MMA contest TUF Finale thread

[Luke]

Everyone starts with a bankroll of 100 bucks and you cant bet more than 20% of your current roll on any one fighter .We'll use these lines for the bets.Please put all your bets in this thread with the amount next to the fighter.I am using the current odds at Pinacle for the contest. Make you bets look like this please

Court Mcgee -199 10 to win 5


Here's the lines for the contest :

Court Mcgee -199
Kris Mccray +179

Aaron Simpson -319
Chris Leben +280

Keith Jardine +125
Matt Hamill -138

Dennis Siver +170
Spencer Fisher -189

John Gunderson -226
Mark Holst +202

Jamie Yager -105
Rich Attonito -105

Brad Tavares -225
Seth Baczynski +201

Josh Bryant +153
Kyle Noke -170

Chris Camozzi -127
James Hammortree +115

James Mcsweeney +160
Travis Browne -178



bet as many of as few fights as you like,you dont even have to bet if you dont want to.

GL ::handshake::

[MMA_scientist]

Aaron Simpson -319 20 to win 6.26

McSweeney +160 5 to win 8

[SPX]

How do we do the calculations? For instance, I'm not sure exactly what the payout would be on a $10 bet at a -179 line. Is there a calculator somewhere?

[MMA_scientist]

10 divided by 1.79 for favorite, so 10/ 1.79 = 5.58


if dog and it was +160.. it would be 10 X 1.6, so 10 to win 16

[Mr. IWS]

Keith Jardine +125 10 TO WIN 12.5

[poopoo333]

$10 to win $12.50 on Jardine @+125
$1 to win $2.80 on Leben @+280
$2 to win $3.40 on Siver @+170
$4 to win $1.60 on Mcsweeney @+160


That is all.

[mike]

10 on Mcgee to win 5
5 on Jardine to win 6.25

[Thewiseman]

Keith Jardine +125 20 to win 25
Spencer Fisher -189 20 to win 10.58
Mark Holst +202 5 to win 10
Aaron Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27

[MMA_scientist]

^ going for broke right off the bat. We are all going to be chasing you, or you will be done.

[ManBoobKilla]

is this fake $100 used for all the events or do you get $100 each event???

[Luke]

is this fake $100 used for all the events or do you get $100 each event???


yeah its total. You can bet as many or a few fights as you want over the contest as long as you dont bet more than 20% of your roll on any one fighter.
After the 8 events the person with the biggest bankroll wins .If you want it you're more than welcome to jump in .Its only 10 bucks winner takes all.Its starts with this TUF event ::handshake::

[Ludo]

Court Mcgee -199- 20 to win 10
Chris Leben +280- 10 to win 28
Dennis Siver +170- 10 to win 17


On a side note I saw ya'll talking about a belt for the winner. I did a couple up. Let me know what you guys think(I can alter them if there's an idea as well)

http://i293.photobucket.com/albums/mm79/Ludo_Cain/IWSOPTION2.jpg

http://i293.photobucket.com/albums/mm79/Ludo_Cain/IWSBELT.jpg

[Mr. IWS]

Luke, are we going to keep this open during the event? I think it would be fun when a guy goes on tilt during the event and loads up on the main event or something like that.

[Thewiseman]

Keith Jardine +125 20 to win 25
Spencer Fisher -189 20 to win 10.58
Mark Holst +202 5 to win 10
Aaron Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
added
Camozzi -127 1.27 to win 1
Noke -170 3.40 to win 2
Mcgee -190 3.8 to win 2
Yager -105 1.05 to win 1

[Luke]

Luke, are we going to keep this open during the event? I think it would be fun when a guy goes on tilt during the event and loads up on the main event or something like that.

When the go on tilt? These guys go on tilt after losing one fight

We can if you want .Just someone needs to make sure the bets are going down before the fights start ::handshake::

[Thewiseman]

A buddy wants in. He is creating an account right now. Can you tell him what to do?


What do you mean?

Sign up
Send 10 bucks to Zak
post his picks
He was having trouble getting signed up.

[mike]

10 on Mcgee to win 5
5 on Jardine to win 6.25
Put 10 more on Mcgee after watching the weight in.
So Final bet is:
20 to win 10 on Mcgee
5 on Jardine to win 6.25

[High5]

Jardine 20u
Mcgee 5u
Simpson 5u
Bryant 2u
Gunderson 2u

[Luke]

He was having trouble getting signed up.


did he get it all figured out?

[Thewiseman]

He was having trouble getting signed up.


did he get it all figured out?
He tried to sign up but it said his account was inactive, he wants in though. His email is matt _smmrs @yahoo.com.

[Luke]

premlims start in 15 minutes just to let everyone know


Edit ***** I guess the prelims dont start till 6:45pm

[Luke]

Okay, thats cool.


I'd fix it for you but theres nothing I can do ::handshake::

[Luke]

Josh Byrant +153 10 to win 15.3

[SPX]

Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
Siver +170 5 to win 8.5
Jardine +125 7.5 to win 9.38

[zY|]

Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
Siver +170 10 to win 17
Holst +202 5 to win 10.1

[MMA_scientist]

Add

Gunderson -226 10 to win 4.4

[Luke]

Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
Siver +170 10 to win 17
Holst +202 5 to win 10.1


what happened to the no bet strategy?

[zY|]

Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
Siver +170 10 to win 17
Holst +202 5 to win 10.1


what happened to the no bet strategy?

What do you think?

[Luke]

Josh Byrant +153 10 to win 15.3


::thumbdown::

[Thewiseman]

Keith Jardine +125 20 to win 25
Spencer Fisher -189 20 to win 10.58
Mark Holst +202 5 to win 10
Aaron Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
added
Camozzi -127 1.27 to win 1
Noke -170 3.40 to win 2
Mcgee -190 3.8 to win 2
Yager -105 1.05 to win 1
Up 3 so far, almost put more on Noke.

[Luke]

Mark Holst +202 10 to win 20.2

dog number 2 going down next

[MMA_scientist]

+4.4 on Gunderson (and 1.21 IRL). Still didn't wipe out the loss on McSweeney.

I don't think we should allow in game bets.

[Luke]

+4.4 on Gunderson (and 1.21 IRL). Still didn't wipe out the loss on McSweeney.

I don't think we should allow in game bets.


we already decided we were going too.I see no problem with it. I just cost myself 10 more dollars doing it

[Luke]

Mark Holst +202 10 to win 20.2

dog number 2 going down next


::thumbdown::

down 20 dollars

guess this wasnt the even to try to pick dogs ,at all

[Luke]

+4.4 on Gunderson (and 1.21 IRL). Still didn't wipe out the loss on McSweeney.

I don't think we should allow in game bets.


better yet lets not have in game bets we can cancel my Holst bet

[Mr. IWS]

He was having trouble getting signed up.


did he get it all figured out?
He tried to sign up but it said his account was inactive, he wants in though. His email is matt _smmrs @yahoo.com.

Not sure what the problem is. Account was signed up around 1pm today. tell him to email me if he is still having problems.:

murrder 19 Jun 2010 12:51 pm

[Luke]

Aaron Simpson -319 15.95 to win 5

[MMA_scientist]

Jardine +125 16u

I am going to lose this competition badly.

[zY|]

Court McGee -199 20 to win 10.05

This is gonna be hilarious.

[zY|]

Fuck it.

Keith Jardine +125 5 to win 6.25

[Ludo]

Wow. point deduction on a clearly accidental eye poke?

[Luke]

Kris Mccray +179 20 to win 35.8

If I win this I'm even If I lose ,well I lose

[Luke]

Hey Zy not betting probably would have won LOL

[zY|]

Hey Zy not betting probably would have won LOL

LOL. We'll see.

Somebody wake me up when this fight is over.

[Thewiseman]

Jardine was robbed

[zY|]

Jardine was robbed

Of what?

His job? His dignity?

Certainly not the fight.

[Luke]

Jardine was robbed


LOL yeah sure

[Ludo]

+$55.05 tonight

[Luke]

+$55.05 tonight


i'll determine that bitch

stay out of here ::thumbdown::

[Thewiseman]

Keith Jardine +125 20 to win 25
Spencer Fisher -189 20 to win 10.58
Mark Holst +202 5 to win 10
Aaron Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
added
Camozzi -127 1.27 to win 1
Noke -170 3.40 to win 2
Mcgee -190 3.8 to win 2
Yager -105 1.05 to win 1
I think my bankroll is 38.95. So now my max bet is 7.79 or is it 20?

[zY|]

Keith Jardine +125 20 to win 25
Spencer Fisher -189 20 to win 10.58
Mark Holst +202 5 to win 10
Aaron Simpson -319 20 to win 6.27
added
Camozzi -127 1.27 to win 1
Noke -170 3.40 to win 2
Mcgee -190 3.8 to win 2
Yager -105 1.05 to win 1
I think my bankroll is 38.95. So now my max bet is 7.79 or is it 20?

That's a good question.

[Thewiseman]

I think Jardine clearly won 1st and 3rd rd. And that deduction was bullshit.

[Luke]

I think my bankroll is 38.95. So now my max bet is 7.79 or is it 20?



hmmmm!!!

[zY|]

I think my bankroll is 38.95. So now my max bet is 7.79 or is it 20?



hmmmm!!!

I think it should stay 20 bucks no matter what.

Otherwise you have no shot of really catching up.

[Ludo]

I think Jardine clearly won 1st and 3rd rd. And that deduction was bullshit.

He clearly won the first. The third round was debatable. Hamill landed the harder shots, Jardine spent the entire time circling away from Hamill and bleeding all over the place.

[Luke]

I think it should stay 20 bucks no matter what.

Otherwise you have no shot of really catching up.


I agree that I'd have no shot of catching up either but I didnt think about that .

We did say 20% of your roll but we werent really tech.

whats everyone else say?

[Thewiseman]

I think 20% of your roll, but no smaller than 20. Or just keep it at 20 max.

[Luke]

I think 20% of your roll, but no smaller than 20. Or just keep it at 20 max.


I think you max should still be a min 20 but if your up it should be 20% of your roll. If you at 150 you should be able to bet 30 per fight .


Sound ok ?

[Thewiseman]

I think 20% of your roll, but no smaller than 20. Or just keep it at 20 max.


I think you max should still be a min 20 but if your up it should be 20% of your roll. If you at 150 you should be able to bet 30 per fight .


Sound ok ?
Good

[MMA_scientist]

I think it should be 20% of your remaining bankroll. Ludo is going to run away with it now. I am in the hole big time.

[Luke]

I think it should be 20% of your remaining bankroll. Ludo is going to run away with it now. I am in the hole big time.


We said the 20% of your bankroll because we wanted to make sure everyone wasnt going all in the last event.We werent trying to put everyone behind the leader at a disadvantage

[Ludo]

I'm not going to vote.

[Luke]

I'm not going to vote.


You have too you're part of the 10 in the contest.

If we dont agree it'll have to say 20% on your bankroll becuase we didnt define if the 20% stayed the same .

I want you to vote .

[Ludo]

I don't want it to seem like I'm biased. Since I'm one of 10, without my vote there can't be a tie. Whatever the majority decision comes out as is cool with Me.

[SPX]

I like a flat $20 personally.

[SPX]

Congrats to Ludo, BTW.

You're the man.

[Luke]

I don't want it to seem like I'm biased. Since I'm one of 10, without my vote there can't be a tie. Whatever the majority decision comes out as is cool with Me.


I just dont want anyone mad

Zy me wiseman voted for 20 dollars or 20% if your over 100

MMAscientist voted 20% no matter what


We need 5 more voters to chine in

SPX ,ZAK,high5 ,Mike, poopoo

[Ludo]

Thanks, SPX. Like I said I really just got lucky tonight for the most part.

[Luke]

I like a flat $20 personally.


thats not one of the choices


stay with us SPX

[SPX]

Thanks, SPX. Like I said I really just got lucky tonight for the most part.

Your +17.66u in the UFC isn't luck.

Apparently we have something in common.

[Ludo]

It is when dealing with a card like this full of relative nobodies even if you watched the show(which I did), and guys who were thought to be on the brink of being shot(Leben), or somehow still convincing people they have what it takes to win fights with mid level fighters(Jardine). Tonight was full of surprises in a way, and no surprise at all in others(alot of favorites winning tonight). all in all I stayed away for the most part because I honestly had no way to predict any kind of viable variance for alot of these fights.

I was having a really difficult time coming up with logical outcomes here based on only being able to see one fight for some of these guys and multiple ones that were nothing special for some of the others. Thats why I stayed mostly with guys I've seen before and could actually match things up between. I think we all learned a valuable lesson here: never bet against the deaf wrestler unless he's fighting a brit in the UK or a former P4P stallwart.

[SPX]

thats not one of the choices


stay with us SPX

New choice.

[SPX]

I think we all learned a valuable lesson here: never bet against the deaf wrestler unless he's fighting a brit in the UK or a former P4P stallwart.

I've been a Hamill supporter for a while. I even bet on him against Jon Jones (which miraculously worked out for me). But I can't bet against Jardine. Really sad about this. He'll be cut.

[Thewiseman]

I dont think Jardine will be cut yet.

[SPX]

I dont think Jardine will be cut yet.

He's lost 4 in a row. As big of a fan as I am, he'll be cut. How could he not.

[Luke]

I dont think Jardine will be cut yet.

He's lost 4 in a row. As big of a fan as I am, he'll be cut. How could he not.


Maybe he'll go fight in Strikeforce

[Ludo]

I doubt he'll get cut. They don't pay him enough money to really worry about whether he stays or goes, and one less fighter for Strikeforce's infant 205lb division for cheap is a good sell to the UFC. Jardine has wins over Forrest, Chuck, Vera. He's only lost to Bonnar(back when he had a little respect), Houston(who everyone overlooked, including Keith), Wanderlei, Rampage, Bader, Thiago Silva, and now Hamill. Two future hall of famers, an up and coming star in the making, a guy who almost beat Rashad while injured. This loss is really the only one that sticks out as a blemish on his record for now. He'll be fine.

[Luke]

did we figure this 20% thing out or not?

[zY|]

I think you need to man up and call it, Luke.

[Luke]

I think you need to man up and call it, Luke.



Well I say 20 dollars or 20% of your roll if its over 100 I just dont want anyone mad .

MMAscientist was the only one that said it should be 20% of your roll then he went and put two 20 dollar wagers in the WEC thread.I think he's got rocks in his head

Lets just go with 20 dollars or 20% of your roll if its over 100 ::handshake::

[Luke]

Something just hit me. Betting 10,10 and 20 dollars on fighters that fought on a show I never watched a single episode of probably wasnt the best strategy to have

[Ludo]

Even for those of us who did watch the show didn't have much of an edge over anyone else. There just wasn't enough of most of these guys to see to form any good analysis for the most part. It's cards like these that level the betting playing field in a big way.

[mike]

I think you need to man up and call it, Luke.



Well I say 20 dollars or 20% of your roll if its over 100 I just dont want anyone mad .

MMAscientist was the only one that said it should be 20% of your roll then he went and put two 20 dollar wagers in the WEC thread.I think he's got rocks in his head

Lets just go with 20 dollars or 20% of your roll if its over 100 ::handshake::
I guess this way will keep everyone playing til the end since anyone will still have a chance to catch up. And Ludocain can still bet more than 20 on the next card which can still keep him ahead even farther. Sounds good to me.

[SPX]

Dennis Siver is like a video game character and the spinning back kick is like his special move.