per game! Those three explosive offenses combined for just seven touchdowns against Arkansas, only one of which came in the first half!

Today, the Hogs’ defense faces an Ole Miss offense that is incredibly overrated. See, the Rebels put up 45, 52 and 48 points against three non-conference opponents (Memphis, Southeast Louisiana and UAB). But in its three SEC games (South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Alabama), Ole Miss has averaged just 12 points and 280.7 yards per game. The Rebels lost two of those games – to South Carolina and Alabama – while producing a total of 445 yards.

Much was expected of Ole Miss – which at one point was ranked as high as #5 in the polls – because of the return of QB Jevan Snead, whom many predicted before the season would be a sure-fire first-round NFL Draft pick. Turns out, Snead is a fraud. Against his three SEC opponents, the 6-foot-3 junior posted completion percentages of 33.3 (South Carolina), 55.9 (Vanderbilt) and 32.4 (Alabama); passed for a total of 484 yards; and had four TD tosses against seven INTs.

Make no mistake, Snead will be the second-best quarterback on the field today. Arkansas’ Ryan Mallet is now the guy attracting the attention of pro scouts, as he’s taken to Petrino’s high-flying offense like a fish to water. He’s completing 55.1 percent of his throws for 274.3 yards per game with 14 TD strikes and just three picks. True, the Rebels’ pass defense is one of the best in the nation, and Mallet won’t have it easy today. But – BUT – Mallet is the best QB that Ole Miss has seen to this point in the season. Also, Mallet is backed by a rushing attack that’s averaging 172.3 yards over the last three games (4.7 per carry). That’s key, because, Ole Miss’ run defense has surrendered 200.3 rushing ypg (5.1 per carry) in its last three games.

Exactly one year ago, despite their overwhelming talent advantage and despite the fact the Razorbacks were in a transition year, the Rebels went to Arkansas and barely pulled out a 23-21 victory, failing to cover as a 6½-point road favorite. Prior to that, the Razorbacks had been on a 4-0 SU and ATS run in this rivalry, with those four games decided by 32, 35, 11 and 32 points! Going back to 2001, Arkansas is 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in this rivalry. On top of that, with last week’s easy spread-cover at Florida, the Razorbacks are now 7-2 ATS in their last Nine games as an underdog; they’ve cashed in six straight games in October (including last year’s cover vs. Ole Miss); and they’ve covered in four straight when getting between 3½ to 10 points.

Bottom line: Having faced Georgia, Alabama, Texas A&M, Auburn and Florida the last five weeks, there’s no question Arkansas has faced a brutal schedule. There’s also no question that said schedule has made the Razorbacks a very battle-tested squad. And with as poor as Ole Miss has played in its three SEC games (one of which was against crappy Vanderbilt), especially on offense, I wouldn’t be at all surprised to see an outright upset today. But we’ll play it safe and grab the generous points.


Kansas

I looked at this game Sunday night and asked myself one question: Where’s the motivation? Where’s the motivation for the Oklahoma Sooners to go on the road for the second straight week, once again without their first-string quarterback, and beat a quality Big 12 opponent by more than a touchdown?

I could not come up with a suitable answer. Because the Oklahoma Sooners are about playing for national championships. Short of that, they’re about playing for Big 12 championships and BCS Bowl games. But six games into the 2009 campaign, the Sooners sit at 3-3, and their lofty goals are in the toilet. Now, Oklahoma will be lucky to get into the Holiday Bowl.

Think this team, which battled Florida in last year’s BCS Championship Game back in Janurary and now finds itself at 3-3, is going to get fired up week to week in hopes of landing a berth in the freakin’ Holiday Bowl? Not a chance!

Now, I’ll admit that Oklahoma’s losses were against the three best teams on their schedule (BYU, Miami and Texas). It’s also true that the Sooners very easily could’ve won all three games, which were decided by 1 point (BYU), 1 point (Miami) and 3 points (Texas). And I won’t ignore the fact that OU’s three wins were all incredibly impressive (65-0, 45-0, 33-7). But the way in which they lost that Red River Rivalry game to Texas last week – Sam Bradford goes down in a heap yet again, this time just two series into the game, then backup QB Landry Jones throws two horrific INTs that sealed OU’s fate – I can’t help but think the Sooners will be extremely flat when they take the field at Kansas.

If that happens, Oklahoma could VERY easily swallow loss #4 today, because the Jayhawks are a quality football team. Yes, Kansas is coming off its own disappointing defeat (34-30 at lowly Colorado), but that was as classic of a look-ahead situation as I’ve ever seen. The Jayhawks came out thinking they would waltz over the Buffaloes and before they knew it, they were down 24-3 late in the first half, and although the Jayhawks did mount a rally, it came up just short. Although we’ll never know, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if coach Mark Mangino spent a chunk of prep team during Colorado week working on Oklahoma.

Before getting clipped at Colorado, Kansas had won seven consecutive games, and it comes into this one still averaging 38.8 points and 502.3 total yards per game, figures that rank fifth and second in the nation. With Bradford out for Oklahoma, the Jayhawks without question clearly have the better quarterback on the field in senior Todd Reesing. He enters today as the nation’s third-leading passer at 330 yards per game, and he’s completing 67 percent of his passes for 329.8 yards per game with 15 TDs (tied for third in the nation) and just four INTs.

Last year in Norman, Okla., Reesing had a banner day against a VERY good Sooner defense, going 24-for-41 for 342 yards and two TDs (though he did also get picked twice). Because of Reesing, the Jayhawks were able to hang with the Sooners the entire game – it was actually a seven-point game midway through the third quarter – and although Kansas eventually lost 45-31, it covered as a 19-point underdog. Keep in mind: That was a much better, much more focused Oklahoma team than the one the Jayhawks will face today. Keep in mind also that last year’s game was in Norman; this one is in Lawrence, Kan., where Kansas is 18-2 since October 2006.

Including last year’s non-cover against the Jayhawks, Oklahoma is 0-2 ATS the last two years after facing Texas, and the Sooners are now just 3-4 SU (1-4-1 ATS in lined games) since losing to Florida in the national championship game. Meanwhile, Kansas is on ATS runs of 13-6 at home and 24-10 overall.

Simply put, if the Jayhawks’ inconsistent offensive line can hold up against Oklahoma’s fierce pass rush and protect Reesing, Kansas will hang in this one from start to finish and challenge for the outright win. But even if the Sooners are ahead by two scores late, I have complete faith that Kansas’ quick-strike offense can get us at least a backdoor cover. Take the points.


Washington

When the line on this game was released Sunday and I saw Oregon as a six-point favorite, I put a checkmark above Washington’s name as I thought the number was a tad high.. Then the days passed and the number kept going up – Oregon -7, Oregon -7½, Oregon -8½, Oregon -9 – and I could not believe my eyes. As soon as it hit 10 on Thursday, it was a lock that Washington would part of my Saturday card.

Guys, I’ve been around this industry for well over a decade, and therefore I have seen my share of line moves that have stumped me. But I cannot remember the last time I saw a college football number jump four full points over the course of a week without injuries or suspensions driving the line move. What exactly am I missing here?

Washington owns three solid wins over Idaho (not a bad team at all), USC and Arizona, all at home. And with the exception of a 34-14 loss at Stanford (I used Stanford as my 20 Dime Best Bet that day because the Huskies were in a HUGE flat spot coming off the USC win), Washington was competitive in its other three losses. The Huskies not only were able to hang with LSU in their season opener – losing 31-23 as a 17-point ‘dog – but they outgained LSU 478-321. They also took Notre Dame to overtime on the road (losing 37-30) and went to Arizona State last Saturday had were tied 17-17 before giving up a fluke 50-yard TD pass with five seconds left to play to lose 24-17.

As for Oregon, yeah, it is riding a five-game winning streak (4-0 ATS in the last four) since that embarrassing season-opening loss at Boise State. But other than a very, VERY impressive 42-3 rout of then-undefeated Cal at home on Sept. 26, what have the Ducks done? They barely defeated Purdue (38-36) and Utah (31-24) at home; they destroyed Washington State at home (52-6), but the Cougars are a joke (hence the reason Oregon was a 35-point favorite in that contest); and finally, two weeks ago, they went to UCLA and won 24-10 as a three-point favorite.

In that game against the Bruins, though, the Ducks got three gift touchdowns in the span of four minutes: the first was a kickoff return for a score to start the second half; the second was a pick-six on the first play after the ensuing kickoff; and the third was the direct result of a fumble recovery on UCLA’s next series, and that led to a short, easy Ducks touchdown. Take those three gifts away, and Oregon would’ve had 3 points!

Now, I will cop to a major fundamental mismatch in this game – and it HAS to be the reason why this line has skyrocketed: Oregon runs the football as well as any team in the country, averaging more than 200 yards per game on the ground and 4.6 per carry, while the Huskies’ run D has been shaky (162.4 rushing ypg allowed, 5.1 per carry). Well, here comes the “yeah, but …� Yeah, but Washington has been much better against the run recently, yielding just 118 ypg and 4.1 per carry the last three weeks. Signs of improvement, I’d say. Also, against USC, the Huskies got out-rushed by 194 yards (250-56), and yet still found a way to pull off the stunning upset as a 20½-point ‘dog.

Finally, I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: I love Washington QB Jake Locker. The guy is a bona-fide difference-maker, and with him on the field, the Huskies are never out of any game. Locker, now projected by some experts to be the top quarterback taken in next year’s NFL Draft should the he forego his senior season, has thrown for 1,702 yards with 11 TDs and six INTs, while adding 223 rushing yards and four more TDs on the ground. Those aren’t eye-popping numbers, I know, but you just have to watch Locker play. He’s got all the intangibles you love about a quarterback. The guy just makes plays, and he’ll make plays today against Oregon’s defense, mark my words.

Bottom line: The guys who have been loading up on Oregon and driving this number all the way up to 10 apparently have forgotten three very important pieces of information: 1) Washington has been competitive in every one of its home games this year, winning the last three outright; 2) This is just the third road game all year for Oregon, and with the exception of that four-minute stretch at the start of the second half at UCLA two weeks ago, the Ducks didn’t look all that hot in the first two; and 3) Oregon is in a big-time look-ahead spot because next week, the Ducks get USC at home in Eugene – and you know the players will have the Trojans on their minds today as that’s the de-facto Pac-10 Championship Game.

Throw in a legitimate revenge situation – Washington has dropped five straight meetings in this rivalry, all by 20 points or more, going 0-5 ATS – and I’m all over Steve Sarkisian and his improving Huskies in this one

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 8:00 PM

triple-dime bet 398 Southern Cal -20.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 397 Oregon St.
Analysis:
CFB Game of the Month Play

First off this is a HUGEÆ’ Revenge Game for the Trojans, and I 110% expect the Trojans and their fans to be VERY UP for this ballgame on Saturday Night. Oregon St. was the only team to beat USC last year AT Oregon St. and that loss cost USC a shot at the national title & if you think for one second that Pete Carrol and Co. have not had this years game vs Oregon St. circled on their calendar, you are gravely mistaken IMO. The Trojan Defense is ranked in the Top 5 again this season, as they hold their opponents to a meager 2.1 yards per carry and 67 rushing yards overall per game. Matt Barkley and that USC offense looked very strong at Notre Dame last weekend, as Barkley threw for 380 yds, and USC amassed over 500 yds of offense and that offense looks very scary. I expect them to keep it going vs this Beavers defense on the road and in a VERY HOSTILE enviroment at night. I really do not see USC taking their foot off the gas pedal here & I think the Beavers are in serious trouble on Saturday Night. I look for the USC "D" to harras the Beavs all day as the Beavs allow way to many sacks (they rank 110th in the nation in sacks allowed) vs a Trojan "D" that ranks #1 in the nation in sacking the QB. USC has the team speed on defense to contain the Rodgers brothers & the pressure they will put on the Beavers offense will put Oregon St. in several 3rd and long downs, which will enable USC to get a couple turnovers and should give them a short field on a few occasions. Bottomline for me here, this is a GREAT SPOT to back USC, as they have MAJOR REVENGE going for them, they are playing AT HOME, AT NIGHT, and on NATIONAL TV, and I FULLY expect a very focused and motivated USC team, to blowout the Beavers in this spot in a Trojan MAXIMUM effort game, and this is my College Football Game of the Month Play.

GoodFella | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 7:30 PM

double-dime bet 393 Auburn 8.0 (-110) bodog vs 394 LSU
Analysis: Auburn comes into this game having lost two straight games, and I look for a HUGE effort out of them in this spot vs conference rival LSU. LSU is coming off a loss vs Florida in their last game, and had a bye last week. Auburn has covered 3 of the last 4 in this series and the last 5 games in this series have ALL been decided byÅ’ 6 pts or less,and I really expect that to be the same this Saturday. It also should be noted that LSU is just 2-12-1 their last 15 home games, and this matchup with a very potent Auburn offense will be no easy feat for LSU to not only cover the number, but for them to win straight up. I look for Auburns run game to have success and keep this game very close and I really believe this game could go either way straight up and I look for Auburn to cover the number for us on Saturday Night.

384 Michigan St. 1.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 383 Iowa
Analysis: Iowa comes into this game still without a loss, and the public will be ALL over them in this spot, but I think the wrong team is favored and I like Michigan St. in this spot up to -2. Iowa's strength is not turning the ball over and their pass defense, however they do not defend the run all that great & I look for the Spartans to have success running the ball at home on Saturday Night. The Spartans have out gained its opponent in all but one game this year. The home team has won straight up in each of the last nine meetings in this series. Iowa is also playing their 2nd straight conference road game, as they are coming off a win over Wisconsin & I really believe they are in a tough spot here & I look for a very fired up Michigan St. team and crowd to come away with the victroy over this over-rated Iowa team on Saturday Night.

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law


THE NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Colorado (2-4) at Kansas State (4-3)
12:30 EST, Saturday, October 24

Verdict: Kansas St 17, Colorado 31
PLAY 2* UNITS (3%) ON COLORADO +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

DOC sports ACC play of the year

Georgia tech -5

[Mr. IWS]

Steve Duemig

Saturday sweep
25 Dime Ohio State

Anyone care to tell me how Minnesota is going to score here. OSU Defense is still very strong and they will show it this week against a hapless Gopher offense that has not td passes in last two games and are ranked 114th nationally on offense. Buckeyes having some offensive problems of their own but will make it right this week. Tressel won't let them quit and Pryor is fresh off the couch after his counseling session with King James. Plus the public has done us a big favor and bet this line down to where it makes total sense to jump back on the Buckeyes.

10 Dime Virginia

Tech has the sperior offense in this game but as we all know it is on the ground which is a huge difference than if it were through the air. Virginia has the better defense by far!!!! The Cavs offensively have struggled early on learning their new offense but is showing significant signs of improvement of late. Tech is coming off of a huge program win over VA TCH last week and that is what the public is seeing and betting on but Virgina is very tough at home and has the D to stop Tech in this low scoring game.

10 Dime Kansas

Injuries to two key offensive players will limit Ok offense in this one. Both Bradford and Murray, their all world RB will be missing from this game. OK strength in their defense andd they are still relatively stout there, however Kansas has some major offensive weapons of their own in this game in QB Ressing and a great set of wideouts and a good rushing attack thst is healthy for the first time this year. The Fighting Mangino's get the call here to cover.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio | Big Ten Game of the Year
triple-dime bet 353 Penn St. -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

The Experts Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
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MAC CONFERENCE MONSTER BOMB OF THE YEAR
340 OHIO -9.5 2:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Asa

3 af
3 mich
3 aub

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso:

100 unit South Carolina
15 unit Oklahoma State
5 unit Air Force
4 unit Nebraska
3 unit Boise State

[Mr. IWS]

Computer Crushers
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Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
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SEC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
348 Alabama -13.5 3:30 EST



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PAC 10 CONFERENCE CRUSHER GAME OF THE YEAR
398 USC -21 8:00 EST



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WAC CONFERENCE CRUSHER BLOWOUT GAME OF THE YEAR
391 Fresno St -23.5 10:15 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Sam Clayton

25 dime - Oregon/Washington Under 55

With everybody trying to decide whether to lay the chalk with Oregon or back the home dog getting double digits, I'll exploit the best play in this game -- the under. The Ducks come off a bye week ready to attack the Huskies, although the status of quarterback Jeremiah Masoli is still up in the air. Oregon's offense was noticeably shaky after Masoli left the Ducks' last game against UCLA with a knee injury.

Backup Nate Costa was average at best, completing 9 of 17 passes for 82 yards, one touchdown and one interception, and the Ducks had to look elsewhere for scores. Luckily, the defensive and special teams units answered the call as Oregon returned both a kickoff and an interception to the house. I believe Masoli will play, but I question his effectiveness and ability to be a dual-threat with a banged up knee. And it's no secret that the Oregon offense has struggled mightily on the road this season, having only scored two offensive touchdowns away from Eugene. Rather than run the risk of getting into a shootout with a questionable Masoli, their strategy should be more about controlling the ball on the ground with LaMichael James and Kenjon Barner, and keeping Jake Locker off of the field as much as possible.

Washington will have their hands full on offense as Locker and Co. square off against an impressive Oregon defense that held Boise State to 19 points and UCLA to 10 (both efforts resulted in road wins). The Ducks also held Jahvid Best and the high-octane offense of Cal to a measly three points last month. I believe the intensity and physicality of today's game will be very, very similar to the USC/UW game earlier in the season. Hopefully, Oregon has studied film from that game and will build from the Trojans' mistakes. The battle for field position will be front and center and Oregon has to make Washington start their drives from within their own 20. Ducks head coach Chip Kelly saw what Locker did in shootouts against Notre Dame and Arizona and you have to believe he's been brewing up something special to contain the Huskie quarterback at all costs.

15 dime - Illinois +11

One of the biggest moneymakers this season has been fading Illinois. The once-promising, once Fightin' Illini had high expectations coming into this season and just like every other year the bar has been set too high, they've foundered. Ron Zook's boys (1-5, 0-4 Big Ten) are the most disappointing bunch in the entire conference and they haven't covered a single game all season (0-6 ATS). However, not once before today did I think that Vegas underestimated the Illini.

Ohio State was three touchdowns better than Illinois spread wise and in their last two home games, it was laughable that the Illini were only single digit dogs against Penn State (+8) and Michigan State (+4). They went on to lose by 18 and 10 respectively. Against Purdue though, I'm taking this bloated 11 point spread and running like hell. Both teams are horseshit, but the average bettor sees the Boilermakers' win last week over Ohio State and thinks "well, they should trounce Illinois." Not so fast. Purdue has just one more victory this season than the Illini and outside of the opening game against Toledo, they've been brutal as home favorites. As 12-point favorites versus Northern Illinois, Purdue lost 28-21 and two weeks later, they lost 27-21 against Northwestern as a touchdown favorite.

I've followed Illinois more than most and their record also isn't indicative of their extremely difficult schedule as four of six losses came against very solid teams (MIZZOU, OSU, MSU and PSU). Several Big Ten coaches still believe that the Illini are one of if not the most athletic team in the conference, but its their lack of execution that's killing them. The Boilermakers are far from a good defensive team and with dangerous weapons like Arrelious Benn and Jarred Fayson lining up for Illinois, anything can happen. Purdue should win this game, but after blowing their load last weekend against the Buckeyes, it's all about playing the undervalued, underappreciated pup.

[Mr. IWS]

the boss

500% "UNTOUCHABLE BLOWOUT PLAY OF THE YEAR" NORTHERN ILLINOIS

300% "BOOKIE BUSTER BLOWOUT PARLAY" BOISE ST, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, NORTHERN ILLINOIS

200% "DOG POUND" MINNESOTA

100% "SILENT ASSASSINS" OREGON, SOUTHERN MISS, TEXAS TECH

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan Saturday's winners ...


400? ARIZONA WILDCATS - Despite the line movement toward UCLA – two points from -9 since it opened – I can’t imagine anyone endorsing the Bruins, who look like an absolute mess after losing three straight. They’ve given up an average of 31 points in all three losses and come into this one with one of the most anemic offenses in the nation.

That can’t be any good since Arizona has revealed one of the nation’s best young quarterbacks in Nick Foles. He’s 17th in the nation in pass efficiency and 48th overall in total offense. Truth be known, the Wildcats have put together one of the best offenses in the Pac 10 thanks to Foles, whose numbers are astonishing if you as me (1,152 yards passing, Nine touchdowns, just two interceptions, and he’s completed 73.9 percent of his passes this season).

With Foley’s emergence, the Wildcats are as balanced as any other offense in college football, as their running game remains effective with three all-conference caliber rushers coming out of the backfield. That includes Nic Grigsby, who appears to be fully healthy; trust me when I tell you UCLA’s defense will have its hands full today with the 79th-ranked rushing offense. Remember, it’s the rushing game that sets up the passing game.

Bottom line is UCLA is terrible on offense and only slightly better on the other side of the ball. And with this game being played in Arizona, I can’t give the Bruins much of a chance to stop the bleeding.

Not when they’ve dropped four of their last five in conference play. They’re also mired in losing streaks of 2-6 as an underdog, 2-5 against winning teams and 0-4 in October.

And to go along with that 11-5 ATS stat I mentioned on the front end of this package, the Wildcats are on a 9-3 ATS run at home, while the home team is 5-1 ATS the last six meetings and the favorite is on an 8-3 spread streak in this series.

100? DUKE BLUE DEVILS - This victory starts and ends with the turnover.

Duke, which is 3-3 on the year and has thoughts of playing in a bowl for the first time in 15 years, ranks 28th in the nation in turnover margin and the Terrapins are damn near the worst in the nation, ranking 118th. And gauging from Maryland coach Ralph Friedgen’s tirade about turnovers this past week, I’d have to say the Blue Devils are clearly at an advantage in this ACC clash.

Though its rushing game is non-existent, Duke has the eighth-best pass attack in the country and 28th-ranked scoring offense, which is putting up 31.83 points per game. Maryland can’t hang with that, and when the Terps look to play catch-up with their rather anemic offense, they’ll likely commit mistakes that will result in turnovers.

I know the Terps have pulled off two wins this season, but this is one of the worst defenses in the country in all facets of the game. They rank near the bottom of the ACC in scoring offense (22.9 points per game), scoring defense (33.7 ppg.), rushing offense (100.7 yards per game) and rushing defense (158.3 ypg), and are worst in the ACC with 20 turnovers.

Bottom line with the Devils is they’ve improved in every area imaginable on the gridiron under second-year coach David Cutliffe. This team seems better prepared for games, it executes much better, it’s putting up much better numbers than in the past and it really is the most formidable team and promising Blue Devils team to get to the postseason.

Thus, covering a five-point spread against one of the worst teams in the nation with a lame-duck coach shouldn’t be a problem. Lay the home chalk with the Blue Devils.

[Mr. IWS]

tony weston 10/24

SATURDAY'S PLAYS 30 Dime Oregon
10 Dime Iowa
5 Dime Angels-Yankees Over

Oregon at Washington
OREGON - Right now Oregon is playing better than any team in the Pac-10 and is on track to win the conference.

After a heartbreaking loss on the road at Boise State to start the season, losing 19-8 as a 3 1/2 point underdog, the Ducks have gone 5-0 SU and have covered in 4 straight coming into today’s game.

On this four-game stretch Oregon has beaten its opponents by an average of 26.5 points per game and now gets a shot at a Washington team that’s gone just 1-3 SU its last 4 games and has covered in just 2 of its last 4 games.

But where the real money has been made is when these two have faced each other.

Since 2004 the Ducks have gone a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS against the Huskies, beating them by an average of 24.8 points per game.

When these two played last year, the Ducks cruised to a 34-point victory, beating Washington 44-10 as a 14-point favorite.

Oregon will do it again and make it 6 in a row against the Huskies.



Iowa at Michigan State
IOWA - Who would’ve figured Iowa would be leading the Big Ten and be a perfect 7-0 SU more than midway through the season?

Well, here the Hawkeyes are, still undefeated.

Iowa has covered in 4 of its 6 lined games this season and travels to take on Michigan State and is installed as a slight 1 1/2 point underdog, depending on where you’re playing this. But it won’t matter because the Hawkeyes will get the outright win.

The Spartans come into this game just 4-3 SU and only 3-3 ATS so far this season and is coming off a non-cover last week at home against visiting Northwestern.

Recently, in this series the smart money has been on Iowa, which has gone 6-1 ATS its last 7 meetings against the Spartans, including covers in 3 straight games. Also, in this series the Underdog has gone 5-2 ATS the last 7 meetings, including each of the last two years where the Hawkeyes covered as a ’dog.

Iowa will do it again and get over on the Spartans in this one.



Yankees-Angels Total
OVER - The Total for tonight’s Game 6 of the ALCS is set at around 9 runs up from the last 2 games of this series. It won’t matter because that won’t be enough runs and I’m taking full advantage.

After staying Under the total in the first two games of the American League Championship Series, the teams played to a Push in Game 3, but combined for 9 runs. Then in Game 4 on Tuesday, the teams exploded for 11 runs, going well Over the 8 1/2 run total. In Game 5, the teams, once again, scored in bunches, putting up 13 runs, blowing well past the 8 1/2 run Total.

Including the last two games, these teams have seen the Over go 9-5-1 in their last 15 meetings this season. Going back a little further, the Over has gone 19-9-1 the last 29 meetings between these two and it has come in 5 straight times in which Yankees scheduled starter Andy Pettitte takes the mound at home against the Angels.

Consider, too, the Over has been the smart play when Anaheim scheduled starter Joe Saunders takes the mound.

The Over has come in 16 of Saunders’ last 22 starts and it is 8-3 his last 11 on the road. The Over is also on a 9-3-1 run when Saunders faces the AL East.

These two will score in bunches once again tonight and go well Over the Total

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Fazzini
Saturday's plays 20 Dime -- WASHINGTON (plus points vs. Oregon)
10 Dime -- UNLV (minus points vs. NEW MEXICO)

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd Saturday's Card 50 Dime Mississippi

15 Dime South Florida

15 Dime Nevada

15 Dime Toledo

[Mr. IWS]

Drew Gordon
Today's Games... 1. 200,000? Kansas
2. 50,000? Oregon State

[Mr. IWS]

Michael Cannon
Saturday's Plays...
30 Dime –

AIR FORCE

10 Dime –

MISSISSIPPI STATE

10 Dime –

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

5 Dime –

WESTERN MICHIGAN

[Mr. IWS]

Trushel 10/24

20* Featured Play: Michigan State -1
Toledo -2.5
Oregon State +21
NY Yankees Under 9 +100

[Mr. IWS]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3* on Miami -4.5(-110 at Betus)

The Hurricanes have BCS dreams this season and the team to pull it off. They won't be falling to Clemson at home this week, instead they'll pick up another impressive home win. Miami is 3-0 at home this season, beating the likes of Oklahoma, Georgia Tech and Florida A&M. They are outscoring those 3 teams 34.0 to 17.7 on the season. Clemson is 0-2 on the road this year with losses to Georgia Tech and Maryland. Clemson is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%) over the last 3 seasons. The Hurricanes are the superior team and they prove it on their home turf Saturday. Take Miami and lay the points

3* on UConn +7.5(-110 at Sportinteraction)

UConn players will be playing for Jasper Howard, who was stabbed and killed after their win over Louisville last Saturday. WVU may have the more talented team, but these Huskies players will not be denied this weekend as they put everything on the line in memory of Howard. Plus this UConn team is a lot better then they get credit for. They still run the football as well as anyone in the Big East, putting up 180 rushing yards/game including 200 yards/game on the road this season. The difference is that this team can actually move the ball through the air as well, averaging 193 passing yards/game and completing 62% of their attempts. This balanced offense will give WVU fits Saturday. WVU has played a very easy schedule to this point, with the lone exception being their 30-41 road loss at Auburn. They have beaten Liberty, East Carolina, Colorado, Marshall and Syracuse for their 5 wins this year. Starting QB Jarrett Brown is doubtful for WVU Saturday with a concussion, which only gives the Huskies an even better chance to win outright. UConn is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons. The Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Take UConn and the points.

3* on Pittsburgh -6.5(-110 at Betus)

Pittsburgh will easily win by a touchdown Saturday at home against South Florida, and likely by double-digits. South Florida lost their last game to Cincinnat to fall to 5-1 on the season. The Bulls always tend to collapse in the second half after impressive runs to start the year, and we're predicting it happens again in 2009. The fact of the matter is that South Florida has not played anyone except for Cincinnati, and they got handled 17-34 at home in front of a National TV audience. Their starting QB, Matt Grothe, is out for the season and backup P.J. Daniels is clearly a far cry from Grothe. Pittsburgh is 6-1 this season and should be 7-0 if it wasn't for a second half meltdown at NC State earlier. The Panthers have learned from that loss, and they've reeled off 3 straight impressive wins over Louisville, Connecticut and Rutgers since. Pitt is 3-0 at home this season, allowing just 12.7 points/game. They are outscoring their opponents by 17.0 points/game at home. The Bulls are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. The Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.

4* on Tennessee/Alabama UNDER 43(-110 at Betus)

There's no question this is going to be a low-scoring SEC affair Saturday between two of the best defenses in the conference. We don't see either team topping the 21-point mark Saturday. Tennessee allows just 19.5 points/game and 110 rushing yards/contest, which is key because Alabama primarily runs the rock. The Crimson Tide are giving up only 11.6 points/game and 8.5 points/game at home. They give up just 2.3 yards/carry this season and 1.8 yards/carry at home. Tennessee's biggest strength is running the football as well. The Volunteers are 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons. Tennessee is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game over the last 2 seasons. Alabama is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) in home games after 6 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. The UNDER is 31-11-1 in Crimson Tide last 43 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the UNDER 43 points here.

4* on Oklahoma State/Baylor OVER 53(-110 at Bookmaker)

This is a very low total for two high-scoring teams in Oklahoma State and Baylor. Oklahoma State is scoring 37.5 points/game while Baylor is putting up 27.0 points/game this season. We don't see either team being held below their season averages in this one. Baylor puts up 40.0 points/game at home this season. Oklahoma State has put up 34 and 45 points on Baylor in their last 2 meetings, respectively, and we feel they will get most of this OVER on their own. The Cowboys are 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. Oklahoma State is 5-1 OVER in their last 6 games following a win. Take the OVER 53 points here.

4* on Nebraska -17(-110 at Betus)

Off an upset loss to Texas Tech, expect Nebraska to bounce back Saturday and demolish Iowa State at home. Nebraska is 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home meetings with Iowa State. The Huskers beat the Cylcones 35-7 last year on the road and 35-17 the previous year at home. Nebraska is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse since 1992. Take Nebraska and lay the points.

6* W id ow W ise guy 2 00 9 Big 12 G AME OF THE Y EAR on Missouri +13(-110 at Betus)

Fresh off their huge win in the Red River Rivalry, Texas is primed for a letdown after beating Oklahoma 16-13 last week. Missouri caught themselves looking ahead last week when they went into Stillwater and got handled by Oklahoma State 17-33. They threw for 325 yards in the loss, but 4 turnovers shows that their minds clearly weren't in that game. The Tigers return home 100% focused on knocking off a Top-3 team in the Longhorns this Saturday, and they have the playmakers on offense and the stoppers on defense to pull off the upset. Texas clearly is lacking playmakers on offense, and they never should have beaten Oklahoma last week if it wasn't for so many costly turnovers by the Sooners. QB Blaine Gabbert has been as good if not better than Colt McCoy this season, throwing for 1,620 yards and 12 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions. Missouri is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992. Texas is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. The Longhorns are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take Missouri and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

SuperSportsGroup - 10/23 **NCAAF**
Make sure you check out our 9* Best Bet of the day on the MLB ALCS game 6 tonight!! Thanks for purchasing our picks and here are the plays for today

Central Michigan v. Bowling Green 12pm
PICK: Bowling Green +9.5 Game (9*) Best Bet of the day


Illinois v. Purdue 12pm
PICK: Illinois +6.5 1H (7*)


Oregon v. Washington 3:30pm
PICK: Oregon -10 Game (8**)
PICK: Oregon -6 1H (4*)


North Texas v. Troy 3:30pm
PICK: Troy -11 1H (7*)


Tennessee v. Alabama 3:30pm
PICK: Tennessee +15 Game (7*)



Texas A&M v. Texas Tech 7pm
PICK: OVER 67.5 Game (7*)

[Mr. IWS]

Psychic
Private Members Area

10/24

2 units Virginia +5.5
2 units Penn St-Mich OVER 47.5
3 units Auburn +8 (best bet)
3 units Oregon State +20.5 (best bet)
3 units Iowa +1.5 (best bet)
4 units Boise -24.5 (major)
4 units Florida -23 (major)

[Mr. IWS]

Hollywood Sports Big 12 goy

Game: Oklahoma at Kansas Oct 24 2009 3:30PM
Prediction: Kansas
Reason: At 3:30 PM EST on Saturday, we will be playing the Kansas Jayhawks plus the points over the Oklahoma Sooners. Both of these clubs are coming off disappointing Big 12 losses. But the the Sooners suffered a double-whammy with both their third loss of the season while also receiving the news that their Heisman Trophy quarterback, Sam Bradford, will have season-ending shoulder surgery. We look for this Sooners' unit to be deflated and flat in this game as their BCS chances as well as any credible Big 12 Championship hopes are now gone. Oklahoma has been devastated with injuries all season with the latest being not only to Bradford again but also to starting left guard Brian Simmons. All these injuries are producing too much disruption to the internal cohesion of this team from week-to-week. At this point of the season, the Sooners' inexperienced offensive line is now even on shakier grounds and Oklahoma misses key offensive talent as targets for redshirt freshman Landry Jones. Jones has been solid but lets remember that he is still a first-year player going on the road into a hostile environment with a makeshift offensive line and lacking key offensive playmakers. Furthermore, where is the Oklahoma ground game? The Sooners rushed for -16 yards against Texas last week. For the season, the Sooners are just 54th in the nation in rushing offense with their 153.8 rushing YPG. Away from home, the Sooners average just 20.0 PPG. This is a struggling offense. And while the Jayhawks do not bring the country's best defense into this game, Kansas does hold their opponents to just 100.7 rushing YPG. If Kansas can keep the Sooners' rushing attack in check, there will be even more pressure on Jones to lead his team which is a dangerous proposition for any redshirt freshman on the road. Kansas allowed Colorado to score 34 points in their 34-30 loss. But it is likely that Kansas got caught on the road looking ahead to this game with the Sooners. Quarterback Todd Reesing threw two interceptions deep in the Jayhawks' own end which led to two Colorado touchdowns. Certainly the Buffaloes benefited with the insertion of QB Tyler Hansen into the starting lineup for the erratic Cody Hawkins (who is the coaches son). Kansas also installed three new starters in the defensive unit for this game. Despite these setbacks, Reesing almost rallied Kansas back for the victory. But at 5-1 and playing their first home game against Oklahoma since 2001, Kansas will have plenty of motivation to bounce back and play well to earn the win against the heralded Oklahoma program. Reesing may be the most underrated QB in the country and he has a crew of talented wide receivers as targets. He leads a Kansas offense that is 2nd in the country with their 502.3 YPG and 5th in the nation with their whopping 38.8 PPG average. Can this unit score against the strong Oklahoma defense that limits their opponents to just 9.7 PPG? Reesing passed for 342 yards last season against the Sooners while leading the Jayhawks to 31 points. And Reesing has thrown for more than 400 yards in his last two games. BYU's Max Hall threw for 329 passing yards against this Oklahoma defense earlier this season. Kansas really offers us value for this game. They are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games overall. They are 13-6 ATS in their last nineteen at home and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven coming off a loss. Oklahoma is 2-8 ATS in their last ten games after failing to rush for at least 100 yards. And the Sooners are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a 3.5 to 10 point favorite. Emotion plays such an important role in college football. Kansas' loss last week against Colorado makes this an even better situation for us as the Jayhawks will still be emotionally primed to upset Oklahoma while having the benefit of being able to play with "nothing to lose" so to speak after last week's setback. Defeating Oklahoma would automatically define their season as a success. Oklahoma seems destined to be deflated after losing the Red River Rivalry to Texas for their third loss of the season while adapting to all these injuries they face. The strong Kansas offense makes them very dangerous at home and the best QB on the field is a Jayhawk. 25 Star Big 12 Game of the Year on the Kansas Jayhawks plus the points over the Oklahoma Sooners.

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
4* AZ under51

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy's 7* SEC GOY Over 50 Auburn/LSU

[Mr. IWS]

Patron is on the Oklahoma Sooners today -8

[Mr. IWS]

NC 3* Totals
3* virginia u49
3* ohio st. u41'
3* Tenn u43

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Roberts

5* stanford cardinal -6'

4* - central michigan -9

3* - so. Carolina -13

3* - alabama -14

[Mr. IWS]

NC

4* AZ under 51
3* virginia u49
3* ohio st. u41'
3* Tenn u43'

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Big Ticket Syracuse - 10.5

15* vir, miss
10* ind, penn st, ark, air force, nyy

[Mr. IWS]

Joyce Sterling
Buff +5 10star

also,
Akron and Mizz

[Mr. IWS]

RonMeyer



Saturday, October 24, 2009

20*Tennessee (+14½) over Alabama

3:30 PM -- Bryant-Denny Stadium

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach’s College Football Game #385 - 10* (TOP PLAY) TCU Horned Frogs (-) @ Brigham Young @ 7:30 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!



Some will be looking to play the “revenge card� here but it’s just not the right match-up for the Cougars to get their revenge. Many will remember that TCU ended BYU’s run for an unbeaten season last year when the Horned Frogs crushed Brigham Young in their match-up at Texas Christian University. However, the problem for the Cougars here in terms of avenging that loss and trying to do to the Frogs what they did to them last season is that we’re going to see a similar problem for BYU that we saw earlier this season when they hosted (and got crushed by!) Florida State. In that game against the Seminoles we saw what team speed did to the Cougars and we will see a repeat of that here. The Horned Frogs have great team speed and they fly to the ball on defense. That can cause a lot of disruption to an offense and it can also cause turnovers. As good as Max Hall is at QB for Brigham Young, the Cougars have had turnover problems this season. Also, their defense was totally exploited by the Seminoles in that home loss last month and we foresee more struggles for the Cougars on that side of the ball in this match-up.

The weather is expected to be favorable for this game and that’s bad news for the Cougars. A big reason that the Horned Frogs had a recent stretch where two of their three wins were tight games had a lot to do with the weather. Rain was an issue at Clemson and versus Southern Methodist. Then, it was icy with chilly breezes in a tight win at Air Force. Next up was a home date with Colorado State and the Frogs routed the Rams by 38 points. Four of the Horned Frogs wins have come by an average margin of 28.5 points per game. The two tighter wins were in rain against Clemson and ice against Air Force. Now in the ideal weather that is expected in Provo, Utah by Saturday at game time, we expect the Horned Frogs offense to have the Cougars defense struggling to match their speed. Note that last year TCU outgained by a margin of 240 yards to 23 yards on the ground. Even though the Cougars threw for 274 yards in that game, Hall was sacked six times and he only completed about half of his passes and turnovers were an issue for BYU in that game as well. Additionally, Andy Dalton of the Horned Frogs is having a fantastic season as has been at it is best in the second halves of games. That shows just how clutch the junior is and his numbers in the second half show amazing completion percentages. He’s able to lead the team down the field when it counts the most and while Hall of BYU is certainly a phenomenal talent in his own right, note that the Cougars only returned three other offensive starters this season.

The group surrounding Hall is not as talented or experienced as the one that did last year. This means Hall is at a big disadvantage going against a stellar Horned Frogs defense while TCU’s Dalton has the edge of going against a Cougars defense that has shown it can be quite porous at times. As noted in the intro above, BYU certainly wants to avenge last years loss and they certainly still have a talented offense. However, their defense, is just not on par with that of the Horned Frogs and we saw how TCU dominated in this game last season. If TCU was in a flat spot or not focused on this game they could be in trouble. But that is absolutely not the case under head coach Gary Patterson as he has this team fully prepared and the players are geared up to prove themselves (again) on the road and stay undefeated. It’s not only the BCS aspirations that motivate this team. Keep in mind that they want to prove they belong at the top of the MWC. They already were very sharp in defeating a physical Clemson team on the road four weeks ago (we used them in that spot) and their physicality and speed is going to combine to wear down the Cougars in this spot. Play TCU minus the short number as a 10* Top Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

ats locks
8 units louisville
8 units stanford
6 units iowa st ( ugh)
6 units tulane
5 units okla
5 units miss st
2 unit parlay lois/ stan

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

CFB
TCU vs. BYU
7:30 EST

A big Mountain West Conference clash kicks off at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo Saturday evening when BYU hosts TCU. Last year the Cougars opened the season 6-0 and appeared ready to become a BCS bowl crasher when they invaded Fort Worth to take on the Horned Frogs. After the dust settled, TCU killed those dreams with a 32-7 loss. As a result revenge rears its head today, a role in which BYU has excelled, going 10-2 SU and 12-0 ATS as a dog of less than 10 points when playing with conference revenge dating back to 1980. In addition, Cougars head coach Bronco Mendenhall is 2-0 SU and ATS in this roles with BYU. He is also 23-4 SU at home, including 15-2 in conference play with only one loss by more than one point. On the flip side, TCU coach Gary Patterson has developed a black-and-white home/road dichotomy, going 22-8 ATS in home game but only 12-20-1 ATS away in conference play. In fact, in his college head coaching career, Patterson is 0-5 SU and ATS as a visitor when facing an opponent with a win percentage of more than .800. The clincher is this system from our powerful database. It tells us to: Play On any college home pick or dog off a victory with a win percentage greater than .750 from Game Six out versus an opponent off an ATS win of 9 or more points who won it's last game by less than 50 points, if the home dog won 6 or more regular season games last year. That because these home teams are 14-0-1 ATS in this roles since 1980. Stay at home with the Cougars in their perfect payback mode here tonight. We recommend a 4-unit play on BYU.

[Mr. IWS]

Executive
650% Ole Miss
400% ASU
300% Virginia
300% Pitt

[Mr. IWS]

Gameday

4 bama
3 wva
3 syra
2 sc
2 nd

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman

CFB
Georgia Tech vs. Virginia
12:00 EST

Georgia Tech coming off a HUGE win over Virginia Tech and could be in for a letdown in this one. Georgia Tech is allowing 36 points per game on the road this year. Virginia is 3-0 SU their last 3 games. Virginia is 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS at home vs Georgia Tech since 1992. Yellow Jackets are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0. Yellow Jackets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass. Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games in October. Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win. Cavaliers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0. Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Cavaliers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog. Cavaliers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. Cavaliers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Home team is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Yellow Jackets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Virginia. We'll play Virginia for 5 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback
Arkansas + Mississippi over 52.5
Washington +10.5

[Mr. IWS]

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: We are currently on a 46-20 run with all of our GUARANTEED SELECTIONS! Today you can GET DOWN on our CONFERENCE USA COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR for just $35 GUARANTEED! ALL FIVE of our football handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our play a 93% chance of covering for us! It does not get any stronger than this! 10/23/2009

CONFERENCE USA COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
379 Central Florida -10 3:30 EST

The Consensus Group Guaranteed Selections

Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Everything is FUNNY when your making MONEY! We are making the GREEN as we are on a 46-19 run and the Boys are back at it with another PERFECT WINNER in College Football! ALL FIVE of our handicappers are making this play a BEST BET! The Computer Game Simulator gives our team an 89% chance of covering for us! Get our CONSENSUS GROUP WAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR for just $35 GUARANTEED! 10/22/2009

CONSENSUS GROUP WAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR
401 Boise St -24.5 11:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Feist

4* Utah st
5* Mich
Inner Circle Auburn
Inner Circle Wsh
Platinum Virg.
Platinum Stanford

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

Premium Picks For The Day

Todays Selections
NCAA Football
4 (****) Oregon St +21
3 (***) Texas Tech -22

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
NCAA Football
3 (***) Washington +9.5
3 (***) Virginia +8

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian
20 LA Angels
100 Steam VA

30 S Florida
30 UCLA
30 Stanford
50 Washington
50 OK St
100 BYU
100 Kansas
200 UConn
300 SMU
400 Colorado

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 50 unit
Kelso 50 Indiana +5 @ NW

[Mr. IWS]

Steven Budin-CEO

SATURDAY'S PICK
COSTA RICA CONNECTION



25 DIME RELEASE



Mississippi State

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo 15* College Warm-Up GOY

Ole Miss

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
4 Wash
4 BYU
4 OKL
3 Virginia
3 UNLV

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino Saturday's 30 Dime Pac-10 Game of the Year ... 30 DIME: WASHINGTON (plus the points vs. Oregon)

NOTE: Make sure to get Washington at +10. If your man has this number at 9 1/2, buy the half-point and grab Washington at +10.

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 12:20 PM

triple-dime bet 374 Mississippi -6.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 373 Arkansas
Analysis: PLAY: MISSISSIPPI
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

At the start of the season Mississippi was highly ranked and was expected to challenge for the SEC Championship. Well a close loss to S. Carolina on a Thursday Night football Game and a a Blowout Loss at home to Alabama gives us great line value here. The public is in love with Arkansas after they went into Florida and almost beat them losing 23-20. Fact is they should of beat Florida so everyone now wants to jump on that Arkansas Bandwagon. Prior to the Florida game they put up 47 on Texas A&M and 44 on Auburn. So Arkansas looks like a live dog here Right???? Wrong this is where they come up flat as that close loss will leave them flat and drained. Coming so close only to come up empty has a negative carryover affect the following week. Also add the fact that Mississippi coach was the coach at Arkansas for a long time so he definitely would love taking it to his former employers. Mississippi will take the run away from Arkansas today forcing them to the air. That will spell turnovers. I have Mississippi winning this game 38-21. TAKE MISSISSIPPI as MARCO'S 15* COLLEGE WARM UP GAME OF THE YEAR

Marco Rated this Play a 15* PLAY on his Executive La¥te Phone Service

Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 7:00 PM

triple-dime bet 384 Michigan St. -1.5 (-110) BetUS vs 383 Iowa
Analysis: PLAY: MICHIGAN ST
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY

Tonight in Primetime Michigan St plays host to Iowa in a Key Big 10 Battle. Iowa went into Wisconsin and Won and we were on them but not this week. Michigan St has put together 3 straight wins and now looks to make a statement by beating the Top Dog in the Big 10. It's tough to pull off back to back wins on the road and that's what Iowa will be trying to do today. While most people will be looking at the fact that Wisconsin beat Michigan St and Iowa beat Wisconsin that Iowa should easily handle Michigan St. That kind of thinking will make you go broke and if you followed the line movement this week here in Vegas Michigan St took a lot of early money so much that the line went from Iowa a small favorite to Michigan St a small favorite. The Undefeated season comes to a—n end today for Iowa. Take MICHIGAN ST. and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

Marco Rated this Play a 7* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service

Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 3:00 PM

double-dime bet 343 Louisiana Tech 1.5 (-110) BetUS vs 344 Utah St.
Analysis:
PLAY: LOUISIANA TECH
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

U’tah St played their guts out last week only to come up empty against Nevada. This is a perfect spot to fade Utah St. Louisiana Tech Wins by 7-10 Points. Take LOUISIANA TECH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

Marco Rated this Play a 5* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service

Marco D'Angelo | CFB Side Sat, 10/24/09 - 4:00 PM

double-dime bet 364 Utah -9.0 (-110) BetUS vs 363 Air Force
Analysis: PLAY: UTAH
RATING: DO’UBLE DIME PLAY

My Numbers have Utah winning this game by 14-17 points. Take UTAH and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.

Marco Rated this Play a 5* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

Ball St under

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June

10 ill
10 miss
10 mich st

[Mr. IWS]

Randall the Handle

NHL
Season To Date (Since October 2009) 19-17-5 +14.86 Units

ATLANTA +1.31 over San Jose (REG) Pinnacle

We’re really get some pretty sweet value on the Thrashers here, as they continue to be an offensive force and it sure doesn’t appear that it’s going to slow down. Atlanta is coming off a 5-4 loss to the Caps but that was upon returning home from a very successful five-game road trip. Fact is, they own a better winning percentage than the Sharks and already have some very nice wins on their résumé that include victories in Buffalo, New Jersey and St. Louis. The Sharks, meanwhile, are coming off a 5-2 loss to the Lightning. They’ve already lost three road games in L.A., Washington and the aforementioned Tampa Bay and this will be its fifth consecutive on the road. The Sharkies two road wins have come in New York against both the Islanders and Rangers but in that game at MSG, the Rangers started Valiquette as oppose to Lundqvist, built a 2-0 lead and eventually Valiquette was yanked after allowing five goals on 18 shots. Had Lundqvist started that game the result certainly could have been different. The Sharkies look impressive at home but on the road they look very beatable indeed. Furthermore, Thrashers goaltender Ondrej Pavelec has been absolutely brilliant and it’s not an aberration. He’s quick, he’s big and he stands his ground as well as anyone. This guy is the straight goods. Based on this year’s results and play, the Sharkies should not be favored in Atlanta and thus, win or lose, we’re going with the best of it. Play: Atlanta +1.31 (Risking 2 units).



OTTAWA -½ +1.31 over Boston (REG) Pinnacle

The Sens have had one bad game this season and it came in its last when they lost 6-5 in OT at home to the Preds. However, they showed some resiliency by coming back from an early 3-0 deficit after some serious defensive miscues and it’s games like that which helps build character and in reality it could be considered a good loss. Fact is, aside from that game and a 4-1 loss in Pittsburgh the Sens have not allowed more than two goals in any of its other games. The defense has been very good and it could be said that the Sens got away from its style against Nashville. You can be sure they’ll be back playing its game tonight, that being a methodical, strong fore-checking game and getting on every loose puck. The Bruins are a team that had a great season last year but this year they’re without Phil Kessel and both Marc Savard and Milan Lucic are sidelined. That’s a lot of offense gone and it’s also worth noting that David Krejci is still without a goal this year. The Bruins have a lot of young, inexperienced call-ups filling in until they get some healthy bodies back. They’re coming off a 4-3 loss in Philly, which incidentally is a flattering score to the Bruins, as they were outplayed badly. Prior to that they narrowly beat the Preds 3-2, they lost in Phoenix 4-1, they were tooth and nails to win in OT in Long Island and frankly, the Bruins are just not the same team this season and look very beatable indeed. Play: Ottawa -½ +1.31 (Risking 2 units).



Los Angeles +1.26 over PHOENIX (REG) Pinnacle

The Coyotes are this year’s biggest surprise and they’re playing great hockey but this looks like a vulnerable spot for them. For one, the line seems a little low when you consider they’re at home, they’ve won four straight over Boston, St. Louis, San Jose and Detroit and are off to a 6-2 start. Based on that one would think they’d be a higher price and thus, this line seems a bit curious. What I don’t like about the Coyotes here is that its last road game was on Oct 12, thus they’ve been at home for about 12 days and that’s too long. Very often you’ll see teams come out very flat after an extended stay at home and after a win over Detroit, combined with the two-week stay at home, some complacency could definitely set in tonight. The Kings are feisty, talented and lost its season opener to the Coyotes 6-3. The Kings will be very ready tonight while the Coyotes may not. The line says so. Play: Los Angeles +1.26 (Risking 2 units).



Detroit -½ +1.16 over COLORADO (REG) Pinnacle

The Red Wings have not gotten in gear yet but it’s only a matter of time until they get hot and it’s only a matter of time before they put a beating on someone. This looks like the perfect opportunity for the Red Wings, who are well rested and have to be feeling sick about blowing four leads this year already including a two-goal lead at the Joe against these same Av’s one week ago. They also blew a late lead in Phoenix on Thursday. Now they’ll come in here hungry and determined to not only avenge that loss a week ago but to finish the deal. The Wings have only played twice this week and have no excuses whatsoever here. Also, Pavel Datsyuk is back and after watching Detroit, you can just sense that they’re about to pop big time. Enter the Av’s, a team that will be playing its third game in four nights and the tail end of back-to-backs after a tough 5-4 win over the Canes last night. Allowing the Canes to score four times is troubling, as is a 3-2 home loss to the Wild in its previous game. Furthermore, a flu bug is going through the dressing room, spark-plug Darcy Tucker is out and this is the Av’s second game back after a grueling seven-game trip. Man, this one looks just so sweet and the perfect setting for a Red Wing romp. Play: Detroit -½ +1.16 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Warren

8* LOUISVILLE
8* STANFORD
6* IOWA STATE
6* TULANE
5* OKLAHOMA SOONERS

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

Big Ten Game of the Year

Penn St. -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

Score
400 GTech

[Mr. IWS]

hiesman trophy--20- ohio st, 10-mich, wake-over, fla-under

[Mr. IWS]

ASA

5 mich st
5 ind
3 mich
3 af
3 aub

[Mr. IWS]

Trushel

just added:
Indiana
Boston College
Washington

[Mr. IWS]

Score
400 GTech

[Mr. IWS]

Ethan Law

Ethan has absolutely dominated the football season in his handicapping career and finished last football season with his 8th winning season in a row, while his clients showed a profit in 17 out of the last 21 weeks (81%). This special package includes EVERY NFL & NCAA selection (including his totals selections 158-62 (71.8%) released by Ethan Law ALL season long. Overall Ethan has shown a profit in 128 of the 168 weeks (76.1%) over the last eight (8) seasons.

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
3:30p Central Florida vs Rice
Take: Rice +10-110 in 16h
UCF (3-3) at RICE (0-7)
3:30 EST, Saturday, October 24

Verdict: UCF 28, Rice 24
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON RICE +10

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
3:30p Wake Forest vs Navy
Take: Wake Forest -1½-110 in 16h

WAKE FOREST (4-3) at NAVY (5-2)
3:30 EST, Saturday, October 24

Verdict: Wake Forest 34, Navy 21
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON WAKE FOREST +1.5

-= TOP PLAY =-
Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
12:30p Colorado vs Kansas State
Take: Colorado +4½-110 in 13h
THE NCAA GAME OF THE MONTH

Colorado (2-4) at Kansas State (4-3)
12:30 EST, Saturday, October 24

Well I had both of these pegged in last week’s card so I feel as though we have a very good grasp on both of these teams going into this match-up. As I stated last week, Colorado (2-4 SU & 4-2 ATS) has a very pass oriented offense and what is perceived to be (on paper) a bad defense. They have averaged 27 points and 254 yards passing, but the defense has allowed 29 points per game allowed. They stared the season with junior quarterback Cody Hawkins (9 touchdowns, 9 interceptions) but he has been benched by his father, so sophomore quarterback Tyler Hansen (1 TD, 1 interception) will run the offense for the remainder of the season. Almost everybody remembers their national embarrassment 54-38 defeat in Toledo, getting 356 passing yards, but allowing 624 yards. They had a 35-24 loss at West Virginia allowing 405 yards (257 rushing). However, we did see some array of hope over the past two weeks, when Colorado’s defense held one of the most prolific offenses in the Nation in Texas (as they were actually leading this contest 14-10 at the half), but their offense finished with just 127 total yards with an incredible 20 penalties for 140 yards! This past weekend, they held yet another powerful Kansas offense to minus-7 yards rushing and hounded quarterback Kerry Meier. The secondary allowed 430 yards (most in the second half), but as stated above they continue to improve. Meanwhile, Kansas State (4-3 SU & 2-3 ATS) has been working on new things for Coach Bill Snyder. He has no quarterback experience with junior quarterback Carson Coffman (2 touchdowns, 4 interceptions), so similar to Kansas the head coach is trying out senior quarterback Grant Gregory (3 touchdowns, 1 interception). The offense averages more yards rushing than passing but does average a respectable 26 points per game. Significant to this is the fact that they are straight off a absolute killing of Texas A&M 62-14 with 424 yards.

I absolutely love this set-up, the line value and the fundamental match-up advantage for Colorado. The one weakness for the Buffalo’s is their secondary, but Kansas State is not a pass oriented offensive unit so they will be unable to exploit that weakness. As I stated last week, I am above all a “value bettor� and I see some incredible value in this line. When I analyze this Colorado team a few things come to mind. First, two of their losses were on the road to West Virginia and Texas, two very solid clubs and one of them being one of the very best in the nation. Their other loss came on the road to Toledo, which although inexcusable (it should be noted it was their first road game of the season) and this same club did put up 31 points at Purdue. Colorado lost the first game of the season (in a heated rivalry against Colorado State) and won their only other home game against Wyoming. Everybody seems to discuss the Kansas State Offense, but this is also a very poor defensive club one that is actually on par with Colorado’s. We cannot forget that just two weeks ago this Kansas State team allowed an incredible 739 total yards of offense. What is even scarier for Wildcat supporters is the fact that the Red Raiders “backup� quarterback was 33-for-41 and finished with touchdown passes of 52, 6, 4, 72, 28, 12 and 25 yards to five receivers. Did I mention Colorado was a pass happy offense as well. Although A&M only managed 14 points in the route they still managed 301 yards which was surprising for such an inexperienced team on the road. I again think that the switch at quarterback give’s the Buffalo’s something they have not seem much this season and that is “balance� on offense. Tyler Hansen has already rushed for a boatload of rushing yards in limited action last year. It should also be noted that Kansas State has Oklahoma on deck (the same situation Kansas was in last weekend) (a game that the players and coaches have been pointing to all season). The route of A&M has added about 2 points of value to this contest as well. Hmmm….this really does not get any better than this….Part II

Verdict: Kansas St 17, Colorado 31
PLAY 2* UNITS (3%) ON COLORADO +4.5

Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
12:20p Arkansas vs Mississippi
Take: Mississippi -6-105 in 13h

Arkansas (3-3) at Ole Miss (4-2)
12:21 EST, Saturday, October 24

Verdict: Ole Miss 31, Arkansas 27
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON MISSISSIPPI -6




Sport Date Matchup Book Starts
NCAA-F Oct 24 '09
12:00p Central Michigan vs Bowling Green
Take: Bowling Green +9-105 in 12h

CENTRAL MICHIGAN (6-1) at BOWLING GREEN (3-4)
12:00 EST, Saturday, October 24

Verdict: Central Michigan 31, Bowling Green 34
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON BOWLING GREEN +8

[Mr. IWS]

Right Angle Sports:
Oct. 24th, 2009 - 7:00 pm CFB 1.0 Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks / Kentucky Wildcats Under 47.5 (-110)
Oct. 24th, 2009 - 7:00 pm CFB 1.0 Kentucky Wildcats -14 (-110)
Oct. 24th, 2009 - 7:00 pm CFB 1.0 FIU Golden Panthers / Arkansas State Red Wolves Under 58.5 (-110)
Oct. 24th, 2009 - 7:00 pm CFB 1.0 Arkansas State Red Wolves -11 (-110)
Oct. 24th, 2009 - 3:00 pm CFB 1.0 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs / Utah State Aggies Under 53.0 (-110)
Oct. 24th, 2009 - 2:00 pm CFB 1.0 Ohio Bobcats -9.5 (-110)

[Mr. IWS]

vr- double dime -Fla gators

[Mr. IWS]

vr- auburn over 49.5 triple dime. double dime bets-fla,mich st,nevada.

[Mr. IWS]

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, October 24, 2009
$35.00 Guaranteed: Do you need a HUGE WINNER?!?! The Wizz has exactly what you need! Today he is featuring his *****LATE BREAKING WAC GAME OF THE YEAR***** It does not het any STRONGER than this as this line is off by TWO TD'S! You can get this Guaranteed Winner today for just $35 and you will ONLY PAY AFTER YOU WIN!!==>THAN GET THIS WINNER NOW!! 10/23/2009
*****LATE BREAKING WAC GAME OF THE YEAR
366 Nevada -15.5 4:00 EST

[Mr. IWS]

Smooth44...Had Virginia +6 but went at 12:00

3:30PM EST
355 Oklahoma
356 Kansas
TOP PLAY: KANSAS +8
Last week I went against Kansas in a classic “look ahead� spot and they lost outright to a horrible Colorado team and today they now play host to Oklahoma. The Sooners enter this game without the services of QB Bradford who went down again last week and is done for the season. After losing last week the Sooners are now 3-3 and any hopes of playing in a major Bowl game are gone. Look for this team to come out flat knowing their season is virtually over. Meanwhile, this is a different story for Kansas and a win here today puts them back on top their division and in contention for the Big 12 title game. Last season Kansas QB Reesing went to Norman and put up almost 350 yards and 2TDs and arguably against a MUCH BETTER defense. If Reesing’s line can give him time he should be just as effective today. It is worth noting the Sooners have failed to cover their L2 games after playing Texas and are just 1-4-1 ATS this year.
PREDICTION: KANSAS 27 OKLAHOMA 23

3:30PM EST
315 Clemson
316 MiamiFlorida
TOP PLAY: CLEMSON +5
We all know about Clemson’s struggles on the road as it is very well documented, however, this is a team that has thrived in the role of the dog going 17-5 ATS in their L22 overall!! After stomping Wake last week Clemson needs another win today to get back into the driver’s seat for the division title. The Canes have been a huge and pleasant surprise this year but they have not seen a defense quite like this all year. The Tigers are big, fast and aggressive. The only time the Canes faced a defense even similar to this was against Virginia Tech and they got stomped 31-7. Look for them to struggle again today and for Clemson to escape with a much needed win!! Clemson is an impressive 7-1 ATS L8 as a road dog and 8-1 ATS L9 as a dog of 3.5 to 10 overall. Meanwhile, the Canes are just 8-20-1 ATS L29 as a fave, just 9-20 ATS L29 conference games, and a horrible 1-9 ATS L10 as a 3.5 to 10 point fave!! One would think the Canes being at home would prove valuable in this one but being home hasn’t been “sweet� for Miami or good for bettors – the Canes are just 11-32 ATS in their 43 at home!!
PREDICTION: CLEMSON 20 MIAMI U. 13

3:30PM EST
349 Oregon
350 Washington U
TOP PLAY: WASHINGTON +10
This line opened at 7.5 and since has been steamed to its current line of 10 – and I ask WHY?? Oregon has dominated this series recently winning 5 straight and NONE by less than 20 points!! Additionally, during this 5 game stretch the line was never less than 12.5 in any of the meetings including last year when the Ducks won by 34 as a 14 point fave – so the question I ask is WHY DID ODDSMAKERS OPEN THIS LINE AT 7.5 KNOWING ALL OF THIS?? I will tell you why in 3 letters – U-S-C!! That’s right!! This is a huge look ahead game for the Ducks knowing they have the Trojans on deck in a game that should determine the PAC-10 champion!! Oregon is also playing the second game of a B2B road swing, the first time they have been in this situation all season, and kids at this level typically do not respond well in unfamiliar roles. The Huskies possess a great QB and legitimate NFL prospect in Jake Locker and he will be the difference maker. The Ducks rely heavily on the run but the Huskies have improved dramatically holding their L3 opponents to an average of 118 yards per game!! One thing is clear about the Huskies – they are on a mission to redeem themselves for last year’s 0-12 season, something they couldn’t control in light of all of the adversity they faced. I said the Huskies would knock off USC earlier this year, and they did, well today I am predicting they do it again!!
PREDICTION: WASHINGTON 28 OREGON 24

7:00PM EST
383 Iowa
384 Michigan State
TOP PLAY: IOWA +2 -120
Iowa opened as a 2.5 point fave and the line has been steamed the other way. There seems to be quite a bit of public and service love for MSU and I am not sure why. I went against Iowa last week but I refuse to do it today. Iowa showed me a lot in that game against Wisconsin and after trailing 10-0 early maintained their composure and methodically climbed back into it before their defense flat-out dominated the rest of the way!! For a team to show this much poise and composure on the road is the mark of a true champion!! I had Iowa ranked in the top 10 long before anyone else did and they will show us why again today!! Iowa is comfortable on the road and has proven they can win big games away from home. The 5-0 ATS L5 on the road when playing a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS L6 as a road dog. Meanwhile, MSU is just 2-5 ATS L7 home games, 1-5 ATS L6 against teams with winning records, and a perfect 0-4 ATS L4 at home as a fave of 3 points or less!! It is also worth noting Iowa is a comfortable 7-0 L7 before they play Indiana, proving they remain focused with no real threat on deck.
PREDICTION: IOWA 24 MICHIGAN STATE 13

8:00PM EST
397 OregonState
398 USC
TOP PLAY – CFB GAME OF THE WEEK: OREGONSTATE +21
Despite their 5-1 record USC lacks the experience and playmaking ability of past years and OSU presents them with many matchup problems. The Beavers do a great job of stretching the field, possess a solid ground attack, and an air attack lead by an experienced QB completing more than 68% of his passes and has thrown just 2 picks so far this season. The Beavers also have two great skill players in the Rodgers brothers and they can hurt you in so many ways!! Despite losing a ton of talent last season the USC defense continues to shut down opponents. Offensively, they have a balanced attack that relies heavily on the ground game and this plays right into OSU’s strengths!! OSU does a terrific job at stopping the run. Look for them to do a great job today and to put the pressure on QB Barkley knowing he has only thrown for 5 TDs and 3 picks this season. Oregon State is coming off a bye week and has been money in this spot going 11-2 ATS L13 including a perfect 7-0 ATS L7!! Meanwhile, USC is just 5-14 ATS on 6 days rest if their opponent has at least 1 more day of rest!! There are two games that are big games for USC and they are against Ohio State and Notre Dame. Last week USC went to South Bend and beat the Irish in a thriller. Earlier this year they went on the road to beat Ohio State and the following week suffered a major letdown by losing outright to Washington as a 20.5 point fave, same line as this one opened - coincidence?? We will see!! But I love the fact that USC has Oregon on deck and they could get caught looking ahead!!
PREDICTION: USC 24 OREGON STATE 23

[Mr. IWS]

Stryker 6 *

Stanford

[Mr. IWS]

sharp

346 Notre Dame -7.5 (-110) betus vs 345 Boston College
Analysis: Stan is Betting NOTRE DAME. Stan notes that while most people might expect a letdown for Notre Dame today after last weeks tough loss against USC Stan believes Notre Dame who have a letdown as they play with revenge as last year they were shutout by Boston College something that never happens to Notre Dame. Boston College will have problems stopping the Notre Dame passing game. Look for Notre Dame to finallyâ€* have a game that isn't close. Stan has Notre Dame winning by 14-17 points. TAKE NOTRE DAME as STAN'S TRIPLE DIME TV GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[Mr. IWS]

Doc's Sports

Baseball

4-unit play. #912 Take New York (-1 ½ RL) +110 over Los Angeles (7:55 pm Fox)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
Game: Boston at Ottawa (7:05 PM Eastern)
4* Boston +110 (moneyline)
The Boston Bruins haven't quite started as they had hoped. So far, they have been on a win one, lose one course to start the season. This is good news as they have now won four straight after a loss, and six straight going back to the regular season a year ago. The Senators have played reasonably well to start the season, but lost their last one at home to Nashville, allowing six goals in the process. That might be bad news for them here as the Bruins have taken advantages of teams off of defensive lapses. The Bruins have been 43-21 in their last 64 games after an opponent allows five or more to slip through the net. The Bruins have also dominated the teams in the Northeast as they have gone 21-6 in their last 27. Ottawa is at the top of that list as Boston has won seven of the last eight played between these clubs. Boston gets the call here as a very live dog.

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

20*GOY SanDiego st
15*ND
10*s are on Pitt, Central Mich, Colo, Nebraska, Fla Atlantic, Auburn

[Mr. IWS]

Fairway Jay

20*GOY SanDiego st
15*ND
10*s are on Pitt, Central Mich, Colo, Nebraska, Fla Atlantic, Auburn