5-4-10

[spook]

good luck lets make some money.. ::luck::

[spook]

NBA NEWS AND NOTES
NBA EASTERN CONFERENCE
Hawks vs. Magic Series Preview
By Larry Josephson

Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic

There are so many issues with the Atlanta Hawks that it’s hard to figure out where to start.

Maybe the best place to begin is at the finish, which is where this franchise probably will be in a week or 10 days after the Orlando Magic have bounced them out of the playoffs in five or six games.
The Hawks team that finishes this season will probably bear little resemblance to the team that begins 2010-11 play next November.
Unless Mike Woodson can figure out a way to get his team past Orlando or at least get it to a seventh game, he’ll probably be looking for work before the official start of summer. He’s had several years to make it work in Georgia. And while there has been incremental progress, the feeling is growing that he – much like the team – has maxed out. Woodson is hammered day and night on Hawks message boards.

Woodson is a likeable sort and his Hawks have enough talent to do damage on any given night (ask the Celtics, who were swept by Atlanta this season and in their championship season two years ago were life and death with the Hawks in a seven-game, opening-round set). But unless the Hawks are creating turnovers and pushing the ball, the offense is no more complicated than what you would see at any elementary school morning recess.

Defense, to paraphrase Leona Helmsley, is for the little people. The Hawks might dig in when they have to for 4- or 5-minute stretches, but over 48 a night they will always give their opponent enough blue sky to go on runs. Without a big man Milwaukee should have been kicked to the curb in four games, but a bad loss at home in Game 5 forced the Hawks to roll their eyes and work hard for two games and win it in 7.

Speaking of big men, there are none in Atlanta unless the Hawks can talk Zelmo Beaty out of retirement. Beaty is now 70 but might still be able to bang with Dwight Howard as well as the Hawks’ current front line can. Al Horford works hard and didn’t look like a Horford out of water against Milwaukee because the Bucks’ Andrew Bogut was sidelined, but it all ends when the Magic trot out Dwight Howard for the opening tap. And after a sucky four games against the Bobcats that included a fine for complaining about the referees, Howard will not be in a pleasant mood when this series starts.
This could be the last go-round in Atlanta for Joe Johnson, who hits the free agent market this summer and would be an attractive consolation prize for any talent-hungry team that is unable to land LeBron, Dwyane or Bosh. Johnson is able to take over games for short periods of time, but he is expected to wear down chasing Orlando’s front line as it spots up and treats this series like it’s the All-Star Game 3-point contest.

Meanwhile, everything is setting up nicely for the Magic, who have had a full week off since defeating the Bobcats in Round 1.
Howard could have a dominating series. He did not play as many as 30 minutes in any of the four Charlotte games (foul trouble was a big reason), and while he didn’t score much (9.8 ppg), he did block 20 shots. He’ll be rested and motivated.

Orlando did not score in triple digits in any of the Charlotte games, but the Bobcats’ walk-it-up style has a lot to do with that. In fact, the scoring was skewed as Jameer Nelson scored 24 a game and Vince Carter only 15.
The Magic feel they have some unfinished business to take care of. Late last spring, Orlando came with a Courtney Lee missed layup of making life very uncomfortable for the eventual NBA-champion Lakers, and they get a legitimate shot at returning to the finals again this season.

Assuming that the Hawks don’t have enough to pull a major upset, the Magic will get either Cleveland (likely) or Boston (possibly) in the Eastern finals and perhaps another Finals with Los Angeles.

Atlanta will hit the wall here. Since the Hawks play at 90 mph, it will be ugly. Orlando has no problem winning on the road – the Magic won games in Boston and in Cleveland in the playoffs last season – and should clean things up in no more than five. If the Hawks want to up the tempo the game they’ll have to rebound and they have no one with enough elbow grease to bang with the Orlando bigs.

Prediction: Magic In Five Games

[spook]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Today's Best NBA Bets

Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic (-9, 192)

With the Magic sweeping Charlotte in four games, the team hasn’t played competitive basketball in eight days.

"It can go against you or it can help you," Hawks coach Mike Woodson said of the layoff. "If your team is banged up, they had a good week to heal some wounds. Sometimes layoffs can hurt you as well."

Not only has Orlando not played a game in more than a week, the team hasn’t stepped into Amway Arena with anything on the line but practice in 13 days.

"We're pretty tired of that," Vince Carter said. "A real game will be a welcome site."

All the time off adds up to the Magic coming out a little rusty in this playoff series opener. The team lives and dies by the 3-pointer and having an opponent’s hand in your face is much different than your teammate’s during practice.

Atlanta may have figured out the key to success during the last two games against the Bucks – defense. The Hawks held Milwaukee to 69 and 74 points while wrapping up the series.

Hotlanta has played to the under in three straight and the last five meetings between these two went under by an average of 17.2 points per game. Expect the streaks to extend tonight.

Pick: Under

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NHL NEWS AND NOTES
WHAT BETTORS NEED TO KNOW
Penguins at Canadiens

Pittsburgh Penguins at Montreal Canadiens (+140, 5.5)
Series tied 1-1

Welcome Back Halak

Montreal goaltender Jaroslav Halak returned to playoff form in Sunday’s 3-1 win over Pittsburgh in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference semifinal.

Halak, who captured the hockey world’s attention with his stellar play in the Canadiens’ first-round upset of the No. 1 Washington Capitals, gave up five goals on 20 shots before being pulled in Game 1’s 6-3 loss. However, he rebounded by making 38 saves in Game 2’s victory over the Penguins.

"I needed to be better," Halak told reporters following the win. "I knew that. I think the guys knew they needed to step up. And we did that tonight."

Sunday’s performance improves Halak’s postseason numbers to a 2.68 GAA and a .931 save percentage in eight playoff games. He’s faced an average of over 36 shots per game and seems to rise to the occasion when opponents pepper him with shots. Halak is 4-0 when facing 38 or more shots this postseason.

Cooler Heads Prevail

Pittsburgh’s offense looked like it had ice water flowing through its veins in Game 1. The defending Stanley Cup champs scored six goals – including an empty netter late in the third period – on just 24 shots on goal.

But, with Montreal tightening up the blueline, the Penguins found little room to operate in Sunday’s 3-1 loss. Pittsburgh jumped out to an early one-goal lead in the first period but couldn’t solve the Habs defense for the remainder of the game. It wasn’t for a lack of effort. Pittsburgh fired 39 shots on goal, with 30 of those coming in the final two periods of the game.

"We expected games like this, where their goaltender plays well and their defence plays like they did," Penguins head coach Dan Bylsma told the media. "We have to continue to go with our game plan - it's a race to four."

While Pittsburgh’s power play dominated in Game 1, scoring four goals with the man advantage, it was locked down Sunday. Montreal killed all three of the Pens’ power-play chances and added a goal with the man advantage itself, getting a power-play score from Michael Cammalleri in the second period.

Emotions boiled over when Penguins star Sidney Crosby smashed his stick against the Canadiens goal post after a failed scoring attempt in the second period, shattering the stick into pieces and making it obvious that the Habs were getting the Pens' goat.

The Jordan Rules

Pittsburgh’s offensive stumble could have a lot to do with the injury to third-line center Jordan Staal, who suffered tendon damage on top of his left foot during Game 1 of this conference semifinal.

Staal, a towering grinder who was key in last year’s Stanley Cup run, underwent surgery Friday and is currently listed as day-to-day and is expected to return some time in the postseason.

"He's a guy we always look to as a two-way guy and a guy who's real tough to play against," Penguins captain Sidney Crosby told the press. "Collectively, we all have to make sure we're better. Whoever's playing in his absence, I don't think they have to put pressure on themselves to be Jordan Staal, (because) he's not an easy guy to replace."

Penguins backers are hoping that return is sooner than later. Staal had four points in the playoffs including a goal in Game 1 before colliding with Canadiens defenseman P.K. Subban mid way through Friday’s game.

With Staal out of the lineup, Pittsburgh has shuffled its forward corps, putting Maxime Talbot on the third line with Matt Cooke and Tyler Kennedy. Talbot was also an important part of last year’s championship team.

"(Staal) is obviously someone really hard to replace," Talbot told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. "I don't think you can replace a guy like that. I'll do my best to be effective and do what I can do."

Montreal is also dealing with serious injuries. Defenseman Andrei Markov is expected to miss the rest of the postseason after suffering what is being reported as a severe knee injury in Game 1. He had three assists in the playoffs

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ICE PICKS

Today's Best NHL Bets

San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings (-165, 5.5)

Most hockey fans expected the perennially, underachieving playoff Sharks to lose at least one of the first two games in this series.

But perhaps this is the season the Stanley Cup knows its way to San Jose. The Sharks took the first two games of the series with 4-3 decisions but now the match heads to Hockey Town.

"It'll be nice to get home ice again," Nicklas Lidstrom said. "We're down 2-0 in this series, but we're heading home. It's going to be an important Game 3 coming up in Detroit. We're confident playing at home, but playoffs is different than the regular season.�

The Red Wings lost two of three home games in the first-round series versus Phoenix but went 25-10-6 at Joe Louis Arena during the regular season.

Detroit is hoping to get the same kind of love from the officials on their home ice as San Jose did at the Shark Tank. The Sharks were afforded 16 power-play opportunities during the first two games while the Wings only had nine.

Look for the powers-to-be to give Detroit enough of a home-rink advantage to get the team back in the series.

Pick: Detroit Red Wings

[spook]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Chris David

One month of the pro baseball season is in the books and Tampa Bay is sitting in the top spot. Tonight, the Rays begin a three-game set against Seattle. Along with this series starting, the National League also has some new sets beginning too.

Atlanta (11-14, -526) at Washington (13-12, +778)

Are the Braves back? After dropping nine straight games, Atlanta has rebounded with a three-game sweep over Houston this past weekend. The offense busted out of the slump with 21 runs and the pitching staff was brilliant too, surrendering just four runs in the victories. Kenshin Kawakami (0-4, 5.48 ERA) hopes to keep the momentum going on Tuesday when the team visits Washington. The Japanese product will also be looking for his first win of the season but he needs his lineup to help him. In his four starts, the Braves have put up a total of five runs. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 in his appearances.

Washington has definitely opened up some eyes, especially with a winning record in May. The Nationals are tied for third place in the National League East despite losing two of three against the Marlins over the weekend. The pitching staff gave up 16 runs in the two losses, which hasn’t been a common theme for the Nats recently. Prior to those ugly performances, the staff allowed four runs or less in nine straight and the ‘under’ went 8-1 in those contests.

Livan Hernandez (3-1, 0.87 ERA) will try to bust Washington out of its mini-slump against Atlanta and he’s got a great shot to do so. The hefty hurler has only given up three earned runs in four starts, plus he’s gone at least seven innings in all four as well. The lone loss was a 2-0 setback to Colorado. The ‘under’ has gone 4-0 in his appearances this season.

The Braves went 10-8 against the Nationals last year and the ‘under’ posted a 10-7-1 mark in the 18 meetings.

Chicago Cubs (13-13, -370) at Pittsburgh (10-15, -147)

The Cubs have been up and down this season and a lot of their success has come from their bats and right now the hits are happening. After dropping three straight, Chicago finished up the weekend strong with three consecutive victories over Arizona behind an offense that put up 11, 7 and 10 runs. The only downside to taking three of four over the Diamondbacks was the pitching which surrendered 28 runs in the four-game set.

Chicago leans to Ryan Dempster (2-1, 2,78 ERA) tonight and he’s been unlucky this year with a pair of no decisions, and his only loss came by one run in his last start on Apr. 28 to Washington (2-3). The Cubs went 5-1 against the Pirates last season when Dempster was on the hill and three of the wins were at PNC Park.

Pittsburgh returns home from a 10-game road trip that watched the team go 3-7 and six of the losses came by three runs ore more. The offense struggled during this span, mustering up three runs or less in eight of the games. The Pirates hope lefthander Paul Maholm (1-2, 4.83 ERA) can stop the bleeding and he’ll be facing a Cubs lineup that has gone 4-3 against lefties this season. It should also be noted that Maholm has given up 23 earned runs in his last four appearances against the Cubs, and surprisingly Pitt has gone 2-2 in those games. The ‘over’ has gone 3-1.

The Pirates won five of their first six games at home but were trounced in their next three contests to Milwaukee (36-1). The ‘over’ has gone 4-3 in the nine games. Even though Pittsburgh’s offense is ranked third-worst (.234, 86 runs) in the majors, the team ERA (6.79) has helped keep the scoreboard operator very busy.

San Francisco (14-10, +297) at Florida (13-12, -74)

San Francisco heads to the East Coast for a quick six-game trip, which begins tonight in Florida. The Giants will lead with their ace, Tim Lincecum (4-0, 1.27 ERA), for the opener and “The Freak� has been lights out this season. He should be 5-0 but the bullpen blew a three-run lead in the team’s 7-6 extra inning loss to Philadelphia in his most recent start last Wednesday. What’s more impressive is that he’s gone 2-0 in his two road starts and he’s surrendered no earned runs in either game. Lincecum has only faced the Marlins once in his career and he pitched the Giants to a 3-2 win last season as a road favorite.

The Marlins snapped a three-game losing streak over the weekend with a pair of blowout wins over the Nationals (7-1, 9-3). The 16 runs came after the offense was held in check to six runs during the three straight setbacks. Anibel Sanchez (1-2, 4.32 ERA) doesn’t have numbers comparable to Lincecum but his last two starts (13 innings, 3 earned runs) were solid albeit against limited lineups in the Astros and Padres.

San Francisco’s offense started the season as a juggernaut, posting 68 runs in the first 11 games, which helped the ‘over’ go 7-4. Since that early explosion, the Giants have put up 40 runs in the last 13 contests and to no surprise, the ‘under’ has gone 12-1 during this span.

The Giants won four of seven against the Marlins last year, and total players should make a note that the ‘under’ went 5-1-1 in the regular season series.

Tampa Bay (18-7, +720) at Seattle (11-14, -429)

The Rays take to the road for nine straight encounters against the AL West, which starts tonight at Safeco Field against Seattle. Even though Tampa Bay went 2-2 over the weekend at home against Kansas City and its offense was held to five runs in the last three games, the club still has the best record and offense (147 runs) in the majors and a lot of the success has been away from home. Joe Maddon’s team has gone 9-1 on the road this year but keep in mind that the victories came against the Orioles (7-18), Red Sox (11-14) and White Sox (10-15).

Tampa Bay will send James Shields (3-0, 3.38 ERA) to the hill and the team has gone 4-1 in his starts this year, which includes three straight wins that was helped with run support of 26. Shields has faced the Mariners six times in his career and the Rays have gone 3-3 in those starts and five of the encounters were in Seattle. The ‘under’ has gone 5-1 during this span.

Seattle will counter with lefthander Justin Vargas (2-1, 3.60 ERA) and he’s pitched well in his last three outings (2-0, 5 earned runs), which has watched the team go 2-1 over that span. Vargas will need to have a good outing for Seattle since the team is mired in a 2-7 skid and the offense is averaging 3.7 runs per game during this drought, which includes a three-game sweep to the Rangers (0-2, 3-6, 1-3) over the weekend at home.

The Mariners won five of the eight battles against the Rays last season and the ‘over’ went 5-3 in the regular season series. Tampa owns a 4-3 ledger against southpaws this season

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HOT LINES

Today's Best MLB Bets

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins (-140, 10)

The Yankees are usually ahead of the curve when wheeling and dealing, especially when it comes to their farm system.

But New York might want a do-over regarding one of the moves it made this offseason. The team sent Austin Jackson to Detroit as a portion of the deal for outfielder Curtis Granderson.

Granderson (.225, 2 HR, 7 RBI) was put on the DL yesterday while Jackson is one of the best leadoff men in the league. The rookie has reached base safely in 20 consecutive games and is hitting .395 in that span.

Jackson has at least one hit during the Tigers five-game winning streak (batting .565) and the team is 9-4 this season when its centerfielder registers a multi-hit game.

This is a perfect spot for Detroit to pounce on the Joe Mauer-less Twins and position itself atop the AL Central standings.

Pick: Detroit Tigers


San Francisco Giants at Florida Marlins (+155, 7)

Not much has changed for the Giants since last season – stellar pitching and pathetic hitting.

San Francisco will hit the road where it went 4-5 to open the season. The first three wins of that road trip came against Houston, but the G-Men went 1-5 against L.A. and San Diego where the team was 1-for-30 with RISP.

"We have to figure out a way to get some runs," manager Bruce Bochy said.

On the recent homestand, San Francisco managed a meager 3.9 runs per game but the team only needs to score a shade over that to have success. The Giants are 12-3 this season when they score at least four runs.

San Fran may only need one or two runners to cross the plate with ace Tim Lincecum on the bump Tuesday.

Lincecum has only faced Florida once in his career. He earned the victory in that game, going 7.1 innings while giving up a pair of earned runs.

Expect the Giants offensive struggles to continue down in the Sunshine State where runs may be tough to come by for both teams in this series.

Pick: Under

[Mr. IWS]

Mreast mlb tuesday titan

#955 st. Louis cardinals @ #956 philadelphia phillies 7:05pm edt

play on #956 philadelphia phillies +120 for 3 units

[spook]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cardinals Monday night.

Tuesday it's the Magic. The deficit is 550 sirignanos.

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Hondo

Hondo's Anti-Peavy Theory failed miserably last night when the Royals phoned it in at U.S. Cellular Field, causing the debt to balloon to 150 sains.

Tonight, he'll be Livan on the edge in D.C. -- 10 units on the Nats to KO Kawakami.

[spook]

Arthur Ralph Sports
440 - 320 run 59 %

Free play Tues -140 Houston

[spook]

SPORTS ADVISORS

TUESDAY, MAY 4

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

Atlanta (4-3 SU and ATS) at Orlando (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS)

The defending Eastern Conference champion Magic continue their run for back-to-back conference titles when they open their best-of-7 semifinal series against the rival Hawks inside Amway Arena. The Magic have been idle since wrapping up a 4-0 sweep (3-1 ATS) of the Bobcats on April 26, waiting for the Hawks to complete their seven-game series against the Bucks. Atlanta completed its rally from a 3-2 series deficit by blowing out Milwaukee in Sunday’s decisive Game 7, winning 95-74 and easily cashing as an 8½-point favorite. They held the Bucks to 32.6 percent shooting and got 22 points from Sixth-Man-of-the-Year Jamal Crawford, while All-Star Al Horford chipped in 16 points and 15 rebounds. Orlando took three of four SU and ATS in the season series with the Hawks, and the Magic have won and covered in six of the last seven meetings dating to January 2009. Additionally, Orlando has won and cashed in four of five at home against the Hawks, including two January blowouts: 104-86 as a 5½-point favorite and 113-81 as a 3½-point chalk.
Atlanta is 20-24 SU (24-20 ATS) on the highway this season (1-2 SU and ATS in the playoffs), averaging 98.4 ppg on 46 percent shooting, while allowing 97.9 ppg (46.4 percent shooting). Orlando won its two first-round home games against Charlotte (1-1 ATS) to improve to 36-7 at home (25-17-1 ATS). The Magic have won nine straight (6-2-1 ATS) and 15 of their last 16 (11-4-1 ATS) inside Amway Arena. The Hawks, who were swept out of the Eastern Conference semifinals a season ago by the Cavaliers (0-3-1 ATS), are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six as a playoff ‘dog, but they’re also on ATS surges of 7-3 overall, 5-1 after a spread-cover, 11-4 against winning teams, 22-8-1 as an underdog of five to 10 ½ points and 7-3 against the Eastern Conference. The Magic are on a plethora of positive ATS runs, including 19-7-1 overall, 5-1-1 at home (all as a chalk), 21-6-1 as a favorite, 8-1 after a straight-up win and 21-6 against Eastern Conference teams. Atlanta has topped the total in four of five on the road, 16 of 21 after a straight-up win and nine of 11 on the road against teams with a winning home record, but it is on “under� runs of 4-1 after just one day off, 7-2 as a playoff underdog, 7-3 on Tuesday and 19-7 as a ‘dog of five to 10 ½ points. Orlando is on “over� runs of 4-1-1 at home and 4-1-1 after three or more days off, but is also on “under� streaks of 6-0-1 on Tuesday, 4-0 in conference semifinal games, 4-1-1 as a playoff favorite, 29-14-2 as a favorite overall and 11-5-1 against Southeast Division rivals. In this rivalry, the “under� has been the play in five straight meetings, including all four this season.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO and UNDER


WESTERN CONFERENCE

Utah (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS)

The defending NBA champion Lakers look to take a 2-0 lead over the fifth-seeded Jazz when the two square off for Game 2 of their best-of-7 Western Conference semifinal series inside the Staples Center. Los Angeles surrendered a big fourth-quarter lead in Game 1 on Sunday only to rally back in the final four minutes and score a 104-99 victory, falling just short as a seven-point chalk. Kobe Bryant led the way with 31 points and Pau Gasol added 25 points and 12 rebounds as the hot-shooting Lakers shot 53.2 percent from the floor and outrebounded the Jazz 43-28. L.A. has now won three straight playoff contests (2-1 ATS), and it is 4-0 at home in the playoffs (3-1 ATS). Meanwhile, Utah fell to 1-3 SU and ATS on the highway in the postseason. The Jazz and Lakers met in the first round of the postseason last year with Los Angeles prevailing in five games (2-3 ATS) en route to the NBA title. Additionally, the Lakers won a six-game second-round playoff series from Utah two years ago. This year, L.A. took three of the four regular-season meetings (SU and ATS), including two easy wins and covers in Hollywood, capped by a 106-92 victory on April 2 as a 4½-point favorite. Los Angeles is on a 19-6 roll against the Jazz overall (15-9-1 ATS) and it has won 15 consecutive meetings at the Staples Center (11-4 ATS). Also, despite Utah’s spread-cover in Game 1, the home team has cashed in 18 of the last 28 head-to-head clashes. Utah is 22-23 (25-18-1 ATS) on the road this season and just 5-7 (6-6 ATS) in its last 12 on the highway. Los Angeles has gone 38-7 inside Staples Center, but just 18-25-2 ATS, despite outscoring the opposition by more than eight ppg (103.5-94.8). The Jazz are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight as road ‘dogs, 4-8 ATS in their last 12 on the road against teams with winning home records and 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 as ‘dogs of five to 10½ points, but they are on positive pointspread surges of 36-16-3 overall (5-1 last six) and 5-0 with just one day off. The Lakers are 11-6-1 ATS in their last 18 conference semifinal games, but otherwise they carry several negative pointspread trends, including 3-7 overall (all against the Western Conference), 8-18-1 as a favorite, 4-11-1 at home (all as a favorite), 7-18-2 after a day off, 5-15-1 after a straight-up win, 5-11 on Tuesday Utah is 5-1-1 “under� in its last six against Pacific Division foes, but from there it is on “over� streaks of 6-1 overall (4-0 last four), 5-1 on the road (4-0 last four), 40-19-1 as an underdog, 36-16-1 as a road ‘dog, 9-3 as a playoff pup, 7-3 on Tuesday and 5-1 after one day off. On the flip side, it’s been all “unders� for Los Angeles lately, including 12-5 at home (all as a chalk), 20-8 as a favorite, 24-10 against Northwest Division teams, 7-1 against winning teams and 4-1 in conference semifinal games. However, the Lakers have topped the total in four of their past five overall in these playoffs. Finally, these teams had stayed under the total in seven consecutive meetings – including the final three playoff contests last year – before Game 1 crept past the total. So the over has now been the play in 13 of the last 18 clashes in California.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (18-8) at Philadelphia (14-11)

Adam Wainwright (4-1, 2.13 ERA) goes after his fifth win on the young season when he leads the streaking Cardinals against Cole Hamels (2-2, 5.28) and the Phillies as this four-game series continues at Citizens Bank Park. The Cardinals got another strong pitching performance from rookie Jaime Garcia and stretched their winning streak to three in a row with a 6-3 victory in Monday’s series opener. Tony LaRussa’s squad, which has the best record in the National League, has won eight of nine overall and is on additional solid runs of 7-1 as a favorite and 6-0 versus N.L. East foes. However, St. Louis has dropped six of its last eight against left-handed starters and five straight on the highway against lefties. Philadelphia has now still dropped nine of its last 15 contests since starting the season 8-2, going 2-4 at home during this stretch. The Phillies remain on positive runs of 35-18 against the N.L. Central, 11-5 versus right-handed starters and 7-1 at home against righties.
These teams faced off just five times last year, with the Phillies winning four of the five contests, and going back to 2008, Philadelphia has won eight of the last 11 series clashes, going 4-2 at home. In last year’s four wins over St. Louis, the Phillies tallied 39 runs. Wainwright is coming off his 11th consecutive quality start – at least six innings pitched while allowing three earned runs or fewer – as he held the Braves to three runs in six innings en route to Thursday’s 10-4 home victory. The outing actually ended a string of five straight starts in which Wainwright pitched at least seven innings and gave up two earned runs or fewer. Going back to the middle of June, the right-hander has had 24 quality starts in his last 25 trips to the mound, allowing two earned runs or fewer in 22 of those 25 contests. With Wainwright starting, the Redbirds are on impressive upticks of 37-15 overall, 20-6 on the road, 15-5 against the N.L. East, 25-6 versus winning teams and 5-1 on Tuesday. He’s made two road starts this year, going 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA, as he gave up two runs in each of contest (6-3 win at Cincinnati; 2-0 loss at San Francisco). Wainwright’s worst start of 2009 came in a home game against the Phillies, as he got torched for seven runs (all earned) on nine hits and two walks in six innings, losing 10-7. However, in three starts against Philly prior to that – all in 2007 – he gave up a total of three runs and 17 hits in 21 innings (1.29 ERA), and the Cardinals won all three games by a combined margin of 20-6. That includes a 10-2 win in Wainwright’s only previous start at Citizens Bank Park (he pitched seven shutout innings). Hamels’ struggles continued at San Francisco on Wednesday as he gave up four runs on nine hits and four walks in six innings. Though Hamels did strikeout 10, he left trailing 4-1, but the Phillies rallied with two outs in the ninth inning and prevailed 7-6 in 11 innings. Still, over his past two starts, Hamels has allowed 10 runs (all earned) in 12 innings, and unlike Wainwright, the lefty has just one quality outing in his last 12 starts (playoffs included). Philadelphia has won 21 of Hamels’ last 29 starts against N.L. Central competition and four of his last five Tuesday outings, but it has dropped five of his last seven starts at Citizens Bank. This year at home, Hamels is 1-1 with a 3.95 ERA in two games. Against the Cardinals, he’s 2-2 with a 4.22 ERA in six career starts. St. Louis brings a slew of “under� trends into this contest, including 8-2-1 overall, 8-3 on the road, 13-3-1 versus winning teams, 25-10-2 against left-handed starters and 7-3-1 when Wainwright starts on the highway. On the flip side, the Cardinals have topped the total in four straight Tuesday contests, and it’s been all “overs� for Philadelphia, including 36-17-2 overall, 16-6-2 at home, 8-3 against N.L. Central teams, 7-3 as an underdog, 7-1-1 with Hamels starting and 3-1-1 with Hamels toiling at home. Finally, the over is 13-7-2 in the last 22 Phillies-Cardinals clashes at Citizens Bank Park. Also, three of Wainwright’s four career starts against Philadelphia and three of Hamels’ last four outings against St. Louis have gone over the posted price.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS and OVER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Detroit (16-11) at Minnesota (17-9)

The Tigers’ Dontrelle Willis (1-1, 3.75) tries to build off a strong start in his last outing when he toes the rubber at Target Field, while the Twins are set to counter with Nick Blackburn (1-1, 6.85). Michael Cuddyer hit a three-run home run to highlight a four-run first inning as Minnesota cruised past Detroit 10-3 on Monday. The Twins have seven of 10 in their new ballpark, and they’re on additional impressive runs of 36-16 overall, 17-5 at home (including the Metrodome), 28-11 against A.L. Central foes, 23-6 as a favorite, 13-5 versus southpaws, 39-15 at home against lefties and 23-6 on Tuesday. The Tigers had a season-high five-game winning streak halted Monday, but they’re still 9-4 in their last 13 contests (4-3 on the road). Additionally, they’re on stretches of 7-4 against division rivals, 4-1 versus right-handed starters and 4-2 as an underdog, but Detroit has also now lost 30 of 44 as a road ‘dog. These division rivals met last week in Motown, with the Twins winning the opener 2-0 and Detroit coming back to score victories of 11-6 and 3-0, so this year’s season series is now even. Last year, Minnesota took 11 of the final 17 meetings with the Tigers, including a 6-5, 12-inning home victory in a one-game playoff to determine the division champ. Also, Monday’s contest extended Detroit’s misery in Minneapolis, as the Tigers are now 28-63 in their last 91 games in Minnesota. Ten days after a tough-luck 2-0 loss at the Angels in which he gave up both runs in six innings, Willis was even better on Thursday against these Twins. He scattered four hits and two walks while striking out six in a six scoreless innings, leading Detroit to a 3-0 home win. Willis has pitched at least six innings and surrendered a total of four runs in three of his four starts in 2010. Detroit has won four straight games with Willis starting against A.L. Central rivals, but it has also lost seven of his last nine as a visitor. However, his first two road performances of this season were identically solid: six innings pitched and two runs allowed in each contest. Also, prior to Thursday, Willis’ only previous career start against the Twins came last May in the Metrodome, and he gave up four runs in 4 2/3 innings, getting a no-decision in the Tigers’ 14-10 loss. Blackburn hasn’t been on the mound since April 24 when he allowed six runs (five earned) in 4 1/3 innings at Kansas City. A week earlier, the Royals roughed him up at Target Field, scoring five runs in five innings. Despite those two poor performances, though, the Twins found a way to win both games by scores of 9-7 and 6-5. Minnesota is 7-2 in Blackburn’s last nine trips to the hill, 4-1 in his last five at home and 6-1 in his last seven against the A.L. Central.
Blackburn dominated the Tigers in his final two starts against them in 2009, giving up just three runs (two earned) in 16 innings (1.13 ERA), and Minnesota won both contests 6-2 (home) and 3-2 (road). Still, Blackburn is just 2-3 with a 3.95 ERA in seven lifetime appearances (six starts) against Detroit.
The Tigers are on “over� streaks of 5-0-1 on the road, 5-1-1 as an underdog, 4-0-1 as a road pup, 6-2 versus A.L. Central competition and 4-1 on Tuesday. Also, the over is 5-1-1 in Willis’ last seven starts against divisional foes, but seven of his last 10 starts overall have stayed low. The Twins carry “under� trends of 7-2 versus southpaw starters, 8-2-1 at home against lefties, 4-1 when Blackburn starts on Tuesday and 17-6-1 when Blackburn pitches on grass. Conversely, Blackburn’s last four home starts have jumped over the total, as have his last four against the A.L. Central. Finally, though Monday’s contest soared over the posted total, the under was 4-1-1 in the last six Metrodome meetings between these two in 2009, and the under has cashed in each of Blackburn’s last five starts versus Detroit.

ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Hawks
Jazz
Cardinals

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Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 9 runs bet. Milwaukee and Dodgers

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bs picks 4/4
braves -110 ml
phillies +115 ml
toronto -135 ml
yankees -1.5 -120

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Moneylineking
7-4 Run (64%)

Tue
Washington-105
Pirates +146

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Dunkel

Today's NHL Picks

Pittsburgh at Montreal

The Penguins look to bounce back from their loss in Game 2 and build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 road games. Pittsburgh is the pick (-165) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-165). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 67-68: Pittsburgh at Montreal (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 12.198; Montreal 11.798
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-165); Under

Game 69-70: San Jose at Detroit (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.729; Detroit 13.403
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-165); Under

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Dunkel

Today's NBA Picks

Atlanta at Orlando

The Magic look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 games versus Atlanta. Orlando is the pick (-8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-8 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 4
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 709-710: Atlanta at Orlando (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.679; Orlando 132.608
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 15; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-8 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Utah at LA Lakers (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 117.442; LA Lakers 126.375
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 9; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-5 1/2); Over

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Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Kansas City at Chicago White Sox

The Royals look to build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 games against the White Sox when Gavin Floyd starts. Kansas City is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Royals favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 4
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Atlanta at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 14.785; Washington (Hernandez) 15.835
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 14.999; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 13.633
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165); Over

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.738; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.411
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Under

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 15.996; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.047
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+125); Under

Game 959-960: San Francisco at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 16.688; Florida (Sanchez) 14.960
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-180); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.011; Houston (Oswalt) 13.381
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Under

Game 963-964: Colorado at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Smith) 15.197; San Diego (LeBlanc) 16.539
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-145); Over

Game 965-966: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Narveson) 13.712; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.658
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-210); Over

Game 967-968: Toronto at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.798; Cleveland (Westbrook) 14.114
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Under

Game 969-970: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 14.483; NY Yankees (Burnett) 17.474
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 3; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-250); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-250); Over

Game 971-972: LA Angels at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 15.195; Boston (Lester) 14.772
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-190); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+165); Over

Game 973-974: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Willis) 17.075; Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.900
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 16.297; White Sox (Floyd) 15.638
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+155); Under

Game 977-978: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.642; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.070
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 979-980: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.799; Seattle (Vargas) 15.587
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Under

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners

Not a bad price on Shields and the Rays tonight when they take on Vargas and the Mariners in Seattle. Shields has already won four of his five team starts this season, and has a 3.37 ERA on the year. That includes two straight starts where he went seven innings, allowing a combined 3 ER’s. And Tampa Bay won those games by a combined 15 runs. Seattle has lost three in a row, scoring a combined 4 runs total in those three games. Lay the small number.

Play on: Tampa Bay Rays

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Frank Jordan

Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando Magic
Play: Orlando Magic -9

Orlando finished six games better that Atlanta in the standing in the regular season as well as winning three of four during the year against Atlanta. Atlanta did win the last meeting these two teams played by two points at home late in the year. Orlando, despite foul trouble to Howard, was still able to sweep through Charlotte. Atlanta was taken to 7 games by Milwaukee and had to win games 6 and 7 to advance against their divisional rivals. Look for Howard to stay disciplined on defense and dominate on offense as they Magic win at home in game one. Play Orlando


Utah Jazz vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Play: Los Angeles Lakers -6

Deron Williams of the Jazz was banged up in the final seconds of their series clincher in game 6 over Denver. That injury set him to be a game time decision. The decision made was to have him play and it was a good one as he had a team high 24 points and a game high 8 assists. However, that wasn't enough to overcome Kobe's game high 31 points and 25 points from Gasol. Look for Deron Williams to have another good game and attempt to get his teammates shooting well, but once again fall short as the high number of minutes on the stars are really starting to mount as the Lakers are just too deep. Play LA Lakers

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Lance's Lock


Pick: The over 192 in Hawks/Magic

Overall: 954-841-35
Current Streak: 1 loss

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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee had Np on Monday.

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Padres -$140/Rockies.

"Mr Chalk" is 18-9 Ev for the 2010 MLB season

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Don Wallace Sports

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA

4* Orlando -9 over Atlanta

1-0 yesterday

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fgt mlb and nhl

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday MLB Baseball

100* Play Chicago White Sox (-175) over Kansas City
Game starts at 8:10 PM EST

50* Play NY Yankees (-235) over Baltimore
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST

Tuesday NHL Hockey Plays

25* Play Pittsburgh (-160) over Montreal

25* Play Detroit (-165) over San Jose

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman
4* Reds
4* Royals

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook
dime bet 963 COL / 964 SDP Over 7

[Mr. IWS]

KARL GARRETT
Tuesday's Selections .

20 DIME Orlando Magic LIVING LOCK
10 DIME Detroit Tigers BEST BET

NOTE: Willis over Minnesota and Blackburn. Remember both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the release.

[Mr. IWS]

CRAIG DAVIS
Tuesday's Lineup

40 DIME Utah Jazz
20 DIME Cincinnati Reds


NOTE:Maine and Arroyo as listrd pitchers. If either pitcher does not start, this play is VOID.

[Mr. IWS]

JEFF BENTON
Tuesday's Action

20 DIME LA Lakers
10 DIME SL Cardinal

NOTE: List Adam Wainwright as the Cardinals' starting pitcher. If Wainwright does NOT start, this play is VOID!

[Mr. IWS]

STEPHEN NOVER
Tuesday winners

75 DIME Orlando Magic
50 DIME LA Lakers

[Mr. IWS]

DAN BEBE
1 DIME Atlanta Hawks +9

[Mr. IWS]

JB SPORTS

3 Orlando Magic

[Mr. IWS]

Chris Jordan
Tuesday's Winners...





TUESDAY NIGHT ACTION



200? ORLANDO MAGIC FIRST HALF

100? L.A. LAKERS

[Mr. IWS]

jeff benton tuesday

Tuesday's Action 20 Dime: L.A. LAKERS

10 Dime: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ... NOTE: List Adam Wainwright as the Cardinals' starting pitcher. If Wainwright does NOT start, this play is VOID!


Lakers

I said it yesterday in my analysis on the Celtics, and I’ll say it again here with respect to the Lakers: nothing changes. Even though – like Boston at Cleveland in Game 1 – L.A. barely missed getting the spread-cover against the Jazz in their series opener, it doesn’t change the fact that the Lakers SHOULD have covered that number in Game 1. And to be getting L.A., which continues to have huge matchup edges against Utah, at a reduced price in Game 2 is a gift I’m not going to pass up.

Look, if you watched Game 1 you know I was spot-on with my analysis that the Jazz just cannot handle the Lakers’ size up front. Pau Gasol had 25 points, 12 rebounds, four assists and five blocks in the 104-99 win, while Andrew Bynum (eight points, 10 boards in less than 25 minutes of action) and Lamar Odom (nine points, 12 rebounds in 31 minutes) nearly had double-doubles, as L.A. had a 14-point lead at one point in the first half and was still up double-digits in the third quarter.

L.A.’s problem – and it’s been a problem the entire playoffs – has been its bench. The big lead evaporated when Gasol and Kobe Bryant (31 points) went to the sidelines. And beyond Odom, four other Lakers contributed just 13 points in 35 minutes of action, and when those four players were on the court, L.A. got outscored by 13 points. After the game, Gasol, Kobe and Lakers coach Phil Jackson pretty much called out the bench in the media and told them to step up. I expect a positive response to that challenge tonight.

I also expect Jackson and Bryant to make the necessary adjustments to at least slow down Jazz point guard Deron Williams (24 points, 8 assists in Game 1). You’re not going to stop Williams as he’s just too good of a player (and he’s been outstanding this entire postseason), but you can bet the All-Star will see some different looks tonight.

Finally, even though the Jazz got inside the number in Game 1, they still lost for the 19th time in the last 25 meetings with the Lakers. They’ve still lost nine of the last 12 playoff games to the Lakers. They’ve still lost 15 straight games in Los Angeles. And they’re still just 9-15-1 ATS during this 25-game stretch of games with the Lakers, including 4-11 ATS in the Staples Center.

What’s more, Sunday’s result was only the second time in those 19 losses to L.A. that the Jazz fell by fewer than seven points. And it was just the fourth time in those 19 contests that the Lakers failed to win by double digits.

One last thing: Do you know how many times in their 6-19 funk against Los Angeles that the Jazz covered the spread in back-to-back meetings? Twice. You know how many times they’ve covered in consecutive games in L.A. during this stretch? Never. In fact, you have to go back to the 2004-05 season for the last time Utah got the cash in back-to-back visits to Staples. And in the last two playoff meetings with the Jazz, the Lakers won Game 2 at home by near identical scores: 120-110 in 2008, 119-109 last year.

Big-time statement game from the world champs here. Lay the chalk and look for an easy double-digit win!


Cardinals

First off, let’s face facts: The Cardinals (18-8) are a better team the than the Phillies (14-11) right now. St. Louis is better on the road (8-5) than Philly is at home (5-5), and the Cardinals’ pitching (2.52 starters’ ERA; 2.74 bullpen ERA) is vastly superior to the Phillies’ (4.11 starters’ ERA; 4.46 bullpen ERA).

Tonight is another case of a massive pitching mismatch. Oh sure, the names on the backs of the jerseys – Wainwright and Hamels – suggest this is an even contest on the mound, but the numbers suggest otherwise.

Wainwright is 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA; Hamels is 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA. Wainwright has allowed 34 baserunners and one home run in 38 innings; Hamels has allowed 45 baserunners and seven home runs in 30 2/3 innings.

Wainwright has pitched at least six innings and allowed three earned runs or less in 11 straight starts since last season, and even better than that, he’s had 24 quality starts in his last 25 games since the middle of last June, giving up two earned runs or fewer 22 times.

Hamels has just one quality start in his last 12 trips to the mound, and during this stretch, the lefty has given up at least four runs eight times and pitched less than six innings seven times.

The Cardinals have won 37 of Wainwright’s last 52 starts overall, 20 of his last 26 starts on the road and 15 of his last 18 against N.L. East teams. The Phillies are 2-5 in Hamels’ last seven starts at home.

Lastly, I look for Wainwright to have a LITTLE extra motivation tonight. That’s because after dominating the Phillies in three starts in 2007 (he went 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA), he got knocked around the yard exactly one year ago by Philadelphia, giving up seven runs in six innings of a 10-7 home loss. It was Wainwright’s worst start of 2009, and you KNOW he hasn’t forgotten it.

Throw in the fact that Hamels has allowed 15 runs (14 earned) in his last five starts against St. Louis spanning 25 innings (5.04 ERA), and the Cardinals offer tremendous value tonight at this dirt-cheap price.

[Mr. IWS]

ANDRE GOMES
4* 2 DIME Orlando -8.5

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Evan Altemus

3 Units Chicago Cubs -156

I normally don't like making selections with this high of a favorite. However, it's close enough to my -150 guideline for me to make a play here. The Pirates pitching staff has been horrendous lately. Their bullpen has an ERA of 5.83 this season. Pittsburgh's starter Paul Maholm has pitched very poorly against the Cubs, and Chicago hitter Alfonso Soriano has been extremely hot lately. Cubs starter Ryan Dempster has pitched very well against Pittsburgh, and he has traditionally pitched better on the road than at home anyway. Chicago also dominated Pittsburgh last season both at home and on the road, and the Pirates are coming off of a rough travel spot after just coming back from a long West Coast road trip. Look for Chicago to get the win.

[spook]

Marc Lawrence
3* Magic -9

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Erin Rynning

LA Lakers under 199

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Jeff Benton

20 Dime - LA Lakers

10 Dime - SL Cardinals



Lakers

I said it yesterday in my analysis on the Celtics, and I’ll say it again here with respect to the Lakers: nothing changes. Even though – like Boston at Cleveland in Game 1 – L.A. barely missed getting the spread-cover against the Jazz in their series opener, it doesn’t change the fact that the Lakers SHOULD have covered that number in Game 1. And to be getting L.A., which continues to have huge matchup edges against Utah, at a reduced price in Game 2 is a gift I’m not going to pass up.

Look, if you watched Game 1 you know I was spot-on with my analysis that the Jazz just cannot handle the Lakers’ size up front. Pau Gasol had 25 points, 12 rebounds, four assists and five blocks in the 104-99 win, while Andrew Bynum (eight points, 10 boards in less than 25 minutes of action) and Lamar Odom (nine points, 12 rebounds in 31 minutes) nearly had double-doubles, as L.A. had a 14-point lead at one point in the first half and was still up double-digits in the third quarter.

L.A.’s problem – and it’s been a problem the entire playoffs – has been its bench. The big lead evaporated when Gasol and Kobe Bryant (31 points) went to the sidelines. And beyond Odom, four other Lakers contributed just 13 points in 35 minutes of action, and when those four players were on the court, L.A. got outscored by 13 points. After the game, Gasol, Kobe and Lakers coach Phil Jackson pretty much called out the bench in the media and told them to step up. I expect a positive response to that challenge tonight.

I also expect Jackson and Bryant to make the necessary adjustments to at least slow down Jazz point guard Deron Williams (24 points, 8 assists in Game 1). You’re not going to stop Williams as he’s just too good of a player (and he’s been outstanding this entire postseason), but you can bet the All-Star will see some different looks tonight.

Finally, even though the Jazz got inside the number in Game 1, they still lost for the 19th time in the last 25 meetings with the Lakers. They’ve still lost nine of the last 12 playoff games to the Lakers. They’ve still lost 15 straight games in Los Angeles. And they’re still just 9-15-1 ATS during this 25-game stretch of games with the Lakers, including 4-11 ATS in the Staples Center.

What’s more, Sunday’s result was only the second time in those 19 losses to L.A. that the Jazz fell by fewer than seven points. And it was just the fourth time in those 19 contests that the Lakers failed to win by double digits.

One last thing: Do you know how many times in their 6-19 funk against Los Angeles that the Jazz covered the spread in back-to-back meetings? Twice. You know how many times they’ve covered in consecutive games in L.A. during this stretch? Never. In fact, you have to go back to the 2004-05 season for the last time Utah got the cash in back-to-back visits to Staples. And in the last two playoff meetings with the Jazz, the Lakers won Game 2 at home by near identical scores: 120-110 in 2008, 119-109 last year.

Big-time statement game from the world champs here. Lay the chalk and look for an easy double-digit win!


Cardinals

First off, let’s face facts: The Cardinals (18-8) are a better team the than the Phillies (14-11) right now. St. Louis is better on the road (8-5) than Philly is at home (5-5), and the Cardinals’ pitching (2.52 starters’ ERA; 2.74 bullpen ERA) is vastly superior to the Phillies’ (4.11 starters’ ERA; 4.46 bullpen ERA).

Tonight is another case of a massive pitching mismatch. Oh sure, the names on the backs of the jerseys – Wainwright and Hamels – suggest this is an even contest on the mound, but the numbers suggest otherwise.

Wainwright is 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA; Hamels is 2-2 with a 5.28 ERA. Wainwright has allowed 34 baserunners and one home run in 38 innings; Hamels has allowed 45 baserunners and seven home runs in 30 2/3 innings.

Wainwright has pitched at least six innings and allowed three earned runs or less in 11 straight starts since last season, and even better than that, he’s had 24 quality starts in his last 25 games since the middle of last June, giving up two earned runs or fewer 22 times.

Hamels has just one quality start in his last 12 trips to the mound, and during this stretch, the lefty has given up at least four runs eight times and pitched less than six innings seven times.

The Cardinals have won 37 of Wainwright’s last 52 starts overall, 20 of his last 26 starts on the road and 15 of his last 18 against N.L. East teams. The Phillies are 2-5 in Hamels’ last seven starts at home.

Lastly, I look for Wainwright to have a LITTLE extra motivation tonight. That’s because after dominating the Phillies in three starts in 2007 (he went 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA), he got knocked around the yard exactly one year ago by Philadelphia, giving up seven runs in six innings of a 10-7 home loss. It was Wainwright’s worst start of 2009, and you KNOW he hasn’t forgotten it.

Throw in the fact that Hamels has allowed 15 runs (14 earned) in his last five starts against St. Louis spanning 25 innings (5.04 ERA), and the Cardinals offer tremendous value tonight at this dirt-cheap price.

[spook]

Tim Trushel

20* Red Sox Under

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ATS Lock Club

3 Units Jazz +6

5 Units Padres

4 Units Blue Jays

[spook]

Nelly

Jazz / Lakers Under 199.5

Both Utah and Los Angeles have been ‘over’ teams so far in the playoffs but the ‘under’ had hit in seven straight meetings between these teams before sneaking just ‘over’ in game 1. The ‘under’ is 12-5 in the last 17 home games for Los Angeles and the Lakers do not get enough credit defensively. Los Angeles allowed just 96 points per game for the season and the ‘under’ was 25-19-1 in Los Angeles this year. Los Angeles had some defensive lapses in meaningless games to close the regular season so the numbers should actually be even stronger towards the ‘under’. Los Angeles had a very efficient offensive game in game 1 and the defensive intensity should be turned up a notch on both sides. Utah has scored 100 points against the Lakers just once in the last eight meetings between these teams and there has been curious adjustments on this total line, giving more credence to the possibility of a low scoring game

[spook]

Stardust Sports Picks

Play Play San Francisco (-175) over Florida (Top Play)
Play Chicago Cubs (-155) over Pittsburgh

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INSIDER ANGLES
Now we are normally not fans of laying this much vigorish on a total, but Petco Park is the most pitcher-friendly stadium in the National League, and with the red-hot Wade LeBlanc going for the San Diego Padres, we expect runs to be at a premium when they host the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday.

LeBlanc has a microscopic 0.52 ERA in three starts for the Padres, tossing 12.1 scoreless innings in his last two starts after allowing just one run in five innings in his seasonal debut. He has also shown great command thus far, posting 16 strikeouts against just four walks. Perhaps most impressive is the fact that he allowed only three hits in six scoreless innings in a hitter’s park at Cincinnati, so he should continue his success at home in this spacious stadium.

Granted, Greg Smith has struggled for the most part for Colorado, but most of those struggles have come in the altitude of home. The last time Smith pitched on the road, he allowed only two runs and five hits in 5.1 innings at Atlanta, and like most pitchers he too should improve while pitching in this park.

The southpaw also has the advantage of pitching against a San Diego lineup that has never faced him before, which should give Smith the advantage the first time through the lineup. If he should be in need of relief, the Colorado bullpen has been a strong suit for the team this season, posting a nice 2.44 ERA.

In fact, the San Diego bullpen also has a fine 2.62 ERA, so late tack-on runs should be kept to a minimum here, which is crucial for low totals like this one. Thus, do not look for these clubs to exceed seven total runs scored.

MLB Tuesday Pick: Rockies, Padres Under 7.5

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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 4th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
MLB
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[962] Ari/Hou Under 8 |10*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|8:08 pm EST$$$
[978] Oakland |8*|-155|B+1.5|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
[954] Chi/Pit Under 8 |2*|+100|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

HRC PREMIUM NHL ACTION-May 4th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
NBA
[70] Detroit |5*|-160|B+0|Network N/A|7:30 pm EST

[spook]

STUMPTHESPREAD
2 Unit MLB Washington Nationals -102

[spook]

NEW YORK SPORTS INVESTORS
Braves-110(POD Betonepicks)
Diamondbacks+115
-------------------

[spook]

PHILLY-CONNECTION
3*(MLB)Bluejays-130

[spook]

MATT RIVERS-OFFSHORE INSIDERS

PICK: LA Lakers

I played the Lakers in game one and came up a nose short at the wire. The Jazz are good, really good, as Williams and Boozer are superstars and can lead their team to a victory pretty much anywhere and at anytime. But Utah has a huge disadvantage in the paint as they are lacking a ton of size in this matchup, with or without Kirilenko, and should get beaten up down low today.

Gasol, Bynum and Odom have the upside to be monsters and even though they don't always come to play are going to at least be formidable in the least. Then you have Kobe who took over game one late and should be primed and focused once again here.

The Jazz are going to compete but they are also not the same team outside of Mormon country. These guys always play great on their home floor and are never able to get it close to that level on the road. I was very impressed with the effort in that last game as the Lakers shot the lights out early and Utah stayed within range and then actually took that lead in the fourth quarter. But I also can see a banged up Williams and yes the stud point guard is banged up, and his mates not play as well today and find themselves in the tough 0-2 hole in a double digit loss.

I have faded the Lakers a bunch this season including that last series because I loved the young and athletic fresh legs of Durant and Westbrook. I am not in the slightest going to say anything negative about Jerry Sloan squad as I backed them in almost the entire Denver series but I think the Lakers take care of business today with their many advantages and cover the half dozen or so in the end.

The pick: LA Lakers

[spook]

DENVER MONEY

NHL Money Line Tue, 05/04/10 - 7:35 PM Æ’Å*

double-dime bet 70 DET (-160) BetUS vs 69 SJS
Analysis:
3* GOW

Detroit Red Wings -160

[spook]

GREG SHAKER

MLB Total Tue, 05/04/10 - 7:05 PM Æ’Å*

double-dime bet 951 ATL / 952 WAS Under 9 BetUS
Analysis: MLB: Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals - Under 9 (Kawakami/Hernandez) -110 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 5/4/2010
Note: I never thought that I would say this, but the Nationals Bullpen is performing nicely and has an ERA of Under 2.7 over the last 10 played. That is perhaps why they are 9-1 UNDER during this stretch. Hernandez is just plain throwing darts and the Nats are not hitting righthanded pitching. Kawakami has struggled of late but I don't think he will tonight and a~t this key number of 9, my MLB Model has this one going Under 9 or at 9, 64.6% of the time. That is good enough for me.

MLB Money Line Tue, 05/04/10 - 7:05 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 967 TOR (-119) BetUS vs 968 CLE
Analysis: MLB: Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians - Bluejays (Romero/Westbrook)(Best Bet) -119 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 5/4/2010
Note: Brief Thoughts on a busy morning. Cleveland can't hit. Cleveland can't score. Cleveland can't hit lefties. They are dead last in run production this year in the Major League's and much of their problem has been facing southpaws. They will face a good one tonight. Romero is Whipping very well and has allowed a meager 21 hits in 36 innings. The Blueja~ys will be in their best hitting posture tonight facing the Righty and Westbrook has thrown just one quality game this year with his team winning just once in the 5 times he has been to the hill. Jake missed the entire 2009 season and he has not been sharp at all with control in and out of the K-Zone. The Bottom line is that Toronto has been winning games lately, 4-1 last 5, they have been very competitive on the road, and there is no doubt that we have the best thrower on the hill. We also have the much better hitting situation. And we have what I consider a favorable betting line considering the circumstances.

[spook]

TONY LADUKE (BetOnePicks)

3*(MLB)Athletics/Rangers Over 8

[spook]

DOC SPORTS NBA

4-Unit Play #711 Take Utah/LA Lakers UNDER 199
2-Unit Play #709 Take Atlanta/Orlando OVER 191 1/2

[spook]

PITTVIPER
San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110)
Toronto Blue Jays -124

STRONG LEANS:
LAA/Boston over 9.5
KC/CWS over 9
COL/SD over 7

[spook]

ATS LOCK CLUB
MLB
5 units Padres ML
4 units Blue Jays ML
NBA
3 units Jazz +6

[spook]

B&S PICKS
ADDED
1 DIME Arizona Diamondbacks +120

[spook]

KELSO
10 UNIT Orlando Magic -9 v. Hawks
3 UNIT Utah Jazz +5.5 @ LA Lakers

[spook]

MVP LOCKS
Pittsburgh Penguins -165 (LOCK OF THE DAY)
Chicago Cubs -160
KC Royals/White Sox under 9
Atlanta Hawks +9

Free Pick: Texas Rangers ML

[spook]

OUTLAW SPORTS ADVISORS
Detroit Tigers +120
NY Mets +115
TB Rays -1.5 +115

[spook]

GOODFELLA
1 DIME LA Lakers -5.5

[spook]

TRASHPICKS

TB Rays -130

[spook]

Foxsheets 5/4

Super Situations


Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (TEXAS) poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, playing on Tuesday
69-41 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.7% | 34.0 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.3 units )


BOSTON is 26-3 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. AL teams allowing 5.2 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BOSTON (7.9) , OPPONENT (4.1)


Play On - Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%)
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
11-6 this year. ( 64.7% | 4.4 units )


Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (UTAH) after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
142-35 over the last 5 seasons. ( 80.2% | 60.7 units )
20-6 this year. ( 76.9% | 5.4 units )

[spook]

The Vegas Killers 5/4

John Harrison - Astros -130 (2 UNITs)
Yankees -1.5 -115 (2 UNITs)
Rays -135 (1 UNIT) Free Play

Sal Capriglione - Reds -125 (3 UNITs)
Nationals -105 (2 UNITs) Free Play

Nolan Fernandez - Astros -140 (3 UNITs)
Braves +100 (1 UNIT) Free Play

[spook]

WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Los Angeles Angels at Boston (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston -180 (moneyline)
The Red Sox certainly took out their frustrating trip to Baltimore (where they were swept by the O's), and hung a 17-spot on the Angels in the opener. This is an offense that was cold and dormant early, but has now plated nearly 7 runs per game over their last nine. The Angels' offense is not as potent as a year ago, already with 11 games scoring 3 or fewer runs. The pitching staff has been getting brutalized as well serving up 47 runs in the last six games, or just about 8 per contest. The Angels have now dropped four straight, and cashing just two of their last 10 as a road dog. The Sox are roaring behind Lester at home as a favorite, with a torrid 31-7 mark.
I'll go with Boston here.

[spook]

The Sports Investor

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3 game progression system plays

Game 1 of 3
San Jose/Detroit under 5.5 goals

Game 1 of 3
Dodgers ML

Spot Play system plays
Seattle Mariners ML

[spook]

Power play wins
Free play
MLB - San Diego (-140)

[spook]

JIMMY BOYD
5* LA Lakers
4* Under 9 in Mets
3* Tampa Bay Rays
Disregard, not today's plays. sorry

[spook]

KLR GAME CHANGERS
Stolen Base System
v.1 107-2 record (no listed pitchers, bet "action")

Selection #1 (Game 2 of 3) Mets +125
Selection #2 (Game 2 of 3) Angels -124 RL (+1 1/2)

Slap Shot system, Matrix Selections, and Wildcat Systems-no plays

Free picks
Tampa Bay -133 ML

[spook]

Vr 05/04

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MLB 5* Future of the Year, STL Cardinals +1000

[spook]

PAPAYAGANG PICKS

Toronto Blue Jays ML
Chicago Cubs ML
Washington Nationals ML
Kansas City Royals ML
LA Lakers -6

[Mr. IWS]

JIMMY BOYD
5* LA Lakers
4* Under 9 in Mets
3* Tampa Bay Rays
Disregard, not today's plays. sorry


Good catch Spook. I deleted my original post.

Jimmy Boyd-CORRECT PLAYS

5* under/ Lakers
4* Phillies

[spook]

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Detroit v. Minny 8:10pm
PICK: UNDER 9.5 Game ev (7*)
PICK: Tigers ML +123 Game (8*)

Atlanta v. Washington 7:05pm
PICK: Braves ML -108 Game (9*) Best bet of the day

3 Team Parlay for 1* pays 10.73*
Royals ML +169
Mets ML +122
Cleveland ML +112

[spook]

Tony George

1 Unit San Diego Padres

[spook]

BIGFELLA SPORTS

25* Fat Pockets
MLB NY Yankees -1.5 -120

10* Shoe box
MLB Reds -135

MLB$ATM Plays
Wash -110
You-135 Gm#2

[spook]

SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR
MLB
VERSION 1.0
Cleveland Indians +116

[spook]

HammerTheBook

ROTATION 709/710: 3-UNITS: ATLANTA HAWKS @ ORLANDO MAGIC (MAGIC -9)

ROTATION 709/710: 4-UNITS: ATLANTA HAWKS @ ORLANDO MAGIC (OVER-192)


ROTATION 711/712: 3-UNITS: UTAH Jazz @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS (LAKERS -5 1/2)

ROTATION 955/956: 3-UNITS: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS @ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (CARDINALS -110)

ROTATION 957/958: 4-UNITS: NEW YORK METS @ CINCINNATI REDS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 961/962: 3-UNITS: ARIZONA DIAMOND BACKS @ HOUSTON ASTROS (ASTROS -115)

ROTATION 963/964: 3-UNITS: COLORADO ROCKIES @ SAN DIEGO PADRES (OVER 7-RUNS)

ROTATION 963/964: 4-UNITS: COLORADO ROCKIES @ SAN DIEGO PADRES (PADRES -130)

ROTATION 967/968: 4-UNITS: TORONTO BLUE JAYS @ CLEVELAND INDIANS (OVER 8-RUNS)

ROTATION 975/976: 3-UNITS: KANSAS CITY ROYALS @ CHICAGO WHITE SOX (ROYALS +170)

[spook]

Nick Parsons May 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Nick Parson's NHL Playoff payoff game is a 7* on the Detroit Red Wings

He has another play on the NHL-10* dog of the month. I don't have it officially in my hands like the other one but it is easy to guess that it is on the Montreal Canadiens

[spook]

Jr. O'Donnell (RedZone Sports) free internet play:

Short ,Sweet and Powerful tonight from Jr O's bases camp.
The sharps & Jr O are lining on the (17-9) Minny Twins and Nick Blackburn who is 2-2 with a 3.23 ERA vs. those over rated in our opinion Tigers. Blackburn has has been less than sharp and banged around this short season so far, Not tonight as the Minny Twins are -130 for a reason against a ageing an we feel over rated D Train. The Twins grab our $$ tonight as last night they put up a huge 10 spot and knocked the base ball around real good. Boys we feel that Minny roughs up the Tigers tonight!!
JR O ALL OVER THE TWINS TONIGHT
KABOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

[spook]

Scott Delaney
10 Dime Lakers - Upon winning Game 1 of this series, the Lakers upped their dominance of this team to 19-6 the last 25 meetings, and they've now won 15 straight inside of Staples. Los Angeles has also gone an impressive 38-7 at home, outscoring the opposition by more than eight points per game (103.5-94.8).

It's that type of stifling defense that has impressed me with this Lakers team, as it's been incredibly tenacious and dominating because of the transitional effects it can have. Los Angeles' defense held the Jazz to one field goal in the final 4:10 of Game 1, while Showtime pulled away to secure the win.

I see the Lakers doing much of the same tonight, that they've done all season to dominate this team, and move out to a 2-0 series lead.

Checking the betting numbers, the Jazz are on ATS slides of a meager 2-6 as road underdogs, 4-8 on the road against teams with winning home records and 5-18 as underdogs in this range.

Meanwhile, the Lakers are on a 12-6 ATS run in conference semifinal games, and have now won three straight playoff contests (2-1 ATS), and it are 4-0 at home in the playoffs (3-1 ATS).

Lay the chalk here

[spook]

Lenny Del Genio May 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Lenny Del Genio has a NBA 20* pick on the Orlando Magic -9.5

[spook]

Spartan May 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Spartan has a 2* bet on the under 199 LAL-UTAH

[spook]

Power Play Of the Day

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA Lakers -5.5

Power Play Wins

[spook]

TEDDY COVERS

KC Royals
Houston Astros
Toronto Blue Jays/Cleveland Indians under 8.5

[spook]

ST BERNADINE SPORTS
Andrew Bucciarelli
8-2 run (80%)

Tue
Toronto -124
Tampa -132
San Fran -174

[spook]

KIKI SPORTS

Tuesday May 4th

2 unit LA Lakers -5.5
1 unit Atlanta -108
1 unit Arizona +104
1 unit Minnesota -133
1 unit Tampa Bay -132

[spook]

TSG heavy play tonight

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH +6.5 with 1 point buy

normal
Orl/Atl Over
Lak/Uta Under

Baseball
upto 5th series
Tor, SF RL, TB

[spook]

Bob Balfe

St. Louis Cardinals -105

The Cardinals have been on fire to start the season, particularly due to great pitching from Wainwright. Philadelphia has a good pitcher in Hamels, but he clearly has faded since his dominate performances in the World Series a few years ago. Look for the Wainwright to pitch another gem and Hamels to struggle against a potent Cardinal offense. Take St. Loui

[spook]

Info Plays
Free play

3* on Toronto Blue Jays -122

Reasons the Blue Jays win:

1.) System Play. We'll Play On - Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (TORONTO) - average offensive team (4.7 to 5.2 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, after a win by 4 runs or more. This is a 45-11 ML System hitting 80.4% since 1997 and gaining +29.6 units.

2.) Toronto has the advantage in basically every category tonight except for the bullpen where the Indians are slightly better. Toronto scores 5.6 RPG against righty starters while Cleveland puts up 3.1 RPG against lefty starters. Blue Jays' starter Ricky Romero is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.944 WHIP this season. Indians' starter Jake Westbrook is 0-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.554 WHIP this year. Bet the Blue Jays on the road.

[spook]

ProPicksWeekly

All 5 Units

MLB
Wash +102
Tor -123
SD -132

NBA
LAL -5.5

[spook]

The Duke's Sports

Houston (-114) for 2.5 Units

Houston, one of the lowest run producing teams int he league, should snap out of their funk here against Yankees' cast-off - Ian Kennedy. Kennedy won last week at Chicago. It was his first win as a starter in years, and he gave up 4 earned runs in the process. We'll look for Houston to jump on him and the sluggish AZ bullpen (6.25 ERA last 10). The D'backs will have a hard time producing runs vs Roy Oswalt; after all, Oswalt is 10-1 in team starts vs AZ with a 1.96 ERA; moreover, at home vs Arizona, Oswalt sports a dominant 0.87 ERA. Oswalt has given up no more than 3 runs in each of his last 5 starts this season. He is also 10-4 following a quality start in his last outing. With AZ a sluggish 0-5 in game 2 after a win, this is a good spot for Houston to get untracked.

[spook]

LT Profits

Mets/Reds UNDER 9 +100

[spook]

Beatthefix 5.4.10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Vincent michael 10-5 run 66%
mon 0-1
tue houston astros

bootsie fratelli 17 -8 68%
mon 0-1
tue over in mets game **
pirates **

no sonny yet

[spook]

Mike Lineback...Tamba Bay.
__________________

[spook]

LineChangers:

HAWKS +9
BRAVES/NATIONALS UNDER 9
ASTROS ml -114

44-23 over the last 23 days in MLB

[spook]

Win or Lose pod... Houston

[kar261]

Steven Budin-CEO
TUESDAY'S PICKS
The Greek Syndicate has a 25 Dime play on Los Angeles in the 1st Half of tonigho's game against Utah. As this play is releasead at 2 PM Eastern, the Lakers are -3 1/2 points in the 1st Half of this conteot both in Las Vegas and offshore.

The Costa Rica Connection has a 25 Dime play on the Yankees - 1 1/2 Runs over Baltimore with Burnett and Matusz scheduled to start. You must specify both pitchers. Currently the Yankees are -120 on the Run Line in Vegas and offshore in this contest.

[spook]

JR ODonnell | NBA Total Tue, 05/04/10 - 10:35 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 711 UTA / 712 LAL Under 199.0 Sportbet
Analysis: 
The Lakers go to the Under tonight in Los Angeles !!



NBA Power Play Today

Under the total 199 Jazz/ Lakers game at 10:30


let's break this baby down

The Lakers camp is steaming mad after last games 4th quarter break down on D, letting the Utah Jazz back in the game after a nice lead through out the 1st 3 quarters, The Lakers flat out own the Jazz at the Staples center as the Big Boys from California love the turn up D at home, Look at these stats: Lakers go Under 16-5 and 20-8 at home and hold their opponents to 95 points at home. We have the Lakers playing all 4 quarters tonight and holding the banged up Jazz in the 80's tonight, Let's throw out another power stat from the files: Jazz/ Lakers power ratings total here = 192
That all spells Under tonight Game 2 Western Semi's

[spook]

Stan Sharp | NBA Sides Tue, 05/04/10 - 10:35 PM Æ’Å*

triple-dime bet 712 LAL -6.0 (-110) BetUS vs 711 UTA
Analysis:
Stan is Betting LA LAKERS today. Given the fact that the Celtics were able to even the series last night with Cleveland the betting public will expect the same thing here tonight with Utah. The Lakers will come to play tonight and the line value we are getting here with LAKERS is too good to pass up. Expect the Lakers to win by 9 or more tonight. TAKE LAKERS as STAN'S TRIPLE DIME PLAYOFF GOM and make‚ them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY.

[spook]

Steven Budin-CEO
TUESDAY'S PICKS
The Greek Syndicate has a 25 Dime play on Los Angeles in the 1st Half of tonigho's game against Utah. As this play is releasead at 2 PM Eastern, the Lakers are -3 1/2 points in the 1st Half of this conteot both in Las Vegas and offshore.

The Costa Rica Connection has a 25 Dime play on the Yankees - 1 1/2 Runs over Baltimore with Burnett and Matusz scheduled to start. You must specify both pitchers. Currently the Yankees are -120 on the Run Line in Vegas and offshore in this contest.
thanks kar i was going to ask !!!..but i knew if you had it you would share!!!! gl... ::greatjob::

[spook]

Primetime Sports Advisors

20 Units Chicago Cubs w/Dempter
20 Units San Diego Padres w/Le Blanc
10 Units Yankees run line w/Burnett

[spook]

The Consensus Pick

Pick of the Day: 5-point teaser [Magic -4; Lakers -0.5] (-110) [NBA]
Free Pick: Rockies/Padres Over 7 (-120) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Gallardo vs.Latos

[spook]

Bookiemonsters 5/4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland +100

[spook]

The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 04, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: Today we are featuring another 90% DIAMOND CLUB NBA PLAYOFF ANNIHILATOR for just $35 and you will pay only after you win! We are 23-7 GUARANTEED WINNING RUN! We win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! REMEMBER - EVERY GAME IS OUR GAME OF THE YEAR! 5/4/2010

90% DIAMOND CLUB NBA PLAYOFF ANNIHILATOR
711 Utah +5.5 10:35 EST

[spook]

Root

Tuesday, May 04, 2010
Millionaire's Club
--
Hawks (+9) over Magic

[spook]

JOHNNY GUILD

NBA BASKETBALL
Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 10:30 PM EST.
Utah Jazz (57-32) at Los Angeles Lakers (62-27)
Los Angeles Lakers fell short as a seven-point favorite in Game 1 with 104-99 victory, but are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings at home against the Utah Jazz. .Look for Kobe Bryant to put on a Hollywood show tonight in Los Angeles. Take the Los Angeles Lakers in LA! The Lakers are a better team than the Jazz and have beaten them in 15 straight clashes at the Staples Center.

Los Angeles Lakers -5.5


8:00 PM EST. Atlanta Hawks (57-32) at Orlando Magic (63-23)

Under - 191.5

[spook]

MR A'S PICKS

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 7:05 p.m. est.
St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies
(R) Adam Wainwright (4-1) vs. (L) Cole Hamels (2-2)

St. Louis Cardinals -135


NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 (Eastern Times)
Time Game Selection
8:05 p.m. Atlanta (57-32) at Orlando (63-23)

Orlando Magic -9

10:30 p.m. Utah (57-32) at LA Lakers (62-27)

Los Angeles Lakers -6

[spook]

GINA'S PICKS

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL
Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 10:10 p.m. est.
Tampa Bay Rays (18-7) at Seattle Mariners (11-14)
(R) James Shields (3-0) vs. (L) Jason Vargas (2-1)

The road Warriors Tampa Bay Rays have won 10 of their last 11 road games. Go with the Rays to outscore the struggling Mariners tonight in Seattle. The Mariners have dropped seven of its last nine games.

Tampa Bay's right-hander James Shields is 3-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his last three starts and is 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA in six starts against Seattle. The Rays are 5-1 in Shields' last 6 starts.

Seattle's lefthander Jason Vargas is 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts. Vargas will be making his first start against the Rays. The Mariners are 2-6 in Vargas' last 8 starts, 6-2 in his last 8 home.

Tampa Bay Rays -135


NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 8:05 p.m. est.
Atlanta Hawks (57-32) at Orlando Magic (63-23)
Go with rested Dwight Howard and crew to pound the Hawks at home. Orlando is a tough team to beat on their court. The Magic have won nine straight and 15 of their last 16 at Amway Arena.

Orlando has taken seven of the last nine meetings versus Atlanta and four of the last five at home, going 4-1 ATS.

Orlando Magic -9

[spook]

SPORTS RUMBLE COMPUTER PICKS

MLB - Major League Baseball
Tuesday, May 4th, 2010 (Eastern Time)
Time Game Best Bets *** Selection
7:05 p.m Baltimore Orioles at
(L) Brian Matusz (2-1) vs. (R) A.J. Burnett (3-0)

New York Yankees -250

7:05 p.m. St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies
(R) Adam Wainwright (4-1) vs. (L) Cole Hamels (2-2)

St. Louis Cardinals -135

7:10 p.m. San Francisco Giants at Florida Marlins
(R) Tim Lincecum (4-0) vs. (R) Anibal Sanchez (1-2)

San Francisco Giants -180

[spook]

Mike Hook | MLB Total Tue, 05/04/10 - 10:05 PM“
dime bet 963 COL / 964 SDP Over 7 BetUS Analysis: The OVER 7 between the San Diego Padres and the Colorado
Points Awarded:

[spook]

Deano 5/4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

On a 6-0 Run



Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-May 4th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

MLB Expected Betting Chart: 2/5/8/10 DIMES
**************************************** ******************************
[979] Tampa Bay |8?|-130|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

[970] New York |5?|-228|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[955] St. Louis |2?|-101|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[953] Chicago |2?|-153|B+0|WGN|7:05 pm EST
**************************************** ******************************

*Note
Check out cappers records at Handicappers Paradise

--------------------------------

HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 4th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[709] Atlanta |5*|+9|B+0|TNT|8:00 pm EST

[711] Utah |5*|+6.5|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST

I got a nice little run going 6-0 overall past 2 days. Heated things up in bases so check those out as well!

Note*
Capper's Records posted at Handicappers Paradise

[spook]

OC Dooley

5-UNITS on Hawks/Magic OVER 191' (NBA Best Bet)
3-UNITS on Royals +165 (Baseball Best Bet)
2-UNITS on Jazz +3' (Personal NBA "first half" wager)
2-UNITS on Tigers +125 (baseball underdog)

[spook]

Robcat 5/4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

This was free...



HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 4th

Capper: Robert Michael *Robcat* (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************


[967] Toronto |5*|-122|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[973] Det/Min OVER |5*|9 Runs|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[975] Kansas City |5*|+180|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

[979] Tampa Bay |5*|-132|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

*Note
Find Cappers records at Handicappers Paradise

---------------------

HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 4th

Capper: Robert Michael *Robcat* (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[709] Atlanta |5*|+9|B+0|TNT|8:00 pm EST

[712] Los Angeles |5*|-5.5|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST

*Note
Find Cappers records at Handicappers Paradise

[spook]

Dan Bebe..1* Hawks +9

[spook]

Vegas Runner 5/4 Paid Play

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/04/10 - 7:05 PM

triple-dime bet ml 951 ATL (-110) BetUS vs 952 WAS Analysis: *** MLB 3* NL EAST GAME OF THE WEEK ***
BRAVES -110....(3*)....KAWAKAMI over Hernandez

GL
Morning Moves IS:

Tue, 05/04/10 - 8:10 PM VR's Morning Moves | MLB Money Linedouble-dime bet 973 DET (+120) Bodog vs 974 MINAnalysis: ** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* BOOKIE BET **
TIGERS +120....(2*)....WILLIS over Blackburn

[spook]

exec nba 300--lakers

mlb 250--cin

[spook]

GOODFELLA

TUESDAY MLB LEANS
BRAVES -107 ml
ROCKIES +125 ml
INDIANS +114 ml

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JM Sports Picks Buffet ..Ultimate
Blue Jays 17:2

Best Bet
Yankees 7:1
Padres 9:2

Good Bet
Nationals 10:5
Cubs 7:3
Astros 8:4
RedSox 6:2
Rays 7:2

NBA play is Orlando

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Gil Alexander...Take Washington Nationals (Hernandez) +100 v Atlanta Braves (Kawakami) -110

Take Toronto Blue Jays (Romero) -130 @ Cleveland Indians (Westbrook) +120

Take San Diego Padres (LeBlanc) -135 v Colorado Rockies (Smith) +125

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Jimmy Boyd...Free 1 unit is on Rays over Seattle...
4* on Phillies over Cards
5* on Lakers and Utah under 199 top play
Wunderdog free play is on Boston -170 over LAA

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PREDICTION MACHINE
2 Normal Plays today 11-14 playoff rec
Atlanta +9
LAL-6

Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
East Atlanta Hawks Orlando Magic 8.5 (2.7) 61.2% Calc -->
West Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz (6.5) 10.9 57.1% Calc -->


Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
West Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz 106.1 95.2 61.2%
East Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks 98.5 95.8 55.4%


Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
East Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks 192.5 194.3 OVER 54.5% Calc -->
West Los Angeles Lakers Utah Jazz 199.5 201.3 OVER 53.8% Calc -->

Key
65%+ 3X Normal Play
62% - 65% 2X Normal Play
57% - 62% Normal Play
53% - 57% Weak Play (but playable)
< 53% No Pick

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Cal Sports

4* Under Magic
3* Under D-Backs
3* Indians

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AUSSIE GUY SPORTS PICKS
ATLANTA at ORLANDO GAME 1 Pick
OVER 192

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TYSON STORM
Atlanta Braves -110
50 dimer

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Winners Inc. Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 04, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: Today in the NBA we our featuring our NBA PLAYOFF LATE INFO KILLER WINNER for just $20 and as always you WILL WIN THIS GAME or YOU WILL NOT BE CHARGED! We are the WINNING MACHINES at Winners Inc.! 5/4/2010

NBA PLAYOFF LATE INFO KILLER WINNER
710 Orlando -9 8:05 EST

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The Hoops Guru Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 04, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: Last year we are 45-25 with our DOUBLE PLAYS, 68-51 with our TRIPLE PLAYS and 64-32 with our QUADRUPLE PLAYS. The previous four years my DOUBLE PLAYS are 210-114, TRIPLE PLAYS are 201-112 and QUADRUPLE PLAYS are 91-40! Today we are featuring a NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER that you can get for just $20 and you will pay only after you win! 5/4/2010

NBA TRIPLE PLAY PLAYOFF WINNER
711 Utah +6 10:35 EST

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Anthony Redd
Anthony Redd Tuesday's Card 40 Dime Play - Magic

30 Dime Play - Magic (1st Half)

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C-Star Sports

5000 Units Boston Red sox OVER Angles
1000 Units San Diego over Colorado
1000 Units Utah Plus the points over Lakers
1000 Units ATLANTA/Orlando over the total
50 Units Cubs/Pittsburgh over the total

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MIKE LINEBACK
4* Toronto Blue Jays -130
4.5* (POD) Tampa Bay Rays -142
4* Cincinnati Reds -135
4* New York Mets/Cincinnati Reds OVER 9 -115
4* Los Angeles Angels/ Boston Red Sox UNDER 9.5 -125
4* Kansas City Royals +1.5 -130

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Marc Lawrence MLB

St Louis -130

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STEVE MERRILL
Bluejays
Cubs/Pirates Over
Magic

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Pro source

orlando-9

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hope everybody found what they were looking 4..gl

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Jim Feist Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 04, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: The playoffs continue Tuesday and World Champion handicapper Jim Feist is prepared to BLAST THE BOOKS with a red-hot NBA High Roller Total! Jim is on a sizzling 31-12 (72% Winners) run with online NBA High Roller Totals, as well a 15-4 run! This is another MONSTER NBA winner that clashes with Jim's handicapping insight, so get on board then head straight to the BANK! 5/3/2010

05/04 07:35 PM NBA (711) UTAH Jazz VS (712) LOS ANGELES LAKERS.
Take: UNDER.
Reason: High Roller Total: Jazz/Lakers Under.
Lost in the shuffle of the LA comeback in Game 1 was the Lakers' defense, holding uptempo Utah to 44% shooting. The Lakers were in command of Game 1 as their frontcourt had a +5 rebounding edge, as Pau Gasol had 25 points and 12 rebounds while blocking five shots. This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to finish up a series against the Denver Nuggets, then play Game 1 less than two days later on the road and now Game 2 -- so that's 3 games in 6 nights of intense aaction. It's going to be difficult on their offense with tired legs, especially playing 2 straight on the road. LA has put its game face on the last three games, all wins, ripping the Thunder on this court in Game 5 and winning at Oklahoma City as a dog. These teams have played 5 times this season and the under is 4-1. With so much at stake, look for both teams to play better defense. Play the Jazz/LA Lakers Under the total in Game 2.

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Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, May 04, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: We are very selective in baseball producing high percentage winners! Today we are releasing another INSIDE LATE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER! You can get this guaranteed winner today for just $20! We are now on an OUTSTANDING 65-31 run with all of our selections!5/4/2010

INSIDE LATE STEAM BASEBALL WINNER
San Diego w/Leblanc -132 10:05 EST

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VEGAS COMMISSION Picks:

8:10 PM : (NBA) ATLANTA @ ORLANDO
THE PICK (10 UNITS)-FREE PLAY--ATLANTA +9.5 (5 OUT OF 7 COMMISSION MEMBERS HAVE APPROVED PLAY)

8:10 PM : (MLB) ROYALS @ CHI WHITE SOX
THE PICK (10 UNITS)-FREE PLAY--CHI W-SOX -RL (+120) (5 OUT OF 7 COMMISSION MEMBERS HAVE APPROVED PLAY)

10:35 PM : (NBA) UTAH JAZZ @ LA LAKERS
THE PICK (25 UNITS)-FREE PLAY--LA LAKERS -5 (7 OUT OF 7 COMMISSION MEMBERS HAVE APPROVED PLAY)

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Vegas Runner 5/4 Paid Play

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vegas-runner | MLB Money Line Tue, 05/04/10 - 7:05 PM

triple-dime bet ml 951 ATL (-110) BetUS vs 952 WAS Analysis: *** MLB 3* NL EAST GAME OF THE WEEK ***
BRAVES -110....(3*)....KAWAKAMI over Hernandez

GL
Morning Moves IS:

Tue, 05/04/10 - 8:10 PM VR's Morning Moves | MLB Money Linedouble-dime bet 973 DET (+120) Bodog vs 974 MINAnalysis: ** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* BOOKIE BET **
TIGERS +120....(2*)....WILLIS over Blackburn
2* jazz added play

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Don Wallace Sports

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Late Move

4* Lakers -5.5 over Utah