11-25-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback 11/25

Early Report Wed 11/25

Still looking at some games, waiting for lines & potential line movement. Thursday's card will be ready very early in the morning & may include several early Sunday/Monday NFL releases as well.

[711-712] 4* Milwaukee Bucks/New Orleans Hornets OVER 200.5 -110 | 8:00p ET

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog
Game: Duquesne at Western Carolina (7:25 PM Eastern)
Pick: Western Carolina +2.5 (-110)

Something will give here as both of these teams are off to good starts to open the season. Duquesne owns an impressive win over Iowa, but really struggled their last time on the floor vs. little-known Arkansas-Monticello, needing overtime to steal a two-point win. The Catamounts have taken three of four and lost, as expected, to Texas. What might be noteworthy here is that the Dukes beat Binghamton by 18 points while the Catamounts blew them out by 30, a common opponent, with the results very appealing to the Catamounts. Melquan Bolding won't play for the Dukes as after scoring 25, he broke his wrist and will miss four weeks or so, leaving a hole in the offense. The Dukes are not very impressive off a straight-up win at just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 and without Bolding, they could be in trouble here. I’m going with Western Carolina.

[Mr. IWS]

charlie
nba. pistons+6, knicks @ kings over 213 & dallas @ houston over 201(500* 3 TEAM RD ROBIN PLAY)
nba. hornets-3' (30*)
nba. philly+13 (20*)
nba. charlotte-2' (20*)
nba. minnesota+8' (10*)
nba. knicks+4 (10*) free play

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist 11/25

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3-0 on the season! 25-Star NBA Situational Slam Dunk - Wednesday!

NBA(707) MIAMI HEAT VS (708) ORLANDO MAGIC

Take708) ORLANDO MAGIC
Reason: 25* NBA Situational Slam Dunk: Orlando Magic.

Miami has played 13 games this season, but 9 of them at home. They are 2-2 SU on the road this season, and 0-2 ATS their last two road games, losing by 15 and 7 points. Miami has been playing bad basketball of late, on a 2-4 SU, 0-6 ATS run. Orlando is no easy place to play, a team that is 11-3 and tied with Atlanta for first place. This team has great depth, on a 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS run without Jameer Nelson. Vince Carter scored 24 points, Dwight Howard had 17 points and 12 rebounds and the Magic won their fifth straight game, 104-96 over the Toronto Raptors on Sunday. J.J. Re**** added 19 points, Jason Williams had 16 and Rashard Lewis added 11 for the Magic, who have won eight of 10. They are a motivated, together team: Dwight Howard and Stan Van Gundy had a heart-to-heart meeting last week in which Dwight told Stan that his negativity was having an adverse effect on the team. Stan agreed and the Magic have been playing looser and freer every since. Orlando is 12-1 SU, 11-2 ATS the last 13 meetings between these Florida Rivals, with an average margin of vistory of 13 points. In fact, the last six games in Orlando, the Magic are 6-0 both SU&ATS winning by 21 points per contest. Orlando gets up for this state rivalry game and usually rolls. And this season, they have the better, hotter team. Play the Magic.

[Mr. IWS]

karl garrett

20 dimer: celtics
10 dimer: lsu

[Mr. IWS]

a redd

10 hornets
10 mavericks
10 knicks

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic - Wednesday November 25, 2009 7:35 pm
Pick: 3 units TOTAL: Under 192 (-110)


Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Miami/Orlando set to start at 7:00 EST. AiS shows a 74% probability that 193 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 114-69 for 62% victories since 2004.
Play under with any team after being beaten by the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games and with a victorious record on the season playing another victorious team. AiS reveals that Orlando will not shoot lights out from behind the arc. AiS shows a 90% probability that Orlando will shoot between 32 and 38% from behind the arc. Note that Orlando is 24-13 UNDER (+9.7 Units) when they make 32% to 38% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons. Orlando is also 27-15 UNDER (+10.5 Units) versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. Miami is a solid 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports


Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
Todays Selections
NBA Basketball
2 (**) New Orleans Under 201.5
2 (**) Minnesota Under 202

[Mr. IWS]

Doc NCAA Hoops

3 Unit Play. #726 Take South Florida -8 over Kent State (7 pm) The Bulls have gotten off to a good start in 2009 and their 4-1 record is much more impressive that Kent State’s 4-1 record. The Flashes must replace three starters from last year and this is the first of a four game road trip. Last year they were just 5-9 on the road and they will suffer a double digit loss on Wednesday.

3 Unit Play. #732 Take Pacific +2 over San Diego State (10 pm Big West TV) The Spanos Center is always a tough place to play and the Aztecs are not as strong in 2009 as they have been the last couple of years. The Tigers have been holding opponents under 59 points per game and will complete the season sweep of the San Diego schools tonight.

3 Unit Play. #738 Take Virginia -2 over Cleveland State (7 pm CBS College Sports) The Cavilers took Stanford to the wire last night and the Vikings played a terrible game against Kentucky last night. In that game, the Vikings shot just 27% and now they face a tough defensive team in Virginia, coached by Tony Bennett. Sylven Landesberg is the best player on the floor and expect him to go for twenty points.

3 Unit Play. #743 Take Maryland -1 over Wisconsin (4:30 pm ESPN 2) Granted when you pick Maryland you never really know what you will get, but this game means a lot more to them then it does Wisconsin. Maryland does not want to leave the island with a 1-2 record with their only win coming against Chaminade. Wisconsin already has a win against Arizona and does not have the talent to match-up with Maryland physically.

3 Unit Play. #748 Take Gonzaga -1 ½ over Cincinnati (10 pm ESPN) The Bulldogs looked really impressive last night against Wisconsin and I expect them to take the crown in the 2009 Maui Invitational. Both teams have strong inside presence but I believe the guards for the Zags are better and that will be the difference in this game. Since the WCC is a weak conference, the Zags need all of the wins that they can get in the non-conference portion of the season to receive a high seed come tournament time. We will side with Mark Few and company this evening.

3 Unit Play. #771 Take Montana State +7 over San Francisco (10 pm) The Dons have been blown out twice this year and I just do not believe that they warrants this type of a number tonight against Montana State in the Bay Area. The Bobcats are beaten the Dons in 2 of the 3 lifetime meetings and will take this game down to the wire tonight behind Bobby Howard and company.

[Mr. IWS]

Doc NBA

5-Unit Play NBA Game of the Week #702 Take Charlotte -2 1/2 Over Toronto (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Think this is a real great spot for the Bobcats tonight. This team has dropped seven of their last eight and confidence is very low right now from the public and bookmakers. However, they have had a pretty tough schedule. Of their seven losses, five came on the road and the home losses came against Portland and Orlando, two solid playoff teams. Those two home losses to strong teams represent the only home losses for this team yet this season (4-2). This team has stunk on the road but they always seem to play well at home. Another team that stinks on the road? Yes, Toronto. They are just 2-6 this season in road contests and the only road teams they have beat were New Orleans and LA Clippers. Charlotte comes in with two nights rest while the Raptors will have played three games in four nights after tonight. Charlotte has covered three straight in this series and four of the last five and they also are a great bet at home as they have compiled a 19-8 ATS record in their last 27 home games stretching back to last season. We see this as a close game throughout with the home team pulling away against a fatigued Raptors squad in the fourth quarter.



3-unit Play #703 Take LA Clippers +6 Over Indiana (7 p.m. EST, Wednesday)

Eric Gordon (game-time decision) could be back tonight and Indianapolis is his home town so we think that will give the team more motivation to get him out on the court after he was active last game out against Minnesota yet relegated to the bench. The Clippers have really been lacking a spark since his injury and we think they will be a solid play for his first few games back. This guy, in his second year, is really a key to this team (he is averaging 19 PPG this season) but the casual NBA fan doesn’t give his absence much credit. However, we are not making this pick just on the hope that Gordon goes tonight, but Indiana really doesn’t deserve to be this type of chalk over any team, not even the Clippers. LA has covered four of the last five in this series. The Pacers are just one game better (3-4) than the Clippers on the road (2-4). We see this as a close game regardless of Gordon’s status but the sophomore player might be the lift the Clips need for a straight-up win if he is able to go.

[Mr. IWS]

MREAST NCAAB WEDNESDAY TORCHER

#763 ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS @ #764 DUKE BLUE DEVILS 9:30PM EST
PLAY ON #764 DUKE BLUE DEVILS -9 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

The Arizona St. Sun Devils had a big year last season, riding the talent of what would be 2 NBA 1st round draft picks in James Harden, and Jeff Pendergraph. That duo combined for 35 points and 14 rebounds, and 46 wins the last 2 years, while the previous 3 years saw a combined 37 wins. They are going to struggle this season, especially vs a team as talent rich as Duke. Duke always has an abundance of talent coming and going, and it is the reason that one of the worst years at Duke, is on the level with one of the best years at ASU. The big problem for Duke was supposed to be at guard, but enter a vastly improved Nolan Smith (22ppg), and a freshamn that through early enrollment entered the program a year early in Andre Dawkins (11.5pp), and that issue is gone. Freshman Miles Plumlee is scoring 10.7 a game, pulling down 5.5 boards, to compliment Singler, and Zoubek. The Dukies have more talent in every spot, including the bench. Duke gets this one.

[Mr. IWS]

ANDRE GOMES
NBA - 703 Los Angeles Clippers @ 704 Indiana Pacers

*write up later*

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 202 @ 1.91 on The Bookmaker



NBA - 709 Cleveland Cavaliers @ 710 Detroit Pistons

*write up later*

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on 709 Cleveland Cavaliers (-5) @ 1.91 on The Bookmaker

[Mr. IWS]

sebass
All 50*
NBA - Charlotte, San Antonio, Under Houston

NCAABB - Kent St, Montana St

NHL - Phil


100* Steam- NBA - Sacramento

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso 50

Blazers -13.5

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

10 units Cal Irvine

5 units Utah Valley

3 units Kentucky

3 units Nuggets

[Mr. IWS]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G
6* W ido w W iseg uy C B B "B LOO D B AT H" of the Week on Va nd erb ilt -4.5(-110 at bookm)

Vandy is stacked this season with 5 returning starters. Arizona comes into this game very tired, needing overtime to beat Colorado last night. Their first 2 games of the Maui Invitational have been nail biters, with 4-point wins over Wisconsin and Colorado. Vandy earned a 68-41 win over Chaminade last night, so they had a chance to rest their starters. Now the Commodores will be the fresher team tonight, and they'll take it to Arizona early and ware them down. Vandy is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a game where they made 45% of their free throws or worse since 1997. They'll improve those numbers and win running away Wednesday. Take Vandy and lay the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

SACRAMENTO KINGS -4.5

This will hardly be confused with a preview of the 2010 NBA Finals, however, it does offer a solid opportunity to play on the struggling Kings. Sacramento surprised many by winning four straight following an injury to leading scorer Kevin Martin, but has since come back down to Earth losing four in a row. Enter the mess that is the Knicks. This will be New York's fourth game in five nights, a terrible spot for a team in such disarray. HC D'Antoni is now feuding w/ G Robinson over what was perceived to be some selfish play and although the team has covered three straight games, the level of competition was not good in two of them and the Knicks remain a tailor-made opponent for Sacramento. The Kings have scored triple digits in nine of ten and against a defensively deficient team like New York, expect their scoring to rise even further. Take Sacramento.

[Mr. IWS]

Evan Altemus

MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES +10.5

Memphis has quietly been playing much better over the last week. They have won and covered in four of their last five games. Those wins have come against weaker teams, but they have the added confidence coming into this game. This game is the start of a long road trip, so I expect them to be very focused in this game. Meanwhile, Phoenix has this game before Thanksgiving tomorrow before heading on a road trip of their own. The Suns are coming off of a blowout win over Detroit, so I don’t expect their focus to be on this game. Look for Memphis to keep this game close and cover the point spread.

3 UNIT SELECTION MEMPHIS

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman

NEW YORK RANGERS -115

Rangers are 5-2 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Rangers are 13-6 in their last 19 games as a road favorite. Panthers are 3-7 in their last 10 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Panthers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Panthers are 3-8 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Panthers are 7-20 in their last 27 games as a home underdog. Panthers are 2-6 in their last 8 Wednesday games. Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. We'll play NY Rangers for 3 units tonight!

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Raymond

76ers/Celtics Over 188.5

When ANY NBA Team played as a -12.5 to -15.0 Home Favorite - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 game road stand - Coming off a Road win as a Favorite - Coming off a Road win; the OVER is 10-5-0 for the Home Fav (BOSTON) in this role. My ATS Calculator numbers have this total landing on 193.07 points.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Cleveland Cavaliers -5

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Raptors/Bobcats Under 194

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the “under”:

Toronto scored the most first half points in franchise history in their blowout of the Pacers last night, and I expect an offensive “letdown” this evening.

While the offense was enough to carry the Raptors against the Pacers, the team knows it will need better defensive outings to start winning consistently and I look for them to concentrate on that end of the court to begin this roadtrip.

On the other side of the court: Charlotte has the number 2nd ranked defense in the entire league, allowing opponents 89.5 points per game. Charlotte has the 2nd worst offensive ranking in the league, averaging just 85.3 ppg.

Charlotte is also coming off a victory over the Pacers.

Bottom line: The total has gone under the posted number in four of the last five games these teams have played against each other and I expect this strong trend to continue tonight.

When taking into account the fact that Toronto played last night, and these other strong trends and stats, my *10* “TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER” is indeed on the UNDER! 10* UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

5* W iseg uy N B A "S LE EP ER" of the Week on D et roit P ist ons +5.5(-105 at SIA)

The P ist ons show excellent value as a home dog Wednesday. Detroit is 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS at home this season, where they play excellent defense by allowing a mere 84.4 points/game. After 5 straight losses, the P ist ons are finally showing the kind of value where there's no way you should pass them up tonight. They'll show up ready to go in D etr oit. Take the P ist ons and the points.

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy June

10 LSU

[Mr. IWS]

executive
all 250
vandy
duquane
s fla

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo NBA Sides Wed

double-dime bet 721 NYK 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 722 SAC

TAKE NEW YORK as MARCO'S MASSACRE GAME OF THE WEEK.