7-18-10 sunday

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NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl!

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Greek sports picks play for 7/18


Free Play for Sunday 7/18....

Tb/NYY under 8.5......

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The Sharp Side 7/18


A's/Royals Under 9 (+109)

[desertoak]

Baseball crusher 7/18

NYY (-140) over TB

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Baseball crusher 7/18

NYY (-140) over TB
thanks my friend... ::handshake::

appreciate all youre help!!

[BiggDogg5n2]

Cincinnati Reds -1.5 +155 as my POD.

Yankees -135
Red Sox -150
Mets/Giants under 7

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Sunday Service Plays 7/18

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BestHandicappers .)965 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (r) halladay, ( 4* ) MLB

Had no play on Satuday, been really hot of late!!!!

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Freddy Garcia (9-3, 4.36 ERA), Chicago White Sox

He may not possess front of the rotation stuff anymore, but Freddy Garcia is carving out a nice niche for himself as a reliable starter. The White Sox have taken the cash in eight straight Garcia starts and 11 of his last 12 outings.

"He's been pitching so good for us I can't even say anything more about Freddy," White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen told the Associated Press after Garcia didn’t allow an earned run in his last start.

Vicente Padilla (4-2, 4.04 ERA), Los Angeles Dodgers

Padilla is another veteran who’s found a second wind to his major league career. Once considered one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball, Padilla has been a perfect fit in Dodger blue.

The hard-throwing righty is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.25 ERA and a ridiculous 0.60 WHIP (walks + hits per inning).


Slumping

Jeff Suppan (0-5, 6.55 ERA), St. Louis Cardinals

Things haven’t gotten any better for Suppan since he rejoined the St. Louis Cardinals. Many thought pitching guru Dave Duncan would be able to work his magic like he’s do so many times before and fix Suppan’s problems.

But that’s not the way things have played out. The Cards are 1-4 in Suppan’s five starts and the hurler hasn’t pitched a full six innings in any of those outings.


Returning

Shawn Marcum (7-4, 3.44 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays ace makes his return to the mound after a short stint on the disabled list due to a sore right elbow. He declared himself ready after throwing a bullpen session last weekend.

“My command was a little off but I wasn’t really worried about that. It was just getting out there and getting a feel for the ball again,” Marcum told the Toronto Sun after testing the elbow. “Other than that the arm felt great, it felt back to normal. It was a step in the right direction.”

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Sunday Night Baseball: Phillies at Cubs

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (+145)

The Phillies and Cubs conclude their four-game series at Wrigley Park under the Sunday night lights on ESPN.

Booster shot

It’s becoming obvious that the Phillies’ starting pitching may need a boost before the non-waiver trade deadline arrives in two weeks.

Surprisingly, the starting pitching opened the second half better than they have in three years. The rotation had a 3.95 ERA and opponents were hitting .259 against Phillies starters at the All-Star break.

A quick look at the same numbers from the previous three seasons show a 4.99 ERA and .277 average in 2007; 4.48 and .269 in 2008; and 4.98 and .283 in 2009 - when the Phillies won the National League East.

But there is major concern that 47-year-old lefthander Jamie Moyer has allowed 13 earned runs on 12 hits in 8.1 innings for a 14.05 ERA in his last two starts. He now stands at 9-9 and his ERA is 4.88 on the season.

Retread Joe Blanton doesn’t inspire. He’s 3-5 with a 6.21 ERA this campaign.

If GM Ruben Amaro Jr. is unsuccessful hitting the speed dial in hopes of fueling a trade to improve the rotation, don’t be surprised if middle reliever Chad Durbin, recently reactivated after spending three weeks on the DL with a right hamstring injury, settles into the starting rotation.

In addition, lefthander Antonio Bastardo was recently activated from the DL and optioned to Lehigh Valley. He also becomes a viable option.

"I would rather be fresh than tired going into the second half," Durbin said. "We're definitely fresher mentally."

Welcome back

The cleanup hitters from both squads, Ryan Howard of the Phillies and Aramis Ramirez of the Cubs, have been mired in disappointing seasons – until most recently.

Howard, the 125-million dollar man, was hitting .280 with a meager .788 OPS on June 4.

In one month's worth of games, from June 15 to July 15, Howard has hit .327 with a 1.062 OPS. He has nine home runs, three triples and four doubles during that time, and has scored 21 runs to go with 26 RBIs.

In Friday's game against the Cubs, Howard added another home run, his 20th of the season, and his batting average is now up to .298.

Howard’s $17 million counterpart, Ramirez, is finally heating up too after having been stuck in a slump most of the season.

Ramirez hit a solo homer with two outs in the bottom of the eighth Friday, sending the Cubs to a 4-3 comeback win over Philadelphia.

"Yeah I feel pretty good at the plate. Even when I make an out, I've been able to hit the ball hard," Ramirez said. "That's a good sign."

It was his fifth homer and 14th RBI in the last eight games. He had three hits to raise his batting average to .220.

"He's staying on the ball well. He's taking good swings at pitches and he's driving the ball. It's big difference from the first half. One of the ingredients that was missing here obviously," Chicago manager Lou Piniella said. "And now it's back."

Don’t count us out

Piniella's Cubs always have been a second-half team. The numbers from his first three seasons verify it.

But Piniella's Cubs have never been this far underwater to start a second half, and it seems as if only a tidal wave can bring them back to the surface.

Not according to Piniella, though.

"Nine games is not insurmountable. I look forward to the challenge, but we've got to get it done on the field. We need to play better baseball than we did the first half. Are we capable? Yes. And I'm hopeful that we will."

In his first three seasons with Chicago, Piniella has used the second half to make a difference, winning 40 or more games each campaign.

They were 41-34 in his first season after the 2007 All-Star break, then 40-26 in their dominating 2008 season. Even last season, when the Cubs fell short of their division-championship goal, they were 40-35 in the second half.

Winning 40 games in the second half would give the 2010 Cubs 79 victories, a moral comeback if nothing else.

According to Piniella, there's one simple key to getting back on track, and that's more consistency from day to day.

"That's what we need: consistency," Piniella said. "When we swung the bats and put runs on the board, we won our share of ballgames. When we don't, we haven't had success."

Here’s the pitch

Philadelphia ace Roy Halladay matches serves with Chicago southpaw stopgap Tom Gorzelanny this evening in an apparent pitching mismatch. Halladay is 3-1 in his last four starts with a 1.39 ERA. He’s pitched well in two career starts against the Cubs, both losses, posting a 3.00 ERA.

The veteran All-Star has struggled of late during the month of July, going 2-8 in his last 10-team starts.

Gorzelanny is 1-6 in his last seven team starts, sporting a 5.66 ERA in the process. The lefthander has split his two career starts against the Phillies, with a 3.88 ERA.

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BETTORS TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Sunday's Wagering Tips
By Covers Staff


Lines Off The Board

Phillies at Cubs – The total for the game is not available due to the uncertainty of wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.
Tigers at Indians – Cleveland’s starting pitcher for the game has not been announced (see note below).

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Blue Jays at Orioles – The total for this game has dropped from an opener of 9 to 8.5 on most boards.
Indiana Fever at New York Liberty – The home squad opened as a 1-point favorite but that pointspread has reversed and made New York a 1.5-point underdog. The game’s total has also moved from 147 down to 145.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Athletics at Royals – The National Weather Service projects an 11 mph wind to blow across the diamond from first to third. There is also a 30 percent chance of rain.
Nationals at Marlins – The forecast calls for a 16 mph wind to blow in from right field and a 30 percent chance of rain.
Brewers at Braves – A 30-40 percent chance of rain is called for.

Who’s Hot

The Braves are 21-4 in their last 25 home games.
San Francisco is 8-1 in its last nine games.
Washington (WNBA) is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five outings.

Who’s Not

The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
Going into Friday, the Red Sox had lost seven of their last nine contests.
San Antonio (WNBA) is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three outings.

Key Stat

3 – Number of British Open winners that have come from behind to win in the final round the last three years.

Return That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Phillies third baseman Placido Polanco was activated from the disabled list and returned to the lineup on Saturday after missing 18 games with tendinitis in his triceps. Polanco made an immediate impact after driving in the game-tying run in the top of the ninth inning against Chicago. Philadelphia was happy to have the veteran infielder back, as the team has hit .230 since Polanco and star second baseman Chase Utley went down with injury.

Game Of The Day

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (+145)

Notable Quotable

"He may not immediately recall the name of every former player from his many years of coaching, but that does not diminish what those players meant to him or how much he cares about them. He still remembers the words of a hymn or a jazz standard, but may not feel up to going to a concert. He still plays golf, though usually only for nine holes instead of 18."
-- Dean Smith’s family wrote in a letter addressing the severity of the former North Carolina basketball coach’s memory loss.

Tips And Notes

- While many expected Louis Oosthuizen to fall back to earth during the third round of the British Open, he went out and shot 3-under par. He now holds a four-stroke lead over Paul Casey and is a -125 favorite to hoist the claret jug Sunday (+300 to win after Friday). The 27-year-old South African made 19 birdies through the first three rounds – the most by a player at St. Andrews in the last three Open Championships. Oosthuizen has led since Friday and the last four 36-hole leaders at the Old Course have gone on to win the major.

- Cleveland minor-league pitcher David Huff may have cost himself a callup to The Show. On Friday night Huff posted on his Twitter account that he was going to be pitching in a spot start on Sunday. The account was deleted an hour later and Indians pitching coach Tim Belcher said Huff’s callup “may or may not happen” now. This series finale between the Tigers and Tribe is off the board. The two teams played a doubleheader Saturday and Cleveland used a total of five relievers.

- Detroit manager Jim Leyland held a mandatory workout at 2 p.m. Friday to shake off any All-Star break rust on his players before a 5 p.m. game versus Cleveland. The Tigers only managed two runs in the loss and Leyland admitted the workout was not effective saying that his team looked “sluggish in every phase.” But maybe the skipper drained his club of any energy it might have regained during the break. Detroit only scored three runs in Game 1 Saturday and two in the second leg of the doubleheader.

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808 Sports Picks MLB 7/18

Mets Moneyline -110
Houston Moneyline -140

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CAPPERS ACCESS
Braves(RL)
W.Sox

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GAMBLERS DATA
Astros -144

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Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 8 runs bet. Arizona and San Diego

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Arthur Ralph Sports

482 - 353 run 58 %
Free play Sun Houston -145

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Dave Cokin Comp
(959) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
(960) ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Take "(959) LOS ANGELES DODGERS"

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JIM FEIST COMP
(953) COLORADO ROCKIES
(954) CINCINNATI REDS
Take "Over"
Aaron Harang has had to miss some starts for the Cincinnati Reds and in his absence Travis Wood has stepped up and done great. Wood has no record, but in three starts he has a 2.18 ERA with a 0.68 WHIP. In his last start against the Phillies he went nine innings, allowed just one hit and no runs. Aaron Cook goes for the Rockies and he's 3-5 this year with a 4.88 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Cook has gotten hit hard on the Road, going 0-5 with a 6.70 ERA. And today he plays in one of the worst pitcher parks in baseball at Cincinnati. The Reds are crushing the ball, especially at home in their hitter friend park and on Sunday I see the Reds teeing off on Cook. Wood should put up another good game, but I don't see Cook being around very long in this game. I'm going with the OVER here on Sunday.

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ROCKETMAN
Free play

Washington @ Florida 1:10 PM EST
Play On: Florida -135 (Stammen/Sanabia) Listed

Washington is 1-9 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Washington is 2-13 this year on the road when the total is 9 to 9 1/2. Washington has lost 4 of their last 6 games overall. Washington is 15-29 on the road this year. Craig Stammen is 1-2 with a 6.94 ERA on the road this year and has a 7.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Alex Sanabia has a 0.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Florida is 30-13 overall against Washington the past 3 years including 17-6 at home. Stammen is 0-1 with a 6.11 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Florida today! Thanks and good luck, Rocky


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ROSS BENJAMIN
Free play

Tampa Bay (Price) @ NY Yankees (Pettite) 1:05 PM EDT
Play On: Under 8.5 (+105)

In a battle of arguably the 2 best southpaws in the American League this has all the earmarks of an old fashion pitcher's duel. A lot of early money has gone on the over in this game yet some of the books that I respect the most have changed the juice but won't budge from the number. In 9 starts during the day this season the veteran Andy Pettite has been terrific in posting a sparkling 2.14 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. Pettite has seen 8 of his last 10 starts versus the Rays go under the total. The Rays youngster David Price has seen 5 of his 7 starts during the day go under the total this season with much being attributed to his stellar 2.47 ERA. In spite of all the meetings between these 2 clubs going over the total this one will break the trend today. Play on this game to go under the total as my free selection of the day.

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BRAD DIAMOND
Free play

Play on: LA ANGELS over Seattle
Behind RHP Santana the Angels are 6-1 versus at home. In addition, the recharging Angels show at 27-10 overall in Los Angeles against the struggling Mariners. Finally, we find the Angels at 40-18 at home in Sunday affairs. Good Luck!

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Bobby Maxwell
Free play

Nailed the FREE winner on Saturday as the Reds stomped the Rockies in Cincinnati, improving my comp record to 121-108-3. Today, I have a freebie for you as i'm going to go with the Mets on the road in San Francisco.

Battle of left-handers here as the Mets and Giants wrap up a four-game set in San Francisco. I’m giving the edge today to the Mets and Johan Santana (7-5, 2.98 ERA) who should be able to shut down the Giants’ offense.

Santana is 2-0 in his last three outings with a 0.39 ERA, allowing one run in his last 23 innings. A week ago he blanked the Braves for seven innings in a 3-0 win while back on July 6 he threw a complete-game shutout against the Reds, winning 3-0. His last roadie was on July 1 in Washington when he allowed one run on six hits in seven innings but fell 2-1.

Santana has made five career starts against the Giants and his teams have won four of them, including back on May 8 when he gave up four runs in 7.2 innings but his offense got him a 5-4 victory.

Jonathan Sanchez (7-6, 3.47 ERA) goes for the Giants and he wasn’t so good back on July 10 in Washington when he gave up five runs on five hits in 3.2 innings, but his offense rallied and won the game 10-5. His last home start was June 30 when he gave up five runs in six innings to the dodgers in an 8-2 loss. In his five career starts against the Mets, the Giants are just 1-4, including an ugly outing on May 7 when he allowed four runs in seven innings of a 6-4 loss.

New York is 7-1 in Sunday games, 7-3 when Santana faces teams from the N.L. West and 4-0 when he gets six days off between outings. The Giants are just 1-6 when Sanchez gets seven days off between outings and 3-8 against teams with winning records.

I’m going to pay the price and play the Mets today behind the red-hot Santana.
4? N.Y. METS

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POINTSPREAD LIGHTNING

Sundays free play is the Athletics-Royal over the 9.

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CONSENSUS AMERICA

Sundays free play is NYM-SF staying under the number

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Bulgarian Paid service"

IF Elfsborg - Örebro SK : :bet on Elfsborg @ 1,66
Landskrona Bois - Väsby United :bet on Landskrona @ 1,69
Falkenbergs FF - Hammarby IF :bet on Hammarby@ 2,94
Djurgardens IF - Kalmar FF:bet on Djurgarden 0, +0.5 @1.85
Trelleborgs FF - Gefle IF: bet on Gefle IF 0, +0.5@2,05
CFR Cluj - Unirea Urziceni:bet on CFR Cluj @ 2,00

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sam picks

18.07.2010 Rosenborg - Odd Grenland take Rosenborg to win

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Hondo

Hondo made a strong move on the deficit last night when his gritty, gutty victories with the A's and Sawx lowered the nasty number to 890 hootons.

Today, Mr. Aitch will go with Price and Padilla be cause he feels it's important to give P's a chance -- 10 units apiece on the Rays and Dodgers.

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KIKI SPORTS

Sunday July 18th

3 units Houston -145
1 unit NY Mets -115
1 unit Tampa Bay +130

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usa sports consultants

Dodgers (V.Padilla) at St Louis (J.Suppan) OVER 9 -105 - 1 unit

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ALL COMPS !!

1. NSA(The Legend) MLB - Mariners over 8
2. Ray "The Playmaker" Bowden MLB - Athletics -115
3. VegasSI.com MLB - Twins under 9.5
4. SportsAction365.com MLB - Astros -143
5. Gameday Network MLB - Nationals +120
6. William E. Stockton MLB - Rays +120
7. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino MLB - Padres -135
8. Lou Panelli MLB - Rays over 8.5
9. Steve "Scoop" Kendall MLB - Dodgers -138
10. Vincent Pioli MLB - Padres -135
11. John Morrison MLB - Blue Jays over 8.5
12. Tony Campone MLB - Cubs +145
13. Chicago Sports Group MLB - Reds under 8.5
14. Hollywood Sportsline MLB - Cubs +145
15. VIP Action MLB - Padres -135
16. South Beach Sports MLB - Nationals over 9
17. Michigan Sports MLB - Twins -110
18. NY Players Club MLB - Padres under 7.5
19. Charlies Sports MLB - Dodgers -138
20. Fred Callahan MLB - Mets over 7

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Potsys Picks

SEATTLE 1.5 (-155)
MINNESOTA -105
KANSAS CITY 102
BALTIMORE 1.5 (-135)
PHILADELPHIA -157

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MJP Sports

NY YANKEES -130 Best Bet!
MILWAUKEE 155
SAN FRANCISCO 102

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PURE LOCK
Los Angeles Angels-145
Free MLB Play


MIKEY SPORTS
Florida Marlins-140
Free MLB Play

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nationals Saturday night.

Sunday it's the Nationals. The deficit is 330 sirignanos.

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Sports Investment Group

Todays Plays - Today we have 1 MLB Play

Toronto -130

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

2009 OVERALL HANDICAPPING CHAMPION

Sunday Baseball (3-Team Dog Parlay)

100* Play Kansas City (+100) over Oakland
Game starts at 2:10 PM EST

Kansas City pitcher, Brian Bannister has won 12 of the last 15 games when playing on a Sunday and he has also won 5 of the last 6 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher. Oakland has lost 21 of the last 30 road games when the line posted is between -100 to -125 and pitcher, Vin Mazzaro has lost 5 of the last 8 day games.

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100* Play Colorado (+120) over Cincinnati
Game starts at 1:10 PM EST

Cincinnati has lost 4 of the last 5 games and they have also lost 12 of the last 14 games vs. Colorado. Colorado has won 8 of the last 11 games in the month of July and pitcher, Aaron Cook is 2-0 vs. Cincinnati over his career.

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100* Play Tampa Bay (+120) over New York
Game starts at 1:00 PM EST

David Price has won 15 of the last 17 games vs. division opponents and he has also won 14 of the last 16 day games. David Price is 2-0 vs. New York over his career with an ERA of 2.39 and he is also 12-4 in all starts this season with an ERA of 2.42.

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WNBA Basketball

50* Play Los Angeles (+6.5) over San Antonio
Game starts at 3:00 PM EST

San Antonio has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 9 of the last 10 games against the spread as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points.

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R&R TOTALS

New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants Total
7 under
Free MLB Over-Under

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LUCKYSAMSPORTS

SAM BAMBINO

florida
cincinnati
boston

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Nsa

20 red sox-150
20 blue jays-140
20 phillies-165

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SPORTS WAGERS

San Francisco +1.02 over NY METS

The Giants are dominating this four-game series and there’s no reason to expect that to stop here. First, the Mets are seeing BB’s and when you’re in an offensive funk, snapping out of it becomes more difficult which each passing game. The Mets have batted .174 in losing the first three games of this series and they were held scoreless in the first 24 innings of this series. Jonathan Sanchez has had trouble in two of his last three starts but so what. He’s allowed three runs or less in 14 of his 19 starts this season and he’s been outstanding at home. In fact, he’s allowed just 38 hits in 53 IP at home for a BAA of .200. He also has struck out 104 batters in 103 innings and faces a Mets team that has dropped six of seven and that’s still on its All-Star break. Meanwhile, the Giants are red-hot with five straight victories and 10 wins in its last 12 games. Over that stretch of a dozen games, the Giants lead the majors with 78 runs scored while the Mets have scored 38 times over that same stretch, which is 40 less runs than the Giants. Johan Santana is considered to be the Mets ace by many and he does have the stats to back that up but he’s also been one of the luckiest pitchers in the business. Santana has a strand-rate of 77.6% and that’s an incredibly high number that he simply can’t sustain. His groundball rate is also way down at 34% and those are two red flags to be sure. Santana’s 2.98 ERA looks damn sweet until you look at the 4.69 xERA that is hiding behind it. Santana's strikeout rate is declining, his walks are increasing and everything about him is a mirage and there are big corrections forthcoming in his numbers. Hopefully it starts here. Play: San Francisco +1.02 (Risking 2 units)

CINCINNATI –1½ +1.51 over Colorado

After losing nine straight to the Rockies, the Reds have won the first two games of this series with the Rockies scoring a total of three runs in the first two games. Now the Rocks will have to face a pitcher they’ve never seen and that’s not a favorable situation, especially when said pitcher is going good. Travis Wood is coming off a complete game, one-hitter in Philadelphia. In three starts, covering 20.2 innings, Wood has allowed just nine hits, walked just five and struck out 17. He has a WHIP of 0.68, a BAA of 1.27 and an ERA of 2.17. It’s a small sample size but one can’t argue his effectiveness thus far and he catches the Rocks at a very good time. Meanwhile, the Reds have seen plenty of Aaron Cook. In fact, Reds hitters have a combined 76 AB’s against Cook and they’re hitting .395 off him. The foursome of Rolen, Cabrera, Votto and Phillips has 20 hits in 49 AB’s against Cook. Cook is also 0-5 on the road with an ERA of 6.70 and a BAA of .314. Overall, he’s walked 40 and struck out 44. In 17 starts this season, Cook has three wins. Frankly, there’s nothing to like about Cook and facing the Reds in Cincinnati does nothing to change that. Play: Cincinnati –1½ +1.51 (Risking 2 units).


Milwaukee +1.59 over ATLANTA

If Dave Bush and Randy Wolf can beat Tommy Hanson and Tim Hudson there’s no reason why Manny Parra can’t beat Derek Lowe. In fact, this pitching match-up is by far the most favorable of them all. Manny Parra is very capable of a dominating performance. This guy is so close (yet so far) from becoming an elite pitcher and now he’ll face a Braves club that is under .500 against southpaws. Parra had a 4.18 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in June, marks that have kept some backers on the sideline. But an elevated 37% hit rate had a lot to do with his high WHIP. His base skills remind us why Parra was and still is a legit breakout candidate. He has a 47 % GB rate, which is an outstanding number and he also displays good control with his four pitches. Parra uses a split-fingered fastball, a change and curve (to go along with a fastball) and now he’s developing a fifth pitch, the slider to add to his repertoire. The Braves have scored just eight runs in the first three games of this set while the Brewers have scored 15 the last two days. In addition, Milwaukee has won five of its last six and will face the very beatable Lowe in this one. Lowe’s numbers get worse and worse as the game progresses. He’s awful the second time through line-ups and his numbers fall into a black hole (6.29 ERA and a 1.89 WHIP) the third time through. Lowe is no youngster (he’s 37) and his skills continue to decline. His ground ball rate is declining, his walks are increasing and his strikeouts are declining as well. Those are all signs of age catching up to him, as we’ve actually seen a groundball decline in each of the last four seasons with this year being his lowest. Lowe is in the midst of a four-year 60 million dollar contract and given the chance, the Braves would dump this guy in a heartbeat. He could be in a rough second half. Play: Milwaukee +1.59 (Risking 2 units).


Chicago +1.00 over MINNESOTA

Well, you can really never be sure how Freddy Garcia will perform but this has absolutely nothing to do with him. Instead, this one is all about not laying a single penny to wager against Nick Blackburn and before we explain, note that the South Side makes contact more than any team in the league. This past March, the Twins locked up Nick Blackburn with a four-year, $14 million contract. The deal covers his final pre-arbitration season in 2010, his three arbitration years and includes an $8 million option for 2014, Blackburn’s first season of free agent eligibility. We mention that because the only reason he’s not in the minors is that ridiculous contract. Blackburn established himself as a solid rotation cog over the 2008 and 2009 seasons, using surgical command (1.81 BB/9) to compensate for a paltry punch out rate (4.4 K/9). His ERA over that period was 4.38, and his xERA was 4.52. In 2010, The Twins expected more of the same from Blackburn. Instead, the 28-year-old has been battered for a 6.40 ERA in 97 innings. That’s the second-highest mark among qualified starters. Granted, Blackburn’s ERA does overstate the depth of his struggles — his BABIP is .324 (.314 career average), his rate of stranding base runners is 66.2% and his home run per fly ball rate is 14.8% (10.7%). But even so, his XERA has ballooned to 5.44. Blackburn’s already-low K rate has nosedived into Kirk Rueter-esque territory. He’s striking out just 3.15 batters per nine frames, by far the lowest among qualified starters (Aaron Cook is second, at 3.97 K/9). Nick’s swinging strike rate, 6.5% in 2008 and 5.4% in 2009, sits at an MLB-low 2.9% (Rodrigo Lopez is next, at four percent; the MLB average is 8-9%). His overall contact rate has spiked, from 86.7% in ’08 and 88.1% in ’09 to a MLB-high 93.7% this season. Fact is, Blackburn seldom misses a bat and his walks are increasing. He’s the least appealing favorite in all of baseball and he’s an instant fade when he’s the chalk. Play: Chicago +1.00 (Risking 2 units).

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Billy Irish
3-0 since all star break
Philadelphia Phillies -165

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Savannah Sports

MLB:
5 (*****) LA Dodgers -137

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Totals 4 U

Top Play
SD OVER 7-

Reg Plays
Balt UNDER 9
Tx OVER 8-
WSox OVER 9-
SF UNDER 7

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Platinum Plays

Top Play
NYY

Reg Plays
Reds
KC
WSox
Phil

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Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday ML Baseball

CINCINNATI WOOD -L -140 over Colorado (1:10 et)

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Sportrends

Take NY Yankees W/Pettitte over Tampa Bay W/Price NO PLAY if < -130 or > -175

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Jeff Benton

Sunday's Action 25 DIME selection on the LOS ANGELES DODGERS and Vicente Padilla over the Cardinals and Jeff Suppan in a series finale at St. Louis. Los Angeles is a solid favarite of -130 to -145 both here in Vegas and offshore, so be sure to shop around and get the best of the number. Also, you must speceify both Padilla and Suppan as the starting pitchers. If either does not start, this play is VOID!

10 DIME seleotion the HOUSTON ASTROS and Roy Oswalt over the Pirates and Paul Maholm. Houston is a -140 to -145 favorite in this contest, and again you must specify both starting pitchers. If either Oswalt or Maholm don’t start this game, this play is VOID!


Dodgers

The Dodgers haven’t exactly come out strong to start the second half, losing the first three games of this series by scores of 7-1, 8-4 and 2-0 – and losing Manny Ramirez to yet another injury in the process. But it’s extramely difficult to sweep a four-game series in this sport, so certainly this is a strong percentage play on L.A.

But what pushes things over the top for the Dodgers is this pitching matchup. Vicente Padilla, who has certainly had his problems with consistency over the years, has been magnificent in his last four starts, allowing a total of just five runs, 17 hits and three walks in 28 2/3 innings (1.57 ERA). And although this solid run started with a 2-1 home loss to the Yankees, Padilla has since gone 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA, including a 7-0 beatdown of the Cubs last Sunday (he went a season-high eight innings).

Padilla was L.A.’s most reliaeble pitcher last October and he was on the mound in St. Louis for the clincher of a three-game divisional playoff sweep of the Cardinals, scattering four hits and a walk over seven shutout innings in a 5-1 victory. So in two career starts at Busch Stadium, Padilla has pitched 15 scoreless innings and surrendered just eight hits and one walk.

At the opposite end of the spectrum is Jeff Suppan, who is 0-5 with a 6.55 ERA this season. The veteran right-hander has made seven starts – two with Milwaukee, five with St. Louis – and not once has he made it through six innings (and only once has he lasted longer than five innings). Over his last four starts, he’s 0-4 with a 5.40 ERA.

Finally, the most telling stat that desoribes the difference between these two pitchers is this: Padilla has allowed just 57 baserunners in 55 2/3 innings this season, and he’s held opponents to a .280 on-base percentage. Suppan has allowed 107 baserunners in 55 innings, and opponents are reaching base at a .425 clip!

Enough said! Take the Dodgers to finally get into the post-All Star break win column.


Astros

Two words: Roy Oswalt. The veteran right-hander has flat-out owned the Pirates in his career, going 15-7 with a 2.50 ERA in 28 career games (27 starts) against Pittsburgh. Oswalt’s most recent gem against the Bucs was also his most recent start. On July 8, Oswalt pitched a complete-game one-hitter, walking two and striking out eight in a 2-0 home victory. Throw in a 4-3 win on April 23, and Oswalt is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA against Pittsburgh this season, giving up just two runs and five hits in 16 innings.

Since the start of the 2006 season, Oswalt has faced the Pirates 12 times and delivered 11 quality starts, with Houston going 8-4. In those 11 quality starts, Oswalt has surrendered a grand total of 10 earned runs in 77 2/3 innings (1.16 ERA).

One last point about Oswalt: Although he’s just 6-10 on the season (mainly due to the lack of run support), he sports a 3.08 ERA. And if you eliminate a 10-1 loss at Texas on June 27, Oswalt is 4-1 with a 1.26 ERA on the road.

As for Pirates starter Paul Maholm, the words “below average” come to mind. He’s 5-7 with a 4.37 ERA overall, 3-5 with a 5.80 ERA at home, and over his last six starts, he’s got a 5.68 ERA, and the Pirates are just 1-5.

If that’s not enough to convince you to jump on Houston at this cheap price, this should do it: The Astros have won seven of eight against the Pirates this season (the last six wins by more than a run) and they’re 23-7 in the last 30 head-to-head clashes.

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Richie_Parker

Cincinnati Reds R: -1.5 (144.0) 1

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ROCKETMAN

3* Houston Astros

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B&S PICKS
3 DIME SYNDICATE PLAY Cincinnati Reds -145 ML
2 DIME BOOKIE BASHER NY Yankees -140 ML
2 DIME BOLD SPORTS UPSET PLAY OF THE DAY Pittsburgh Pirates +130 ML
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY SF Giants -105 ML

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Foxsheets 7-18-10

All Rated the same today



Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play Against - Any team (HOUSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL
(39-16 since 1997.) (70.9%, +33.1 units. Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 +

Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
Play Against - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (SAN DIEGO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season (NL), after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs
(38-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +30.2 units. Rating
The situation's record this season is: (2-3

Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (BALTIMORE) - terrible offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(42-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.4%, +30.4 units. Rating=)
The situation's record this season is: (9-2 +

Favoring: WASHINGTON on the money line.
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (WASHINGTON) - after being shut out in a loss to a division rival, a bad team (38% to 46%) playing a team with a losing record
(43-17 since 1997.) (71.7%, +33.6 units. Rating)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0

Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings
(48-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.7%, +33 units. Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +).


Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(82-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.7%, +48.3
The situation's record this season is: (13-4

Favoring: KANSAS CITY on the run line.
Play On - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (KANSAS CITY) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), after a loss by 2 runs or less
(82-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.7%, +48.3 units. Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (13-4 +)

Favoring: NY YANKEES on the run line.
Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (TAMPA BAY) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), with an on base percentage of .350 or better over their last 20 games
(52-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.8%, +. Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (2-2 +

Favoring: CLEVELAND on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CLEVELAND) - poor AL hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games
(49-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.0%, + Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (12-5 +

Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 7 or more innings
(84-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, + Rating=
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play Against - Any team (HOUSTON) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season-NL
(85-52 since 1997.) (62.0%, +55.1 units. Rating=)
The situation's record this season is: (2-6 -.

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (PITTSBURGH) - after a win, terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season
(56-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (58.3%, )
The situation's record this season is: (11-7 +

Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play Against - Any team (HOUSTON) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against an average starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 5.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better on the season-NL
(66-38 since 1997.) (63.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-1

.Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (PITTSBURGH) - on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors, with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games
(39-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.9%,
The situation's record this season is: (3-2 +

Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (NY METS) - after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, playing on Sunday
(62-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.1%, )
The situation's record this season is: (12-3
.

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Dave Cokin

Play - KC Royals

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Smart Analysis Sports

For Sunday,

Seattle Mariners (+128) (1.0 unit to win 1.28)

San Francisco Giants (-1.10) (1.65 unit to win 1.50 units)

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Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER in San Diego vs Arizona @ 4:10 ET: Correia vs Jackson – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


We are getting a low total here because of the long-term reputation of the Padres as a low-scoring team and Petco Park as a low-scoring park. While both of these long-term assessments may be true, the current cycle is telling us that now is the time to take advantage of the extreme value we are being given here. The Padres have been hitting the ball extremely well and they’ve now seen 11 of their last 15 games go over the total. Even in home games, note that San Diego is 13-4-2 to the over in their last 19 games! That’s right, just 4 unders in the last 19 games played at “pitcher-friendly” Petco Park! Again, we’re not trying to take away from the long-term numbers here as, indeed, the Padres and Petco Park are synonymous with more unders than overs through the years. However, we’re just stating that, based on the pitching that the Padres have been getting and the way their lineup has been pounding the ball, over players are being given an extreme value play here. This total may drop to a 7 but, even at a 7.5, the ability to not have to lay any juice and, in fact, get plus money on the return is a fantastic value!

Kevin Correia gets the start for San Diego and he has not recorded a victory since May! Also, he’s coming off of a start where he allowed two homers against the Rockies. Yes, that game was at Colorado but if you think that had more to do with the thin air at Coors Field than it did with Correia’s pitching, think again! Correia has given up six homers in his last five starts at Petco Park in San Diego. Additionally, the Padres right-hander has allowed 31 earned runs in his last 41 innings of work. That equates to a 6.80 ERA for Correia and he’s also struggled with his command of late. Correia has walked 14 in his last 22.1 innings of work. He’s just 3-4 at pitcher-friendly Petco Park this season and he’s compiled a 4.53 ERA there. In four day starts this season Correia has compiled a 7.79 ERA while being hammered at a .342 clip!

Correia is opposed by Edwin Jackson of the Diamondbacks. The Arizona right-hander is winless in six career games – four starts – against the Padres in his career. Jackson has compiled a 5.31 ERA in those outings. Also, in his last eight starts Jackson has walked an average of four batters per outing! His command has been off and he’s also allowed at least four runs in four of his last six outings! Jackson has been hit at a .317 clip in day games this season, compiled a 4.13 ERA in day games last season, a 5.20 ERA in day games the prior season – 2008, a 6.53 ERA in day games in 2007, and was pounded at a .340 clip in day games in 2006 and a .316 clip in day games in 2005. You can see the pattern here and we love the fact that he’s contending with a Padres lineup that has suddenly caught fire. San Diego has averaged over 5 runs per game in their last 19 home games! That’s not bad for Petco Park. As far as overall games, the Padres enter this game having averaged over 6 runs per game in their last 13 games! The Diamondbacks come into this game having gone 55-31 to the over this season in games played on a grass field. Arizona is also 16-9 to the over in day games this season. The Diamondbacks bullpen also ranks last in the majors with a 6.75 ERA and opponents are pounding their relievers at a .301 clip! The Dbacks are 3-1 to the over in Jackson’s four day game starts. The Padres are 7-1 to the over in Correia’s last eight starts and, on the season, they are 4-0 to the over in his four day game starts! Play OVER the total in San Diego as a *10* Top Play selection.




Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7*(Regular Play) OVER in Cleveland vs Detroit @ 1:05 ET: Gomez vs Oliver – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


We had to wait on this one due to the overnight pitching change to Jeanmar Gomez for the Indians. As a result of the change, there was no line available on this one until about three hours before game time so we will definitely go shorter than usual on the details for this one. We like the fact that these teams are off of a double-header yesterday where the teams second game went 11 innings. As a result, the teams have combined to use 19 innings of bullpen work in the first three games of this four game set! That is great news for over players as the bullpens have been used for a ton of action just in the last two days alone and now we have teams squaring off who are both using unproven pitchers. The Indians hand the ball to Gomez for his MLB debut. How well can it possibly go when his minor league numbers are 6-8 with a 5.68 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP this season? The fact is that he’s likely to get pounded and be forced to an early exit. That opens up the door with a bullpen that has been over-extended the last two days.

As for the Tigers, they send Andy Oliver to the mound and he’s winless so far in his first four starts at the MLB level. He’s been pounded at a .314 clip while compiling an ugly 6.38 ERA so far. Worse yet is that things have been getting worse in stead of better for the rookie southpaw. Oliver has allowed 15 runs (11 earned) in his last three starts and those outings have only totaled 12.1 innings! That doesn’t bode well for what’s on tap for him this afternoon. The Tigers were 6-1-1 to the over before each game in yesterday’s double-header stayed under the total. As for the Indians, they were 5-3 to the over in their last eight games before yesterday’s twin-bill. Also, the bullpen of the Tribe has compiled a 4.48 ERA and a .271 BAA so far this season. Each of those marks are among the worst in the league so far this season. Play OVER the total in Cleveland as a *7* Regular Play selection.





Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 6* (Regular Play) Philadelphia Money Line (-) @ Chicago Cubs @ 8 ET: Halladay vs action – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!


As long-time followers know, we play mostly totals in the baseball and when we do play sides we have a strong tendency toward underdogs and small favorites. Very rarely do we get into the moderate price range for favorites and we certainly avoid the large favorites as if they have the plague! That said, this one truly is at the upper reaches of where we like to play but after seeing numbers around -155 for the Phillies this one was on our radar screen. Now, even though the price has been on the rise, we simply still like this one way too much to just let it pass us by. You will notice that our specification on the pitchers above says “Halladay vs action”. The reason for this is that we feel Roy Halladay is the key to this play and so, even if Tom Gorzelanny would not get the start, we would still back the Phillies here. Halladay has simply phenomenal stuff and it is our belief that Philadelphia did some real good for him by giving him extra rest after the All Star Break. Additionally, the Phillies had the kind of win yesterday that a team can really build off of and, at the same time, the Cubs suffered a loss that is the type that can really sting a team for a long period of time. Philly was down 1-0 in the top of the 9th when they rallied for four runs…all with two outs! Carlos Marmol couldn’t find the plate and the Phillies took advantage of the struggles of the Cubs closer.

Philly will build off of yesterday’s win as they take advantage of a hurler whom they already faced this season and whom had struggled for each of the last two seasons before enjoying some success with the Cubbies this season. The Phillies struggled against Gorzelanny when they faced him earlier this season but that was the first time they had seen him in three years. Now they get a second look and Gorezelanny has just one win his eight games – six starts – at home. Also, the southpaw has a 4.24 ERA at Wrigley Field where he’s been hit at a .269 clip. He’s also just 1-4 in night games this season. In his career, Gorzelanny is 13-8 in day games but 20-25 in night games! The Phillies are 5-2 their last seven games while the Cubs are just 3-4 their last seven games. The Phils are 35-24 in night games this season while the Cubbies are 19-25 under the lights. The Phillies are 77-52 against southpaw hurlers the last three seasons while the Cubbies are a miserable 26-35 against right-handed starters this season. The Cubs have won just one of Gorzelanny’s five night starts! The Phillies are 8-2 in Halladay’s ten starts where he is a favorite of less than -200 this season. Halladay has been simply amazing against National League opponents this season. Though he struggled some in interleague action, note that he’s allowed two earned runs or less in 13 of his 15 starts against National League opponents. We expect him to dominate the Cubs lineup tonight and we look for the Phillies to build off of yesterday’s 9th inning comeback win and improve to 6-2 in their last eight games. Play Philadelphia on the money line as a *6* Regular Play selection.

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GamblersWorld
Tip of the Day - July 18, 2010


Date: 7.18.10 at 4:05PM
Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

Current Line: San Diego (-140)

Over/Under: 7.5

Play On: San Diego (-140)

Inside the Board Room:
Righthander Edwin Jackson will take the mound for the Diamondbacks to start this game. Jackson is 6-7 this season with a 4.92 ERA. It'll be Kevin Correia toeing the rubber for the Padres in this contest. Righthander Correia is 5-6 with a 5.26 ERA so far this season. Yorvit Torrealba drove in four runs on Saturday night as the Padres rolled to an 8-5 win over the Diamondbacks. The Padres were winners as -170 home favorites in that contest, while the combined score went OVER the night's posted total (7).
Take the Padres tonight!

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Frank J. Belanger
Official Pick:
LA OVER STL (moneyline)

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David Banks

MLB
1:05 Yankees -130
1:35 Braves -165
1:35 Red Sox -145
1:35 Astros -137
2:10 Twins -105
4:05 Mets -108

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BOB AKMENS

Toronto
LA Dodgers
LA Angels
San Diego

All Plays are 10*

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MR A

Toronto Blue Jays -140

San Diego Padres -125

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GINA

Sunday, July 18, 2010 3:35 p.m. est.

Seattle Mariners (35-56) at Los Angeles Angels (50-44)
(L) Jason Vargas (6-4) vs. (R) Ervin Santana (8-7)

The sorry Mariners have dropped 12 of their last 14 games overall and six of its last seven on the road. They have been lifeless at the plate, the lowest scoring team in the league. Look for the Angels to take a four game sweep of the Mariners this afternoon at Angel Stadium and their ninth consecutive victory against them.

Los Angeles has won the last five meetings versus Seattle in Anaheim. To boot, they send Ervin Santana to the hill, the Angels have been successful against Seattle with Santana at the helm. The Angels are 11-4 in Santana's last 15 starts versus the Mariners and 6-1 in his last 7 against them at home.

Seattle's lefthander Jason Vargas (6-4, 3.09), is 0-2 with a 5.51 ERA in his last three starts. Vargas is 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA in 3 career starts against the Angels. The Mariners are 2-5 in Vargas' last 7 starts, 1-8 in his last 9 on the road.

Los Angeles' right-hander Ervin Santana (8-7, 3.76 ERA), is 1-2 with a 3.13 ERA in his last three starts. Santana is 7-4 with a 4.19 ERA in 17 career starts versus the Mariners. The Angels are 6-2 in Santana’s last 8 home starts.

Los Angeles Angels -145

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Bookiemonsters
nyy -133

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SR COMPUTER

Boston Red Sox -150

Oakland Athletics -115

Philadelphia Phillies -170

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Rich green

3* sf + 1.5 -160

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Bobby Valentino 7/18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Take the NY mets over SF giants

[golden contender]

Sunday MLB Divisional Total of the Month with 92% Power System + MLB Triple Angle Side with Dominator System. MLB on a 17-4 roll and 27 games over .500


On Sunday the free play is on the NY.Mets. Game 961 at 4:05 eastern. The Mets look to avoid the 4 game sweep to start their long 11 game road trip. The Good new is they have maybe the best second half pitcher in Baseball on the mound. Johan Santana has already won both of his second half starts this year and has a 0.39 era over his past 3 starts. He has a terrific 63-19 second half record the past few years. The Mets fit a nice road favorites system and have beaten J. Sanchez in 4 of the 5 games he has started against them. The Giants have lost both times as a home dog in this range this season. Look for the Mets to salvage the last game here. On Sunday I have the MLB Divisional Total of the Month. This big Total is backed with a 92% system. I also have an MLB Triple angles Dominator side. MLB is on a 17-4 roll and we are 27 games over .500. . For the free play take the Mets. GC

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Paul Leiner


100* Astros -140
50* Yanks -135
50* Redsox -150

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WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Tampa Bay at New York Yankees (1:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 8.5 +100
Andy Pettite has had a long successful career, but he may be having his best season ever. Pettite went into the all-star break with an 11-2 mark, but what many don't realize is that the Yankees are now 26-7 in his last 33 starts going back to last year. David Price has been good enough to start the all-star game. The Yankees are weaker against left-hand pitching and it shows as they are now 39-19-3 to the UNDER in their last 61 at home vs. a left-hand starter. The last 10 times Pettitte has started against the Rays, 8 of the 10 have played UNDER.
This one stays UNDER the total.

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TheSportsCapper Baseball

Play Tampa Bay (+120) over New York (TOP MLB PLAY)

Play Toronto (-135) over Baltimore (BONUS MLB PLAY)

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LENNY DEL GENIO
VEGAS ICON
25* TRIPLE DIME LA Angels

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Bill Marzano

Matchup: Chi. White Sox at Minnesota
Time: 2:10 PM EDT (Sun)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) GARCIA, F vs. (R) BLACKBURN, N

Play: Chi. White Sox (ML +100)

I really like the Chicago White Sox in this game vs the Minnesota Twins...this is a big game for both teams as the Sox look for the split and who better to have on the hill than F.Garcia...he is 9-3 on the season with a 4.36 ERA and hasn't lost a game in nearly two months and will be going for his seventh straight win...N.Blackburn on the other hand is just 7-7 on the season with a 6.40 ERA and is just 1-6 over his last nine starts...the White Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game...21-5 in their last 26 games vs. a right-handed starter...6-0 in Garcias last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance...8-0 in Garcias last 8 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5...the Twins are 0-6 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game...1-12 in Blackburns last 13 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game...Chicago White Sox are the play here

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BILLY COLEMAN
5* NY Mets -115

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JR ODonnell | MLB Total Sun, 07/18/10 - 4:05 PM

dime bet 961 NYM / 962 SFG Over 6.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
Met's/ Giants Over @ 4:05 today.. mlb dominator

SANTANA AND SANCHEZ LISTED HURLERS

Kaboom goes Jr yesterday as the we sweep the ticket and roll into the Sunday late afternoon ticket on fire! The Met's are ready to hit today vs the J Sanchez show today. The Met's are off a 8-4 loss last night and they will get to Sanchez who is 0-1 with a 4.94 ERA the last 4 times he has toed the rubber. The Met's counter with Santana who is 2-0 with a 3.89 ERA in 7 games vs these Giants. short sweet and powerful today ..power ratings at a smooth 8+ runs here !
OVER METS

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Ben Burns | MLB Total Sun, 07/18/10 - 4:05 PM

double-dime bet 963 ARI / 964 SDP Under 7.5 Sportbet
Analysis: I'm playing on Arizona and San Diego to finish UNDER the total. The first two games of this series have both produced double-digits in combined runs. I expect this afternoon's finale to be much lower-scoring though.

Arizona, which generally doesn't hit well on the road, sends Edwin Jackson to the mound. The last time he pitched away from Arizona, he threw a no-hitter. Looking back further and we find Jackson at 3-1 with a 1.33 ERA in his last five road starts. Note that Jackson started here at Petco on 4/16 and that he allowed just three hits through six shutout innings.

Correia goes for the Padres. He's had some trouble on the road and gave up five runs in five innings, at Colorado, in his last start. However, in his last start here at San Diego, he allowed just five hits through seven shutout innings. That game finished with a score of 1-0.

Correia has made one home start against the Dbax this season. In that 4/17 outing, he tossed 5 2/3 shutout innings, allowing only three hits. He recorded 8 K's with just 2 walks, earning the Padres a 5-0 victory. Including that result, the UNDER is now a perfect 5-0 in his last five starts vs. Arizona. He's made five career home starts vs. Arizona and allowed two earned runs or less in four of them.

While they've been admittedly been hitting well lately, the Padres have still seen the UNDER go a profitable 32-20 the last 52 times that they were listed as home favorites in the -125 to -150 range. I expect things to return to 'normal' and for those numbers to improve this afternoon. *8




Ben Burns | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 2:15 PM

triple-dime bet 959 LOS (-137) Sportbet vs 960 STL
Analysis: I'm playing on the LA DODGERS. The Dodgers haven't fared too well in the first three games of this series. Not only are they 0-3 but they've also been outscored by a combined score of 17-5. In fact, they've struggled here, during the regular season, for several years. They won here in the playoffs last year though, so they have the confidence to know that they can do so. More importantly, I expect them to enjoy an edge on the mound.

It's generally unwise to over-react to one start, good or bad. However, when a pitcher strings together a few really good (or really bad) ones in a row, it becomes easier to know what to expect. In this case, Padilla is currently in a major zone while Suppan is currently in a major funk.

Padilla checks in having gone 3-0 with an outstanding 1.25 ERA and 0.60 WHIP his last three starts, averaging greater than seven innings in those outings. In 21 2/3 innings, he's recorded 20 K's with just two walks, allowing only 11 hits and three runs. The Dodgers won those games by a combined score of 22-5. Last time out, he held the Cubs to two hits through eight shutout innings. In his last road starts, he limited the Giants to three hits and one run through seven innings. For the season, he has a respectable 4.20 ERA and a very good 1.042 WHIP. In 55 2/3 innings, he has 54 K's and just 10 walks.

On the other hand, Suppan is now 0-5 with an awful 6.55 ERA and 1.945 WHIP. He's averaging less than five innings per start. In 55 innings, he has 30 K's with just 23 walks. He's not getting any better here, as he's 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA and 2.021 WHIP, his last three starts.

While Suppan has been mediocre vs. LA, Padilla has enjoyed success when starting against St. Louis. He's 3-0 his last three starts vs. the Cardinals and is 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in four starts against them for his career. He dominated them here last October, allowing four hits through seven shutout innings. The Dodgers won that one by a 5-1 score.

I expect Padilla to deliver another quality effort as the Dodgers bounce back, avoiding the sweep and earning Joe Torre a victory on his 70th birthday. *10

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GoodFella | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 1:10 PM

double-dime bet 954 CIN (-142) Sportbet vs 953 COL
Analysis:
WOOD and COOK both MUST START

(2*) Double Star Play

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Larry Ness | MLB Total Sun, 07/18/10 - 4:05 PM

triple-dime bet 963 ARI / 964 SDP Over 7 BetUS
Analysis: My 10* NL Total of the Year is on Az/SD OVER at 4:05 ET.
After winning just 63 and 75 games the previous two seasons, the Padres find themselves on the first Sunday after the All Star break with a 53-37 record. It's an NL-best and good enough for them to lead the Giants by 3 1/2 games with the Dodgers and Rockies four games back. As for the D'backs, they've lost NINE of their last 11 and at 34-57 on the season, sit 19 1/2 games back of the Padres. San Diego has risen to the top of the NL due to its pitching staff, which owns a ML-best team ERA of 3.24 (bullpen ERA is 2.85). However, San Diego starters have a 6.04 ERA over the last eight games. The good news for Padre fans is that the offense (mediocre on the season), has plated an average of 7.13 RPG during that same stretch. That includes scoring 20 runs (on 22 hits) in 12-1 and 8-5 wins over the D'backs in the first two games of this series. SD faces Edwin Jackson on Sunday, he of the June 25 no-hitter (allowed EIGHT walks in that 'gem!'). Let me note that Jackson's ERA is 4.92 on the year and in his two starts since his no-hitter, has allowed 13 hits and nine ERs in 10 innings for an 8.10 ERA. The Padres have relied on basically five starters all season. Latos (2.45 ERA), LeBlanc (3.30), Garland (3.45) and Richard (3.52) have all been solid. The "fly in the ointment" has been Kevin Correia. His ERA sits at 5.26, having allowed four ERs or more in NINE of his 17 starts this season. That includes allowing four ERs or more in FIVE of his last eight starts, in which he's posted a 6.80 ERA. SEVEN of those eight games have gone 'over with the average game score of those seven overs totaling 13.3 RPG! Friday's total closed 6 1/2 and the final was 12-1, while Saturday's total closed seven (final score of 8-5). Sunday's total opened at 7 1/2 and with SD swinging the bats so well plus with this pitching matchup (Jackson vs Correia), the ONLY play is OVER!

Good luck...Larry

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gill alexander | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 1:35 PM

double-dime bet 971 TOR (-130) Sportbet vs 972 BAL
Analysis:
It's a fairly simple play w our man Shaun Marcum back on the mound after a bout with elbow inflammation. It has actually been a long while since we backed Marcum, but today the spot is right to do so. The Jays have beaten the O's all 8 times they've matched up this season, including yesterday's Dorky Winner. The Blue Jays have outscored the Orioles, 38-15, over that span. Marcum has a 1.50ERA in 2 starts v Bal this season. Much has been made of Toronto's anemic .241BA this season, but the Jays have hit 139HRs, tops in MLB in 2010, including 24 over their last 12 ballgames, at least 1HR in each of their last 10 ballgames. Those are particularly significant numbers v Matusz, he of the 4.73xFIP (19th worst in the majors). Matusz has given up 10HR in his last 10 outings. That convergence indicates that long balls from the Jays lineup are very probable Sunday afternoon. With that as a backdrop, -130 is a very affordable price to pay on the always gem-capable Marcum

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Sac Lawson | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 4:05 PM

dime bet 961 NYM (-115) Bodog vs 962 SFG
Analysis: In the fourth game of the series, the Mets are in desperate need of a win to avoid a sweep. Six other times this season the Mets have needed a win in the final game of a series in order to avoid a sweep, and five out of six times they've got that win. This is simply a team that battles back. And while their offense is often times stagnant, especially on the road, they usually find one game to come together. Folks will certainly tell you this isn't that game, especially with Carlos Beltran likely sitting out due to rest, and Jose Reyes likely sitting out due to an Oblique injury. But I've confident in Pagan taking over center field, as he's been there almost all season anyways, and I'm confident in Ruben Tejada when it comes to his speed and defensive ability. Often times it's the days the stars are off the field that the team shines the most. The Mets know they need some production today, and with those two big names off the field, I expect their focus to be high.

When it comes to pitching, Jonathan Sanchez has had a tough couple weeks coming into this game, and his past against the Mets is less than impressive. He's got an ERA in the mid 4 range against the Mets in his career, and with his stuff reeling a little bit, I think it's a good time to go off his bandwagon (even at home).

On the other side, Johan couldn't be more of a different story. Santana has been absolutely lights out in his last two starts, and on top of it, Santana has gone 2-0 in his last four starts against the Giants.

Classic case of two pitchers going in opposite directions. Santana is really finding his stride, and as we know, he can be one of the best pitchers in the majors when he's on. And Sanchez is losing his stride a little bit, which means walks and high pitch count. Expect Santana to pitch well, and expect this depleted Mets lineup to find a way to win the final game of the series, as they always do! Mets 1.5 units!

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Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 2:15 PM

double-dime bet 959 LOS (-136) Sportbet vs 960 STL
Analysis: There isn't a ton of value in betting the Dodgers in this one, and due to time constraints, we need to keep this writeup nice and short, but suffice it to say that the Dodgers have dropped the first 3 in St. Louis, and we know Tony LaRussa likes to play for series wins more than he does for sweeps.


I would expect the Cards to run out a somewhat disjointed lineup today against a red hot pitcher, in Padilla, who has zero issue pitching in hot, humid environments.


Jeff Suppan, meanwhile, has been a total disaster this season, and I would strongly expect the Dodgers to score a few runs off him, and finally get to utilize that superior bullpen, for once.


Play on LAD!






Dan Bebe | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/18/10 - 1:05 PM

double-dime bet 969 TAM (+125) Bodog vs 970 NYY
Analysis: This game should actually be quite good, but because I'm a firm believer that this is about as close to a "decided late" game as you can find on paper, grabbing the team getting a nice underdog price is a no-brainer!


David Price has a very positive history against the Yankees, and he's been rolling almost the entire season. His effortless 97mph fastball continues to have great life, and his arm is showing zero signs of fatigue.


Andy Pettitte is having a "fountain of youth" type season, but if you look back, his one truly BAD start came against these Rays, who, if you watched yesterday's game, are really playing with confidence in this series. They should have won the opener, but the emotional Yankees made a comeback; they stomped on New York last night, picking on a slightly injured A.J. Burnett, and the Yankees middle relievers; and today, the Rays will score just enough off Pettitte to hand another lead over to a very strong back end of a bullpen that this time won't blow it.


Rays, as a dog, should take this one by the final score of 3-2, or 4-3. It's going to be a tight one, but at +125, we'll take it, even if we have to work for it.


Play on Tampa!

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Picktherightbet<< John Gains 7/18

Tex/Bos Under 8.5 is the play

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Logical pick

Pick Today is Cincinnati Reds.
The game is on at 12:00 PM EST.

72.9% Win Probability
This is a solid play. Our sim shows this line should be -185....This is a strong play. Would even take the -1.5 on run line
Over/Under:
Spread: -1.5
Moneyline: -132

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ASA NL GOY

ASA MLB - PLAY ON N.L. GAME OF THE YEAR 9* San Diego (Correia) -130 over Arizona (Jackson)

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PowerPlayWins - Simple, profitable handicapping!

Today's Power Play of The Day is
Our money management plan is very simple:
We play each Power Play at equal unit value.



Sport: MLB

New York Mets(-108) Over
San Francisco Giants
Pitcher: Santana
Game time: 1:00:00 PM (PST)

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John Morrison's pick(s) for July 18 2010

<MLB Baseball> Philadelphia -165 This game is against Chicago Cubs at 8:05 PM ET

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VEGAS EXPERTS

Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds

Cincy’s Travis Wood will make his fourth major league start today. He has been very good so far allowing just five runs through his first three starts. The Reds average 5.3 runs per game at home. We have found two terrific systems supporting a play on Cincinnati. Play against road teams (COLORADO) where team's hitters strike out 7 or more times/game on the season against opponent starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing. This system has cashed 66% of the time over the last five seasons. Play on home teams (CINCINNATI) cold hitting team batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games against opponent hot hitting team batting .300 or better over their last 15 games. This system has cashed 67% (54-27) of the time over the last five seasons. Take Cincinnati

Play on: Cincinnati Reds

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Bob Balfe

Florida Marlins -143

If the Marlins want to make a run in the NL East, it has to start now against bad teams. Washington is horrible on the road and I do not think they have much success against Florida at all in this series, especially today with the pitching matchup. Take the Marlins.

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Teddy Covers

Reds

DBacks/Padres Over 7.5

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Mike Lineback

Cardinals

[rhg111]

NO ATS YET?? 7-1 SINCE BREAK

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NO ATS YET?? 7-1 SINCE BREAK

not yet man..try to get it for ya!!

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DWAYNE BRYANT

MLB Total - Sunday, Jul 18 2010 1:05PM
969 TAM / 970 NYY UNDER 8.5 Bodog single-dime bet

Analysis: 1 Unit Play
Price & Pettitte MUST START
We have two dominant lefties on the mound at Yankee Stadium today. David Price has NASTY stuff and even the powerful Yankees lineup has had trouble hi tting him. In four career starts against the Yankees, Price owns a 2.39 ERA and he hasn't allowed more than three runs in any of those contests. Only A-rod (.308 with a HR in 13 AB) and Swisher (.286 with a HR in 7 AB) have had any decent success against Price.
Andy Pettitte has been just as tough this season. He has also given up three runs or less in 6 of his last 9 starts against the Rays. The Rays did hammer Pettitte for 7 runs (6 earned) and 9 hits (3 HR) in just 5 innings at Yankee Stadium back in May, but I think that outing just serves as added motivation for Pettitte today. The Yankees bullpen pitched 7 innings yesterday, so Joe Girardi will ride Pettitte as long as he can. I really expect Pettitte to come up big for the Bombers today.
Bottom line: I expect solid performances by both Price and Pettitte this afternoon. I don't expect either to give up more than 3 runs and I wouldn't be surprised to see both go 7 innings. This game could go either way, but I see a 4-3 final score no matter who wins. Go UNDER.

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AL DeMARCO
Sunday's Plays

10 Dime play on the Astros and Oswalt over Pittsburgh and Maholm. Both scheduled starters must go for their respective teams or this play would be voided. As I release this selection at 5:30 AM Pacific, Houston is -145 in Las Vegas and offshore.

10 Dime play on the Red Sox and Lester over Texas and Wilson. In this case, just specify Lester against any Texas entry. The Red Sox are -150 as I release this selection.

10 Dime play on the Angels and Santana over Seattle and Vargas. Again, list both pitchers. At this time, the Angels are -150 as I check Vegas and offshore.

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JB PA CONNECTION
Milwaukee Brewers ML

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MIKE LINEBACK
4* POD SL Cardinals ML

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Ben lee had the splits on Saturday winning with the Cardnials -$170/Dodgers and losing with his "Pure Chalk" play on the Braves -$220/Brewers.

For Sunday "Mr Chalk" likes the Reds -$130/Rockies.

"Mr Chalk" is 60-40 -$720 for the 2010 MLB season.

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executive comp-s.f.

250-minn

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KELSO
10 UNIT* MLB* Oakland Athletics , -115 ML
15 UNIT* MLB* Los Angeles Dodgers, -135 ML
3 UNIT* MLB* Arizona Diamondbacks, Over 7.5
50 UNIT* MLB* Chicago White Sox , +100

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Billy coleman
3* wash/fla over
from the nc line

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Insider Angles

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Arizona (34-57) vs. San Diego (53-37) 4:05pm ET
Kevin Correia of the San Diego Padres has cooled down considerably after a hot start to this season, while Edwin Jackson of the Arizona Diamondbacks has had two bad outings since no-hitting the Tampa Bay Rays. That said, both pitchers can show marked improvement here vs. teams that have dominated in the recent past.

Remember that Jackson threw 149 pitches in his no-hitter three starts back, so his setbacks in the last two starts before the All-Star break could have almost been expected even with his extended rest after the no-no. His arm strength should be just about back to normal by now, which is bad news for San Diego considering his performances against them this season.

Jackson allowed just three runs in his first start vs. the Padres here in 2010, and then in his second start against them, he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing just three hits right here in Petco Park. It helps that he is facing a San Diego offense that is batting just .244 vs. right-handed pitching in this pitcher’s paradise the Pads call home.

Correia has seen his ERA rise to 5.26 with his recent slump but facing the Diamondbacks may be the perfect remedy for him. This is because he has allowed two earned runs or less in five of his last six starts vs. Arizona, including his last start against them this year where he tossed 5.2 scoreless innings while allowing three hits with an impressive eight strikeouts. He is facing a Snakes lineup that is batting a paltry .226 vs. right-handers on the road for the season.

All things considered, the Under looks to hold some hidden value in this spot, especially if a starter or two is held out of the lineup in this Sunday afternoon affair following a Saturday night game.

MLB Sunday Pick: Diamondbacks, Padres Under 7.5

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Charlie Sports Free Play

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Free MLB Picks. Tampa bay+130 @ Yankees. ,The (55-35) Tampa Bay Devil Rays will be in the American League East MLB Picks race from now until September and nothing less than a playoff appearance will do. The (57-33) New York Yankees are thinking the same thing but they will not be satisfied with anything less than another World Series title, Tampa Bay wins+140.

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ATS LOCK CLUB

4 UNIT* MLB* Chicago White Sox , -105 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* New York Mets, -110 ML

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ANTHONY REDD
Sunday's Card

30 DIME LA Dodgers (Padilla) - 1 1/2 runs over Cardinals (Suppan)

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LT Profits

Rangers/Red Sox UNDER 8.5 -105
Giants -102

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3G

Free phone W Sox

Web Cardnials

Good luck
222

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JSM Sports

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Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[965] Philadelphia |5*|-165|B+0|ESPN|8:05 pm EST[/COLOR]

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ROBERT FERRINGO

6-Unit Play. Take #967 Detroit (-130) over Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, July 18)

If you were only looking for totals (or like having more action) below is what I have down and that I will be betting:


Todays Totals
1-Unit Plays.
Take Over 8.5 Colorado at Cincinnati (1 p.m.)
Take Under 9.0 Toronto at Baltimore (1:30 p.m.)
Take Over 9.0 L.A. Dodgers at St. Louis (2 p.m.)
Take Over 9.5 Oakland at Kansas City (2 p.m.)
Take Over 8.5 Seattle at L.A. Angels (3:30 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Plays.
Take Over 9.0 Milwaukee at Atlanta (1:30 p.m.)
Take Under 7.0 Houston at Pittsburgh (1 p.m.)
Take Over 9.5 Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2 p.m.)

I also have a Unit apiece on the Yankees, Astros, Braves and Angels

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INDIAN COWBOY
5 UNIT New York/Indiana Under 145.5 (6-2 on 5* selections)
4 UNIT Over 9.5 Minnesota/Chicago Over 9.5

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if you guys want to join us in the mlb forum to chat..just click on the link spook the book!!