12-12-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

50-Dime - Kansas State
10-Dime - La Salle
10-Dime - Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

CTO

BOSTON over *Chicago (NBA)...Boston is on a 5-game spread win streak and has covered 4 of 5 laying single digits on the road this season through Dec. 9. The Celtics, who are now into their third season with the same starting group, seem to be meshing perfectly for a run at wresting the title from the Lakers. Chicago struggles offensively, and Bulls have dropped 9 of last 11 vs. the number through Dec. 7. Chicago played last night, and Bulls are 0-3 when unrested. BOSTON 96 - *Chicago 77 RATING - 10

*BOISE STATE over San Diego...WCC sources say be on alert for potentially deteriorating situation at USD, where Toreros have unraveled after positive start and could have brewing internal issues in wake of star G Brandon Johnson’s suspension prior to ugly blowout loss at Fresno State Dec. 6. Meanwhile, Boise feeling a lot better about itself now that 6-9 Wyo transfer Okoye (14.4 ppg & 9.4 rpg) establishing himself as a force in paint, and HC Graham pleased with early contributions of juco Fs Arnold & Montreal.
*BOISE STATE 76 - San Diego 57 RATING - 10

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB AND TOTALS
4 on Army +16
3 on the under 42

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports

Todays Selections
Football
2 (**) Army +15.5

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

NBA Basketball
Pass

NCAA Basketball
1 (*) Indiana +8.5

[Mr. IWS]

RED ZONE SPORTS

SATURDAY'S NCAAB POWER PLAY BOMB

Kentucky - 9 game at 1 pm

Kentucky is a true Nat'l title contender, as their young players (Wall, Cousins & Bledsoe - all freshman) will have close to 33 games under their belt when they get there. John Wall is clearly the freshman of the year candidate, and is faster than almost all point guards. Cousins is a very mobile 6-11 forward who will get better every night and will allow All American Patrick Paterson to shine even more. We see the game will be close early and then Talent takes over when the emotion burns away. Take WILDCATS!! BY DBL DIGITS



Purdue- 4.5 game at 9:05

We 're on the Purdue Boilermakers who have a class that has played together for three straight NCAA tourneys. Their only issue is depth up front. They have enough athleicism to cover that issue. All "5" starters return from 27 win team including "3" wins in NCAA tour. Eetwn Moore & Robbie Hummel are really special. Chris Kramer is the role player, lunch bucket guy all great teams have. I pick this team to win the Big 10. BAMA has been too inconsistent, but they are at home, but veteran Purdue covers the small number on the road.


Bonus winner Saturday Night Kansas State + 3

[Mr. IWS]

A T S Lock Club.....
4* Army CFB

20* Boise St GOY
7* E Michigan
6* Loyola Chic
5* VCU

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard's Saturday NCAA Shocker

591/592 Western Carolina at Louisville

The Catamounts of Western Carolina are 9-1 on the season with victories over Duquesne, Wofford and Bradley. Their single loss this year was an embarrassing 73-41 defeat at Texas. Overall 5 of the top 8 players for the Catamounts are seniors who have competed on the road in the past against quality opposition. Western Carolina is a very good defensive team who ranks 9th in the nation defending the three. Coach Larry Hunter has taken a team that won just 10 games two seasons ago to a squad that can compete for an NCAA Tournament berth this year. They have a current RPI rating of 28 which makes them a dangerous dog here.

Louisville is 5-2 on the season having lost 2 of the last 3 games they have played. They are off an embarrassing 87-65 home loss to Charlotte. While we normally look to back a quality coached team off a loss of that nature we simply can't help but think that something is terribly wrong with the Cardinals. Rick Pitino still doesn't have a full grasp of his playing rotations and the team hasn't come together the way he has hoped. This is a team that won 27 and 31 games the past two years but that winning chemistry just hasn't been there this season. Other than the blowout victory over Arkansas in the season opener this team just hasn't beaten a quality team all year. To expect them to win by a margin tonight would be too much to ask from a team still trying to find themselves.

This is a statement game for the up and coming Catamounts and they have a great shot of taking this contest to the wire. Too many points to lay for the Cardinals who have underperformed this season.

PLAY WESTERN CAROLINA


519/520 Ohio State at Butler

Well aware of the Buckeyes missing outstanding junior Evan Turner but there is no way this club doesn't show up here. When a key player goes down the team responds big in the first game after the injury. And keep in mind that this team has plenty of scoring options. They rank 2nd in the nation in field goal percentage and effective field goal percentage. The Buckeyes have five players averaging double figure scoring. Where they will miss Turner is in rebounding and defense as he was a terror on the boards. But this is a veteran squad with 7 of the top 8 players being upperclassmen. Ohio State is the better team here and they are getting points in a game that they must prove themselves to the nation, a motivated underdog with talent.

Butler is 6-3 on the season and they dropped all three games when stepping up in class. The earlier 69-67 neutral site victory over UCLA has been lessoned as the Bruins have been possibly the biggest disappointment in the nation. Butler is normally an excellent shooting team that takes care of the ball but that's not the Bulldog team we have seen this far. They rank in the lower half in just about every statistic and they have been especially poor in rebounding and blocking shots. That means the Ohio State weaknesses will not be exploited by the Bulldogs.

Butler is clearly a step down this season which isn't to say they won't be a team to be counted on later this year. But the way they are playing they simply don't deserve to be favored here over a much better offensive squad. Just two of the top 14 players on this team are seniors and this school has graduated a great deal of talent the past two seasons. Butler is good but not in the Buckeye's class at this point in the year.

PLAY OHIO STATE

[Mr. IWS]

MREAST NBA SATURDAY UNDER THE RADAR

#505 BOSTON CELTICS @ #506 CHICAGO BULLS 8PM EST

PLAY ON #506 CHICAGO BULLS +10.5 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

The Boston Celtics have been picking their spots this season, and play well enough to win games, but don't exert full energy every night knowing they have an aging cast of star players. They have won 9 games in a row, but 6 of those games show margins of just 9 points or less, and have just 3 double-digit road wins on the season, and have dropped their last 5 on the road as a -7 point favorite or higher. The Bulls miss Ben Gordon who kept them in the playoff series vs Boston last year, and they will have something to say about a 28 point loss to Boston early in the season. The Bulls have played 9 home games and have lost just 1 by more than 2 points. I'll go with Chicago here.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

Saturday College Football
Army/Navy Over 41.5
There is something about this game that brings out the best in Navy. The last two games have been blowouts. I expect the same today, but Army actually is a lot better than they have been in the past. Navy brings the 3rd ranked rushing offense in the nation into this game which will be tough for Army to stop. For the first time in a while Navy will actually have to play defense. Army has a good running game themselves. Weather should not be a factor considering both teams do not really throw the ball. Look for Army to score some points, but Navy will match them and probably blow them out. Look for a high scoring game. Take the Over.

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
Unlv/ regular

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Fazzini Saturday's winners 20 Dime -- Army (plus points vs. NAVY)

ARMY

The Midshipmen have won seven straight against their military academy rivals, and probably will win again today, but the Black Knights have some new ammunition for today's 110th meeting between the teams.

Freshman quarterback Trent Steelman is a real tough, talented kid and has started every game this season for Army. He is only the second plebe every to start at QB against Navy, and he leads the Black Knights with 690 yards and five touchdowns rushing this year. He also has completed 52.2 percent of his throws for 560 yards and three TDs with just one interception, but passing is not a big part of Army's offense.

Instead, the Black Knights run the same triple-option attack that the Midshipmen utilize, which should have both defenses quite familiar with what each offense is coming with today. And that should help keep the game close.

First-year Army coach Rich Ellerson has helped his team move within one win of a spot in the Eagle Bank Bowl, where they would face Temple. And while that's not exactly a BCS bowl, any bowl bid would be quite a big deal at West Point.

Ellerson has the Black Knights playing good ball, and he learned the triple option from former Navy coach Paul Johnson while the two were working at Hawaii, so Navy won't be doing anything offensively he hasn't coached his players to defend.

And while Army doesn't pass the ball much, when it does it has a big advantage -- literally -- in wide receiver Ali Villanueva. The senior stands 6-10 and was moved from left tackle, where he started 12 games last year for the Black Knights, to wideout before the season started. He leads the team with 29 catches for 460 yards (15.9-yard average) and five TDs.

Most of the ATS trends favor the Midshipmen, but they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a favorite. I think Army easily stays within two touchdowns today. Go with the Black Knights to cover the points.

10 Dime -- WICHITA STATE (minus points vs. Texas Christian)

WICHITA STATE

The Shockers are a far more physical team than the Horned Frogs are, especially at home, where they are 5-0 this season.

Seven-foot center Garrett Stutz is going to be a big obstacle for TCU to overcome if he can avoid foul trouble, and he helps lead a Wichita State defense that is allowing just 53.9 points per game.

The Shockers have played a relatively easy schedule so far in going 8-1, only playing three lined games, but they have won by an average of nearly 20 points per game. And they can get scoring from a variety of players, led by guard Toure' Murry, who is averaging 13.6 ppg.

Wichita State is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 nonconference games, 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall and 4-1 ATS in its last five against Mountain West teams. The Horned Frogs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record, 1-5 ATS in their last six nonconference games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. Take the Shockers to win by at least a dozen points tonight.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS:

556 E. Mich -5'... 1.5 Units

542 Towson +5

565 S. Miss -1'

578 Boise St. -5

All for 1 Unit

[Mr. IWS]

Handicapper: Evan Altemus
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Indiana Pacers @ Washington Wizards - Saturday December 12, 2009 7:05 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: Indiana Pacers +7.5 (-110)

Washington has no business being this high of a favorite against anyone at home. The Wizards have routinely played to the level of their competition this season and last season. Washington hasn’t defeated any recent opponents by this margin at home recently, despite playing lower quality opponents like Toronto, Philadelphia, and Charlotte. The Wizards are also coming off of a disappointing home loss to Boston. The Pacers played well without Danny Granger last night, and they have the offense to keep this game close. Look for Indiana to get the point spread cover.

3 UNIT SELECTION

[Mr. IWS]

3gwins


SATURDAY ACTION:

COLLEGE HOOPS:
10* BUTLER
10* GEORGETOWN
5* Kansas St
5* TCU
5* Purdue

NBA HOOPS:
4* Utah Jazz

ICEMAN HOCKEY:
5* NHL Game of the Week: ATLANTA


Ohio St is coming off a huge 44 pt win and now faces a tough Butler team. Butler has five returning starters from last year’s teams finds the Braves hosting the Buckeyes in a battle of two NCAA tourney teams last year. It’s safe to say Butler enjoys playing at Hinkle Fieldhouse where they are 55-5 SU since the 2005 season. They are also 11-4-1 ATS in battles with the Big 10, including a 54-51 cover-loss at Ohio State last season. This is Ohio St's first true road game of the season, and playing without leading scorer F Evan Turner out for at least two months with a spine injury, as OSU drops to 3-15 SU and ATS in road openers here this afternoon.

Washington has a weakness playing without big man Jon Brockman. His absence down low has allowed teams with size to have their way in the paint. That will be a huge problem against a physical Georgetown team with a lot of size and bench play. In addition, the time of this game will help the Hoyas.GTOwn gets the call in this early game for the Washington players as it starts at 11am local time out west.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Juan Diaz wins by 12 round decision +1.55 over Paul Malignaggi.

Close fight to call. One thing for sure here, no knockouts are expected in this one, as the soft-handed Paulie “The Magic Man� Malignaggi faces off against Juan “Baby Bull� Diaz. This is the rematch of a hotly contested decision won by Diaz where most experts thought Paulie seemed to have done enough to win. I see this fight going in the same direction as the first on. Diaz will push the pace and keep moving forward and Paulie will circle the ring with his slick-boxing style. Even though Paul Malignaggi showed how to beat Juan Diaz, he still came on the losing end of it. Now Diaz possesses that information and will definitely be ready for Paulie’s game plan. I expect Diaz to be more focused and better prepared this time around as he will earn a unanimous and convincing decision. Play: Diaz by decision +2.55 (Risking 2 units).


Antonio Diaz +6.00 over Victor Ortiz

After hearing Ortiz’s post fight interview in his last time out, I simply cannot afford to miss the boat on this one. “I have some thinking to do and I don't think I deserve to get hit like this�. This was following his brutal loss to Marcos Maidana last June in Los Angeles where this kid simply quit. I am very surprised to see Victor Ortiz fight again as he clearly exposed his mental toughness to the whole world. For a 22-year-old fighter to say stuff like that in his prime says a lot about his will to compete. Now he faces his mentor and childhood idol in Antonio Diaz. The strength for Diaz will be his size, experience and yes; his warrior presence in the ring. It is clear that Diaz is nowhere near what he used to be after so many wars, but this is all about going against a fighter that has some very hard questions to answer. Play: Diaz +6.00 (Risking 2 units).


Diego Sanchez +2.50 over BJ Penn

Folks, get ready for this one. Diego “The Nightmare� Sanchez vs BJ Penn, it doesn’t get any better than this! Diego Sanchez is simply balls to the wall for five straight minutes each and every round. He’ll look to wear Penn out swarming him with strikes and relentless takedown attempts. Penn’s strength & conditioning training with the infamous Marv Marinovich paid off against Kenny Florian. Penn was in the best shape of his life and he’s brought back Marv for this one. But come on, Diego is no Kenny Florian and this is no three-round fight. On my watch, as long as BJ doesn’t win by stoppage, he will lose each and every single time. Now on paper, BJ Penn shouldn’t have too much trouble winning this fight. His boxing and jiu-jitsu are superior to Sanchez’s and his takedown defense is typically stellar when he’s not facing GSP. But I just see Sanchez coming out ready to feast on BJ and prove to the whole world where he truly belongs; right there as the world champion. This fight will be at 155 pounds, a division where Diego has looked nothing less than impressive as he came all the way down from the 170 division in his last three fights and dominated. This will be too much for BJ Penn to handle, Diego Sanchez in pretty dominating fashion. Play: Sanchez +2.50 (Risking 2 units).


Frank Mir wins inside distance +1.02 over Cheick Kongo

This is Frank Mir’s first fight since being disrespected in the middle of the ring, on national TV and in front of the whole world by Brock Lesnar. Wow, I wouldn’t wanna be the first one facing him after this humiliating night versus the freak of nature. Mir is currently trying to make his way back toward the top of the division in hopes of a rubber match with Brock Lesnar after being completely dominated at UFC 100 at his own game. Kongo is looking to rebound from his loss to Cain Velasquez at UFC 99 after nearly punching Velasquez out in each of the three rounds, but eventually succumbing to Velasquez's wrestling background. Well I have some bad news for you Cheick, you are facing one of the best Brazilian jiu-jitsu specialists in the UFC and if Kongo fights like he’s known to fight, this one won’t be too long. There's no mystery on how each fighter will approach this fight. Mir isn't going to come out and try to prove that he has K-1 level striking, as he's said in past fights. He'll be looking to work his exceptional ground game to transition from submission to submission to catch Kongo's lengthy limbs. Kongo will want to work his reach and power from a distance with the help of his Mai Thai background to punish Mir. It's a simple, straightforward fight that has a lot of interesting questions that will be answered. Kongo's inability to block takedowns has been the sole reason he isn't an undefeated fighter and the reason why he will lose come Saturday night. Mir by easy submission. Play: Mir inside distance +1.02 (Risking 2 units).


Adrian Diaconu +2.60 over Jean Pascal

The first time these two met, Adrian Diaconu had previously fought once in a span of 3 years and still managed to lose a very close decision. This time however, rust won’t be a factor. “I improved everything; my speed, my footwork, I’m smarter and I feel better. I trained so hard and this time theres no excuses.� Adrian is a bull, he always gives up height advantage to his opponents but Teddy Atlas said it best, he is the closest thing to Mike Tyson when styles are compared as this guy can literally thump. I don’t get it, Jean Pascal defended his light heavyweight title on September the 25th in a hard fought bout against Silvio Branco and two months later they ask him to step in the ring against the shark? I expect two things to possibly happen, fatigue due to overtraining or an ineffective preparation caused by the lack of time in between. With all that aside, I really believe Adrian has the better chance of getting crowned at the end of the night. He gave Jean Pascal fits in their first encounter by rocking him a couple times and almost putting his lights out. Calling the upset, Adrian Diaconu comes out on top, possibly via a referee stoppage. Play: Adrian Diaconu +2.60 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

MINNESOTA -16.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the large favorite:

The Hawks are coming off a loss and I expect them to have a "letdown" in this game.

Villanova converted 30 of 31 second-half free throw attempts, including 29 in a row, to win for the 43rd time in 57 meetings against the Hawks.

After St. Joe’s pulled within one by hitting the first basket of the second half, Villanova went on a 16-7 run over the next 6 minutes, building a 10-point lead.

Not only is St. Joseph's 0-5 SU its last five overall, its also 1-4 ATS its last five on the road and 1-4 ATS its last five overall.

On the other side of the court: Blake Hoffarber had 18 points and Minnesota scored the first 18 points of the game in a 94-64 victory over Morgan State on Tuesday night.

Lawrence Westbrook added 14 points, four assists and four steals for the Gophers.

Minnesota led 9-0 before Morgan State even managed a field goal attempt and the Bears shot just 26 % in the decisive first half; look for Minnesota to build momentum off that convincing performance.

The Golden Gophers are 6-3 SU to start the year.

Bottom line: The Hawks do not matchup well against the Gophers in key positions; look for MINNESOTA to improve to 5-3 ATS when playing the roll of favorite and for St. Joseph's to fall to 2-5 ATS as an underdog!

*7* MINNESOTA.

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Lisowski

BJ PENN (14-5-1) -285 vs. Diego Sanchez (23-2) +225

Lightweight Champion Penn is the #1 ranked lightweight fighter in the world while Sanchez is fighting for the third time at this weight, having beaten Joe Stevenson and Clay Guida leading up to this match. In what is arguably his toughest fight to date, Diego figures to push the pace as BJ has a history of cardio issues. However, having said that, much of Penn's issues with conditioning have not come at this weight, where at 155 he hasn't lost an opponent at this weight in almost 8 years. Penn also has enlisted that aid of a cardio/conditioning expert to no doubt try to offset the furious pace Sanchez will try to impose upon him. Sanchez has an advantage when those he presses, having a tendency to back down. Don't believe Penn will back down and given the defense he put up in his last fight against Kenny Florian, he should be readily prepared for whatever Diego brings. While this should be a very good fight, the reality is that Sanchez hasn't fought a fighter of this caliber before.

PICK BJ PENN


FRANK MIR (12-4) -194 vs. CHEIK KONGO (24-5-1) +154

Mir is a 2x heavyweight champ looking to erase the memory and images of the pounding he took in his last fight, a brutal loss to Brock Lesnar. Mir has stated that he will stay on his fight for this fight, but in reality, that really shouldn't be his game-plan. Kongo's weakness was on display in his last match where Cain Velasquez continually took him to the ground. That loss stopped a string of 3 straight technical knockouts for Kongo, so regardless of what Mir says, he doesn't want to keep this fight upright and face the striking power of the big Frenchman. Mir should want this on the ground as fast as he can so that he can utilize his world-class wrestling skills against the seemingly one-dimensional striker. If Mir's ego gets in the way as it did in his last match, he could conceivably get knocked out. Belief here is that he plays it smart and uses his ground game to his advantage as Kongo has never faced an opponent with the ground submission skills that Mir has got. (FYI-It's +120 Mir wins by submission on the prop line)

PICK MIR


KEN FLORIAN (14-4) -203 vs. CLAY GUIDA (25-7) +163

Guida is a relentless, cardio machine, full of constant energy and drive, which always makes for a great fight. Florian, he of the sick elbow strikes, is a skilled Muay Thai and Jiu Jitsu expert. Ken-Flo is looking to come back off of a loss in his last fight, which not only broke a string of 6 consecutive victories, but it also was the first defeat in 3 years for the native New-Englander. Guida is also looking to make amends for his last match, a tremendous bout with Diego Sanchez, which won those fighters "Fight of the Night" bonuses. Florian is a deliberate tactician, while "The Carpenter" resembles a wild caveman, always moving and in motion with hair flying. Guida has the ability to absorb a ton of punishment, while it seems he is incapable of tapping out as many skilled submission experts have failed to make him quit. In what has the makings of a most entertaining fight, Florian should be able to inflict enough damage with his elbows and knees on Guida to sway the judges in a 3 round war.

PICK FLORIAN

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

INDIANA +9

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman

GEORGIA SOUTHERN +17

NC State is scoring only 63.7 points per game at home this year. Wolfpack are 12-25-2 ATS in their last 39 games as a home favorite. Wolfpack are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite. Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater. Wolfpack are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Wolfpack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win. Wolfpack are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Wolfpack are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. We'll play Georgia Southern for 3 units today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky.

[Mr. IWS]

Maximus

Locks have now changed to best bets.

These are the early plays.

BEST BETS:
Take the OHIO BOBCATS -3 vs. Delaware Blue Hens. Location: Bob Carpenter Center in Newark, Delaware on the Campus of the Blue Hens. Time: 2:00pm EST
EVALUATION: The Blue Hens have a 2-6 SU record and have been getting beat by an average of 12.62 points a game. Their 63.38 pts avg. a game is ranked 278th in the NCAA BB D-1 ranking, and they are even worse at home only averaging 60.8 pts a game which ranks 320th . The Hens also average 2 less assists per game and 2 additional turnovers than the Bobcats. Ohio comes in with 4-3 SU record and dropped their last game at home to the Governors of Austin Peay 66-68. Their other 2 losses have come to very respectable Tulsa 80-81, and Marshall 53-60, both on the road. We like the way the Bobcats rebound, averaging 9 more per game than the Blue Hens, and we see the Bobcats having a pretty easy time with this one.
PROJECTION: OHIO 72 DELEWARE 57

SOLIDS:----------------------PROJECTION
Ohio State +3.5 vs. Butler ___________Ohio St. 73-64
Memphis -14.5 vs. Arkansas – LR _____Memphis 73-54

[Mr. IWS]

Tony Weston
SATURDAY'S PLAYS 40 Dime Navy
10 Dime Kentucky


Army vs. Navy
NAVY - It's almost unfair at this point to even pit Army against Navy in football.

Army doesn't play the schedule Navy does and doesn't end up with the same athletes. Sure, it's still a great rivalry in spirit, but on the football field, it's a joke.

Today will be no different as Navy cruises to another easy victory over their service academy rival.

Surprisingly, from 1999-2001 this rivalry was actually competitive as Army took 2 of 3 SU and ATS. But since then, it's been all Navy.

The Midshipmen are riding a 7-game SU winning streak against the Black Knights and have gone 6-1 ATS in that stretch, including covers in their last 3 meetings.

In that stretch Navy has beaten Army by an average of 29 points per game. The last two meetings the Midshipmen have upped that number, beating the Black Knights by an average of 34.5 points per game.

It'll be another ugly one and Navy will cruise to another easy victory. Take the Midshipmen going away in this one.


Kentucky at Indiana
KENTUCKY - When Kentucky and Indiana hooked up last year, the Wildcats destroyed the Hoosiers 72-54 as a 17 1/2 point favorite.

These two are getting together again today and it'll be even uglier as Kentucky rolls into Bloomington with arguably the best team in the country.

The Wildcats are a perfect 9-0 SU this season and have covered in 3 of their last 5 games but are coming off back-to-back SU victories over North Carolina and UConn.

For the year, Kentucky is beating its opponents, on average, by about 15 points per game (79.2-64.7).

Their last five games things have been slightly better as the Wildcats have beaten their opponents by an average score of 74.4-59.6.

Kentucky will continue to cruise and get over easily on Indiana.

[Mr. IWS]

Great Lakes Sports

NBA
4* Minn +7.5
3* Portland +3
3* Utah -1.5


College Hoops

5* GOM Mississippi State -6.5 ( GAME OF MONTH )
4* Wichita State -10.5
3* Purdue -4.5

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Sat, 12/12/09 - 4:00 PM ©â€*
triple-dime bet 546 Minnesota -18.0 (-110) BetUS vs 545 St. Joseph's
Analysis:
*** NCAABB 3* GAME OF THE WEEK ***

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo FULL CARD

6-Unit Play. Take #563 Richmond (+3) over VCU (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)
Note: This is my Revenge Game of the Year.


4.5-Unit Play. Take #602 Northern Iowa (-3) over Siena (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #598 Canisius (-4) over Bowling Green (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


2.5-Unit Play. Take #571 Missouri State (-3.5) over Arkansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


2-Unit Play. Take #567 TCU (+10) over Wichita State (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


2-Unit Play. Take #579 BYU (-6.5) over Fresno State (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


2-Unit Play. Take #552 New Mexico (-1) over Texas A&M (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #565 Southern Mississippi (-1.5) over South Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


1-Unit Play. Take #547 Mississippi State (-5.5) over UCLA (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


1-Unit Play. Take #575 Purdue (-4.5) over Alabama (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


1-Unit Play. Take #562 UNLV (-2) over Kansas State (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #604 Colorado State (-4) over Montana (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #581 St. Mary’s (Pk) over Oregon (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #553 Troy (+7) over Marshall (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 12)


These are all 5-point teasers:
2.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #563 Richmond (+8) over VCU (7 p.m.) AND Take #567 TCU (+15) over Wichita State (8 p.m.)


2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #593 Eastern Kentucky (+21) over Maryland (4 p.m.) AND Take #583 Arizona (+13) over San Diego State (10 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #553 Troy (+12) over Marshall (7 p.m.) AND Take #599 Iona (+17.5) over Providence (7 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #596 Wyoming (+5) over Northern Colorado (5:30 p.m.) AND Take #559 Virginia Tech (+6.5) over Penn State (7 p.m.)


1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #539 Denver (+13) over Portland (4 p.m.) AND #549 Marquette (+10.5) over Wisconsin (5 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

R.Vinciletti Saturday Perfect Angle NCAAB Club Play

On Saturday the System Club play is on Northern Colorado. Game 595 at 5:30 eastern. NCU has a solid edge in field goal percentages offensively and defensively in this game. They have been solid this year at 8-1 with 7 of the wins coming in non home games. All 7 wins have come out of conference as they have a perfect 7-0 record out side their conference. NCU IS 9-0 ats after scoring 60 or less points over the past few seasons. Wyoming comes in with a 12-28 mark against winning teams,struggling when they take on better competition. When the Cowboys play good defensive teams who allow 65 points per game or less they are just 8-17. Last Saturday they beat a Loyola Marymount team here by a few points. North Colorado is a much better team and should be able to win this win today. In Late phone action we have remained red hot winning the last 6 weeks and already up 20 units this week. On Saturday most games go late afternoon and at night. I have a 21-2 college Dog play that will win outright. A 15-0 Double angle blowout play, a 25-4 series dominator play and a 37-5 non conference 6 star. NBA will be on the second report. Jump on and start cashing with these cutting edge system plays. For the System Club play take Northern Colorado.

R.Vinciletti

[Mr. IWS]

521 G. Mason OVER 131

RAS

[Mr. IWS]

The Booooj

35 units on Navy (-15.5) over Army
NCAA
10 units on Kentucky (-9) over Indiana
50 unit on Wichita State (-10) over TCU
20 units on Purdue (-4.5) over Alabama

NHL
15 units on Boston/NY Islanders over 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Runner

2* Georgetown -2
LA Lafayette -10
Wichita State -11.5
3* Minnesota -18.5

[Mr. IWS]

kelso 100 unit - wichita st -10

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Sat, 12/12/09 - 10:00 PM Ââ€*

triple-dime bet 584 San Diego St. -8.0 (-110) BetUS vs 583 Arizona
Analysis:
*** NCAABB 3* "BOOKIE BET" ***

(Confirmed "BIG SLICK BET" by Bookie Bill)

I know that Bill likes to wait and make sure that no other "slicks" are coming in on the other side of a Big Bet...But I know that there are other Outfits that also like this same side...And since Bill's Slick already made his bet at -7.5, I've already seen books move to -8...If others get involved, since this is a very late game...who knows where this line ends up...Fortunately, Bill also told me that what bets he has booked on thi§s game from his squares...have mostly been on the other side...And that supports what other books have said as well...So I'm hoping that all the public money can help keep this line down...and possibly give us an even better number...VR

BOUGHT AND PAID FOR BY ME. CONFIRMED
Someone please pick up him tomorrow. Thanks

[Mr. IWS]

vegas-runner | CBB Sides Sat, 12/12/09 - 10:00 PM Ââ€*

triple-dime bet 584 San Diego St. -8.0 (-110) BetUS vs 583 Arizona
Analysis: *** NCAABB 3* "BOOKIE BET" ***
(Confirmed "BIG SLICK BET" by Bookie Bill)
I know that Bill likes to wait and make sure that no other "slicks" are coming in on the other side of a Big Bet...But I know that there are other Outfits that also like this same side...And since Bill's Slick already made his bet at -7.5, I've already seen books move to -8...If others get involved, since this is a very late game...who knows where this line ends up...Fortunately, Bill also told me that what bets he has booked on thi§s game from his squares...have mostly been on the other side...And that supports what other books have said as well...So I'm hoping that all the public money can help keep this line down...and possibly give us an even better number...VR

[Mr. IWS]

Executive
400 Nebraska
300 New Mexico
250 Wyoming
250 S. Alabama

[Mr. IWS]

Sports bank
500* kansas state

[Mr. IWS]

Sebastian

Steam - Boise St

100 - Army

50 Bulls, Nuggets

50 Minnesota, Va Tech, Kansas State, Nebraska, N Iowa

100 St Marys

200 Providence

[Mr. IWS]

Special K Super 20* K-Bomb

Norther Iowa -4

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso FB
5 unit Army +

[Mr. IWS]

RON RAYMOND’S SATURDAY NIGHT NHL HOT PACK SPECIAL

Pick # 1 Boston Bruins (-130)




Pick # 2 New Jersey Devils (-135)





Pick # 3 Nashville Predators (-130)

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso

Chairmans = 10 units Colo St -4

Best Bets
5 units W Carolina +14
4 units N. Iowa -3
3 units E Ky +15

[Mr. IWS]

HELMUT SPORTS

Best Bet: Navy -14

@ Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pa. O/U 41 11:30 am PT

There’s been some real progress for Army in its first year under Rich Ellerson
with five wins for the first time since 1996. If they can upset Navy they would get
to play in the EagleBank Bowl. I am however not impressed as their five victories
came against VMI and four FBS teams that combined to win only six games.
They were also fortunate to beat North Texas, benefiting from five turnovers and
blocked a field goal. The Mean Green offense moved the ball into Army territory
on almost every drive but their inability to hold on to the ball did them in. We
aren’t going to see Navy make those kinds of mistakes as they were the league’s
best team in holding onto the ball with just 13 total turnovers. When the Black
Nights did play an opponent with a winning record non-competitive showings
were the norm as their failed to stay within two touchdowns of Rutgers, Temple
and Iowa State. The Midshipmen have been battle tested this season with several
difficult games and off a loss against Hawaii, they will certainly be ready for the
Black Knights and look to build some momentum heading into their bowl game.

[Mr. IWS]

ANDREW LANGE

Best Bet: Navy -14

@ Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pa. O/U 41 11:30 am PT

I have a hard time believing much has changed over the last couple years with both
the Army and Navy programs. Army looks to be moving in the right direction under
first-year head coach Rich Ellerson with a 5-6 record after three straight 3-9 seasons. But
with the same schedule as last year, the rushing numbers are slightly down and while
the defensive numbers are improved, it is hard to get past the fact that Army faced five
teams ranked 100th or worse in scoring average. Of the four games against teams that
are bowl eligible, the Black Knights lost by margins of 14, 17, 28 and 21. And not one of
those teams (Rutgers, Iowa State, Air Force, Temple) can be considered superior compared
to this year’s version of the Midshipmen. Keep in mind, Navy played Ohio State,
Pitt, Wake Forest and Notre Dame, winning two of those contests outright. Dating back
to 2005, Navy has posted records of 8-4, 9-4, 8-5, 8-5 and this year 8-4 meaning we are essentially
getting the same group that has absolutely owned the series winning by scores
of 42-13, 42-23, 26-14, 38-3 and 34-0. I typically don’t like laying double-digits in a rivalry
game but we are still a year or two away from this becoming a more competitive series.

[Mr. IWS]

Logical Approach

Opinion Only

Navy - 14 over Army (at Philadelphia, PA) - Navy has dominated this series, winning 9 of the last 10 including 7 in a row. Each of the 7 wins has been by at least a dozen points and 5 of the wins have been by at least 28 points, clearly showing the difference between these programs. At 5-6 Army is enjoying their best season in more than a decade and a win here gets them an invite to the Eagle Bank Bowl (a loss likely gives that bid to UCLA). There is a bond between the two coaches as first year Army boss Ellerson recruited Navy boss Niumatalolo to Hawaii as a player and the two have remained close over the years. But this is the Army/Navy rivalry and there's no reason to expect Navy to "take it easy" on the Cadets. Given the series history and the schedule both teams played this season (Navy defeated Air Force, Notre Dame and Wake Forest and was extremely close to winning at Ohio State in their opener) Navy deserves to again be a big favorite. Despite the improvement shown and strides made by Army this season, Navy should be able to put plenty of points on the board while defensively containing a limited Army offense that has scored under 20 points in 8 of 11 games. But this is just an opinion and not a recommended play. This writeup is provided simply because we have the space due to the end of the college regular season.

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club

20* BOISE STATE (early season college Game of the Year)

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Malinsky

4* Utah -1.5 (cbb)
4* Wis -5.5

[Mr. IWS]

BlacK WidoW / B i l L Y o u n G

5* W iseg uy C B B Ga me of the D ay on Pu rdu e -4(-110 at Bodog)

Purdue is one of the best teams in the country, opening the season 8-0 with 5 returning starters from last year. They should be a much heavier favorite Saturday as they take on the Alabama Crimson Tide, a team with 2 losses this season coming against Cornell and Florida State. The Boilermakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games. This team is anxious to hit the road again and improve to 9-0 on the season. Take Purdue and lay the points.



6* W ido w W isegu y N B A G AM E OF THE WE EKE ND on Chi cago Bu lls +10.5(-110 at betus)

The Bulls are finally back on track after their overtime win against the Warriors yesterday. This team is much better than they've shown over the last month, and with their struggles comes some very nice line value here against the Boston Celtics. Boston is a good team, but they are being overvalued here after winning 9 straight contests. The Bulls have won their last 2 home meetings with the Celtics, and after last year's 7-game playoff series with them, Chicago feels they can play with Boston. Boston is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Take the Bulls and the points.



4* on Suns/Nuggets UNDER 226(+100 at 5dimes)

The Suns have gone UNDER the total in 7 straight games, and the Suns are 11-2 UNDER in their last 13 games overall. Time and time again the odds makers set Phoenix Totals much higher than they really should be. Denver has finally bought in to playing defense, allowing a respectable 101.7 points/game this season. Both teams average just over 108 points/game, so really this total tonight is not justified as it has been set far too high once again. Phoenix is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games this season. Take the UNDER 226 points.
Can'tPickaWinner is offline Report Post Reply With Quote

[Mr. IWS]

northcoast
army top op

northcoast
appalachian st reg play

[Mr. IWS]

Demarco

Saturday's Play
10 Dime - Washington State

You have no idea how tempting it was to back Washington against Georgetown today, especially with the Huskies just one game removed from a double-overtime loss at Texas Tech and the Hoyas coming off a wire-to-wire rout of Butler. But, how many times have I said over the past 25 years that the marquee games are the toughest to win because their lines are always the sharpest? There's a reason that contest is priced right around 1 to 1 1/2 points and that's enough reason for me to stay away.

I used the same philosophy on Tuesday when the world was on Butler against Georgetown - and lost. Instead, I turned to the Lone Star State that night and produced a 5 dime winner on Texas Tech against TCU.

Same thing on Wednesday when I considered Connecticut versus Kentucky, but opted instead to travel to Tucson and back Arizona as a 5 dime play in a rout of Louisiana Tech.

Forget about my 5-0 NFL run that's produced 85 dimes profit the past two weeks; today it's all about taking the profit from this week's two college winners and putting it right back on the best game on today's board, another relatively obscure match-up between Washington State and Air Force in Spokane.

Remember when I said on Wednesday Louisiana Tech was overrated at 7-1 because of its weak schedule? That was one of the many reasons I went against the Bulldogs that night at Arizona and the Wildcats rolled in a rout. If Tech was overrated at 7-1, I don't know what adjective I can apply to Air Force's 5-2 record heading into today's game in Spokane against Washington State.

On the surface, 5-2 sounds impressive for the Service Academy school, but when those five wins come against the likes of Western State Colorado, Dickinson State, Charleston Southern, North Carolina Central and Prairie View - all at home no less - I can't get too excited. The Falcons' two losses? They got drilled at home by Northern Colorado, 70-46, and lost their only road game at Missouri State, 58-48. And here's something to chew on: in those two losses, they committed 17 and 16 turnovers, respectively. That's troubling when you consider Washington State forces on average 15.8 turnovers a game. And it's fair to say the Cougars are a bit better than Northern Colorado and Missouri State.

Air Force is a young team that regularly plays four freshman. And its starting center, Sammy Schafer, is expected to miss his fifth straight game today because of a concussion. But in keeping with the youth movement, the team hopes another freshman center - Taylor Broekhuis, who is a game-time decision after missing the last four games with a leg injury - might be able to help in the pivot.

What do I know about Washington State? They've got one of the best shooters in college - the nation's second-leading scorer - in 6-6 guard Klay Thompson, who is averaging 25.8 points on nearly 49% shooting from the field, including 44% from beyond the arc. He's also second on the team in rebounds (5.6 pg) and first in steals (2.1 pg). Perhaps you didn't know, but he also has the pedigree; his father is former Laker Mychal Thompson, who was the No. 1 overall draft pick in the NBA by Portland in 1978.

Washington State is not the methodical, low-scoring team that you've grown accustomed to over the years with the Bennett's - first Dick and then his son, Tony - in charge. First-year coach Ken Bone - who previously led Portland State to Big Dance appearances the past two years - allows his squad to run the floor a bit and it's reflected in the 80.2 points per game it averages.

The Cougars have lost two games this season. The first came at Gonzaga, 74-69, as a 10-point dog. Not surprisingly, three days later in Manhattan, Kansas, they played their worst game of the season, getting destroyed by K-State 86-69. Clearly they came out flat following the Gonzaga game and subsequently had no answer for the Wildcats' quickness and speed as they were buried by 20 early.

Quickness and speed; those are two factors Washington State won't have to worry about from Air Force today. For years the Falcons have relied on slowing down the pace of the game, using a strong half-court game, tough defense, and accurate three-point shooting to compete with more athletic foes. This year, they've shown a tendency to run a bit more, but this is still a team that went 0-16 in Mountain West Conference play a year ago and one that relies heavily on freshmen to contribute this season.

Air Force's toughest opponent this season has been Northern Colorado, and it was hammered in that game with its leading scorer, Grant Parker (18.2 ppg), held to just one point on 0-for-10 shooting from the field. This game might be on a "neutral" court in Spokane, but it's as much of a home game as one can possibly be for Washington State. And considering the Cougars, just one game removed from consecutive losses, took the foot off the pedal late in their last game against Idaho, I don't expect a repeat performance today. Although they easily covered as a 7-point home chalk in the 76-64 win versus Idaho, they allowed the Vandals to make a late charge that cut the deficit to seven in the closing minutes.

Today I expect a wire-to-wire effort this time with no slacking off near the end as the Cougars take advantage of a soft spot in their schedule and continue to prepare for their Pac-10 opener against Oregon in Pullman on New Year's Eve.

[Mr. IWS]

Marco D'Angelo | CBB Sides Sat, 12/12/09 - 8:00 PM Û‰
triple-dime bet 570 Nebraska -6.5 (-110) BetUS vs 569 Oregon St.
Analysis: PLAY: NEBRASKA
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY


Nebraska has won 5 of their last 6 with only loss coming to rival Creighton. We are getting good line valuÆ’e here as my numbers have Nebraska winning by 13-17 points. Early season Basketball is where you find the softest lines this is one of them. This Game will be a Massacre. TAKE NEBRASKA as MARCO'S 7* COLLEGE MASSACRE GAME.

Marco Rated this Play a 7* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service


BONUS PLAYS

PLAY: TOWSON ST
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

Live Dog here Towson cached George Washington off a barnburner with Providence in last game. UPSET SPECIAL. Take TOWSON ST

Marco Rated this Play a 5* on his Executive Late Phone Service


PLAY: GEORGETOWN
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

First true road test for Georgetown and I like them to get the job done. Washington really hasn't beaten anyone good and will have their hands full with Georgetown defense. Georgetown wins by 7-9 points. Take GEORGETOWN.

Marco Rated this Play a 4* on his Executive Late Phone Service

555 James Madison 6.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 556 E. Mich
Analysis:
PLAY: JAMES MADISON
RATING: SINGLE DIME PLAY

JAMES MADISON should keep this close as public is all over E. Michigan expecting them to bounce back following Ohio St ass beating they took. This goes to the wire grab the points. Take JAMES MADISON.

Marco Rated this PlayÆ’ a 3* on his Executive Late Phone Service

561 Kansas St. 2.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 562 UNLV
Analysis:
PLAY: KANSAS ST
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

KANSAS ST will be totally focused for this match up against UNLV. NoÆ’te this is not a true home game for UNLV as their regular home the Thomas & Mack Center is home to the Rodeo this week. Live Dog another Upset Call. Take KANSAS ST.

Marco Rated this Play a 4* on his Executive Late Phone Service

[Mr. IWS]

stan sharp triple dime play- san diego st

[Mr. IWS]

Pitbulls 20 unit GOY is on Washington +2

[Mr. IWS]

Pure Lock: Navy

[Mr. IWS]

john fina/winningway sports
5* GOY Canisius

[Mr. IWS]

Maximus late plays
BEST BETS:
Take the WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS +14 vs. Louisville Cardinals.
Location: Freedom Hall on the Campus of Louisville. Time: 4:00pm EST
EVALUATION: The Cardinals are 5-2 SU, and have been beating up on inferior competition, but when they have faced fairly descent teams they have struggled, and have even lost 2 games to UNLV in Las Vegas, and to Charlotte at home. The Catamounts on the other hand dropped their only ball game to #2 Texas back on the 18th of November, and have since won eight in a row. They have went on the road in 3 of those 8 games and have won those three road games by an avg. of 10 pts, and we like the way the play defense, we don’t think they will win this game, but we think they will keep it closer than 15. NOTE: THIS IS OUR TOP BEST BET OF THE DAY.
PROJECTION: LOUISVILLE 71 WESTERN CAROLINA 65

TAKE the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS -5.5 vs. UCLA Bruins. Location: Pauley Pavilion.
Time: 4:30pm EST
EVALUATION: We have been on the opposite side of the Bulldogs in their last two games, their early losses effected our evaluation of the Bulldogs, and we learned a lesson. In this game the Bulldogs come into the game with the 32nd ranked road scoring avg. and that with UCLA’s 64.5 home scoring avg. which ranks 295th in Div. 1 gives us good reason to believe the Bulldogs can cover the spread here. In four of their last 5 games, the Bulldogs have kept their opponents below 55 pts a game, and we just don’t see any reason why UCLA will keep this close.
PROJECTION: MISSISSIPPI ST. 72 UCLA 57

TAKE the UNLV RUNNIN REBELS -2 vs. Kansas St. Wildcats. Location: Orleans Arena – Las Vegas, NV Time: 7:00 EST
EVALUATION: This is going to be a pretty good matchup between two teams that are putting up some pretty good numbers so far. The 8-1 SU Wildcats have been enjoying the comforts of home with 8 of their 9 contests taking place in Manhattan, KS. The Wildcats loss came to the hands of a very good Mississippi team, and now traveling to Vegas to face UNLV we think this will be a problem for the Cats. UNLV comes in undefeated, and have beat some pretty good teams such as Louisville and Arizona in the past week, and they have been putting up over 82 points a game at home. This may not be a true home game in the Thomas & Mack Arena, but a 1 mile drive is not that far. Lon Krueger’s team is very good at not turning the ball over, and we feel that this is just one of the reasons that the Runnin Rebs will take this game.
PROJECTION: UNLV 78 KANSAS ST. 71

Take SACRAMENTO ST. HORNETS +16 vs. Pacific Tigers. Location: Spanos Center on the campus of the Tigers. Time: 10:00pm EST.
EVALUATION: Even though the Hornets are 4-6, they have only been getting beat by an average of 5.8 points a game. They are putting up only 61 pts a game average, and have been playing good defense to allow opponents only 67 pts avg. We don’t expect the Hornets to shoot as bad as they did in their last game where they shot a measly 23% from the field against USC. We expect them to have a better shooting day today, and to keep this game close with the Tigers who have only been beating opponents by 3.1 points a game.
PROJECTION: PACIFIC 65 SACRAMENTO ST. 59



SOLIDS:------------------------------------PROJECTION
LOYOLA-CHICAGO -5.5 vs. San Francisco _____________Loyola 75-61
LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT +20.5 vs. Notre Dame _________Notre Dame 78-69
MISSOURI ST. -3.5 vs. Arkansas St. __________________Missouri St. 75-66
OVER/UNDER:
UNDER 149 Florida Atl / UL Laffayette _________________ 125
OVER 145 New Mexico/Texas A&M ___________________155

MONEYLINE:
FLORIDA ATL +476 ____________________________Florida ATL 64-61
ALABAMA +193 _____________________________ Alabama 72-69

[Mr. IWS]

ASA's 3-Star play on: UNDER 206.5 Pacers @ Wizards - 6:00 pm CST (2 basketball picks on Saturday - next update Sunday at 10:30 am CST)
Tonight in the NBA we play UNDER in the Pacers at Wizards game. First of all, I'll apologize as this analysis will not be as in-depth as my usual write ups due to time constraints. Indiana is without their leading scorers and one of the best scorers in the NBA with Danny Granger sidelined for the next 4-6 weeks. A team like the Pacers will have a tough time making up for his 25 ppg average.

Indiana is coming off a win last night over the pathetic Nets at home 107-91 and that game helps us with our 'under' call tonight. The Pacers have REALLY struggled when playing the second night of a back-to-back concerning the total as they are 4-0 'under' this year in that situation while averaging just 180 ppg. Let me repeat that...180 points per game!

When Vegas has posted a total of 200 or more points on both of these teams the 'under' has responded with a solid 15-4 record. In their last five games the Pacers 'D' has held foes to just 42% shooting but their 'stroke' on offense hasn't been good as they're hitting just 42% of their shots.

Both teams are in the top 14 in the league in pace of play, meaning they like to get up and down the floor, but it doesn't translate to a lot of points as they are both 24th and lower in the NBA in offensive efficiency. Based on my math model this game stays below the number by 9 full points. Play UNDER!

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach’s


Players NBA 8* Saturday on OVER the total in Detroit on Dec 12th
Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 8* (Regular Play) OVER the total in Detroit vs Golden State @ 7:35 ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* up to 10*. The 6*, 7*, and 8* picks are the normal, daily play ratings. The 9* and 10* picks are the higher-rated plays and are Top Plays! A 10* Top Play is rare and, of course, is a level above a 9* Top Play!

The Pistons have been playing short-handed but you wouldn’t know that from looking at their recent results. Detroit has averaged 98.5 points per game during their four game win streak. In their nine games that preceded this winning streak (this included time when the Pistons were healthier) they only averaged 90.6 points per game. Now this resurgent offense will take advantage of a Golden State team that has allowed 111.8 points per game this season. Also, the Warriors defense isn’t likely to be at it’s best tonight after they had to go to overtime in Chicago last night – and they still lost to the Bulls. Note that the Warriors are 4-1 to the over in the second night of their last 5 back to backs. Golden State has a tendency to push the pace offensively when in a back to back – because that’s all the Warriors really do well – but their already porous defense has a tendency to suffer. Surprisingly, the Warriors have stayed under the total in three straight games (facing weaker offenses has impacted that) but note that Golden State is 14-6 to the over when they have stayed under the total in three or more consecutive games! As for the Pistons, they’ve shown a willingness this season to join the “run and gun� when they play a skilled offensive team. Against teams averaging 99 points or more per game, the Pistons have gone over the total to the tune of an 8-4 record this season. We’ll put this combined 22-10 ATS mark in favor of the over to work for us tonight. Play OVER the total in Detroit as an 8* Regular Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

ASA's 5* play on: Texas A&M (-1.5) ov New Mexico - Dec 12


ASA's 5-STAR PLAY ON #552 Texas A&M (-1.5) vs. New Mexico, Saturday at 5:00 PM CST (2 basketball picks on Sunday - next update on Sunday after 10:30 am CST)
The Lobos are undefeated on the year, however this is where it comes to an end. Don't get us wrong, we do like New Mexico as a team, but not in this spot.

The Lobos have played just three road games this year and all have been against fairly poor competition. The won at Hawaii, at New Mexico State and at San Diego. Not one of those teams is currently above the .500 mark. NM's most recent game was their 82-78 win @ San Diego on Wednesday of this week. Thus, they are traveling for the second time in just a few days as this one is being played in Houston. We were on the Lobos a week and a half ago when they played host to Cal. They won that game by 8 at home. However, winning at the Pit in Albuquerque vs. a good team is a whole different story than playing an 8-1 A&M team in Texas. The Pit is a very difficult venue in which very few visitors come away winners. However, other than their Cal win, this team has played a VERY tame schedule to date. Besides the Bears, they have played only two teams that currently have a winning record and BOTH of those were at home (UC Riverside and LouiSIAna Tech). This will be their toughest game to date by far.

As we mentioned, the Aggies are 8-1 on the season. However, unlike New Mexico, they have played a very tough schedule to get them prepared for this one. They have already played the likes of Minnesota, Clemson and West Virginia all on neutral courts. Their only loss was a 73-66 setback vs. a top notch West Virginia team. The Mountaineers have won their other five games by an average margin of 22.4 points per game giving you an idea of just how good they are. The Aggies are a veteran team led by three seniors (Donald Sloan, Bryan Davis and Derrick Roland) who have been ultra successful winning an average of 25 games per season the last three years. For their careers these three have already captured 87 wins.

These two have almost identical numbers on the season. Each shoot the ball at a 46% clip and allow right around 41%. The rebounding numbers are very close and neither team turns the ball over much. That gives the edge to A&M in our view as they have played the much tougher slate to date. Also, with this game being in Houston, the Aggies will have the following behind them. At this number, we side with Texas A&M.

Best of Luck, ASA.

[Mr. IWS]

sports unlimited

7* nebraska

5* towson st

4* kansas st

4* georgetown

3* james madison

[Mr. IWS]

Street Rosenthal 12.12

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends

*200 Indiana Pacers +8 (NBA)

*200 Dallas Mavericks -6 (NBA)
*200 Utah Jazz -1 (NBA)


Trey Scott of HandicappingTrends


*200 Purdue -5 (CBB)
*200 Gonazaga -13 (CBB)

NO FOOTBALL PLAYS TODAY

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

50-Dime - Kansas State
10-Dime - La Salle
10-Dime - Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#555 E. Mich OVER 130

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe's


NCAA Basketball Daily Picks


Premium Plays

Matchup: Kansas State at UNLV
Time: 7:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: UNLV (-1.5 -110)
Line Source: HILTON
Posted on: December 12, 2009 @ 5:45:56 PM EST

Both teams bring impressive resumes into this contest as Kansas State is off to an 8-1 start to the season while UNLV is unbeaten in 7 games. This game is at the much smaller Orleans Arena and could provide an edge to the hometown Rebels who have practiced on this court that covers the ice rink used by the minor league hockey franchise. UNLV has gotten balanced scoring and unselfish play in the early going with several scoring options always on the court. UNLV's depth should be the deciding factor in this competitively priced contest and given the fine outstanding play by the hosts and the well established coaching prowess of Lon Kruger, the home team should prevail by from 5 to 8 points.

Matchup: Siena at Northern Iowa
Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat)
Play: Northern Iowa (-3 -110)
Line Source: ATLANTIS
Posted on: December 12, 2009 @ 5:54:36 PM EST

Both teams are "Go WIth" teams this season and although Siena may have the more visible profile nationally, Northern Iowa is every bit as established a basketball program. At 6-1 they are off to a fine start to the season with wins over instate rivals Iowa and Iowa State plus wins over DePaul from the Big East and Boston College from the ACC. Siena has started 6-3 but all 3 losses were when they stepped up in class and faced less than elite teams Temple, Georgia Tech and St Johns. They do not have a noteable win to date this season. As such the edge goes to the more proben host who has long demonstrated a solid home court and an ability to step up in class against major conference competition. While Siena is a mid major (Metro Atlantic Conference) its reputation should have Northern Iowa focused and they will not take Siena lightly. As such I look for Northern Iowa to win by from 7 to 10 points.

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

#553 Troy/Marshall OVER 147

[Mr. IWS]

Stryker 4* PLay

College Hoops

San Diego St

[Mr. IWS]

Tim Trushel
over portland/20*