7-5-10

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NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl! :burn:

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Baseball Crusher 7/5

NYM (-135) over CIN

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ATS LOCK CLUB

3 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays
3 UNIT Chicago White Sox

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JIM FEIST COMP
(963) LOS ANGELES ANGELS
(964) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Take "(963) LOS ANGELES ANGELS"
Scott Kazmir was the ace for the Tampa Bay Rays. However, since coming over to the LA Angels he's struggled. In fact, Kazmir can point to one reason for his struggles, his slider. Kazmir has had problems most of the season locating his slider, which in turn has made him mainly a fastball/changeup type pitcher which is why he sits at the midway point of the season with a 7-7 record and 5.67 ERA. Kazmir has been using the slider a lot from the bullpen, but has little confidence in the pitch from the mound. Look for that to change now that he's gaining more confidence with the once devastating pitch. What's even more surprising is that Kazmir has been more effective on the road this season than at home. Kazmir is 5-3 away with a 4.73 ERA compared to his home 2-4 record and 7.28 ERA. In addition, opposing batters are hitting almost 60 points less against Kazmir on the road. Gavin Floyd will start for the Whitesox. Floyd is 3-7 this season with a 4.66 ERA. Floyd is just 1-2 at home this year with a 4.98 ERA and .277 opponent batting average. At this point I have more belief in Kazmir than I do in Floyd. Plus Kazmir is pitching well on the road and if he can start using that slider more he will be more like the pitcher he was with the Rays. Take the Angels here on Monday as a nice little dog.

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Jack Clayton
Free play

Sport: MLB
Game: Marlins at Dodgers
Date/Time: 7/5/2010 9:00PM EST
Pick: Over the total

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Monday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


Streaking

Felix Hernandez (6-5, 3.03 ERA), Seattle Mariners

Seattle pitchers make back-to-back appearances in the streaking section with King Felix following Cliff Lee from yesterday. The M’s have been awful this season but you can’t blame either hurler for the team’s problems.

Hernandez has pitched at least eight innings in each of his last four starts and he’s struck out 37 batters compared to just six walks. The Mariners are 3-1 in those last four trips to the hill and the under is 5-0-2 in his last seven outings.

Slumping

Ian Kennedy (3-6, 3.77) Arizona Diamondbacks

Kennedy has lost his last three starts - surrendering 17 hits and 13 earned runs during that span - and hasn't gotten a win since May 19.

Control problems have been the source of his frustration. Kennedy walked a career-high nine walks in his last outing. The Diamondbacks even elected to skip his last turn in the rotation.

"Honestly, I have no idea but I need to figure it out," said Kennedy, who became the first pitcher in the majors to allow nine or more walks since Boston's Josh Beckett in 2006. "It's not acceptable and it's very, very frustrating. I don't know what's wrong. I have to look at film and figure it out quick before my next outing."

Scott Kazmir (7-7, 5.67) Los Angeles Angels

After winning four consecutive starts, Kazmir has barely gotten warmed up before being pulled in his last two outings - both losses that lasted less than five innings.

Kazmir allowed 12 hits and 10 earned runs in his last 8 1/3 innings, exiting his last start in the fifth after being hammered by the crosstown Dodgers.
His problems have been more mechanical than mental. Kazmir seems to have lost his slider, leaving him with only a fastball and changeup to do battle.

"Scott didn't have everything working for him," Angels manager Mike Scioscia said after falling to the Dodgers. "As his fastball command got shaky, he was getting behind hitters. He didn't have many tools in his box."

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HOT LINES

Monday's Best MLB Bets

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (-150, 9.5)

The Angels' bats have hit a cold spell in July, managing just five runs in their first three games of the month.

Their two losses have come against inferior pitchers, Kansas City's Kyle Davies and Bruce Chen, who are a combined 16 games under .500 for their careers. The Halos made them look like Cy Young candidates.

"I think the opposing teams' pitching was good, but we haven't been able to take advantage of our scoring opportunities," said Angels slugger Hideki Matsui. "It's not like we didn't have any chances."

So what are the Angels' chances after playing a late game Sunday night then treking across two time zones to Chicago to face sizzling White Sox starter Gavin Floyd, who is unbeaten with a 1.25 ERA over his last three starts? About the same as their bats lateyl - slim.

Pick: Chicago White Sox


Florida Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers (-165, 8.5)

The Marlins have looked like a tired team, both mentally and physically, over their last 10 games. During that span they've lost seven games and one manager.

So it's a bad time to start a West Coast road swing against the suddenly hot Dodgers, especially after playing a "home series" in Puerto Rico and being swept by the Braves in Atlanta.

"It stinks. We've had close games, and more than a couple that we should have won," Marlins rookie Gabby Sanchez said of the team's downslide. "We just can't get into that rhythm and get into that groove. It's going to come. Hopefully, it comes sooner [rather] than later."

The Dodgers have won four of their last five on the road and have been pounding the ball despite the loss of Manny Ramirez. They have averaged seven runs per game over that span and face lefty Nate Robertson, who has given up that many per start in his last three outings.

Pick: LA Dodgers

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TIPS AND NOTES
Bettors' Best Friend (BBF): Monday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines To Keep An Eye On

Giants at Brewers: Brewers opened as -135 favorites but have fallen to as low as -113 at some books.

Cubs at Diamondbacks: Total opened at 9.5 but has slipped to 9. The under is 34-16-8 in the Cubs' last 54 road games.

Weather To Watch

Angels at White Sox: 50 percent chance of thunderstorms, winds blowing in from right/center field at 19 mph.

Indians at Rangers: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's Hot

Reds have won 11 of their last 15
Royals have won seven of their last nine.
Athletics have won seven of their last nine.

Who's Not

Marlins have lost seven of their last nine.
Cubs have lost seven of their last 10.
Giants have lost seven of their last eight.

Key Stat

0 - Number of runs the Washington Nationals have scored over rookie sensation Stephen Strasburg's last 18 innings on the mound. Strasburg has allowed only six earned runs over that span.

Injury That Shouldn't Be Overlooked

Oakland Athletics outfielder Coco Crisp left Sunday afternoon's game against the Cleveland Indians with tightness in his left hamstring and is questionable for today's series opener against the Yankees. Crisp has already served two stints on the disabled list but is batting .302 with two home runs, 10 RBIs and four stolen bases in 11 games. Adding to the A's lack of depth in the outfield is Conor Jackson, who has missed four straight starts with a tight hamstring.

Game Of The Day

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (-150, 9.5)

Notable Quotable

"I've talked to Carmelo Anthony that he needs to come out here. I've talked to Tony Parker. Both guys are ready to join me if I decide to come here. So we will see if we can work it out."

Free-agent forward/center Amar'e Stoudemire said of the New York Knicks, where the former Phoenix Suns' All-Star appears to be headed. Stoudemire had breakfast with former Suns coach and current Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni on Sunday to clear the air about disagreements they had in Phoenix.

Tips And Notes

Giants pitcher Jonathan Sanchez should be buying a few rounds for his teammates for their offensive support. The over is 7-0 in his last seven starts, which is usually a bad sign for a pitcher. But Sanchez is 4-2 during that span and has allowed only 21 runs during that stretch. A total of 78 runs have been scored in his last seven starts, an average of more than 11 per game. He faces the Brewers in Milwaukee, where the over is 22-5-1 in their last 28 home games. The posted total is 8.5.

Bettors seem to be buying into the theory that the Miami Heat will be the big winners in the ongoing free agency frenzy. The Heat opened as 25/1 longshots to win the 2011 NBA title but they have been bet down to 6/1, second only to the two-time defending champion Los Angeles Lakers (7/2). Other teams to make big leaps are the Bulls (from 18/1 to 12/1) the Knicks (from 25/1 to 18/1) and Nets and Clippers (from 50/1 to 40/1). The Cavs have fallen from 8/1 to 15/1. These numbers should see a big shift in the coming days as free agents begin to finalize their decisions.

Tiger Woods remains a curious 5/2 favorite to win the British Open despite the fact that he is playing some of the worst golf of his career. Woods shot 1-over-par 71 in Sunday's final round of the AT&T National, marking the first time since the 1999 Bay Hill Invitational that he failed to break par in all four rounds of a tournament. The second pick is Jim Furyk at 10/1, but the best bet might be the real chalk, the field at 2/1, which includes some emerging European Tour players.

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Betting resource.com

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dear Members,

Jul 6: SCR: World Cup: Netherlands - Uruguay
Pick: Netherlands -1 Odd: 2.30
Risked: 10 units Return:

Good Luck
Bettingresource dot com

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papayagang pick of the day 3 75* 7/5-10

Philadelphia Phillies ML
Tampa Bay Rays ML
Seattle Mariners ML

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Marc Lawrence Comp

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays

The Red Sox and Rays meet in the opener of a crucial three game series in Tampa this evening when Matt Garza matches serves with Clay Buchholz. Gar takes the mound with wins in four of his last five team starts. He's also 10-3 in his last 13 home team starting efforts. With Buchholz just 2-5 throughout his career during the month of July, look for the Rays to capture the opener here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Tampa Bay.

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Cajun Sports
Free play

LAA Angels vs. Chicago White Sox
Play: Chicago White Sox

The LA Angels travel to the second city for a four-game series against the host White Sox beginning on Monday July 5. Chicago is 29-19 when playing against a team with a win percentage of 54 percent to 62 percent over the last two seasons. We want to Play ON MLB favorites in this price range who average 4.5 or fewer runs per game against a starter whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.70, with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game. Playing on these favorites has produced a record of 56-16 for 77 percent winners and a profit of over thirty-two units. We will lay the chalk with the host as the Sox grab the first game of this series against the Angels on Monday night.

PROJECTED FORECAST: 2* Chicago White Sox 5 LA Angels

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Craig Trapp
Free play

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: Seattle Mariners -1.5

Love playing super hot power pitchers. Without a doubt Hernandez is back to his last season domination. Shutting out the NYY in a complete game shutout shows how good he is running. In fact his last four starts he is 3-0 with 3 complete games, 5 ER's and 37 K's! KC turns to Bannister after being shut out on Sunday. Not good news as Banniester is 1-3 in last four starts. Even worse night starts he is 3-6 with a 7.76 ERA. When Hernandez wins he has covered the R/L in all of his last 5 winning starts. Great value here!

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Sean Murphy
Free play

Baltimore Orioles @ Detroit Tigers
PICK: Detroit Tigers

The Tigers were tripped up by the Mariners on Sunday, but that should come as no surprise, as they were up against one of the best pitchers in baseball, Cliff Lee.

I'm confident we'll see Detroit bounce back strong on Monday, and improve to 11-2 in its last 13 games as a favorite.

The Orioles have avoided getting swept in each of their last two series', but that's about it. They remain an awful road team, currently sitting at 9-31 on the season. Going back to last season, they've won just 10 of their last 51 games away from home.

To make matters worse, the O's will be up against a left-handed starter who they've never seen before on Monday. They're hitting just .234 against southpaws on the road this season, and own an ugly 16-37 record in their last 53 games against left-handed starters.

Kevin Millwood gets the call for the Orioles. Baltimore has won each of his last three starts, but don't give Millwood too much credit. He's posted a 6.75 ERA and 1.85 WHIP over that stretch. Note that he's made it through the sixth inning only once in his last six starts.

Millwood owns a 1-7 team record in his eight road outings this season. It's not as if he's had much help, as the O's are giving him just two runs per start away from home.

As a member of the Texas Rangers last year, Millwood made a pair of starts in Detroit. He was winless in those two appearances, dropping 6-4 and 4-3 decisions. You would have to go back to September of 2006 to find the last time he won at Comerica Park.

Andrew Oliver will get his third start of the season for the Tigers. He has yet to notch a victory, but has certainly pitched well enough to do so in each of his first two outings. Keep in mind, those losses came in Atlanta and Minnesota, where the Braves and Twins own two of the strongest home field edges in the majors.

Oliver has allowed 13 hits, but just four earned runs over 12 innings of work. He's struck out 10 while walking only three. He'll have the advantage of facing the Orioles for the first time, and should benefit from taking the mound at pitcher friendly Comerica Park.

This is a mismatch no matter how you look at it. The Tigers should bounce back nicely after Sunday's setback while the Orioles will come back to Earth following a rare road victory. Take Detroit.

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THE PREZ
Free play

Giants @ Brewers
PICK: Over 8.5

Jonathan Sanchez has now thrown three straight non-QS outings (1-1, 6.23 ERA with 11 walks to 15 K's). In his last start the southpaw lasted only five innings allowing six hits and four earned runs while striking out four. While the Giants' lefty has kept all outings this season to four earned runs or less and his ERA at a decent 3.26, his FB percentage and his gopher-itis continues to grow; and away from pitcher-friendly ATT Park Sanchez is an implosion waiting to happen. Strikeouts are his only saving grace. He is averaging a K/9 of 8.81 this season, but that is straight-line decline after posting a 12.2 in April (7.2 in May and 8.2 in June). Expect the Brewers to send more than one of Sanchez's offerings into the outfield bleachers today in this post-Independence daytime contest.

The Crew's right-hander Dave Bush, taking the ball after nine days of rest, pitched six innings and allowed two earned runs, once again taking advantage of a non-power lineup against Seattle, this two starts back. In his last outing, one against another soft-hitting Houston lineup Bush was able to scatter five hits and five walks in a loss to the Astros. The veteran Brewer has a 3-6 record with a 4.43 ERA despite 11 of his 19 starts coming against offenses that rank, or did rank, in the bottom 25 percent of the league.

Bush is one of those pitchers who has consistently had a good looking skill set, 2006 / 2007 / 2008 / 2009 K/9’s 7.1/6.5/5.3/7.1 and BB/9’s 1.6/2.1/2.9/1.5, but the results have never translated to gameday or season ending numbers (ERA’s 4.41/5.12/4.18/6.38). His FB percentage continues to grow (FB%, 34%/38%/41%/45%) and his propensity to give up the long ball (29 home runs allowed in 185 innings in 2008 and 19 home runs allowed in 114.1 innings in 2009) tells you all you need to know. When hitters make contact with Bush's average arm speed they are squaring up on his offerings (LD% 22%). Bush is 11-2 to the OVER in home tilts when oddsmakers open the total between 7 to 8.5 over the last three seasons.

The Giants are 9-2 to the OVER in road games against bullpens that have failed in 38% or more of their save opportunities and 13-4 to the OVER versus teams (Brewers) that allow 4.8 or more runs per game on the season this season.
The Brewers are 8-0 to the OVER when playing on Monday this season.

3* Play on OVER 8.5 runs

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EZWINNERS COMP

Seattle Mariners -200

The Mariners starting pitcher Felix Hernandez is back in the form that nearly won him the AL Cy Young last year. Hernandez pitched a two-hitter in his last start, striking out eleven and walking three in his first shutout of the season against the Yankees in New York. Over his last three starts Hernandez is 2-0 with an ERA of only 1.00 and I expect another dominate performance by him here against the Royals. Kansas City send Brian Bannister to the mound for this start and Bannister has been hit hard recently. In his last three starts Bannister is 1-2 with an ERA of 5.79. The Mariners have hit him well in the past and I expect them to do so again in this game. The Mariners are 15-5 in the last twenty meetings between these two teams in Seattle and I expect their winning ways in this series to continue. Play on the Mariners.

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Brewers
Mariners(RL)

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Arthur Ralph Sports

474 - 348 run 58 %
Free play MON UNDER 9 1/2 Cubs

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Karl Garrett
Free play

G-Man going with the underdog Atlanta Braves this Monday night to come through against the slumping Phillies, and pitcher Roy Halladay.

The Phils have dropped 4 of their last 5 games, and 6 of their last 9 overall, as their offense has really had a hard time getting things going. G-Man expects them to struggle again tonight at the plate, as Atlanta hurler Derek Lowe did hold Philly to just 1 run in 8 innings the last time he made the start against them back on June 2nd.

Roy Halladay just gave up 4 runs in an 8 inning loss to the Reds, and with little support these days from the bats, there is a solid chance Halladay will wind up on the losing end of tonight's decision as well.

Atlanta holds a 5-4 edge in the season series this year, and they have held their own in Philadelphia, going 6-6 dating back to last season at the Bank.

Upset winner on the Braves the call this Monday.
1? ATLANTA

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Stephen Nover
Free play

I'm on a 37-18-1 roll the past two months with my complimentary baseball releases following yet another winner on Sunday as the underdog A's delivered against the Indians.

On the Monday card, I've found another road underdog I like, the Los Angeles Angels, who are visiting Chicago.

The Angels have been tremendous on the road winning 12 of their last 15, including five of their past six. They catch a hot White Sox team that is in a letdown spot.

Chicago just took two of three road games from AL West leaders Texas. Now the White Sox are returning home following a six-game road swing. It's usually tough for a team to have its full concentration when playing right away following a road trip.

The pitching matchup is Scott Kazmir versus Gavin Floyd. Kazmir is 5-3 with a 4.73 ERA on the road compared to 2-4, 7.28 ERA at home. Floyd has a 4.66 ERA, but has been pitching better lately. He has a 4.14 ERA in five starts against the Angels.

This is an action play based on getting value with the Angels as an underdog. They are 9-1 the past 10 times they've been cast as a pup. LA has also defeated the White Sox in five of the last six meetings.
5? LA ANGELS (WITH KAZMIR AND FLOYD)

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Bobby Maxwell
Free play

Delivered Sunday's FREE winner for you as the Rays went to Minnesota and took care of the Twins to improve my comp record to 116-103-3. Tonight I have a free winner on the A's as they host the Yankees in Oakland.

Both teams are coming into this one off a long flight as the Yankees were at home Sunday against the Jays and the A’s were in Cleveland taking on the Indians. So there is no advantage there. But I like the way Oakland’s Ben Sheets has fared against the Yankees in his career, so I’m siding with the A’s here tonight.

Sheets is 3-2 with a 3.19 ERA at home and earlier this season he faced these Yankees in Oakland and he gave up just two runs in six innings, but his offense failed to show up and the A’s lost 3-1. Back in 2005, as a starter for the Brewers, Sheets held the Yankees scoreless for seven innings in a 2-1 win.

Sheets has been consistent for the A’s, limiting the opposition to no more than four earned runs in any of his last 10 outings.

On the hill for the Yankees is Javier Vazquez (6-7, 5.11 ERA) who is 0-2 in his last three outings and has a 5.76 ERA on the road. Last time out, Vazquez gave up three runs in six innings of a 7-0 loss to the Mariners. Last time he pitched on the road, Vazquez gave up four runs on six hits in five innings of a 6-5 win in Arizona.

The Yankees are just 2-6 in Vazquez’s last eight starts against A.L. West competition and they are just 1-4 in their last five series openers. Oakland is on runs of 4-1 when Sheets starts at home and 5-0 when they are at home against teams with winning road marks.

Play Oakland to win this one behind the solid pitching of Sheets. Grab the plus-money with the A’s.
3? OAKLAND

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BRETT ATKINS
Free play

I delivered the free winner on Sunday when the Dodgers went on the road and beat the D'Backs in Phoenix. Today, I've got another free winner as I go with the Red Sox on the highway in Tampa, taking on the Rays.

Tampa hasn’t been the best home team this season, for some reason not playing the same type of baseball at home that they do on the road. That’s why this is a solid bet to grab the plus-money with the Red Sox in Tampa tonight.

Daisuke Matsuzaka is on the hill for the Red Sox and he’s been pitching well lately, allowing the opposition three runs or less in six straight outings, including three straight roadies, two of which he’s held the opposition scoreless over eight innings. In Tampa, Matsuzaka has allowed the Rays two runs or less in four of his last five outings there since 2007.

On the other side, Tampa starter Matt Garza has allowed three runs or more in seven straight games and last time he saw the Red Sox in Tampa he was nailed for six runs in five innings of an 11-3 loss.

Tampa is just 2-5 at home and 1-4 in series openers. I’ll go ahead and play the Red Sox and enjoy the plus-money I’m getting with them.

4? BOSTON (on a 1? to 5?)

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TRACE ADAMS

MONDAY'S FREE PLAY - Tampa Bay Rays

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POINTSPREAD LIGHTNING

Mondays free play is the Angels-WhiteSox over the total of 9.5.

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CONSENSUS AMERICA

MONDAYS FREE PLAY IS Clev-Tex over the Total

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KIKI SPORTS

Monday July 5th

1 unit LA Dodgers -165
1 unit LA Angels +135
1 unit Boston +130

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SBP Soccer 23-14 (yesterday not posted)

Norway Tippeligaen Haugesund v Start IK** Win Bet Haugesund

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Foxsheet 4* Top Situations for 7/5

there are no 5* top situations avalible for today yet..

Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS on the run line. Play On - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (CHICAGO CUBS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
(45-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +31.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4.1 units).

Favoring: Under on the total. Play Under - All teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings
(83-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.2%, +46.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.9 units).

Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line. Play On - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (SEATTLE) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season, after a win by 4 runs or more
(110-24 since 1997.) (82.1%, +61.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-5 +1.3 units).

Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line. Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (DETROIT) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts
(137-149 since 1997.) (47.9%, +101.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +11.1 units).

Favoring: FLORIDA on the money line. Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA DODGERS) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts
(137-149 since 1997.) (47.9%, +101.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-3 +11.1 units).

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Tom Freese
Free play

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay starter Matt Garza beat Boston starter Daisuke Matsuzaka in Boston in his last start winning 9-4 Their is nothing to say that it will be any different when they meet in Tampa Bay. Garza is 10-6 in his 16 starts this year. The Red Sox are 3-7 with Matszaka off a loss. Boston is walking into a hornets nest here vs. a Tampa Bay team who has won 4 of their last 5 games. The Red Sox are 1-7 vs. Garza at Tampa Bay. Garza is 10-3 his last 13 starts vs. the Red Sox.

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JIMMY BOYD

FREE PLAY
1 Unit on LA Angels +134
The Angels aren't getting the respect they deserve tonight. The Angels have won both previous meetings this season and 5 of the last 6 overall. They have won 5 of their last 6 road games and 9 of their last 10 as a road underdog. In addition, Kazmir has been at his best on the road this season. As a result, the Halos are a perfect 5-0 in his last 5 road starts. They are also 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road underdog. It must be mentioned that the Sox have really struggled against lefty starters, only hitting .226 against them on the year. While Floyd has been pitching well for the Sox, we can't overlook the fact that they are just 1-4 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite and 2-6 in his last 8 series opening starts. The Angels have been a solid road club all year, and the White Sox are just 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the Halos showing good value tonight.

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STEVE MERRIL

Arizona Diamondbacks


FREE PLAY

The Cubs limp into their series with the Arizona Diamondbacks having lost four of five and nine of their last 13 games. Tom Gorzelanny will make the start. He's 2-5 with a 3.34 ERA in 10 starts this season. The left hander is making his second start after moving back into the rotation from the bullpen. Gorzelanny has already defeated the Diamondbacks, but that was at home in Wrigley Field. Stephen Drew (6-15), Justin Upton (4-10), Chris Young (4-7), Tony Abreu (2-7), Rusty Ryal (2-5), Cole Gillespie (1-3), and Augie Ojeda (1-1) all have good numbers against the lefty. Arizona is hitting .275 as a team at home while averaging 5.5 runs per game.

Arizona’s Ian Kennedy finally gets to pitch at home. Kennedy has lost three straight starts which were all on the road. He believes he has fixed a mechanical flaw during a bullpen session earlier this week. At home, Kennedy is 1-1 with a 2.41 ERA in six outings this season. He has already defeated the Cubs at Wrigley Field when the wind was blowing out. In that game, he gave up five runs and six hits in eight innings of work. Derrek Lee (0-4), Alfonso Soriano (0-3), Geovany Soto (0-2), Xavier Nady (0-1), and Tyler Colvin (0-1) are all looking for their first hits off of Kennedy. Chicago is just 15-24 on the road averaging only 3.8 runs per game away from Wrigley. They have scored just 12 runs over their last seven games which were all at home. The Cubs have also scored just 14 runs in their last six road games. Chicago’s offense is in a major slump so we’ll recommend playing Arizona minus the short price in this game this afternoon.

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PURE LOCK

Tampa Bay Rays
-138
Free MLB Play

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R&R TOTALS

New York Yankees vs. Oakland Athletics Total
8½ over
Free MLB Over-Under

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Dave Cokin Comp
(953) CHICAGO CUBS
(954) ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Take "(953) CHICAGO CUBS"

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Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

SEATTLE HERNANDEZ -R -195 over Kansas City (10:10 et)

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Dave Cokin

Solid Gold: Tampa Bay (moneyline)

Atl/Phil under

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Vegas Pro Sports Picks

Detroit -1,5 (+110)
Texas - 1.5 (-105)
Dodgers (-160)

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Charlie's sports
Free MLB Pick

Cubs-120 @ Diamondbacks. The (35-47) Chicago Cubs are playing poorly and the whole attitude in the clubhouse is gloomy, something better change fast in Wrigleyville . The (32-50) Arizona Diamondbacks are making changes everywhere and no one is safe in the organization, Cubs win-120.

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Tom Freese

15* Pitching Mismatch - Chicago White Sox

White Sox starter Gavin Floyd has been on the winning side in his last 3 starts. Chicago is 12-1 their last 13 games vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of over 1.30. The White Sox are 7-1 their last 8 home games. Chicago is 15-6 their last 21 home games off a road trip of 7 or more days. Angels starter Scott Kazmir has a losing record this year going 7-8. The Angels are 4-9 their last 13 road games when the total is 9.0 to 10.5. The Halos are 1-4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their last game. Kazmir is 2-6 when the total is 9.0 to 10.5.

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Dwayne Bryant
Free play

ARI (-123) vs CHC

Kirk Gibson taking over in 'Zona isn't going to magically make them a contender, but their level of play should pick up some. They lost 2 of 3 at home to the Dodgers, but they should find the Cubs more to their liking. Ian Kennedy's last 3 starts were all on the road (at Tampa Bay, Detroit, and Boston) and he got beat up a bit, as you would expect. But he's a completely different pitcher at home, where he owns a 2.41 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. The Cubs have scored three runs or fewer in SEVEN straight games. They are batting .205 during that span, going 7 for 50 with runners in scoring position. Looks like Kennedy's home success should continue.

Tom Gorzelanny may own a 2.70 ERA in 3 road starts, but his road WHIP of 1.32 tells me he's been more lucky than good. Walking a batter about every two innings will eventually catch up with you. Today just might be that day for Gorzelanny. And as bad as Arizona's bullpen has been, the Cubs pen has been even worse lately. Chicago's pen owns a 9.24 ERA, 2.45 WHIP, and .345 OBA over their last 5 games.

The D'backs are actually a decent team at Chase Field (19-20) and I think the matchup is right for them to get back to .500 at home today.

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Ben Burns

Mets

Phillies

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SPORTS WAGERS

DETROIT –1½ +1.16 over Baltimore

The Tigers will send out Andy Oliver to make just his third major league start and the best news in terms of wagering is that Oliver is 0-2 and that makes him undervalued. Fact is, he could easily be 2-0 after throwing two rock-solid games against Atlanta and Minnesota, both on the road. In 12 innings, Oliver allowed just four earned runs while walking three and striking out 10. Oliver has four pitches that he commands well and watching him you can’t help but be impressed by his smooth and easy delivery. Now he’ll take a huge step down in class against an O’s team that has won four times in 16 games against lefties on the road. Overall, the O’s are 7-20 vs southpaws. Kevin Millwood is coming off a horrendous 8.82 ERA in June. Millwood won his last two games, which is once again proof how misleading W/L records can be. Over those two starts in which Millwood pitched the minimum five innings in both to qualify for a win, he allowed 16 hits, walked four and struck out five in those 10 innings. In five innings against the Marlins he threw 116 pitches and followed that up by throwing 108 pitches in five frames against the A’s. Millwood is not fooling anyone. He’s 35-years-old and his arm looks dead. He’ll pitch in the scorching heat today in a matinee game against a kid with a live arm, who can’t wait to get out there. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.16 (Risking 2 units).


CHICAGO –1½ +1.42 over L.A. Angels

The Angels had a breakout day yesterday by scoring 11 times but they faced an unproven career minor-leaguer named Anthony Lerew. Prior to that they were struggling miserably at the plate and you can expect more of that here against Gavin Floyd. Floyd (90 BPV, 5-5-4-5-3 PQS) is coming off a 2.58 ERA in June, has a 50% GB% for the year, hasn’t coughed up a HR in his last five starts and has allowed only two walks in his last three outings. Over his last five starts Floyd has allowed just five earned runs and has been the AL’s best pitcher over that stretch with an ERA of 1.26. Furthermore, the South Side is 8-1 over its last nine home games and they’re coming off a series win in Texas against the previously red-hot Rangers. The real kicker here, however, is betting against Scott Kazmir. Kazmir (6 BPV, 5-3-3-0-0 PQS) remains primarily a two-pitch pitcher without his once-lethal slider, something that hasn’t worked well for most of the season and not at all recently, as suggested by his last two PQS scores of zero. The signs say bet against him and that 1.2 hr/9 against a RH-leaning CHW lineup in HR-happy U.S Cellular Field. Play: Chicago –1½ +1.42 (Risking 2 units).


TEXAS –1½ +1.00 over Cleveland

First off, the Indians are now without Russell Branyan and Shin-Soo Choo, Combined, that duo has 23 jacks and 67 RBI’s. The rest of the team is loaded with guys that have anywhere between 1 and 6 bombs. This team was struggling offensively before Choo and Branyon went down and now one really has to wonder where the offense will come from. In order to win or cover the 1½-runs here, the Indians are going to have to score at least five times or more and that’s a huge stretch. They’ll face a rookie they’ve never seen by the name of Omar Beltre. Beltre hasn't pitched in the U.S. since '04 due to the inability to obtain a work visa. Beltre was pitching in the Dominican Summer League between '05 and '09. He has a nice assortment of pitches including a 90-96 mph fastball thrown with very quick arm action. His best pitch may be his hard splitter, which he buries deep in the strike zone and induces his fair share of groundballs. Beltre rounds out his arsenal with a good slider and in his first start against the Angels he struck out six in four frames. With that first start out of the way and a much-easier opponent here, expect better things from Beltre. Besides, the Indians will send out career stiff Aaron Laffey. Laffey shut down a struggling TOR offense in his last start, but his career and year-to-date numbers scream that the light-groundballer is very likely going to get ruined at this park. Play: Texas –1½ +1.00 (Risking 2 units).

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Matt Rivers, Executive Handicapper at OffshoreInsiders has a free winner for Monday on the Mets.

Mike Pelfrey has not been as good as the first six or so weeks to the season but I do think he is a little cheap here. I backed the Mets in this exact comp spot yesterday and cashed the ticket and will expect history to repeat itself today.

Aaron Harang is good but nothing more these days and should get outpitched here at Citi Field. The veteran right-hander is a little inconsistent as we see a quality start followed by a poor start.

The Mets are a little banged up again with Jose Reyes missing some action but all in all are a good team and are right there in the NL East. Jerry Manual has literally gone from being on a very, very hot seat to the potential Manager of the Year.

The Reds are a good team and I am somewhat sold on them but I'm still not buying into them being Division champion good. Sure Joey Votto is awesome and Bruce, Stubbs, Philips and Rolen are quality bats leading the way but Cincinnati is still not an upper echelon club or as good as these New Yorkers.

I expect Pelfrey to be very good, maybe not great but very good and at home laying only around double juice is a solid value. The Mets have been great at home all season long with Wright, Bay, Francouer and others and at what appears to be a cheapish price I'll make a small play on Pelfrey and the Amazins.

The pick: NY Mets

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HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 5th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[958] New York |-125|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[966] Tampa Bay |-140|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

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DEANO'S
HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 5th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*************************

[956] Philadelphia |5*|-166|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[962] Detroit |5*|+115|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|1:05 pm EST

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JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Mon, 07/05/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 958 NYM (-135) Bookmaker.com vs 957 CIN
Analysis:
Ny Mets 3* J Bomb Big Game Alert

MET''S GRAB THE MONDAY SPOTLIGHT AT HOME VS A POOR TRAVELER IN HARANG!

let's break this baby down:

Met's 46-36 get Jr's call as a nice 3* Signature bomb at 7:05 tonight. Let's play the Fired up Mets -135 as 10-2 over all & 2.98 ERA is a ROCK AT HOME!! M Pelfrey bounces back o~n track in New York as he is 7-0 @ home.. He is 3-1 vs the Reds. The Harang show from the Reds is 0-2 and almost a 5+ ERA. the luster is wearing off on Harang. The Vegas love and JR O is on the Mets tonight.
Let's play the Met's - 135 3* Winner as we have the power play ratings at a 3+ Met's winner

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Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Mon, 07/05/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 958 NYM (-127) BetUS vs 957 CIN
Analysis: MLB: Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets - Mets (Harang/Pelfrey) -127 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 7/5/2010
Note: I am going to make quick work out of this play. The Mets and the Mets pitcher tonight have been hard to be here at this park. New York is 28-12 here and when they play here they do a lot of things right. Pelfrey is off a poor start at Florida and I like to back good throwers in this situation. This is a good situation in many respects but we can't ignore what Mike Pelfrey has done here. He is 6-0 with a 1.98 ERA. No Mets pitcher has opened 7-0 at home since David Cone's 8-0 start in 1989. While Harang has started to perform better, he is still not the thrower he used to be, with K Totals down this year and WHIP Numbers way up. I remember the time when this guy could motor through MLB Lineups with High K Numbers and that is just not happening right now. He has actually not been that spiffy verses the Mets anyway. The Reds are playing good baseball, but so are the Mets and the facts are, Cincy is just 7-23 in the last 30 Harang Starts. I don't usually like to be so elementary with the bigger plays, but I do think that we have a great shot at winning this one and my Model agrees, saying it will happen 64.7% of the time. Therefore, I will lay the Vig here and play the Mets harder than usual.

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John Ryan

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Boston Red Sox

5* graded play on Boston as they take on the Rays set to start at 7:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Red Sox will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 58-17 making 33.2 units sine 2004. Play against all dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start and is a poor defensive catchers allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. Boston is 7-1 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus poor fielding teams turning 0.8 or less DP's/game this season. Rays starter Garza is just 1-7 (-9.2 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 42-11 (+28.4 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. Matsuzaka is pitching very well and had a near no hitter in Philadelphia on 5/22. Since that start he has not allowed more than 3 ER. With Rays offense struggling more and more of late and we strongly believe Matsuzaka will dominate them from start to finish. Take the Red Sox.

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Rocketman
Free play

San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Play: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco is now 41-40 overall this year while Milwaukee is 37-45 overall on the season. San Francisco is 140-86 since 1997 when playing on Monday's. San Francisco bullpen has a 3.29 ERA overall this year. Milwaukee bullpen has a 5.31 ERA overall this year and a 5.54 ERA at home this season. Jonathan Sanchez has a 3.26 ERA overall this year. Dave Bush is 1-4 with a 4.87 ERA at home this year. We'll recommend a small play on San Francisco today!

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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Baltimore v. Detroit 1:05pm
8* PICK: Tigers RL (-1.5) +105 Game
7* PICK: OVER 9.5 Game ev

Chicago v. Arizona 4:10pm
6* PICK: Cubs ML ev Game

Atlanta v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
7* PICK: Braves ML +150 Game

Boston v. Tampa Bay 7:10pm
8* PICK: Red sox ML +120 Game
9* PICK: OVER 9 Game -105 Best bet of the day #1

Cleveland v. Texas 8:05pm
9* PICK: OVER 10.5 Game Best bet of the day #2

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BETTING RESOURCE

WISEGUY PICK
Jul 6: SCR: World Cup: Netherlands - Uruguay
10 UNIT: Netherlands -1 Odd: 2.30

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Hentai Sports

Game : Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners (MLB) 10:10pm EST

Prediction : Seattle Mariners -1.5 / Felix Hernandez must start.

Analysis : Without a doubt Hernandez is back to his last season domination. Shutting out the NYY in a complete game shutout shows how good he is running. In fact his last four starts he is 3-0 with 3 complete games, 5 ER’s and 37 K’s! KC turns to Bannister after being shut out on Sunday. Not good news as Banniester is 1-3 in last four starts. Even worse night starts he is 3-6 with a 7.76 ERA. When Hernandez wins he has covered the R/L in all of his last 5 winning starts.

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The Sharp Side

Texas Rangers -1.5 (+100)

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SBP Soccer 24-14 (1-0)

Norway Tippeligaen Stabaek v Molde Fotballklubb** Win bet Stabaek

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Sportslottery

*** Top Play *** NY Mets ML
I'll take the Mets at home with the better starter on the hill tonight.

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The Joker's Bet of the Day:
Back Over 2.5 Goals at 1.8 in Sundsvall v Norrkoping

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Randizzle14 Pick Source

2* Tigers -1.5 +105

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Billy Coleman

3 T.B.
3 Ariz
3 Dodgers R/L

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KELSO

25 UNIT Atlanta Braves/Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5
15 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays -155 v. Boston
10 UNIT Cincinnati Reds +115 @ Mets
3 UNIT Milwaukee Brewers -115 v SF (early game of course)

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Sports Investment Group

Todays Plays - Today we have 1 MLB play

Seattle -1.5 +105

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Lance's Lock


Pick: Reds +117

Overall: 980-877-35

Current streak: 2 losses

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Stephen Nover 100 dime play

Monday's Pick
100 Dime Release on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kennedy over the Chicago Cubs and Gorzelanny. Note that both schedulad pitchers must start this game or else this selectiaon is null and void. As this play is releastd at 5:30 AM Eastern, the D'Backs are -120 both in Las Vegas and offshore. Be aware of the early starting time for this contest as it goes at 4:10 P.M. Eastern Monday.
DEAD. That word accurately depicts the Chicago Cubs right now.
The Cubs aren't hitting, morale is terrible and they are in a horrible travel spot for this game, traveling to the West Coast for a day game following a disappointing 2-5 homestand.
Getting away from the now unfriendly confines of Wrigley Field isn't going to help the Cubs either. They have lost nine of their last 14 on the road.
Chicago' offense has been just brutal. The Cubs have scored three runs or fewer in their last seven games. They are battang .205 during this span. Making this even worse, is that the wind was blowing out at Wrigley Field twice during the past three days. The Reds took advantage of that to score 26 runs against the Cubs in those two games.
The Cubs are hoping southpaw Tom Gorzelanny can turn things around in this matchup. I wouldn't count on that. The Diamondbacks have had an extremely disappointing season, too, but they are semi-respectaable at home at 19-20 compared to 13-30 on the road. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 the past eight times they have been home favorites.
Arizona's best hitters are right-handed. The Diamondbacks have hit the fifth-most home runs in the majors.
Expect Gorzelanny to struggle against this right-handed power stacked lineup. The Cubs have lost in nine of Gorzelanny's last 11 starts.
This will be Arizona's fourth game under interim manager Kirk Gibson. So the unrest in Arizona is settling down. The Diamondbacks have the advanttge of being rested, having been at home since the start of the month.
The Cubs traditionally have struggled in the desert. They are 9-29 in their last 38 games at Arizona.
Arizona is pitching right-hander Ian Kennedy, who has a 2.41 ERA in six starts at Chase Field. Kennedy has been the Diamondbacks' most consistent pitcher this season. The Cubs have lost in 19 of their last 26 games when facing a right-handed starter.
The Diamondbacks have a terrible bullpen, but Kennedy usually can be counted on to go deep into games. He'll also be pitching on extra rest, having last pitched on June 26.

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MVPLocks

Braves/Phillies under 8 (lock of the day)
Tigers -183
Mariners -210
Diamondbacks/Cubs over 9

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NY PLAYERS CLUB

1* Chicago Cubs ML
1* Milwaukee Brewers ML
1* Oakland A's ML
1* Cincinnati Reds +1.5 RL

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players advantage
oakland over

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TRACE ADAMS

1000 DIME RUN LINE ROUT NY Yankees
500 DIME UNDERDOG BONUS BEST BET Atlanta Braves

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Ryan Lawrence 07/05/2010. (12-2) - 85%


Texas Rangers RL. (3x)
Chicago White Sox ML. (1x)
San Francisco Giants ML. (1x)
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays under 9. (1x)

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Good Monday afternoon to all at the mall

Ben lee lost on Sunday with a "Pure Chalk" play on the Red Sox -$220/Orioles.

"Mr Chalk" likes another "Pure Chalk" play for Monday the Mariners -$220/Royals.

"Mr Chalk" is 53-37 -$880 for the 2010 MLB season.

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executive passing 2-day

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FIVE STAR SPORTS
3 Star LA Angels + 134
3 Star Boston Red Sox + 134

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SWAMI SITE
PLAYERS ADVANTAGE

Oakland A's over

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SWAMI SITE
PLAYERS ADVANTAGE

Oakland A's over

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*9 Matt Fargo 7/5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) - 8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 181 Cleveland Indians
9*

My post meets the rules of the forum to post in this section?
If there is any irregularity, please let me know so I do not make the same mistake in future.

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MIKE HOOK

MLB ML - Monday, Jul 5 2010 7:10PM

Analysis: The Cincinnati Reds +116 is the 1 Unit BT for Monday, July 5th!

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&S PICKS
3 DIME SYNDICATE PLAY Seattle Mariners ML
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY Seattle Mariners -1.5 RL
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY Philadelphia Phillies ML
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY SF Giants ML
2 DIME DOUBLE DIME BOOKIE BASHER PLAY Arizona Diamondbacks ML
2 DIME BOLD SPORTS UPSET PLAY Cincinnati Reds ML

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WUNDERDOG

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
5 UNIT Play: Seattle Mariners -1½

The Seattle Mariners have a pair of aces and not much else within the starting rotations. One of those aces, Felix Hernandez takes the mound tonight to open the M's series with the Kansas City Royals. It is one thing to have an ace on the mound, but when that ace is "in the zone" as Hernandez is, opponents are going to struggle. Hernandez has pitched three straight complete games, and in his last four starts has gone at least 8.2 innings. He has been in the groove, allowing just 16 hits in the 35.2 innings, pitching to a 1.26 ERA. The Royals counter with a struggling Brian Bannister who has completed just 17 innings in his last four starts allowing 18 runs. The Royals are just 1-7 when Bannister gets the ball with a moneyline from +151 to +200. I like Seattle on the runline in this one.

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TRENDS

SAN FRANCISCO at MILWAUKEE
SANCHEZ: SF 22-9 Under after a one run loss
BUSH: MIL 4-13 at home with a money line of -100 to -150

CHICAGO CUBS at ARIZONA
GORZELANNY: CHC 13-1 Under Away after 5+ consecutive home games
KENNEDY: ARI 11-21 when the money line is +125 to -125

ATLANTA at PHILADELPHIA
LOWE: ATL 10-2 Under after 3 consecutive division games
HALLADAY: PHI 6-10 when the total is 8 to 8.5

CINCINNATI at NY METS
HARANG: CIN 8-2 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
PELFREY: NYM 15-27 when playing on Monday

FLORIDA at LA DODGERS
ROBERTSON: FLA 5-12 against NL West
ELY: LAD 19-7 after allowing 2 runs or less

BALTIMORE at DETROIT
MILLWOOD: 17-5 Under as an underdog of +150 or more
OLIVER: DET 6-13 at home when playing on Monday

LA ANGELS at CHI WHITE SOX
KAZMIR: LAA 40-15 in July
FLOYD: 19-8 Under in night games

BOSTON at TAMPA BAY
MATSUZAKA: BOS 42-11 after 5+ consecutive home games
GARZA: TB 5-9 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

CLEVELAND at TEXAS
LAFFEY: CLE 17-5 Over Away when the total is 10 or higher
BELTRE: TEX 33-18 Over at home against AL Central

NY YANKEES at OAKLAND
VAZQUEZ: NYY 7-11 after a win by 2 runs or less
SHEETS: 29-10 Under as a home underdog

KANSAS CITY at SEATTLE
BANNISTER: KC 6-0 revenging BB home losses
HERNANDEZ: SEA 10-26 after 2+ consecutive road games

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Nelly
Free play

Boston + over Tampa Bay

The last game where these teams met featured the exact same pitching match-up with Tampa Bay winning 9-4. Five runs for the Rays came from reliever Manny Delcarmen, who failed to record an out. Daisuke Matsuzaka had a solid start, allowing just four hits in six innings and he has not allowed more than three runs in any of his last six outings. Matsuzaka has strong numbers on the road and he has only allowed one home run in his last nine starts. In five of his last six starts he has allowed five or fewer hits. Tampa Bay is struggling on offense as well, batting just .237 in the last ten games against right-handed pitching. In those match-up the Red Sox are hitting .297 in that span and Matt Garza has struggled against the Red Sox. In his last home start versus Boston, Garza allowed six runs in five innings in an 11-3 loss. Garza has allowed three or more runs in each of his last seven starts and he has worse numbers at home for the year. Boston has won four of the last five meetings between these teams and the Red Sox are 20-7 in Matsuzaka's last 27 road starts. Boston has been the better team in recent weeks and with underdog value this should be a great opportunity.

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Michael Cannon
Free play

I’m now 71-63 with my last 134 free plays.

Take the Brewers for the home win this afternoon over the Giants.

I’m not really enamored with this price but the Brew Crew should get it done over the slumping Giants.

San Francisco has dropped eight of its last nine overall and nine of its last 12 on the road.

The Giants are also coming off a tough, 15-inning loss yesterday and their bullpen is taxed right now. Jonathan Sanchez will start but he’s failed to make it out of the sixth inning in his last three starts. The prospects of the Giants winning with a tired bullpen are almost nil if Sanchez doesn’t do his part tonight.

Milwaukee will counter with Dave Bush, who suffered his first loss in more than a month on Wednesday. The right-hander had been 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA in six appearances since his prior loss on May 21.

Look for Bush to get back to form and for the Brewers to grab the home win.
3? MILWAUKEE

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JEFF BENTON
Free play

Can’t seem to catch a break with my premium selections, but I continue to kill it with my free plays, as the Pirates rolled in Sunday as a nice underdog. That’s now four of five free winners, and even better I’m now on a 99-65-2 roll with plays that I’m giving away! For Monday, we’ll head to Oakland and play the A’s as a home pup against the Yankees.

Very tough situational spot for the defending champions, who head back to the West Coast after a brief and somewhat disappointing six-game homestand (prior to splitting six games with the Mariners and Blue Jays, New York was in L.A. and Arizona for six games of interleague play). Although the Yankees went 4-2 against the Dodgers and Diamondbacks, they’re otherwise barely a .500 road team (18-16).

On the other hand, Oakland has been solid at home (24-16), and a big reason has been veteran right-hander Ben Sheets, who is 3-2 with a 3.19 ERA in eight home games (the A’s have won four of his last five at home). Yes, one of Sheets’ losses came on April 21 to the Yankees – a 3-1 setback – but Sheets was actually outstanding in that contest, holding New York to two runs on four hits and three walks in six innings.

The Yankees counter Sheets with Javy Vazquez, who has been better of late, but is still just 6-7 with a 5.11 ERA overall and 3-4 with a 5.76 ERA in eight road games.

Finally, although the quality of competition wasn’t great – Cleveland, Baltimore and Pittsburgh – the A’s do come into this contest on a 7-2 roll, and the pitching has been the key, holding the opposition to two runs or fewer in six of the last eight games. Meanwhile, the Yankees have been playing .500 baseball for three weeks (9-8 last 17 games). Lots of a solid value with the home pup here.

(based on a 1? to a 10? Rating)

4? OAKLAND A'S

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STAN SHARP

2* DOUBLE DIME NY Yankees

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Indian Cowboy MLB

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Under on cubs, big surprise.
The Cubs have just been miserable this year. They Cubs are usually bad, but they have been even worse this year it seems. They do have one bright spot and that is how well Gorzo is pitching. Although he is 2-5, he does have a 3.14 era and he has done a good job of replacing Carlos Zambrano who is indefinitely suspended. Gorzo has given up just one run in eight innings of work in two appearances. I expect him to continue to pitch strong for the Cubs on the road today as he seeks his third win and looks to stay in the rotation. In that same token, Ian Kennedy had a rare non-quality start in his last appearance in interleague play. Ian has lost his last three decisions which I believe will be a catalyst for him to do well today. Note, he gave up nine walks in his last game against TampaBay on the road and it was a tough interleague trip for him. Nevertheless, he still managed to pitch relatively well as he has pitched four straight unders and still has an era of 3.77. I look for him to bounce-back well here at home today as he has an incredible amount of rest from his last start on June 26th. He has likely worked out the kinks from that start as well. The Under is 9-2-5 in the Cubs last 16 road games when the total is set at this range and the Under is 4-1 in Kennedy's last five starts when the total is set at this range.

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Comps
Winner Line-UNDER KC
OTM-UNDER Red Sox
Astro-Seattle
Kevin Kennedy-KC

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MIKE LINEBACK

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) -
7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
4* Pick: Money Line: -138 Tampa Bay Rays Play Title:

Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) -
8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
4* Pick: Total: 10.5/-105 Over Play Title:

Florida Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) -
9:10 PM EDT Premium Play
4* Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/132 Los Angeles Dodgers Play Title

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NSA
20 NY Yankees-145
20 TB Rays -155
20 Cincinnati Reds+120

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DOCTOR SPORTS

TOP PLAY
WHITE SOX -151
floyd -vs kazmir
__________________

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PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS
5* Seattle Mariners R/L
3* Diamondbacks

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GINO MORETTI
WINNING TICKET SF/MIL Over 9 +100

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LOCKLINE SPORTS
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox

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MIKE HOOK

MLB ML - Monday, Jul 5 2010 7:10PM
ML 966 TAM (-155) Bodog vs 965 BOS double-dime bet

Analysis: The Tampa Bay Rays -155 is our Double Star Play of the Day for Monday, July 5th!

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LOCKLINE SPORTS
New York Yankees
Chicago White Sox

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GINO MORETTI
WINNING TICKET SF/MIL Over 9 +100

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Scott Rickenbach

8* Tampa Bay / Boston Over 9

This match-up was just played Wednesday in Boston and, even with a respectable start from Matt Garza, the game still flew over the total. Daisuke Matsuzaka got crushed and, with a rematch less than week later, there is reason to believe both hurlers will get crushed in this one. The Rays offense is heating up again as they’ve scored at least five runs in seven of their last ten games. As for the Red Sox, they are 6-0 in games played on artificial turf this season and bring some extra confidence to Tropicana Field as a result. Boston was held to just one run by lefty Brian Matusz of the Orioles yesterday but, previously, the Red Sox had averaged six runs per game in their last nine games. Look for much more success for Boston against Garza in a quick “second look”. Keep in mind, Boston’s recent offensive surge at the plate has been even with some key sticks missing so don’t put too much weight into that. Also note that Boston’s bullpen ERA currently ranks as the worst in the American League.

The Red Sox are 20-14 to the over in divisional games this season and Matsuzaka has not been able to find the plate in his recent outings. He’s walked eight batters in his last two starts and he’s also 2-5 in his career against Tampa Bay. The Rays are 21-12 to the over against teams with a winning record on the season and they’ve gone over the total in five of their last six games as their offense heats up again. Garza’s ERA has gone from 2.37 in late May to it’s current 4.08 mark and we look for his troubles with the home run ball against the Red Sox to continue. Play OVER the total in Tampa Bay as an *8* Regular Play selection.

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Richard Witt

3* Arizona -125

Wrigley breezes benefitted those big Cincinnati bats, and dispatched the Cubbies out West, in a dither. Under those circumstances, can't imagine the Chicagoans are looking forward to playing a day game, today, especially with no day off. Zona pitching no bargain, but Ian Kennedy's acquitting himself adequately this season, and Cub regular-season record in this locale over the years has been awful. Look for the D-Backs to jump out early, and coast home.

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Larry Ness
Free play

New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics
Prediction: Oakland Athletics

The Yankees begin a seven-game West Coast trip with a three-game series in Oakland. They've reached the midpoint of the 2010 season at 50-31 (on pace for 100 wins), which is the best record in MLB but they are still in a real fight in the AL East (Red Sox are 1 1/2 games back and the Rays two games back). The A's are 41-42 (just past the midpoint), eight games behind the first-place Rangers and 4 1/2 games behind the Angels. The A's have "hung tough" with some solid pitching, ranking 7th in MLB with a 3.85 ERA. Oakland returns home from a 4-2 road trip where its starters went 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA. The A's have won their last three home games and are 24-16 on the season in Oakland. The pitching matchup is Vazquez and Sheets. The Yanks had hoped that Vazquez would be able to match his excellent 2009 season with Atlanta (15-10, 2.87 ERA), here in his second go-round with the Yankees. However, that hasn't been the case, as he's 6-7 with a 5.11 ERA (team is 6-8). That's a sad record when pitching for MLB's best team. The A's took a chance on Sheets this year, signing him to a $10 million, one-year deal despite the fact he had missed all of last year after arm surgery. He's 3-7 with a 4.98 ERA in 17 starts with the A's going 6-11. Clearly, Sheets is healthy but the A's expected more. A closer look does reveal some positives. He's allowed three ERs or less in 11 of 17 starts and that includes SIX of his eight home starts. Sheets has been AWFUL on the road (0-5 witha 6.66 ERA / team is 1-8) but here at home is 3-2 with a 3.19 ERA (team is 5-3). His home record is pretty solid while Vazquez owns a 5.76 road ERA. Also note that the Yankees are 15-10 on the road vs righties (but just plus-$100 vs moneyline) while the A's are 19-11 in home night games vs righties, going plus-$785 vs the moneyline. I'm taking a shot with the home dog.

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Chicago Cubs at Arizona Diamondbacks

The Cubs are 0-8 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and the Diamondbacks are 6-0 THIS season as a favorite in the first game of a home series. Further, Chicago is a very poor 3-17 as a dog in their first game of a road series and 0-4 in franchise history with Tom Gorzelanny when they won the last time he started vs this opponent. Consider laying this small price.

Play on: Arizona Diamondbacks

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Baseball Prophet

POD...Bos over 9

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BOOKIEMONSTERS
CIN/NYM under 8.5

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The Bettors Choice

FREE PLAY:
Mets -130 ( 1/2 unit- Risk $50 to win $38.46 )

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The Duke's Sports

Milwaukee (-110) for 2 Units

Milwaukee has been one of the most predictably unpredictable teams in the majors. They can look like minor leaguers 1 day and world champions the next. Today, we'll lean towards the world champion-like side; after all, they've alternated wins and losses over their last 10 games. The Brewers, coming off a loss yesterday, are a healthy 17-8 with David Bush on the mound as a favorite. We'll look for the Brewers to give Bush, who's coming off 3 respectable starts, good run support. Milwaukee is 5-1 at home vs lefty starters and should tag Sanchez who has not had success vs Milwaukee with a bloated 10.38 ERA over 4 starts. Sanchez is 7-19 when cast as a road dog with SF. And SF, which is coming off a 15 inning marathon loss yesterday should stay in their funk dropping to 1-9 over their last 10

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RICHARD WITT

3* Arizona -125

Wrigley breezes benefited those big Cincinnati bats, and dispatched the Cubbies out West, in a dither. Under those circumstances, can't imagine the Chicagoans are looking forward to playing a day game, today, especially with no day off. Zona pitching no bargain, but Ian Kennedy's acquitting himself adequately this season, and Cub regular-season record in this locale over the years has been awful. Look for the D-Backs to jump out early, and coast home.

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VEGAS RUNNER
1* SOCCER* MORNING MOVES* Netherlands, +1000 ML
2* SOCCER* MORNING MOVES* Spain, +400 ML
LINE PREDICTION* MLB* MORNING MOVES* Cincinnati Reds, +120 ML

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BOB BALFE

New York Mets -121

The Reds have been impressive this year, but New York at home has been money in the bank and Mike Pelfrey has been on fire. In my opinion, he is on the verge of becoming a household name. This should be a good series between two teams that might meet again in September or October playing for a spot in the World Series. Take New York.


ugk
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C STAR SPORTS
5000 Units Yankees over Oakland
1000 Units Rangers run line -1.5 over Cleveland
1000 Units Chicago over la angles

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SEABASS

100 LA Angels under
100 Arizona
100 Seattle RL

200 steam NY Mets

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MIKE LINEBACK

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) -
7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
4* Pick: Money Line: -138 Tampa Bay Rays Play Title:

Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) -
8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
4* Pick: Total: 10.5/-105 Over Play Title:

Florida Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) -
9:10 PM EDT Premium Play
4* Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/132 Los Angeles Dodgers Play Title


ADDED PLAY

Cleveland Indians vs. Texas Rangers (MLB) -
8:05 PM EDT Premium Play
4.5* POD Pick: Point Spread: -1.5/100 Texas Rangers Play Title:

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DB BETTING
Chicago White Sox v LA Angels; bet on Chicago White Sox @1,67

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Craig Davis
20-dime trifecta

White sox ml listed pitchers
oakland ml listed pitchers
reds/mets under listed pitchers

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World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems" - 7/5
Today's Selections

MLB Baseball Betting System A

Today's Selection(S)



Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#2) Atlanta +165 7:05 PM

Seattle Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!
Selection#2 (Game#1) San Francisco +105 4:10 PM

New Series Starts Today!
Selection#3 (Game#1) L.A. Angels +125 7:05 PM

New Series Starts Today!
Selection#4 (Game#1) New York Mets -125 7:10 PM

San Francisco Series lost!
Series Idle
Selection #5 (Game#1) NONE

Series Idle
Selection #6 (Game #1) NONE



Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.

Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.

Please Note: We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.

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The Breakfast Club
A Arizona D-Backs
A New York Mets
B Tampa Bay Rays

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DaqSports
6-2 Run (75%)

Detroit-183
Detroit-1.5 (even)
Dodgers -180
Dodgers -1.5 (+120

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PICKTHERIGHTBET
JARED GASSIN
PLAY OF THE DAY

10 UNIT LAA/Chi Under 9 -110

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T Covers Watch & Win 7/5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay Rays enjoy

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comps:


1. NSA(The Legend) MLB - Cubs +103
2. Ray "The Playmaker" Bowden MLB - Marlins +150
3. VegasSI.com MLB - Tigers under 9.5
4. SportsAction365.com MLB - Tigers -185
5. Gameday Network MLB - Brewers -120
6. William E. Stockton MLB - Brewers over 8.5
7. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino MLB - Rays over 9
8. Lou Panelli MLB - Rangers under 10.5
9. Steve "Scoop" Kendall MLB - Yankees -150
10. Vincent Pioli MLB - Rangers -200
Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
11. John Morrison MLB - Rays -150
12. Tony Campone MLB - Angels +125
13. Chicago Sports Group MLB - Phillies -185
14. Hollywood Sportsline MLB - Angels over 9.5
15. VIP Action MLB - Rays over 9
16. South Beach Sports MLB - Mets over 8.5
17. Michigan Sports MLB - Mariners -210
18. NY Players Club MLB - Brewers under 8.5
19. Charlies Sports MLB - Orioles over 9.5
20. Fred Callahan MLB - Rangers -200

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BIG AL

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Cincinnati Reds.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Yankees over the Oakland Athletics.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Boston Red Sox.

At 7:05 pm, our American League Total of the Week is on the Los Angeles Angels and Chicago White Sox 'under' the total.

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TIM TRUSHEL
20* Seattle Mariners Under

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JOHN MORRISON
MLB SYSTEM VERSION 1.0
[A] BET Philadelphia Phillies

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THE CONSENSUS PICK

Pick of the Day: Mets (-126) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Harang vs. Pelfrey

Free Pick: Rangers -1.5 (-105) [MLB]
Listed Pitchers: Laffey vs. Beltre

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BIGFELLA SPORTS

5* Tampa Bay Rays -138

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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 5th
ADDED PLAY
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[956] Philadelphia |10*|-185|B+0|ESPN|7:05 pm EST

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PROPICKSWEEKLY
5 UNIT Cincinnati Reds +114
5 UNIT Florida Marlins +169
5 UNIT Oakland A's +133

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WIN OR LOSE SPORTS BETTING
PLAY OF THE DAY

Tampa Bay Rays

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BP_PICKS SOURCE
PLAY OF THE DAY

Texas Rangers-RL -1.5 (-110) (5-0 POD Run)

[golden contender]

On Monday the free play is on the New York Yankees. Game 969 at 10:05 eastern. The Yankees fit a nice 70% system that plays on certain road favorites off a home favorite win vs an opponent off a road dog win and scored 4 or less runs. The Yanks have controlled the series the past few seasons winning 14 of the last 18 times. They are a solid 8-2 this season on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 and have exploded for 18 runs the past 2 days. Oakland starter Ben Sheets looks to be tiring as the innings start to accumulate. His era is 5.21 over his past 3 starts. The Yankees counter with J. Vazquez who has been up and down all year. However he has pitched well in the vast dimensions of Oaklands park. He has allowed just 4 runs in 13 innings there over his last 2 starts. The Yankees also have a superb 2.98 road bullpen era. Look for New York to take game 1 tonight. On Monday we start the week with a Bang with the Non divisional total of the year backed with an awesome 16-1 system. I also have another solid totals system that has 12 of 13 times. Both games go at night. We cashed the big 4th of July 5* and we are poised to do more damage tonight. MLB now 21 games over .500 with no heavy favorites. For the free play take the Yankees. BOL GC

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On Monday the free play is on the New York Yankees. Game 969 at 10:05 eastern. The Yankees fit a nice 70% system that plays on certain road favorites off a home favorite win vs an opponent off a road dog win and scored 4 or less runs. The Yanks have controlled the series the past few seasons winning 14 of the last 18 times. They are a solid 8-2 this season on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 and have exploded for 18 runs the past 2 days. Oakland starter Ben Sheets looks to be tiring as the innings start to accumulate. His era is 5.21 over his past 3 starts. The Yankees counter with J. Vazquez who has been up and down all year. However he has pitched well in the vast dimensions of Oaklands park. He has allowed just 4 runs in 13 innings there over his last 2 starts. The Yankees also have a superb 2.98 road bullpen era. Look for New York to take game 1 tonight. On Monday we start the week with a Bang with the Non divisional total of the year backed with an awesome 16-1 system. I also have another solid totals system that has 12 of 13 times. Both games go at night. We cashed the big 4th of July 5* and we are poised to do more damage tonight. MLB now 21 games over .500 with no heavy favorites. For the free play take the Yankees. BOL GC


thank you for sharing this system gc!! ::handshake::

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VEGAS RUNNER
3* MLB* BEST BET OF THE DAY* New York Yankees , Under 8

[NYGIANTS24]

Ultimate Bet Sea 16-0

Best bets:
LAD 8-2
TEX 9-1
TAM 14-5

Good Bet
NYY 7-3

Good Luck

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GOODFELLA
MLB Money Line Mon, 07/05/10 - 7:05 PM –

1* 964 CWS (-151) vs 963 ANA

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Ultimate Bet Sea 16-0

Best bets:
LAD 8-2
TEX 9-1
TAM 14-5

Good Bet
NYY 7-3

Good Luck
thanks for posting my friend!!
can someone explain why all the touts like SEA.

BANNISTER: KC 6-0 revenging BB home losses and


HERNANDEZ: SEA 10-26 after 2+ consecutive road games ::swifty::

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THE MASTERMIND
PLAY OF THE DAY

Cleveland/Texas Over 10.5

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SPORTSKINGZ
TWITTER PLAY

MLB Action #2! Texas R/L -105

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--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LARRY NESS

MLB Money Line Mon, 07/05/10 - 7:10 PM ¢£

triple-dime bet 958 NYM (-125) Sportbet vs 957 CIN Analysis:

My 10* LEGEND Play is on the NY Mets at 7:10 ET