1-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Tennessee at Seattle (Sunday 1/03 4:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: Seattle +4.5 (-110)

The Tennessee Titans were a miserable football team through the first six weeks of the season, starting 0-6. They left themselves with no margin for error. To their credit, they didn't cash in their chips, but ran off five straight wins and seven of eight. They nonetheless paid the price for the horrible start. So what is left for this team? They have had to bring it every single week for nine straight weeks, and the playoff dream came to a screeching halt in a 42-17 debacle against San Diego. That game exposed the truth about the Titans - they really are a sub. 500 team. They are just 2-5 on the road this season, scoring 16 points per game and losing by 5 points on average! Meanwhile, Seattle is a winning team at home, allowing just 16.1 points per game. Which team should really be favored? You could sense the quit in this Titans team as San Diego pulled away last week, and I would expect this team will have absolutely nothing left here. The Seahawks have been murdered the last three weeks, dropping three straight to a combined score of 126-24, so how can they win here? I think there is enough pride to give it all they have in the home finale to build on a good feeling for next year. Under Jeff Fisher, Tennesse is 25-37 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 4-12 ATS on the road after back-to-back ATS losses. I think this one is more about the Titans losing their edge that they had to maintain for nine straight games. I wouldn't be surprised to see a team completely unfocused here. I like the Seahawks at home with the points.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

OAKLAND +10½ over Baltimore

In one of the few meaningful games this final Sunday the Ravens need a win and they’re in. That scenario has definitely created an inflated line because most bettors love to wager on teams that are in a “must-win” situation. Having said that, there has been a lot of ruined bankrolls that have played that angle and it would not surprise one bit to see the Raiders win this one outright. No way you say? Well, let’s see. Four of Oakland's five wins this year have come versus teams either in the playoffs or still alive in the hunt. That includes a pair of division leaders in Philadelphia and Cincinnati, as well as the Steelers and Broncos. The Ravens are 2-5 on the road and the Raiders would love nothing more than to knock out a team. Besides, we’re not asking the Raiders to win. They’ll get 10½ big points at home against a team that is simply not that great. One of its road wins came at Cleveland and its other road win came in San Diego in the second game of the season. The Raiders have a chance to post its best win total in years, they also have a shot to knock someone out and most importantly, you’ll have to pay a serious premium to bet against them. Play: Oakland +10½ (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).


Cincinnati +10 over N.Y. JETS

This game has been rescheduled for Sunday night and while the Jets control its own destiny, a Bengals win would give them the No. 3 seed should Houston defeat New England in a 1 p.m. game. Being a #3 seed as oppose to a #4 seed could mean an extra home game for the Bengals and expecting them to lay down here is not a good idea. In fact, it’s very likely that if the Jets win here they’ll go into Cincinnati next week for a playoff game. Bengals coach Marvin Lewis says he’s playing to win Sunday and why wouldn’t he? The Bengals can move up in the seedings and they also come in with a defense that is one of the best in the business. Furthermore, that defense will most definitely be playing with a chip on its shoulder, as none of the players were chosen to play in this year’s Pro Bowl. The Jets favored by 10 here is pretty ridiculous when you consider that Houston is a 9-point favorite over the Pats and should win. Even if the Texans lose and the Bengals are playing for nothing, we can always come back with a bet on the Jets later in the day to offset this. However, based on Houston winning and with this game now featured in prime time, it’s highly, highly unlikely that the Bengals roll over. The Jets are a brutal favorite and cannot be trusted laying any points, let alone 10 to a quality team. Play: Cincinnati +10 (Risking 3.24 units to win 2).


SAN DIEGO –4 over Washington

Norv Turner insists he’ll play win, which means playing the starters but even if he chooses to rest them, it should not matter. You see, the Redskins are done. They finished the season last week against the G-Men and after consecutive weeks on prime time TV, this one offers up no motivation for them whatsoever. They were beaten in both by a combined score of 62-12 and both those games were in DC. Now they’re asked to travel cross-country for its final game of the year and again, where the motivation is going to come from is a complete mystery. They had no interest against the G-Man and not much more against the Cowboys, arguably its two biggest rivals. The Chargers at its worst should roll over this uninterested visitor and carry momentum into the playoffs. Besides, even if the Chargers starters are limited the back-ups will be highly motivated to show what they can do should a couple of injuries occur in the playoffs. Play: San Diego –4 +1.03 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

BDOUGSPORTS
Sunday January 3, 2010

*Monster Play*
Patriots +7 @ Texans
The Patriots achilles heel all year has been the road. They won their last road game at Buffalo, lost the previous one at Miami by one. They've clinched the AFC East and will be either the 3 or 4 seed in the playoffs. There may not be much motivation from a seeding standpoint, since they'll be guaranteed at least one home playoff game, with the possibility of two if they get the 3 seed. They will be looking to build on their win last week against Jacksonville where it looked like they finally put four quarters of football together. Brady will play, and it looks like he'll play at least 2 if not 3 quarters. They've also been notoriously fast starters this year so look for them to jump out to a lead in the first half. The Texans meanwhile are colossal choke artists and do not play well as favorites. The Texans also need about 8 things to happen for them to make the playoffs.

Chiefs +11 @ Broncos
Divisional battles are typically hard fought games and this one shouldn't be any different. By the Broncos doing the Chiefs the favor of benching Brandon Marshall and Tony Scheffler, we do not see this one being a blowout AT ALL. Quite the contrary. The Chiefs should keep this one close because they are familiar with the Broncos and get a chance to play spoiler against their most hated rival. The last 3 times Kansas City has been double digit dogs, they're 2-1 ATS with a straight up win against the Steelers. They've thrived in this role recently and will be focused for this one.

Raiders +10.5 vs. Ravens
You can argue the Ravens have everything to play for and the Raiders have nothing, and you would be mostly correct. However, this is still a big game for the Raiders who look to improve off last season by 1 game. They won their last two games of the season last year so there should be no quit in them. If the Ravens win, their “in”. However, we have seen some East Coast teams struggle mightily in Oakland, see Philly and Cincy. This is definately not a “gimme” game. Coach Tom Cable is also playing for his job. He recently spoke badly about Jamarcus and stated they would be a playoff team had they made the QB change earlier. That likely pissed Al Davis off so he better win here or he’s out. If Ray Rice gets going early this could be ugly, but grabbing 10+ points with the home team seems like the right side.

Niners/Rams UNDER 41
Another divisional battle on the last day of the regular season with neither team really having anything to play for. The Rams are looking to lock up the #1 overall draft pick in April and probably won't put up too much fight in this one. The Niners will likely be playing to just finish out the season and they have not shown to have an explosive offense by scoring 18.3 ppg over the last seven. The Rams are awful on offense averaging 11 ppg on the year. Without much to play for on either side, we see this one being a boring game from the opening kick.

Titans -5.5 @ Seahawks
Usually east coast teams flying west to play are not profitable. This however seems like a good spot. Tennessee still has something to play for and hope to finish at .500 after starting the year 0-6. Vince Young looks like he's the QB for good in Tennessee and Chris Johnson is just 128 yards shy of 2,000 and still has an outside shot at Eric Dickerson's single season record of 2,105 (he'll need 234 to break the record). Seattle cannot stop the run and they've been AWFUL the last three weeks, losing by a combined 106-24. Matt EASbeck has been a turnover machine the last two weeks with 8 picks and he'll struggle against a Tennessee defense that has 19 picks on the year (tied for 8th in the league).

Eagles +3 @ Cowboys
This is certainly the game of the week where the winner will claim the NFC East and possibly a first round bye (guaranteed 1st round bye if Philly wins). The Cowgirls went to Philly and stole a win, so we think Philly returns the favor here and wins outright. Both of these teams defenses have played great, particularly Dallas. That scares us, but not as much as skinny Desean Jackson will scare the Cowboys secondary. If the Philly O-Line can give Campbells Chunky Soup man some time we’ll see some big plays from the Eagles. Tony Romo did not f things up in December, but there’s plenty of time for that in January!

Bears -3 @ Lions
Meaningless game here, but we think it means more to the Bears (particularly Jay Cutler) than it does the Cowardly Lions. Jay Cutler has been god awful all year long but came through last week with some heroics in overtime. Hopefully that will give the little emo bitch some confidence and he’ll “bring it” here. The Lions will be without Matt Stafford again and should suck it up just a tad more than the Bears.

Dec 6-18-1
Nov 15-16-1
Oct 13-10-1
Sept 11-4

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

Nfl
Patriots
Bengals
Chiefs
Chargers

cfb
Tcu under 20* Big Ticket
Troy 20* Big Ticket

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks @ tiredoflosing


NFL
1:00 Indy Colts +8 Pts
1:00 Jacksonville Jaguars +1 Pts
1:00 Atlanta Falcons -1.5 Pts
4:15 Philadelphia Eagles +3 Pts

8:20 New York Jets -9.5 Pts
Under

NBA
9:30 Dallas Mavs +6.5 Pts

[Mr. IWS]

St. Bernadine Sports...
Andrew Bucciarelli
39-17 RUN !!! (+29.00*)



2* Ottawa Senators (-103) over Philadelphia flyers
The teams are meeting for the third time this season, but the first
time at Scotiabank Place. The series is at 1-1 and the Ottawa
Senators will be looking to end a winning road streak for the Flyers.
The Senators have won the last two out of three games and will look
to continue this at home. The Flyers have lost six of their last seven
games at Scotiabank Place, while the Senators are 10-3-0 in their
last 13 games at home. Ottawa is also 3-1-0 in the four games since
Alredsson joined Spezza on the injured list. Look for a great
showing as Ottawa wins this classic thriller.

2*Chicago Blackhawks (NO Line up) over Anaheim Ducks
Chicago is coming off a domination 6-3 win over the Blues as the
Ducks are coming off a tough loss to Nashville last night. Chicago is
thriving on all cylinders and will look to continue this domination
tonight against low caliber Ducks team who can’t find their footing
this season. Look for Kane to continue his success more and Huet
to keep the puck out of the net again. Chicago’s offense will be too
much to take for the Anaheim Ducks and will certainly fall quick.

1*Montreal Canadiens (+103)over Buffalo Sabres
This is the fourth meeting between these two rivals. Buffalo is a
commanding 2-0-1 against the Canadiens. The Canadiens though
have won the past two coming into 2010 as this game tonight will
mark Montreal’s first game on home ice since December 17. Buffalo
has been outshot 62-20 in the first period of its last five games
which has also caused their usual slumps in the first period by going
down. This Montreal team will be given a great opportunity at
home to take them out early.

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE
100% Perfect Upset Special Miami Dolphins ( Says they should win straight up but take the points as a bonus.)
Never Lost MVP Play Philadelphia Eagles
Sun Night Super System Play Cincinnati Bengals ( Says line is inflated because the Jets need the game. Bengals stay within the number.)

[Mr. IWS]

B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G

6* NFC South G AM E OF THE Y EA R on Atlanta Falcons -1(-116 at 5dimes)

The Falcons have not had back-to-back winning seasons in the franchise's 44-year history. Coming off an 11-5 campaign last year, they sit at 8-7 this season. Even though they are eliminated from the playoffs, this team has proven that they want to become the first Falcons' team to accomplish back-to-back winning seasons. That has been evident the last two weeks, as they went on the road to beat the New York Jets 10-7 and crushed Buffalo at home last week by a final of 31-3. With Matt Ryan back in the lineup, this Falcons' offense is hitting on all cylinders. Their defense has allowed just 10 points combined and less than 500 yards of total offense in their last 2 games while forcing 6 turnovers. Offensively, they are playing sound football with no turnovers in their last two games. Tampa Bay is riding high off their upset win over the Saints last week, and they're in for an emotional letdown here following their biggest victory of the season. The Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0. The Buccaneers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games. Take Atlanta and lay the points.



5* W iseg uy AFC G AM E OF THE W EE K on Cleveland Browns -1(-105 at sportsbook)

Cleveland has a chance to put together their first 4-game winning streak in 15 years. They have a chance to close out the season with 4 straight wins for the first time since 1986. This team has not quit on their coach, and they are playing out the season. Though Jacksonville is still mathematically alive for the playoffs, their chances are slim to none. The Jaguars were 7-5, but they have dropped 3 straight games after their 7-35 loss to New England last week. The Jaguars are deflated, and they won't show up to play Sunday in Cleveland knowing that their chances at a playoff berth are all but over. Jacksonville is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. poor passing teams averaging 5.7 or less passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons. The Browns haven't needed much from their passing game of late, because their defense has been stout and their running game is rolling. They are allowing just 16.3 points/game in their last 3 games, and are rushing for 229 yards/game over their last 3 contests. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread this season. Take the Browns and lay the points.



5* W iseg uy NFL T OTA L OF THE W EE K on Packers/Cardinals OVER 43.5(-115 at 5dimes)

Both the Packers and Cardinals still have something to play for. Each is playing to improve their playoff seeding, while the Cardinals can even earn a first-round bye with a win and some help. That means each team will be going all out here, which favors a high-scoring game between two of the most potent offenses in the league. The Packers put up 28.5 points/game this season. They even score 29.9 points/game and put up 409 total yards/game on the road this season. The Cardinals average 24.5 points/game this year and have score 30 or more points in 3 of their last 4 contests. Against the Steelers and Seahawks the last two weeks, the Packers have put up an average of 42 points/game. The Packers are 10-1 OVER (+8.9 Units) after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons. The Cardinals are 9-1 OVER (+7.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Arizona is 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better over the last 2 seasons. That adds up to a 25-2 (93%) Angle in favor of the OVER. Take the OVER 43.5 points here.



4* on Chicago Bears -3(-115 at SportsInteraction)

The Bears finally had something go their way last week, beating the Vikings in overtime 36-30. They'll come together as a team and carry that momentum into this Sunday's season finale in Detroit. The Lions haven't even been competitive recently, and they won't be Sunday either. Detroit has lost 5 straight games by an average of 19.6 points/game. They are without starting QB Matthew Stafford, and without him their passing game is virtually non-existent. Detroit has thrown for less than 200 yards in each of their last 5 games, and have committed 18 turnovers in the process. Their defense has given up more than 200 yards passing in 11 straight games, and Jay Cutler is coming off his best game of the season, throwing for 258 yards and 4 touchdowns against Minnesota. Detroit is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Take Chicago and lay the points.



4* on Pittsburgh Steelers -3(-114 at 5dimes)

The Steelers have fought too hard to keep themselves alive in the playoff hunt to lose now. They have been playing like champions the last 2 weeks, beating the Packers and Ravens who are two of the better teams in the league. The Miami Dolphins have taken a different route, getting behind big early to both the Texans and Titans the last 2 weeks and nearly coming back to beat them both, but came up short. Their hearts have been ripped out, and now at 7-8 their chances of making the playoffs are miniscule to say the least. The Steelers at 8-7 have a much better shot, but still need some help. The state of mind these two teams are in right now says that Pittsburgh is going to roll to victory in Miami Sunday. Plus, the Steelers are the better team and easily the best team in the league that is on the outside looking in right now. Home-field hasn't been much of an advantage for Miami over the last few years, either. The Dolphins are just 6-17 ATS in their last 23 home games. The Dolphins are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. Pittsburgh is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 January games and they know how to get it done this time of year. Take Pittsburgh and lay the points.



4* on Indianapolis Colts +9(-110 at Bookmaker)

Clearly, the Colts will be resting players this week. But they take on the Buffalo Bills, a team that has clearly packed it in. Buffalo went down to Atlanta and lost 31-3 to the Falcons last week. They won't be up for this game, because they aren't excited to play a Colts' team that will be resting their starters. The backups for Indy are very motivated here, because they know they let their team down last week by blowing a second half lead and letting the New York Jets come back to beat them. So the motivational factor favors the Colts here, with their backups wanting to make amends for their efforts last week. The Colts are 7-0 S.U. & 7-0 ATS in road games this season. With another victory, the Colts would finish the regular season unbeaten on the road for the first time since the 1968 team was 7-0 outside of Baltimore. They've never gone 15-1 overall. So there's still a lot of reason here for the Colts to be motivated to win. Take Indy and the points.



4* on New England Patriots +9(-121 at 5dimes)

Tom Brady will play Sunday as head coach Bill Belichick wants his team to finish off the season sharp, knowing they'll have to play next week. New England is still playing for either the No. 3 or the No. 4 seed, which could become a factor down the road as far as home-field advantage is concerned. This is what Brady said Belichick told him: “You’ll play. Don’t worry about that. You’ll be playing." “Close game, blowout, if we get behind,” he said. “I’m expecting to play the whole game. I wouldn’t see why I wouldn’t.” The Patriots are 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the second half of the season since 1992. New England is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game after 8+ games since 1992. With Brady likely to play, and this line being inflated due to the Texans' having a little more at stake, we'll take the value here with New England. Take the Patriots and the points

[Mr. IWS]

TIM TRUSHEL
colts/regular
miami/regular
saints/20*

[Mr. IWS]

ANTHONY REDD
20 dimer on Cowboys (buy down to 2.5)

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO
200 Unit Buffalo Bills -8 v. Indy

[Mr. IWS]

NORTHCOAST LINE
totals play of week
Philadelphia/Dallas Under

[Mr. IWS]

ATS FINANCIAL - NFL
4 Unit Minn - 7 1/2
3 Unit GB +3
3 Unit Jax +2

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover
Sunday's Picks 50 Dime - Chicago Bears

There's a tier system in the NFL. The Bears rank mediocre-to-bad. The Lions, though, rank with the Rams as the worst.

The key question is can you profit in this matchup by backing a lackluster road favorite in a flat spot traveling on a short week following their biggest win of the season? That's the case with the Bears off their big overtime victory Monday against the Vikings.

I say you can. The Lions are that bad. They started the season devoid of talent in many areas. Injuries have turned their roster into a team full of retreads and street free agents. Wide receiver Calvin Johnson is their only playmaker.

Detroit doesn't have a starting caliber running back and its quarterback spot is manned by washed-up Duante Culpepper, who the offense doesn't respond to, and not-ready-for-prime-time Drew Stanton. The Bears can handle this woeful offense.

Chicago took care of business when playing its easiest opponents beating the Rams by nine, the Browns by 24 and the Lions by 24.

Jay Cutler received a huge boost of needed confidence with his four-touchdown performance in Monday's 36-30 victory versus Minnesota. He can do a lot of damage against Detroit's defense, which ranks last against the pass.

There are jobs on the line with the Bears. Some may be coaching jobs. So there will be sense of urgency to this matchup for Chicago. It's a short trip from Chicago to Detroit. The Lions have failed to cover in 12 of their last 16 home games.

50 Dime - New England Patriots

These are heady times for the Texans, a team not used to success. Houston is riding a three-game winning streak, four of its players were named to the Pro Bowl, a win gives them its first winning season in franchise history and keeps alive its playoff hopes.

Simply put, it's a huge, huge game for the Texans. The game means little to the Patriots. Thus the lopsided pointspread.

But when have the Texans ever responded well to pressure? The answer is NEVER. The Texans have chalked up a 1-6-1 against the spread mark following a pointspread cover.

Houston is explosive. I'll certainly give them that. Matt Schaub is likely to lead the NFL in passing yards. Andre Johnson is likely to have the most receiving yards in the league. New England, however, has drastically improved its pass defense during the past three games - all victories. The Patriots held the Panthers, Bills and Jaguars to a combined 27 points in their last three games.

Is Bill Belichick going to risk his team's new-found momentum to rest starters? It wouldn't be a shock if some nicked-up starters do sit. That could mean defensive linemen Vince Wilfork and Ty Warren don't play. That will hurt New England's run defense. But the Texans don't run the ball well, ranking second-from-the-bottom. Their featured back these days is rookie Arian Foster.

The key is that Tom Brady is going to play. He could even play the entire game. That's what he said. Even if he didn't, Brian Hoyer isn't a bad backup quarterback. He played the entire game during New England's last preseason game against the Giants. Hoyer played well completing 18-of-25 for 242 yards and one touchdown as the Patriots won 38-27.

Belichick knows how to win. This isn't one of his great teams that he can just turn on a switch and it will play well. He's not going to take unnecessary chances with banged-up players like Wilfork. But, on the other hand, he's not going to go into the playoffs off a bad loss either. He has to keep this team sharp.

It wouldn't shock me if the Patriots won this game straight-up and Gary Kubiak lost his job as Texans coach.

50 Dime - Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons are sick of living with the fact they've never had back-to-back winning seasons in their 44-year history. They can end that jinx with a victory today against the Buccaneers.

Because of that, the Falcons are extremely motivated for this matchup even though they are out of playoff contention.

Tampa Bay has won its last two games. The Buccaneers upset a bad Seattle team on the road two weeks ago and then stunned New Orleans with a strong second-half last week after the Saints got complacent with a 17-0 lead.

Let's not start thinking the Buccaneers have become a good team because they haven't. They have lost 15 of their last 18 games. They are 3-15 against the spread during their past 18 games on grass. Their two victories the past two weeks came on artificial turf. The Bucs have failed to cover seven of the last eight times as a home underdog.

Buccaneers' first year head coach Raheem Morris has not received high marks. Tampa Bay ownership probably would jettison him in a second if they could talk Bill Cowher into taking over.

The Buccaneers lost fullback Earnest Graham and defensive lineman Jimmy Wilkerson during their win last week. Wilkerson led all of Tampa Bay's defensive linemen with 66 tackles while being second on the team in sacks with six.

Rookie quarterback Josh Freeman has a promising future, but at this embryonic stage he's very mistake prone as evidenced by a 9-to-16 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

50 Dime - San Diego Chargers

I like the Chargers to cover this small number even though they are going to rest starters having secured the No. 2 seed and a first-round bye in the AFC.

First off, Philip Rivers and the starters are going to play for at least a couple of series. Norv Turner doesn't want his first-string to be without work for three straight weeks. There's a good possibility the Chargers could build up a double-digit lead before halftime before Turner pulls his starters making San Diego for the first-half a good play, too.

Second, the Chargers will still be intense even with their reserves in. They are riding a lot of momentum with a 10-game winning streak. San Diego is a team that knows how to win. Its players have said this game is important to them regardless of how long the starters play.

Third, San Diego has good backups. Darren Sproles, not LaDainian Tomlinson, is the team's most dangerous running back nowadays. Billy Volek is one of the best backup quarterbacks in the league. He had a preseason quarterback rating of 131.6. Volek will get to operate against a Washington secondary missing three safeties, including LaRon Landry. That leaves them extremely thin in the secondary. The Redskins also might be without defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth and linebacker Rocky McIntosh.

Fourth, look at this situation. San Diego has had extra time to rest and prepare following a road win 10 days ago at Tennessee. Washington just got done losing and playing poorly in back-to-back home games versus NFC East Division rivals the Giants and Cowboys. Now the Redskins have to somehow regroup and travel to the West Coast for a game that is totally meaningless for them.

How meaningless is this game for Washington? I repeat totally meaningless. Jim Zorn and his staff are out. Redskins owner Daniel Snyder already has interviewed candidates with Mike Shanahan looking like Zorn's successor.

Speaking of Snyder, Chargers coach Norv Turner wouldn't mind sticking it to him. Snyder fired Turner in Washington making him the scapegoat for the team and owner's many shortcomings. Turner will have the Chargers playing hard no matter who is in the lineup.

Even if Washington was up for this game, which I don't see any way it can be, it doesn't have the horses. The Redskins lost another offensive lineman, starting right guard Mike Williams. They have already used 11 offensive linemen this season and five tailbacks. Washington, not San Diego, has no incentive or talent available for this final regular-season game.

50 Dime - Cincinnati Bengals

It's not often you can say the Bengals are a well-coached, good sound fundamental football team. But this year you can make that statement without any laugh track.

The Jets are much like the Bengals: strong defense, conservative game-plan, heavy on the run. The Jets just aren't as good as the Bengals. Yet because the Bengals have clinched their playoff spot and the Jets need to win in order to clinch theirs we have a huge spread.

Taking an underdog with a total of less than 36 usually is a wise investment. That's the case here.

The Bengals have covered nine of the past 10 times they've been an underdog. The underdog is 14-1 in Cincinnati games this season.

The Jets are notorious for not playing well in big games. They are 1-4 against the spread the last five times they've been home chalk.

Just because the Jets have to win doesn't mean they will. True, Marvin Lewis won't be playing his starters the full game. But he has built a prideful team that won't lay down, especially this being the nationally televised Sunday night game. It wouldn't be shocking if the league secretly communicated to the Bengals that they need to play hard the whole way after last week's fiasco with the Colts laying down to the Jets.

The Jets aren't built to cover big pointspread margins. Their rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez has been picked off 20 times despite the offense being scaled way back. Sanchez, a West Coast guy, has never played in Giants Stadium during January.

The forecast for the game is temperatures in the high teens with winds in the 15-to-25 mph range with gusts up to 40 mph and a 20 percent chance of snow. The Bengals have a pair of ballhawk cornerbacks, Jonathan Joseph and Leon Hall. They have a combined 12 interceptions.

Carson Palmer is unlikely to play much. The Bengals' backup quarterback is veteran J.T. O'Sullivan, who Mike Martz fawned over at the start of last season when O'Sullivan was San Francisco's starter for a while.

Certainly there's a dropoff from Palmer to O'Sullivan. But this wasn't a vintage Palmer year. He averaged just more than 200 yards passing per game and only had one 300-yard throwing game. The Bengals became heavily dependent on the run. They are deep at running back. Backup Larry Johnson, formerly of the Chiefs, is a good fit for the Bengals offense.

This is going to be a very conservative, defensive-oriented matchup. The Jets would be thrilled to win by a field goal.

[Mr. IWS]

Dominic Fazzini
Sunday's winners 50 Dime -- Falcons (minus points vs. BUCCANEERS)

FALCONS

While neither of these teams is headed for the playoffs, I like the situation Atlanta is in today. The Falcons are in a position to claim back-to-back winning seasons for the first time in franchise history, and I think the players are really motivated to make that happen.

Plus, the return of quarterback Matt Ryan seems to have sparked the Falcons, who have won their last two games with him in the lineup and scored 31 points last week against Buffalo.

Tampa Bay has shown improvement over the last couple of weeks, and even won in overtime at New Orleans last week, but I think that victory essentially was its Super Bowl, and I expect a letdown today in the season finale.

Buccaneers QB Josh Freeman has shown promise as a rookie, but he has thrown 14 interceptions in his last six games, with just five TD passes.

Plus, the Buccaneers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games, 1-7 ATS as a home underdog and 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games on grass. Atlanta, meanwhile, is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS as a road favorite of up to three points. Take the Falcons to win by a touchdown today.

Atlanta has covered the spread in three straight games

15 Dime -- Titans (minus points vs. SEAHAWKS)

TITANS

The focus today is going to be on Tennessee star Chris Johnson and his pursuit of some magical rushing numbers, and I think that is going to motivate the Titans to come up with a big effort today.

Johnson is 128 yards away from becoming the sixth player in NFL history to rush for 2,000 in a season, and he also has an outside shot at Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record, needing 234 yards to reach the former Rams star's mark of 2,105.

The Titans are also motivated to win today to end the season at 8-8, which doesn't sound like much, but after starting the season 0-6, finishing at .500 would be quite a feat. Tennessee also has had more than a week to prepare for this game, having been off since its loss to San Diego on Christmas night.

Seattle has regressed into one of the worst teams in the league. It has lost by a combined total of 107-24 the past three weeks, and were embarassed 48-10 last week at Green Bay.

The Seahawks don't have any spark on offense or defense, and QB Matt Hasselbeck has been beaten up, and has thrown eight interceptions to go with a lost fumble over the past two games.

The Titans are 7-3 ATS as a road favorite, and Seattle is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games overall, including an 0-3 streak. The Seahawks also are 1-9 ATS as an underdog. Take Tennessee to control both sides of the ball today and roll to an easy victory.

[Mr. IWS]

Psychic
Private Members Area

1/3

NFL

2 unit Pittsburgh -3
2 unit Atlanta -1
3 unit Minnesota -9 (best bet)
3 unit Cincinnati +10 (best bet)
5 unit Arizona -3.5 (Blowout of the Year)

[Mr. IWS]

SPARTAN
3* Buffalo Bills
3* Arizona Cardinals
2* Tampa Bay Bucs

[Mr. IWS]

ATS Lock Club....
6* Baltimore
5* Phil
4* Pitt
CBB
5* NC St
4* Ill St
4* Texas Tech

[Mr. IWS]

Jim Feist
4* Chargers
5* colts/bills UNDER
5* Eagles

Inner Circle falcons/bucs OVER

Inner Circle Bills

Platinum Browns

[Mr. IWS]

NSA
20* NFL Bills -8
20* NFL Eagles +3
20* NFL Chiefs +10.5
10* NFL Texans -7
10* NFL Jaguars +1.5
10* NFL Cardinals -3
10* CBB Providence OVER 150

[Mr. IWS]

OC Dooley:
1 UNIT" NFL LATE AFTERNOON PERCENTAGE WAGER (Raiders +10' at home versus Ravens in a 4:15 eastern kickoff): It is easy to see why Baltimore has been cast as such as prohititive road favorite since they will clinch a wildcard playoff berth with a victory, but that not automatically mean they will cover the spread. Oakland has been an absolute terror down the stretch when facing "winning" opponents. The last time Oakland opposed a squad with a winning record was two weeks ago when they traveled to Denver and defeated the Broncos OUTRIGHT in a last second thriller where embattled and currently benched quarterback Jarmarcus Russell actually came through in the clutch. It was four weeks ago once again on the highway when Oakland stunned defending Super Bowl champion Pittsburgh OUTRIGHT. Early in the season Oakland defeated a pair of playoff bound opponents (Philadelphia,Cincinnati) in front of their own HOME fans so make no mistake that the Raiders actually do have some talent. Obviously the quarterback position has been shaky and last week the team started Charlie Frye under center and promptly threw 3 interceptions. Most likely Frye will be the starter today but there is a chance of seeing Bruce Gradkowski who has missed the last pair of outings with a knee injury. It certainly would be good for his psyche if former #1 overall draft pick Jamarcus Russell got a chance to see some time on the field even though he has lost the trust of his teammates. Even though Oakland lost 23-9 at Cleveland last week it is worth noting that the Raiders actually OUTGAINED the Browns (389-282) by a large margin in total yards. Also last Sunday Oakland's outstanding kicker Sebastian Janikowski booted a 61-YARD field goal which frequented the highlight shows. I am fully aware that Oakland (5-10) has posted double-digit losses for an incredible 7th consecutive season, but they have played better this campaign by covering a substantial number of spots. Getting back to the Ravens not only do they have to travel across the country for this "must win" contest, they are coming off a very PHYSICAL and emotional 23-20 defeat at Pittsburgh last week. The statistic that most grabbed my attention last week was Baltimore's 11 different PENALTIES which were the second most miscues of the entire season. Another negative involving Baltimore is that they have had to shuffle their offensive line due to injuries. In what is one of the more remarkable situation I have ever seen in NFL handicapping, Oakland has actually ALTERNATED spread wins-and-losses in ELEVEN consecutive outings. Following that pattern Oakland is due to cover the spread late this afternoon

[Mr. IWS]

Northcoast
3* S Diego
3* Oakland
3* Pitt
S/NMarq--Under Cinn

[Mr. IWS]

K. Bales
NFL 15* Eagles+3
CBB 10* Nc. st pk.
NBA 10* Toronto+1.5
NFL 5* N. Eng +7
CBB 5* Utep +2

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence Late phone plays:
4* Philly
3* NE
3* Miami

[Mr. IWS]

Lee STryker top BALT

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports
Todays Selections

3 (***) Cleveland -1.5
3 (***) Arizona -3
3 (***) Kansas City +10

[Mr. IWS]

The Booooj


100 uits on Chicago (-3.5) over Detroit
25 units on Cincinnati (+9.5) over NY Jets
10 units on Atlanta (-2) over Tampa Bay

[Mr. IWS]

Seabass;
300 Teaser BUF under 3.5/JAX under 42
300 Phil
100 DET, MIA, BUF, SEA, StL over (Steam)
50 KC
Comp: OAK

[Mr. IWS]

Chris James Sports

2* Bengals +9.5
2* Bears -3.5
2* Browns -1.5

[Mr. IWS]

STEVE BUDIN
25 dime cleveland

[Mr. IWS]

Al DeMarco

Sunday's Play
15 Dime - San Diego Chargers



First things first: this is an absolutely meaningless game for the Chargers, who are locked into the # 2 seed in the AFC and have a first-round playoff bye. But don't for a minute think a number of veterans on this team haven't forgotten when they earned the No. 1 seed back in 2006 and promptly got upset by New England at home in their first playoff outing. The subject was brought up this week so I just don't think the 'Bolts are going to roll over and play dead today.



Another thing I thought about when analyzing this game: Back in August, Norv Turner decided to play his veterans and starters more - including LaDainian Tomlinson - in the preseason so his team would avoid its usual slow start out of the starting gate. Any coach that was that concerned about the start of the season surely isn't going to throw away the momentum created by a 10-game winning streak that could be 11 heading into the playoffs, right?



Turner says his starters will see action before getting pulled today. Don't be surprised if they go just the first quarter. But that's not so bad considering this San Diego squad has outscored its foes 73-16 in the opening quarter during its 10-game winning streak. Conversely, today's opponent, Washington, has been outscored 86-41 in the first quarter of games this year.



Am I worried what happens to the San Diego offense once Philip Rivers takes his helmet off for good? Actually, not at all. This isn't like the Colts replacing Peyton Manning with a rookie last week. Instead, when Rivers exits, 10-year veteran Billy Volek will enter.



A little background: When I handicap preseason football, the factor that means the most to me is the strength of back-up quarterbacks because they generally will be the ones whom your money will be riding on. During his career, first at Tennessee and now with San Diego, Volek has always been one of my favorites because he's a decent passer with adequate mobility (important when you're often playing behind a makeshift offensive line) and his teams score points.



Today's contest is in essence a pre-season game for the Chargers so what I wrote above applies with Volek and San Diego's prospects.



Defensively, San Diego will not be as stout with the starters sitting, but I question the Redskins' desire after getting outscored 62-12 in losses to division rivals New York and Dallas the past two weeks. Talk about showing no heart. Washington epitomizes a team playing out the string. The players know Jim Zorn is a dead man walking and total upheaval is coming. Don't expect them to rally and play well in a road finale.



One final tidbit: Washington is 2-10-1 ATS in its last 13 games versus the AFC.



An entertaining game? Probably not. But at this price, I'll lay around a field goal with the home team and call for the Chargers to prevail 23-14.



Strategy Note:



You've heard me discuss this many times on TV and radio; I only believe in buying half points when the number is around 3, 4 or 7. This price is floating between 3 and 3 1/2 so go ahead and buy down the half-point in either case on San Diego.

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo

1.5-Unit Play. Take #727 Ohio State (+2) over Michigan (4:30 p.m.)
Big rivalry game here for these two teams. And even though I’m ignoring the “unranked favorite over a Top 25 team” I still feel like this is a solid spot. Michigan stinks. Maybe they will play out of their heads because they are at home, but they haven’t beaten anyone this year. Anyone. They have gotten blown out by teams like Marquette and Utah, they lost at Indiana, which is terrible. Their best wins are over Detroit and awful Creighton (in OT). They have proven squat. They are soft inside, they aren’t shooting well, and they really have two guys that can do anything (Sims and Harris). Ohio State ran into a buzzsaw in Wisconsin this week. Nothing they could have done about that one. I know that the Buckeyes are floundering without Evan Turner. But they still have some guys that can play. Lighty, Diebler and Buford are all in double digits. Simmons and Lauderdale are close. P.J. Hill can run the point. This team still has some guys that can play and I think that they are better than the Wolverines.

1-Unit Play. Take #721 Creighton (-4.5) over Evansville (3 p.m.)
It is obvious that Creighton is awful. But are they this awful? Are they so awful that they are going to lose on the road to Evansville? We lost with the Jays in Indiana State and now it looks like the Aces are actually taking more of the action in this game. Well, Creighton has won eight of nine in this series and I think that Dana Altman’s skill and his team’s desperation is enough for a blowout here. I mean, their losses lately are at George Mason by 3, at New Mexico by 5, against Northern Iowa and at Indiana State. Those are respectable and all were close. Evansville just isn’t up to snuff and their only wins in the last month are against UT-Martin and Georgia Southern. I’m not impressed. I’ll take the disrespected favorite.

1-Unit Play. Take #723 UTEP (Pk) over Texas Tech (3 p.m.)
Here we have a heavy reverse line movement away from the Top 25 team. To the point that this game is now at just +1. Why? Is it because UTEP may be the better team here? Now that Derrick Caracter is in the fold I think it’s clear that UTEP has more on the interior and is equal on the perimeter to the Red Raiders. Texas Tech (barely) beat Washington at home. Good for them. But Washington sucks, so I don’t know how much credence I give that win. Other than that, Tech has beaten Stanford (also sucks) and played two not-as-close-as-the-scores-looked games in losses to New Mexico and Wichita State. Tech is mediocre. I am following the line movement here and we’ll dabble on the curious RLM.

1-Unit Play. Take #711 Wisconsin (-4.5) over Penn State (2 p.m.)
Little bit of a letdown/look ahead spot here for Wisconsin. But the issue is that Penn State just isn't very good. At all. They have one good player - Talor Battle - and I think that Wisconsin can neutralize him with Trevon Hughes. Bo Ryan's team just wins, man. And they have three of the four best players on the floor here. This Wisconsin team is talented enough and tough enough to go get a road win here over a Penn State team that has done nothing but lose to decent teams this year. Their two best wins are Davidson and Virginia. Not impressive at all. Wisconsin is good enough to blast Duke and Ohio State, they are good enough to beat sagging Penn State.


2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #727 Ohio State (+7) over Michigan (4:30 p.m.) AND Take #738 Duke (-5.5) over Clemson (7:45 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #718 Northern Iowa (-2.5) over Missouri State (2 p.m.) AND Take #729 Providence (+10.5) over St. John’s (5:30 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #718 Northern Iowa (-2.5) over Missouri State (2 p.m.) AND Take #723 UTEP (+5) over Texas Tech (3 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #715 Houston (+11.5) over Iowa State (2 p.m.) AND Take #727 Ohio State (+7) over Michigan (4:30 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

chuck luck

3 tampa bay
3 jaxsonville
5 chicago
5 miami

5 green bay
5 kansas city
5 tennesse

6 (sst) PHILA

[Mr. IWS]

KB Hoops

5* Duke -10 **POD**
4* Detroit Lions +3.5 -115
4* Cleveland Browns -1.5
4* Atlanta Falcons -1
4* Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 -115
4* Arizona Cardinals-2.5 -120
4* San Diego Chargers -2.5 -120
4* Dallas Cowboys -2.5 -115

[Mr. IWS]

st bernadines sports advisors
andrew Bucciarelli(MR Hockey)
1* bufflalo(NHL)

lillefty(Matt Dennehy)
1* giants/minny under 48
1* hou/Iowa st under 166

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE

100% Perfect Upset Special - Miami Dolphins

Never Lost MVP Play - Philadelphia Eagles

Sun Night Super System Play- Cincinnati Bengals

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

723 1 unit UTEP

[Mr. IWS]

Kelso BB

3 units Spurs -1.5
5 units N. Iowa -6.5
10 units Wichita State -10.5
25 units Iowa St -5.5

Balance of Kelso FB

3 units Titans -6
5 units Bears -3
10 units Texans -7

[Mr. IWS]

Street Rosenthal

*500 Steelers -3
*300 Eagles +3
*200 Texans -7
*200 Cardinals -3
*200 Titans -6
*200 Giants +8

[Mr. IWS]

Vr bookie bet jets

[Mr. IWS]

MREAST NFL SUNDAY EXPLOSION

The Philadelphia Eagles have always figured out the Cowboys in game 2 of their meetings regardless of the result of game 1. The eagles have held the Cowboys this decade to 76 points in their 2nd game, while scoring 224 themselves. That is an average score of 24.9 to 8.4!!! Then you can kick in a league wide trend that sees a road dog playing vs a team they lost to earlier in the season, coming back to a 56-21-3 ATS mark in the return game. That is some pretty powerful stuff on the eagles here, and I'll back them in this one.

#307 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ #308 DALLAS COWBOYS 4:15PM EST

PLAY ON #307 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +3 -110 FOR 3 UNITS

[Mr. IWS]

Executive

300 Dallas
300 Seattle

[Mr. IWS]

Mti 5* kc chiefs

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp
Seattle +6

[Mr. IWS]

Doc's College Basketball

5 Unit Play. #712 Take Wisconsin -4 ½ over Penn State (2 pm Big 10 Network) This was going to be our Big 10 GOY if the line was three or less but Penn State has been playing poorly of late and Wisconsin’s victory over Ohio State really impressed the odds makers for today’s game. The Badgers have beaten the Lions 10 consecutive times with the average margin of victory averaging 20.2 points per game. This includes winning five straight games at Bryce Jordan Center.

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

Bengals/Jets UNDER 35.5

For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on the "under" in this matchup:

Cincinnati wrapped up its first division title since 2005 after struggling past Kansas City 17-10 last Sunday, capping what was an emotionally draining week following the Dec. 17 death of wide receiver Chris Henry.

The Bengals need a victory and have New England to lose to Houston to claim the No. 3 seed, but a loss to the Jets would create a rematch between the teams in Cincinnati next week.

Cincinnati has totaled 305 points - the fewest among the seven teams to clinch division titles. The Bengals have failed to score more than 24 in any of their last eight games.

Despite having to go with a patchwork defense over the past couple weeks, defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer is expecting better of his unit, especially with the stakes becoming bigger.

"We can't play like that and win anything in the playoffs," Zimmer said of last week's game. "We made too many mistakes all over. We're better than that. We had guys playing pass and it was run and run when it was pass."

When defensive end Antwan Odom went down, Jonathan Fanene stepped in and has six sacks. Strong safety Chinedum Ndukwe reclaimed his starting spot after Roy Williams was injured and is third on the team in tackles, including an interception last week.

Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of Cincinnati's last five overall and in five of their last seven vs. New York.

On the other side of the field: If the Jets win; they're in; simple as that.

Last week New York scored 19 unanswered points after the Colts - assured of the AFC’s No. 1 seed heading into the game - pulled their starters late in the third quarter.

The Jets are 4-2 when Mark Sanchez does not throw an INT, and since he is backed by the league’s best rushing offense at 166.6 yards per game, offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer likely will devise a gameplan similar to the one employed last Sunday; running backs Thomas Jones and Shonn Greene gashed the Colts for 200 yards on the ground.

New York’s defense, which leads the NFL in scoring defense at 15.7 points per game, has conceded just 47 in winning four of five.

Remember, the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of New York's last five overall and in four of their last five when playing at home vs. Cincinnati.

Bottom line: Heading into the playoffs Zimmer would like to see an improved pass rush; the Bengals have three sacks in the last two games, but all of those were on blitzes. Zimmer has liked the matchups the last couple weeks, but the Bengals have not done a good job of manufacturing sacks; expect a concerted effort on the defensive side of the ball from the Bengals in this one, especially when the offensive starters (almost certainly), sit in the second half.

Here is another powerful "under" trend that both teams have exhibited over the last three seasons; both have seen the total go "under" the posted number in nine of eleven games in the last four weeks of their respective regular seasons.

So, keeping those powerful trends in mind, and when taking into account these other strong O/U trends and these other factors, the sharp money in this one is on the UNDER!

*10* UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

Cincinnati +9.5

Yes, we are aware that by the time kickoff roles around, the Bengals may have nothing to play for. And, yes, we are also aware that the Jets have everything to play for being that they are in a "win and in" playoff situation. However, New York doesn't deserve to be favored by this many points against anybody, let alone a quality team like Cincinnati. At home, the Flyboys are just 3-4 SU/ATS, including losses to Buffalo and Atlanta when it mattered most, while turning the ball over 19 times in those seven games. QB Mark Sanchez has a TD-INT ratio of 12-20 and with a top-flight defense, HC Rex Ryan isn't going to let Sanchez go out there and try to win the game, or even worse, lose the game for his team. Having played his college ball at USC, Sanchez isn't used to playing in cold conditions. The Jets have lost outright four times as a favorite this season, once laying nine and once laying 6.5. Even with potential reserves in the game, Cincinnati won't deviate from the script. This is a team that runs the ball and plays defense, mirroring the style that brought so much success to fellow AFC North teams Pittsburgh and Baltimore. We've already seen backup RB Larry Johnson have a big game or two since coming over from KC. Even more important is that we've really had our finger on the pulse of this team all season. They are 7-1 ATS as an underdog, winning six of those games outright. We've cashed them going against Pittsburgh and Baltimore early in the season. They are 0-7 ATS when laying points and we've gone against them in non-covers vs. Houston (outright loss), Oakland (outright loss), Cleveland and last week vs. Kansas City. They have only lost two games by more than five points this season and with a defense that allows just 16.9 PPG, they are the play here plus the points. Cincinnati is our 20* Sunday Night Game of the Month.

[Mr. IWS]

Evan Altemus

CLEVELAND BROWNS -1.5

The motivational edge in this game is completely on the side of Cleveland in this game. Every player is likely playing for their job for the last time, as newly hired General Manager Mike Holmgren is deciding who to keep heading into next year. Meanwhile, Jacksonville suffered a bad loss last week to New England when their playoff hopes were on the line. As a result, they have nothing to play for in this game. To make matters worse, this southern, warm weather, team has to travel to Cleveland where the temperatures are expected to be very cold. Derek Anderson will get the start for the Browns, but it won’t matter because they will pound the ball on the ground against a Jaguars rush defense that has become very porous recently. Look for the Browns to continue their recent momentum and completely dominate the Jaguars.

4 UNIT SELECTION BROWNS.

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +6

Seattle is a great home team while the Titans have struggled on the road. Tennessee did awesome by making a comeback starting the season 0-6. Seattle is a tough place to play and the 12th man really is a factor as teams have so much trouble just even getting a snap off there due to the noise. Look for the Seahawks to close the year out with a big home win. Take Seattle.

[Mr. IWS]

Ron Raymond

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS +9

When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS team played as a Road team - During Week 16 to 20 - Coming off vs American Conference opponent - Coming off a Home win; The Patriots are 9-2-0 ATS in this situation.

Many of the coaches will rest their players, but other coaches like Bill Belichick play to win. The Patriots are 10-2 SU during Week 17 and 9-3-0 ATS during the last game of the season. Take New England +9.0 this week.

When NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS Played as a Underdog - With SU Record of 3 Win 0 Lost in L3G; the Patriots are 12-4-2 ATS in this spot since 1983.

Take New England.

[Mr. IWS]

VR bookie bet
318 NYJ -9.5 (-110) BetUS vs 317 CIN
Analysis: Ã*** NFL SNF 3* "BOOKIE BET" *** (Confirmed "BIG SLICK" Bet...from Bookie Bill)

[Mr. IWS]

GameTime SportsAdvisors/Sean Higgs

These guys are HOT
7-1 yesterday , 12-1 last 2 days
i'm riding the wave!!

Last 7 Days' Results
• All Leagues 29-5-1 (86% for +$2379)
• NBA 2009 1-0 (100% for +$101)
• NCAAB 2009 12-2 (86% for +$991)
• NCAAF 2009 10-3-1 (77% for +$683)
• NFL 2009 6-0 (100% for +$604)




Play Title 10* MIAMI
Play Selected Point Spread: 3/-105
10* Miami - Have you heard the Steelers talking all week no one wants to play them if they get in and teams are going to lay down so they don't get in? But don't they have to win the game first? Miami hasn't beat Pitt in Over 10 years. While Miami still has hope of making the playoffs, its a long shot. Hopefully Ricky Williams can be effective. Miami started 0-3 and can finish strong. Miami can officially send the Steelers packing before those teams play at 4, and will. Steelers are also banged up and the Miami front 7 should be able to pressure big Ben.



Play Title 5* GIANTS
Play Selected Point Spread: 9/-115
5* Giants - Did you ever see a team look so bad last week, especially since their playoff hopes were hanging on a thread. Well now they can do some damage and redeem themselves, by beating Minny there is a chance they will lose their first round bye. If the Giants don't play well again their character will come into question. So we see them showing, and Minny has a little turmoil they are trying to deal with right now. Grab the points.



Play Title 4* Houston Cougars
Play Selected Point Spread: 6.5/-106
Taking the Cougars on the road. Normally I side with the better defensive club. But this Iowa State club just plods along, and I don't think they have enough offensive weapons to win this game, forget the cover. Houston has a two guard tandem of Aubrey Coleman (25ppg) and Kelvin Lewis (18ppg) who can single handedly outscore this Cyclones bunch. 4* HOUSTON COUGARS


Play Title 10* UTEP MINERS
Play Selected Point Spread: 1/-116
Taking the Miners here. I like this UTEP team. They are a balanced bunch. They play real solid D, force turnovers and rebound like champs. Plenty of scoring options with clear edges of the Red Raiders. 10* UTEP MINERS
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos (NFL) - 4:15 PM EST Kansas City


Play Title 4* KC CHIEFS
Play Selected Point Spread: 10/-110
4* K.C. - Nothing like having internal conflict heading into week 17 after starting 6-0 and now sitting at 8-6. Well the Broncos need this game and a little help to get in. K.C. hasn't forgotten the 44-13 beating they just took 4 weeks ago at the hands of Denver. K.C. will go all out.


Play Title 4* COWBOYS
Play Selected Point Spread: -3/102
4* Dallas - We are going Dallas here. We think this is the most confident this bunch has been in in years. The running game is really clicking, Romo has kept the turnovers down this Dec, and Dallas showed no signs of letting down after beating N.O. Its going to be a typical NFC battle. We'll take Dallas as they won't have a repeat performance of last year in week 17.


Play Title 4* RAIDERS
Play Selected Point Spread: 10.5/-108
4* Raiders - Can the Raiders do it again? Knock off another playoff team? We don't see it, but there is a chance and we think they will play well. The Raiders play their worst off a win, so 2 weeks ago they won then lost to Clev last week, so we expect the better team to show. Balt is good, but may press a little with the pressure on, and Flacco is only in his second year. Look for a tight game.

[Mr. IWS]

ASA NFL GOY

Under 47 Phil/Dal.

[Mr. IWS]

Game Day:

NFL
2* Philadelphia
2* Chicago
2* Pittsburgh

[Mr. IWS]

vr 4* cowboys

[Mr. IWS]

RAS

El Paso was released at +1'.

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan

3-0 Sunday Sweep ...




300? WISCONSIN BADGERS - The

Badgers have made it part of the norm, when it comes to defeating the Nittany Lions. The 23rd-ranked Badgers have won five straight road games against the Nittany Lions by double digits, and should have no trouble extending their overall win streak in the series to 11 this afternoon. I have been thoroughly impressed with how well this defense has been playing, and that's going to spell trouble for a Penn State team that traditionally struggles against that tenacious unit.



Wisconsin has held the Nittany Lions to an average of 50.8 points in winning 10 straight in the series, and has won five in a row on the road by an average of a staggering 18.8 points. Currently, Wisconsin ranks among the nation's top 15 defensively, allowing a mere 57.2 points per game, and is en route to a fourth straight season allowing fewer than 60.0. Though the Lions are on an impressive 4-1 run against ranked opponents, Wisconsin has won its last five conference road openers.



300? SAN DIEGO CHARGERS - He's not going to play the entire game, I know this, but for the time Philip Rivers is in the game, it's going to be showtime! Over the last five games, Rivers has shown why he belongs in the same conversation as all the other top-rated quarterbacks, as he's thrown for more than 300 yards three times and never less than 264 yards. In that span he has completed at least 72 percent of his passes three times and thrown for 10 touchdowns.



Wasn't too long ago the Redskins were once the top-ranked pass defense in the league, but they've been picked apart by NFC East quarterbacks the last two weeks, and by the looks of their body language, I don't believe they're going to be up for a trip to the West coast. If anything, they're enjoying warmer weather - but they don't want to play football.



And since a major reason for San Diego's success has been effective pass protection - the Chargers have allowed just 25 sacks, sixth best in the NFL - I don't care if it is Rivers or Billy Volek. Plus, Washington's secondary is vulnerable without its top safeties ... this is going to be a nasty blowout no matter who plays for the Bolts.



300? WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS - There were hundreds of basketball players who suited up for the late Skip Prosser during his 35-year coaching career. But only four remain, and they'll be on the court today when Wake Forest hosts Xavier at Joel Coliseum. L.D. Williams, Ish Smith, David Weaver and Chas McFarland - all seniors for Wake Forest - will do everything to honor Prosser in the inaugural game of a 10-game series entitled the Skip Prosser Classic.



After all, next season, when these two teams play again in Cincinnati, no longer will there be any Prosser disciples remaining. For those unaware, Prosser was head coach at Xavier from the 1994-95 season through the 2000-01 season, and head coach at Wake Forest from the 2001-02 season until his death on July 26, 2007. So this will always be a special game.



And right now, I like the way Wake is playing much more than how Xavier has performed. This is cheap chalk guys, and with heavy hearts, the Deacons prevail!!!

[Mr. IWS]

VR
3* Miami +3.5
2* GB U 44
2*Houston -6.5
4* Dallas -2.5
3* Jets -9.5 Slick Bet

[Mr. IWS]

Teddy Covers

cbb
Bradley

Nba
Mavs/Lakes under

[kar261]

Scott Delaney
Sunday...
Guys, be sure to check out my 5-Dime Pay-After-I-Win play as well ... if I don't win the game - you don't pay a dime!!!

60-Dime PITTSBURGH STEELERS ... Both teams need help to make the playoffs, I realize this. And both teams have had similarly frustrating seasons. But what this game boils down to is which team performs best under pressure. And with all due respect to Peyton Manning and Tom Brady, haven't we seen some of the best pressure-cooking drives by Big Ben Roethlisberger? Even going back to the Super Bowl, and that last-minute drive against the Cardinals, he knows how to lead his team and knows how to win ball games.

So even though the Dolphins rank first in the NFL in sacks per pass attempt, they're just 23rd against the pass overall. And I don't think that is going to be good enough against the Steelers' seventh-best passing offense. Roethlisberger broke Terry Bradshaw's team record for passing yards in a season, and has recorded five games of 300 or more yards.

I fully expect coach Mike Tomlin to utilize running back Rashard Mendenhall effectively, to set up the play action and to soften up Miami's defensive line. And when the Dolphins send the troops after Big Ben, there will be plenty of opportunity to catch the Fins off guard with those delayed handoffs, or quick screen passes in the flat.

On defense, while safety Troy Polamalu is questionable with a knee injury that has caused him to miss 10 games, the Steelers' pass defense is still 16th against aerial games, and when you're facing a kid like Chad Henne, who is 7-5 as a starter, that'll do just fine. I know he's progressed nicely, but how in the world is he going to shoulder the burden today, since leading rusher Ricky Williams has a sore shoulder? There are too many key components that make up the fourth-ranked rushing game, dinged up for this one, and I don't believe it'll be effective enough to balance Henne.

With all things considered, I have to believe the Steelers have the overall edge in today's game and win this one by at least a touchdown.

20-Dime NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS ... I know Missouri State got a big win at home on Friday against Illinois State. But to have to travel to Cedar Falls to take on a deadly Northern Iowa team is too quick of a turn around for the Bears. I honestly don't believe they will have had enough time to prepare for this one and will get hammered early by a tenacious defense that is allowing just 56.2 points per game.

Northern Iowa now owns the fifth-longest win streak in the nation, at 10 games, trailing Kentucky, Purdue, Kansas and Texas (who happen to be the four remaining teams yet to suffer a loss). I've seen some highlight video on this team, and read up on the Panthers (as I do every season in this conference), and I can tell you the Panthers are not only defending well, they've been doing a better job of concentrating on both ends of the floor.

When you play well defensively, you lend yourself the chance to win every time you take the floor. And by defending hard, you open up opportunities on offense. NIU rolls today.

20-Dime L.A. LAKERS ... Kobe Bryant is red-hot and the Lakers are at home for a Sunday night affair. That spells doom for any visitor to Staples Center. Bryant - who is shooting a career-best 48.5 percent from the field this season, including 50.9 percent in his last four contests - has scored at least 34 points in six straight games, and the thought of lighting up the Mavs has to be inspiring enough for the Black Mamba.

And allow me the opportunity to remind everyone what Los Angeles does inside Staples Center when taking on the Mavericks. The Lakers, who are 17-2 at Staples Center, have won 37 of 42 at home against the Mavericks since the 1988-89 season. And one of those five losses came this season, on Oct. 30, when Bryant missed 13 of 19 shots in a 94-80 home loss.

Can you say revenge?

I'll lay the touchdown with no problem tonight in this one, as the Lakers roll by about a dozen.