8-28-10

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NEW GUYS! LURKERS!

Dont be afraid to post services if you come across them. Your posts will be appreciated for sure.

Just put them in the appropriate section (regular go here).

good luck!!( lets make some money)

post'em if you got'em gl lol..

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Clay Buchholz (15-5, 2.26 ERA) Boston Red Sox

We'd love to tell you Buchholz's ERA over his last three games, but the truth is he doesn't have one. That's right, it's 0.00 over his last 21 innings of work.

Buchholz has four straight wins and hasn't allowed an earned run since Aug. 6, thrusting himself prominently into the AL Cy Young Award conversation.

Perhaps most impressively, the Red Sox are 9-1 in his last 10 starts.

John Garland (13-8, 3.25 ERA) San Diego Padres

Garland has been hotter than Hades in the month of August, going 4-1 with an 0.98 ERA. Two of his last three outings were shutouts over six and seven innings.

The 6-foot-6 right-hander has been especially strong this season at home (7-2 with a 2.49 ERA), where he will face the Phillies today.

One word of caution: Garland is 0-4 lifetime with a 7.94 ERA against Philadelphia.

CC Sabathia (17-5, 3.02 ERA) New York Yankees

CC has won his last four starts, including a 10-0 shutout victory over the Seattle Mariners in six shutout innings, and he only left early because of a rain delay.

His previous starts have lasted 7, 8 and 8 2/3 frames - all for more than 100 pitches - so his durability seems to be a non-issue.

Sabathia has a 24/6 strikeout-to-walk ration during that span and he's 15-4 lifetime against the Chicago White Sox.


Slumping

Livan Hernandez (8-9, 3.36) Washington Nationals

Hernandez is showing all the signs of a tired pitcher. He is 0-2 and the Nationals are 0-4 in his last four starts, none of which have lasted more than seven innings.

The right-hander has thrown more walks (13) than strikeouts (11) during that span and has been working from behind in the count on numerous occasions.

In Monday's game against the light-hitting Cubs, Livan needed 121 pitches to get through 4 1/3 innings. The Cubs knocked him around for 10 hits and seven runs.

Barry Zito (8-9, 3.78) San Francisco Giants

Zito hasn't picked up a since July 16 and hasn't lasted seven innings since Aug. 6. Still, his recent outings qualify him as a slumper even by last month's standards.

The left-hander has worked just 16 innings over his last four appearances, allowing 28 hits and 14 runs during that stretch. In fairness, one was a relief appearance in which he let the Reds score the winning run.
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"Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose

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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Florida Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-180, 7.5)

The Braves are coming off a woeful series in which they were swept in three games at Colorado. But don’t be fooled into thinking that the NL East-leading Braves are suddenly playing bad baseball. They simply aren’t that good on the road; 29-37 to be exact.

For this series, though, Atlanta is back at home where it is by far the best team in baseball. The Braves are a daunting 44-17; no other team in the majors has fewer than 20 losses at home (ironically, that’s Colorado).

Atlanta is batting .269 as a team at Turner field compared to .250 on the road. The Braves score 4.87 runs at home while getting 4.51 across the plate as visitors. Their home ERA: 2.97. Their road ERA? Well, that balloons to 4.06.

The Marlins have won two in a row and seven of their last 10 heading into this series. Hanley Ramirez had 10 hits in a three-game series at the Mets earlier this week (the most of his career in such a span), but he will be hard-pressed to duplicate that feat with Tim Hudson going for Atlanta on Saturday.

Pick: Braves


Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays (-125, 7.5)

The Red Sox are 5.5 games out in the AL East with Tampa Bay and New York tied atop the division, so this might as well be a must-win series for Boston.

Easier said than done, of course, for the Sox. Kevin Youkilis is out for the year, Mike Cameron is having surgery on Friday, Dustin Pedroia is about to have season-ending surgery, and Jacoby Ellsbury might be out for the season as well.

The Rays, on the other hand, are flying high and invoking memories of 2008 when they made it to the World Series.

“It's exciting,” Matt Joyce said of the current pennant race. “Every day means something. You know you're playing for something. This is the way the game is supposed to be played. This makes it fun and enjoyable.”

One piece of good news for the Sox is that Clay Buchholz is taking the mound on Saturday, but the Rays are countering with Matt Garza, of no-hit fame.

Pick: Rays

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Saturday's Gridiron Battles

Week 3 of the NFL’s preseason schedule is up and running with nine games on the schedule for Saturday. We’ll open up with a battle between possible playoff teams in Baltimore. Then make our way to Houston for a Lone Star State showdown before a battle in the bay.

Giants at Ravens (-4½, 38) – 7:30 p.m. EDT

The Giants looked like one of the teams to beat last season after opening the year with five straight wins. That was just a mirage as they stumbled to a 3-8 mark in the final 15 games to miss out on the postseason party.

In only two preseason games, New York has mirrored the 2009 campaign. They looked sharp in its 31-16 “road” win over the Jets, following it up with a subpar performance in a 24-17 home loss to the Steelers last Saturday night. To be fair, the tilt against Pittsburgh was without both Eli Manning and Jim Sorgi.

The G-Men have also seen some bumps and bruises in the exhibitions as well. All Manning could hear was calliope music after not telling the rest of the team he was changing a play early against the Jets. That miscue caused him to lose his helmet, leading to a three-inch gash on his forehead. That forced him to miss last week’s game altogether. Same thing goes for Sorgi, who played well in the opener (8-of-15, 146 yards, 2 touchdowns). But he suffered a shoulder injury at the end of the preseason opener that will keep him out until at least the first week of the regular season.

Everything couldn’t be better for the Ravens. They improved its middle-of-the-pack receiving corp with Anquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth. Baltimore’s new duo has accounted for five catches and 106 yards. Needless to say this has made Joe Flacco’s job a little easier.

These two teams have seen stark contrasts in how they handle the preseason for total players. New York has cashed the ‘over’ in both of its games, while the ‘under’ is 2-0 for Baltimore.
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The Ravens have been a strong home team during John Harbaugh’s tenure as coach during recent preseason tilts, having gone 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread. The ‘under’ is a fantastic 5-1 in these tilts as well.

While that info might lead you to take Baltimore, there is some info to know. The recent preseason history between these two teams has seen the visitors go 5-2 SU and ATS, with the ‘over’ holding a slight 4-3 advantage.

Cowboys at Texans (-3, 40½) – 8:00 p.m. EDT, CBS

Expectations are high in the Lone Star State when it comes to football.

The Cowboys know that their home stadium will play host to Super Bowl XLV. The only question that remains for them is if they will be the first team to play the game on their home field. Preseason football isn’t much of a gauge, but the 2-1 record has to make fans and bettors alike happy with their chances.

Dallas hasn’t shown much in the way of its offensive gameplan during the exhibition. The ‘Boys are 29th in the preseason on the attack, averaging 251.3 yards per game. And Tony Romo has completed just 46 percent of his passes so far, tossing a pick and a touchdown in limited play. That will change on both offense and defense for the Cowboys as Wade Phillips has stated that the starters will be playing into the third quarter.

Houston finally looks like it will finally get to the playoffs after posting its first 9-7 record in 2009 under Gary Kubiak. Matt Schaub has picked up where he left off last year with his passing prowess. In limited play, Michael Vick’s former backup has gone 13-of-16 for 195 yards and a touchdown through the air. Schaub’s extended play on Saturday night will no doubt help an offense that hasn’t done much on third down in the preseason, converting just 6 of the Texans’ 22 chances.

These two teams have been on opposite sides of the spectrum when it comes to the totals: Dallas has seen the ‘under’ go 3-0, while the ‘over’ has hit in both preseason tests for the Texans.

One thing that bettors should keep an eye on is that the Cowboys are 2-5 SU and ATS in their seven road preseason tests under Phillips. The ‘over’ has gone 5-2 in that stretch as well.

49ers at Raiders (-1, 36) – 9:00 p.m. EDT

Is there a reason to be optimistic in the Bay Area? Still a little too soon to tell, but things are looking up.

San Francisco comes into this game having won both of its preseason tilts both SU and ATS. Although that cover as 3½-point home favorites last Sunday in a 15-10 win over Minnesota was a gift backers of the 49ers.

For the 49ers’ Alex Smith, he’s just happy to have Jimmy Raye running the offense. Doesn’t sound like much but this is the first time the QB from Utah has had the same offensive coordinator for two straight years. It hasn’t looked like the familiarity has helped as Smith has completed 54.5 percent of his passes for 125 yards and one pick.

One of the bigger positives of this preseason has been the play of Anthony Dixon. All the rookie out of Mississippi State has done is run for 154 yards and two scores on 41 carries.

Oakland has enjoyed the preseason with its new QB Jason Campbell, but they also found a suitable backup to him. Kyle Boller has taken advantage of injuries to Bruce Gradkowski and Charlie Frye with the extra snaps at camp. The result has been Boller completing 19-of-30 passes for 203 yards and tosses one touchdown.

Tom Cable has had the Raiders ready and willing to help out bettors as they’re 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in the preseason. The ‘over’ has also gone 5-2 in these games as well.

This head-to-head battle has been decidedly tilted to the home clubs. Home teams have gone 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS. Gamblers that fancy totals should note that the ‘over’ has hit in three of the last four meetings.
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NFLX Dunkel

SATURDAY, AUGUST 28

Game 263-264: Cleveland at Detroit (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.941; Detroit 122.881
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 35
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

Game 265-266: Cincinnati at Buffalo (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 121.751; Buffalo 116.939
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 39
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-2 1/2); Over

Game 267-268: Jacksonville at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 119.949; Tampa Bay 121.594
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+3); Over

Game 269-270: NY Giants at Baltimore (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 120.499; Baltimore 128.648
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 8; 33
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-5 1/2); Under

Game 271-272: Dallas at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.059; Houston 120.876
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 1; 43
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 273-274: Seattle at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 125.003; Minnesota 125.804
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 6; 38
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+6); Under

Game 275-276: Tennessee at Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 122.264; Carolina 119.469
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 3; 32
Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 35
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Under

Game 277-278: Arizona at Chicago (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 114.862; Chicago 123.195
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 8 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Over

Game 279-280: San Francisco at Oakland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 121.037; Oakland 124.291
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-1 1/2); Under

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What bettors need to know: Saturday's NFL preseason action

Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions (-2.5, 38)

Lions head coach Jim Schwartz has outlined his Week 3 preseason gameplan and would like for his starters to play into the third quarter of Saturday’s game.

"I'm not 100 percent set on it," Schwartz said. "There'll be some exceptions in there, but for the most part I'd like to be able to do that."

Matthew Stafford and the other first-teamers played four series against Denver last week, which spanned over the first two quarters. Shaun Hill backed him up in the second half before Drew Stanton came in for Detroit’s final two possessions.

Jake Delhomme and the Browns starters played the first half of last Saturday’s game versus the Rams. Seneca Wallace also got some reps with the first-stringers during the third quarter before giving way to Colt McCoy and Brett Ratliff in the fourth.

McCoy didn’t complete a pass during his two, three-and-out series and many have speculated that he’s on the roster bubble. Mangini said that Delhomme and Wallace would see the majority of playing time Saturday while McCoy and Ratliff will split time in the fourth preseason game.

Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills (+3, 35)

It’s not even the regular season yet and Terrell Owens has initiated a war of words. T.O. placed a target on his back after dubbing himself “Batman” and joining forces with Chad Ochocinco (Robin) in Cincinnati.

"For this week, address us (the secondary) by Mr. Freeze,” Bills cornerback Drayton Florence said. “We're just going to go out and try to shut them down."

Bettors must be aware that this will be the Bengals’ fourth preseason contest after playing in the Hall of Fame Game. That may mean the starters won’t be on the field as long as expected. Last week, Carson Palmer and the starters played through the first half (seven series) before J.T. O’Sullivan saw action in the third quarter and then Jordan Palmer in the final frame.

The Bills will again be thin in the backfield as Fred Jackson and Marshawn Lynch recover from injuries but rookie C.J. Spiller shined in his starting role last Thursday. Buffalo will be without linebacker Reggie Torbor for three weeks.

New York Giants at Baltimore Ravens (-4, 37.5)

This line was off the board until Thursday because the playing status of Eli Manning hadn’t been confirmed. He has deemed himself ready to play but there has been no official word from the Giants. Backup quarterback Jim Sorgi will miss the game with a shoulder injury.

Sportsbooks opened the spread anywhere from 3.5 to 7 in favor of the Ravens but that has since settled at 4. Cornerback Aaron Ross, safety Michael Johnson, wide receiver Ramses Barden, center Shaun O’Hara and running back D.J. Ware will not play for New York.

The Ravens are 2-0 ATS this year and 5-1 ATS in their last six preseason games. Bettors can reach back to a John Harbaugh quote from the first week as the source of the team’s success.

“You can lose all four preseason games and go out and win a Super Bowl. My guess is that’s been done before,” Harbaugh said. “But we sure rather win. I’d rather get the feel of winning. So we’re going to try to win them all. That’s our goal.”

Harbaugh had his starters play one possession into the second half of Baltimore’s third preseason game last year.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3, 36.5)

The Bucs surfaced as 1.5-point favorites for this game but the injury to Josh Freeman has moved the spread upward. Tampa Bay’s starting quarterback will miss the remainder of the preseason after fracturing the tip of his right thumb.

Josh Johnson started four games for Tampa Bay last season and will assume the starting role. The team went 0-4 in those games. Rudy Carpenter will serve as the backup under center and the Bucs resigned Jevan Snead as insurance. It hasn’t been pretty, but Tampa Bay is 2-0 ATS this preseason.

Jacksonville has yielded 28 and 27 points in their two preseason outings with both games sailing over the total by an average of 19.7 points.

Jack Del Rio had his regulars play the entire first half of last year’s Week 3 preseason contest.

Rain has battered Florida for the past few weeks and there is a 50-60 percent chance of precipitation leading up to this game. Forecasts have projected a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms Saturday night.

Tennessee Titans at Carolina Panthers (-3, 36.5)

The Titans looked dominant in Monday night’s preseason win over Arizona but will have to deal with a short turnaround as well as travel this week.

Vince Young and most of Tennessee’s starters played four offensive possessions Monday. Chris Johnson only appeared in one series.

In Week 3 of the preseason last year, Jeff Fisher’s regulars didn’t even play through the first half but it was technically the fourth exhibition because the Titans also played in the Hall of Fame Game. Fisher holds a career 4-9 record in Week 3 preseason games.

Carolina has scored a total of 15 points in two preseason contests and to no surprise is 0-2 ATS. Matt Moore and the starting offense haven’t posted a touchdown to date and that unit only managed 45 yards on 33 first-half plays during a 9-3 loss to the Jets last weekend.

The Panthers are 0-7 in their last seven preseason contests. John Fox had his starters play a full three quarters in last year’s Week 3 game.

Seattle Seahawks at Minnesota Vikings (-5, 38)

Brad Childress had planned on giving Brett Favre around 10 snaps in Sunday’s game versus San Francisco but that plan was adjusted after he took a hard-knock sack. Favre took four snaps and completed one pass for 13 yards before exiting.

Last year, Favre missed Minnesota’s first preseason game, played sparingly in the second and then logged one possession into the second half of Week 3. Tarvaris Jackson will serve as the backup this week but Sage Rosenfels could see the majority of action during the second half as rumors continue to swirl that he is being showcased as trade bait.

Sidney Rice was never going to play in this game but after undergoing hip surgery that will keep him out half the season, forcing the Vikings to sign veteran Javon Walker as insurance. They also recently traded for former Dolphin Greg Camarillo.

The Seahawks were dealt a major blow when their sixth-overall pick, offensive tackle Russell Okung, sustained a high-ankle sprain last Saturday. He will miss the remainder of the preseason and possibly more.

Matt Hasselbeck appeared in all five series during the first half last weekend. Charlie Whitehurst was under center for the third and fourth quarters. Justin Forsett started the game at tailback but Leon Washington looked better than Forsett and Julius Jones and practiced with the first team all week. Seattle is 0-2 ATS in the preseason.

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans (-3, 40.5)

This game total has been bet up two points since opening at 38.5. The Cowboys played to the over in four preseason games last year but all three of their 2010 contests have gone under.

Tony Romo and the starters amassed a total of 49 yards during four, first-half possessions last weekend. Jon Kitna was under center in the third quarter before giving way to Stephen McGee.

Dallas will be without a myriad of regulars Saturday including offensive linemen Marc Columbo and Kyle Kosier, safety Gerald Sensabaugh, defensive end Marcus Spears and linebacker Keith Brooking. Thin at the tight end position, Martellus Bennett is expected to return for this game.

The Texans have moved spreads in their favor for both preseason games thus far but they lost and failed to cover the number in both.

Houston’s defense was nonexistent last Saturday when the Saints hung 28 first-half points on them. Brian Cushing is playing in the preseason but the team is still very thin in the linebacker corps. Xavier Adibi and Danny Clark are not expected to play this week while Darryl Sharpton has swollen knee, but Gary Kubiak said he should play.

“We’ve got some issues, especially at the linebacker position,” Kubiak said. “We’re really down on numbers, especially at that position.”

Matt Schaub and Dan Orlovsky will be the two-man rotation at quarterback Saturday. Kubiak had Schaub play for the first half in last year’s Week 3 preseason game but some of the starters, including Steve Slaton, saw three quarters of action.

Arizona Cardinals at Chicago Bears (-3.5, 36.5)

Ken Whisenhunt announced Thursday that Derek Anderson will start the game but the quarterback position battle between he and Matt Leinart is still ongoing. The plan is that Leinart will come off the bench late in the second quarter and play into the second half.

Leinart played in three series Monday night, all three-and-outs, while Anderson led the offense to a field goal during his five possessions. Whisenhunt had his starters play the first two quarters of their Week 3 preseason game a year ago.

The Cardinals have lost six of their last seven preseason games and have to deal with the shortened-week factor as well as travel from Tennessee, back to Arizona and then to Chicago.

Mike Martz said the Bears’ offense has appeared “dysfunctional at times” this preseason because that’s how it’s supposed to look. He added that the playbook has barely opened as the offense is still experimenting with different things.

Lovie Smith had his starters play the first half of last year’s Week 3 preseason contest. Safety Josh Bullocks, who has been sidelined with a quad injury, is expected to return for this game.

San Francisco 49ers at Oakland Raiders (-1, 36)

The Battle of the Bay will feature two unbeaten teams straight up and against the spread. Since 2003, the winner of this rivalry has flip-flopped every year, so history suggests Oakland will win after the Niners took the game 21-20 last preseason.

But early money didn’t follow the trend as this spread has dropped from an opener of 2.5. San Francisco hasn’t covered the spread against the Raiders in the last two meetings.

When asked about starters’ playing time, Oakland head coach Tom Cable said, “We’ll treat this week more like how a normal game week would be.”

Jason Campbell has played the entire first half of each of the preseason games thus far, so he should go at least that long. Last year in Week 3, Cable had his starters play midway through the third quarter.

After missing the first two preseason contests, Mike Singletary suggested that Frank Gore will play this week. Singletary also said that Vernon Davis was day-to-day but that Michael Crabtree will suit up and play about a quarter.

Last year during Week 3, Singletary had his starters play one possession into the third quarter.
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Bettors' best friend: Saturday's wagering tips

Lines to keep an eye on

Giants at Ravens: Ravens opened as -7 favorotes but are down to -4 after the Giants announced that QB Eli Manning will start with a lacerated forehead.. The total skyrocketed from 27 to 37,5 at most books.

Jaguars at Buccaneers: Jags opened as -1.5 favorites but are now listed as high as -3 at most books.

Titans at Panthers: Panthers opened as -7 favorites but are now -3. The total leaped from 27 to 36.5.

Cowboys at Texans: Total opened at 38.5 but has climbed to as high as 40.5 at most books.

Cardinals at Bears: Bears opened as -7 faves but that number has been halved to -3.5. Total opened at 27 and has ballooned to as high as 38 at most books.

49ers at Raiders: Raiders opened as -2.5 faves but have slipped to -1.

Roughriders at Eskimos (CFL): Roughriders opened at -6 but have been bet up to -7. Total also has climbed from 56.5 to 57.5.

Mercuty at Silver Stars (WNBA): Mercury opened as -1 favorites but are now -3.5.

Weather to watch

49ers at Raiders: 20 percent chance of showers.

Jaguars at Buccaneers: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's hot

Tigers are 7-1 in their last eight.

Astros have won five in a row.

Storm (WNBA) are 7-1 in last eight vs. Sparks

Who's not

Indians are 1-5 in their last six.

Phillies are 1-5 in their last six.

Eskimos (CFL) are 1-7 in their last eight.

Key stat

0 - Combined number of wins between pitchers Zach Duke of the Pirates and Chris Capuano of the Brewers in recent meetings entering tonight's game. Milwaukee is 0-9 in Cappy's last 10 starts at home while the Pirates are 0-10 in Duke's last nine starts in Milwaukee. Something's got to give tonight.

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

The Cincinnati Reds placed star rookie Mike Leake on the 15-day disabled list Friday with a tired right shoulder. The team was preparing to cut back his innings, contemplating a move to the bullpen as to not overwork his arm, but opted for the DL. He is currently 8-4 with a 4.23 ERA in 22 starts and two relief appearances. Cincinnati expects Leake to return before the regular season ends.

Game of the day

Red Sox at Rays (-125, 7.5)

Notable quotable

"I think that it's asking too much of the women. They shouldn't be playing as many events as the men. ... you shouldn't push them to play more than they're capable of. ... It seems it takes an actual meltdown on the court or women quitting the game altogether before they realize there's a need to change the schedule."

Former four-time U.S. Open champion and CBS TV analyst said of the women's game during a conference call for next week's U.S. Open.

Tips and notes

The Arizona Cardinals will feature a new starting quarterback against the Bears tonight after two poor offensive showings in the preseason. Matt Leinart is upset with his demotion to second string behind Derek Anderson after he has directed the Cardinals to just three first downs and no points. Anderson is 24-of-41 for 193 yards, one TD and has directed the team to 15 first downs. Coach Ken Whisenhunt has said Leinart also will start the third quarter.

Injuries continue to alter the Red Sox's lineup and rotation. Boston second baseman Dustin Pedroia likely will have season-ending foot surgery next week and be done for the season, He is among a handful of key Red Sox players to miss significant time this season with injuries. Lefthanded reliever Hideki Okajima rejoined the team Friday in Tampa but may not be activated from the diabled list while still rehabilitating a hamstring injury. And righthander Daisuke Matsuzaka, who was scratched from Friday's start vs. Tampa Bay with lower back soreness, may not make his rescheduled turn next week.

The new NFL rule that moves the umpire to behind the center on the offensive line before the snap appears to be having an impact on up-tempo teams. Thursday night's game between the Indianapolis Colts and Green Bay Packers was particularly telling with Peyton Manning often bumping into the official while running the Colts' hurry-up attack. He was often delayed at the line of scrimmage while waiting for the umpire to back into position and has openly complained about the rule change. We'd like to say this new rule could impact scoring this season but this game saw a total of 83 points scored. It may, however, hurt teams with no-huddle offenses.
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Baseball Crusher

SF (-140) over ARI
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TONY GEORGE

Houston -3

Easy Pick here. REMEMBER this is Dallas 4th preseason game, not their 3rd. And to be honest Dallas has not looked all that good, but the starters will see see 1 quarter here, and Houston will show their full compliment well into the third quarter. Dallas played in the hall of fame game. Houston is playing their first home game, they are without a win the preseason to date, and will be playing more talent for a longer period of time. Does it get any easier than that for a small number of 3? I do not think so, Houston wants to win and beat big brother anytime they play, I like their chances here. Play 1 Unit on Houston.

BONUS PLAYS. Play a half unit on Jacksonville -2.5, play a half unit on Detroit -2.5. Tease Houston to +3 and Jax to +3.5 and play a half unit 2 team 6 pointer

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axiumsports.com

August 28th 2010

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1085.63

Pick #15-Australia A League Soccer-
15)Bet 14.00 to win 13.87 on Sydney FC -0.5 OVER Central Coast Mariners -101

Pick #16-NFL Preaseason-
16a)Bet 14.18 to win 13.13 on Detroit -2.5 OVER Cleveland -108

16b)Bet 29.40 to win 27.22 on Detroit -2.5 OVER Cleveland -108

Pick #17-NFL Preseason-
17aa)Bet 14.35 to win 13.67 on San Francisco/Oakland UNDER 36 -105
17ab)Bet 29.78 to win 28.36 on San Francisco/Oakland UNDER 36 -105

17ba)Bet 14.18 to win 13.13 on San Francisco/Oakland UNDER 36 -105
17bb)Bet 60.90 to win 58.00 on San Francisco/Oakland UNDER 36 -105
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Matt Faggo Fargo

NFLX GOY 10* Carolina
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BEN BURNS

CFL CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR

10* Edmonton Eskimos +6

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Dave Eckstein

Cincinnati Bengals -2.5

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Chad Greene

A's/Rangers UNDER 9

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Hondo

Hondo was only half bad last night as he con nected with the Metamucils to offset the Cubs' fail ure and leave the deficit holding at 1765 lazzeris.

Today, he'll try another triple dip with the Padres, Dodgers and Yankees -- 10 units apiece on Garland, Billingsley (Chad, not Barbara) and Sabathia.

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Arthur Ralph Sports
501 - 370 run 58 %

Free play Sat: RED SOX + 115

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Gamblers Data

SATURDAY
Padres over 7.5 -110

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RW Sports 111-119.5-19.5 (3-7)

Premiere League

spurs - wigan, spurs -1.75, 1.91 @ Pinnacle

blackburn - arsenal, 1st half: draw, 2.38 @ eurobet

blackburn - arsenal, total goals: 2-3, 2 @ bet365

blackpool - fulham, fulham +0, 1.69 @ Pinnacle

blackpool - fulham, over 2.5, 2.01 @ Pinnacle

England Championship

derby - qpr, qpr +0, 1.8 @ bwin

ipswich - bristol city, ipswich, 1.91 @ Pinnacle

millwall - coventry, millwall, 1.95 @ boylesports

sheffield utd - preston, sheffield utd, 1.95 @ victorchandler


Spanish Primera

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KYLE HUNTER

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants Total
7½ over

*3 Star Free Play Total* Barry Zito has been struggling of late, and the Arizona Diamondbacks have always given him trouble. The over is 3-0-1 in Zito's last four starts against Arizona. The over is 4-1 in the Diamondbacks last 5 road games. Daniel Hudson has been amazing for Arizona, but I think he is due for an off start. The Giants bats have been heating up in a big way over the last week or two. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last four home games. The wind is expected to be blowing straight out at 15 mph or more during the game. Given that both teams are hitting well, I think the over is a great value at 7.5 here.

[spook]

Bobby Maxwell
Free play

I just delivered a FREE winner on the gridiron on Friday night when the Saints scored a win and cover over the Chargers in New Orleans. Tonight, I'll hand you another NFL comp winner as I go with the Jaguars on the road in Tampa Bay.

Admittedly, Jacksonville has not looked good this preseason, playing poorly on both sides of the ball. But don’t you know coach Jack Del Rio has been all over these guys for their effort the last week and they will come out tonight against the Bucs and make some things happen?

QB David Garrard has been criticized heavily this exhibition season as backup Luke McCown has looked just as good as the starter, if not better. And the running game has been non-existent so far, managing just 68 total yards in two games, against the Eagles and Dolphins. Some injuries on the O-line are partly to blame for the low number, but that should improve tonight with the return of tackles Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton.

And expect Del Rio to put an emphasis on the running game against Tampa Bay tonight as he is a “run first” kind of coach. RB Maurice Jones-Drew is healthy for this one and should get between 5 and 8 carries and backup Rashad Jennings will get a nice long look in this one.

The Jags have made some moves to try and strengthen their defense with Rod Wilson coming in with his 36 NFL games under his belt with the Bears and Bucs.

Tampa has backup QB Josh Johnson playing tonight’s contest with starter Josh Freeman sidelined with his broken thumb. Johnson went 0-4 in his opportunities as a starter last season and completed just 54 percent of his throws. He did complete 6-of-10 passes for 113 yards and a TD against the Chiefs last week but his inconsistency will show up against the hungry Jags defense.

I’ve been a fan of Del Rio’s since he took over the Jacksonville team and think he will get that team straightened out and headed in the right direction this season. They are farther along than the Bucs and they’ll win tonight’s Florida battle by two TDs. Play the Jags.
2? JACKSONVILLE

[spook]

Scott Delaney
Free play

First Eli Manning got blasted in the forehead during the annual Giants-Jets game, which this season took place in Week 1 of the exhibition campaign, rather than this week; then he sat out so the stitches could heal better, and the wound wouldn't get irritated with a helmet on.

Now he's taking the field in what is supposed to be dress rehearsal, but against one of the most aggressive defenses in the league.

And quite frankly, I don't believe the Giants have had enough continuity this preseason, and will be ready this week with their starting rotation, which normally is supposed to play about three quarters.

I know Manning is a Super Bowl MVP and veteran in this league, but he still needs his reps, and he simply hasn't gotten them so far. Not like he should have.

And then you have backup Jim Sorgi, who is sidelined due to a shoulder injury, and he's still listed as out. That means third- stringer Rhett Bomar will
take the bulk of the second- half snaps.

Additional injuries leave me convinced this team isn't ready to tangle with a Ravens defense that has allowed a mere 7.5 points per game in the preseason.

Love the Ravens here.
2? BALTIMORE

[spook]

Stephen Nover Comp

I cashed my last free preseason selection taking the underdog Oakland Raiders last week against the Chicago Bears. Tonight I'm backing another underdog - the New York Giants against Baltimore.

The Ravens actually opened a touchdown favorite against the Giants. But with word out that Eli Manning would play the line has dropped down to Baltimore minus 4. Anything above a field goal still is decent value with the Giants.

The Giants are treating this game as their dress rehersal. Manning suffered a 3-inch cut on his left side of his forehead two weeks ago against the Jets. But he practiced this week after missing last week's game and is ready to go. Manning has been fitted with a special helmet and should play at least the first half.

The Ravens are overrated right now. They are averaging 20 points in their two preseson games. Their offense has yet to really click. They have offensive line injuries and their defensive backfield is extremely vulnerable due to injuries. Manning and his host of underrated wide receivers can take advantage.

Rhett Bomar probably will play the rest of the game when Manning departs. He's not a great quarterback by any means. But he did get valuable game experience last week playing the entire game against a tough Steelers defense with Manning and backup Jim Sorgi both out.

Bomar was a respectable 13-for-26 for 167 yards against Pittsburgh. He should be able to keep the Giants within the spread when the reserves finish the contest.
4? N.Y. GIANTS

[spook]

Karl Garrett Comp

G-Man with a Friday comp play winner on the Phillies +125.

For Saturday night in the NFL look for the Seattle Seahawks to stay inside of the generous impost at Minnesota.

The Vikings have a boatload of issues they are working through right now, as Brett Favre has played just one series thus far this preseason, and his favorite targets of Rice and Harvin are both sidelined.

This is Minnesota's home opener this preseason, and you have a case of an "inlfated" line being thrown out there by the linemakers.

Seattle has gotten some positive reps in this preseason for both Matt Hasselbeck and Charlie Whitehurst, and they do own a phenomenal 20-7 spread mark on week three of the preseason their last 27.

A closer look shows the Seahawks at 6-1 the last 7 years when playing game three in the month of August.

Minnesota did clobber Seattle during the regular season last year at the Metrodome, so look for Seattle to save a little face in this preseason affair.

G-Man grabbing the points as Seattle keeps it close.
1? SEATTLE

[spook]

Stephen Nover Comp

I am now on a 61-40-2 run with my baseball free picks, after my hot streak continued last night with the underdog Orioles beating the Angels. Tonight I'm going to lay the favored Yankees on the road against the Chicago White Sox.

Only four times all season have the Yankees lost three games in a row. Don't look for it to happen a fifth time. The proud Yankees will be in a bounce back mode after being embarrassed by the White Sox last night.

The price is fair enough to back CC Sabathia, the American League leader in wins and winning percentage. Sabathia hasn't given up more than three earned runs in a game since May 29. He is 15-4 lifetime against the White Sox.

White Sox starter John Danks has been good, but he's not in Sabathia's elite level. Danks has allowed at least five earned runs during three of his past 10 starts. He has just one win this month. Danks has a 5.48 career ERA versus New York.

The White Sox bullpen is extremely vulnerable. Bobby Jenks has worked once in the last seven days and Matt Thornton, who leads AL relievers in strikeouts, and J.J. Putz both are on the DL.

There's a huge class difference between these two teams. The Yankees' powerful AL East Division is 44 games above .500 versus non-division foes. The White Sox's AL Central Division is 14 games under .500 against non-division opponents. The Yankees are 45-18 in their last 63 games versus AL Central foes.

Since July 4, the White Sox have played only 11 games against teams with a winning record going 4-7. Class will prevail here. That means Sabathia and the Yankees.

2? N.Y. YANKEES

[spook]

Great Lakes Sports
Free play

New York Giants at Baltimore
Play: Baltimore Ravens

The Baltimore Ravens are a perfect 2-0 ATS overall this year, and the Baltimore Ravens is an outstanding 3-0 ATS where the total is between 35.5 to 38 points last three years. The New York Giants are a terrible 0-3 ATS when playing on Saturday's the last three years, and the New York Giants are a dismal 1-4 ATS when playing with six or less days rest. We look for the Baltimore Ravens to roll over the New York Giants and grab the home ATS Win & Cover tonight.

[spook]

Cincinnati Kid
Free play

CIN -3 vs BUF

Bengals and Bills collide on the pre-season gridiron this evening...Buffalo off the north-of-the-border win last week in Canada facing Cincy entering off BB SU wins...Bengals qualify as a Playoff Virgin (clubs who made the playoffs the previous year and were spectators the year prior) and these clubs are an astounding 16-2 ATS vs. clubs off a DD SU win during the 2000 decade...in this role the Fav is 9-1 and the Dog is 7-1...and when facing a .500 or better club the tally is 11-1 ATS. Playoff Virgins are 9-2 ATS when playing off BB home games and they are 4-1 off a SU win playing into DBL revenge...home teams are 28-50 ATS facing clubs off BB SU wins...in Week 3 they are 9-24 ATS in the same roll including 0-7 ATS L7 games...

[spook]

TRENDS

CLEVELAND at DETROIT, 5:30 PM ET
CLEVELAND: 15-9 ATS after 1+ SU losses
DETROIT: 0-8 ATS after a 2 game road trip

CINCINNATI at BUFFALO, 6:30 PM ET
CINCINNATI: 11-2 ATS Away against conference opponents
BUFFALO: 3-10 ATS at home when the total is 35 or less

JACKSONVILLE at TAMPA BAY, 7:30 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 8-0 ATS Away in week 4 of the preseason
TAMPA BAY: 6-1 Under after gaining 6+ yards/play

NY GIANTS at BALTIMORE, 7:30 PM ET
NY GIANTS: 3-13 ATS in week 4 of the preseason
BALTIMORE: 7-1 Under in non-conference games

DALLAS at HOUSTON, 8:00 PM ET
DALLAS: 14-34 ATS when the total is between 35.5 and 42
HOUSTON: 10-2 Under at home after 1+ SU losses

SEATTLE at MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET
SEATTLE: 11-2 ATS after a loss by 6 or less
MINNESOTA: 4-1 Over after a 2 game road trip

TENNESSEE at CAROLINA, 8:00 PM ET
TENNESSEE: 15-5 ATS as a road underdog
CAROLINA: 0-6 ATS in all games

ARIZONA at CHICAGO, 8:30 PM ET
ARIZONA: 1-4 ATS after a non-conference game
CHICAGO: 5-1 Over as a favorite

SAN FRANCISCO at OAKLAND, 9:00 PM ET
SAN FRANCISCO: 8-0 UNDER Away after 2+ SU wins
OAKLAND: 7-0 UNDER at home after allowing 17 or less in BB games

[spook]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Lions
Texans
Yankees

[spook]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 37 between the Giants and Baltimore

[spook]

DWAYNE BRYANT
Free play

BOSTON RED SOX +114

* Buchholz owns a 2.23 ERA in 11 road starts this season (Boston is 9-2)
* Buchholz also owns a 1.79 ERA & 1.08 WHIP in 16 nighttime starts this season (Boston is 13-3)
* Buchholz owns a 1.93 ERA in 6 career starts against the Rays
* Garza owns a 3.95 ERA in 19 nighttime starts this season (Rays are just 10-9)
* Garza owns an 11.25 ERA & 2.38 WHIP in 2 home starts against Boston this season
* The Red Sox are 7-0 in Buchholz's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record
* The Red Sox are 6-0 in Buchholz's last 6 starts as a road underdog
* Over their last 5 games, the Rays are averaging 3.5 runs per game against righties
* Over their last 5 games, Boston is averaging 4.9 runs per game against righties
* Boston's bullpen owns a 0.00 ERA & .098 BAA in their last 5 games

[spook]

The Asian Executive

10 dimes Game of the Month: Dallas Under 40.5

8 dimes Game of the Week: Arizona Under 38

7 dimes Game of the Week: Minnesota Over 38

[spook]

TRENDS



DETROIT (64 - 65) at TORONTO (67 - 61) - 1:07 PM
ALFREDO FIGARO (R) vs. BRANDON MORROW (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 225-231 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-34 (-16.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 22-40 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 28-49 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 45-50 (-8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 19-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 56-45 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 67-62 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 34-21 (+17.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MORROW is 10-2 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
MORROW is 10-1 (+9.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MORROW is 10-3 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-3 (+0.2 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

ALFREDO FIGARO vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON MORROW vs. DETROIT since 1997
No recent starts.

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MINNESOTA (74 - 55) at SEATTLE (50 - 78) - 4:10 PM
NICK BLACKBURN (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BLACKBURN is 14-33 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 2-12 (-10.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 13-31 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BLACKBURN is 1-10 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 97-96 (+5.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 74-55 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 70-50 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 106-81 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 51-77 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 50-75 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 25-53 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FISTER is 2-12 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+1.9 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

NICK BLACKBURN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BLACKBURN is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.535.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.5 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
FISTER is 0-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.97 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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KANSAS CITY (54 - 74) at CLEVELAND (52 - 76) - 7:05 PM
ZACK GREINKE (R) vs. JEANMAR GOMEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 119-171 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-34 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 110-154 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 78-118 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 48-68 (-17.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
GREINKE is 10-16 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 25-52 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 5-17 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 9-15 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 5-11 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
GREINKE is 36-61 (-27.0 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 118-174 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 63-82 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 108-157 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 77-113 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 84-128 (-36.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-4 (+1.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.9 Units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GREINKE is 7-7 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 10-10 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-5. (+8.3 units)

JEANMAR GOMEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
GOMEZ is 0-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (78 - 50) at CHI WHITE SOX (70 - 58) - 7:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 70-59 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-9 (+18.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 31-17 (+13.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 226-184 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-26 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SABATHIA is 42-15 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SABATHIA is 15-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.246.
His team's record is 19-9 (+9.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-16. (-6.6 units)

JOHN DANKS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
DANKS is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.735.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

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BOSTON (74 - 55) at TAMPA BAY (78 - 50) - 7:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. MATT GARZA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 153-81 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 51-26 (+20.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 116-83 (+28.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 154-84 (+29.6 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 152-81 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 104-52 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 143-153 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BOSTON is 60-37 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BUCHHOLZ is 17-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 15-4 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 14-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 14-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 16-4 (+10.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 11-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 69-71 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 8-5 (+2.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.152.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.1 units)

MATT GARZA vs. BOSTON since 1997
GARZA is 9-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.177.
His team's record is 14-4 (+11.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-9. (-1.5 units)

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OAKLAND (63 - 64) at TEXAS (73 - 55) - 8:05 PM
DALLAS BRADEN (L) vs. RICH HARDEN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 34-51 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 160-130 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 32-12 (+14.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 157-118 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 122-91 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 43-21 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OAKLAND is 44-43 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-33 (+13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 232-162 (+65.0 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 62-59 (+3.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 103-102 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 18-28 (-16.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 7-11 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 7-6 (-0.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

DALLAS BRADEN vs. TEXAS since 1997
BRADEN is 1-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.615.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+5.0 units)

RICH HARDEN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
HARDEN is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 0.965.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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BALTIMORE (46 - 83) at LA ANGELS (63 - 66) - 9:05 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 111-181 (-38.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 11-38 (-20.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 44-101 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 276-385 (-109.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 11-30 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILLWOOD is 27-36 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 15-5 (+11.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday this season.
LA ANGELS are 115-83 (+25.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 75-46 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
KAZMIR is 17-2 (+13.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
KAZMIR is 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 15-11 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
LA ANGELS are 63-67 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 24-31 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 106-103 (-59.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 60-67 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 41-50 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-0 (+5.3 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MILLWOOD is 5-5 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.351.
His team's record is 7-9 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-8. (-0.7 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
KAZMIR is 5-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.564.
His team's record is 6-8 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-9. (-5.4 units)

[spook]

Free Silver Key Pick for Saturday NFL Pre-Season Football

BALTIMORE -4 over Giants (7:30 et)

[spook]

Dave Cokin

Saturday's free play is the Cincinnati Bengals

[spook]

JOHNNY BANKS

New York Yankees vs Chicago White Sox Free MLB Pick

At 7:05 EST Saturday Night Play on the New York Yankees Moneyline -133, The Yankees come into this game having lost 3 of their last 4 games but they have their stopper on the mound tonight with C.C. Sabathia. The Yankees are 15-6 in Sabathia's last 21 road starts as a favorite and 16-4 in his last 20 starts when pitching with 5 days rest. The Yankees are 14-2 in Sabathia's last 16 starts overall and Sabathia is 15-4 in his last 19 starts against the White Sox. The White Sox lose this one tonight big and you can bank on it!

[spook]

Sportrends

Take Texas W/Harden over Oakland W/Braden NO PLAY if < -120 or > -175

[spook]

Sportshandicapperking

2-1 yesterday

30 dime double play +10 dime bonus

Nfl 30 dime play

3* Cincinatti -2.5

Mlb 30 dime play

3* San Francisco

Mlb 10 dime bonus

1* Minnesota

Freeplay

New York Yankees

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Jeff Benton

20 DIME SAN DIEGO PADRES
5 DIME HOUSTON TEXANS
5 DIME SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

San Diego Padres

The Phillies are 71-57 overall, including 31-32 on the road. Prior to last night’s extra-innings win, they had lost four in a row and six of eight, and they’re handing the ball to a pitcher (Joe Blanton) who is 5-6 with a 5.32 ERA on the season, including 1-4 with a 6.55 ERA in nine road starts.

The Padres are 76-51 overall (tops in the National League), including 38-24 at home. They’ve won 13 of their last 18 games (including six of eight at Petco Park), and they’re handing the ball to a pitcher (Jon Garland) who is 13-8 with a 3.25 ERA, including 7-2 with a 2.49 ERA in 13 home starts. Garland this month is 4-1 with a 2.01 ERA, as opponents are batting a collective .191 against him in August, and since the All-Star break he’s 5-2 with a 2.57 ERA and a .200 batting-average-against.

So why is San Diego such a cheap favorite this afternoon? Because the oddsmakers simply refuse to give this team – far and away the most profitable club in baseball this year – its proper respect. And smart bettors continue to make the oddsmakers pay for that disrespect.

Some more numbers to chew on with respect to this pitching matchup: With this being a day game, it must be noted that San Diego has been unseasonably hot this week, and the beefy Blanton is 3-3 with a 6.10 ERA in day games, while the svelte Garland is 6-2 with a 2.98 ERA in day games. And check out Blanton’s career numbers in three starts against the Padres: 13 runs (12 earned) and 23 hits allowed in 16 innings (6.75 ERA, 1.63 WHIP). He started a June 6 contest in Philly, which the Padres won 6-5 in extra innings.

Bottom line: San Diego may trail Philadelphia in terms of All-Star representatives and marquee players, but any way you want to crunch the numbers, the Padres are the better team. Throw in the fact San Diego has baseball’s top bullpen (2.82 ERA, compared to the Phillies’ 4.01 ERA) and I’ll gladly lay the cheap price with the best team in the National League.


Houston Texans

Clearly, the Dallas Cowboys aren’t putting forth much effort this preseason. Yes, their record shows they’re 2-1 SU and ATS, but one of those victories came in the Hall of Fame Game (16-7 over the Bengals), which is the biggest waste of time every year. And in last week’s 16-14 victory over the Chargers in San Diego, Dallas got outgained by 100 yards, with the offense mustering a pathetic 194 yards of total offense.

The Cowboys did finally produce an offensive touchdown last week, but it came after a turnover in the red zone. The only other time Dallas has found the end zone in three games was a 6-yard INT return for a score in the Hall of Fame Game. Overall, the Cowboys’ offense has accounted for just 34 points in three games while averaging just 251 total yards per game (68.3 rushing ypg). And Tony Romo has been far from spectacular, completing just 46.4 percent of his passes for 141 yards with one score and one pick.

Romo’s poor numbers are largely the result of the fact that he’s playing behind a patchwork offensive line. The Cowboys have been decimated by injuries to key guys up front (hence the reason the running game is netting just 2.8 yards per carry). Because of the line woes, I don’t expect Romo to play as long as he usually would in these Week 3 contests – and if he does play, I certainly doubt he’ll be dropping back to pass a lot since the Texans having a very good pass rush.

Speaking of Week 3 preseason contests, the Cowboys haven’t taken them very seriously. They’ve lost two of their last three, going 0-3 ATS. Two of those non-covers were against Houston, including a 28-16 loss back in 2007. In fact, the home team is a perfect 7-0 in this rivalry (five preseason games, two regular-season contests), with the Texans going 3-0 SU and ATS at home.

After consecutive road losses to Arizona (19-16) and New Orleans (38-20) in which the team showed very little on both sides of the ball, you can expect the Texans to come out clicking in their first home game. And there’s no doubt they’ll be playing to win, unlike Dallas, which is just trying to keep bodies healthy.


Seattle Seahawks

This number makes no sense. I know Brett Favre is going to see more action tonight than he did Sunday, when he was on the field for one series in Minnesota’s 15-10 loss to San Francisco. But if he plays more than six series – or about 1½ quarters – I’ll be shocked. For one thing, he knows this offense inside and out and only needs to play long enough to knock off the rust. For another thing, he’s without his top two WR targets in Sidney Rice (surgery this week) and Percy Harvin (ongoing migraines). And no way top RB Adrian Peterson gets more than a handful of carries.

Seattle, meanwhile, hits the road after a couple of tight preseason home games, rallying past Tennessee 20-18 in Week (as a 3½-point home chalk) and falling to the Packers 27-24 (as a 2½-point favorite) last week. So this marks Pete Carroll’s first time in hostile environment as Seattle’s head coach, and I’m very sure he’s going to treat this like a regular-season game, right down to playing his starters well into the third quarter.

Also, despite the SU and ATS results so far this August, the Seahawks have still been a preseason force since 2004, going 19-7 SU and 18-8 ATS in exhibition action. During this six-plus year stretch, Seattle is 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS on the road in the summer, and 9-2 ATS as an underdog.

Make no mistake: I realize that Minnesota is the superior team here. But there’s really nothing for the Vikings to gain by taking this game seriously – in fact, they’ve got a lot to lose in the form of potential injury. On the flip side, Carroll will be playing to win tonight, I guarantee you that. And the Seahawks have a ton of guys still fighting for jobs, and that includes at quarterback as veteran Matt Hasselbeck is being pushed by newcomer Charlie Whitehurst (former third-stringer for the Chargers).

Finally, the Vikings are just 3-5 in their last eight preseason home games, and Seattle has cashed in three straight Week 3 preseason tilts, the last two on the road as an underdog.

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ATS LOCK FB
12 Texans
5 Lions
4 Ravens

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Triple Threat Sports

2* Jacksonville (-) over Tampa Bay

Several factors pointing to the Jags, as phrases such as "alot at stake" and "demand a winning attitude" are coming from team leaders (Garrard, Jones-Drew) this week, as the team is 0-2 with two close losses in the preseason. Also, Bucs lost at home in Week Three last year whereas the Jags are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in Week Three of the preseason the last four years, 4-1 SU and ATS in this preseason "series" and are also playing their starters longer - into the third quarter - while the most the Bucs starting units will play is until the half.

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Northcoast
Sat/Sun

4 Hou

3 Jax

Pitt over

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Matt Fargo

Guaranteed Pick: Matt Fargo

10* Houston Astros

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MTI Sports

Guaranteed Pick: MTI Sports

Game: Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Aug 28 2010 7:10PM
Prediction: Boston Red Sox
Reason: In Matt Garza’s last start, he allowed only four hits in seven and two-thirds and the Rays won 3-2 in Oakland. Thy Rays haven’t won in this spot in a long time. Tampa is 0-8 since August22008 when Matt Garza starts when he had a WHIP of less than one on the road his last start. The SDQL text is:
starter=Matt Garza and s:SWHIP<1 and s:A and date>=20080801

By running the query you can see that the Rays were the favorite in six of the eight games. In Garza’s three starts in this spot this season, he has not produced a single quality start.

The Red Sox send Clay Buchholz to the hill in an effort to gain more ground in the wild card race. Buchholz has been spectacular recently, but, unlike Garza, he is a good investment in this spot. Boston is 19-0 with Buchholz when he is off a quality start, as long as he was not a 170+ favorite in that start. The SDQL text is:

starter=Clay Buchholz and s:QS and s:line>-170 and 20090819<=date>

Boston has won these 19 games by an average of a staggering 4.6 runs, with the average final score 6.7 runs to 2.1 runs.

As a team, the Red Sox are 7-0 after a win in which they drew 1 or fewer walks. The Rays, on the other hand, are 0-6 as a FAVORITE when they are off a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs. The Rays’ starters have zero quality starts in the six games and Tampa has lost by an average final score of 7.3 runs to 4.3 runs.

We estimate that the Red Sox have a better than 50-50 chance of winning here, which makes them a play at +130.

MTi’s FORECAST: Boston 5 TAMPA 3

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Pro Tipster

Date Country League Event Our pick
28.08.2010 Romania Liga 1 Craiova - Sportul Studentesc Craiova 0,-0.5


SAM

Belgium - Pro League - 19:00
Mechelen - Sint-Truiden take Mechelen to win
Bet365: 1.75
Best odds: 1,76 Canbet

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NFL-Marc Lawrence Pre-Season Playbook

5* Saturday 8/28 Seattle over Minn by 11

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KIKI SPORTS

Saturday August 28th

1 unit Cincinnati -3
1 unit Baltimore -4
2 units Houston -3

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BeatYourBookie

Daily NFL Premium Football Winner for Saturday

Saturday NFL Football

10* Play Arizona (+4) over Chicago (Top Play)
(8:00 P.M. EST Kick-Off)

Chicago is 2-9 SU in pre-season games coming off a loss as a favorite
Chicago is 5-12 SU in pre-season games when playing in the 3rd week of the pre-season

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PAUL BOVI

Dallas Cowboys/Houston Texans OVER 40

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WUNDERDOG (HORSES)
Saratoga Race #4 at 1:10 PM Eastern

Top pick: #2 (THE NOZ) - Lightly-raced gelding tackles winners after a nice looking maiden win here at this distance July 31. Has a lot of potential for upside and meets many who have been at this condition a long time. The top pick.

2nd pick: #8 (Quiet on the Tee ) - He's won his last pair one each on the Presque Isle "poly" and the latest defeating $15K claimers at Mountaineer Park on the turf. Has a stalking style that fits this crew perfectly and is a win candidate.

3rd pick: #9 (Joey's Chance) - He rallied from well back last out to finish second here at this level to the impressive "Abilio". Nearing his best off a five month layoff and he's a win threat this afternoon.

4th pick: #3 (Barrel of Love ) - Colt had all sorts of problems here August 4 as he raced very wide and was forced to steady twice. Race was his first around two-turns and he should run better today with a "clean" trip.

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Dave Cokin

Solid Gold - Oakland Raiders -1

Baltimore Ravens -4

Texas Rangers

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INSIDER ANGLES

NFL: SAN FRANCISCO VS. OAKLAND
The Battle of the Bay is a matchup of 2-0 teams this year as the San Francisco 49ers visit the Oakland Raiders, and in a game where the starters figure to play into the third quarter for both teams, the 49ers have more talent and a coach that loves winning in preseason, so they get the call as slight underdogs here.

Probably no coach in the NFL gets more out of his players then Niners coach Mike Singletary does, and given that Alex Smith is maturing nicely at quarterback, the running backs are solid led by Frank Gore and the defense is good and very physical, it is no wonder San Francisco has become a popular choice to win the NFC West Division.

The 49ers’ 2-0 start should not be too surprising given Singletary’s personality, as he is very intense and wants to win every game, regardless if it counts or not/ Then again, he has a young team, so instilling confidence by winning in preseason takes on greater importance. To this end, Singletary is now 5-1 in his two preseasons as head coach, with the lone loss coming in Week 4 last year in the only game where Singletary did not play his starters.

Now the Raiders’ 2-0 start should be taken with a grain of salt, considering they were shit out until about 5:00 left in the game by the Cowboys and then beat a Bears team that may challenge the Rams as the worst in the NFC this year. Also, the Oakland run defense has been horrendous, allowing a dreadful 5.1 yards per carry thus far, so we see the San Francisco offensive line pushing the Raiders’ front around a bit.

Besides, Singletary would like nothing better than to knock off what is still probably the more popular of the Bay Area teams on the road, and we look for his team to do just that.

NFL Pick: 49ers +1

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Free NFL Preseason Prediction From Robert Ferringo:
Take ‘Over’ 37.0 Arizona at Chicago (8 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28)
The Bears defense can’t stop anyone and they have easily sailed over the total in each of their first two games this year. Last week they played an Oakland team that no one would exactly call “explosive” in the rain and slop at Soldiers Field and they still allowed 32 points. Chicago is 11-3 against the total over the last four years in the preseason and they have gone ‘over’ the total in Week 3 of the preseason five straight years. The main reason is that they play a Tampa-2, which is a bend-but-don’t-break defense. Well, Chicago sits back and doesn’t use any of the wrinkles or many of the blitzes that they do in the regular season so they basically just let teams march up and down the field and then when those clubs get in the red zone they can usually punch it in (especially against the second- and third-team defense that has less playmakers than the starters.). Arizona’s offense, especiall! y Matt Leinart, has something to prove here. And I think a full half (or so) of Jay Cutler airing it out against the Cards secondary is good for our play here. Bet this one ‘over’.

Free NFL Preseason Prediction From Indian Cowboy:
Take #272 Houston (-3) over Dallas (8 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28)
Sometimes you just need a morale win. Such is the case with the Texans as they return home after back-to-back road losses in the preseason. Sure, the preseason doesn't count for much. But any coach would like his team to pick up a win here or there for morale purposes. And, this in-state rivalry does mean something. With Houston falling short against Arizona 16-19 on the road earlier this year, and then falling short 20-38 at New Orleans, this team is itching for a win and what better way to do it then in front of their home fans. Dallas won the Hall of Fame game, and then lost to Oakland on the road 9-17 and rebounded nicely to defeat the Chargers on the road 16-14. I look for Houston to win this game for a morale boost in their first action of the season at home and against an in-state foe for their first win of the preseason.

Free NFL Preseason Prediction From Jason Sharpe:
Take #264 Detroit (-2.5) over Cleveland (5 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28)
The Lions have the look of a team that is playing the preseason with a purpose and now that they are home for the first time this year, they look to continue with that momentum. The Lions starters have beat both of their opponents thus far and done it in two of the harder places to play, Pittsburgh and Denver. No doubt the Browns come into this one a little upset with their last game against the lowly Rams, a game where they turned the ball over a total of five times and lost 19-17. This should be an exciting first home game for the up and coming Lions as there are so many things to get excited about right now with this team. With this first home preseason game of the year, expect a full out effort and high level of intensity from the Lions. Take Detroit.

Free MMA Prediction From Vegas Sports Informer:
Take James Toney (+550) over Randy Couture (8 p.m., Saturday, Aug. 28)
Randy Couture 5-6 years ago would have killed James Toney, but age has caught up to him and with +550 on a guy that can take a punch is a nice spot for us here at UFC 118. I will bite on James Toney.

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Mr. East

MLB GOM

Tampa Bay Rays -1.5

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JACK BURNET

Your complimentary play for today will be :

OVER 39 Browns/Lions

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For Saturday "Mr Chalk" likes the Blue Jays -$150/Tigers.

"Mr Chalk" is 93-61 -$1650 for the 2010 MLB season.

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PHIL MAXWELL

ANGELS -155
kazmir -vs millwood

NFL
detroit lions
chicago bears

[golden contender]

Saturday Highest Rated Triple System NFLX Preseason game + 17-0 MLB Diamond Cutter system wins by 4 runs per game. Friday card cashes 3 of 4.


On Saturday the free play is on the San Francisco Giants. Game 916 at 9:05 eastern. The Giants fit a solid system tonight that plays on certain home favorites off a home favored loss at -140 or higher if they had 5 or more hits and their opponent is off a +140 or higher road dog win and the total tonight is 8 or less. The Giants are off 2 rare home losses in a row, while Arizona is on a rare road win streak. Things should get back to normal here tonight as the Giants have B. Zito on the mound. Zito is 9-4 at home with a 2.76 era, he opposes D. Hudson who has been decent thus far, as he makes his first start here. SF. is 7-3 here and has a huge home to road bullpen era edge. Look for the Giants to improve to 14-4 vs losing teams in the second half. Take the Giants tonight. On Saturday I have the highest rated NFLX game going tonight that is backed with 3 power systems. I also have a 17-0 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by 4 runs per game and an NFL Dog with bite system play. Friday card was solid cashing 3 of 4. Look for another big night on Saturday. For the free play take the SF. Giants. BOL GC

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TULEY THE TOUT

NFL X

Cleveland Browns +
Seattle Seahawks +

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Seabass Steam play 100* SD

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Dwayne Bryant

NY Yankees

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Teddy Covers

SD Padres
Boston Red Sox

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nsa

20 texans-3 goy
20 raiders-1
20 under sox/rays 7.5

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WINNING POINTS

PLAY OF THE DAY
Boston Red Sox +135

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Chris Jordan
Saturday's plays ...
My 400? winner for Saturday is the CINCINNATI REDS on the RUN LINE

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2 FOR THE MONEY

400 DIME NY Yankees -130 ML
300 DIME Minnesota Twins
300 DIME Cincinnati Reds -1.5 RL
200 DIME F5 INNINGS KC Royals -125 ML
200 DIME F5 INNINGS Atlanta Braves -180 ML
200 DIME Baltimore Orioles/LA Angels Under 9.5

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KELSO

BASEBALL
10 units Cincinnati Reds -1.5 runline
15 units LA Dodgers +120

50 UNIT PARLAY
20 units KC Royals -125
20 units NY Mets -160
10 units Parlay Both

FOOTBALL
3 units Dallas Cowboys +3
50 units Jacksonville Jaguars -2 @ Tampa Bay

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ATS LOCK BASEBALL

5 UNIT San Diego Padres -130
4 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays -130
4 UNIT Florida/Atlanta UNDER 7.5

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WILDCAT
nfl 7*
baltimore
vikings over

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DOCTOR SPORTS

SAN DIEGO PADRES -123
garland -vs blanton

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The Duke's Sports

Minnesota Over (8) for 3 Units

Both of these starters are struggling through the season and we expect the respective lineups to take advantage of them. Blackburn started the season strong but was never the same after he got lit up in Seattle back on June 1st. He also controls a lofty 7.51 ERA in daytime action this season. Fister, on the other hand, has had problems with Minnesota this season; he sports a bloated 4.97 ERA in two starts vs them and gave up home runs to 5 different Twins. The Mariners are 4-1 O/U following a quality start by Fister in his last appearance. Seattle is also 6-2 O/U in this 'total' range. Minnesota, however, is 7-1-1 O/U in their last 9 road favorite roles and 5-2-1 O/U in this 'total' range with Blackburn. "Over" the call.

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David Malinsky

4* DALLAS over HOUSTON

We have no problem taking a sauna here, with so much steam created on the Texans early today that there is outstanding value to go the other way. Yes, 0-2 teams playing at home have been decent pointspread propositions in the pre-season in the past, but only up to the point at which the natural market corrections take place. As such, consider what we are looking at tonight –

The Cowboys plan to play their starters as long as the Texans, both going into the third quarter. And Dallas is deeper. So the personnel realities make this similar to a regular-season game. So now for the contrast – while Houston is solidly in the -5 range now for this one, in two weeks we already see the Texans as +2 on this field vs. the Colts in key precincts, when they start playing for real. That creates an idea of how over-adjusted this one is.

Houston has a first-rate passing game, but the Texans are not in the NFL’s elite in the other key areas, especially in terms of toughness and depth. We saw evidence of the latter in last week’s ugly 38-20 loss at New Orleans, when the Saints rambled for 198 rushing yards. And two weeks ago the second-unit defense gave away a win at Arizona. So yes, there may be a stated focus here to make amends for those embarrassments, but while the sound bytes have led to a gold rush to the windows in the morning markets, the reality is that they are the weaker team in this matchup and do not bring the kind of control to simply go out and get what they want. And Gary Kubiak has already tried to take some pressure off of this scoreboard result - "Winning is always important, hell, that's why we play, but as I said all along you got to keep in perspective all the people you're playing, too."

The Dallas defense has a chance to be the NFL’s best this season, only allowing one score in the first half through three pre-season games. Wade Phillips put them through a lighter practice week than usual to keep them fresh for this one, and with his starters on the field as long as the Texan starters, and a better reserve cast, it would be no surprise for the Cowboys to get the outright win, with the generous line being offered a nice cushion.

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LT PROFITS
(nflx 6-6)
4* 49ers
3* bills
2* browns

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Coach K's Premium Plays
2* Texans -3.5
2* 49ers +1
2* Bears/Cards Over 38
2* Texans/Cowboys Over 40.5
2* Bucs/Jags Over 37
1* Seahawks +5.5
1* Lions/Browns Under 38

Freddy Wills' Premium Plays
5* Rangers -146 (5-Dime POD)
2* Braves (2-Dime Oddsline Error)

Tommy Gun's Premium Plays
3* Padres -127
2* Yanks -133
2* 49ers +1

Adam Nichols' Premium Plays
5* Pads ml -130
5* Rays ml -122

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SPORTS WAGERS

Oakland +1.38 over TEXAS
This has been an eventful season for Dallas Braden. His season includes a perfect game, pitching through an early-season ankle injury that often left his status uncertain between scheduled starts, and a mid-season DL stint with elbow tendinitis, which cost him a month. Perhaps most significantly, 2010 may become known as the season in which Braden established himself as a solid starting pitcher. Braden's 62%/14% good start/bad start split indicates that he has become a reliable, consistent starter this season despite the physical obstacles he has faced. The 2010 skill-set here include some clear differences from that of previous seasons. His control has improved from solid to elite, as Braden has lowered his walk rate by more than one-per-nine-innings, a substantial improvement. Braden is inducing more groundballs than in seasons past, with a substantial rise in GB% accompanied by a corresponding drop in FB%. Despite a strong offensive showing last night, the Rangers still struggle vs southpaws. More than that, however, is the tag being offered here against Rich Harden. Harden continued his "Jekyll-and-Hyde" season with 6.2 hitless-shutout innings on Monday. He threw 111 pitches in a five-walk, six-strikeout effort in his return from a shoulder issue-induced DL stint. Harden has struggled between injuries this season, with horrid control contributing to an awful 5.56 xERA. Harden also has a 53% FB rate, a 74% strand rate and over his last three starts that strand rate is 88%. Harden is a high-risk favorite that is not worth the risk. Play: Oakland +1.38 (Risking 2 units).


Minnesota –1.07 over SEATTLE
Nick Blackburn has shown very little this season and in most cases he’s been completely torched. He comes into this game with a 2-7 road record and a 9.30 ERA to go along with it. In fact, his ERA on the road is almost three times higher than the home ERA (3.14) of Doug Fister. The difference between these two pitchers, however, is very slight and while Blackburn’s ERA is a result of everything going wrong, Fister’s ERA is a result of everything going right. Fact is, Fister is a soft-tosser with a ton of blowup risk. In four August starts, he’s allowed 31 hits in just 22 IP for a BAA of .333. It’s also worth noting that the Twinkies have seen him twice this year and they scored five runs on him both times so he’s not likely to fool them here either. As for Blackburn, well, he, too, is a soft-tosser with good control. He and Fister could be brothers in that respect, as they come from the same school of pitching. The big difference is not in their skill levels; that’s even. The difference comes in the respective teams they play for and you certainly don’t need this analysis to point those differences out. In a match-up of equally poor starters, with one being no better than the other, take the much-better team and lay under a dime. Play: Minnesota –1.07 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).


Arizona +1.38 over SAN FRANCISCO
This could be the biggest overlay on the board today. First, the D-Backs continue to tear it up against lefties with one of the top OPS vs southpaws in the league. Arizona is still playing good ball and have been for the better part of the last month. They came in here last night and beat Tim Lincecum and the Giants 6-0 in a matchup that looked a lot less favorable than this one. Barry Zito is still Barry Zito no matter how you break it down. He relies heavily on his experience and some luck and sometimes it works out. Fact is, Zito has an xERA his past three starts of 7.27. His GB rate of 35% is one of the lowest in the majors. If he wins, he’s lucky because he absolutely will allow the opposition a ton of scoring opportunities with his propensity to give up hits and walks. As the season drags on, you can expect Zito’s fluky 3.78 ERA to head south. Over his last four appearances, which include that one inning he pitched in that marathon game against the Reds last week, Zito has surrendered 28 hits in 16 innings. Zito is a stiff, period. Daniel Hudson has been brilliant. Since coming over from the Chicago White Sox on July 30, he’s done nothing but dominate. Hudson held Colorado to four hits over seven scoreless innings while striking out nine Sunday, but didn’t get any help in a 1-0 loss. Hudson has nasty stuff and when you consider that everyone has seen Zito about 1000 times and nobody has seen Hudson, a big edge has to go to the pitcher nobody has seen. Play: Arizona +1.38 (Risking 2 units).


EDMONTON +6 over Saskatchewan
The Eskies have been ripe for the pickings all season long and this one could be no different. Still, laying points on the road in this league has been a bankroll killer all year and it’s for that reason that doing so cannot be recommended. The Esks are down and out but they still have some talented players and the Riders have shown enough flaws this year to warrant going against them. Play: Edmonton +6 (No bets).

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SPORTS WAGERS

Randy Couture (via submission) –1.30 over James Toney
Dana White admits that he has entered the world of "Freak Shows" with this fight and he won't get any argument here. Both men are in their 40’s and well past their prime. In all honesty though how can Randy "Captain America" Couture lose this fight? The UFC would not have allowed this fight to happen if they thought that James Toney had any chance of winning. Do you know how embarrassing it would be for MMA if he waltzed in and beat one of the main faces of the sport in the octagon? It would be absolutely devastating. If this were a straight boxing match James Toney would be the lock of all locks but it's not and the transition from boxing to MMA has a much higher degree of difficulty. The UFC knows that Couture will never be a contender again but fights like this one allow him to finish his career with high-profile victories. Toney has approached the fight saying that he doesn't need to learn any jiu-jitsu or wrestling skills and that attitude will certainly seal his fate. For those who think that he has a punchers chance, he better knock Randy out on the first punch he throws cause after that he will surely be on his back. Couture will take this fight to the mat and punish Toney for all the smack he’s been talking. He will probably soften him up with some ground and pound before he locks in a submission to score a victory for MMA over Boxing. There is no value laying –6-1 on Couture straight up and this fight will definitely end inside the distance. Toney has a decent chin, so it only makes sense to lay the smallest amount offered, that being, Couture by submission. Play: Couture –1.30 by submission (Risking 2.6 units to win 2).

Kenny Florian –3½ +1.30 over Gray Maynard
Gray Maynard is 9-0-0-(1) in his career and is riding a seven-fight win-streak in the UFC but he is taking a massive step up in class here. Kenny "KenFlo" Florian is one of the best Lightweight mixed martial-artists in the world. He has dominated everyone he has faced before and after his Championship match loss against B.J. Penn. In his two fights since that title shot he has looked like an absolute beast, dominating both Clay Guida and Takanori Gomi before submitting them both with rear naked chokes. It should also be noted that both of those fighters came back to win their next fights convincingly. Gray Maynard is getting a lot of hype going into this contest but his résumé isn't nearly as impressive. He is a great wrestler with solid power but he doesn't finish his fights. His last six victories came by decision and he barely squeaked by both Nate Diaz and Roger Huerta via split decision in his last two contests. If both Florian and Penn win on this card, it will surely set up the rematch between them for the belt. Maynard has looked very hesitant in his recent bouts and if he does that here "KenFlo" will jump all over him. Florian is one of the most intelligent fighters in the sport and he will get the best of Maynard both on his feet and on the ground. He may end the fight within the distance via submission but there is no reason why he won't claim victory by more than 3½ points on the scorecards of the judges. Taking plus money by laying 3½ points on one of the best in the sport only makes sense here. Play: Kenny Florian (-3½ Points) +1.30 (Risking 2 units).

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EVAN ALTEMUS

3 Units Tennessee +3

Carolina has struggled mightily to move the ball on offense during the preseason. They are still without their best weapon Steve Smith, and they are still starting a relatively new quarterback in Matt Moore. The Panthers are still winless in the preseason, but I don't think they have the offense capable of covering this point spread and beating Tennessee by more than a field goal. The Titans have also been a good preseason team under head coach Jeff Fisher. Vince Young has played very well in the preseason and will likely play into the 3rd quarter in this game. The Titans have a significant edge in starters compared to the Panthers, especially when getting three points. I look for Tennessee to keep this game very close or win outright.

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BOB BALFE

Philadelphia Phillies +120

The Phillies almost blew a great outing by Oswalt last night, but came back in extra innings which had to deflate the Padres. They now are back on top of the wildcard standings and the pressure is on the Braves to maintain their two game lead over Philly in the NL East. The Phillies have won 16 out of the last 17 when playing the Padres on the road. Look for the Phillies' bats to get back on track today. Take Philadelphia.


Detroit Lions -2.5

Detroit has a lot of young, talented players that will be starters this season. It is crucial to get these guys reps tonight against a very beatable opponent. The Lions are going to turn some heads on offense in 2010 and I believe their defense will be much improved as well. Take Detroit at home.


Minnesota Vikings -5

Seattle has a huge problem at offensive line and they will want to make sure they don’t get Hasselbeck hurt on this turf in a game that means nothing. Brett Favre will play a little bit longer tonight, but this game will be won by the Vikings defense as they should shut down the run and not allow Seattle any time to throw the ball. Take Minnesota.

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PAUL LEINER

50* Bills +3

25* Det/Cle Over 38

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SAM CLAYTON

2 UNITS SF GIANTS -145

Say what you will about this being a popular play, but I'll gladly pull the trigger in this situation AGAINST Daniel Hudson, a young pitcher I've followed very closely since his MLB debut in Chicago last season. Hudson has shined bright since switching over to the Senior Circuit, but he hasn't exactly beaten a potent offense. The righthander topped the Mets, Padres and Brewers (sans Braun and Hart). Not exactly the cream of the crop. I would go as far as saying Hudson hasn't had a REAL road test all season long and he's about to be thrown into the lions' den against the Giants. Albeit they were shutout yesterday in what looked like a hangover from a dayoff, San Francisco has been tearing the cover off the ball, scoring 38 runs in the previous three games. Hudson throws a very hittable ball and he pitches to contact, something the lefthanded bats of Torres, Huff, Sandoval and Ishakawa will be ready for. Plus, Buster Posey remains red hot as does Juan Uribe. Barry Zito has been a little shaky as of late, but he's been away from home cooking for a long while. The southpaw returns to the Bay Area where he's 6-2 with a 2.76 ERA, not to mention in the middle of a playoff race toward the NL Wild Card. The Giants have the revenge and motivation factors in their favor and while Barry Enright kept them down Friday, Hudson is a similar pitcher with a very similar gameplan. The San Fran sticks will wake up.

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Mike Neri Sports

1 Unit NY Mets -168

1 Unit LA Angels -165

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Info Plays

3* on Colorado Rockies -118

Reasons the Rockies win:

1.) System Play. We'll Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 54%). This is a 42-9 ML System hitting 82.4% over the last 5 seasons. This system is 4-0 this season. Bet the Rockies at home.

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John Ryan

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers

5* graded play on the Dodgers as they take on the Rockies set to start at 8:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Dodgers will win this game. Billingsley has been a superb starter this season sporting a 3.70 ERA and a 1.322 WHIP in 24 starts. Moreover, he has allowed just seven home runs on the season and NONE in his last 13 starts spanning 81 innings. Dodgers are batting 277 scoring 4.9 RPG with 10 home runs spanning the last seven games. The bullpen has posted a 2.01 ERA and a 0.671 WHIP over the last seven games. Dodgers are a solid 18-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Dodgers.

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MARCO D'ANGELO-SPORTS UNLIMITED
TRIPLE DIME GAME OF THE MONTH
3* Colorado Rockies

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SPARTAN
RABID DOG RELEASE
Boston Red Sox

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TIM TRUSHEL
Atlanta Braves Under
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles F5 INNINGS

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Wayne Root

No Limit GOY - Texans

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Teddy Covers

SD Padres

Boston Red Sox


Lions Over

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LENNY STEVENS
NFL
10 houston
10 chicago

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SPORTS UNLIMITED
3 carolina

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Sports bank
nfl 500*
seattle

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Tony George

SD Padres -126

Cheap Cheap number for a red hot pitcher in Garland backed by an excellent bullpen. Not sold on Blanton in this one at all, and the Phillies are hit and miss at best right now. Off a loss against Oswalt who finally showed up last night, I like the bounce back spot here for the hometown team. Last 18 innings Garland has pitched, he has a 0.98 ERA. Great Spot for the Padres to even the slate on Saturday, I am all over them. Play 1 Unit on the Padres

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Bill Marzano

Seahawks at Vikings
Pick: Seahawks +6

I like Seattle + the points in this game vs Minnesota...this is a very interesting matchup and I think a much more important game for the Seahawks than the Vikings...I made the mistake of laying the wood in the Patriots game the other night knowing how well dogs have played in the preseason listed as +6 or more...the Vikings are having some problems with injuries right now and look for them to try to stay healthy for as much of the remaining preseason as possible...take the points

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Power Play Wins

New York Yankees -133

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Sports Bank

500* Seattle

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guys i will start a new thread for buy groups...

maybe more people will see it that way!!!! ::thumbup::

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Jon Starz
1 unit Jax-1
1 unit Car +3.5

had 2 unit Wash +5.5 last nite those are his posted lines

3G Sports 10-1 PS

10* Hou -3
5* SF/Oak under 36

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Sports Book Edge
GOW Houston Texans -3/TOW SF 9ers-Oak.Raid Ov 36/Rubberband Latimore Ravens -4

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Here are the write ups for Starz

Preseason Week 3

Tennessee @ Carolina (-3.5, 37)
Tennessee (1-1) has put QB Young back in charge and he is clearly outperforming veterans Simms and Collins. The defense has played well early in games holding both opponents scoreless in the first quarter. Can they deliver a 4 quarter performance? Tennessee is 2-0 ATS in the preseason.

Carolina (0-2) has found its offense sputtering despite who is at the helm. Rookie Claussen seems to have the edge over Moore but neither has looked particulary effective. The defense has allowed juts 26 points in 2 games and that allows for some hope. The Panthers are 0-7 ATS during the preseason.



Play Carolina +3.5 for 1 unit


Jacksonville @ Tampa Bay (+1, 36.5)
Jacksonville (0-2) has lost 6 straight games and they seem to have forgotten how to win. QB Garrard has played well but MCCown has also done well and now he faces his ex mates. The defense has allowed both the Dolphins and the Eagles to dominate them and that won't produce a win any time soon. Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS.

Tampa Bay (1-1) has all 3 QB's playing well statistically but they are getting big plays from their recievers. The running game is sputtering and RB Ward needs a big effort to gain a roster spot. The defense continues to improve this preseason and today will give them a stiff test. The Buccaneers are 2-0 ATS in the preseason.


Play Jacksonville -1 for 1 unit



Washington @ New York (-5.5, 34)


Washington (1-1) moved the ball well last week against the Ravens starters but they found themselves in long field situations where they simply could not finish. The starting defense played well but the backups struggled. Washington is 0-3 ATS on the road in the preseason.

New York (1-1) has started slowly on offense and one would expect some big things this week from an offense that has scored just 25 points thus far in the preseason. The defense was in mid-year form last week allowing just a FG in beating Carolina 9-3. The Jets are 3-0 ATS after allowing <10 in the previous preseason game.



Play Washington +5.5 for 2 units

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Mike Neri

4* Cleveland over
3* Baltimore
3* Houston
3* Carolina
OPINION Chicago

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NEW YORK SPORTS INVESTORS
GAME#2

20 DIME MLB HIGH ROLLER TOTAL!
(Milwaukee Brewers/Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 9)

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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-August 28th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[902] Atlanta |8*|-180|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[904] San Diego |8*|-124|B+0|FOX|4:10 pm EST

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JOHN FINA/WINNINGWAYSPORTS
GAME OF THE YEAR
Seattle Seahawks

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POWERPLAYWINS
POWER PLAY OF THE DAY

New York Yankees -133 with CC Sabathia

Free NFL Arizona Cardinals +4

Free NFL Houston Texans -4.5

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SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR
Version 1.0:
Cleveland Indians +113

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CROWN CITY SPORTS CONSULTANTS
Saturday August 28, 2010

FREE SELECTION
1- Giants -145

PREMIUM SELECTIONS
3- Phillies +110
3- WSox +125
3- Rays -145
2- Twins/Mariners under 8.5
2- Dodgers/Rockies under 8.5

UFC 118
Nate Diaz -220
James Toney +400

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ULTRA SPORTS

MLB PREMIUM
3 UNIT SD Padres over 7.5 -115
3 UNIT Boston RS +135
3 UNIT Oakland A's +135
3 UNIT LA Angels over 9 -110

NFL PREMIUMS
3 UNIT Jacksonville Jags
3 UNIT Carolina Panthers

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TOP SHELF CHICAGO
2* Mil/Pitt Over

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BIGFELLA SPORTS

$15 Send It In MLB Twins -109

NFL

$10 Dime Play Dall/Hou OVER 20.5 1st Half

$10 Dime Play Dall/Hou Over 41

$10 Oakland Raiders -115 ML

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&S PICKS
5 DIME SYNDICATE PLAY Atlanta Braves ML
5 DIME BOOKIE BASHER SF Giants ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY Washington Nationals ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY SD Padres ML
5 DIME REGULAR PLAYS Houston Texans -5
5 DIME REGULAR PLAY Seattle Seahawks +5.5

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BILL MARZANO

Seahawks at Vikings
Pick: Seahawks +6

I like Seattle + the points in this game vs Minnesota...this is a very interesting matchup and I think a much more important game for the Seahawks than the Vikings...I made the mistake of laying the wood in the Patriots game the other night knowing how well dogs have played in the preseason listed as +6 or more...the Vikings are having some problems with injuries right now and look for them to try to stay healthy for as much of the remaining preseason as possible...take the points.

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syndicate sharps (elitecapperspicks)


nfl saturday: (4 "members picks")

6:30pm:*5*nfl buffalo bills +3 (-110)

6:30pm:*5* buffalo bills -ml (+140)

8:30pm:*5* arizona/bears over 38.5 (-110)

9:00pm:*5* oakland raiders -ml (-118)

mlb saturday6 “members picks”)

4:10pm:*5* padres/phillies over 7.5 (-120)

7:10pm:*5* ny mets -ml (-169)

7:10pm:*5* boston red sox -ml (+130)

8:10pm:*5* la dodgers -ml (+117)

9:05pm:*5* sf giants -m(-142)

9:05pm:*5* la angels -rl -1.5 (+125)

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ONLINE SPORT WINNER
TOP PLAYS
Buffalo Bills
Tennessee Titans

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PICKTHERIGHTBET

PLAY OF THE DAY
MLB-Houston/NY Mets Under 6.5 -115

NFL PREMIUMS
NFLX-AZ/Chi Over 38
NFLX-Oakland -1

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MIKE HOOK

MMA-UFC PLAYS
2* NIK OSIPCZAK -180 Greg Soto 7:15pm
1* MARCUS DAVIS +175 Nate Diaz 11pm
1* GRAY MAYNARD +140 Kenny Florian 11:15pm

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Betting as a Business

Saturday NFLX

NFLX: 8/29
(2 Plays Total Risk 2.50 Units)

NY Giants +4 / Baltimore 7:30 ET 1.00 Unit

Minnesota -5 / Seattle 8:00 ET 1.50 Units

MLB: 8/28
(3 Plays Total Risk 3.50 Units)

Philadelphia (Blanton) +115 / San Diego (Garland) 4:10 ET 1.00 Unit

Parlay: Houston (Myers) +160 / NYM (Santana) & Under 6.5 (-115) 7:10 ET 1.00 Unit
Here's a nice value spot for us. We're risking 1 unit to win 3.86 units, going with the red hot Astros, winners of 5 of their last 6, with their ace on the hill. In fact, Myers has started 15 of Houston's 58 wins this season! This is really the only way to play this game from a value stand point considering Houston's inability to score (avg 2.6 rpg last 10) and they'll be facing Santana tonight on the road. We're looking for your classic pitching duel here with the road team spoilers avenging last nights 1 run loss.

Tampa Bay (Garza) -138 / Boston (Buchholz) 7:10 ET 1.50 Units

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GRAND SLAM SPORTS PICKS

1 UNIT SF Giants -150
1 UNIT LA Angels -165
1 UNIT Boston Red Sox +108
1 UNIT Cincinnati Reds -180
1 UNIT Atlanta Braves -180
1 UNIT NY Mets -170
1 UNIT KC Royals -125
1 UNIT Seattle Mariners -110
1 UNIT Chicago White Sox +115
1 UNIT Oakland Athletics +130
1 UNIT SD Padres -130
1 UNIT Milwaukee Brewers -165
1 UNIT SL Cardinals -110

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WAYNE ROOT
4* MILLIONAIRE Carolina Panthers
6* BILLIONAIRE Chicago Bears

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Marc Lawrence

Houston Texans -3

The Texans return home off an 18-point loss in quest of their first preseason win when they host state-rival Dallas this evening and it's our contention they will get it rather comfortably this evening. For openers, NFL home teams in Game Three of the preseason hosting a team playing its 4th preseason game are 17-3 SU and 15-5 ATS if they are off a loss of four or more points, including 11-0 ATS if the host scored more than three points in its last game and the foe is not off an ATS loss (Dallas is not). In addition, teams in Game Three of the preseason off back-to-back SU and ATS losses are 19-4 ATS when facing an opponent off one win-exact if the last loss for the winless team was by more than eight points ATS, including 10-0 ATS if the foe is off a win of 10 or less points in its last game and our team was not shutout in its last game. With Dallas 0-3 ATS in preseason games when playing off a SU underdog win against an opponent off back-to-back losses, look for the Texans to enter the win column here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Houston.

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Lenny Del Genio

Cincinnati Bengals -3

You typically don't find too many road favorites in NFL Preseason play, particularly here in the 3rd week, but you also typically don't find NFL teams as bad as the Buffalo Bills. Additionally, we've got the scheduling advantage with this being the Bengals fourth game (lost to Dallas in HOF Game) while its just the third for the Bills. Since losing the Hall of Fame Game in Canton, Cincinnati has looked much better, particularly in the second halves where they've outscored Denver and Philadelphia by a combined 31-10. Both games ended up being easy wins and covers for Bengals backers. Last week vs. the Eagles, newly acquired WR Terrell Owens hauled in a big 43 yard reception, which led to a Cincy TD in the first half. You just gotta know that Owens will be primed and asking for the ball against his former team here. Particularly because of the way he felt he was "misused" in Buffalo. We expect a TD from TO here. Meanwhile, this is the first true home game for new Bills HC Chan Gailey. That's normally a good 'play on' opportunity, but not with Buffalo in the third week. After looking, well, like the worst team in the NFL in the preseason opener - a 42-17 loss at Washington - the Bills rebounded last week with a 34-21 victory over Indianapolis in Toronto. However, as we've all come to know, beating the Colts in preseason play means absolutely nothing, particularly when you consider Buffalo was +4 in turnover differential in that game. One of those takeaways was converted into a 'pick 6' and 1st round DC CJ Spiller (Clemson) also electrified fans by breaking a long TD run. Problem is that Buffalo could very well be the most depth shy team in the league while Cincinnati's young players have actually been producing late in these games (see above) with 7 or 8 roster spots still up for grabs. Since '93, the Bengals are 11-2 ATS in preseason games on the conference road. League-wide, there is a system that says to play on road teams in this week of the preseason, provided they are off BB ATS wins. The Bengals are just that, so we look for this system to move to 37-13 ATS since 1993. Cincinnati is our NFLX Oddsmaker Mismatch.

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Nick "Bookie Killer" Parsons

10* SF Giants -135

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Daniel Hudson gets the call for the visitors; Hudson continues to pitch well as he’s 4-2 on the year with a 3.10 ERA; however his efforts have been wasted because of a chronic lack of run support.

And keep in mind that despite yesterday’s rare victory, the Diamondbacks are in fact a horrible 1-7 their last eight vs. the Giants; just 7-14 (-4.6 units) as a road dog in the +125 to +150 range; also a horrible 18-33 (-15.1 units) after a victory.

In the other dugout: Barry Zito heads to the hill for the home side; Zito has a chance at a start here and he’ll look to return his club to the winners circle; despite his recent struggles, keep in mind that Zito is 6-3 with a 2.83 ERA in front of the home town crowd.

The Giants are 39-25 (+5.1 units) at home this year; 31-26 (+3 units) after a loss.

Bottom line: San Francisco is trying to avoid its first three-game home losing streak since dropping five in a row June 26-30; the Giants had been enjoying an offensive outburst until yesterday’s contest and I believe they’ll return to form this evening and get to the rookie early; Zito is a different pitcher at home and I expect him to do just enough to secure a victory today;

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Brandon Lang has the Tennessee Titans +2' tonight.

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chuck luck Nfl
tenn
minny
san fran

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2 FOR THE MONEY
NFL ADDED

1000 DIME Tennessee Titans +3.5 (BUY HOOK)

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Win or Lose Sports Betting 8/28
Parlay Package #2 today

Rot # 267 Jacksonville NFL -3 +100
Rot # 272 Houston NFL -5 -110
Rot # 276 Carolina NFL -3 +100

As you can see some of the lines are actually worse then offered as we are going to go for the extreme value of these plays We are buying UP to -3 in the Jacksonville and Carolina games. As we have them to win by more obviously and if they are not going to win they will most likely NOT cover so why not get he better vig.

We are going to be wagering $8 on the two team round Robin and $4 on the three teamer.

Games 1 + 2 Pay 2.82
Games 1 + 3 Pay 3.00
Games 2 + 3 Pay 2.82

Three teamer should pay 6.68

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win or lose pod-seahawks