12-20-09

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

[Mr. IWS]

Ben Burns NFL Total of the Year
Over in the Kansas City/Cleveland game

[kreekor]

Root:
vegas legaens .middle tenn st

THERE'S NOT ANY LIMITS PLACED ON THIS GAME FOR BETS
Football NFL
Game Date/Time: December 20, 2009, 1:05 pm(PST) Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ San Diego Chargers

Take: Cincinnati Bengals

CINCINNATI VS SAN DIEGO: Music was playing in the Bengals’ locker room as players packed up to leave for California. The team also held a 90-minute afternoon practice. With a win over the 10-3 Chargers, the Bengals (9-4) will clinch the AFC North title and grab the inside track for the second seed in the conference playoffs. One of the team captains, said it was good for the team to be together to deal with Henry’s death. The team held its holiday gathering as scheduled on Thursday. “We had enough motivation already and now it’s added with the guys trying to live up to his legacy,” Whitworth said. “Things go on. “Coaches and players included. We’re going to ball that fist up and try to deliver a good, solid punch to whoever. If we were here or on the road it doesn’t matter. We’re going to be that unit.” This should be a very emotional game for the Bengals. Defensively, the Bengals are set as are the entire team. The Bengals are within reach of just their second playoff spot in the last 19 years. The Bengals swept their division games, winning twice against Baltimore and Pittsburgh, who in turn beat the Chargers. The Bengals planned to travel on Friday, something they didn’t do before going to Oakland and losing last month.Palmer said arriving a day early will be “a huge advantage. The Bengals (9-3) can clinch the AFC North title with a win or a Ravens loss, as well as keep themselves in the running for the No. 2 seed. Players will put a commemorative No. 15 sticker on their helmets and coaches will wear commemorative pins during the game. Theyb will be ready for this contest...a close contest at that!! WAR has this rated a No Limit play!


THE BILLIONAIRES CLUB GUYS ALWAYS GET AN EASY GAME
Football NFL
Game Date/Time: December 20, 2009, 1:15 pm(PST) Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Take: Pittsburgh Steelers

GREEN BAY VS PITTSBURGH: If someone would have told me Pittsburgh dropped five straight and Green Bay had won 5 straight I would have made GB the favorite. Throw in Big Ben's concussion... the Steelers, without star safety Troy Polamalu and a Steelers team riddled with injuries, I would have made a play for GB. But not so fast....Years ago, I developed a theory and called it " DON'T MAKE SENSE" and applied it to handicapping the NFL and the Las Vegas Sportsbooks/Oddsmakers. There was NO way the sportsbooks were offering FREE MONEY. So when I would see something like an easy line or the perceived wrong favored team...I would take notice. Why is Pittsburgh favored. It "don't make sense"! Throw in the internal problems of the Steelers, injuries and the past 5 weeks of results, it "don't make sense". There's no free money in Vegas....play the Steelers as a Billionaires play!


THIS IS A MILLINAIRES CLUB AND WAR HAS THIS ONE LIKE IT SHOULD BE---A WINNER!
Football NFL
Game Date/Time: December 20, 2009, 5:20 pm(PST) Matchup: Minnesota Vikings @ Carolina Panthers

Take: Carolina Panthers

MINNESOTA VS. CAROLINA: WAR thinks Pittsburgh should beat Green Bay. With that in mind consider this: With Favre sitting at 27 touchdown passes and just six interceptions, the Vikings are one victory away from the NFC North crown. They could have it wrapped up before they hit the field Sunday night if Green Bay loses to Pittsburgh. And then the old man sits most of the game out. A scenario built into a week 15 NFL schedule so bet this game early in the day. Matt Moore will make his third consecutive start at quarterback for Carolina. Favre's last ugly performance was in a blowout loss to Arizona on the road. Last year, he had trouble at the end of the season as the wear and tear takes a tow. WAR has this rated Millionaires Club and is playing Carolina.

[Mr. IWS]

Brandon Lang



40 DIME - SAN DIEGO CHARGERS - (if 7 1/2 you buy the 1/2, and lay 7. Never get beat by the hook) - It just won't be there today for the Bengals.

If you struggle offensively at Minnesota, and only throw for 97 yards against the 16th rated pass defense of the Vikings, what are you going to do against the 10th pass defense in the Chargers? A defense that is getting better week-in and week- out.

Fact of the matter is the Bengals offense hasn't really been all that dynamic all year and when you start throwing for less than a 100 yards in week 14, I just can't trust you back to back on the road against anybody anywhere.

It was a very physical game at Minnesota, and they were completely shut down and now they face an even hotter team in the Chargers winners of 11 in a row in December under Norv Turner and if that isn't enough for you, get a load of this:

Philip Rivers is 18-0 SU, and 15-3 ATS when facing a team off a loss at home, which of course is the case with the Bengals last week at Minnesota.

My gut feeling right now is you can pencil in the AFC Championship game right now in Indy between the Chargers and the Colts because you are going to see just how outclassed this Bengals team is against what I feel is the 2nd best team in the AFC and right now the 3rd best team in the NFL.

And folks, you can't discount the Chris Henry factor on the hearts and minds of these Bengals players and if they were at home it might be a different story but on the road in this situation, I will gladly lay the number in what I truly feel will be a double digit home win for San Diego.

The Chargers are the play.




20 DIME - GREEN BAY PACKERS "Unleash hell" in December.

Famous words of Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin days before his team took the field at home against the Raiders, this after his team lost to the Chiefs in Kansas City the week before.

"Unleash hell" was a 27-24 home loss to Oakland as a 13 1/2 point home favorite.

Ok Mike, we will give you a mulligan and let you go to Cleveland and face a Browns team you had beaten 13 in a row and another chance for you to "unleash hell."

You then proceed to lose 13-6 in one of the most embarrasing, lethargic efforts I personally have ever seen since I've been a handicapper.

Let's be honest here, this team should have never won the Super Bowl and they should never have been put up on that holy pedestal they were put on because then this fall they were on wouldn't have been as shocking.

Fact of the matter is this is an average football team playing average football, and once you really accept them for who they are, then losses like at Kansas City, home to Oakland and at Cleveland won't seem so shocking.

Green Bay on the other hand is playing solid football and from an X's and O's standpoint, they propose some serious matchup problems against this very beatable Steelers defense.

The bottom line for me is the fact when the Steelers returned home to face the Raiders and QB Brad Gradkowski, they were playing for their season and they failed. Then they went on the road with their season even more on the line facing Brady Quinn and they failed.

Now against the best team they have faced in weeks and a hot QB in Aaron Rodgers, I just don't see them having the will power nor emotion to step up with 60 minutes of football if they weren't able to do it the last 3 weeks against 3 of the worst teams in football.

I am going to war with the Packers all day long.




10 DIME - CLEVELAND BROWNS - The bottom line is the Kansas City Chiefs shouldn't be favored over anybody in the NFL. Simple as that.

They were a home favorite once this year and that was at home to the Raiders and they lost outright 13-10.

This Cleveland team is playing perhaps their best ball of the year right now and with the extra time off since beating the hell out of the Steelers 13-6, a game they sacked Big Ben 8 times, it is going to be a long day for Matt Cassel.

If Cassel plays well enough against this improving Browns defense to get the win, so be it, I will take my loss and move on but for my dollar I say no way.

Since their super bowl type win at home over the Steelers 3 weeks ago, they have proceeded to get destroyed by the Chargers 43-14 and back-to-back games at home by Denver 44-13, and the Bills 16-10.

Head coach Todd Haley now realizes Matt Cassel isn't the answer, but then again as bad as this team is they have no answers and I will take the Browns in this spot who have at least shown some consistent play the last few weeks.

Cleveland has covered 4 in a row, and 7 of their last 10, and I really like what I am seeing from Brady Quinn at QB, and the wildcat with Joshua Cribbs.

I will go to war with the small dog here and call for the Browns to get their 2nd straight win here

Cleveland is the play.

FREE SELECTION - ARIZONA CARDINALS

[Mr. IWS]

Root
Perfect play-----cleveland browns

[Mr. IWS]

BEN BURNS
10* NFL Total of the Year Kansas City/Cleveland Over
10* Main Event! PANTHERS
9* STEELERS
8* BENGALS
8* LIONS
BIG TOTAL ALERT~New Orleans Bowl BLUE CHIP! SOUTHERN MISS UNDER

[Mr. IWS]

SCOTT SPREITZER



25* Slam Dunk on Cornell, minus the points over Davidson.


30* Main Event in the NFL is a play on the Steelers, minus the points

[Mr. IWS]

SCOTT SPREITZER

Here's Sunday's full report. Please note I have no NBA plays and one from CBB, a 25* Slam Dunk on Cornell, minus the points over Davidson. My 30* Main Event in the NFL is a play on the Steelers, minus the points. I have three new football plays below the previously released Blue Chip GOY.

I'm laying the points with the Cardinals on Sunday. Last week, I released Baltimore on these pages and explained just how perfect of a matchup the Lions created for the Ravens. Final score: 48-3. I believe we have another blowout matchup on our hands again this week, and Detroit fits the bill again. The Lions are back at home, but will attempt to slow a fired-up Arizona attack with the league's worst defense. Detroit is 25th in the league against the run and 32nd against the pass. They now must face an Arizona offense that's obviously loaded at wide receiver, has an improving ground game, and of course, the pinpoint accuracy of Kurt Warner. The Lion defense has been getting torched by some of the lesser arms in the league. With little to no pass rush, Warner ought to have a career day...and that's saying something. Detroit DC Gunther Cunningham has gone on record recently complaining about his team's lack of focus in practice. He even went as far as saying the team was so bad last Thursday and Friday that he made them do on Saturday what they were supposed to have done the day before. The players weren't too pleased. Center Dominic Raiola has stated, "It's coming. This locker room is probably going to turn over again." The team has tossed in the towel, and Cunningham's public criticism of his players earlier this week is not going to help. On top of it all, the Lions are a walking M.A.S.H.-unit right now, including the young stars who were supposed to turn this franchise around. The banged-up defense has allowed 33.5 ppg in their last six outings, giving up an average of 436.5 yards per game on 6.33 yards per play. They're allowing over 140 yards rushing per game. The pass defense has been simply ugly over the last half-dozen games, allowing and average of 302 yards passing per game on 8.7 passing yards per attempt, and a 68% completion rate. Simply ugly. Meanwhile, take away one good game against equally poor Cleveland, and the offense has averaged 9.7 ppg in seven of their last eight games. Culpepper and Stafford have thrown 15 INTs in the last six games with just 9 TDs, five of those scores came against the Browns. Arizona owns an aggressive defense that brings a lot of heat, and the team will be ready to make last week's embarrassing loss a distant memory in a hurry. The Cardinals are two wins away from another NFC West title. They'll be one game away when this game goes final. Arizona is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall, including 6-2 ATS away from home. The Lions check-in with a 3-12 ATS mark in their last 15 at home. They are also 0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS against teams with a winning record this season, getting outscored by an average of 33-13. I'm laying the points with Arizona, my Blue Chip Blowout Game of the Year.

I'm laying the points with the Chiefs on Sunday. Big win for the Browns over Pittsburgh last week. Big enough that the "front brass" is still interviewing Mike Holmgren to take the reigns. And after the major upset, I expect Cleveland to return to normal this week. Normal means we'll see their NFL-worst, 32nd-ranked offense at work. It's an offense that picked up its first rushing TD from a RB of the season in last week's contest. Normal also means the Browns will bring the league's 4th worst run defense. And that's "just what the doctor ordered" for Kansas City, who badly needs a win. The Chiefs ran the ball well last weekend. Jamaal Charles rushed for over 140-yards. And with Charles facing a bad run defense, the ground game should begin to open things up for the KC passing game, which by the way, gets their top receiver back on the field for the first time in a month. Dwayne Bowe returns after serving a four-game suspension for drug use. Between Bowe and Charles, Cleveland should be in a world of hurt. The Browns' defense has absolutely no team speed by NFL standards. One player (besides Matt Cassel) who'll benefit greatly from Bowe's return is underrated WR Chris Chambers. He will no longer draw doubles with Bowe on the field at the same time. It's a tough matchup for a Cleveland team that's off their biggest win in quite a while. The Browns are averaging just 11 ppg and 225 total yards per game away from home. Take away a 37-point outburst in their loss at Detroit and that average drops to a ridiculously low, 7 ppg. This is the home finale for the Chiefs, and with road games at Denver and Cincinnati, I expect Todd Haley's troops to focus on the task at hand and beat the softest team they will have faced all season. I'm laying the points with Kansas City, my AFC Wipeout Game of the Month.

I'm taking the points with the Panthers on Sunday night. With no postseason on the horizon, this game and their home finale in two weeks against the Saints become big games for the Panthers. And it's a team that has played well at home, for the most part. Carolina is 3-2 SU in their last five at this venue. The Panther defense has allowed just 313.6 total yards per game in those five outings, which would be good enough for the 10th best defense in the league if those were their season-long stats. They have held their "guests" to 56% passing, and have seven interceptions while allowing just four touchdown passes. A few teams have been able to run a bit on the Panthers, and the Vikings have Adrian Peterson in the backfield. But rushing teams are overrated in the NFL. In fact, six of the top seven passing teams in the league are in playoff position at the start of this week's action. The top four rushing teams are all on the outside looking in. The Vikings have not been all that impressive away from home as of late. They won their first three road games, but those were against Cleveland, Detroit, and St. Louis, teams with a combined record of 5-34 SU. Minnesota has lost two of their last three away from home. They have allowed 27, 26, and 30 points in their last three outside of the Metrodome for an average of 27.7 ppg. The defense allowed almost five yards per carry in those games, and the pass defense has shown plenty of chinks in the armour, allowing a 63% completion rate (63 of 100) for 7.5 pypa. In fact, Minny has allowed 7 passing touchdowns and they have no interceptions in their last three road games. The offense has put up middle of the road yardage numbers in those contests. And Brett Favre finshed the Steeler and Arizona games with a 2 to 3, TD to INT ratio, while getting sacked seven times. We have seen two "lesser" teams put up huge fights over "elite" teams the last three nights. Dallas beat New Orleans outright and Jacksonville covered what would have been the number against Indy, if not for the questionable playing time of the Colts' starters keeping the number low. I expect another strong underdog performance in this one. Minnesota has had some rough Decembers. But you can't rely on those numbers, because those teams didn't have anyone like Brett Favre under center. What you can "bring to the fight" are Carolina's December numbers. The staff and a lot of the personnel have been the same in recent years, and Carolina has gone on an 8-1 ATS December run, including 2-0 ATS so far this season. The Panthers are also 4-0 ATS against winning teams and they're on a 5-0 ATS run against the NFC, for a 9-0 combined situation. I believe this one goes right to the wire as far as the outright winner is concerned, making those generous points well worth taking. I'm taking the points with the Panthers on Sunday night.

I'm laying the points with Southern Miss in Sunday's New Orleans Bowl. These two teams were far apart this season in the way they dealt with other bowl participants. MTSU lost both of their chances and were no match for Clemson and Troy, losing 37-14 and 31-7, respectively. The overall statistics in those two games were just as bad as the final scores would indicate. Southern Miss split SU and ATS against four bowl participants and the average scores and yardage per game were virtually even. While the Golden Eagles have put up the strong numbers, it's their matchup advantages in the trenches and at the skill positions that puts us on their side. Southern Miss QB Martevious Young was tremendous after recovering from a foot injury. He can pull it down and run for daylight and plays behind an outstanding offensive line. Young finished with a 13 to 1, TD to INT ratio over the second half of the season, and his favorite deep receiver, DeAndre Brown, goes unmatched in this one. The key for MTSU in many of their games has been the pass rush generated by their front seven. The secondary is not too special. But as mentioned, USM owns a strong run and pass-blocking offensive line and a QB with quick escapability, negating the Blue Raiders' defensive strength. USM also gets good mileage on the ground from RB Damion Fletcher, who's just over 60 yards away from reaching 1,000 yards for the fourth straight season. Fletcher wasn't always at his best earlier this season, thanks to a groin injury. He's said to be 100% healthy for this one. Defensively, the Eagles down-linemen should have little trouble with MTSU's offensive line. The Blue Raiders have to run the football to win games. In their step-up games against Clemson and Troy, the ground game was held to 92 and 109 yards rushing. Their third loss came against Mississippi State, 27-6. The Bulldogs held the Raiders to 42 yards on the ground. In those three games, MTSU was forced into a one-dimensional attack. And passing without being set-up by the ground game is not their forte. The Blue Raiders connected on just 50.4% of their passes, with a 5.18 pypa, just two touchdowns, seven interceptions, and six sacks. I believe they're in for their fourth rough outing of the season. Southern Miss enjoys the Sun Belt Conference, having covered seven of their last nine opportunities. They have covered four in a row as a favorite, and they're making their eighth straight bowl appearance, including their second in a row to the New Orleans Bowl. The Golden Eagles own the edge in just about every category on the field and in experience. I expect a fully focused effort and a double-digit win. I'm laying the points with Southern Miss, my first Knockout of the bowl season. Thanks! GL! Scott.

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 25* NFC Game of the Year (67% s/Week 4)
My 25* NFC Game of the Year is on the Sea Seahawks at 4:15 ET. The Seahawks were down 24-0 before they got their initial first down last week at Houston and were outgained 311-25 until their last drive before halftime. As for the Bucs, they were held to 15 yards of offense in the first half at the Jets before finishing with 124 for the game. The Bucs didn't manage a first down until the middle of the third quarter and that came on a penalty in the team's 26-3 loss. Why get involved in a game like this? Because the Bucs are a perpetual nightmare, while the Seahawks have shown an ability to play very well at home, especially against competition of this level. Tampa Bay was 9-3 last year before losing its final four games (1-3 ATS). The Bucs are 1-12 (4-9 ATS) in 2009, leaving them with just one win on their last 17 games (5-12 ATS). Rookie QB Josh Freeman led the Bucs to that lone win in his first NFL start, as he threw for three TD passes in a 38-28 home win against the Packers. However, he's got just four INTs and 12 INTs in his five starts since (all losses), with zero TDs and eight INTs in his last two (was 14-of-33 for 93 yards with three INTs and a 12.1 QB rating LW vs the Jets). Tampa has scored seven points or less in THREE of its last four games and the defense is allowing 27.4 PPG on the year (only the Lions and Rams have allowed more). The Bucs will take an eight-game road losing streak into Seattle, where the Seahawks can still be a formidable opponent. Hasselbeck didn't play in Seattle's Week 3 home loss to the Bears and except for one poor home game vs the Cards (10-of-29 for 112 yards with no TDs and one INT), the veteran has been excellent. He's completed 65.0 percent with a 10-4 ratio (92.3 QB rating) in his five home starts and in wins over the Rams (28-0), Jags (41-0), Lions (32-20) and 49ers (20-17), Hasselbeck has completed 70.9 percent for an average of 261.8 YPG with 10 TDs and just three INTs. I've had "big plays" on the Seahawks in THREE of those four games and will 'ride' them again here as my No. 1 play of the NFL Weekend. NFC Game of the Year 25* Sea Seahawks.

[Mr. IWS]

Larry Ness' 20* Club-80 Play-NFL (83.3% s/2003)
My 20* Club-80 Play is on the Bal Ravens at 4:15 ET. The 7-6 Ravens are in the wild-card mix with the Broncos, Dolphins, Jags and Jets. However, after opening 3-0, the Ravens have yet to win back-to-back games and in fact have alternated wins and losses in their last seven contests. The Ravens are off a 48-3 win over the Lions last week and get the Bears this week. They then finish at Pittsbugh (Steelers have lost five straight) and Oakland (Raiders are 4-9). Clearly, the Ravens have a legitimate chance at finishing 10-6. That may not be enough but first things first. The Bears opened the 2009 season with a 21-15 loss at Green Bay (Cutler threw four INTs) but then won three straight games (Cutler had 7 TDs and 1 INT). Not much has gone right since. The Bears are 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS over their last nine games, as Cutler has turned in an awful season. It's hardly just his fault, as RB Forte has not been nearly as good as his rookie season and the OL has played poorly as well. The Bears come into this game ranked last in the NFL in rushing (85.8 YPG / 3.9 YPC) and the team's best (only?) WR Hester is listed as doubtful. Hester had 52 catches through his first 10 games (on pace for just over 80) but caught just one pass in two straight games and now looks to miss his second straight contest. The Chicago D lost Urlacher before the year began and has never become much of a factor all year. Baltimore has been defined by its defense this decade but this year's unit has allowed about 45 more YPG than last year's, although the Ravens are allowing just 16.8 PPG (third-best in the NFL). Suggs (the team's best rusher) returned last week and safety Reed could play this week. Either way, the unit should have little trouble with Chicago's stumbling offense. Cutler has just eight TDs and 17 INTs (63.8 QB rating), as the Bears have gone 1-5 SU and ATS on the road so far. The Baltimore offense has seen Ray Rice become one of the NFL's better backs this season. Rice rushed for a career-high 166 yards last week and has 1,041 yards (5.4) on the season along with 68 catches. Flacco has been in a funk after a string start but came around some last week (13-of-20 for 230 yards) as the Ravens set team records for rushing TDs (five) and total yards (548) against the Lions. The Ravens have dominated the poorer teams in the league for the last couple of years and the Bears surely fall into that category. What's more, going back to the beginning of the 2003 season, the Ravens are 12-1 SU and 10-2-1 (83.3%) when hosting NFC teams. Club-80 Play 20* Bal Ravens.

[Mr. IWS]

dr bob..

2* carolina