PDA

View Full Version : 4-5-10



Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 08:52 AM
NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 08:56 AM
John Fina/winningwaysports high rollers only
Butler

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 08:56 AM
Matt "Lillefty" Dennehy
3* Duke-7 over Butler
2* Phillies 1st 5 inn -1/2 run (-140-145??) over Washington (1pm)
1* Colorado(+115)over Milwaukee(2pm)

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 08:56 AM
James "34paytonplace" Reynolds
1* TEXAS-140 over Toronto (1pm et)
1* SEATTLE-120 over Oakland (9pm et)
2* DUKE -7 over butler (8:15pm et)

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 09:00 AM
ATSKINGS

SAL DEVITO - 5* EARLY WINNER plus Bonus

5*- Nationals +170 Listing Lannan

3*- Over Nationals 7.5

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 09:01 AM
Gamehunter

florida +110 (1.75 units)

pittsburgh +131 (1.25 units)

colorado +118 (1.75 units)

cubs +125 (1.25 units)

san diego +178 (1.25 units)

texas -135 (1.5 units)

seattle -121 (1.5 units)

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 09:50 AM
Bob Balfe

Philadelphia Phillies Washington Nationals
Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5

The Philadelphia Phillies open up the season against the Washington Nationals, who they have absolutely dominated in recent history. Roy Halladay, arguably the best pitcher in baseball, will make his anticipated debut in a Phils uniform this afternoon. John Lannan has always struggled against the Phillies' extremely potent lineup and the entire Nationals pitching staff, particularly their relievers, were terrible in spring training (not a surprise). Look for Halladay to pitch a gem and the top 6 Phillies hitters to ignite their batting averages on a high note. They will absolutely win today and it is highly unlikely that they will only win by one run, so we are essentially limiting our exposure for no additional cost. This will be an easy blowout. Take the Phillies to win by more than 1.5 runs -110.

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 11:01 AM
Jimmy Boyd has a 5* on Duke -7.5, and a 4* on Seattle Mariners -130

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 11:02 AM
ETHAN LAW

STL Cardinals , CIN Reds
One of the better betting propositions last season was to simply ignore this Reds team anytime they were favored. However, as an underdog this team showed that they had some grit as they won their backers a rather impressive +$1195. Virtually all of that profit was against right-handed pitching +$1135 as they went 59-59. Hmmm interesting. So you can see where I am going with this selection, if this does not win we are going to come right back to the Reds against Adam Wainwright as we will be getting some good money against the two Cardinal Aces. Considering they split their 16 game series last year, if we manage to get a win against one of St. Louis horses, we will turn a tidy profit. Again, ff we win this selection Monday, we are going to take our money and run away from this series. Note: This is how I bet baseball. We are looking for values and situations. That's often why I play the first and last game of a series and sometimes leave alone the in between games. I know going into a series where the value will be and we often take chances like these. Take the dog.

Verdict: STL Cardinals 4, CIN Reds 5
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON CINNCINATI +$130


FLA Marlins , NY Mets
Its going to be really easy to just want to fade this Met's team from the get go, but rest assured that not what I am doing here. As a season's ticket holder and somebody who actually goes to most of their games this is one team I am certainly intimately familiar with. They were nothing short of an embarrassment last season (-$1495 overall in 2009) and they did little to improve their chances this season with the limited addition of Jason Bay. Despite being one of the premier "free agents" this off season, Bay's presence cannot neutralize the heavily losses of Delgado, Beltran, Reyes and I cannot believe I am saying this...Sheffield. The Marlines won their backers a ton of money last season on the road (+$1695) and they have one of the league's top right-handers in Josh Johnson, who's coming off an excellent 2009 season (+$790, 3.23 ERA in 33 starts). Indeed, this Florida team was an impressive +$770 against left-handed pitching in all situations and was an impressive +$350 in road days games where they offense averaged an impressive 6.1 runs per game!Add the fact that the Mets average a paltry 4.3 runs per game against right-handed pitching last season (-$575) and we have a very good value bet on the visiting underdog.

Verdict: FLA Marlins 4, NY Mets 2
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON FLORIDA +$100

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 11:32 AM
GOODFELLA
dime bet Duke -7.5
dime bet SEA (-120)

10-2 (83%) L/12 CBB Plays

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 11:39 AM
PITTVIPER

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 -120 (Runline) -- (R Halladay - R/J Lannan - L) [Rot# 901 @ Washington]
Kansas City Royals -113 (Moneyline) -- (J Verlander - R/Z Greinke - R) [Rot# 922 vs. Detroit]

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 11:47 AM
MIKE HOOK
BURIED TREASURE
1 Dime MLB SEA -127

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 11:51 AM
Bryan Leonard's Early Action Diamond Gem
Play Florida

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:01 PM
Teddy Covers

Butler

Reds

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:01 PM
Rocketman

3* Colorado +110 (2:10)

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:01 PM
Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Mon, 04/05/10 - 2:10 PM
double-dime bet ml 909 COL (-100) Bodog vs 910 MIL

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:02 PM
Billy Coleman

3* But/Duke un128.5 (9:15)

5* Sea -130 (10:05)
3* NYM -120 (1:10)
3* Col/Mil ov7.5 (2:10)
free play: Clev +140 (2:05)

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:02 PM
SEAN HIGGS
50*Duke

10*Mariners
4*Reds
4*Marlins
3*Phillies

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:02 PM
STEVE MERRIL
Pirates +1.5
Mariners
Giants.

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:02 PM
STEVE DUEMIG
30 Dime - Butler
10 Dime - Rangers/Jays Over
5 Dime - Rockies

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:18 PM
C-Star Sports

50 Units Florida/Mets over the total
50 units LA Angles over Minnesota
50 units Seattle over Oakland
50 Units Butler/Duke under the total

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:23 PM
Spartan 04/05 - **Triple Dime Release**

**Triple Dime Release**

Duke -7.0 Sportbet.com vs Butler

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:29 PM
VR's Morning Moves | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet 926 OAK (+140) Bodog vs 925 SEA
Analysis:

** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* PERSONAL PLAY **

OAKLAND A's +140 (Sheets over Hernandez)....(2*)

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:44 PM
ROBERT FERRINGO

2.5-Unit Play. Take #907 L.A. Dodgers (-125) over Pittsburgh
Note: There should be a 0.5-Unit Play on the #907 Dodgers (-1.5, +130) Tacked On

1.5-Unit Play. Take #901 Philadelphia (-1.5, -120) over Washington

1-Unit Play. Take #905 St. Louis (-140) over Cincinnati

1-Unit Play. Take #915 San Francisco (-125) over Houston

0.5-Unit Play. Take #925 Seattle (-135) over Oakland

SYSTEM PLAYS
0.5-Unit Play. Take #919 Toronto (+120) over Texas
0.5-Unit Play. Take #912 Atlanta (-130) over Chicago Cubs
0.5-Unit Play. Take #903 Florida (+105) over N.Y. Mets

TOTAL PLAYS
0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.0 Florida at N.Y. Mets

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 7.0 San Francisco at Houston

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 L.A. Dodgers at Pittsburgh
Note: Bump this to a 1-Unit Play.

Get on the 'over' in the Cincinnati-St. Louis game for 0.5-Units.

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:52 PM
KING CREOLE
double-dime bet Butler / 602 Duke UNDER 129.0

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:57 PM
Feist

MLB (915) SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS at (916) HOUSTON ASTROS

TAKE : HOUSTON ASTROS

If you are going to go against Tim Lincecum, then early in the season is the best time to do it. Last year Linecum started off slowly and then caught fire. Lincecum has battled a cut finger in the spring but in his last tuneup against the A's minor leaguers he look very good. Meanwhile, Houston's pitcher Roy Oswalt has battled his own health issues. Oswalt has some hamstring problems which are due to a lower back issue. Word is that Oswalt will likely be pitching in some kind of pain all season. The veteran pitcher gave up two runs on four hits over 5 2/3 innings Wednesday in a Class A game. Not many people expect much from this Houston club this year. However, they do have a very veteran ballclub and the starting pitching will have to bounce back from an injury plagued 2009 season. The Giants could contend this year for the NL West with the Rockies and Dodgers. But, I will be taking the home dog here on opening day as I don't expect a great start out of Lincecum.

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:57 PM
Frank Patron
40000 Unit Championship Lock
Butler Bulldogs

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 01:57 PM
ic

4 Unit Play. #907. Take Under 8.5 between the LA Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (Monday @ 1:35pm est). There are several possible plays out there that fit into our system, but keep in mind that baseball doesn't really shore up similar to the NBA until later in the season. We would like to see what pitchers start off hot, are undervalued, over-valued, and who we can take in particular on bounce-backs. Something similar to that is taking Vincente Padilla who has been getting railed in the LA Newspapers and frankly being mocked as the lead starter for this team. But, Padilla has been brilliant during the end of the postseason for LA and if it wasn't for him, LA wouldn't have gone anywhere in the postseason. He can indeed be the anchor of this pitching staff and of course, in the national league he is likely to fare a hecukva lot better than in the American League. Duke pitches in the home opener here for the Pirates and I actually think he gets hit for a few runs today and the Dodgers will wind up winning this game. But, the simple fact that Padilla will raise the level of play here, I think Duke will have to keep pace and I look for this game to be a 4-2 type of game as it dips under the posted total. Our totals will firm up by the end of this week when many starters begin their second starts. The Under is 5-1 for the Dodgers as a road favorite by this margin and the Under is 9-3 in Duke's last 12 starts in a one game series.

4 Unit Play. #601. Take Butler +4 FIRST HALF ONLY over Duke (Monday @ 9:15pm est). I know the Cinderella story would be nice here. But, I'm not sure if it will happen. First let's get something out of the way, Butler is no Cinderella like Hoosiers. This team was a top 10 team in the country in the pre-rankings of the season before it got underway. This is a very capable team and has been in the front lines of some of the top teams in the country for nearing a decade now. They are in many ways the Boise State of college basketball as we expect them to win and when they beat top-tier teams, it really is no surprise. This team has their fundamentals down to the tee and that is why they do so well and that is why they have beaten some incredibly talented teams to get here such as Syracuse, Kansas State, Murray State, Michigan State and UTEP. In fact, I thin they have had a tougher road than Duke to get here wh did not have to play Kentucky in the Final Four - but who did beat Baylor to their credit who was probably their toughest opponent in the tournament even more than West Virginia. I do think that Butler hangs tough here in the first half as the crowd, the emotions, the calls will all work in their favor. But, as someone who has watched Duke games forever, this team does very, very well on the seven point spread in their ballgames. Very rarely do they win by a margin by less than eight points when they are favored. When they win, they win an cover due to the late free throws that this team shoots. Hence, after seeing so many of those games, I would not be surprised to see Butler hang tough such as let's say a 34-32 type of ballgame going into half, before things begin to change in the second half one way or another. I also have Duke as the number ranked team in my power rankings as well which makes me a bit weary to go against them so I have the most likely selection of cashing here, even more than the total, is the Butler first half play and that is what we will end to close the year. Thanks for a great season as we ended on a great note (9 of11 winning days and 18 of 26 winning days) and I hope you join me for another season next fall.

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 02:39 PM
KSL

10* Butler +7
10* over 127 Butler/Duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 02:39 PM
King Creole

double-dime bet Butler / 602 Duke UNDER 129.0

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 02:53 PM
jeff benton monday


monday 20 dime duke....5 dime atlanta braves

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 02:53 PM
WILL COVER
3* Butler +7.5

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 02:55 PM
SAC LAWSON
1 Dime Seattle -130

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 03:52 PM
steve budin

25 dime------duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 03:52 PM
CHRIS JORDAN
400* Duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 03:52 PM
CHUCK O'BRIEN
40 Dime Duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 03:53 PM
MICHAEL CANNON
25 Dime Duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 03:53 PM
STEPHEN NOVER
25 Dime Butler

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 04:07 PM
KARL GARRETT
CHAMPIONSHIP LIVING LOCK
20 Dime Butler

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 04:13 PM
BOBBY MAXWELL
700* CBB GOY Butler

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 04:13 PM
ANTHONY REDD
CBB WINNER #4
30 Dime Butler

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 04:42 PM
ASA

ASA's 8* MLB DIAMOND CLUB OPENING DAY DOMINATOR
PLAY ON: @Los Angeles Angels (Weaver) -130 over Minnesota Twins (Baker) 10:05 PM ET

The Angels have had a lot of recent success against Minnesota including winning six of the final seven meetings of the 2009 season, winning three of the four games in Anaheim last year. While a few familiar names have left the Angels this is still a quality team that won 97 games in 2009. Last year the Angels were 49-32 at home and this could be a difficult spot for Minnesota, facing long travel out west following the highly anticipated preview series with St. Louis at the new Target Field over the weekend. The Angels won both games that Jered Weaver started against Minnesota last season, including the game he matched up against Minnesota starter Scott Baker. While Weaver does not get a lot of attention, he quietly won 16 games with a respectable 3.71 ERA last season and he featured a strikeout to walk ratio of over 2.6. The Angels were 15-5 in home games that Weaver started and historically Weaver has been a solid early season pitcher. In his first start of 2009 Weaver did not allow an earned run in nearly seven innings of work while striking out eight. Scott Baker deserved better numbers than his 4.37 ERA last season but he did struggle early in the year. In three April starts Baker allowed 16 earned runs, eventually starting the year 0-4 in his first four starts. Baker had a 1.31 WHIP in road games last season compared with 1.09 at home even those some of his other statistics were stronger in road games. Baker is the ultimate control pitcher but his fly ball tendencies could be dangerous against the powerful Angels lineup. Minnesota also has serious question marks in the bullpen with Joe Nathan out for the year and Jon Rauch tabbed to be the closer. Weaver was an over -200 favorite in three of his final four home starts last season so this appears to be a cheap price on the ace for the Angels and while the Twins are a likable team, the Angels did fare ten-games better in the regular season last year while also winning a playoff series. Minnesota will be a team to back in some underdog situations but this is still a team that has generally struggled in road games against quality competition. While some question marks are present early in the season for Los Angeles, the Angels should be priced very reasonably and still should be considered a team with a lot of potential for success.

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 04:42 PM
JAY MCNEIL

100* DUKE MINUS THE POINTS
Duke 75 - Butler 64

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 04:42 PM
BOB BALFE
NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP PICK
Duke -7

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 05:53 PM
ATS FINANCIAL
3 units Duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 05:53 PM
KELSO
50 units Duke

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 05:53 PM
THE BOOOOJ

30* Butler +7.5
10* Under 128

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 05:54 PM
BOB BALFE
NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP PICK
Duke -7

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 05:54 PM
JAY MCNEIL

100* DUKE MINUS THE POINTS
Duke 75 - Butler 64

Mr. IWS
04-05-2010, 06:13 PM
Craig Davis

75 Dime Butler