5-3-10

[Mr. IWS]

ATTN! WE ARE LOOKING FOR A SERVICE PLAYS MODERATOR. IF YOU ARE INTERESTED, CONTACT ME VIA PM TO DISCUSS.

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular or premium)

::handshake::

[Mr. IWS]

R ODonnell | MLB Money Line Mon, 05/03/10 - 7:10 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 904 CIN (-123) Bookmaker.com vs 903 NYM
Analysis:


Jr's 3* Diamond in the Rough Mlb Bomb= Cinnci Reds with rookie Phenom M Leake
Let's break this baby down:

We are all over Rookie Reds pitcher M Leake who sports a 2-0, 3.25 ERA as the Reds have confidence with this rookie hurler. He has been a dynamite pitcher so far this young season as last outing he went a strong 7 innings and the Reds have won 3 out of the last 4 he has thrown. Oliver Perez the Met's pitcher has been pasted so far this season and his terrible 0-2, 4.35 ERA, he can't find the strike zone and the NY Met's are coming back to earth fast, We had those Phillies last night as a nice juicy dog + 120, The Jr Power ratings we have so far have the Reds at a 2.5 run variance. Cinnci Reds Boys ..Pound them!

[Mr. IWS]

Spartan Triple Star

3* on Phoenix Suns -4

[Mr. IWS]

Karl Garrett

30 Dime Strongest NBA Play of the Season # 3 in a Row on the Phoenix Suns as the home court favorite over San Antonio.

[Mr. IWS]

Randall The Handle MLB

NY Mets +1.19 over CINCINNATI Pinnacle
Play: NY Mets +1.19 (Risking 2 units).


Toronto +1.06 over CLEVELAND Pinnacle
Play: Toronto +1.06 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan
Monday's Winners...





600? SECOND ROUND GAME OF THE YEAR



PHOENIX SUNS



plus



200? CLEVELAND INDIANS

100? BOSTON CELTICS

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

15 Dime: BOSTON CELTICS

[Mr. IWS]

MATT FARGO

10* MLB DIAMOND DOG *69% UNDERDOG ANGLE*

10* Philadelphia Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Delaney

40 Dime Red Sox Run Line (With Buchholz over Saunders) - How bad do you think Clay Buchholz wants to win this game? He’s 2-2 on the season with a 2.19 ERA, and his bright spots have come on the highway. On visiting mounds, the right-hander is 2-0 with a stingy 2.08 ERA, including his last start, in which he allowed one earned run in eight innings at Toronto.

But at home, he’s 0-2 with an equally impressive 2.31 ERA. It’s that first win at home he’s dying to nab, and tonight is the perfect spot. The Angels just finished up losing each one of a three-game set in Motown and appear to have brought their road struggles on this tour. The Halos are now 3-6 on the road after being outscored 18-9 in their series with Detroit.

The Red Sox should be able to provide Buchholz all the run support he’ll need, as Joe Saunders is on the mound for the Halos and brings a two-game skid along with him. The Angels’ southpaw is now 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA after giving up eight earned runs over 7-2/3 innings in his last two starts, against Cleveland and Detroit. The Tigers and Indians belted out 15 hits while walking six and striking out just two, so I can only imagine how he’ll do against a Red Sox team that is hitting .260 (which ranks 16th) and is 10th in the league with 227 hits.

Boston is not going to be in a good mood either, as it comes home after being swept in Baltimore over the weekend. And if anyone read Theo Epstein’s comments, then you know he isn’t going to stand for this type of losing any longer. Let’s list both pitchers and bank on a blowout win by the Red Sox in this A.L. East clash.

10 Dime Suns

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Mon, 05/03/10 - 7:10 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 904 CIN (-130) BetUS vs 903 NYM
Analysis: ~MLB: New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds - Reds (Perez/Leake)(Best Bet) -130 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 5/3/2010
Note: It is never my favorite idea to lay this kind of number but my MLB Model has the Reds winning this game at 63.8% of the time and that is profit territory. Of course I don't blindly follow this Model and there are reasons to back Cincy here. The Mets have been on a tear but those games mostly were at home and since leaving the Big Apple, they have lost 2 of 3 and they are 3-6 so far this year away from home. The fact is, the Mets have a pretty good record, but a vast majority of those games have been played in New York. Cincy faired very well on their roadtrip despite losing the last 2 games to some good Cardinal Pitching and a good Cardinal team. Their Bullpen which has been the Pitts this year has been performing much better of late and in fact very well over the last 6 games. Mike Leake has been a pleasant surprise for the Reds this year with overall good numbers and just one bad start with his team winning 3 of 4 of his starts. His control issues are somewhat of a concern but that seems to have gotten much better with 12 BB's in his first 2 efforts and just 3 over his last 2 in 14 innings of work. Met's Perez remains just an average thrower who tires quickly and has just over 20 innings of work in 4 starts this year. His lifetime mark verses Cincy is iffy at best with an ERA of near 4.6 rpg. The Mets have never seen Leake and that is always an advantage for any thrower. I'll take my chances here despite the high vig.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo mlb totals

1/2 unit DET-MIN over 9.0
1/2 unit KCR-CWS over 9.5
1/2 unit NYM-CIN under 9.5
1/2 unit STL-PHI under 9.5
1/2 unit BAL-NYY over 9.0
1/2 unit TEX-OAK under 8.0
1 unit LAA-BOS over 9.5
1 unit ARI-HOU under 9.5
1 unit TOR-CLE under 9.0

[Mr. IWS]

Demarco

5 Dime Game 1 side selection on the Phoenix Suns minus the points at home agaitst San Antonio. As I release this play at 10:15 AM Pacifidc, the Suns are mainly 3 1/2 here in Vegas and offshore, but there are a few 4's popping up. I personalhy got -3 1/2 and then bought down the 1/2 point to -3. Obviously you should shop around. In either case, go ahead and buy down the hook for insurance.

5 Dime Series play on Phoenix as the Suns take it in 7 games.

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole | NBA Total Mon, 05/03/10 - 8:05 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 705 BOS / 706 CLE Over 192.0 Bodog
Analysis:
8:00pm ET / Round 2 - Game 2 / #705 / BOSTON CELTICS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
3** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL

[Mr. IWS]

The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, May 03, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we are 45-25 with our DOUBLE PLAYS, 68-51 with our TRIPLE PLAYS and 64-32 with our QUADRUPLE PLAYS. The previous four years my DOUBLE PLAYS are 210-114, TRIPLE PLAYS are 201-112 and QUADRUPLE PLAYS are 91-40! Today we are featuring a NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER that you can get for just $25 and you will pay only after you win! 5/3/2010
NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER
705 Boston +6 8:05 EST

[Mr. IWS]

erin rynning

under spurs/ reg

[Mr. IWS]

LT Profits

Reds -1.5 +170
Royals/White Sox UNDER 9.5 -115
Tigers/Twins UNDER 9 -105

[Mr. IWS]

Vegas Runner
Vr's morning move is baltimore RL +1.5 +135. 2* personal play

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

5 units Cavs -6
5 units Spurs +3.5

[Mr. IWS]

STEVE MERRILL

MLB
4* Oakland A's

NBA
4* Boston Celtics +4.5

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE LINEBACK
5* SA Spurs/Phoenix Suns Ove

[Mr. IWS]

FANTASY SPORTS GAMETIME
NBA
100* Suns-4 over spurs
50* Cleveland -6- boston

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

NBA
3 units Celtics +6.5

MLB
4 units Cardinals ML
3 units Blue Jays ML

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE HOOK
BURIED TREASURE
1 DIME Cavs/Celtics Under 192.5

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG DAVIS
Monday's Lineup

30 Dime COLORADO ROCKIES over the San Diego Padres with Ubaldo Jimenez as the listed pitcher. If Jimenez does not start, this play is VOID.

30 Dime NY YANKEES -1 1/2 RUN LINE over the Baltimore Orioles with Sabathia and Guthrie as the listed pitchers. If either pitcher does not start, this play is VOID.

30 Dime OVER in Game 1 of the San Antonio Spurs-Phoenix Suns series.

[Mr. IWS]

STEPHEN NOVER
Monday winner ...

20 DIME SA Spurs +3.5
15 DIME Boston Celtics/Cleveland Cavs Over 192.5

[Mr. IWS]

MTi SPORTS
5* San Antonio Spurs Under

[Mr. IWS]

MIKE HOOK
DOUBLE STAR PLAY OF THE DAY
2 DIME SA Spurs +165 ML

[Mr. IWS]

MARC LAWRENCE
3* San Antonio Spurs +4

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

SAN ANTONIO SPURS +4.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the visitors:

“We’re going to gear it up again,� the Spurs’ Tim Duncan said, “and I know people remember what went on in series past and all the battles we had. We’re looking forward to another great one.�

George Hill and Richard Jefferson have stepped up their game during the playoffs and I believe will be the difference in the outcome of this contest.

Of course the combination of Tony Parker, Manu Ginobli and Tim Duncan is as opposing as ever.

Keep in mind that San Antonio is 21-13 ATS this year after a win by 10 points or more; also 6-5 ATS as a road dog of 3 1/2 to 6 points.

On the other side of the court: As Steve Nash goes, so go the Suns; I believe that San Antonio will do an effective job of blanketing the aging super star though and disrupting the flow of this game.

Phoenix is in fact a poor 3-4 ATS when playing three or more days of rest.

Bottom line: I expect the Spurs to focus their attention on Nash and for their quicker guards to get out and run and push the ball; when that happens, expect Duncan and Ginobli to start getting better and better looks; look for SAN ANTONIO to improve to 4-2 ATS in the post-season and for the Suns to fall to 5-5 ATS off an upset win as an underdog!

*7* SPURS.

[Mr. IWS]

Andre Gomes

PHOENIX SUNS -3.5

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Balfe

PHOENIX SUNS -4

Although the Spurs were incredibly impressive against Dallas in the first round and own the Suns historically in the postseason, their season is over. They have no shot to beat the Suns without home-court advantage. Nash and Parker will essentially cancel each other out but the key to this series will be Amare. Look for the Suns to run the Spurs out of the building tonight in a double digit victory. Take Phoenix.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio

ANAHEIM ANGELS +145

Two struggling club open a 4-game series tonight in Boston. Both clubs are under .500 on the season and both are riding 3-game losing streaks. The Red Sox were embarrassed by the lowly O’s, while the Angels were losing at Detroit. Saunders gets the nod tonight for the Angels and he’s been pitching so-so on the season. However, he’s had very good success against the Red Sox posting a 7-2 team start record with a very respectable 3.56 ERA in those 9 starts. Boston sends out Buchholz and he’s been Boston’s best pitcher on the season posting a 2.19 ERA. However, he’s struggled against the Angels with a 1-3 team start record and lofty 5.73 ERA. The Red Sox have been time money burners this season as mid ranged favorites posting a 5-12 record when favored by $125-175. Meanwhile, Saunders has been a great pitcher to play on when his team is off a loss posting a 27-12 team start record. The Angels are 17-8 here in Boston the last three seasons and we think they can steal this first game of the series. Play on LA Angels.

[Mr. IWS]

Evan Altemus

Cardinals/Phillies UNDER 9.5

These are two of the best hitting teams in the National League, but I feel that this game is a great chance to take advantage of an over inflated total. First, Joe Blanton will be making his first start since coming off of the disabled list. As a result, he’ll come out focused and well rested against a tough opponent. He has also pitched very well against Albert Pujols, who has only gone 1 for 8 against Blanton. Meanwhile, St. Louis sends lefty starter Jaime Garcia to the mound, who has been excellent since joining the rotation. Teams are not familiar with his stuff, and he has posted an excellent strikeout to walk ratio this season. It is also significant that this total is at 9.5 instead of 9, meaning that the game can end 5-4 and still cash. St. Louis, despite having a good offense, is 8-16-1 to the over/under this season. That is because they have excellent pitching, both starters and the bullpen. Philadelphia has a decent bullpen also. I like taking the under here in the first game of this series, especially with the game being played on Monday. Look for this game to fall under the total.

3 UNIT SELECTION UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

Tony George

PHOENIX SUNS -4

Just a brutal series for the Spurs against hated rival Dallas, and a good scheduling spot for the Suns at home here they shoot better, play better defense, and have a strong homecourt. Getting Steve Nash well rested after sitting out practice with a sore hip the past 2 days is all good, and the frontcourt of the Suns will be more of an issue for Spurs than Dallas was, who never push it in the middle. The Suns won both games at home this year against the Spurs by double digits, and while I do not expect a blowout, I expect a 6-8 point win at home for the Suns tonight, who are determined to get over on the Spurs tis year, a team who has knocked them out f contention in the post season many times.

Play 1 Unit on the Suns.

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Lineback

Spurs/Suns OVER 203.5

Great line value IMO. Believe Phoenix will be able to control tempo at home, and both teams' can score in bunches. Teams' combined for 220, 223 & 213 points in three regular season meetings. Take the Over.

[Mr. IWS]

Savannah Sports




Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

Todays Selections

MLB Baseball

2 (**) Kansas City +130

1 (*) Detroit -110

1 (*) CWS +185

1 (*) Philadelphia +120

NBA Basketball

2 (**) LA Lakers Over 198

[Mr. IWS]

Goodfella

NBA Spurs +4 2dime

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

MLB | May 03
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Total
6½ un-115 at SIA > 6h.
Ubaldo Jimenez is fast becoming one of the top pitchers in baseball. Right now he is on top of his game, making him even more lethal. Jimenez is 5-0 with a microscopic 0.79 ERA. His five starts on the season has seen the opponent tally a total of 6 runs, so the Rockies are going to have to score 5+ here to push this one over. That looks like a very difficult task as they have topped the 5-run mark just once on the orad all season in 13 games, and going back to last season, make that one time in their last 19. I like this one to stay UNDER the total.

[spook]

Roman 5/3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

15,000 dime Suns -4

5000 dime NY Yanks -1.5rl(-150)

5000 dime Rangers ML(+120)

[spook]

King Creole | NBA Total Mon, 05/03/10 - 8:05 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 705 BOS / 706 CLE Over 192.0 Bodog
Analysis:
8:00pm ET / Round 2 - Game 2 / #705 / BOSTON CELTICS @ CLEVELAND CAVALIERS
3** BEST BET on: OVER THE TOTAL


The 'worm is turning' in terms of the TOTALS in the Cavaliers / Celtics series. After a period of significant "UNDER" results... it's gone the OTHER way as of late. These two teams have played each other 5 time sos far in the 2009/2010 season. And ALL FIVE games have gone "OVER the Total" (5-0 O/U). Average OU line in this series: 190.5 points... Average combined points scored: 200.2. That's an average OU 'margin' of almost DOUBLE DIGITS per game (+9.7 points). Both of these teams have also put up tremendous HIGH-scoring tendencies in ALL Playoff Game Two's. The CELTICS are a PERFECT 5-0 O/U in Playoff GAME TWO's in the last 3 seasons... while the CAVALIERS are 6-1 O/U at home in Playoff GAME TWO's.

When querying the '2/2' game (Round 2 / Game 2), this OU result immediately jumped out at me. And it's all we really need to know for this game:
20-4 O/U since 1991 for All NBA Playoff '2.2' HOME teams playing off a SU and ATS win in Game One (CAVALIERS). In fact, since the 2005 season... thee games have gone a PERFECT 9-0 O/U... with an average OU margin of +13.2 points power ga~me.

Game One's result was an 8-point win for the hots CAVS. They covered the pointspread (amazing since they were losing pretty big in the first half) by ONE slim point.
5-0 O/U since 1994: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO teams who covered the spread by 2 or less points in their last game... and it went 'OVER the TOTAL' (CAVS)... when the OU line is 188 > points.

10-0 O/U since 1991: All NBA Playoff home favorites (any round / any game) of -3 to -13 points playing off a SU home Playoff win and an ATS win of only 1 point EXACT (CAVS).

Let's take a look at the SEEDS for tonight's Game Two. Cleveland comes in as the Eastern Conference's #1 Seed... while Boston is seeded #4.

20-8 O/U since 2004: All NBA Playoff #1 SEEDS in any Game TWO (CAVS)... when the OU Line is 179 > points. Teams in the Eastern Conference are 10-1 O/U when favored by -15 or less points (CAVS).

9-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff #4 SEEDS in any Game TWO (CELTICS)... when the OU Line is 184 > points.

Put em BOTH together, and you get:
6-0 O/U last 4 years: All NBA Playoff #1 Seeds (CAVS) versus a #4 Seed (CELTICS)... when the OU line falls in the range of 184 to 214 points.

Game One was on Saturday... so both teams come in on only 1 day of rest...
32-11 O/U last 5 years: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO home teams playing with 1 day of REST (CAVS). Teams in the Eastern Conference have gone 18-3 O/U (CAVS).... and a PERFECT 11-0 O/U when the OU line is 186 > points.

What is it about MONDAYS that results in such HIGH-scoring results?
10-0 O/U since 2006: All NBA Playoff GAME TWO home favorites of -2 > points playing on a MONDAY (CAVS)...
17-4 O/U: All NBA Playoff ROUND TWO home teams (ANY game #) on a MONDAY when the OU line is > 190 points (CAVS). Home favs of -4 > points have gone 8-1 O/U.

After long period of low-scoring results when these two division hoop up against each other, the results have gone the OTHER way as of late.
9-1 O/U last 2 seasons: All NBA Playoff games when the CENTRAL Division (CAVS) has taken on an ATLANTIC Division opponent (CELTICS).

[spook]

The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections

Date: Monday, May 03, 2010

NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER
705 Boston +6 8:05 EST

[spook]

JSM Sports 5/3
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[904] Ari/Hou Under 9.5 |8*|+100|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[910] New York |5*|-300|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[904] Cincinnati |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[916] Kan/Chi Under 9.5 |5*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

[920] Oakland |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST


note: SYSTEM PLAYS




HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[704] Phoenix |5*|-3.5|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST

[spook]

BIGFELLA SPORTS

25*Fat Pockets NBA Phx Suns -4

10* Shoebox NHL Vancouver +145

4* Kiss MLB KC Royals +163

My MLB$$$ATM System Plays

Hou -105
NYY -1.5 -145

[spook]

ppp 4%--celtics

[spook]

ATS Lock Club

3 Units Celtics +6.5

4 Units Cardinals

3 Units Blue Jays

[spook]

World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems"

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Today's Selections



MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)




Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#4) L.A. Angels does not qualify for a Game #4 today.


Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#3) New York Mets does not qualify for a Game #3 today.

Minnesota Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!

[spook]

Selection#3 (Game#1) St. Louis -120 7:05 PM

Series Idle


Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE



Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.

Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.


Please Note:We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.

[spook]

Potsys Picks


CLEVELAND -6.5

PHILADELPHIA 134
ST LOUIS (J.Garcia) at PHILADELPHIA (J.Blanton) Over 9
CINCINNATI -1.5 (184)
LA ANGELS 1.5 (-142)
TEXAS 117

VANCOUVER at CHICAGO Over 6

[spook]

BEATTHEFIX

VINCENT MICHAEL
3* San Antonio Spurs

SONNY MESSINA
4* SL Cardinals
5* Boston Celtics
5* SA Spurs
3* SA Spurs Under

BOOTSIE FRATELLI
4* SD Padres

[spook]

JOHN MORRISON SPORTSBOOK BUFFET

ULTIMATE BET:
Phoenix Suns

BEST BETS:
Cincinnati Reds


Good Bets:
Oakland
Yanks
Blue Jays
Astros

[spook]

MARC LAWRENCE
3* San Antonio Spurs +4

[spook]

Goodfella

NBA Spurs +4 2dime

[spook]

PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS
35-25 +154.2 units past 14 days

25u Colorado w/Jimenez
15u Boston w/Buchholz
10u Yankees run line w/Sabathia

[spook]

Denver Money | NHL Money Line Mon, 05/03/10 - 7:05 PM Æ’Å*

dime bet 64 BOS (-145) Bodog vs 63 PHI
Analysis: ‚1* Boston Bruins -145

[spook]

BOOKIE MONSTER

Houston Astros +105

[spook]

ROYAL SPORTS
10* Play-San Antonio Spurs
9* Play-Under Cavs/Celtics

[spook]

MTi SPORTS

5* San Antonio Spurs Under

[spook]

Eric Degarde

2* Kansas City +130

1* Detroit -110

1* CWS +185

1* Philadelphia +120

2* LA Lakers Over 198

[spook]

Teddy Covers

Celtics/Cavs Over

DBacks

[spook]

MATT FARGO

Cardinals at Phillies
Pick: Phillies +120

This is a great price for the Phillies at home as getting them as underdogs at Citizens Bank Park with a top class starter on the hill is extremely rare. Philadelphia is coming off a series win against the Mets as the offense came to life the last two games by scoring 21 runs over the weekend. The Cardinals are obviously playing excellent baseball right now as they have won seven of their last eight games but the last six wins came at home where they are 10-3 on the season. Joe Blanton makes his season debut after spending the first month of the season on the DL with a strained left oblique. Blanton threw three, pain-free minor league rehab outings in April and before Sunday's game, Blanton said he's been healthy for a long time. “You feel good, but then you have to go through three rehab outings,� he said. “I was frustrated because I was fine. I was ready to be back.� To put this line into perspective, in 16 home starts last season, Blanton was listed as the underdog only twice, once in the regular season against Jon Lester and the Red Sox and the other in the World Series against C.C. Sabathia and the Yankees. He is now getting underdog money against a rookie and against a team he has prospered against. He is 3-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis. The rookie mentioned earlier is Jaime Garcia who has been extremely efficient to start the season. He has a 1.04 ERA and 0.96 WHIP through four starts, all of which have been quality outings. This will be the most potent offense he has seen so far this year and the Phillies are hitting .317 at home against left-handed pitching. As good as the Cardinals have been the last couple seasons, the Phillies have owned this series with wins in eight of the last 10 and 13 of the last 20 meetings. Play against National League road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season and allowed two earned runs or fewer in his last two outings. This situation is 77-35 (68.8 percent) over the last five seasons and is even better than that considering the average moneyline has been as underdogs. 10* Philadelphia Phillies

[spook]

ASA

3* Texas Rangers (Harden) +125 over Oakland (Braden)

Oakland was a surprising hot team early in the season but the last road trip has taken a toll as the A’s dropped five of six games out east. Injuries are mounting for the A’s with Kurt Suzuki hitting the DL most recently, now making four regulars in the lineup out of action. The A’s have out-scored opponents by just two runs and are .500 for the season through a favorable early season schedule. The road team actually won six of the last eight meetings between these teams in 2009 so there is no assurance that there will be a big edge for the A’s at home tonight. Oakland also faced long travel back from Toronto, while Texas was already on the west coast.

The Rangers have now won six of the last eight games as the offense is picking up. Texas has scored nearly five runs per game in the last ten games and although the team average is marginal for the season there has been a big jump from the cold early season numbers. With Nelson Cruz on the DL a lot of production has been lost, but the Rangers are 5-1 so far without him. The Rangers have not had great success against left-handed pitching but the current lineup should be well suited to handle this match-up. Texas found ways to win in the last two match-ups against left-handers, winning games going against Cliff Lee and Mark Buehrle last week.

Dallas Braden has made headlines this season but his pitching has taken a tumble this season since his public spat with Alex Rodriguez. Braden was rocked in Tampa Bay last week, allowing eight hits and six runs in four innings. The A’s are 4-1 behind him this season which creates this favored line for the lesser A’s team but Braden has not been dominant. He has allowed four home runs and 13 runs in his last four starts while striking out just nine batters. The Oakland bullpen has also taken a step back after posting strong early season numbers. With two starters out of action and three relievers now on the DL, this could be a very tough stretch for the Oakland pitching staff.

Rich Harden will have a chance tonight against his former team as Harden pitched in Oakland for over five years. He knows how to pitch in this ballpark and so far he has been a good signing for the Rangers, delivering solid results. He walks far too many batters but has the strikeout capability to get around the extra base runners. Harden is holding opposing batters to just a .225 batting average this season and the Rangers have won three of his last four starts, with his only loss coming in New York. With underdog value on a Rangers team that looks like the best in the AL West this should be a good opportunity to back Texas and the A's should be a team to fade in the coming weeks with the injuries and the inflated valuation on Oakland.


3* play on: Over 204.5 San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns

The Spurs and Suns have had some legendary battles in the playoffs and don't expect that to change this post season. What to expect in Game 1 is a higher scoring game that flies over the total. The Spurs aren't quite the same team they've been in the past as defensively they're not as good. Last season the Spurs allowed just 93.5 ppg which was good enough for 2nd in the League. They were 6th in the league in defensive efficiency. This year they're 8th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 96 ppg and 8th in defensive efficiency. That's not the only change in San Antonio this season. Offensively the focus is not Tim Duncan anymore as Giniboli, Parker, Jefferson and the rest of the Spurs have taken on the scoring burden. San Antonio went from scoring 96.7 ppg last year to 100.8 ppg this season.

We positively know what Phoenix brings to the table tonight. They'll push the tempo and force the Spurs into the pace they want. Phoenix averages 112.3 ppg which is #1 in the league at home, 109.8 ppg overall. The Suns are the most efficient team in the league as they average 1.121 points per possession. San Antonio isn't far behind in the 9th position averaging 1.067 points per possession.

These two teams met three times this year and the total points scored were 213, 223 and 220 total points. The pace of play numbers were also pretty high as they attempted 162, 168 and 152 shots respectively in the three games. Both teams shot extremely well in the regular season series as they combined to average over 50% shooting from the field. We may change our opinion on this series as we progress but we feel very confident Game 1 goes over the total tonight!

[spook]

Point Train

5-Units Phoenix (-3.5) over San Antonio

This isn’t the same Phoenix team that has lost to the Spurs two of the last three seasons. The 2007 & 2008 Suns relied heavily on just being able to out-score their opponents, and it always worked out fine in the regular season, and killed them in the playoffs. But this team has a completely different approach to the game and now has a defensive mind-set that will allow them to steal game one against San Antonio tonight.

The Suns haven't stopped scoring in bunches. Their league-leading scoring average of 110.2 points per game was forged not through pace, but with some of the best long-range shooting the league ever has seen. Their league-leading 41.2 percent 3-point shooting was the second-highest in NBA history. In the first round against Portland, the Blazers collapsed on Amare Stoudemire in the paint, and that allowed the Suns to fire away from the beyond the arc. The Suns responded by making 40% of their 3-point attempts. Stoudemire still scored 20.5 PPG in the series, making 54% of his shots. He averaged 39 points against the spurs in the 2005 Western Conference finals, but he is a couple of years older and is more focused on the defensive end of the floor.

“The difference for us is we're a much better defensive team. That makes us different from the previous Phoenix Suns teams that played the Spurs.� Stoudemire continued

“That's what I've been working on the past few years — getting better defensively. I feel I have gotten better, and we have as a team. It's about being smart and getting stops. We'll see how it goes.�

Phoenix won both matchups with the Spurs at home this season. The Suns shot 51% (47.5% beyond the arc) and had 14 more shot attempts in the two games. San Antonio averaged 16 TO’s per game and shot just 31.6% from beyond the arc.

Phoenix is 34-10 at home this season, outscoring their opponents at home this season by 9.7 PPG. San Antonio is rather pedestrian on the road, with a 22-22 record, outscoring opponents by a measly 1.4 PPG.

A lot of the experts are jumping on the San Antonio bandwagon right now. They baffled the Mavericks in the first round and, because of that, everyone thinks that they are one of the front runners for the NBA title. Don’t look too much into it, the Spurs defeated an overrated Dallas squad that was filled aging veterans and a sub-par coach. Phoenix will

San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.

Phoenix is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite. They are also on an amazing 29-11-1 ATS overall run and we expect that to continue tonight with a big win over the Spurs

[spook]

Nelly

1* San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns OVER 203.5

The Spurs and Suns played very high scoring regular season games with final scores resulting in 220, 223, and 213 points. The lowest regular season total between these teams was 206 so this price is discounted despite all three regular season meetings playing 'over'. The dip in scoring for the Suns in the first round of the playoffs is the culprit for the lower number as the 'under' cashed in each of the final four games of the opening round series with Portland. Three of those four games came in Portland however and the Blazers are a very effective defensive team particularly at home. The 'under' also had some success in that series as Portland’s leading scorer Brandon Roy missed time and was extremely limited in the games he did play. The 'under' went 5-0-1 in the opening round series for the Spurs which helps to keep this figure in check for game 1. San Antonio did a great job defensively against Dallas but the pace in this series should be in great contrast with that series. In home games this season the Suns averaged over 112 points per game and San Antonio is not the great defensive team that they were in the title runs years earlier this decade. Counting the playoffs and the regular season Phoenix has scored at least 100 points in ten of the last eleven home games and only four times all season did the Suns fail to reach triple-digits. While the series with Dallas was lower scoring, the Spurs were not nearly as strong defensively on the road as Dallas topped 100 points in two of the three home games. For the season the Spurs allowed nearly 96 points per game while scoring nearly 97 points per game and this Spurs lineup does not fit many of the past perceptions of this team. While both teams were strong 'under' teams in the regular season and so far in the playoffs, this price is very favorable to the 'over' and the regular season meetings between these teams should be telling about how this game plays out.


1* Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 192.5

Boston and Cleveland are considered strong defensive teams but neither was that dominant this season. Both teams averaged allowing over 95 points per game, which would nearly hit this total should those numbers hold up. Those averages of course include many games against weak offensive teams while Boston and Cleveland have both proven to be among the best teams in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland scored nearly 103 points per game in the regular season and through six playoff games the Cavaliers have not been held below 96 points. Game 1 of this series barely cleared the total, going over by just two points, but the fourth quarter was extremely low-scoring. Boston and Cleveland were on pace to go well 'over' the total until just 37 points were scored in the final frame. Only eight 3-point shots were made in the game and there were not a great amount of free throws. Boston also struggled with turnovers which took away several scoring opportunities. While the game was extremely close for most of the fourth quarter the Cavaliers took over with a couple of big shots and the Celtics were never in a position where fouling late in the game would have been advantageous. In a playoff setting that is somewhat rare in a competitive game and usually can account for a bump in the fourth quarter numbers. Boston is no where close to the defensive team that led to the title run in 2008 and in eight of the last nine road games the Celtics have allowed at least 98 points. All signs point to another 'over' in game 2 of this series and with the close call in game 1 this total has been minimally adjusted.

[spook]

Scott Rickenbach

10* Boston vs Los Angeles Angels OVER

Both teams are happy to be in a new locale as the Angels just got swept at Detroit over the weekend while the Red Sox were also swept at Baltimore – with two of the losses coming in extra innings! Speaking of sweeps, the Angels swept the Red Sox out of the playoffs last fall. The Angels play with extra confidence here at Fenway Park as a result. However, the Red Sox always have an extra edge at home and we expect them to pound Joe Saunders in this start. The Angels southpaw is off to a very tough start and is having trouble finding his balance of command and movement with his pitches according to manager Mike Scioscia. That’s not good news as Saunders now faces a Red Sox team that was starting to hit their stride on offense in their most recent home stand.

Boston has scored six runs or more in four of their last six home games. They’ll look to take advantage of Saunders who has struggled to a 1-4 record and a 5.74 ERA so far this season. Though the Red Sox are turning to a starter tonight who has much better numbers so far this season, we’re not sold on Clay Buchholz enjoying success in this match-up. The Red Sox right-hander is 1-2 with a 6.35 ERA and a .319 BAA in his career outings against the Angels. Also, Buchholz has an 8.56 ERA in his three career May outings. After some rain moves through the Boston area early Monday, the skies are expected to clear and the winds should be blowing out to either center or right field for this match-up after this weather front moves through Monday. It all helps set the stage for an absolute slugfest in this one. Kevin Youkolis is expected to be back in the Red Sox lineup tonight after missing yesterday’s game. Also, the Red Sox are 3-0 to the over this season when they are a home favorite of 150 to 175. Play OVER the total in Boston as a *10* Top Play selection.

[spook]

C-Star Sports

5000 Units San Antonio at Phoenix Over the total
5000 Units NY Mets at Cincinnati Over the total
1000 Units Boston plus the points over Cleveland
50 units Spurs plus the points over Suns

[spook]

Power Play Wins

Power Play of the Day
Phoenix Suns -4

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Handicapper: Jim Feist
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres - Monday May 3, 2010 10:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 6.5 (-110) (Normal)

Take: UNDER

Reason: NL Total of the Month: Rockies/Padres Under the total. Petco Park is a great pitcher's park and the Padres have a weak offense anyway, ranked 10th in the NL in runs scored. Colorado comes to town with 26-year old ace Ubaldo Jimenez (5-0, 0.79 ERA) throwing smoke. Jimenez threw six scoreless innings against the Diamondbacks Tuesday to move to 5-0 on the season. You couldn't really write a better April for Jimenez. His ERA sits a notch below 1.00 (0.79) and his WHIP a notch above (1.05). He struck out 31 in 34.1 innings while only walking 14, and he did not allow a home run despite making two starts at Coors Field. He is on a 4-0 run under the total. San Diego counters with a good arm in Kevin Correia (4-1, 3.86 ERA), who has won 4 in a row. His control is excellent with a strong 26-10 K/BB ratio. Look for a pitcher's duel in the best pitcher's park in the big leagues. Play the Rockies/Padres Under the total

[spook]

Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres - Monday May 3, 2010 10:05 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 6.5 (100) (Play of the Day)

10* graded play OVER Colorado/SD set to start at 10:05 EST. This has starters Jimenez facing Correia. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that 7 o more runs will be scored in this game. 63% of these games have gone over the posted total by at least 1 run. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-16 for 73.3% winners since 2004. Play over with road teams that have an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game and with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts. SD is also in an offensive situation noting they are 2-10 OVER (+11.4 Units) versus a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. Jimenez has been unreal throwing a no hitter and allowing just 7 hits and ZERO ER in the subsequent starts. Control has been his problem and we expect SD to take pitches and make him work. He has allowed 10 BB in his last 3 starts. he has made 5 starts and has thrown 558 in 34.1 innings. That is averaging 112 pitches per start and even though it is early May fatigue is an issue with this start. Many times we have also seen starters throw a no hitter and then that positive even carries over for a few starts, but then and for no apparent reason the starts become less than average. This is the spot we feel Jimenez is in right now. Take the OVER.

[spook]

Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies - Monday May 3, 2010 7:05 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9.5 (100) (Normal)

The St. Louis Cardinals have been getting superb pitching from not only their starters, but the bullpen as well. The Cards have amazingly not allowed any team to score more than 4 runs in a game over their last 11, and just three teams in their last 21 have. That certainly puts a lot of pressure in a game with a high NL total to score enough to top the number here. The Cards’ pitching has staked the UNDER to a decisive 41-17-6 mark in their last 64 with a high total of 9-10.5. The Phillies have played UNDER to an 11-5-1 mark in their last 17 as a dog from +110 to +150. I'll go with the UNDER here

[spook]

STAN LISOWSKI
4*Cleveland over
3*Cleveland
3*Phoenix

[spook]

JEFF BENTON
15 DIME Boston.

[spook]

WAYNE ROOT

4* MILLIONAIRE Boston Celtics
6* BILLIONAIRE SA Spurs

[spook]

Seabass 5/3

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Steam Play 200* Spurs

50* Spurs for the series

100* Cavs

NHL
50* Bruins un
50* Blackhawks

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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, May 03, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: We are currently on a 61-30 run with all of our guaranteed selections!!! We are now 56-31 in College Hoops, 29-20 in the NBA and 61-24 in the NHL for a total of 146-74! If your looking for ONE BIG PLAY, you just found it! Today we are featuring our ***CODE RED*** NBA LATE STEAM WINNER! You can get this MONSTER WINNER tonight for just $29 and pay only after you win! 5/3/2010

***CODE RED*** NBA LATE STEAM WINNER
Phoenix -3.5 10:35 EST

[spook]

Wise Guy Insider Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, May 03, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: The name of the game is INFORMATION and we have just received some KILLER INFO on one of today's games! You can get our WISE GUY NBA SLAM DUNK BASKETBALL TOTALS BOMB for just $29 and as always you must win this game or you will not be charged! We are currently on a 125-54 run with all of our guaranteed selections! 5/3/2010

WISE GUY NBA SLAM DUNK BASKETBALL TOTALS BOMB
OVER 192.5 Boston and Cleveland 8:05 EST

[spook]

The Hammer Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, May 03, 2010
$29.00 Guaranteed: THE BIG MAN is on a 36-17 run in the NBA and tonight he is stepping out in a VERY BIG WAY! The HAMMER is LOCKED & LOADED as he has one of his STRONGEST NBA SELECTIONS OF THE SEASON! This game is so STRONG it can only be rated as his PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB NBA PLAYOFF TOTALS BOMB and you can get this GUARANTEED WINNER NOW for only $29 and you will pay ONLY after you WIN! 5/3/2010

PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB NBA PLAYOFF TOTALS BOMB
OVER 204 San Antonio and Phoenix 10:35 EST

[spook]

vegas-runner | MLB Total Mon, 05/03/10 - 8:10 PM

triple-dime bet 917 DET / 918 MIN Under 9 Bodog Analysis: *** MLB 3* BOOKIE BET *** (Confirmed "BIG SLICK BET" by Bookie Bill)
UNDER 9 (-120) DET/MIN....(3*)....SCHERZER vs BAKER

[spook]

EXECUTIVE
150% Oakland A's COMP-
250% Cleveland Cavs
250% Detroit Tigers

[spook]

John Morrison SportsPicksBuffet 5/3

ULTIMATE BET:
Phoenix Suns

BEST BETS:
Cincinatti Reds

Good Bets:
Oakland
Yanks
BluJays
Astros

[spook]

aredd

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Monday's Card 40 Dime Play - Celtics (1st Half)

10 Dime Play - Celtics/Cavaliers Under

10 Dime Play - Suns

10 Dime Play - Spurs/Suns Over

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vegas-runner | NBA Sides Mon, 05/03/10 - 8:05 PM ‘

triple-dime bet 705 BOS 6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 706 CLE Analysis: *** NBA PLAYOFFS 3* ROAD DOG OF THE WEEK ***
CELTICS +6.5....(3*)

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STAT REPORT
Cleveland Cavs

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GINA

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL

Monday, May 3nd, 2010 7:10 p.m. est.
New York Mets (14-11) at Cincinnati Reds (12-13)
(L) Oliver Perez (0-2) vs. (R) Mike Leake (2-0)


New York has won five of the last 7 meetings versus Cincinnati. However, Reds' rookie Mike Leake has pitched outstanding, while Mets' veteran Oliver Perez is struggling. Go with the Reds with rookie Leake on the hill.

New York's lefthander Oliver Perez is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three starts and is 9-5 with a 4.54 ERA lifetime against the Reds. The Mets are 1-4 in Perez’s last 5 starts, 1-7 in the lefthander's last 8 on the road.

Cincinnati's right-hander Mike Leake is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three starts. The Reds are 3-1 in the rookie's four appearances.

Cincinnati Reds -130





Monday, May 3nd, 2010 8:00 p.m. est.
Boston Celtics (54-34) at Cleveland Cavaliers (66-22)
Go with LeBron James and company in their house tonight. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 versus Boston at Quicken Loans Arena.

Cleveland Cavaliers -6½

[spook]

JOHHNY GUILD

Monday, May 3rd, 2010 10:30 PM EST.
San Antonio Spurs (54-34) at Phoenix Suns (58-30)
Look for the Spurs to have a big task slowing down Stoudemire and crew at US Airways Center. Take the home team in a physical battle between these two hard-hitting rivals! The home team has won all three games this season.

San Antonio is just 5-5 against the spread in its last 10 road games, whereas the Suns have played well at home, 8-1-1 against the spread in their last 10 games at home.

Phoenix Suns - 4


8:00 PM EST. Boston Celtics (54-34) at Cleveland Cavaliers (66-22) Over - 192.5

[spook]

Goodfella

NBA Spurs +4 2dime

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bookiemonster

Houston Astros +105

[spook]

Primetime Sports Advisors
35-25 +154.2 units past 14 days

25u Colorado w/Jimenez
15u Boston w/Buchholz
10u Yankees run line w/Sabathia

[spook]

Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
901 STL ML -118 $5
904 CIN ML -128 $6
908 SD ML +140 $5
910 NYY ML -305 $10
912 Tor / Cle UN 8.5 +100 $5
913 LAA +1.5 -135 $6
916 CWS ML -165 $10
918 MINN ML -125 $21
920 OAK ML -127 $7


National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
66 CHI ML -158 $7
66 Chi / Van UN 6 -115 $9

SERIES BETS
3102 CHI WIN SERIES -135 $10
NJ to WIN Eastern Conference +650 $4
Chi to WIN Western Conference +215 $5


National Basketball Association
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
703 SA +4 -103 $7
706 CLEVE -6.5 -105 $5

[spook]

win or lose pod...Pod is cinci reds

[spook]

Jonathan Stone

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Celtics ML and +6.5

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Savannah Sports


Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

Todays Selections

MLB Baseball

2 (**) Kansas City +130

1 (*) Detroit -110

1 (*) CWS +185

1 (*) Philadelphia +120

NBA Basketball

2 (**) LA Lakers Over 198


Savannah Sports

Scratch the CWS play!
Play Kansas City

[Catherine]

Doc's NBA

3-Unit Play #705 Take Boston/Cleveland UNDER 192½

[Catherine]

VR has 7 plays today:
2*MM: Baltimore +1.5
2* True Steam: SA
3* GOW Boston
3* Big Slick: DET/MIN Under

[spook]

Doc's NBA

3-Unit Play #705 Take Boston/Cleveland UNDER 192½

[spook]

The Consensus Pick
Pick of the Day: Celtics +3.5 [FIRST HALF] (-110) [NBA]
Free Pick: Spurs +4 (-110) [NBA]

[spook]

CHERRY PICKING SERVICE PLAYS
NY Yankees ML
Cincinnati Reds ML

[spook]

Mike Hook | NBA Money Line Mon, 05/03/10 - 10:35 PM “
double-dime bet ml 703 SAN (+165) Bodog vs 704 PHO Analysis: The San Antonio Spurs MONEYLINE at +165 is the Double Star Play of the Day!

[spook]

JIMMY BOYD

1*Colorado
3* Oakland
3* Cards
5* Celtics +6.5

[spook]

KGB SPORTS

3*** SA Spurs +4
4*** SD Padres +131

[spook]

WUNDERDOG PARLAY CLUB
Cleveland over Boston
NY Yankee's over Baltimore

[spook]

Deano

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sorry so late but this is what he has today:


Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-May 3rd

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

MLB Expected Betting Chart: 2/5/8/10 DIMES
************************************************** ********************
[901] St. Louis |5?|-112|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[905] Arizona |2?|Run Line +1.5|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[910] New York |2?|-300|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
************************************************** ********************

*Note
Check out cappers records at Handicappers Paradise

-----------------------------

HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[704] Phoenix |5*|-3.5|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST

Note*
Capper's Records posted at Handicappers Paradise

[spook]

Game of the day: Spurs at Suns

San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns (-4.5, 203.5)

Two veteran squads tip off Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals Monday. The No. 7-seeded Spurs upset the Dallas Mavericks in six games in their opening series. The No. 3-seed Suns had some rough moments in their first-round series but knocked off the Trail Blazers.

One-sided rivalry

These two teams are no strangers to each other in the playoffs. The Spurs have eliminated the Suns four of the last five times Phoenix has reached the playoffs. And the year the Suns won, Tim Duncan missed the series due to injury.

The Suns have home-court advantage and are the favorites in the series but history is clearly on the side of the Spurs.

Injury report

Suns guard Steve Nash has been fighting a sore hip. He will play but tends to get a bit more rest on the sidelines lately. Nash has done some shooting but has not practiced for the past two days and said the injury is worse now than when he originally injured it in Game 3 of the Blazers’ series.

Suns center Robin Lopez is doubtful for Monday’s game. He did practice Saturday and said he feels better. Lopez has a bulging disk in his back. He vows to play in the series but don’t count on him until at least Game 3.

Also, Spurs guard Malik Hairston missed the first series with an ankle injury and is questionable for Monday’s game. DeJuan Blair played in Game 6 of the last series after driving his car into a guardrail before the game.

Season series

The Suns won the season series 2-1, all high-scoring affairs. The two teams averaged 218 points in the game and each game went over the total. Amare Stoudemire averaged over 32 points and the Suns covered the spread all three games.

The edge

Every time you count the Spurs out, their savvy and grit seems to carry them.

The Suns have watched Tim Duncan and Robert Horry bury 3-pointers at the buzzer. Even during the regular season, Roger Mason hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer.

The Suns have also had Stoudemire and Boris Diaw suspended in crucial contests and injuries have cost them at other times. Nash couldn’t stop his nose from bleeding in another memorable contest.

But, the Suns seem to have the better legs. They’ve got Grant Hill to slow down Manu Ginobili and Duncan has seen better days. They have to believe they can win this one.

No donuts for Duncan

For years, the Suns have tried to find a way to limit Duncan – with little or no success. Stoudemire’s guarded him. They brought in Kurt Thomas and even failed with the Shaq. Now, Robin Lopez is banged up.

Duncan may be aging but he and his pick-and-roll are still a weapon. He averaged 18 points and 10 rebounds during the season. Jarron Collins will get his chance to slow him down this series.

The X-factor

Jason Richardson averaged 23.5 points in the playoff series against the Blazers. He scored 42 points to single-handedly win Game 3 and shot over 50 percent from 3-point range in the series. After toiling in Golden State and Charlotte for several years, Richardson seems to be poised to make a name for himself in the playoffs.

Trend setting

The Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last five conference semifinal games but they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven playoff games as an underdog.

The Suns are 8-2 ATS when a slight favorite up to 4.5 points. The line is currently -4.5.

While these teams have gone over the total the last three times they’ve met, most of the figures point to the under in the contest. The Spurs have gone under the total six of the last seven games and the other was a push. The Suns have gone under the total four straight

__________________
WE OWN THE N.L.

[spook]

Scott Spreitzer's
NBA MONDAY NIGHT KNOCKOUT! *10-1, 91% KO Run!
I'm taking the points with the Spurs on Monday night

[spook]

TSG plays

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Bit late

Under Bos/Cle heavy
Bos +6.5 normal
SA/PHO O 1 Half

Baseball
Tor, Oak, Arz, Det, Sd

[spook]

STUMPTHESPREAD
MLB: SD Padres +136

[spook]

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR
MLB
San Diego +126

[spook]

B&S PICKS
ADDED
BOOKIE BASHER
2 DIME SA Spurs +4

[spook]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

SAN ANTONIO SPURS +4.5

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the visitors:

“We’re going to gear it up again,� the Spurs’ Tim Duncan said, “and I know people remember what went on in series past and all the battles we had. We’re looking forward to another great one.�

George Hill and Richard Jefferson have stepped up their game during the playoffs and I believe will be the difference in the outcome of this contest.

Of course the combination of Tony Parker, Manu Ginobli and Tim Duncan is as opposing as ever.

Keep in mind that San Antonio is 21-13 ATS this year after a win by 10 points or more; also 6-5 ATS as a road dog of 3 1/2 to 6 points.

On the other side of the court: As Steve Nash goes, so go the Suns; I believe that San Antonio will do an effective job of blanketing the aging super star though and disrupting the flow of this game.

Phoenix is in fact a poor 3-4 ATS when playing three or more days of rest.

Bottom line: I expect the Spurs to focus their attention on Nash and for their quicker guards to get out and run and push the ball; when that happens, expect Duncan and Ginobli to start getting better and better looks; look for SAN ANTONIO to improve to 4-2 ATS in the post-season and for the Suns to fall to 5-5 ATS off an upset win as an underdog!

*7* SPURS.

[spook]

MIKE LINEBACK
5* SA Spurs/Phoenix Suns Over

Spurs/Suns OVER 203.5

Great line value IMO. Believe Phoenix will be able to control tempo at home, and both teams' can score in bunches. Teams' combined for 220, 223 & 213 points in three regular season meetings. Take the Over

[spook]

TONY GEORGE

PHOENIX SUNS -4

Just a brutal series for the Spurs against hated rival Dallas, and a good scheduling spot for the Suns at home here they shoot better, play better defense, and have a strong homecourt. Getting Steve Nash well rested after sitting out practice with a sore hip the past 2 days is all good, and the frontcourt of the Suns will be more of an issue for Spurs than Dallas was, who never push it in the middle. The Suns won both games at home this year against the Spurs by double digits, and while I do not expect a blowout, I expect a 6-8 point win at home for the Suns tonight, who are determined to get over on the Spurs tis year, a team who has knocked them out f contention in the post season many times.

Play 1 Unit on the Suns.

[spook]

aussieguy sports picks 05/03/2010

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SUNS -4.5 at + 109

[spook]

Bob Balfe MLB 5-3-10

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Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres under 6.5 runs