7-8-2010

[spook]

NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl! . ::moneyeye::

[spook]

Baseball Crusher 7/8

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COL (-150) over STL

[spook]

Shut em down sports 7/8

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20* Florida -119

[spook]

papayagang pick of the day 7/8

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Florida Marlins ML
Cleveland Indians RL

[spook]

GREEK SPORTS PICKS for 7/8

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Underdog plays didn't come thru today, bold Losers

Thurs play Texas -1.5 -125

[spook]

guys i will be out most of the day so fell free to post whatever you find!!

[spook]

Thursday's Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streakers

Mat Latos (9-4, 2.62) San Diego Padres

The 6-foot-6 Latos is 4-0 in his last five starts and has allowed only one earned run in his past three outings for a total of 20 2/3 innings and an ERA of 0.44.

His last start was an eight-inning, four-hit shutout against Astros ace Roy Oswalt in which Latos did not allow a runner to advance past first base.

The key for Latos has been fastball location. He uses it to get ahead of hitters, which opens the door to his other pitches.

"Latos had his fastball moving pretty good," said Houston's Hunter Pence. "I think that late movement, I felt like I was right on it and pounded it into the ground."

Tommy Hunter (5-0, 1.98) Texas Rangers

Hunter is 5-0 in his six starts this season and seems to be getting better with age.

He threw seven-plus innings of one-run ball against the White Sox in his last outing on July 3, his 24th birthday.

"He's pounding the strike zone, not making mistakes in the middle of the plate and executing his pitches," Rangers manager Ron Washington said of Hunter. "When you do that, you get the results he's getting. Right now he's executing very well. He's throwing strikes, keeping the ball in play. He's doing everything we'd like to see a pitcher do."

Helping Hunter's winning streak and shrinking ERA is the fact that he has not allowed a home run all season.

Slumpers

Brett Cecil (7-5, 4.19) Toronto Blue Jays

Cecil is 0-3 in his last four starts and has been shelled for 29 hits and 17 earned runs in those 21 2/3 innings.

Cecil, who has a 9.20 ERA over his past three starts, held the Mets to only four hits in his last outing but issued six walks to settle for a no-decision.

"The ball just keeps drifting up a little bit," said Cecil. "I'm unbelievably frustrated, obviously. The great thing about it is you've just got to keep pitching."

Roy Oswalt (10-5, 3.72) Houston Astros

Even though he's 0-2 in his last three starts, it might not be fair to call Oswalt a slumper.

The Astros gave their ace only two runs over that stretch so he would have had to pitch shutouts to get a W.

In fact, Oswalt did throw seven scoreless innings in his last outing against the Padres but settled for a no-decision when his team failed to score a run.

"I haven't seen [Oswalt] that good in a while," said San Diego's Tony Gwynn Jr. "He threw the ball lights-out today. Sometimes you've got to tip your cap to the guy on the bump -- he was throwing the ball very well. He had all four of his pitches working."

However, Oswalt's previous two starts were less than stellar, allowing 13 hits and nine earned runs in only 11.2 innings. Maybe he's saving his best stuff for his new team after the All-Star break.

[spook]

Thursday's Afternoon Tips
By Judd Hall

It’s a busy Thursday in Major League Baseball with 12 games on the schedule, including four afternoon battles. We’ll get to see a pair of hurlers in a series finale in Denver that could start in next Tuesday’s All-Star Game. Let’s take a look at the businessman specials on the diamond.

Pirates (30-53, -696) at Astros (33-51, -529) – 2:05 p.m. EDT

Not much has gone right in Pittsburgh when it comes to baseball. Yet they do have some reason to be happy at the moment as the Pirates have won four of their last six contests. Houston hasn’t had much luck either, having dropped six of its past 10 tests.

The Pirates will task Ross Ohlendorf (1-6, 4.39) to close out this series on a high note. You can look at the right-hander’s record and think he’s garbage, but the numbers are misleading. In the nine losses the Bucs have had with Ohlendorf on the hill, he allowed three or fewer earned runs in five of those games. Adding insult to injury is a total lack of run support for him as Pittsburgh has crossed the plate three times or fewer in seven of those defeats.

Houston counters with Roy Oswalt (5-10, 3.32) on Thursday afternoon. Oswalt can’t catch a break is seems right now as he’s lost his last three starts, which were all setbacks for the Astros. He pitched well enough to win a pair of those games but his offense mustered a total of two runs in his last three appearances.

The ‘under’ was the smart wager to take on with the Pirates when on the road, evidenced by a 6-3-1 mark. Houston has watched the ‘over’ post a 4-2-1 record in its past seven games at Minute Maid Park. However, the ‘Stros have seen the ‘under’ go 8-4-1 when listed as home faves this season.

Angels (46-40, +339) at White Sox (44-38, +448) – 2:05 p.m. EDT

There are plenty of series for any team during the season that can potentially make or break their playoff hopes. This is indeed one of those battles with the White Sox sitting only a game behind Detroit for first place in the AL Central and the Halos 3 ½-games in back of Texas in the American League West.

Ervin Santana (8-6, 3.95) gets the starting nod from the Angels for the final match of this four-game set. Santana hasn’t pitched on the road since early June, but he’s made the most of it by winning three of his last four starts outside of the O.C.

Chicago will give the ball over to John Danks (7-7, 3.58) for this contest. The White Sox have failed to capture victory in his last two starts, which makes sense as he’s been a bit streaky this season. The ChiSox went 4-1 to start the year with Danks on the hill. Since then, they’ve seen him go into a 1-5 slump to along with his recent struggles. It also doesn’t help that Danks is 1-3 with a 3.16 earned run average in seven career starts against Los Angeles.

What the White Sox do have for bettors to back up their wagers is that they’ve won nine of their last 10 games at U.S. Cellular Field. The ‘under’ cashed in six of those fixtures. Los Angeles has dropped five of its past seven games this year. The Halos have watched the ‘over’ has hit in six of their past eight road contests.

Giants (43-40, -195) at Brewers (37-47, -1,087) – 2:10 p.m. EDT

Could the Giants actually be swinging big bats again? It looks like that is a possibility after scoring 26 runs in their last four games. Bettors have taken note that San Francisco has won three of those four tests.

San Fran will look to Barry Zito (7-4, 3.75) to keep the good feelings going. Zito didn’t get the win against the Rockies, but he did enough to help the Giants to win 11-8 last Saturday in Denver. It was their first victory with the southpaw on the mound since a 5-4 triumph at home against Oakland on June 12. Zito has been a bit more of a risk on the road this season (2-3, 4.86) for gamblers over his outings at AT&T Park (5-1, 2.83).

Manny Parra (3-5, 4.45) is coming off of a 12-5 win for the Brewers in St. Louis on July 3. At Miller Park, however, Parra has been forgettable with a 1-3 record and an ERA of 4.36.

Milwaukee has won its last three games as a home underdog. San Francisco has lost six of its last nine as a road favorite against left-handed pitching.

Cardinals (45-38, -834) at Rockies (45-38, +64) – 3:10 p.m. EDT

As if a battle between two possible playoff teams isn’t enough, we’re getting a pair of the better pitchers facing off in the Senior Circuit. The only problem is that they are both coming off of shaky performances.

St. Louis’s Chris Carpenter (9-2, 3.16) has been one of the most reliable pitchers in the game with his team winning 13 of his 18 starts. But you’re only as good as your last start for some, which isn’t good for Carpenter. He lasted just three innings after allowing seven earned runs on nine hits as the Brew Crew rolled to a 12-5 road win last Saturday.

Ubaldo Jimenez (14-1, 2.27) has been on another planet when taking the mound for the Rockies this year. Colorado has won all but two of his 17 starts in 2010. But Jimenez has been vulnerable as of late by giving up 17 earned runs in his last three starts. To give you an idea how big a drop-off that is for the Rockies’ ace, he gave up 13 earned runs in his first 14 starts of the year. Gamblers can take heart in the fact that he is 5-0 with a 3.94 ERA at Coors Field this season.

Colorado has dropped four of its last six games this year as a home “chalk� against teams from the National League Central this year. The ‘under’ is 4-2 in those games.

Carpenter has only been a road ‘dog 10 times since joining the Cardinals in 2004. St. Louis has gone 7-3 in this situation.

vegasinsider.com

[spook]

Thursday Late Tips
By Kevin Rogers

The Thursday night baseball card wraps up with three games out west, as these clubs begin their final series before the All-Star Break. The Yankees, Cubs, Marlins all continue West Coast swings against non-division opponents, as we'll start in the desert with the Fish trying to swim past the Snakes.

Marlins at Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM EST

Two struggling teams get together at Chase Field for a four-game series as both clubs try to end the first half on a solid note. The D-Backs are just 1-4 since the firing of manager A.J. Hinch last Thursday, while scoring only 10 runs in the four losses. The Marlins picked up a series opening victory over the Dodgers, but were trounced on Tuesday at Los Angeles, 7-3.

Rodrigo Lopez (4-7, 4.43 ERA) looks to rebound after getting knocked around by the Dodgers his last time out, allowing nine runs (two earned) in 3.2 innings of a 14-1 drubbing. The veteran beat the Yankees and Rays in his two previous outings as healthy underdogs, but Lopez owns a 2-4 mark at Chase Field with an ERA of 5.08. Lopez has never faced the Marlins in his career, while Arizona is 2-5 in his seven home starts as a 'dog.

The Marlins send out Anibal Sanchez (7-5, 3.35 ERA), who tries to turn around his luck following consecutive losses to the Braves and Padres. Florida is 2-4 the previous six times Sanchez has started, but the righty has put together quality outings in seven of his last 10 trips to the hill. The Marlins have struggled in Sanchez's career as a road favorite, putting together a 2-6 mark, with the two wins coming this season at Baltimore and Houston.

Florida and Arizona split a two-game series at Sun Life Stadium in mid-May, as that series was dominated by the Hanley Ramirez controversy in which the All-Star shortstop was reprimanded for not hustling after a flyball. The Marlins and D-Backs split a four-game set in Phoenix last July, which included a 14-7 Florida victory as the Fish rallied from a 7-0 deficit to stun Arizona.

Cubs at Dodgers - 10:10 PM EST

Going out west was the cure to Chicago's ills, as the Cubs grabbed a series over the lowly D-Backs. Lou Piniella's team tries to keep its winning ways alive on the road at Chavez Ravine, taking on a Dodgers' club that has captured six of their past eight games.

Clayton Kershaw (8-4, 3.02 ERA) cruised to an easy win over Arizona in his last start, but went only 5.2 innings with eight strikeouts. The last time the southpaw took the mound at Dodger Stadium, Kershaw left with a 5-2 lead over the Yankees, as the Los Angeles bullpen blew the game and Dodgers lost in extras. The 'over' has cashed in five of Kershaw's last six starts, while the Dodgers are 6-3 in his nine home outings.

The inconsistent Randy Wells (4-6, 4.67 ERA) looks for his third straight quality start, coming off a solid victory over the NL Central-leading Reds last Saturday. Wells has allowed one earned run in each of his last two outings, but both those starts came at Wrigley Field. Pitching on the highway has been a different story for Wells, as the Cubs are 0-3 in his last three starts away from the North Side.

The Cubs took two of three games at Wrigley Field over the Dodgers back in late May, as both Chicago victories came via the shutout. The Dodgers are 6-2 the last eight home contests in this series, including a 3-1 mark last season.

Yankees at Mariners - 10:10 PM EST

New York is looking to avenge a home series loss to Seattle last week as the venue shifts to Safeco Field for this weekend set. The M's were led by aces Cliff Lee and Felix Hernandez in underdog victories in the Bronx, but Seattle couldn't pull off the sweep when CC Sabathia shut down the Mariners in the series finale.

The Yankees started this West Coast swing with a series victory at Oakland, as veteran Andy Pettitte (10-2, 2.82 ERA) takes the mound. The All-Star lefty has pitched his best on the road, winning all three decisions, while the Yanks are 5-1 in his six away starts. The 'over' is 3-0 in each of Pettitte's last three starts, as New York averaged 9.3 runs/game in each of those victories.

Jason Vargas (6-4, 3.22 ERA) should be happy to be pitching back at Safeco Field following consecutive road losses to Detroit and Milwaukee. Vargas didn't receive any run support in the defeats, with the Mariners plating one run in those games. At home, the M's are 7-2 in Vargas' nine starts, including victories over the Angels, Twins, and Cubs.

The Yankees won four of seven games at Safeco Field last season, but the M's have held their own by splitting the last 14 meetings in this series. New York is 6-1 in its previous seven games on the road, while Seattle has dropped three straight at home following a five-game hot streak at Safeco.

vegasinsider.com

[Mr. IWS]

Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 8th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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[907] San Diego |-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST.



[907] San Diego |+150|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST



[922] Texas |-120|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[923] New York |-154|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

[harley1]

Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 8th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*************************

[907] San Diego |-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST.



[907] San Diego |+150|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST



[922] Texas |-120|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[923] New York |-154|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

IWS we need to find out which one is his diamond pick......also football jesus text play would be awesome. thanks for all the work

[Mr. IWS]

Randall the handle MLB


Baltimore/TEXAS over 9½

MILWAUKEE –1½ +1.86 over San Francisco

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

San Diego Padres (Moneyline)

[Mr. IWS]

BASEBALL PROPHET
PLAY OF THE DAY

Cleveland Indians/TB Rays OVER 9

[Mr. IWS]

scott delaney

50 dime------TEXAS RANGERS--RUN LINE

[Mr. IWS]

SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Pittsburgh v. Houston 2:05pm
PICK: Pirates ML +173 Game

LAA v. Chicago 2:05pm
PICK: Angels ML +111 GameSan Fran v. Milwaukee 2:10pm
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev Best bet of the day
PICK: Brewers ML -112 Game

Cincinnati v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
PICK: UNDER 9 Game ev

NY v. Seattle 10:10pm
PICK: Mariners ML +144 Game Game of the week

[Mr. IWS]

JR ODonnell | MLB Total Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:10 PM

dime bet 919 CLE / 920 TAM Over 9 BetUS
Analysis: Cleveland and Over tonight ..same game parlay GAME TONIGHT @7

Indians + 1.5 runs -120 and over 9 -120
Let's play the Indians + 1.5 and Over (9- 120) tonight as Rz's same game parlay in steamy Tampa as we are fading the Rays Wade Davis who~ is a poor 5-9 over all and a 4.86 ERA, We feel that the Tribe will get to him tonight and the Tampa hurler is a nasty 2-8 the last 10. The Tribe will be able to keep this baby close and the Tribe's J. Westbrook is not afraid of Tropicana and Tampa Bay, going "A PERFECT" 4-0 with a 2.86 ERA in his last 6 ball games in Fla. The + 1.5 runs will be just enough for the Tribe tonight as the runs will be a plenty and the Tribe will keep this baby close!
CLEVELAND + 1.5 RUNS AND OVER 9 -120

[Mr. IWS]

King Creole | MLB Total Thu, 07/08/10 - 2:05 PM

double-dime bet 915 ANA / 916 CWS Under 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: 2:05pm ET - 11:05am PT
Los Angeles Angels with Santana @ Chicago White Sox with Danks
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL

This is a series that's heavily skewed toward LOW-scoring results. With last night's game going 'Under', this Chicago / LA series has gone 10-25-1 O/U in the last 36 meetings... and 3-9-1 O/U in the last two seasons.

SANTANA: 1-6 O/U vs AL Central teams... 1-4 O/U away vs > .500 opponents... 2-8-2 O/U in Game Four of a series... 3-8-1 O/U on Thursdays.
DANKS: 5-17 O/U vs AL West teams... 3-11 O/U~ on Thursdays... 3-9 O/U after 5+ runs... 4-12 O/U as a home fav of -150 or less.

BILL MILLER gets the call behind home plate. Historically... a GREAT 'Under' Umpire (17-44-3 O/U in the last 2+ seasons). In the 2010 year, he comes in with a record of 5-13-2 O/U. Current streaks include 3-10 O/U since the middle of May with an average of only 7.3 combined runs per game. And in his last FOUR games overall, he's gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U... with an average of only 5.0 runs per game. He's also 3-10 O/U on the season when the OU line is 9 < runs. In 'Righty vs Lefty' pitching matchups, Miller has gone 9-28-2 O/U in the last 2 years. His strikeout to walk ratio is just what we are looking for to produce a LOW-scoring outcome. During his current 3-10 O/U streak... he's had 188 K's.... and only 59 BB's. That's an extremely high ratio of 3.18 strikeouts for every walk.

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM

triple-dime bet 907 SDP (-150) BetUS vs 908 WAS
Analysis: Play On: San Diego w/Latos (Game 907)
Note: When San Diego sends Mat Latos to the mound a~gainst Luis Atilano and the nationals in the nation's capitol this evening they will do so knowing he is 9-2 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 11 team starts. That's how long it's been since the Padres pitching coach moved Latos from one side of the rubber to the other in order to make his slider more effective. And it's worked wonders. Furthermore, Latos is 10-5 in his career road team starts, including 6-1 with a 1.38 ERA in his last seven efforts. He's also 3-1 with a 1.83 ERA in his career team starts during July, including 2-0 away. With Atilano 1-5 in his last six team starts, look for Latos to improve to 3-0 in his career team starts in this series here tonight. We recommend a 4-unit play on San Diego.

[Mr. IWS]

gill alexander | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 10:10 PM

triple-dime bet 913 CHC (+175) Sportbet vs 914 LOS
Analysis:
The Cubs are coming off a 3 game sweep of Arizona in which they plated 23R. Wells has given up just 2ER in his last 13.2IP. A more compact delivery is reportedly being credited for his solid performances of late. Against LAD lifetime, he has the exact same stats, having given up just 2ER in 13.2IP. The Dodgers have plated 29R in their last 6G. Kershaw has allowed just 2ER in his last 12.2IP w 13SO. He has 9 quality starts in his last 11 outings and has a 2.25ERA in his last 5 outings at Chavez Ravine. So, we call on advanced stats to help us out, as always. Wells has a 4.67ERA but an eye-openi‰ng 3.37FIP (18th best in MLB) and a 3.78xFIP. That ERA-FIP mark of 1.30 is the single widest discrepancy to the positive side in all of baseball. His .345BABIP is the 4th unluckiest in MLB. In other words, Wells shouldn't be a +175 proposition against anyone, including the stellar Kershaw who sports a 3.24FIP (13th best in MLB) and a 4.01xFIP. Value. Value. Value. One more thing. There's some doubt as to whether Alfonso Soriano will play in this game after getting hit by a pitch on his elbow on Wednesday. More significantly and not as acknowledged by most is that if the Cubs do get to Kershaw, LAD only has two long relievers at their disposal in Jeff Weaver and Travis Schlichting as Ronald Belisario is on the restricted list. And with Soriano or not, as we've noted many times before, the Cubs are a right-handed heavy hitting team. In addition to Soriano who still might play, Lee, Ramirez, Castro, Soto, Theriot, and Byrd all hit from the right side of the plate. Kershaw's SO-BB ratio v righties is only 1.88 as opposed to his 4.10 mark v lefties. Again, this one is teeming with value on the North Siders.

[Mr. IWS]

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM

dime bet 918 TOR (-130) Bodog vs 917 MIN
Analysis: Minnesota's series against Milwaukee a couple weeks back was truly eye-opening for me. Yes, Minnesota has a lot of lefties and yes they bat surprisingly well against left handed pitching. But in my opinion, the statistics don't tell the true story. Milwaukee's lefties gave Minnesota all kinds of trouble, while that's actually been the case for most of the season with the Twins. It's been left-handed relievers that they've had their way with. Toronto sent a lefty to the hill last night, and they pulled off a win, tonight they'll send Cecil to the mound (another lefty), and I expect the result to be the same.

Cecil definitely went through a tough stretch during Interleague play, but bounced back nicely in his first game back in the AL. He's been a rock solid lefty for them all year, and is nothing more or less than a solid middle of the rotation starter. In his only career start against Minny, Cecil went 6 innings of 2 ru€n ball.. That's solid. And we'll definitely take that going up against Scott Baker today.

Baker is a guy who flat out puts the ball in play. I'd be shocked if he walked someone, literally. For whatever reason, those balls seem to find holes when he's pitching outside of Minnesota. The guy is just 1-5 with a 6.55 on the road this season, and a team like Toronto that scores in bunches on their home turf can, and should, really create problems for him. On top of that, Scott Baker against Toronto: 0-3 with a 5.10 in his last 5 starts.

Yes, I like taking a sound lefty at home against this Minnesota lineup. But I like fading Baker on the road even more, especially against a team that has given him problems in the past.

[Mr. IWS]

spartan | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 3:10 PM

dime bet 906 COL (-141) Sportbet vs 905 STL
Analysis: I prevailed last night with the Rockies as they once again proved that Coors field is indeed a house of horrors for the Cardinals. Been a Cardinals fan since the days of Gibson and Brock but I call them the way I see them. Emotion has no place in sports wagering. I'm enough of a Cards fan I've been published in a book regarding Cardinals fans. With that said, like I mentioned yesterday guys the All Star break cannot get here fast enough for this club. They are slumping, badly. Morale is low and the bullpen in shreds. You can never under estimate the ability of Cris Carpenter to provide this club with a desperately needed lift but with his match up against Jimenez I just cannot support them here. Trying to pick the spot where a slumping club will catch a win is risky business. As square as this play may appear sometimes you just have to suck it up and take the obvious. The thing is it is not just this series guys, the Cards always struggle terribly at this ball park and against Ubaldo there is no valid reason to see it stopping thursday.
Baseball is a funny game, I've played the game and I suspect many of you have as well. It is the ultimate anything can happen on a given day sport, Carpenter is more than capable of shutting out Colorado and tossing a gem, but I am not betting on it. I respect him enough I am only grading this a single star but I certainly think enough of the game to put a wager into play.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 2:05 PM

double-dime bet 915 ANA (+140) Bodog vs 916 CWS
Analysis:
Play on LA Angels at 2:10 EST – the Angels are on the verge of getting swept this afternoon in Chicago. The White Sox beat the Angels for the third straight time last night 5-2. Tonight, LA sends Santana out to the mound to avoid the sweep. The Angels righty has pitched very well on the road this season with a 3.04 ERA in his eight starts. One of those road starts was right here in Chicago and he pitched very well going seven innings without allowing an earned run. Danks doesn’t have very good career numbers against these Angels with a 2-5 team start record. We’re looking for the Angels to salvage this last game of the series knowing that Santana is a great dog pitcher posting a 10-1 record when installed as a $150 or less puppy. Also, he loves pitching against the AL Central posting a 10-1 team start record. Meanwhile, Danks can’t be trusted as a home favorite posting a 13-18 (-13 units) in that role. LA likes playing baseball in the sunshine as they are 18-10 this season in day games. It all adds up to an LA win this afternoon in Chicago. Good Luck. Play on LA Angels.

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 10:10 PM

double-dime bet 924 SEA (+145) Bodog vs 923 NYY
Analysis: 
Play on Seattle at 10:10 EST – the Yankees come up to Seattle after sweeping Oakland and have now won five straight. Meanwhile, the M’s were swept by the Royals here in Seattle. The pitching matchup tonight has Pettitte for NY and Vargas for Seattle. Pettitte has been rock solid all season with a 2.82 ERA and 13-3 team start record. Vargas has pitched outstanding here in Seattle this season with a 2.30 ERA and outstanding 7-2 team start record, despite Seattle’s lack of hitting. We think this is a soft spot for the Yankees tonight after sweeping Oakland and having to travel to Seattle, especially against Vargas. This season, the Yankees have faced pitchers with good control like Vargas who allow less than 1.75 walks per start 25 times. They haven’t done very well with a 10-15 team start record and since they were favored in those games they have lost 13.6 units. We have great value here tonight with Vargas and we’re taking it. Good Luck. Play on Seattle.

[harley1]

red hot teddy covers

Reds (Big Ticket)
Angels/Wht socks under 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

Thursday's Lineup
75 Dime release on the St. Louis Cardinals and Carpenter over Colorado and Jimenez. You must specify both schedulld starting pitchers in this conteast. The play would be voided if there are any pitching changhs. As I release this selection at 8 AM Eastern, the Cards are +125 to +130 in Vegas and offshore

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

50 units Texas Rangers -1.5 run line -120
15 units Cincinnati Reds/Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 9.5
10 units SD Padres -160

[Mr. IWS]

nsa

20 yanks-150
20 sf+105
20 rockies-145

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT Toronto Blue Jays -125
4 UNIT Florida Marlins -115

[Mr. IWS]

SCOTT RICKENBACH

8* Angels / White Sox Over 8.5

Play OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game as an 8* Regular Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

PAUL LEINER

100* Phi/Cin Over 9

50* Blue Jays -120

25* Hou/Pitt Over 7

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTBOOK GURU

4 UNIT Colorado Rockies

[Mr. IWS]

BOB VALENTINO

30 DIME San Diego Padres on the run line over the Nationals.

NOTE: Of course list pitchers (Latos for the pads and Atilano for the Nats) or the play is void.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

Game: Pittsburgh at Houston (2:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 7 -110

The Pittsburgh Pirates are a complete road disaster. When you put them against right-hand pitching the suffering worsens. The Pirates, in their last 51 road games vs. a right-hand pitcher, have scored a grand total of 126 runs. That is a 51-game stretch of averaging 2.47 runs per game. They now face not only a righthander on the road, but a tough one in Roy Oswalt. The Pirates go with Ross Olendorf who has had a lot of success within the division, leading the Pirates to a 15-2 mark to the UNDER vs. the NL Central. Oswalt has now gone 11-2 to the UNDER in his last 13 starts following a quality start his last time out. I'll go with the UNDER here.

[BKK]

Marco DeAngelo : whiteSox

[harley1]

bkk have you stumbled across football jesus text yet?

[BKK]

bkk have you stumbled across football jesus text yet?

OVER in Fla/Ariz

[harley1]

bkk have you stumbled across football jesus text yet?

OVER in Fla/Ariz
thanks bud!

[golden contender]

On Thursday the free play is on the St. Louis Cardinals. Game 905 at 3:10 eastern. The Cards were the victims of back to back walk off losses the past 2 nights here in Colorado. Today they have their ace on the mound in Chris Carpenter. In 21+ innings vs the Rockies he has allowed just 2 runs. He has a 2.73 road era this year and a 4-1 career mark with a 0.75 era vs Colorado. The Rockies have their ace U. Jimenez on this hill today. Jimenez has been hit real hard of late with a 8.66 era over his past 3 starts and he has a 3.94 home era this season and a 1-3 4.32 era vs the Cardinals. For a technical approach consider playing against certain home favorites off a 1 run home win if their opponent is off a 1 run road loss and both teams scored 5 + runs on 10+ hits. These home favorites are under .500 the past 7 seasons. You may not see this type of value with Carpenter again for awhile. St. Louis is the free play tonight. GC

[Mr. IWS]

SEABASS

50 LA Angels
50 St Louis Cardinals
100 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 RL

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT FERRINGO

SIDES
1.5-Unit Play. Take #923 N.Y. Yankees (-155) over Seattle
1-Unit Play. Take #907 San Diego (-155) over Washington
0.5-Unit Play. Take #916 Chicago White Sox (-115) over L.A. Angels
0.5-Unit Play. Take #920 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +100) over Cleveland
0.5-Unit Play. Take #909 Cincinnati (-105) over Philadelphia
0.5-Unit Play. Take #922 Texas (-1.5, -120) over Baltimore
0.5-Unit Play. Take #911 Florida (-115) over Arizona

TOTALS
3-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 L.A. Angels at Chicago White Sox
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 10.0 Florida at Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

Dan Bebe | MLB Total Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM

dime bet 917 MIN / 918 TOR Over 8.5 BetUS
Analysis: I've been extremely patient with totals this year, but I do believe this is one where everything lined up just right to pull the trigger.


First, the public is all kinds of nuts about the Under. I can't quite put my finger on why, exactly, but they do.


Second, on the Twins side we have Scott Baker, another in a long line of "road issues" that the Twins have run into so far this year. His ERA on the road is over 6.5, and even more troublesome is that Baker's road WHIP is hovering near 1.610, so it's not like he's getting unlucky and making one mistake. He's putting a ton of runners on base, and that is an absolutely recipe for disaster against most teams, even moreso against the homer-happy Blue Jays. A walk, an infield single, and one bad pitch later, and you're down by 3. Baker will probably fare similarly to Slowey did yesterday, going a bit deeper than our handicapping shows, but giving up 3-4 runs along the way, and giving the ball to a suddenly shaky Twins pen, that had been very reliable up to this point in the year.


Third, on the Jays side, Brett Cecil takes the hill. I'm not too pleased that the Jays have a lefty, since if Cecil can do a better job of neutralizing the O-dog, who did a large portion of the Twins' damage yesterday, being a lefthanded starter becomes a huge advantage. Morneau is questionable for today, as is Delmon Young, so we'll see how the lineup shakes out. In any case, we're going to go on Cecil's poor home numbers. He's had 3 very good home starts tha„t are actually keeping his home numbers from looking too ugly, but also had a couple of complete implosions at home, and that's what we're going to hope for, here. His home ERA is 6.15, almost as high as Baker's, and Cecil's home WHIP is 1.36, almost 3/10 of a runner higher than on the road. He's not the world's worst home pitcher, but he sure as heck isn't the same as on the road.


I happen to think the Twins, in a severe pitching slump right now, continue on that same trend heading into the break, and they rarely ever pitch well in Toronto, anyway. They've been in the first 2 games of the series only because of Orlando Hudson's hot bat, and I think they keep putting runners on base and getting some of them home. I also think the Jays pen has been shaky this series, and aside from retiring the Twins late last night, things looked almost as bad.


I think the finale of this series brings out the best in Toronto's bats -- I think Cecil pitches marginally but surrenders a handful, and I think Baker continues to be mediocre on the road and stellar at home, where, perhaps, we'll consider backing the Twins again. Not here, not in Canada. Toronto takes the series with a win tonight behind some powerful lumber.


And plus, it doesn't hurt that we got the key number of 9 back thanks to the public money bringing this total down a half point.


Play on the Over!

[Mr. IWS]

Stan Sharp | MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 9:40 PM

double-dime bet 912 ARI (+110) BetUS vs 911 FLA
Analysis: Stan is Betting ARIZONA today. Stan notes that Arizona's Rodrigo Lopez last start was misleading. It looks like he was rocked bu�t the truth is that he was the victim of poor defense that made the loss loss look so bad.Lopez was chased in the 4th inning after giving up 9 runs but only 2 runs were earned. In his 3 starts before that Lopez gave up 3 runs or less in all 3 starts. Stan also looks for Florida to be flat following their big series in LA where they just took 2 out of 3. Expect Arizona to grab Game One of this series as Lopez vs Sanchez should be a Mismatch.

TAKE ARIZONA as STAN'S 2* PITCHER MISMATCH BIG BET

[Mr. IWS]

CAPRI-PLAYERS PARADISE

3 UNIT Paradise Play: New York Yankees

[harley1]

dont recall,is the baseball prophet source picks posted here?

[Mr. IWS]

B&S PICKS

2 DIME BOOKIE BASHER Tampa Bay Rays over 9
1 DIME Milwaukee Brewers ML
1 DIME Colorado Rockies ML
1 DIME Cincinnati Reds ML
1 DIME Chicago White Sox under 8.5

[Mr. IWS]

NY PLAYERS CLUB

3* Milwaukee Brewers over San Fran
2* Cincinnati Reds over Philly

[Mr. IWS]

Lance's Lock
Pick: The Phillies -105
Overall: 983-877-35
Current streak: 3 wins

[Mr. IWS]

ANTHONY REDD

50 DIME Seattle Mariners - List pitchers

[Mr. IWS]

ROBERT MICHAEL-ROBCAT
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-JULY 8th

Capper: Robert Michael *Robcat* (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[907] San Diego |10*|-165|B+0|Network N/A|7:05pm EST
[903] San Francisco 5*|+120|Network N/A|2:10 pm EST
[905] St. Louis/ Colorado UNDER |5*|7.5|Network N/A|2:05 EST
[901] Pittsburg |5*|+177|B+0|Network N/A|2:05 pm EST
[910] Philidelphia |5*|+107|B+0|Network N/A|7:05pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

GOODFELLA
1* SINGLE DIME Toronto Blue Jays (-111)

[Mr. IWS]

3G SPORTS
5* SF Giants
5* Chicago White Sox
4* Arizona Diamondbacks

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

Thursday's Plays
My 20 Dime Release is on Cincinnati with both pitchers listed. My 15 Dime Release is on the Marlins with both pitchers listed. My 10 Dime Release is on the Indians with both pitchers listed. Note that all these schedulad pitchers must start in these games or else the selectiaons will be null and void. As these plays are releastd at 9:30 AM Pacific, the Reds are -105, the Marlins are -115 and the Indians are +180.

[Mr. IWS]

VEGAS RUNNER
2* MLB* MORNING MOVES* LATE STEAM* Milwaukee Brewers , -115 ML
2* MLB* MORNING MOVES* PERSONAL PLAY* Colorado Rockies , -145 ML
LINE PREDICTION* MLB* MORNING MOVES* Cleveland Indians, Over 9

[Mr. IWS]

3G SPORTS

5* SF Giants
5* Chicago White Sox
4* Arizona Diamondbacks

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* CHICAGO WHITE SOX over ANGELS

The major gap in team form between these two is not being priced properly at all for this setting, and with a limited Angel offense taking the field without Bobby Abreu and Hideki Matsui, it is now go-time.

The Chicago run has now reached a sizzling 20-5, including a 3-0 in this series controlled by a dominating count of 18-5, and that continues with John Danks here. After a brief slump Danks found his groove again at Texas in his last outing, not getting a “W� despite holding a good offense to two runs on four hits over 6 IP in a hitter’s park, and that matches an unfortunate blemish that he suffered against the Angels here earlier, getting tagged with a loss despite allowing only two earned runs on three hits over 7.2 IP, with eight K’s. Pencil him in for a big outing against this lineup, and a hot Chicago bullpen with plenty of depth can handle the limited work that will be needed from them.

Meanwhile an afternoon game in this ballpark with the wind blowing out is not the ideal setting for Ervin Santanta, who has one of the highest fly out ratio’s of any starter in the Major Leagues, and has already been tagged for 15 HR’s this season. We also catch him at a vulnerable time, off of 116, 120 and 114 pitches in his last three outings, and over his last five it has been a 2-3/5.63, despite having four of those starts coming at home, and only one vs. a winning team. And the bullpen behind him gives up a lot to their Chicago counterparts, creating edges to the home team throughout in this one.

[Mr. IWS]

JOHN RYAN

10* Indians / Rays Under 9

Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that fewer than 9 runs will be scored in this game. Tampa Bay is in a series of strong roles for this play to play UNDER. Note that the Rays are a solid 14-5 UNDER (+8.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season; 12-3 UNDER (+8.6 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities this season; 13-4 UNDER (+8.7 Units) in home games versus teams outscored by opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season; 15-6 UNDER (+8.1 Units) after a win by 2 runs or less this season. Cleveland is batting just 240 and scoring 4.1 RPG against RH starters; 247 with a 314 WHIP scoring 4 RPG in 45 road games. Bullpen has been solid recently, but still struggle in road games posting a 5.84 ERA and a 1.695 WHIP. Rays are not an offensive dominant team, but their pitching is outstanding. Their bullpen boasts a 3.19 ERA and a 1.117 WHIP on the season and a 2.95 ERA and a 1.031 WHIP over the past 7 games. Westbrook has found his top form allow ing just 3 ER in his last 2 starts spanning 6 innings each. Over his last 3 games he has posted a 3.71 ERA and a 1.294 WHIP. Davis has won since May 29th, but he has arguably one of the best bullpens behind him in this game. With Cleveland not a strong offensive team we see Davis working a minimum of 5 innings. The more innings he works past the 5th the greater the probabilities rise for the UNDER to win the money. Take the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

jeff Benton

Thursday's Action 20 Dime selection on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Twins from the Rogers Centre in Toronto. As I go live with this release, the Blue Jays are favared in the -120 to -125 range. Note that you must list Toronto’s Brett Cecil and Minneesota’s Scott Baker as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this seleotion is VOID.


Blue Jays

After an ugly three-start interleague stretch in which he allowed 18 runs (16 earned) in 15 2/3 innings (9.19 ERA), Toronto southpaw Brett Cecil got back on track Friday with a performance at Yankee Stadium. Cecil limited New York’s poweaful lineup to one run on four hits over six innings, and though he did walk a season-high six, he pitched out every jam he put himself in and Toronto eventually prevailed 6-1 in 11 innings.

Over his last six starts against American League competition, Cecil is 5-0 (only non-decision was Friday against the Yankees) with a 1.49 ERA, allowing two earned runs or fewer in all six contests. And with Cecil starting against the A.L., the Blue Jays are 9-2.

Cecil has faced the Twins just once in his career, and that was last September at home and he yielded just two runs over six innings in a 3-2 victory. That night, Cecil had to face Twins sluggeers Justin Morneau and Delmon Young, two guys who are questionable tonight (both were injured last night in Toronto’s 6-5, come-from-behind win).

Two additional reasons to side with the Blue Jays in this one: 1) With yesterday’s victory, they’re now 16-5 in the last 21 meetings with Minnesota and 11-4 in the last 15 clashes north of the border; and 2) Twins starter Scott Baker has been atrocious on the road this year (1-5, 6.55 ERA), giving up 10 home runs in 45 1/3 innings (and Toronto has led baseball all season in home runs). In his last five roadies, Baker has given up 23 runs (eight homers) in 29 2/3 innings (6.98 ERA). Also, Baker is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA – including six home runs allowed – in his last three starts against the Blue Jays.

Throw in the fact the Blue Jays have won 20 of their last 26 games as a home favorite while the Twins are in slumps of 2-6 on the road, 15-37 on the road against left-handed starters, 25-53 against the A.L. East, 2-8 in the third game of a series, 0-5 on getaway Thursday and 4-13 when Baker goes as an underdog, and all signs point to a comfortable win for the home team.

[Mr. IWS]

The Duke's Sports

Cincinnati (-105) for 1.5 Units *'

The Reds are firing on all cylinders while the Phillies continue to be mired in a slump. Cincinnati, which is on a 12-4 run, sports a 7-1 road mark vs teams with winning home records. We'll look for the high run producing Reds to jump on Kyle Kendrick, whom they roughed up on June 28th. Kendrick, who blew by the Pirates in a complete game finish in his last start, shouldn't be measured in performance on that start; after all, the Pirates' light hitting lineup is not a good barometer to measure pitching performance. The Phillies are just 2-6 with Kendrick in their last 8 vs a winning team. Reds the call.

[Mr. IWS]

Brett Vancise

Matchup: Cincinnati at Philadelphia
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CUETO, J vs. (R) KENDRICK, K

Play: Cincinnati (ML -102)

Johnny Cueto has found his form for Cincinnati, as the Reds righty has given up just 2 earned runs in his last 4 starts. Philadelphia has lost 7 of their last 10 games and have hit just .231 against right handed pitchers throughout that stretch. Phillies starter Kyle Kendrick is 2-2 with a 6.62 ERA at home this season and faces a Reds lineup that knocked him around to the tune of 8 hits and 6 earned runs over 6.1 innings at the end of June. Cueto picked up the win in that contest, and has a bullpen behind him that has a 2.62 ERA in their last 3 games. Cincinnati is the play.

[Mr. IWS]

Tout Tally

SAN DIEGO -24
WASH - 4

CINCI - 13
PHILLY - 8

FLOR - 14
ARIZ - 3

CUBS -5
LAD - 8

MINNY - 2
TOR - 12

OVER - 6
UNDER - 3

CLEVE - 5
TB - 2

BALTY - 1
TEX - 14

YANKS - 14
SEATTLE - 4

[NYGIANTS24]

Ultimate Bet: San Diego (SDG) 18-1

Best Bets:
TEX 11-0
FLA 9-1

Good Bets:
LAD 6-2
TOR 4-1
NYY 11-6

Good Luck, !!!
__________________

[spook]

The Duke's Sports

Cincinnati (-105) for 1.5 Units *'

The Reds are firing on all cylinders while the Phillies continue to be mired in a slump. Cincinnati, which is on a 12-4 run, sports a 7-1 road mark vs teams with winning home records. We'll look for the high run producing Reds to jump on Kyle Kendrick, whom they roughed up on June 28th. Kendrick, who blew by the Pirates in a complete game finish in his last start, shouldn't be measured in performance on that start; after all, the Pirates' light hitting lineup is not a good barometer to measure pitching performance. The Phillies are just 2-6 with Kendrick in their last 8 vs a winning team. Reds the call.

[spook]

Fox sheets 7/8 **added records**

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (913) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (914) LA DODGERS
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHICAGO CUBS) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts
(65-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.3%, +49.8 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-5 +1.1 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (907) SAN DIEGO vs. (908) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.Play Against - Any team (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL
(39-15 since 1997.) (72.2%, +34.1 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.5 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (913) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (914) LA DODGERS
Favoring: LA DODGERS on the money line.Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHICAGO CUBS) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts
(54-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (91.5%, +42.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-3 +2 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (911) FLORIDA vs. (912) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - allowing 5.3 or more runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games
(59-35 since 1997.) (62.8%, +48.2 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-6 +6.6 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (923) NY YANKEES vs. (924) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP <=1.350), in July games
(35-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +27 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (907) SAN DIEGO vs. (908) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season
(40-20 since 1997.) (66.7%, +34.5 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2 +1.9 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (907) SAN DIEGO vs. (908) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.Play Against - Any team (SAN DIEGO) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL
(85-50 since 1997.) (63.0%, +57.1 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-4 -0.7 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (923) NY YANKEES vs. (924) SEATTLE
Favoring: NY YANKEES on the money line.Play On - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (NY YANKEES) - where team's hitters draw 4 walks or more/game on the season, after allowing 2 runs or less 3 straight games
(72-22 since 1997.) (76.6%, +43.9 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 -0.1 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (907) SAN DIEGO vs. (908) WASHINGTON
Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.Play Against - Any team (SAN DIEGO) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL
(66-37 since 1997.) (64.1%, +46.3 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.5 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (915) LA ANGELS vs. (916) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: CHI WHITE SOX on the money line.Play On - Home teams (CHI WHITE SOX) - AL team with a low on-base percentage (<=.320) against a team with a bad bullpen (WHIP >=1.550), in July games
(33-10 since 1997.) (76.7%, +25.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (921) BALTIMORE vs. (922) TEXAS
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TEXAS) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts
(139-151 since 1997.) (47.9%, +103 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (9-5 +12.7 units).

Thursday, 07/08/2010 (921) BALTIMORE vs. (922) TEXAS
Favoring: TEXAS on the money line.Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games
(122-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.8%, +62.5 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-2 +9.3 units).

[spook]

Sal Devito from facebook page-------> lmao

3* Under Whitesox - Winner
10* Yankees
3* Under Padres
3* Bluejays

[spook]

Jeff Benton

20 Dime Toronto Blue Jays

After an ugly three-start interleague stretch in which he allowed 18 runs (16 earned) in 15 2/3 innings (9.19 ERA), Toronto southpaw Brett Cecil got back on track Friday with a performance at Yankee Stadium. Cecil limited New York’s poweaful lineup to one run on four hits over six innings, and though he did walk a season-high six, he pitched out every jam he put himself in and Toronto eventually prevailed 6-1 in 11 innings.

Over his last six starts against American League competition, Cecil is 5-0 (only non-decision was Friday against the Yankees) with a 1.49 ERA, allowing two earned runs or fewer in all six contests. And with Cecil starting against the A.L., the Blue Jays are 9-2.

Cecil has faced the Twins just once in his career, and that was last September at home and he yielded just two runs over six innings in a 3-2 victory. That night, Cecil had to face Twins sluggeers Justin Morneau and Delmon Young, two guys who are questionable tonight (both were injured last night in Toronto’s 6-5, come-from-behind win).

Two additional reasons to side with the Blue Jays in this one: 1) With yesterday’s victory, they’re now 16-5 in the last 21 meetings with Minnesota and 11-4 in the last 15 clashes north of the border; and 2) Twins starter Scott Baker has been atrocious on the road this year (1-5, 6.55 ERA), giving up 10 home runs in 45 1/3 innings (and Toronto has led baseball all season in home runs). In his last five roadies, Baker has given up 23 runs (eight homers) in 29 2/3 innings (6.98 ERA). Also, Baker is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA – including six home runs allowed – in his last three starts against the Blue Jays.

Throw in the fact the Blue Jays have won 20 of their last 26 games as a home favorite while the Twins are in slumps of 2-6 on the road, 15-37 on the road against left-handed starters, 25-53 against the A.L. East, 2-8 in the third game of a series, 0-5 on getaway Thursday and 4-13 when Baker goes as an underdog, and all signs point to a comfortable win for the home team.

[spook]

C-STAR SPORTS
1000 Units Texas run line -1.5 over Baltimore
1000 Units Florida over Arizona
1000 Units Toronto/Minnesota under the total

[spook]

Win or Lose POD 7/08

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas -1.5

[spook]

Bob Balfe

New York Yankees -151

The Mariners are on a bad losing streak and just cannot score enough runs to hang with a team like New York. Petitte is having a great season and the Yankees are on a nice winning streak of their own. This is an easy win with a low risk...take New York.

[spook]

David Banks

MLB
2:05 White Sox -140
7:07 Twins +116
9:40 Diamondbacks +108
10:10 Yankees -154

[spook]

MIKE HOOK
BURIED TREASURE

1 UNIT dime ml 907 SDP (-150) BetUS vs 908 WAS

[spook]

EXECUTIVE
250% Toronto Blue Jays

[spook]

AL DeMARCO
10 DIME DOG OF THE MONTH Chicago Cubs
5 DIME BONUS PLAY Cincinnati Reds

[spook]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREG SHAKER

MLB Money Line Thu, 07/08/10 - 7:05 PM

triple-dime bet 918 TOR (-110) BetUS vs 917 MIN
Analysis: MLB: Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays - Bluejays (Baker/Cecil)(Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 7/8/2010
Note: Scott Baker's problems on the road are well documented not only this year but in year's past. His Road ERA of over 6.5 runs is one of the highest in either league and he has also struggled greatly verses the Bluejays. While the Toronto Hurler is no class act he has been able to maintain a better than average WHIP this year and is capable of a niÅ*ce game tonight. Minnesota has been one of the better teams in the AL but things are starting to slip for these guys including a Bullpen that has look pretty crappy during the first week in July. Justin Morneau got hurt on a play yesterday and had to leave the contest. He is not likely to play tonight and that is one big bat that Minnesota does not need to be without. Despite the fine year that the Twins are having, their competitiveness away from home has been below .500 and they clearly face and uphill battle tonight this Toronto squad who has been Hell for them to beat for a long time. The fact is, Minnesota is just 4-11 last 15 here at this park, and 5-16 overall the last 21. This is basically and even line, and it is due to perception, not reality. My MLB Model has the home team winning at a very longterm profitable 57.9% and I must agree with it tonight.

[spook]

PROPICKSWEEKLY
ADDED
5 UNIT Toronto Blue Jays -113
5 UNIT Seattle Mariners +138

[spook]

VEGAS RUNNER
3* MLB* RUN LINE GAME OF THE WEEK* Seattle Mariners, +1.5 RL

[spook]

SPORTS UNLIMITED-MARCO D'ANGELO
910 PHI (-105) vs 909 CIN
Analysis: PLAY: PHILADELPHIA
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

I'm Betting 2 Units today on PHILADELPHIA. On the surface tonight's match up looks like a no brainer to take the Reds as this is a quick rematch between Cueto & Kendrick. On June 28th these two hooked up and Cueto bested Kendrick 7-3. Expect a reversal tonight for a number of reasons. First off Cincinnati is coming off a National TV Game on ESPN last night this is a great situation to go against Cincinnati and Kendrick had a strong outing in last start and should repeat that effort tonight in a Revenge situation.

TAKE PHILADELPHIA as MARCO'S 2* GAME OF THE WEEK

[spook]

DINO
Donato
JULY 08, 2010 (New Members Email Me @ :

4* NY YANKEES -ML (-150)


5* TAMPA -RL (+100)

Dino $ Donato