7-11-10

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NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl!

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Baseball Crusher 7/11


COL (-130) over SD

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Sportgenius Sunday play


The mets under 7 1/2 good luck to the forum

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MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Sunday’s Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers
By Covers Staff


Streaking

Wandy Rodriguez (6-10, 5.00 ERA), Houston Astros

This 31-year-old lefty is starting to pitch the way he did in his career season a year ago. Rodriguez, like the rest of his Houston teammates, did not get off to the best start and his numbers are still pretty ugly.

But over his last three starts, the southpaw hurler is 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA with 19 strikeouts to just four walks. This quality pitching seemed to come from nowhere. Rodriguez had allowed 14 runs in his last two starts before he turned it around.

C.J. Wilson (7-4, 3.24 ERA), Texas Rangers

You could make the case that this former closer was the Rangers’ staff ace before Texas acquired Cliff Lee. Wilson is having no trouble with the transition from the bullpen to the rotation. He’s riding a six-game stretch where he’s allowed two runs or less in each start.

The Rangers, not surprisingly, are 6-1 in Wilson’s last seven trips to the bump.

Slumping

Cole Hamels (6-7, 4.05 ERA), Philadelphia Phillies

This former World Series MVP really hasn’t been pitching that bad lately. It just seems like his team is destined to lose every time Hamels takes the mound. Philly is 1-5 in the lefty’s last six starts even though he sports a respectable 4.02 ERA over the stretch.

The Phillies average 4.8 runs per game this season but have given Hamels three or fewer runs in six of his last eight outings.

Jeff Francis (2-3, 5.12 ERA), Colorado Rockies

This Canadian left-hander has not been enjoying the 2010 campaign. It got off to a bad start when he had to sit out the first two months because of an injury and it hasn’t got much better since he returned to action.

Francis has allowed 13 runs in the last seven innings he’s tossed and the over is 4-1 in his last five starts.

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HOT LINES

Sunday's Best MLB Bets

Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (+120, 9.5)

Toronto catcher John Buck got a glimpse of Jose Bautista’s potential six years ago. The two played with each other for a month on Kansas City’s roster before Bautista was dealt to the Mets.

"For some reason, they let him go," Buck said about the Royals trading Bautista in 2004. "I remember talking with Tony Pena – he was the Royals' manager at the time – and he was, like, 'We shouldn't have let that kid go. He's going to be really good.'

"I said, 'Yeah, what were we doing? That kid is going to be awesome,� Buck concluded.

Bautista blasted his major league-leading 24th home run Saturday but wasn’t invited to participate in the Home Run Derby at his first All-Star Game. While Bautista won’t be teeing off on batting practice pitching Tuesday one thing is for certain – this Blue Jays club is going to swing for the fences night in and night out.

Toronto leads MLB in long balls with 132 – 16 more than the Red Sox in second place. The Jays connected for three homers Saturday and have 10 in their last three games. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Toronto’s last seven games and the team has hit 20 jacks during that stretch.

With two pitchers with ERAs of 4.70 or higher on the bump Sunday, these two powerful offenses are licking their chops. Look for a barrage of runs in the series finale.

Pick: Over


Kansas City Royals at Chicago White Sox

It seems like just a few weeks ago we were talking about how the South Siders had completely turned the season around after it looked like hell had broken loose inside the clubhouse.

Oh wait, that was just a few weeks ago that Chicago strung together an 11-game win streak and was victorious in 15-of-16 contests. And now it’s déjÃ* vu all over again.

The White Sox came into Saturday rolling along on a six-game streak while winning 23 of their past 28 ballgames. Chicago earned backers 19.93 units in that time frame.

"I think if we would have said we were going to win that quick and be back in it as quick as we did, I don't think anybody would have believed us. We're starting to believe it,� Mark Buehrle said. "I think everybody knows the way we're playing, everybody is having fun right now.�

Chicago trails Detroit by just a half-game in the AL Central standings. Even with Zack Greinke on the mound Sunday, there isn’t any way the Royals can slow Chicago’s momentum heading into the break.

Pick: Chicago White Sox

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SOCCER NEWS AND NOTES
World Cup Final: What Bettors Need To Know
By MICHAEL DA SILVA


Odds: Spain (-175), Netherlands (+164), regulation time draw (+236); Over/under (2)

Four years is a long time to wait but, it’s finally here. The big one: the World Cup final. And by all indications, it should be a cracker.

Spain entered the tournament as favorites and, after an early wobble against Switzerland, have grown in stature and go into the final close to their devastating peak.

The Netherlands meanwhile, in the their first World Cup final since 1978, are giddy at the prospect of continuing their 25-game unbeaten run. If they can get one over the European champions, they’ll certainly deserve their moment. Either way, by Sunday evening, we’ll have a first-time World Champion.

Match strategy

It’s never nice to see a player suspended for the final and thankfully no one will be following in the footsteps of Michael Ballack (Germany, 2002) or Laurent Blanc (France, 1998) in missing the big one.

Both teams are at full strength and Netherlands welcome back midfielder Nigel De Jong and full-back Gregory van der Wiel – who were both suspended for the semi-final win over Uruguay.

Spain coach Vicente Del Bosque’s only major concern is over Fernando Torres, who came into the tournament having undergone surgery just weeks before. The Liverpool player initially struggled for match fitness but now appears to be suffering from a loss of confidence, with Del Bosque deciding to choose Barcelona’s Pedro ahead of Torres to start in the win over Germany.

Del Bosque will probably start with Pedro again but Cesc Fabregas is also an option.

Spain are finally beginning to peak at the right time and, given the way they disarmed a potent young Germany side in the semi-final indicates that Spain will take some beating.

Netherlands have gone about their business in this tournament in a professional manner, just doing enough to beat the teams in front of them. But when one of those teams are Brazil, they have to be taken very seriously.

Wesley Sneijder stands on the brink of an unprecedented quadruple of the Italian League, Italian Cup, Champions League and World Cup. However, the key to Holland’s success lies not in the undoubted ability of their playmaker Sneijder, but in the effectiveness of their ‘doormen’ Nigel De Jong and Mark van Bommel.

The defensive midfielders have been an outstanding double act throughout the tournament and in the semi-final, the first game in which the pair were separated (due to De Jong’s suspension) they let in more than one goal for the first time. With these two enforcers in place and on song, the Dutch stand a great chance.
The performances of Arjen Robben and Robin van Persie are, needless to say, also crucial.

Interestingly though, Dutch legend and former Barcelona player and manager Johan Cruyff backs Spain for a win over his homeland.

"Spain is now the great favourite," he wrote in El Periodico de Catalunya on Thursday. "Del Bosque's team has grown in strength and finds itself in the final at the top of its game. Yesterday evening Germany, which put on a display against Argentina, played football which would have been enough to beat any team but not Spain.

"Spain, a replica of Barca, is the best publicity for football. Who am I supporting? I am Dutch but I support the football that Spain is playing."

Players To Watch

Netherlands – Arjen Robben

Robben is one of the greatest players in the modern game and it is fitting that, given all his injury woes in recent years, he is fit and ready to show the Spanish possibly the only thing they’re missing – a world-class winger. Robben is Holland’s dangerman and the player Spain will fear most. He is certain to swap the right wing for the left at some stage terrorize both Sergio Ramos and Joan Capdevila in equal measure. You can be sure that if Holland score, Robben will be involved.

Spain – Andres Iniesta

Iniesta has had a magnificent tournament and has the same devastating effect from attacking midfield for Spain as he does for Barcelona. His immaculate control, tremendous vision and pinpoint accuracy mark him out as the architect of all that is great about Spain. Once again, if Spain score you can guarantee Iniesta will not be far away.

Weather

Another chilly night is forecast in Johannesburg, but it is due to remain clear and free of rain for the tournament finale at Soccer City.

Stat Attack

Let’s get this out of the way. Paul the Octopus, the creature with the midas touch, has chosen Spain. He has a 100 percent record so far but this is the first time he’s predicted the result of a game that hasn’t featured Germany. Is that a sign? Probably not.

Spain have averaged 617 passes per game at the 2010 World Cup, the second best ratio behind Colombia who averaged 653 in 1994.

Players with the squad number 9 have scored more goals at the 2010 World Cup than any other - van Persie vs Torres?

The Soccer City Stadium in Johannesburg is the most prolific venue of the 2010 World Cup with 2.86 goals per game.

Only one of Netherlands’ six World Cup games has been played at altitude, while Spain has played three. Soccer City is 5751 feet above sea level.

Spain midfielder Xavi has touched the ball every 46 seconds on average at the World Cup so far; more frequently than any other player.

World Cup final referee Howard Webb averages fewer fouls per card (5.7) shown than any other referee who has done three games at the 2010. But he is yet to award a penalty or show a red card...

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PICKS FOR KICKS

Sunday’s Best World Cup Bet

Netherlands vs Spain

It seems like the oddsmakers think there’s a good chance this game will come down to penalties. The over/under goal total (2) and the payout for a draw in regulation (+237) suggests smart people see this game as being a low-scoring final.

There’s no denying Spain have looked better with each match at the 2010 World Cup. Whatever lapses they’ve had finishing, they’ve more than made up for with defensive stability.

The Dutch are talking like they are going to push and go after the ball. Netherlands forward Dirk Kuyt suggested that the Germans were done in by playing overly conservative against the Euro champs.

Like any soccer match, the outcome of this one will depend on the first goal – not which side scores it by when the first marker comes.

We think it’ll come in the first half, which leaves plenty of time for either side’s talented group of forwards to make up the difference.

Pick: Over

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CFL NEWS AND NOTES
CFL Football Betting: An Introduction
By SportsBettingWorld


The Canadian Football League (CFL) season starts tonight, and that gives us another option on the sports betting menu. Personally, I’ve always found the CFL a very profitable wagering opportunity but many fans–particularly in the US–aren’t very familiar with it. In this article we’ll talk about a few of the differences between CFL football and its NFL counterpart, and discuss a few basic betting concepts. We’ll expand on many of these as the season progresses as well as giving you free betting picks on the individual games.

CFL Football–The Basics:

Let’s start with the differences between CFL football and the US version of the game. For one thing, the ball used in the CFL is bigger than the NFL football. It’s slightly longer and fatter than the NFL football, and looks more like a rugby ball than anything else. The CFL field is longer (110 yards) and wider (65 yards compared to the NFL’s 53.5 yards), and the CFL end zones are deeper (20 yards). The CFL goal posts are on the goal line, while the NFL’s are at the back of the endzone.

The CFL game is played with 12 players on the field, with the extra player a receiver on offense and a defense back on defense. The CFL game gives teams 3 downs to move the ball ten yards as opposed to four (meaning you’ll hear that teams went ‘two and out’ as opposed to ‘three and out’). There are a few other subtle rule differences, but these are the biggest.

The Single:

There’s also one significant scoring difference–a team is awarded a single point for a missed field goal or a punt that lands in the end zone. This will occasionally produce scores that cause NFL fans to do a double take (its strange the first time you see a CFL game tied at 1-1). While it may seem that this point–known as ‘the single’ would wreak havoc with handicapping it doesn’t really impact the outcome of betting as often as you’d think. I actually can’t recall an experience where the outcome of a bet was determined by a ’single’ in over 10 years of handicapping Canadian football.

Canadian Player Quotas:

One of the more significant rules is enforced not on the field, but in the front office–teams are required to have a certain number of Canadian players on the roster. The CFL tweaks this number from time to time, but currently 19 of the 40 players on a roster must be Canadian born. The reason for this rule is to prevent the CFL from becoming purely a developmental league for aspiring NFL players and to help it retain its uniquely Canadian identity.

For the handicapper, the result is a greater amount of parity. College football in Canada isn’t played on the same level as in the US, so the talent pool that CFL teams can draw from to fulfill the Canadian player quota simply isn’t as deep. And while there’s been a number of US born players that have solid careers up north, for the most part they’re those who aren’t quite at the NFL level in terms of size or skill.

Those are the basic differences between the CFL brand of football and that played in the NFL. At the end of the day, however, its still football and a CFL bettor approaches handicapping in much the same way. In the next installment of this series we’ll look at some general handicapping concepts that have proven successful over time.

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BETTOR'S TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Sunday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines To Keep An Eye On

Braves at Mets – The home squad opened as a -150 favorite but a few markets have dropped that moneyline to -135.

Indians at Rays – Tampa surfaced as a -245 favorite in this contest but some shops have moved the number to -230.

Cubs at Dodgers – The total for this game has jumped to 8 after opening at 7.5.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Royals at White Sox – The National Weather Service projects a 13 mph wind to blow out to center field.

Who’s Hot

Atlanta is 7-2 in its last nine games.

The home team has won the last five games in the Montreal-Edmonton series (CFL).

Arizona has played to the OVER in 11 of its last 12 home games.

Who’s Not

Minnesota is 1-6 in its last seven contests.

The UNDER is 7-0-3 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 road games.

New York (WNBA) has played to four consecutive UNDERS.

Key Stat

10-5 – Over/under mark last season for MLB teams on the last day of play before the All-Star break.

Injury That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Orioles catcher Matt Wieters injured himself rounding second base in the fifth inning of Friday’s game. He hit second base awkwardly and limped to third, immediately leaving the game afterwards. The Baltimore Sun reports the injury as a right hamstring strain and he will be re-evaluated Saturday. The injury is to the same hamstring that caused the catcher to miss Thursday's game. Wieters is hitting .245 with six home runs and 29 RBIs this season.

Game Of The Day

Netherlands vs. Spain

Notable Quotable

"Dude, we're getting Cliff Lee. Cliff Lee!"
-- Rangers mild-mannered third baseman Michael Young told teammate Ian Kinsler upon learning the news of the acquisition of the lefty Friday.

Tips And Notes

- Spain has been a ball-hogging team throughout the World Cup. They’ve only given up two goals during the tournament and only one of the team’s six matches went OVER the posted total. Analysts and oddsmakers expect the final match to be a midfield battle and the total is set at 2. Spain has won its last four matches by one goal so they will be in a keep away mode should they get up on the Netherlands at any point in the game Sunday.

- Mets starting pitcher Mike Pelfrey is dealing with a dead arm. Before Saturday’s start Pelfrey said, “Every year, you just go through a little period where you don’t feel like the ball is coming out of your hand like it has that extra life on it.� Pelfrey was tagged for 12 hits and four earned runs in 4.0 innings of work in Saturday’s game against the Braves and bettors should be wary of backing him after the All-Star break.

- On the final day of baseball before the All-Star break, bettors really need to monitor lineups before placing a wager. Overnight betting lines are ill-advised because managers could end up giving players an extra day of rest going into the break. There are seven pitchers with fewer than five starts going Sunday and three of those guys will be making their first appearance of 2010. Additional starters and position players could be scratched so confirming lineups before making a bet is essential for hardball bettors looking for action on the final day of the first half.

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PAUL THE OCTOPUS
Spain To Win World Cup

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SPORTSLOTTERY
Spain To Win World Cup Final
Under 2.5 Game

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PAUL THE OCTOPUS

ON A 10-0 RUN

FUNNY HOW AN OCTOPUS CAN OUT PERFORM EVERYSINGLE ONE OF THESE GUYS

THINK ABOUT THAT BEFORE U PURCHACE ANOTHER SERVICE PLAY . LOL


Spain To Win World Cup

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Sampicks 41-26-3 (1-0)

SPAIN - NETHERLANDS take SPAIN 0,-0.5
Bet365 odds: 1.77
Best odds: 1.83 Pinnacle

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RW Sports 89-83-14 (yesterday no soccer bet)

spain to win world cup, 1.57 @ william hill

the next bet is a hedge to lock in profit on our holland futurebet which was holland to win world cup, @ 8.00

holland - spain, number of goals: 2, 3.40 @ bet365

holland - spain, spain 1-0, 6.50 @ ladbrokes

holland - spain, 1st half under 0.75 goals, 1.95 @ bet365

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Betting Pros 3-0 (1-0)

Spain v.s Holland - Back Spain (current odds = 2.12)

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Bulgarian Paid service"

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk:bet on Shamrock@1,75
Alta IF - Moss FK,bet on Alta 0, -0.5 @1.775(bet 365)

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GREEK SPORTS PICKS for 7/11

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Take the Washington Nationals -115 and Spain tomorrow in the World cup Final as these are our free plays.

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TONY LADUKE (betonepicks.com) Sunday 11th July

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another awesome player here!

TONY LADUKE
Hot-Ticket(Pow)
4*(mlb)Royals-133(List Greinke)

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WOOD BROTHERS
Hot-Ticket(Pow)
4*(mlb)Twins-120(List Pavano)

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NICK PARSONS


GAME: Netherlands @ Spain Jul 11, 2010 2:30PM
SPORT: Soccer Picks
PICK: over
REASON FOR PICK: There are many options when wagering on soccer; this play is based off Pinnacle Sports Book on the "over" 2 goals +101:

First off, I'd like to thank everyone that's joined me for the 2010 World Cup! It's truly been a special one for me. I've had many big *10* WINNERS including my ONE AND ONLY W.C. "TOTAL OF THE YEAR" on the Argentina/Germany "over" (4-0 German destruction) and my "GAME OF THE YEAR" on Netherlands over Uruguay!

I'm also JUST coming off my *10* "TOP TOTAL" on the Spain/Germany "under" (1-0 laugher).

I'm 17-8-5 (67%) with my paid/free 2010 World Cup picks…and guess what?! It's not over folks!

I've just posted my *10* WORLD CUP WINNER!

Don't miss out!

But back to business: What more can be said about these two sides that hasn't literally been said millions of times by every news and sporting agency across the globe already?

Netherlands is a massive underdog here as oddsmakers aren't giving them much of chance to score against the stingy Spaniards.

However, I believe the Dutch will find the back of the net in this one, which in turn will force Spain to open it up itself.

On the other side of the pitch: Remember, this is a Holland club that beat Brazil, and then a tough Uruguay team in the semi's, 3-2!

Some would suggest that the Netherlands haven't looked "up to par" in either of their last two victories and are "lucky" to be in the Final; to that I say: WHAT?!

Brazil is a monster; any team would have a tough time against it, including Spain. The fact that Netherlands knocked it off the way that they did is a testament to how deep and talented this club is.

Bottom line: Neither side has won the World Cup; I believe both will be pushing the tempo on Sunday; consider a second look at the OVER 2 goals +101 in the 2010 World Cup Final!

Good luck gentlemen…N Parsons

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Paul Leiner



50* Mets -135
25* Redsox -140

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Tigers
Dodgers

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GAMBLERS DATA
Red Sox -133

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Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Angels and Oakland

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Arthur Ralph Sports

477 - 351 run 58 %
Free play Sun Spain World cup

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Dave Cokin Comp
(973) KANSAS CITY ROYALS
(974) CHICAGO WHITE SOX
Take "(974) CHICAGO WHITE SOX"

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CFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY, JULY 11

Game 407-408: Montreal at Edmonton (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.323; Edmonton 111.249
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 3; 55
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+5 1/2); Over

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Sunday Night Baseball: Cubs at Dodgers

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (-140, 8)

The final game before the 2010 MLB All-Star game takes place Sunday night at Chavez Ravine where the Dodgers host the Cubs. Let’s see how this game shapes up.

Furcal en fuego

After going 3-for-3 in the Thursday night series opener against the Cubs, shortstop Rafael Furcal was hitting .429 with a 1.201 slugging percentage since returning from his bereavement leave on June 23.

Furcal, who lost his father in a tragic equine accident, was named NL Player of the Week and is enjoying a career year. He was extremely close to his dad and is dedicating the rest of the season in his honor.

After the leadoff man’s 12-game streak of scoring a run - the longest since the Dodgers moved to Los Angeles - and 10-game hit streak ended Wednesday, he bounced right back with the big performance Thursday.

"He's made such a big difference in our ballclub," said Los Angeles manager Joe Torre.

Man power shortage

Dodgers slugger Manny Ramirez went on the 15-day disabled list retroactive to June 30 with a strained right hamstring. He is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment with Class-A Inland Empire on July 10.

Barring a setback, Ramirez will likely be activated from the disabled list when he's eligible July 15, the day the Dodgers return from the All-Star break.

"To me, there's no reason to gamble. We already had lost him for six games. For the tradeoff of having him as a pinch-hitter, I thought this was safer. When the second half starts, we won't have time to nurse him," said Torre.

Clearing house

Several baseball sources have confirmed that the Cubs are ramping up their efforts in the trade market to start clearing the books of unwieldy salaries.

The problem is, who wants what the Cubs are selling?

• A sore-armed spot starter/middle reliever with more than $30 million left on his contract and a reputation as a hothead (Carlos Zambrano).

• A broken-down corner infielder due $14.6 million next season, hitting .204 with nine homers and 30 RBIs (Aramis Ramirez).

• A former All-Star first baseman who has only what's left on his $13 million contract for this season, but is hitting .230 with 10 home runs and 36 RBIs (Derrek Lee).

• A .276 hitting outfielder with 15 homers and 43 RBIs, but a major liability in any defensive position that is under contract through 2014 at $18 million per year - with a full no-trade clause (Alfonso Soriano).

"It has been very difficult for the family and the team the first half of the season," Cubs chairman Tom Ricketts told season ticket holders Thursday at Wrigley Field. "This is not where the family wanted to be in the first half of the season.�

Arms race

Chicago right-hander Carlos Silva worked 6.0 innings in his last start, snapping a four-game, team start loss skid in a 6-4 win at Arizona.

Silva left after experiencing some pain behind his knee. He has had various aches and pains for most of the season but has been able to pitch through them for the most part.

The Cubs are 11-5 in Silva’s 16 starts this season, including 5-2 on the road.

Silva, 2-5 in his last seven-team starts during July, is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA in his career starts against the Dodgers.

After a rugged 1-5 effort in his first six-team starts for the Dodgers this season, veteran right-hander Vicente Padilla is 2-0 in his last two outings.

Padilla has been in commanding strikeout-walk ratio with 33 strikeouts and three walks in his last five starts. He has cashed in four of six-career team starts against the Cubs.

Parting thought

The Dodgers have ruled this series of late, going 12-6 the last 18 games entering the weekend, including 5-1 at home.

Chicago had won 14 of its previous17 road games in July prior to its series opening defeat to the Dodgers Thursday night.

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Offshore Connection

SF Giants (Bamgarner) over Washington (Hernandez)

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Fantasy Sports Gametime









Sunday Baseball



100* Play NY Yankees (-235) over Seattle
Game starts at 4:10 PM EST



New York has won 7 of the last 8 games and they have also won 10 of the last 12 road games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs. C.C. Sabathia has won 18 of the last 20 games as a road favorite of -175 or higher and he is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 1.14.



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50* Play Tampa Bay (-230) over Cleveland

Game starts at 1:40 PM EST



Cleveland has lost 9 of the last 12 games vs. Tampa Bay on the road and they have also lost 15 of the last 19 games as an underdog of +175 to +250. Justin Masterson has lost 17 of the last 21 road games and he is 1-5 in road games this season with an ERA of 6.70.



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50* Play Milwaukee (-180) over Pittsburgh

Game starts at 7:10 PM EST



Pittsburgh has lost 18 of the last 20 games vs. Milwaukee on the road and they have also lost 22 of the last 26 road games as an underdog of +125 to +200. Pittsburgh has lost 6 of the last 7 overall games and they have also lost 14 of the last 17 games after batting .225 or worse over the last 10 games.



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Canadian Football



100* Play Montreal (-5) over Edmonton

Game starts at 7:00 PM EST



Montreal has won 16 of the last 18 games coming off a road game and they have won 23 of the last 27 games when playing in the 1st two weeks of the season. Montreal has won 10 of the last 12 games when playing on a Sunday and they have also won 7 of the last 8 games coming off a road loss.

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TOM FREESE
Free play

Minnesota starter Carl Pavano has allowed 3 or less runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. The Twins are 13-6 their last 10 games as road favorites and they are 44-21 their last 65 games as favorites. Minnesota is 35-16 vs. AL Central teams and they are 28-10 their last 38 games as favorites of -110 to -150. Detroit starter Andy Oliver has allowed 13 runs in 13.2 innings of work in his 3 starts this year. The Tigers are 3-7 their last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP off less than 1.15 and they are 3-8 their last 11 games as underdogs. PLAY MINNESOTA (Pavano vs. Oliver)

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EZWINNERS COMP

(969) Boston Red Sox -$125

The Red Sox send Daisuke Matsuzaka to the mound for this start against Toronto. Dice K has not been pitching his best lately, but he has great numbers against Toronto in his career. Dice K is 1-0 this season against the Blue Jays with an ERA of only 1.29 and in eight career starts Dice K is 5-1 against Toronto with an ERA of 3.51. Toronto sends Jesse Litsch to the mound for this last game before the All Star break and Litsch has been struggling. In his last three starts Litsch is 0-2 and has an ERA of 7.63. The Red Sox bats are hot and I look for them to give Dice K plenty of run support in this game. Play on Boston.

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KIKI SPORTS Full Card

Sunday July 11th

1 unit Atlanta/ Mets UNDER 7.5
2 units San Fran +105
1 unit Colorado -130

WORLD CUP FINAL :
2 units Spain +100

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Sunday, July 11

Hot pitchers
-- Santana is 1-0, 0.56 in his last two starts; Mets are 7-1 if they give him three or more runs (1-8 if not). Lowe has a 2.97 RA in his last five starts.
-- Nationals won last eight LHernandez home starts. Bumgarner has 3.27 RA in his first three big league starts.
-- WRodriguez is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
-- Richard is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Padilla is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts. Silva is 1-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.

-- Pavano is 4-0, 2.96 in his last six starts.
-- Niemann has 2.42 RA in his last four starts.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 3.69 in his last five starts.
-- Wilson is 2-1, 2.41 in his last four starts.
-- Cahill is 7-1, 2.78 in his last ten starts. Weaver is 2-1, 1.98 in his last four starts.
-- Sabathia is 7-0, 2.05 in his last seven starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Maloney allowed three runs in 5.2 IP in his first '10 start, a 3-0 loss. Hamels is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts.
-- Wolf is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
-- Lincoln is 1-2, 5.63 in four road starts.
-- Francis is 0-1, 9.15 in his last four starts. Hawksworth is 1-2, 5.85 in four starts this season.
-- Sanabia has thrown 8.1 big league innings, all in relief, allowing four runs; he was 5-1, 2.03 in 14 starts in AA Southern League. Enright is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts, pitching total of 10.2 innings.

-- Oliver is 0-2, 8.56 in three starts this season.
-- Indians lost seven of last eight Masterson road starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 0-1, 5.63 in his last three starts. Litsch is 0-3, 7.30 in his five starts this season.
-- Arrieta is 0-2, 7.78 in his last four starts.
-- DHudson was 1-1, 3.38 in 18.2 IP in majors LY, starting two games; he is 11-4, 3.27 in 17 AAA starts this year.
-- Rowland-Smith is 1-8, 6.98 in his last ten starts.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve San Francisco road games went over.
-- Under is 14-5-1 in last 20 Cincinnati road games.
-- Under is 11-3-2 in last sixteen Atlanta games.
-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Houston games.
-- Under is 7-0-3 in last ten Pittsburgh road games.
-- Eight of last eleven games at Coors Field went over the total.
-- 11 of last 13 Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Six of Cubs' last seven road games went over the total.

-- Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Toronto games.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen games at Comerica Park.
-- Over is 7-4 in last eleven Cleveland road games.
-- Over is 14-6 in last 20 Baltimore games.
-- Under is 8-3 in White Sox' last eleven home games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Oakland home games.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Bronx road games.

Hot Teams
-- Giants won five of their last six games. Nationals won four of their five rubber games at home.
-- Phillies are 9-3 in last eleven home games.
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games.
-- Astros won six of their last seven home games.
-- Rockies won 15 of their last 18 home games.
-- Florida is 7-4 in rubber game of a series, 4-2 on road.
-- Dodgers are 8-4 in their last twelve games. Cubs won five of their last seven road games.

-- Tigers won seven of their last eight games.
-- Rays won nine of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox won last seven games, allowing total of 11 runs. Royals are 8-4 in their last twelve games, 6-3 in last nine on road.
-- Orioles won their last three games, scoring 19 runs.
-- Bronx won nine of its last eleven road games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost last three games, scoring a total of three runs.
-- Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Reds lost their last three games, all on walk-off hits.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Brewers lost five of last seven home games. Pirates lost 20 of their last 22 road games, scoring eight runs in last four.
-- Diamondbacks lost six of their last eight games.

-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games. Toronto is 3-9 in its last 13.
-- Twins lost six of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Rangers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Angels lost seven of last nine games. A's lost four of last five.
-- Mariners lost six of their last seven home games.

Umpires
-- Atl-NY-- Underdog won five of last six (+$467)Darling games.
-- SF-Wsh-- Under is 11-3 in last fourteen Wolf games.
-- Cin-Phil-- Over is 5-0-1 in last six Tichenor games.
-- StL-Hst-- Seven of last nine Fletcher games stayed under the total.
-- Pitt-Mil-- There are no trends that stand out about ump Guccione
-- SD-Col-- Five of last six Hickox games went over the total.
-- Fla-Az-- Four of last five Hernandez games stayed under total.
-- Chi-LA-- Last six Layne games stayed under the total.

-- Bos-Tor-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.
-- Min-Det-- Under is 8-4 in last dozen Cooper games.
-- KC-Chi-- Five of last seven Knight games stayed under total.
-- Clev-TB-- Last five Barry games went over the total.
-- Blt-Tex-- Underdog is 4-2 (+$597) in last six Iassogna games.
-- LA-A's-- Underdog is 10-4 (+$1,053) in last 14 Randazzo games.
-- NY-Sea-- Five of last seven Rapuano games stayed under total.

[spook]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Braves again Saturday. Sunday it's the Braves.

The deficit is 680 sirignanos

[spook]

Hondo

Slumping Hondo staggered to his fourth straight de feat yesterday when the Dodgers went down meekly against the Cubs, causing the deficit to expand to 970 torgesons.

Today, he'll close out the front nine by double-dip ping with the Braves and Cubs -- 10 units apiece on Lowe and Silva.

[spook]

Jeff Benton sunday

2-0 yesterday PLUS 40 dimes OR $460. overall, 75-87-3 MINUS 210 dimes.

Sunday's Action 20 DIME selection on the Philadelphia Phillies on the run line (-1½ runs) over the Reds. Note that all run-line plays reqaire listing starting pitchers, so both Philadelphia’s Cole Hamels and Cincinnati’s Matt Maloney must start or this play is VOID. As I releaese this play, the Phillies are catohing a +125 price on the run line.


Phillies (-1½)

I know that Cole Hamels hasn’t been a very bettor-friendly pitcher this season. He’s 6-7 with a 4.05 ERA, and the Phillies are 8-9 when he pitches, including 1-7 in his last eight starts (0-4 last four, all as a favorite). However, Hamels has been strong at home, posting a 3.07 ERA and alloaing just 48 hits and 14 walks in 55 2/3 innings (1.11 WHIP).

More importantly, he has flat-out owned the Cincinnati Reds in his career, going 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA and a 0.86 WHIP in six career starts. Not only did the Phillies win all six games, but five were multiple-run victories. And in two career home starts against the Reds – one in 2008, one in 2009 – Hamels surrenedered just one run, six hits and three walks in 16 innings. The final scores of those two games: 5-0 and 22-1!

Collectively, the Reds are batting just .150 in 43 innings against Hamels, and that includes Brandon Phillips (2-for-18), Joey Votto (1-for-6) and Jay Bruce (1-for-9). The one Red who has had at least a little success against Hamels is Scott Rolen (3-for-10, 2 RBIs), but Rolen is expected to miss his third straight game with a back injury.

While the Phillies have won just eight times in Hamels’ 17 starts this season, six of those victories have covered the run line (including three of four at home). In fact, 13 of Philadelphia’s last 17 wins – including seven of the last nine – have been by more than one run.

Finally, this game concledes a 10-game road trip for Cincinnati – it has lost five of the last eight, including consecutive defeats the last two nights – and it comes one day before the All-Star break (in other words, don’t be surprised if the Reds lack a little focus here). On top of that, Cincy is going with Matt Malony on the mound, and this is just the lefty’s second big-league appearance of the season. The first came Wednesday at the Mets, and the Reds lost 3-0, falling to 2-5 in Maloney’s last seven starts going back to June 2000, with Maloney posting a 5.13 ERA in those seven games.

[spook]

Stephen Nover Comp

I am 38-22-1 on my free selections through Friday. On the big Sunday card, I like the Giants with rookie Madison Bumgarner to beat the Nationals and veteran Livan Hernandez.

Bumgarner hasn't even turned 21 yet, but he's already displayed enough maturity and stuff to show why he was rated as San Francisco's top pitching prospect.

He was 7-1 with a 3.16 ERA in Triple A this season. This will be his fourth big league start this year and third in a row on the road.

Bumgarner's last two starts have been at strong hitter's parks, Coors Field in Colorado and Miller Park in Milwaukee. Bumgarner held those two clubs to a combined three earned runs in 15 innings. He has a 15-5 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his three starts.

Hernandez has hung in for Washington. His ERA is a very decent 3.12. But I expect Hernandez to fade in the second half. He has just 55 strikeouts in 112 2/3 innings.

Hernandez's lifetime ERA against San Francisco is 4.40. The Giants went into the weekend having beaten the Nationals in 13 of the past 17 meetings.
2? SAN FRANCISCO (WITH BOTH PITCHERS LISTED)

[spook]

Mr A

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco Giants (46-41) at Washington Nationals (39-49)
(L) Madison Bumgarner (1-2) vs. (R) Livan Hernandez (6-4)
San Francisco Giants +110
Oddsmakers line:
Washington as a -120 home favorite over San Francisco with the total listed at 8½'over'

Sunday, July 11, 2010 2:10 p.m. est.
Pittsburgh Pirates (30-57) at Milwaukee Brewers (39-49)
(R) Brad Lincoln (1-3) vs. (L) Randy Wolf (6-8)
Milwaukee Brewers -180
Oddsmakers line:

[spook]

Michael Cannon
Free play

I am 74-66 with my last 140 overall free plays.

Take the Padres for the road win over the Rockies.

I don’t see Colorado sweeping San Diego. Not with Jeff Francis pitching.

Francis is 0-1 with an 8.69 ERA in his last four starts. The left-hander was pounded for eight runs and seven hits in just three innings in a 13-3 loss at San Diego on June 30.

Keep in mind that’s a pitcher’s park we’re talking about there.

In his career Francis is a dismal 2-5 with a 6.19 ERA in eight home starts against the Padres.

San Diego will counter with Clayton Richard, who is 6-4 with a 3.00 ERA on the year. The left-hander started opposite Francis in that 13-3 win and finished with a career-best 10 strikeouts in the victory. Richard will try to prevent the Rockies from getting the series sweep and keep the Padres in sole possession of first place in the NL West heading into the All-Star break.

I say he gets it done.

Take the Padres for the road win.
3? SAN DIEGO

[spook]

Sr Computer Picks 155-102 YTD went 3-0 Saturday

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, July 11th, 2010

Time Game Best Bets *** Selection
1:40 p.m. Cleveland Indians at Tampa Bay Rays
(R) Justin Masterson (3-8) vs. (R) Jeff Niemann (7-2)
Tampa Bay Rays -240

3:10 p.m. San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
(L) Clayton Richard (6-4) vs. (L) Jeff Francis (2-3) Colorado Rockies -130

4:10 p.m. New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners
(L) CC Sabathia (11-3) vs. (L) Ryan Rowland-Smith (1-8)
New York Yankees -240

[spook]

Wicked Good Wagers

17-8 this week, +36 UNITS for a 5 UNIT bettor.

Here are today's picks:

MLB

Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
Colorado Rockies PICK
N.Y. Yankees -1.5

Note: Wager to win evenly across all 3 picks.

[spook]

ROCKETMAN
Free play

Play On: LA Angels -105 (Weaver/Cahill) Listed

LA Angels are 45-22 the past 3 years when playing on Sunday. LA Angels are 86-37 in days games the past 3 years. LA Angels are 41-20 in the month of July the past 3 years. Oakland is 14-31 since 1997 and 4-15 the past 3 years when the total is 7 or less. Oakland has lost 4 of their last 5 games overall. Jered Weaver is 8-4 with a 2.97 ERA overall this year and has a 2.66 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on the LA Angels today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky

[spook]

Jeff Alexander
Free play

1 Unit on Red Sox -125
Boston is struggling through some injuries right now, but they've got a good chance to pick up a win against Jess Litsch and the Blue Jays Sunday. Litsch is 0-3 in 5 starts this season with a 7.30 ERA and 1.58 WHIP. The Red Sox send Dice-K to the mound and while he doesn't have great numbers, he's still winning games for the Sox. Over 11 starts, Dice K is 5-3 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. The Red Sox might be banged up, but they should be able to get to Litsch enough to give Dice K some cushion to pick up the victory.

[spook]

NEWYORK SPORTS INVESTORS
Our complimentary selection for Sunday, July 11 is:
Oakland Athletics/LA.Angels Under 7
Rated: a 10* Selection
(based on a 1? to a 10? Rating)

[spook]

Baseball Prophet

Boston/Toronto over 9.5

[spook]

HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 11th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[961] San Diego |8*|-180|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|3:10 pm EST

[954] SF/WAS |8*|UNDER|8.5 Runs|Network N/A|1:35 pm EST

[976] Texas |8*|-155|-1.5 RL|Network N/A|3:05 pm EST

[spook]

JR ODonnell | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 3:10 PM

double-dime bet 961 SDP (-110) BetUS vs 962 COL
Analysis:
2* J Hawk Winner = Sandy Padres in a great spot here gang!!

Padres feast on lefties +110 is an nice nice price for a winner here on the Padres!!

C Richard grabs our spotlight as Clayton Richard 6-4, 3.00 ERA will be looking to post a win vs the Colorado Rockies for the second time in less than 2 weeks. Looking @ the Rockies lefty Jeff Francis 2-3, and a 5.12 ERA and Rockies will struggle against the Richard show. The Rockies Francis was pounded by St Louie last outing. The Sandy Padres are the sharp side today

[spook]

Marc Lawrence | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:05 PM

triple-dime bet 967 MIN (-120) BetUS vs 968 DET
Analysis: Play On: Minnesota w/Pavano (Game 967)
Note: Since joining the Twins last season, Carl Pavano has been a rock-solid money maker, cashing 10 of his 15 road starts for Minnesota. He enters today's game with team starts wins in five of his last six starts, including 3-0 his last three away. He is also 6-2 his last eight team starts in July and 5-2 with a 2.88 ERA in his career team starts against the Tigers. With that, look for the Twins to improve to 5-2 in their last seven games on this field here this afternoon. We recommend a 3-unit play on Minnesota.

[spook]

Andre Gomes | MLB Total Sun, 07/11/10 - 3:05 PM

dime bet 975 BAL / 976 TEX Over 16 Bodog
Analysis:
World Cup Soccer: Netherlands vs Spain


*Single Dime Play*

Pick: 3 units (Single Dime Play) on Over 2 Goals @ -108 on the greek

[spook]

Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 4:10 PM

dime bet 964 ARI (-110) Bodog vs 963 FLA
Analysis: Here's what you need to know about Alex Sanabia.. He's young, extremely small, but an outstanding sleeper prospect. He was picked up in the 32nd round of the Amateur Draft, and at only the age of 21 he's found his way into the big leagues. The kid only throws between 86-89, he really doesn't have much weight to put behind that fastball (160 pounds). When he commands it, he's good. It has a good tail on it, not much sink, but enough movement to get it off the plate against lefties and in on the hands against righties. The problem is, his immaturity and youth have caused him to try and overthrow it often. When he tries to throw 90, he leaves the ball up in the zone, and he gets hit hard. That's the issue I have with him in his first major league start. At just 21 years old, there is no doubt the kid will be nervous, this is a lot different than the clean up duty he's been doing in the bullpen in his other two appearances. I expect him to try and do too much out there when it comes to the fastball and leave that thing high in the zone, which is deadly in Arizona against those power bats of the Diamondbacks. He has good offspeed stuff, and that's been his key in the minor league's, but in the majors, hitters are more likely to catch on. I simply don't see the kid not overthrowing in his first start in the majors, and overthrowing big trouble for Sanabia. I expect him to certainly not go deep in the game, and that Florida middle relief staff is definitely nothing to hang your hat on.

On the other side, Barry Enright has been very impressive to me so far. He's not a flame thrower by any means, but he pitches very very well. When I say pitches, I mean he doesn't just go up there and throw, he sets up hitters very well, and locates all of his pitches with ease and consistency. Florida's lineup lacks patience and discipline, so a guy with a plan can go a long way against the Marlins.

Obviously the Arizona pen is a concern, but I truly believe that Marlins middle relief crew is the spot people should be concerned with here. They are just as bad as the back end of the Arizona pen, believe it or not.

At the end of the day, Alex Sanabia is a 32nd round pick that has moved his way to the bigs very very quickly. Too quickly in my opinion. He'll struggle in his first start, and the poor middle relief unit of the Marlins will do so as well. Take Arizona for 1.5 units!

[spook]

spartan | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 2:05 PM

double-dime bet 958 HOU (-105) Sportbet vs 957 STL
Analysis: The Cardinals need this all star break in the worst way. Nobody truly expected their opponents today, the Astros to be serious contenders but most did envision St Louis making a strong bid for the World Series. Fact is they are still very much in contention for their division but the Reds have been very surprising and chances are will be right there with the Cardinals right down the stretch. In my view we have a pitching mis match here with Hawksworth and Rodriquez. Wandy got off to a slow start but has clearly started to come around of late. He is 3-0 with a sparkling 0.90 era his last few outings for Houston. St Louis has dropped 7 of their last 9 away from Busch Stadium and I have to take my fan hat off today, I see the Astros prevailing here guys. With Wandy looking like his old self and the Astros success this season already facing the Cards they are the correct play today.

[spook]

guys i will be out for about 2 hours please post whatever you find!!

[Mr. IWS]

Billy Coleman
4 S.F. under
3 Minn.
3 St.L.
3 Mets under

[Mr. IWS]

ASA's



PLAY ON Detroit (Oliver) on the money line vs. Minnesota (Pavano), Sunday at 1:05 PM EST

The home team has won nine of the last ten meetings between these teams and Detroit should be in position to extend its lead in the AL Central even further. Minnesota had led the division most of the season but the Twins are in a nasty 5-13 rut, including going 2-9 in the last eleven road games. Minnesota?s offense has gone cold, failing to top five runs in 15 of the last 19 games and with MVP candidate Justin Morneau still out of the lineup the Twins appear much less potent.

In the last ten games the Twins are batting only .244 against left-handed pitching and rookie Andrew Oliver pitched a decent game against Minnesota two starts ago. In that effort he took the loss but allowed just two earned runs in six innings. Oliver is yet to pick up a win but two of his three big league starts have been solid efforts. Detroit is also backed up by an outstanding bullpen that holds a 2.92 ERA at home for the season.

Detroit?s offense has been on a tear, winning seven of the last eight games while scoring 48 runs in that span. The Tigers are hitting .298 as a team in the last ten games and that is not far off the season numbers as the Tigers are batting .288 for the season at home. The Tigers are 32-12 for the season at Comerica Park and 68-32 in the last 100 home games going back to last season. Detroit is also 7-4 as home underdogs this season and veteran starter Carl Pavano may be getting too much respect here with the struggles his teammates have had.

Pavano has enjoyed a nice season to re-establish his career but the Twins are just 8-7 in his last 15 starts. Five times in that span he has allowed four or more runs including his most recent start. The Tigers also beat Pavano earlier this season in Detroit. Minnesota?s bullpen has solid season numbers but there have been several recent games where the pen has not done the job and the ERA over the last ten games is a full point higher than for the season. Given the long losing streak for the Twins, Detroit is an attractive home underdog in this match-up.

Best of Luck, ASA.

[Mr. IWS]

Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in Chicago-AL vs Kansas City @ 2:05 ET: Hudson vs Greinke – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


Yesterday’s game stayed under the total but the Royals are 7-4 to the over this season when they are on the road and the posted total is 8 or 8.5 runs. Also, Kansas City is 8-3 to the over in Sunday games this season which makes sense since Sunday games are usually day games and the Royals are a rock solid 17-9 to the over in day games this season. Also, Kansas City is 21-11 to the over in divisional games this season. The White Sox are 8-5 to the over this season in Sunday games and they enter Sunday’s action having scored five runs or more in seven of their last ten games. They’ve been getting fantastic pitching and that is a key as to why they’ve still been playing to the under with great regularity recently. However, that solid pitching run likely comes to an end today and that – couple with a hot ChiSox offense – is what keys this selection on the over Sunday.

The White Sox are sending rookie right-hander Daniel Hudson to the mound. Yes, he pitched well in spring training for the Sox, and yes he’s pitched well at the AAA level in the minors this season. However, neither one of those situations is the same as facing major league hitting in a regular season setting. The Royals have averaged 10.4 hits per game their last 12 games and we look for them to get to the 23 year old rookie early and often. Though Hudson pitched for the ChiSox last season, he only pitched in six games (two starts) and he totaled less than 20 innings of work. He walked 9 batters in 11 innings in his two starts and we feel nerves were an issue then and will be an issue again today as well. As for the Royals, they send starting pitcher Zack Greinke to the bump this afternoon. Greinke just faced the White Sox on June 30th and he got clobbered for six earned runs in that outing. Also, that outing came at home and he now has to give them a quick second look at US Cellular Field where the Royals right-hander is 1-7 with a 6.48 ERA and has given up 13 homers in 50 career innings! Greinke has not fared well at all in south Chicago and he’s backed by a Royals bullpen whose relievers have been hit at a .263 clip this season and that ranks 22nd among the 30 MLB teams! The Royals are 5-0 (100%) to the over in Greinke’s starts against divisional opponents. We see no reason to expect that trend to change this afternoon! Play OVER the total in the Chicago White Sox game as a *10* Top Play selection.





Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7* (Regular Play) OVER in Detroit vs Minnesota @ 1:05 ET: Oliver vs Pavano – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


With yesterday’s over, the Twins have gone 7 straight games without an under. Overall, Minnesota is 7-1-1 to the over this month and we look for another high-scoring affair in this one. The red-hot Tigers offense just won’t slow down and Detroit has averaged 6.4 runs per game in their last 8 games! The Tigers are on a 5-1 run to the over and they continue to be the best home team in the majors. Though we look for them to again hit the ball well today, we certainly wouldn’t advise backing them as a side play no matter how hot their offense has been. We say that because Andy Oliver is getting the start for Detroit this afternoon and he’s a 22 year old rookie southpaw that has struggled so far at the MLB level. Making matters worse for Oliver is that the Twins just faced him on the last day of June so they are already familiar with him. Oliver is getting hit at a .321 clip so far at the MLB level and we look for more of the same this afternoon.

As for the Twins starting pitcher, they are sending Carl Pavano to the mound this afternoon. Though he’s having a solid season and also has good career numbers against the Tigers, Pavano has shown signs of wearing down a bit in his last two starts. Each of his last two starts Pavano has lasted 6.1 innings and he gave up 9 runs (8 earned) on 15 hits (including 3 homers) in those two starts. The Tigers have averaged 6.4 runs per game in their last 7 games against right-handed starters and they should have no trouble with the offerings of Pavano in this one as his recent fade continues. The Twins have allowed at least six runs in seven straight games! Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 5.49 ERA since June 18th and that certainly ranks among the worst in the majors! On another warm afternoon at Comerica Park, the runs continue to pile up! Play OVER the total in Detroit as a *7* Regular Play selection.

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Total Sun, 07/11/10 - 8:05 PM

triple-dime bet 965 CHC / 966 LOS Over 7.5 Bodog
Analysis: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over":


*10* NL O/U "TOP PLAY"

[Mr. IWS]

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 8:05 PM

triple-dime bet 966 LOS (-140) Bodog vs 965 CHC
Analysis:
Play on LA Dodgers at 8:05 EST – the Cubs and Dodgers play the final game of this four game series tonight in LA. The Cubs won the first two games of this series, but last night the Dodgers took the win 7-3. Tonight, good pitching matchup on ESPN with Silva opposing Padilla. Silva has been rock solid all season with a 2.96 ERA and 11-5 team start record. However, tonight he’s going to get out pitched by the LA righty Padilla. He pitched four games to start the season, but was injured and had to take two months off. He made his first start back in Fenway Park and the Red Sox roughed him up for four earned runs in only 5 1/3 innings of work. However, since that one start he’s been very tough in three outings posting a 2.18 ERA and remarkable 0.822 WHIP. In 20 2/3 innings of work he’s whiffed 21 opposing batters. As we noted the Cubs Padilla has a very strong ERA on the season, however the Dodgers have performed very well this season when facing an opposing pitcher with a 3.50 or better ERA posting a 12-4 record. The Cubs don’t get many extra base hits and LA’s Padilla is tough against teams that average 2.75 or less extra base hits per game posting a 21-9 team start record. Good Luck. Vegas Icon Pick on LA Dodgers!

[golden contender]

On Sunday the free play is on the Washington Nationals. Game 954 at 1:35 eastern. The Nationals blowout loss on Saturday sets them up in a solid system here today. What we want to do is play on certain home teams off a home dog loss by 5 or more runs if they scored 5 or more runs and our opponent is off a road favored win and scored 10 or more runs. This system has been very successful the past few years. The Nationals should take the rubber game here today as they have L. Hernandez making that start. The Nationals have won 9 of his 10 home starts this year and he has a 2.10 home era. Today Hernandez takes on San Francisco lefty Bumgarner. Washington hits left handed pitching better than rightys and have a solid 2.95 home bullpen era. With the Giants having lost 11 of 17 times on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 we will take the Nationals here today. On Sunday don't miss my MLB non division Game of the week backed with a cutting edge 100% Power system that wins by 3.3 runs per game and my Never lost World Cup Power angle. Saturday swept and we are on Major roll in bases. For the free play on Sunday take the Washington Nationals. BOL GC

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

Twins (Solid Gold Play)

Angels under 7

[Mr. IWS]

executive 250-ariz

[Mr. IWS]

Rocketman

4* Boston

[Mr. IWS]

The ASIAn Executive


World Cup Lock of the Millenium - Spain

MLB Total Lock of the Year - SD/COL Under

MLB Lock of the Month - Twins

Waive The Rating Blank Check Christmas in July - Red Sox
---First Blank Check of Career---

CFL Best Bet of the Day - Edmonton

WNBA Best Bet of the Day - New York

[Mr. IWS]

NSA

20 boston-125
20 braves+125
20 yanks-1.5rl-145

[BKK]

The ASIAn Executive


World Cup Lock of the Millenium - Spain

MLB Total Lock of the Year - SD/COL Under

MLB Lock of the Month - Twins

Waive The Rating Blank Check Christmas in July - Red Sox
---First Blank Check of Career---

CFL Best Bet of the Day - Edmonton

WNBA Best Bet of the Day - New York



this guy is the worst... SAT he had a LOCK OF THIS GENERATION on the BC lions in CFL, they lost by 20

[Mr. IWS]

Dave Cokin

Matchup: Minnesota at Detroit
Time: 1:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) PAVANO, C vs. (L) OLIVER, A

Play: Minnesota (ML -115) Solid Gold Play

The Twins are definitely limping into the break, and they're having to wind thing up with another game against the surging Tigers. Detroit is playing ridiculous ball at home, so this is no cinch. But I have to believe the Twins are looking at this as a very important game, and Carl Pavano has actually been their money pitcher so far this season. On the flip side, rookie Andy Oliver looks like a good prospect but the Motown lefty has been a little overmatched so far and I like the Twins to get to him today. Road favorites trying to avoid getting swept in a three-game set are a very profitable 15-9 for the season, and I'm going to back that trend and lay the moderate price with the Twins.



Matchup: L.A. Angels at Oakland
Time: 4:05 PM EDT (Sun)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) WEAVER, J vs. (R) CAHILL, T

Play: Under (7 -110)

All the ingredients for a dynamite pitching duel are in place as the Angels close their series with the A's. As noted on several prior occasions, Jered Weaver is a very dominant day game pitcher, and his 2.01 ERA this year under the sun is evidence the trend is continuing. Trevor Cahill has been lights out in daytime games as well, fashioning a brilliant 1.95 ERA, and the hot Oakland righty has a great chance to contain a Halos lineup that presently has some serious holes. Umpire Tony Randazzo is pretty neutral, so no real concern with him. There's always a little worry about Unders when the Angels bullpen gets involved, but I expect both starters to be in control today, so even at low number, playing the Angels and A's to stay Under is the selection for me.

[Mr. IWS]

MTI Sports

Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports

Game: Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies Jul 11 2010 1:35PM
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds
Reason: The Phillies have won three straight and are attempting a four-game sweep of the Reds here. Four out of the last five Phillies’ games have went to extra frames. We’ll grab the big price in this spot.
In Cole Hamels’ last start, the Phillies lost 6-3 as a 135 favorite in extra innings. Hamels had a quality start, but the Phillies offense did score enough to reward him. This has not been a good situation for the Phillies. In fact, Philadelphia is 0-7 when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite after losing as a home favorite in his last start. His last four starts in this spot were all non-quality starts and he was a 140+ favorite in each.

Also, Philadelphia is 0-6 when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite and he is off a quality start in which they lost and 0-8 as a favorite of less than 200 in the afternoon. Yikes.

The Reds are a very nice 9-1 as a DOG of less than 200 in the last game of a series while the Phillies are a dismal 0-5 as a 160+ favorite in the last game of a home series. The lone blemish in the Reds’ 9-1 record mentioned above came when they took a 9-3 lead into the bottom of the ninth against the Braves, but lost 10-9.

The Phillies have lost Hamels’ last four starts and they have trouble turning things around for a starter. In fact, the Phillies are 0-7 as a 140+ favorite when they lost their starter’s last two starts, with the last five coming from THIS season.

Finally, the Phillies are 0-7 as a favorite of at least 150 after an extra inning win in which they allowed fewer than six runs.

Maloney was the victim of a 3-0 shutout in his last start vs Johan Santana in New York. The Reds “pick-up� their starter in this spot, as they are a perfect 5-0 as a road dog of more than 150 when they scored two or fewer runs in their starter’s last start. The opposing starters in these five games were: Lilly, Lincecum, Cain, Lowe and Penny. We like the Reds’ chances here.

MTi’s FORECAST: Cincinnati 5 PHILADELPHIA 3

[harley1]

BKK fball jesus would be appreciated once again ::thumbup::

[Mr. IWS]

Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-July 11th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*************************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*************************

[976] Texas |5*|-140|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|3:05 pm EST

[972] Tampa Bay |2*|-115|-1.5 Runs|Network N/A|1:40 pm EST

[951] Atlanta |2*|+134|B+0|Network N/A|1:10 pm EST

[Mr. IWS]

BOB BALFE

Spain +105

Spain/Netherlands Under 2.5

It all comes down to this! These two teams are evenly matched, but the key to this game will is winning the time of possession category. Look for Spain to strike first and control the clock once they get ahead. This should be a great World Cup final with the Spanish taking home the glory. Take Spain and the Under.

[harley1]

Teddy Covers
Padres/Rockies over 9

[Mr. IWS]

DAVID MALINSKY

4* DETROIT over MINNESOTA

Yesterday we noted the major difference in form between these teams in cashing an easy ticket behind the Tigers, a game in which they jumped to a 2-0 lead in the first inning and never trailed, and through the first two games of this series they have doubled the Twins in runs despite having six fewer outs to work with. That makes this price range impossible to pass up, as a Detroit team on a 32-12 surge at home heading to the All Star break faces a patchwork Minnesota lineup at a time in which Carl Pavano may also be starting to correct.

It is one thing to have Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer on the sidelines for the Twins, but another matter entirely when that forces Nick Punto and Drew Butera into the starting lineup. It is a big drop both offensively and defensively, and makes life much easier for Detroit rookie Andrew Oliver, who had a rocky outing vs. Baltimore on Monday that helps to set up this price point, but brings much better stuff than that to the table. And while closer Jose Valverde had worked each of the first two games in this series, he has multiple days off prior to that, and should not be impacted.

Meanwhile Pavano has had a solid 9-6/3.58 run to this point, relying on pinpoint control to overcome the fact that he is not able to miss many bats (only 65 K’s in 118 IP), but he was rocked for three home runs in an ugly showing at Toronto in his last outing, a game in which he did not get tagged for a loss because the offense bailed him out, and not having posted an ERA of less than 4.77 since coming to the A.L., his best work for 2010 may be behind him. With Nick Blackburn and Francisco Liriano only lasting a combined 5.2 innings the past two days the Minnesota bullpen is also in a precarious setting, and that makes this value too much to pass up.

[Mr. IWS]

Wunderdog

5 Units Detroit Tigers +110

Detroit is on fire at home, owning a 17-2 mark in their last 19 played in their own backyard. They now stand at 32-12 for the season when playing at home. The Twins are really struggling right now and stand in at 5-13 over their last 18 games. The pitching staff is mired in a deep slump as they have now gone seven straight games allowing 6 runs or more, so the bullpen is depleted as well. Carl Pavano is already approaching more innings than he has thrown since 2004, and I look for him to hit the wall. The Twins are struggling on the road vs. left-hand pitching at 15-38 in their last 53, while the Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 at home vs. a righthander. Detroit gets this one.

[Mr. IWS]

5 star sports

MLB

3 Star Atlanta + 122

4 Star UNDER 9 1/2 Runs Pittsburgh / Milwaukee Game

3 Star Chicago Cubs + 134

3 Star OVER 9 1/2 Runs Boston / Toronto Game

[Mr. IWS]

Ferringo

Take Over 7.5 Chicago Cubs at L.A. Dodgers (8 p.m., Sunday, July 11)
Note: This is our Total of the Week. It's a little lighter than normal, but I do love the spot.

Take Under 8.5 San Francisco at Washington (1:30 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

Take Over 10.5 Florida at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

Take Under 7.0 L.A. Angels at Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

Take 'Under' 9.5 Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (1 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

Take Over 9.0 Cincinnati at Philadelphia (1:30 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

Take Under 9.0 San Diego at Colorado (3 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

Take Under 8.0 N.Y. Yankees at Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, July 11)

[Mr. IWS]

ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* MLB* Colorado Rockies , -130 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* Oakland Athletics , PK

[Mr. IWS]

KELSO

10 UNIT* MLB* Atlanta Braves, +120 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Boston Red Sox , -125 ML
50 UNIT* MLB* Los Angeles Dodgers, -140 ML

[spook]

Lenny Del Genio | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 8:05 PM

triple-dime bet 966 LOS (-140) Bodog vs 965 CHC
Analysis:
Play on LA Dodgers at 8:05 EST – the Cubs and Dodgers play the final game of this four game series tonight in LA. The Cubs won the first two games of this series, but last night the Dodgers took the win 7-3. Tonight, good pitching matchup on ESPN with Silva opposing Padilla. Silva has been rock solid all season with a 2.96 ERA and 11-5 team start record. However, tonight he’s going to get out pitched by the LA righty Padilla. He pitched four games to start the season, but was injured and had to take two months off. He made his first start back in Fenway Park and the Red Sox roughed him up for four earned runs in only 5 1/3 innings of work. However, since that one start he’s been very tough in three outings posting a 2.18 ERA and remarkable 0.822 WHIP. In 20 2/3 innings of work he’s whiffed 21 opposing batters. As we noted the Cubs Padilla has a very strong ERA on the season, however the Dodgers have performed very well this season when facing an opposing pitcher with a 3.50 or better ERA posting a 12-4 record. The Cubs don’t get many extra base hits and LA’s Padilla is tough against teams that average 2.75 or less extra base hits per game posting a 21-9 team start record. Good Luck. Vegas Icon Pick on LA Dodgers!

[spook]

The Sharp Side

Royals (-122)

[spook]

Ben Burns | MLB Total Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:05 PM

triple-dime bet 969 BOS / 970 TOR Under 9.5 Sportbet
Analysis: I'm playing on Boston and Toronto to finish UNDER the total. The first two games of this series both finished well above the total. This afternoon's finale has the highest O/U line of the three games. Yet, I expect it to be the lowest-scoring of the bunch.

Litsch wasn't very good last time out. He was very sharp in his previous start though (2 runs on 4 hits through 6 complete innings) and he's always fared well vs. the Red Sox. In six starts vs. Boston, he's gone 4-1 with a 3.82 ERA. He allowed three earned runs or less in five of those six starts, including two or less in four of them. In three home starts vs. Boston, he's allowed three earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. That translates to a 1.53 ERA.

Like Litsch, Matsuzaka has enjoyed plenty of success vs. today's opponent. Indeed, he's 5-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.091 WHIP vs. the Jays. He faced them once this season and allowed just three hits and one run through seven innings. In that game, he had nine K's with zero walks. The final score was 6-1. That was at Boston. In his most recent start here at Toronto, he allowed just two hits through seven shutout innings, a 3-0 Boston victory. Overall, he's got a microscopic 0.64 ERA his last two vs. the Jays and a 2.70 ERA his last three starts, here at Toronto.

The Red Sox have seen the UNDER go 7-2 the last nine times that they were listed as road favorites in the -125 to -150 range. Given the past success of both starters against today's opponent, I expect those numbers to improve here. *10

[spook]

Capri

Paradise Play N.Y. Yankees -1.5
Paradise Play Tampa -1.5

[spook]

Baseball Bambino

Sunday 2 Plays.
One Official and the Other A Lean or Free Selection on Day

POD: Tampa Bay Rays RL -1.5 Runs (-120)

Free/Lean: Cinncinati-Philadelphia OVER 9R (Even)

[spook]

Ben lee won on Saturday with the White Sox -$180/Royals.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes two.

The first is a "Pure Chalk" play on the Rays -$240/Indians and the 2nd is on the Astros Pk/Cardnials.

"Mr Chalk" is 57-38 -$700 for the 2010 MLB season.

[spook]

>>Picktherightbet<< Jared Gassin 7/11 (5-1 this week)

Cle/TB Under 8.5 -120 is the play

[spook]

Foxsheets 7-11-10

highest one is on top



Favoring: NY YANKEES on the money line.
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .250 or worse over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 5 starts
(65-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (90.3%,
The situation's record this season is: (12-5


These all have same rating


Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play Against - Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 or higher) (NY YANKEES) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, in July games
(37-13 since 1997.) (74.0%,
The situation's record this season is: (0-0

Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+110 or higher) (SEATTLE) - with a bullpen that averages less than 2.75 innings per game against opponent with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start
(32-11 since 1997.) (74.4%,The situation's record this season is: (2-1

Favoring: CLEVELAND on the money line.
Play Against - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
(39-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.1%, )
The situation's record this season is: (3-6

Favoring: TORONTO on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - after 5 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.50 over his last 3 starts
(74-25 since 1997.) (74.7%,
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 ).

Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (KANSAS CITY) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more
(52-30 since 1997.) (63.4%, +42 units. )
The situation's record this season is: (2-4

Favoring: OAKLAND on the run line.
Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games
(79-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.4%, )
The situation's record this season is: (8-5

Favoring: TORONTO on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - after 4 straight games where they stranded 7 or less runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 5+ innings
(45-19 since 1997.) (70.3%, +33.5 units.
The situation's record this season is: (0-0

Favoring: SEATTLE on the money line.
Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(110-54 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, )
The situation's record this season is: (17-12

Favoring: CLEVELAND on the money line.
Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
(33-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (58.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (1-6 -

Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games
(78-28 since 1997.) (73.6%,
The situation's record this season is:.4-3

Favoring: DETROIT on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (MINNESOTA) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Sunday
(61-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (11-2


Favoring: OAKLAND on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (LA ANGELS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Sunday
(61-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, +
The situation's record this season is: (11-2

Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (BOSTON) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Sunday
(61-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (11-2 +

.Favoring: CLEVELAND on the money line.
Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (TAMPA BAY) - after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
(45-39 since 1997.) (53.6%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-2

[spook]

MVPLocks

Yankees -1.5 -145 (lock of the day)
Rays -1.5 -115
Phillies -175
Royals/White Sox under 8.5

[spook]

totals unlimited
oakland over

[elguapo_mark]

VALENTINO
Sunday's 40 Dime MLB Winner ...
40 DIME play on the San Diego Padres over the Colorado Rockies

[spook]

SEABASS
100 Mets
200 Red Sox
300 Astros

[spook]

Doc Sports

3* Mets -1.5
3* San Fran +110
3* Dodgers -1.5

[spook]

Indian Cowboy

4-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Under 151 between Chicago Sky vs. New YorkLiberty (Sunday @ 04:00pm est).

The two previous times these two teams have met, the games have gone over the posted total. But, this is a Sunday evening game and these two teams have met twice already and are familiar with each other. Its easy think that if the first two games between these two teams have gone over the posted total, that the third one will also go over the posted total. Note, the last four games for the Liberty have gone under the posted total and the last 5 of 6 have gone under the posted total as well. Also note that the Under is 5-1 when the Liberty plays on three days worth of rest as well. I think this will be one of those rare occasions where Chicago will be an active underdog but will actually lead to an under overall.

[spook]

Lee Kostroski 10* Sunday
10* Detroit -105

[spook]

Gambler World

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Game: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Current Line: Los Angeles (-145)

Over/Under: 7.5

Play On: Chicago (+125)

Inside the Board Room:
Righthander Carlos Silva will take the mound for the Cubs to start this game. Silva is 9-2 this season with a 2.96 ERA. Starting this game for the Dodgers will be Vicente Padilla. The righthander has a 4.72 ERA to go along with a 3-2 record this season. Geovany Soto belted a two-run shot out-of-the-park and drove in three runs on Saturday, as the Cubs defeated the Dodgers 7-3. The Cubs won that game as +123 underdogs, while the 10 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (8) . Tom Gorzelanny allowed six hits and two runs over six innings with seven strikeouts for the Cubs win. John Ely surrendered six runs off five hits in 2 1-3 innings in the Dodgers loss.
Take the Cubby's tonight.

[spook]

Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:35 PM



MLB: Atlanta Braves at New York Mets - Mets (Lowe/Santana)(Best Bet) -130 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 7/11/2010
Note: The first 2 games of this series has given us a great betting line for the final one and the combination of Santana being on his game over his last 2 starts, and Atlanta clearly being in their worst hitting posture, gives us a High Percentage Opportunity. The Mets Ace has been strong verses this team in his career and with the Braves hitting just .227 on the road verses Southpaws, we should get a nice jumpstart to winning this contest. Lowe has been on and off this year and we never know what we are going to get from him. We do know that in two trips to this park, he sports an ERA well Over 7 runs. This park has been tough for visitors this year with New York having one of the best home marks in the Big Leagues. In the meantime, Atlanta is an amazing 30-10 when they have played at their home park, but well below .500 when they have traveled. This game is in the mode of what I call "Circle the Wagons" with New York in a situation where they do need a win after dropping 3 straight and we should see a concerted effort by the home boys because of that. My Model shows a Mets win at a whopping 65.8% of the time and I must agree with that summation. Therefore I will cut these thoughts short and play this one harder than usual. This line could easily go upward so get it now.



Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/11/10 - 4:10 PM

dime bet 964 ARI (-105) BetUS vs 963 FLA

[spook]

Chris Jordan

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Chris Jordan

200? TB Rays -1.5

[spook]

Super Sports Group

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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

San Fran v. Washington 1:35pm
8* PICK: OV8R 8.5 Game ev
8* PICK: Gi8nts ML +111 Game

Cincinnati v. Philadelphia 1:35pm
9* PICK: UNDER 9 Game -105 Best bet of the day #1
7* PICK: Re7s ML +162 Game

Kansas City v. Chicago 2:05pm
9* PICK: White Sox ML +110 Game Best bet of the day #2

Baltimore v. Texas 3:05pm
8* PICK: Oriol8s RL (+1.5) +130 Game

San Diego v. Colorado 3:10pm
7* PICK: Pa7res ML +120 Game

[spook]

VEGAS RUNNER
“MORNING MOVES� NEWSLETTER & LINE-PREDICTION for SUNDAY JULY 11th, 2010
2010 WORLD CUP FINALS….NETHERLANDS vs. SPAIN…BEST BET !!

Good Morning Ladies & Gentlemen…I am going to move along quickly since so much is going off early, and I always try to finalize the Premium Pass as soon as I can on Sundays…because I know that so many of my players look forward to enjoying their day off…
So I make sure to get up as early as possible…and put in the same amount of work that I usually do, which is why Sunday’s have been so profitable for us (63% on MLB the L/10 Sundays)…
Yesterday, although we lost with Uruguay…we cashed another
MLB 3* BOMB (8-2 on L/10)…and finished the day UP on the books…Which is all that you can ever ask for… We will head into the All-Star Break on an excellent run…Having won over $5,000 ($100 Bettor) the L/8 Weeks…And I believe this break will be a big boost, because I will admit that I am a bit exhausted…
We’ve been going strong since Football Season began…without any breaks in between…So the timing couldn’t be better…Which should really give me my 2nd wind heading into those final 6 months of 2010...And with us already comfortably ahead, it gives us such an incredible edge, that I plan on taking advantage of…
For Sunday…we obviously have “10 UNITS� pending if NETHERLANDS win the World Cup…And then we have “8 UNITS� Pending if SPAIN, who is favored to take it down…gets the job done…
So unless I felt that the price offered us an EDGE that I just couldn’t pass up…there really is no reason for us to make a SIDE BET in this Championship Match…
With that said, I have to tell you that I really do believe this line is about right…Because even though there is obviously VALUE on the Netherlands…the “lay-price� on Spain really isn’t all that bad, when you factor in that they were +400 to win the whole thing before it even started…
But the odds makers/bookmakers had NO CHOICE but to inflate them just a bit…Due to the fact they have a lot more liability with their “Future Book� if Spain wins it…Because they didn’t get much “Future� money on the Netherlands…but they did get it on Spain…
So they will try to limit that liability by enticing some Betting Syndicates to grab the Value with the Netherlands…to limit their exposure…And from what I’ve gathered, they’ve been able to do so…since a couple of Outfits went the other way…and grabbed the “plus-money� on the Netherlands…
And after speaking to a handful of books…As far as today’s game goes, they are getting plenty of “2-Way� action on the Side & Total…Which really isn’t too surprising since the Netherlands have yet to lose a single game in the 2010 World Cup…and Spain is obviously the marquee team in this match-up…
Bottom Line…I would prefer to see the Netherlands win the World Cup, because financially it’s better for us…And I won’t lie, calling them before the tournament began will help stroke my ego a bit and get me some props here on the Strip…lol…And I would be lying if I said that I didn’t think they can do it…
In fact, they are the EXACT type of team that is built to cause problems for Spain…Because so far, NO team has tried to attack Spain…Instead, they’ve played a “counter-attack� style…due to fear of Spain opening it up and lighting up the score-board…
But the Netherlands style of play is TO ATTACK…So they won’t have to really change their approach, nor implement a game-plan that they aren’t comfortable with…And to be perfectly honest, we have yet to see how Spain responds to that type of play…
But with that said, Spain didn’t come in as the favorite to win the 2010 World Cup by accident…Just the opposite, they got the pressure off their backs after finally winning a big one…When they took home the European Championship in 2008...So they have simply lived up to the hype and the expectations…And now just have to overcome 1 more step to reach their goal…
If I sound like I’m not sure…then I’m coming across perfectly because there is no way that we would be taking a position on the Side, if we didn’t have this “Future�…Because like I said, even though we know going in that the price is inflated on Spain…the bottom line is that this is a game that they should win…
Fortunately, we don’t have to make any decision…and instead can allow the cards to fall where they may, and hopefully we get treated to an excellent and exciting game…
And more importantly, a LOW-SCORING one because we will be taking an Official Position on the TOTAL…

2010 WORLD CUP FINAL 2* BEST BET :
1.) UNDER 2.5 (-175) NETHERLANDS/SPAIN….(2*)
Now I suggest that you wait until as close to game-time as possible…Because the Wiseguys have already taken their position, which is why so many books have gone to “2�…and the betting public is loading up on the Over…especially in Parlays…
Those of you who don’t want to lay the chalk…can go ahead and bet UNDER 2 (+100)…Which means that the worst you can do if we cash our 2*…is get a “push�…
But truth is, I believe that anything less than -220...is offering up a ton of Value…And I have no problem trying to grab it, even if I have to lay some chalk to get it…
Last night’s BOXING was a perfect example of that…Because for myself and the fund that I manage…I was able to pick up another couple of units…by making 2 straight bets and a parlay bet…And even though I may have had to lay a lot of chalk to do so…the bottom line is that BOTH fights ended in KNOCK-OUTS…Meaning the books held my money for less than 1 Hour…and paid me some good interest to do so…
Spain has allowed ONLY 2 GOALS this entire Tourney…and comes into the Finals off 3 straight 1-0 wins since the KO stage began…
And only 1 time since the KO stage started, has the Netherlands put up more than 2 goals…or allowed more than 1 goal…
Finally, this is a CHAMPIONSHIP GAME…And I expect neither team to come out and play in a fashion that would open it up…I agree with the Wiseguys who have been blasting this Under since the total went up…And the probabilities dictate we are getting plenty of Value on this position…
And because we already have a WINNING FUTURE BET on the SIDE for this Game…This is what many would refer to as a Free-Roll to pick up 2 more Units…
Thanks again for all your support…and best of luck, Vegas-Runner…

LINE-PREDICTION :
1.) NATIONALS -115...
The Wiseguys have STEAMED Washington…And from what I’ve gathered, they aren’t done yet…Because due to so much public money being wagered on the Giants…the books have not had to show much respect to the move…which means the Outfits will still see some value to take advantage of…And with the next round of Buy-Orders…the books should be forced to do some adjusting, and show some more respect…VR

*** SUBSCRIBERS…PLEASE Check the System by 12:30pm est…for Possible Official MLB BET ***

Sun, 07/11/10 - 1:35 PM VR's Morning Moves | MLB Money Linedouble-dime bet 954 WAS (-115) Bodog vs 953 SFGAnalysis: ** MLB MORNING MOVES 2* TRUE STEAM **
NATIONALS -115....(2*)....HERNANDEZ over Bumgarner
The Wiseguys have gone ahead and STEAMED the Nationals on 2 different occassions...And from what I've been told, they plan on STEAMING some more...Based on my own Projection/Model...that is definitely the side with Value, since my line is -130 with Hernandez at Home...VR

[spook]

BK PROFESSIONAL SPORTS BETTING
BK's Sunday TOP PLAYS

BK Professional Sports Betting went 1-1/-$120..Guys will return Friday night will be taking off during All Star Break as well!!! Thursday if I get a play will post it but I know Friday will be CAPPING DAY!!! For Sunday we are gonna go with these...............

SUNDAYS PLAYS

TIGERS Risking $100 to win $100...Guys I dont just pick plays b/c public likes it..There is a lot more then that but into these games.First of Tigers at home are winning at a 73% rate. Now lets look at what the BOOKS are offering Minny opens at -125 good price right? They have lost 4 in a row and last game of the series need a win to prevent getting SWEPT!!! At 12:30pm with roughly 67% of the betting public are allover Minny, BOOKS REACTION? Lets drop the M/L ON THE TWINS TO -110!!!! WOW LETS JUMP ALL OVER THEM!!!!! NOT BK IS TAKING THEM TIGERS TO SWEEP!!!!

ANGELS Risking $220 to win $200... Guys strictly a BIG BET b/c....WEAVER IS A STUD AND MY MONEY IS GONNA BACK HIM IN THIS SPOT!!!

DODGERS Risking $140 to win $100...
Posted by BK Professional Sports Betting at 12:32 PM
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Bernie's 7/11 TOP MLB PLAYS OF THE DAY!!

Well we hit our 2* BOMB with an easy win with the Giants handling the Nationals 10-5. However, we did drop our 1* play and we ended up 1-1 +0.90 Units! This week we are now 7-4-1 +4.16 Units and we will try and do one more days of damage and try and end ON TOP AGAIN!!! Good luck to everyone today and lets stay ahead again this week!

TOP MLB PLAY OF THE DAY
2** Red Sox -130 vs Blue Jays
1* Red Sox/Blue Jays UNDER 9.5
1* Padres/Rockies OVER

[spook]

ATSKINGS-SAL DEVITO

3* Over Mariners
3* Astros
4* Royals
3* Cubs

[spook]

EGAS RUNNER
2* MLB* MORNING MOVES* TRUE STEAM* Washington Nationals, -115 ML
2* SOCCER* BONUS BEST BET* Spain, Under 2.5
3* MLB* BEST BET OF THE DAY* Texas Rangers , -1.5 RL
LINE PREDICTION* MLB* MORNING MOVES* Washington Nationals, -115 ML

[spook]

hope you guys followed me on minn...winning 2-0

[spook]

hope you guys followed me on minn...winning 2-0

sorry guys wrong thread!

[spook]

PROPICKSWEEKLY
5 UNIT SD Padres +110
5 UNIT LA Angels -107
5 UNIT Florida Marlins -104

[mlarge]

To Spook or anyone that can help: is there any way to find out what each capper's rating system is? One guy's 5000 star game probably isn't 1000 times stronger than another's 5 star- so in reality, unless there is a reference point, the ratings are almost meaningless. I appreciate all the work being done on this site look forward to making $$$$. Thanks, mlarge

[spook]

well man! these capper do this crap for advertising trying to get people to buy into there crap...the best advice is to bet the games all the same if you see a game that you really like bet maybe a little more, for the most part keep the bets the same!

hope this helps!

any questions don't be afraid to ask!!

[mlarge]

I do that- thanks for the response. mlarge

[spook]

BIG AL

10* At 4:10 pm, our Major League Baseball Total of the Week is on the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners 'under' the total.

[spook]

spook the book mlb card 7-11-10


Jul 11 MLB [967] MIN -126 [Action] 4% win



Jul 11 MLB [969] BOS -128 [Action] 4% win



Jul 11 MLB [954] TOTAL u8½-110 (SFO vrs WAS) 3% win



Jul 11 MLB [961] TOTAL o9-115 (SDG) 5% spook's pod win



Jul 11 MLB [976] TEX -1½-130 2% small play pending

[spook]

guys!! if you want to chat or or talk about the games or check out spookthe book thread... here is the link!!

viewforum.php?f=6 (http://www.investwithsports.com/phpBB2/viewforum.php?f=6)